For
the past several months the world's attention has been fixated on
events unraveling in Ukraine. The past several weeks in particular have
been a whirlwind of historic developments that have once again brought
the world to the precipice of a world war. The reader most probably may have
already heard a lot about the crisis in Ukraine. For the past several
weeks there have been a steady stream of so-called experts, analysts and political pundits
throughout Western news media expressing their views. With very few
exceptions, men such as Patrick Buchanan, Stephen Cohen and Stephen Walt, the analysis put forth by a vast majority
of the talking-heads have been utterly simplistic, hypocritical,
dangerous, hysterical, misleading, false, biased and Russophobic. For what it's worth, on the eve of a very historic referendum in Crimea and growing tensions
in eastern Ukraine, the following is my take on the worst crisis we
have seen between Moscow and the West since the Cuban missile crisis in
1962.
When the Soviet Union began showing signs that it was collapsing in the late 1980s, Washington was already looking forward to being the world's one and only superpower. There was even some discussion in Washington at the time on how to stop the rise of a "new Byzantium" (union of Christian Orthodox states) from the ashes of the Soviet Union. Needless to say, undermining the Russian nation was their main focus. Simply put, nations that made up the Soviet Union were simply unprepared for what awaited them in the post-Soviet world. With their world entirely shattered a second time in seventy years, not only did the promises of democracy and capitalism prove illusive, it was soon discovered that the new world order led by Anglo-American-Jews did not in fact look favorably upon most of the nations that emerged out of the Soviet Union's demise. There was not going to be an age of brotherhood among nations, naively believed by many in former Soviet society. Russians as well as other former Soviet nations soon discovered that political ideologies, social engineering and economic models fiendishly peddled by the victorious West were in fact toxic for their newly independent homelands. Russians in particular were among the hardest hit by the post-Soviet chaos.
When the Soviet Union began showing signs that it was collapsing in the late 1980s, Washington was already looking forward to being the world's one and only superpower. There was even some discussion in Washington at the time on how to stop the rise of a "new Byzantium" (union of Christian Orthodox states) from the ashes of the Soviet Union. Needless to say, undermining the Russian nation was their main focus. Simply put, nations that made up the Soviet Union were simply unprepared for what awaited them in the post-Soviet world. With their world entirely shattered a second time in seventy years, not only did the promises of democracy and capitalism prove illusive, it was soon discovered that the new world order led by Anglo-American-Jews did not in fact look favorably upon most of the nations that emerged out of the Soviet Union's demise. There was not going to be an age of brotherhood among nations, naively believed by many in former Soviet society. Russians as well as other former Soviet nations soon discovered that political ideologies, social engineering and economic models fiendishly peddled by the victorious West were in fact toxic for their newly independent homelands. Russians in particular were among the hardest hit by the post-Soviet chaos.
It is now well known that Western powers (via their proxies in Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan) had a hand in the Islamic insurgency in Russia's vulnerable underbelly. It is now well known that Western-backed Jewish oligarchs in Russia plundered the nation's wealth and national assets throughout much of the 1990s. It is now well known that Western powers have been actively pushing NATO and EU deeper-and-deeper into Russian zones of interest after initially promising Moscow they would not do so. It is now well known that Western meddling fomented color revolutions in Ukraine and Georgia in 2004 and 2005 respectively. Moreover, Western powers have been trying to make inroads into Armenia and Azerbaijan. Western powers have been surrounding Russia with military installations. Western powers in Europe have been attempting to setup missile defense stations against Russia. Western powers have been persistently ridiculing, chastising and slandering the Russian nation and President Vladimir Putin. Finally, Western powers have been funding all kinds of subversive groups throughout the Russian Federation.
The West's long-term agenda has been to push military assets via NATO deep into zones traditionally considered part of Russia; weaken Russian authority west of the Urals by promoting sociopolitical unrest and encouraging separatist movements; force Russian officials to engage in economic activity within a Western economic structure and under Western terms; and sabotage the Customs Union and CSTO, Russia's answer to the European Union and NATO respectively.
Moscow put up with a lot of this during the 1990s - including the NATO bombing and subsequent partitioning of an allied Serbia - simply because it was too weak to resist. But things had already begun to change by the first few years of the new century. Soon after coming to power in 2000, Russian President Vladimir Putin was able to rein in Russia's Western-backed Jewish oligarchs, crush the Islamic rebellion in Chechnya and nationalize Russia's number one source of revenue: its strategic oil and gas production and distribution. With money thereafter flowing into Russian state coffers, President Putin embarked upon an ambitious plan to modernize the Russian state, rearm the Russian military and reclaim territories thought to be Russian zones of influence. Therefore, when Western powers brought Tbilisi close to joining NATO in 2008, thereby crossing a Kremlin red line, Moscow showed the world that it was now willing to resort to violence to protect its national interests. Moscow's unexpected response in Georgia came as a shock to the West, but Western designs against Russia nevertheless continued.
A new threshold was crossed several months ago when Ukrainian President Yanukovych announced his decision to abandon Kiev's Western course and join Russia's Eurasian Union. As expected, western Ukrainians reacted harshly to the unexpected pivot and took to the streets in substantial numbers. Seeing an irresistible opportunity to manipulate events, Western powers began actively encouraging political unrest. The intention was to shift Ukraine, the historic cradle of the Russian nation and a nation that hosted the Russian Black Sea fleet, back away from Russia. Faced with a growing opposition and violence in the streets, President Yanukovych proved weak and incompetent. He was eventually forced to flee Kiev in late February, abandoning political power to radically pro-Western activists. Now, a new and more critical red line was thereby crossed by the West. For more information on the crisis in Ukraine, please revisit my previous two commentaries -
The Battle For Ukraine: http://theriseofrussia.blogspot.com/2013/12/the-battle-for-ukraine-december-2013.html
The Battle For Ukraine II: http://theriseofrussia.blogspot.com/2014/02/the-battle-for-ukraine-ii-february-2014.html
What did they expect Russia to do?
To better understand the mindset in the Kremlin these days, just ask yourselves this question: How would Washington have reacted, if foreign powers (say Russia or China) were provoking serious political unrest and organizing anti-US movements in Mexico or Canada? Give the above some serious consideration and then consider this: When they used Western money, Western mass media, Western organizations and assassins (probably also Western) to assist anti-Russian thugs to take power in a strategically important nation long recognized to be within the Russian zone, what did they expect Russia to do?
They surely knew that Ukraine was a very strategic piece of real-estate that Russia would not give up without a major fight. They surely knew that Russia held all the cards - financial, economic and military - in the region to make Western provocations very costly for them. They surely knew this was no longer the 1990s. They surely recalled what Moscow did in Georgia back in 2008. They surely recall how hard Moscow fought to have Yanukovych elected president in 2010. They surely saw in Syria how seriously Moscow has been taking geostrategic matters. Therefore, what they should have known - but they somehow didn't - was that this was an opportunity the kind of which Moscow understood comes around only once in a long while.
Faced with open aggression and growing audacity by Western powers on its doorstep, Russia had to make a grand stand. Moscow had to make a big show if only to discourage further Western inroads into its space. Now, one of the most beautiful sights I have seen in recent years has been balaclava wearing Russian troops gracing the Crimean peninsula.
A historic day in Russia
As of this writing, the Crimean peninsula has been placed fully under Russian protection by large numbers of very disciplined yet unidentified military units. Like a finely-tuned machine, thousands of "pro-Russian forces" have methodically secured vital national infrastructure, military installations and border crossing points throughout the peninsula. Ukrainian troops stationed in the region have either switched sides, been evicted or confined to their bases or ships. Ukrainian military assets have been confiscated. A number of self-defense units pledging allegiance to Russia have come into existence. Russian flags have replaced Ukrainian ones.
After a sixty year separation, and despite ambiguous threats from the West, on March 16, 2014, Crimeans overwhelmingly voted for reunification with the Russian Federation. And merely two days later, on March 18, Moscow officially recognized the Crimean people's wish for reunification with Mother Russia -
Putin: Crimea similar to Kosovo, West is rewriting its own rule book (FULL SPEECH): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PDLwu4E35us
Signed! Crimea, Sevastopol ink historic treaty to join Russia: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lmXBJlHfxv8
“Today we are witnessing an almost uncontained hyper use of force – military force – in international relations, force that is plunging the world into an abyss of permanent conflicts. As a result we do not have sufficient strength to find a comprehensive solution to any one of these conflicts. Finding a political settlement also becomes impossible. We are seeing a greater and greater disdain for the basic principles of international law. And independent legal norms are, as a matter of fact, coming increasingly closer to one state’s legal system. One state and, of course, first and foremost the United States, has overstepped its national borders in every way.”
President Vladimir Putin at the Munich Conference on Security Policy (February 11, 2007)
Sooner
thereafter this speech in Germany, we began seeing Moscow become more
proactive in international affairs as a counterbalance to the political
West. In my opinion, President Putin's historic speech in the Kremlin on
March 18, 2014 was significant precisely because it signaled the birth
of a new world order. Coming on the heals of Russia's historic defense
of Syria, during which political observers noted Russia's leadership role, events in Ukraine and President Putin's biting words in the Kremlin on March 18 have vividly revealed to the global community that the Anglo-American-Jews are no longer omnipotent.
Finally, after over two decades of unipolarity in global affairs, a multipolar world is born. Finally, after over two decades of ultra-liberal decadence and a global cultural decline as a result of Americanization, Globalization and Western pop culture, a traditional Christian power is back on the world stage.
Finally, after over two decades of unipolarity in global affairs, a multipolar world is born. Finally, after over two decades of ultra-liberal decadence and a global cultural decline as a result of Americanization, Globalization and Western pop culture, a traditional Christian power is back on the world stage.
Needless to say, faced with a new political reality that
profoundly troubles them, warpigs are squealing on Wall Street.
Nevertheless, Crimea's reunification with the Russian Federation has happened without a single shot fired in anger. This fact alone is astounding and speaks volumes about the professionalism and efficiency of Russian statecraft. Even prominent Westerners have begun noting Russia's surprisingly impressive show of force. Having learned many costly lessons in recent decades, the Russian Bear is back and seems to be better than ever. As the world watched, a new reality in Crimea was meticulously and masterfully crafted. Even mother nature seemed to have accepted Crimea's historic transformation and reunification with Mother Russia.
Brilliant display of statecraft
Recent weeks have seen an absolutely brilliant display of Russian diplomacy, military might and realpolitik. In case the point was missed by the West, there has been a number of large scale military exercises on the border of Ukraine as well as an ICBM test lunch. We are privileged to be witnessing this exhibition. Mankind can also take heart in knowing that there exists today a world power that is ready, willing and fully capable of standing-up to the Anglo-American-Zionist alliance and their friends. Russia has proven once again that it is the last front against American imperialism, Western Globalism, NATO expansionism, Islamic extremism, Zionism and pan-Turkism. Russia has given the world community a desperately needed multi-polarity in international affairs. Moscow has indeed made Ukraine a very toxic pill for the West to swallow.
In my opinion, these are the historic times President Vladimir Putin was born for.
Crimea is a done deal. Even former US Secretary of Defense Robert Gates recognizes this. The rest of Ukraine is not going anywhere either. Even if Moscow ultimately decides it won't make a move into eastern Ukraine, Kiev will not be able to enter the EU nor will be be accepted into NATO - not with the kind of baggage it now has. At the end of the day, Ukrainian economic and energy needs will continue being dependent on Mother Russia. Moreover, the West will not allocate the tens-of-billions of dollars needed to keep Ukrainians from starving. In other words, thanks to EuroMaidan freaks and their Washingtonian pushers, Ukraine is now screwed no matter how one looks at it, and the West will now have what is essentially a failed state on their hands. And the biggest and funniest irony in all this will be to see Western aid money to Kiev going to Russia to pay for Ukraine's growing energy bills.
President Putin will have the last laugh.
Perhaps it was their imperial hubris that blinded them, perhaps desperation. Regardless of why they did what they did, the West will now have a rude awakening for this is not 1853, this is not the 1990s nor is it 2004. The Russian Bear has come out of its hibernation and he is hungry and angry. What do we feed it to help placate it? At the very least, Crimea: Preferably, Crimea, southern Ukraine and regions east of the river Dnieper.
And, yes folks, those mysterious soldiers we see in Crimea are from Russia and they do operate under Russian military command. By sending into Crimea thousands of highly trained troops and telling Western powers that the troops in question are not under Russian command - Moscow is essentially giving the West the middle finger. [As far as it being a lie is concerned: It's no bigger lie than American officials crying about respecting the "territorial integrity" of nations. Western criminals need to be reminded of their lies and war crimes against Cuba, Vietnam, Laos, Grenada, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Venezuela, Panama, Lebanon, Palestine, Iraq, Serbia, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria, Egypt and Iran] There is yet another twist to this: Had Moscow openly sent troops into Crimea, it would have been considered an invasion, legally speaking. Since Moscow wants to be at least perceived as upholding international law - at the same time not pass up a historic opportunity to liberate Crimea and rub Western noses in some shit in the process - it is having Russian troops take off their insignias. With no Russian military unit positively identified, Western analysts and journalists have been forced to calling them "pro-Russian forces" and not "troops from Russia". Moreover, by not officially having troops on the ground in Crimea, Moscow may be signaling that it is leaving a door open for negotiations.
Simply put, it's genius.
If it all, however, comes down to a shooting war between Ukrainians and Russians, there is no doubt that the Russian military will crush their Ukrainian opponents. Russia's armed forces have the weaponry to sink every opposing warship within the entire Black Sea basin within the first few days of the war's outbreak. Russia's armed forces will have the air and ground superiority throughout eastern Ukraine also within the first few days of the war. Moreover, there is also the real possibility that Ukrainian military units will be severely handicapped by divisions along ethnic and ideological lines and may even begin fighting each other. At the end of the day, there is little doubt that Russia will make short work out of the Ukrainian military and there is very little doubt that the West will remain on the sidelines.
This is a historic opportunity that the Kremlin cannot pass up. Moscow has to place its chess pieces correctly. Moscow has to speak in the only language that Western powers understand. It's retribution time.
If the Kremlin truly wants to make an impressive show of force, exact revenge and sow fear in the Western world, as it should, it would be wise for them to inform Washington, Berlin, Ankara, Paris and London - in very unambiguous terms - that if any of them dare enter a possible war between Russia and Ukraine in any capacity, Moscow will be forced to stop energy deliveries to EU nations and that the Russian military will establish a land link with Armenia as a measure to secure its southern flank and cut-off Azeri oil and gas deliveries to Turkey. In other words, additional rearranging of borders may be necessary.
Moscow does not need to wage a shooting war with the West to hurt them very bad.
I am not a financial or economics expert, but I'd like to float these ideas: Let's say the US/EU pushes Moscow to the point where it feels has no choice but to cut-off gas shipments to the EU. This will utterly cripple the EU economy in a matter of days or weeks. Yes, this action will also see a lose of significant revenue for Moscow. But, faced with such extraordinary circumstance, cant the Central Bank in Russia simply print more money to make up for the financial lose? Isn't this more-or-less how the US been making a living in recent years? Moscow can also seek to make deals with energy hungry nations such as China, Japan and India to increase their purchases of Russian energy. What's more, what if Moscow responds by freezing the assets of Western mega-corporation such as BP and Exxon-Mobile operating throughout Russia? What if Moscow responds by demanding anyone that trade with it or purchases energy from it does so in the Russian Ruble? What if Moscow responds by pulling Russian money out of the City of London and Wall Street? What if Moscow responds by cashing in its US Treasury bonds? What if Moscow responds by helping Iran and Venezuela build oil refinery plants? Let's also recall that the West also needs Russia's cooperation on Syria, Iran, North Korea and Afghanistan.
Russia is not Iraq or Libya
There are a number of things that Moscow can do to cripple the West. If they have the foresight and the courage to do so, Kremlin officials can bring the entire Western world to its knees. Russia is perhaps the most self-sufficient major nation-state on earth today. Unlike traditional powers like Russia where national institutions and a professional diplomatic corps are tasked with formulating and executing state policy, the Western political establishment operates essentially under "market principles". If therefore Western actions against Russia begin hurting the Western economy, or if the West is faced with losing the US Dollar's status as a global hegemon, the West will stand down. After all, Russia is not Iraq or Libya.
As previously mentioned, the Russian Federation is self-sustaining. More specifically, it does not need the West to survive economically. While it cooperates with the Western world's "globalized economy", it is not subject to it's dictates. Militarily, economically and financially, Russia is to a significant degree immune to Western machinations. Western powers have little, if any, influence over Moscow. Notice how even the most bloodthirsty warmongers in Washington are going out of their way to point out that the military option against Moscow is off the table. Notice how London and Berlin are in a panic and strongly advising against economic and financial sanctions.
While many pro-Russian observers throughout the years were worried that Moscow was dealing too closely with Western financial and trade institutions, I was reminding them that it is always better to keep your enemies close. As we have now seen, Russian integration into Western economic/financial structures in recent years has proven to be one of Moscow's strategic advantages in its fight against the West. Every single "action" or "measure" Washington threatens to take against Russia, Moscow will respond symmetrically. While Western sanctions may or may not have a negative effect on the Russian economy overall, Russian sanctions against the West has the real potential to collapse or severely cripple the EU economy.
Moscow should not be too concerned about Western sanctions.
Other than going nuclear, which is not going to happen, what can the West really do against Russia? What is the only course of action the West has? A Visa ban for presidents Yanukovych and Putin?! I'm pretty sure they weren't dying to spend their holidays in the US.
The point is, in reality, the West is powerless against Russia. If Moscow is not flaunting all this, it's simply because Russian officials are still trying very hard to remain clearheaded and responsible on the global stage.
I am nevertheless glad that Moscow has hit back, and hit back hard. Had Moscow been passive or tolerant, the fire stoked by the West in Ukraine would have sooner-or-later spread into Russia. Had Western actions in Ukraine not been responded to in a forceful way, similar uprising would have been exported to Belarus, Armenia and eventually into the Russian heartland itself. Like the highly skilled grossmeister that he has proven himself to be, President Putin has turned what seemed like a major political defeat into a major geostrategic victory. Faced with a serious political setback in Kiev, he has responded with a major victory in Crimea. With Crimea now reunited with Mother Russia, Moscow will now use its economic and financial levers to make sure that Ukraine will be beholden to Mother Russia. Russia's response has once more shocked the Western world into reality. More importantly, recent events have awakened nationalism and anti-West sentiments throughout Russia. Recent events will also most probably result in closer relations between Moscow and Beijing.
We are privileged in the sense that we are watching history in the making. The arrogant West has once again made a reckless/haphazard move by foolishly pushing their EuroMaidan pawns into the fire, now it's Russia's turn to make a move on the grand Eurasian chessboard. The Bear has roared, the West, as predicted, has cowered. When the dust settles, at the very least, recent events will see the liberation - de facto or otherwise - of Crimea and certain regions in eastern Ukraine. For this, we can all thank freaks in Kiev and their masters in the West. Moscow couldn't have done it without them. Let's hope that western Ukrainians in particular will now enjoy the fruits of bending-over to the West just as much as Greeks have. And let's also hope the illegitimate regime in Kiev is at least smart enough to use their Western aid to stay up-to-date with their Gazprom bills.
At the end of the day, the Olympic winter games at Sochi will not be the only astounding Russian success in the region.
Operation Barbarossa by other means
As noted in the opening of this commentary and in previous commentaries, control over Ukraine is key to isolating, containing, undermining and weakening the Russian Federation west of the Urals. In its historic bid to defeat Bolshevism, even Nazi Germany recognized the strategic importance of occupying Ukraine. It should therefore not surprise anyone that Nazi Germany's successors, the Anglo-American-Zionist order, has sought to pursue the same strategy against Russia.
It would not be a stretch of the imagination to say that Operation Barbarossa by other means is what we have been witnessing Western powers carry-out in eastern Europe in recent years. In fact, those who partook in the original operation back in 1941 are partaking in the modern version: Western Ukrainians as well as regional Turks (Tatars), those at the tip of the Western spear attempting to pierce Russia today, greeted invading Wehrmacht troops in 1941 with kisses and flowers. [At the risk of confusing the reader, I'd like to make a brief point about Ukraine's wannabe-Nazis: I think those who have a realistic understanding of what the Third Reich was all about would agree that had Nazi Germany still been around today, chances are, they would have been on the side of the Russian Federation and Vladimir Putin.] With that said, it can be argued whether western Ukraine's Russophobia at the time was justified or not, but the reality of the matter is that their hatred of Russians is still around and it is this ethnic hatred that is being meticulously exploited by Anglo-American-Jewish interests for the past twenty years.
In the big picture, the crisis in Ukraine can be accurately characterized as a Western drive - via EU and NATO - into territories that have traditionally been under Russian control. It's all part of a systematic campaign to weaken Russian power and influence west of the Urals by creating a string of allied buffer states.
With Baltic nations and former Warsaw-Pact nations mostly absorbed into NATO and EU and with Georgia and Azerbaijan ready and willing to follow suit - this geostrategic campaign to encircle, contain and weaken the Russian Federation will not be complete until Belarus and Armenia are also severed away from Moscow as well. There is also the constant fear that Western intelligence may once more attempt to inflame Muslims in the north Caucasus or even try to stoke the flames of pan-Turkism amongst Tatars in the very heart of Russia.
Russia had no choice but to respond very forcefully inn Ukraine.
The need for defensive depth
We need to put aside the silly notion that Russia is somehow trying to recreate the "Soviet Union". This type of fearmongering against Russia is the by-product of professional Russophobes such as Zbigniew Brzezinski, warmongering psychopaths like John McCain and opportunistic reptiles like Hillary Clinton.
What Moscow has been doing in its "near abroad" (i.e. former Soviet territory) is much less ambitious than what they want us to believe. In fact, what Moscow is doing is what all nation-states do to preserve themselves.
For military planers in charge of securing national borders, securing something that is know as defensive depth and buffer zones are an essential part of a comprehensive national defense formula. This is especially the case with major nation-states who have historically had serious problems with neighbors.
Western European powers have the Atlantic Ocean and allied buffer states in eastern Europe for their defensive depth. The United States has two natural barriers: Atlantic and Pacific Oceans and two allied buffer states, Canada and Mexico for its security. On the other hand, the Russia Federation, a vast tract of land that stretches from Europe to the Far East, does not have the luxury of its peers in the Western world. Be it in central Europe, the Baltics, Scandinavia, the Arctic region, the Black Sea region, the Caucasus (north and south), central Asia, Chinese border or Alaska, Russian officials are constantly on the watch. It's not an enviable responsibility, but it is admirable how successful Russian leaders have been for the most part during the past several hundred years.
Russia's geography has for ages dictated Russian political policy and has given Russians themselves their unique characteristics.
Ruling over a multi-ethnic land that is vast in size and wealth, and links Europe, Middle East, Central Asia and the Far East is simply put a gargantuan task. Russian officials have no choice but to remain vigilant and not shy away from resorting to violence to ensure the security of Russia's borders. This is why Russians historically crave strongmen. This is why President Vladimir Putin has been so popular in Russia.
When it comes to being militarily aggressive and geostrategically proactive: Russia has no choice, if it is to preserve itself.
During the early post-Soviet years Moscow reluctantly tolerated Western inroads into former communist regions of eastern-Europe because it was in no shape to react in any meaningful ways. With that said, Western policymakers knew very well that Ukraine, Belarus and greater Caucasus region would be Moscow's red lines for these were strategic buffer regions that Russia could not afford to give up to NATO.
Let's recall that when Moscow's red line in the south Caucasus was crossed by NATO and Georgian officials back in 2008, the Russian Bear reacted ferociously. Therefore, I do not understand why people are so surprised that the Russian Bear has reacted similarly in a nation that is even more important to Russians. When Ukraine, a strategic buffer nation that also happened to be a brotherly Slavic nation - and a region where the Russian nation itself had its birth one thousand years ago - was infiltrated by Western interest, Russia had no choice but to react.
It has to be emphasized that if Moscow stops in Crimea, the West will have won because eastern Ukraine pushes deep into European Russia. This will also place Belarus and Armenia at heightened risk. Moscow therefore needs to escalate albeit systematically and in a well calculated manner. Moscow needs to do everything it can to put Russian speaking regions east of the river Dniepre under Russian control, direct or otherwise. Moscow needs to do everything it can economically and financially to put pressure on the illegitimate regime now in power in Kiev to make them realize that they need Russia more than the EU.
With that said, now that Western powers have gotten western Ukrainians to destroy their nation, let's see now helpful the West will be towards them. Let's also see how democratic and not-corrupt the new regime will be. I have a strong feeling that so-called EuroMaidan activists will sooner-than-later come to the sober realization that they desperately need Mother Russia for survival. But it will be too late.
Incompetent or evil, or both?
Now, that the West's agenda has reach the very doorstep of Russia, many political observers are wondering what is the West's end game in Europe. In the traditional sense, Western provocations against Russia seem quite ill conceived and wrought with many dangers not only for central Europe but also for the West itself.
Why therefore go down this path?
There is an explanation, albeit not a pleasant one: Getting two brotherly nations to start killing each other may be a part of the overall Western agenda in Ukraine. If there is a shooting war between western Ukrainians and pro-Russian forces in Crimea and eastern Ukraine, Western powers will have sown fear in Europe, given new life to NATO, militarized pacifistic European powers and rallied them all behind the American flag for decades to come. This way they will have a better pretext to move Western military installation further east onto the doorstep of Russia and of course increase military spending in Washington at a time when policymakers in the US are thinking of historic cuts. Moreover, the agenda may also be seeking to derail the Moscow-led Eurasian Union and weaken Russia's expanding economy by breaking Moscow's oil/gas strangle hold over Europe. That in doing so Anglo-American-Jews are risking a new prolonged cold war, a serious blow-back or a third world war is altogether another topic and reveals yet again the character of people we are dealing with.
Which begs the question: Are these people this incompetent or just evil? Perhaps both?
The answer may actually lie in the recognition that they are worried, desperate, blinded by arrogance and led by a false sense of superiority, megalomania and gluttony.
Allow me to explain:
Western powers are bloated with several centuries of plundered wealth and nearly a century of near total dominance over global affairs. Western powers have come to control global trade routs and the commodities exchange. They set the world's political, financial and cultural trends. The US Dollar is the world's reserve currency. Western power and influence is unprecedented - but it has been wanning in recent years. With dwindling natural resources under their direct possession and the emergence of competitive powers around the world, their near total control of the political and financial life of the world is slowly being challenged.
I think the fundamental danger lies in the fact that Western powers are doing their best to secure their hegemony in a new century when emerging powers are poised to become their global competitor. In other words, the Western elite is deeply worried about maintaining its opulent lifestyle. The tens-of-millions of Westerners that live in mansions, gated communities and on vast estates - and the elite that preside over them - want to maintain their standard of living and not surrender it to Asiatic, backward upstarts in Russia or China.
The worrying part here for me is that they will go to great lengths - including bringing the world to the very brink of catastrophe - simply to ensure their global supremacy and money flow. Another worrying things is that Western powers feel immune, and in the particular case of Washingtonians, they feel destined to rule the world as evidenced by a peculiar psychosis infamously known as "American Exceptionalism".
The Western world's world view has been cultivated by centuries of easy money and a safe geography. Western nations such as the US and Britain have historically provoked wars around the world knowing well that due to their safe distances from the killing fields, their respective nations could weather such crisis and then simply come in at the end to exploit the spoils in the aftermath. Thus, from a distance they destroy, they destabilize... they then come in to gather the spoils of war, rebuild and lead. Of course there is also the added benefit of selling weapons to warring factions and purchasing assets and/or commodities in troubled nations at rock bottom prices. Another benefit to sowing unrest around the world is enjoying the acquisition of hard currency. The more nations they destabilize, the more money pours into their coffers by wealthy individuals and firms taking their money out of those troubled nations and placing it into the perceived security of Western banks. Immense amounts of wealth have in fact been poured into London and New York in recent years from all over the world in this very manner. Where did many of Russia's Jewish oligarchs flee to with their plundered wealth after Putin chased them out? The so-called "City of London"!
This imperial arrogance, megalomania, opulence and gluttony coupled with money worries and the strong sense that nothing will happen to them regardless of what they do overseas, lies at the root of their political thinking and world view. It also lies at the root of their blood-thirst.
As long as the Anglo-American-Jewish world is not made to suffer serious consequences for actions overseas, they will continue their volatile sociopolitical experiments and militaristic aggression around the world regardless of the amount of misery and carnage they cause.
At the end of the day, when it comes to international relations, Russians are playing chess while Western cowboys are playing poker.
Sooner or later the gambler's luck will run out.
The Western gamble in Ukraine will backfire, as all gambles against Russia have. Russians will rally behind their flag as they tend to do in such times. With Crimea back under its rule, Moscow will pursue securing its near-abroad more aggressively than ever before. Russian nationalists and hardliners in Moscow will gain the upper hand in Russian politics. Pro-Western/liberal Russians will become more marginalized. Russian money will become more concentrated within Russia. And, no, liquified natural gas (LNG) is not the West's magic answer for it will cost too much to produce and transport to the EU, not to mention the fact that it will come at a terrible ecological price. At the end of the day, Europe will remain largely reliant on Russian energy for the foreseeable future. Moreover, this all has the potential of bringing Moscow and Beijing closer. Russia will therefore not be "isolated" nor will be be brought to their knees. Those standing to lose terribly from all this is the US, Europe, Turkey and Ukraine.
What's with all the Washingtonian blunders?
Is this a prudent approach in governing a global empire? Of course not. It is in fact this factor in Washingtonian politics that is taking the US down the path of self-destruction, for American policies around the world, as well as those in the US, no longer reflect sound logic nor do they actually reflect American interests.
Phony pretext? 19th century? Really, Kerry?
American officials are all of a sudden concerned about "false pretexts", "international law", "human rights" and "national sovereignty"?!?!?! Russia is behaving as if it's the 19th century?!?!?! There is bullshit and then there is bullshit but this kind of bullshit, coming after years of Western war crimes around the world is a fucking joke!
But nobody is laughing.
During the past twenty three years Washington did its best to set exactly this kind of a precedence in international affairs. Remember Kosovo? Washington did its best to convince the world that might makes right. Remember Iraq? Washington did its best to show complete and utter disregard for international law and human suffering. Remember Afghanistan? Remember Libya? Remember Syria? Now, Washingtonian reptiles need to understand that they will reap what they have sown.
With that said, how does horse face John Kohen Kerry utter the following nonsense without snickering? I am surprised he did not get an Oscar for his impeccable acting. You gotta love "American Exceptionalism" at its ugliest -
Phony pretext? 19 century? Really, Kerry? If I may ask: What century was Iraq invaded, and by who's false pretext? By the way, what happened to Democracy in Iraq?
War criminals in Washington have no right in rebuking Russia about anything. What's phony about Moscow wanting to protect a historically Russian region with a Russian population from anti-Russian thugs that with Western help overthrew the pro-Russian president and took over the country? What's phony about Crimea being one of the most important strategic military points for the Russian Federation?
Speaking of phony pretexts that have led to military and/or economic aggression against nations: Yes, there have been quite a few in recent decades, but they have not involved the Russian Federation. Let's look at them one more time: Cuba, Vietnam, Nicaragua, Panama, Granada, Venezuela, Lebanon, Palestine, Iraq, Serbia, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria, Egypt and Iran. These nations have been molested by Washington and friends in one form or another for decades. Some 21 century Western targets, like Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya and Syria, have suffered utter destruction and hundreds-of-thousands of deaths.
Regarding that silly thing called "international law": Once Western-backed insurgents in western Ukraine resorted to violence to overthrow the legitimately elected president of Ukraine, all legal considerations were thrown out the window and the Russian-speaking regions of Ukraine was fair game for Russian intervention. With an illegitimate government now in power in Kiev, Moscow reserves the right to protect Russian-Ukrainians and in doing so right the wrongs of history by liberating Crimea and eastern Ukraine.
Other than blowing a lot of hot air, and public displays of childish temper-tantrums, the West is capable of doing nothing.
In a very feeble attempt to discredit Russian President Vladimir Putin, Hillary Clinton and a host of other politicians and political "experts" in the US have recently begun stating that the political pretext President Putin used to militarily secure Crimea was historically similar to what German Chancellor Adolph Hitler did in the Sudetenland back in 1938. Well, folks, no need to go that far back in history. There is a much better comparison, and it's much closer to Washington. I'd like to remind the Whore of Babylon and her interlocutors throughout the US that little over thirty years ago the US military invaded the tiny island nation of Grenada because American officials at the time were claiming that the leadership of that strategic island in the Caribbean Sea had been taken over by Communist Cubans in a coup-detat. If that wasn't geopolitically similar enough to the recent crisis in the Ukraine, then hear this: The US excuse at the time, the political pretext used to militarily invade the tiny, defenseless nation was the "protection" of a few hundred American medical students stuck on the island. I was a teenager back then, but I followed the events very closely. I remember cheering when it was finally reported that American Rangers and Marines had liberated the students, defeated the Cubans and taken over the island. I was ecstatic that under President Ronald Reagan's leadership we in the US were finally able to put the "Vietnam syndrome" behind us.
If I can remember Grenada, I am pretty sure so can Clinton, so can Kerry, so can McCain, so can Obama and so can every single news executive in the US. I find it therefore very hypocritical and even underhanded that this bit of American history is totally absent from the airwaves in the West. With that said, what Russia is doing in Crimea today is incomparably more legitimate than what Washington did in Grenada back in 1983.
Russia's fight is Armenia's fight
Bringing Crimea back to Mother Russia has been a wonderful event for all self-respecting Russians worldwide. I would like to add that by correcting the mistakes of Communism, Moscow has also set a wonderful precedence for Armenians of Artsakh. Armenia has taken the right step by becoming the first political entity after the Russian Federation to officially recognize Crimea's right to self-determination. Needless to say, Washingtonian reptiles are upset. It is my opinion that as long as Yerevan preserves its strategic ties with Moscow and works to cultivate better Russo-Armenian relations, we Armenians will sooner-or-later also see a similar reunification of Artsakh with Armenia - with full Russian backing.
But, first thing's first: Before we expect Russians to assist us in such a manner, we as a people need to rid ourselves of our Asiatic ways, Russophobia, political ignorance and Western agents. In other words, as long as Armenia flirts with the political West and continues to host an army of Western operative and organizations, Moscow will keep Armenia vulnerable, dependent and on a very short leash.
Consider the following scenario:
No folks, this is reality and it's an inevitable by-product of an absurdity in Yerevan known as "complimentary politics". A recent NATO military exercise indeed saw Armenian troops side-by-side with Turkish, Azeri, Ukrainian and American troops practicing war games against none other than Russia -
Just think: Joining Turks, Azeris, Ukrainians, Georgians and Americans in military maneuvers designed to be a show of force against Russia - Armenia's only lifeline, Armenia's only strategic partner and Armenia's only hope for Artsakh? Just think: Participating in a military show of force essentially against a people's right to self-determination? Just think: Armenians war-gaming with a bunch or people who are currently in the process of destroying the Armenian community of Syria?
Are Armenian officials out of their fucking minds? Are Armenians really this self-destructive when it comes to politics?
For once let's stop admiring Jews and let's start
acting like them. Instead of fear-mongering about the growth of Russian
power, let's realize that Armenians can be in Russia what Jews are in
America.
And if we cant do any of the above and we continue our traditional self-destructive path in politics, I much rather see Armenia get incorporated into the Russian Federation. At the end of the day, it's better to live with Russians (similar to Ossetians or Abkhazians) than live like a bunch of endangered gypsies under Turco-Western rule. At the end of the day, Armenian independence from Russia means Armenian dependence on Turkey. No Russia in the south Caucasus means no Armenia in the south Caucasus. It's all that simple. We all need to wake up from our Qaj Nazar fantasies and EUrotic dreams and realize that there are no alternatives to this reality.
Due to the recent Ukraine crisis, Western news media has been rife with news stories about the plight of Crimean Tatars both past and present. For all intents and purposes, Tatars, Azeris and Turks are half-brothers and they make up the very foundation of pan-Turkism in Eurasia. Tension between Russians and Tatar-Turks would serve Armenian interests. In fact, such a thing would also serve Russian interests for Turkic-Muslims are like cancerous tumors within the Russian mainland. Kremlin officials would do well to conclude that as long as Russia hosts large numbers of these types of people, Russians will never truly be secure in their homelands. Therefore, I really hope the Western world takes it upon itself now to champion the Tatar question.
Hypothetically speaking, if the absolute worst case scenario happens - i.e. NATO gets involved and Russia is somehow defeated in Ukraine - there will most probably be a full-scale Azeri attack against Armenia and/or Artsakh. Even without the worst the case scenario, any scenario that sees Russia backing off for any reason and allowing Ukraine to fall fully into Western hands will have a very adverse geostrategic impact on Russia, Belarus and Armenia. Any weakening of Russia will see an immediate strengthening of Western, Turkic and Islamic interests throughout the region. If Russia fails in the Ukraine and Western powers succeed in pushing right onto Russia's south-western borders, Armenians can expect Turks, Azeris, Tatars, Caucasian Muslims and Wahhabi Islamists to eventually come knocking at Armenia's door. And when that day comes, all our Western activists in Armenia will be on the first flight out.
Turks, Wahhabi Islamists and Western powers have been in a tight embrace due to serious geostrategic factors. This situation will not change as long as Russians, Iranians and pan-Arab nationalism are political factors within the region. Therefore, one must be deaf, dumb and blind to assume that Western powers are genuinely concerned about Democracy and human rights in Armenia, or that they will help defend Armenia against Turks.
Need I remind the reader of the twenty year old economic blockade of a landlocked and poor Armenia by NATO member Turkey? Need I reminded the reader of the threats NATO member Turkey has made against Armenia during the past twenty years? Need I remind the reader that it was a NATO member state that shamelessly released an Azeri barbarian accused of using an axe to murder a sleeping Armenian soldier? Need I remind the reader that it is NATO that supported Islamic Bosnians and Albanians against Christian Serbs? Need I remind the reader that is was NATO that recently tried to invade Syria to help Islamic terrorists to come to power in Damascus? Need I remind the reader of the billions being invested into Azerbaijan by Western powers? Need I remind the reader of the arms and training Western powers and Israel are providing to Azerbaijan? Need I remind the reader that the Anglo-American-Zionist alliance is plotting Iran's destruction? Need I remind the reader that Washington has a large arsenal of nuclear bombs stationed in Turkey? Need I remind the reader that the only thing our annual ass kissing in Washington will do for us is give us all a brown nose?
A better look at Western-Turkish relations as compared to Russian-Armenian relations -
Now, in Ukraine, we are once again seeing just how Western and Turkish interests are closely aligned in the region. During the winter Olympic games in Sochi, the Western press took every opportunity to spread awareness of the so-called Circassian genocide, the same press mind you that does its utmost to ignore or call into question the historic validity of the Armenian Genocide. Now, the same press is raising the alarm out the plight of Turkic-Tatars. No surprise there. Our sheeple need to take their heads out of their asses and come to the recognition that their beloved "democratic" leaders in the West are strategically allied to Turkic peoples and Wahhabi Muslims and this geostrategic calculus will not change for the foreseeable future.
For the Russian Federation, Armenia is a crucially important geostrategic asset in the south Caucasus. For the West, Armenia, with all its problems with Turks and Azeris, is a nuisance. In other words, despite the best efforts of our idiots to bring "Democracy" into Armenia, Western powers will continue seeing Armenia as a geopolitical obstacle.
Being that the south Caucasus is one major event away from turning back into being a Turkic-Islamic cesspool, our nationalistic chobans need to put aside their Qaj Nazar mentalities and realize that Armenia is in no shape to even dream about fighting its enemies alone. In other words, no Russia in the south Caucasus means no Armenia in the south Caucasus. Therefore, no matter how one looks at it, Russia's fight in Ukraine is Armenia's fight.
If our Western-backed, self-destructive peasantry of the political opposition in Armenia somehow managed to topple the regime in Yerevan and country was forced to sever its ties to Moscow, I would be the first one beseeching the Russian President to send Russian troops into Armenia (with or without insignias) and I would be the fist one out, with a Russian flag in my hand, cheering their arrival. As I said: If our people continue to show incompetence and suicidal tendencies in politics, I would much rather Armenia enter the Russian Federation and be done with it.
Nevertheless, Crimea's reunification with the Russian Federation has happened without a single shot fired in anger. This fact alone is astounding and speaks volumes about the professionalism and efficiency of Russian statecraft. Even prominent Westerners have begun noting Russia's surprisingly impressive show of force. Having learned many costly lessons in recent decades, the Russian Bear is back and seems to be better than ever. As the world watched, a new reality in Crimea was meticulously and masterfully crafted. Even mother nature seemed to have accepted Crimea's historic transformation and reunification with Mother Russia.
Brilliant display of statecraft
Recent weeks have seen an absolutely brilliant display of Russian diplomacy, military might and realpolitik. In case the point was missed by the West, there has been a number of large scale military exercises on the border of Ukraine as well as an ICBM test lunch. We are privileged to be witnessing this exhibition. Mankind can also take heart in knowing that there exists today a world power that is ready, willing and fully capable of standing-up to the Anglo-American-Zionist alliance and their friends. Russia has proven once again that it is the last front against American imperialism, Western Globalism, NATO expansionism, Islamic extremism, Zionism and pan-Turkism. Russia has given the world community a desperately needed multi-polarity in international affairs. Moscow has indeed made Ukraine a very toxic pill for the West to swallow.
In my opinion, these are the historic times President Vladimir Putin was born for.
Crimea is a done deal. Even former US Secretary of Defense Robert Gates recognizes this. The rest of Ukraine is not going anywhere either. Even if Moscow ultimately decides it won't make a move into eastern Ukraine, Kiev will not be able to enter the EU nor will be be accepted into NATO - not with the kind of baggage it now has. At the end of the day, Ukrainian economic and energy needs will continue being dependent on Mother Russia. Moreover, the West will not allocate the tens-of-billions of dollars needed to keep Ukrainians from starving. In other words, thanks to EuroMaidan freaks and their Washingtonian pushers, Ukraine is now screwed no matter how one looks at it, and the West will now have what is essentially a failed state on their hands. And the biggest and funniest irony in all this will be to see Western aid money to Kiev going to Russia to pay for Ukraine's growing energy bills.
President Putin will have the last laugh.
Perhaps it was their imperial hubris that blinded them, perhaps desperation. Regardless of why they did what they did, the West will now have a rude awakening for this is not 1853, this is not the 1990s nor is it 2004. The Russian Bear has come out of its hibernation and he is hungry and angry. What do we feed it to help placate it? At the very least, Crimea: Preferably, Crimea, southern Ukraine and regions east of the river Dnieper.
And, yes folks, those mysterious soldiers we see in Crimea are from Russia and they do operate under Russian military command. By sending into Crimea thousands of highly trained troops and telling Western powers that the troops in question are not under Russian command - Moscow is essentially giving the West the middle finger. [As far as it being a lie is concerned: It's no bigger lie than American officials crying about respecting the "territorial integrity" of nations. Western criminals need to be reminded of their lies and war crimes against Cuba, Vietnam, Laos, Grenada, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Venezuela, Panama, Lebanon, Palestine, Iraq, Serbia, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria, Egypt and Iran] There is yet another twist to this: Had Moscow openly sent troops into Crimea, it would have been considered an invasion, legally speaking. Since Moscow wants to be at least perceived as upholding international law - at the same time not pass up a historic opportunity to liberate Crimea and rub Western noses in some shit in the process - it is having Russian troops take off their insignias. With no Russian military unit positively identified, Western analysts and journalists have been forced to calling them "pro-Russian forces" and not "troops from Russia". Moreover, by not officially having troops on the ground in Crimea, Moscow may be signaling that it is leaving a door open for negotiations.
Simply put, it's genius.
If it all, however, comes down to a shooting war between Ukrainians and Russians, there is no doubt that the Russian military will crush their Ukrainian opponents. Russia's armed forces have the weaponry to sink every opposing warship within the entire Black Sea basin within the first few days of the war's outbreak. Russia's armed forces will have the air and ground superiority throughout eastern Ukraine also within the first few days of the war. Moreover, there is also the real possibility that Ukrainian military units will be severely handicapped by divisions along ethnic and ideological lines and may even begin fighting each other. At the end of the day, there is little doubt that Russia will make short work out of the Ukrainian military and there is very little doubt that the West will remain on the sidelines.
This is a historic opportunity that the Kremlin cannot pass up. Moscow has to place its chess pieces correctly. Moscow has to speak in the only language that Western powers understand. It's retribution time.
If the Kremlin truly wants to make an impressive show of force, exact revenge and sow fear in the Western world, as it should, it would be wise for them to inform Washington, Berlin, Ankara, Paris and London - in very unambiguous terms - that if any of them dare enter a possible war between Russia and Ukraine in any capacity, Moscow will be forced to stop energy deliveries to EU nations and that the Russian military will establish a land link with Armenia as a measure to secure its southern flank and cut-off Azeri oil and gas deliveries to Turkey. In other words, additional rearranging of borders may be necessary.
Moscow does not need to wage a shooting war with the West to hurt them very bad.
I am not a financial or economics expert, but I'd like to float these ideas: Let's say the US/EU pushes Moscow to the point where it feels has no choice but to cut-off gas shipments to the EU. This will utterly cripple the EU economy in a matter of days or weeks. Yes, this action will also see a lose of significant revenue for Moscow. But, faced with such extraordinary circumstance, cant the Central Bank in Russia simply print more money to make up for the financial lose? Isn't this more-or-less how the US been making a living in recent years? Moscow can also seek to make deals with energy hungry nations such as China, Japan and India to increase their purchases of Russian energy. What's more, what if Moscow responds by freezing the assets of Western mega-corporation such as BP and Exxon-Mobile operating throughout Russia? What if Moscow responds by demanding anyone that trade with it or purchases energy from it does so in the Russian Ruble? What if Moscow responds by pulling Russian money out of the City of London and Wall Street? What if Moscow responds by cashing in its US Treasury bonds? What if Moscow responds by helping Iran and Venezuela build oil refinery plants? Let's also recall that the West also needs Russia's cooperation on Syria, Iran, North Korea and Afghanistan.
Russia is not Iraq or Libya
There are a number of things that Moscow can do to cripple the West. If they have the foresight and the courage to do so, Kremlin officials can bring the entire Western world to its knees. Russia is perhaps the most self-sufficient major nation-state on earth today. Unlike traditional powers like Russia where national institutions and a professional diplomatic corps are tasked with formulating and executing state policy, the Western political establishment operates essentially under "market principles". If therefore Western actions against Russia begin hurting the Western economy, or if the West is faced with losing the US Dollar's status as a global hegemon, the West will stand down. After all, Russia is not Iraq or Libya.
As previously mentioned, the Russian Federation is self-sustaining. More specifically, it does not need the West to survive economically. While it cooperates with the Western world's "globalized economy", it is not subject to it's dictates. Militarily, economically and financially, Russia is to a significant degree immune to Western machinations. Western powers have little, if any, influence over Moscow. Notice how even the most bloodthirsty warmongers in Washington are going out of their way to point out that the military option against Moscow is off the table. Notice how London and Berlin are in a panic and strongly advising against economic and financial sanctions.
While many pro-Russian observers throughout the years were worried that Moscow was dealing too closely with Western financial and trade institutions, I was reminding them that it is always better to keep your enemies close. As we have now seen, Russian integration into Western economic/financial structures in recent years has proven to be one of Moscow's strategic advantages in its fight against the West. Every single "action" or "measure" Washington threatens to take against Russia, Moscow will respond symmetrically. While Western sanctions may or may not have a negative effect on the Russian economy overall, Russian sanctions against the West has the real potential to collapse or severely cripple the EU economy.
Moscow should not be too concerned about Western sanctions.
Other than going nuclear, which is not going to happen, what can the West really do against Russia? What is the only course of action the West has? A Visa ban for presidents Yanukovych and Putin?! I'm pretty sure they weren't dying to spend their holidays in the US.
The point is, in reality, the West is powerless against Russia. If Moscow is not flaunting all this, it's simply because Russian officials are still trying very hard to remain clearheaded and responsible on the global stage.
I am nevertheless glad that Moscow has hit back, and hit back hard. Had Moscow been passive or tolerant, the fire stoked by the West in Ukraine would have sooner-or-later spread into Russia. Had Western actions in Ukraine not been responded to in a forceful way, similar uprising would have been exported to Belarus, Armenia and eventually into the Russian heartland itself. Like the highly skilled grossmeister that he has proven himself to be, President Putin has turned what seemed like a major political defeat into a major geostrategic victory. Faced with a serious political setback in Kiev, he has responded with a major victory in Crimea. With Crimea now reunited with Mother Russia, Moscow will now use its economic and financial levers to make sure that Ukraine will be beholden to Mother Russia. Russia's response has once more shocked the Western world into reality. More importantly, recent events have awakened nationalism and anti-West sentiments throughout Russia. Recent events will also most probably result in closer relations between Moscow and Beijing.
We are privileged in the sense that we are watching history in the making. The arrogant West has once again made a reckless/haphazard move by foolishly pushing their EuroMaidan pawns into the fire, now it's Russia's turn to make a move on the grand Eurasian chessboard. The Bear has roared, the West, as predicted, has cowered. When the dust settles, at the very least, recent events will see the liberation - de facto or otherwise - of Crimea and certain regions in eastern Ukraine. For this, we can all thank freaks in Kiev and their masters in the West. Moscow couldn't have done it without them. Let's hope that western Ukrainians in particular will now enjoy the fruits of bending-over to the West just as much as Greeks have. And let's also hope the illegitimate regime in Kiev is at least smart enough to use their Western aid to stay up-to-date with their Gazprom bills.
At the end of the day, the Olympic winter games at Sochi will not be the only astounding Russian success in the region.
Operation Barbarossa by other means
As noted in the opening of this commentary and in previous commentaries, control over Ukraine is key to isolating, containing, undermining and weakening the Russian Federation west of the Urals. In its historic bid to defeat Bolshevism, even Nazi Germany recognized the strategic importance of occupying Ukraine. It should therefore not surprise anyone that Nazi Germany's successors, the Anglo-American-Zionist order, has sought to pursue the same strategy against Russia.
It would not be a stretch of the imagination to say that Operation Barbarossa by other means is what we have been witnessing Western powers carry-out in eastern Europe in recent years. In fact, those who partook in the original operation back in 1941 are partaking in the modern version: Western Ukrainians as well as regional Turks (Tatars), those at the tip of the Western spear attempting to pierce Russia today, greeted invading Wehrmacht troops in 1941 with kisses and flowers. [At the risk of confusing the reader, I'd like to make a brief point about Ukraine's wannabe-Nazis: I think those who have a realistic understanding of what the Third Reich was all about would agree that had Nazi Germany still been around today, chances are, they would have been on the side of the Russian Federation and Vladimir Putin.] With that said, it can be argued whether western Ukraine's Russophobia at the time was justified or not, but the reality of the matter is that their hatred of Russians is still around and it is this ethnic hatred that is being meticulously exploited by Anglo-American-Jewish interests for the past twenty years.
In the big picture, the crisis in Ukraine can be accurately characterized as a Western drive - via EU and NATO - into territories that have traditionally been under Russian control. It's all part of a systematic campaign to weaken Russian power and influence west of the Urals by creating a string of allied buffer states.
With Baltic nations and former Warsaw-Pact nations mostly absorbed into NATO and EU and with Georgia and Azerbaijan ready and willing to follow suit - this geostrategic campaign to encircle, contain and weaken the Russian Federation will not be complete until Belarus and Armenia are also severed away from Moscow as well. There is also the constant fear that Western intelligence may once more attempt to inflame Muslims in the north Caucasus or even try to stoke the flames of pan-Turkism amongst Tatars in the very heart of Russia.
Russia had no choice but to respond very forcefully inn Ukraine.
The need for defensive depth
We need to put aside the silly notion that Russia is somehow trying to recreate the "Soviet Union". This type of fearmongering against Russia is the by-product of professional Russophobes such as Zbigniew Brzezinski, warmongering psychopaths like John McCain and opportunistic reptiles like Hillary Clinton.
What Moscow has been doing in its "near abroad" (i.e. former Soviet territory) is much less ambitious than what they want us to believe. In fact, what Moscow is doing is what all nation-states do to preserve themselves.
For military planers in charge of securing national borders, securing something that is know as defensive depth and buffer zones are an essential part of a comprehensive national defense formula. This is especially the case with major nation-states who have historically had serious problems with neighbors.
Western European powers have the Atlantic Ocean and allied buffer states in eastern Europe for their defensive depth. The United States has two natural barriers: Atlantic and Pacific Oceans and two allied buffer states, Canada and Mexico for its security. On the other hand, the Russia Federation, a vast tract of land that stretches from Europe to the Far East, does not have the luxury of its peers in the Western world. Be it in central Europe, the Baltics, Scandinavia, the Arctic region, the Black Sea region, the Caucasus (north and south), central Asia, Chinese border or Alaska, Russian officials are constantly on the watch. It's not an enviable responsibility, but it is admirable how successful Russian leaders have been for the most part during the past several hundred years.
Russia's geography has for ages dictated Russian political policy and has given Russians themselves their unique characteristics.
Ruling over a multi-ethnic land that is vast in size and wealth, and links Europe, Middle East, Central Asia and the Far East is simply put a gargantuan task. Russian officials have no choice but to remain vigilant and not shy away from resorting to violence to ensure the security of Russia's borders. This is why Russians historically crave strongmen. This is why President Vladimir Putin has been so popular in Russia.
When it comes to being militarily aggressive and geostrategically proactive: Russia has no choice, if it is to preserve itself.
During the early post-Soviet years Moscow reluctantly tolerated Western inroads into former communist regions of eastern-Europe because it was in no shape to react in any meaningful ways. With that said, Western policymakers knew very well that Ukraine, Belarus and greater Caucasus region would be Moscow's red lines for these were strategic buffer regions that Russia could not afford to give up to NATO.
Let's recall that when Moscow's red line in the south Caucasus was crossed by NATO and Georgian officials back in 2008, the Russian Bear reacted ferociously. Therefore, I do not understand why people are so surprised that the Russian Bear has reacted similarly in a nation that is even more important to Russians. When Ukraine, a strategic buffer nation that also happened to be a brotherly Slavic nation - and a region where the Russian nation itself had its birth one thousand years ago - was infiltrated by Western interest, Russia had no choice but to react.
It has to be emphasized that if Moscow stops in Crimea, the West will have won because eastern Ukraine pushes deep into European Russia. This will also place Belarus and Armenia at heightened risk. Moscow therefore needs to escalate albeit systematically and in a well calculated manner. Moscow needs to do everything it can to put Russian speaking regions east of the river Dniepre under Russian control, direct or otherwise. Moscow needs to do everything it can economically and financially to put pressure on the illegitimate regime now in power in Kiev to make them realize that they need Russia more than the EU.
With that said, now that Western powers have gotten western Ukrainians to destroy their nation, let's see now helpful the West will be towards them. Let's also see how democratic and not-corrupt the new regime will be. I have a strong feeling that so-called EuroMaidan activists will sooner-than-later come to the sober realization that they desperately need Mother Russia for survival. But it will be too late.
Incompetent or evil, or both?
Now, that the West's agenda has reach the very doorstep of Russia, many political observers are wondering what is the West's end game in Europe. In the traditional sense, Western provocations against Russia seem quite ill conceived and wrought with many dangers not only for central Europe but also for the West itself.
Why therefore go down this path?
There is an explanation, albeit not a pleasant one: Getting two brotherly nations to start killing each other may be a part of the overall Western agenda in Ukraine. If there is a shooting war between western Ukrainians and pro-Russian forces in Crimea and eastern Ukraine, Western powers will have sown fear in Europe, given new life to NATO, militarized pacifistic European powers and rallied them all behind the American flag for decades to come. This way they will have a better pretext to move Western military installation further east onto the doorstep of Russia and of course increase military spending in Washington at a time when policymakers in the US are thinking of historic cuts. Moreover, the agenda may also be seeking to derail the Moscow-led Eurasian Union and weaken Russia's expanding economy by breaking Moscow's oil/gas strangle hold over Europe. That in doing so Anglo-American-Jews are risking a new prolonged cold war, a serious blow-back or a third world war is altogether another topic and reveals yet again the character of people we are dealing with.
Which begs the question: Are these people this incompetent or just evil? Perhaps both?
The answer may actually lie in the recognition that they are worried, desperate, blinded by arrogance and led by a false sense of superiority, megalomania and gluttony.
Allow me to explain:
Western powers are bloated with several centuries of plundered wealth and nearly a century of near total dominance over global affairs. Western powers have come to control global trade routs and the commodities exchange. They set the world's political, financial and cultural trends. The US Dollar is the world's reserve currency. Western power and influence is unprecedented - but it has been wanning in recent years. With dwindling natural resources under their direct possession and the emergence of competitive powers around the world, their near total control of the political and financial life of the world is slowly being challenged.
I think the fundamental danger lies in the fact that Western powers are doing their best to secure their hegemony in a new century when emerging powers are poised to become their global competitor. In other words, the Western elite is deeply worried about maintaining its opulent lifestyle. The tens-of-millions of Westerners that live in mansions, gated communities and on vast estates - and the elite that preside over them - want to maintain their standard of living and not surrender it to Asiatic, backward upstarts in Russia or China.
The worrying part here for me is that they will go to great lengths - including bringing the world to the very brink of catastrophe - simply to ensure their global supremacy and money flow. Another worrying things is that Western powers feel immune, and in the particular case of Washingtonians, they feel destined to rule the world as evidenced by a peculiar psychosis infamously known as "American Exceptionalism".
The Western world's world view has been cultivated by centuries of easy money and a safe geography. Western nations such as the US and Britain have historically provoked wars around the world knowing well that due to their safe distances from the killing fields, their respective nations could weather such crisis and then simply come in at the end to exploit the spoils in the aftermath. Thus, from a distance they destroy, they destabilize... they then come in to gather the spoils of war, rebuild and lead. Of course there is also the added benefit of selling weapons to warring factions and purchasing assets and/or commodities in troubled nations at rock bottom prices. Another benefit to sowing unrest around the world is enjoying the acquisition of hard currency. The more nations they destabilize, the more money pours into their coffers by wealthy individuals and firms taking their money out of those troubled nations and placing it into the perceived security of Western banks. Immense amounts of wealth have in fact been poured into London and New York in recent years from all over the world in this very manner. Where did many of Russia's Jewish oligarchs flee to with their plundered wealth after Putin chased them out? The so-called "City of London"!
This imperial arrogance, megalomania, opulence and gluttony coupled with money worries and the strong sense that nothing will happen to them regardless of what they do overseas, lies at the root of their political thinking and world view. It also lies at the root of their blood-thirst.
As long as the Anglo-American-Jewish world is not made to suffer serious consequences for actions overseas, they will continue their volatile sociopolitical experiments and militaristic aggression around the world regardless of the amount of misery and carnage they cause.
At the end of the day, when it comes to international relations, Russians are playing chess while Western cowboys are playing poker.
Sooner or later the gambler's luck will run out.
The Western gamble in Ukraine will backfire, as all gambles against Russia have. Russians will rally behind their flag as they tend to do in such times. With Crimea back under its rule, Moscow will pursue securing its near-abroad more aggressively than ever before. Russian nationalists and hardliners in Moscow will gain the upper hand in Russian politics. Pro-Western/liberal Russians will become more marginalized. Russian money will become more concentrated within Russia. And, no, liquified natural gas (LNG) is not the West's magic answer for it will cost too much to produce and transport to the EU, not to mention the fact that it will come at a terrible ecological price. At the end of the day, Europe will remain largely reliant on Russian energy for the foreseeable future. Moreover, this all has the potential of bringing Moscow and Beijing closer. Russia will therefore not be "isolated" nor will be be brought to their knees. Those standing to lose terribly from all this is the US, Europe, Turkey and Ukraine.
What's with all the Washingtonian blunders?
Senior
career diplomats in the US have been criticizing the way Washington has
been pursuing political agendas overseas. Senior retired US officials
have been criticizing Washington's actions overseas. Senior retired US
military officers have been criticizing the way Washington has been
handling military matters overseas. With so many seasoned experts
sounding the alarm about Washington's foolish actions, what's with all
the blunders?
I
have a strong feeling I know why Washington continues
to make what seems like serious geopolitical mistakes on the world
stage.
Once more we may be seeing the hand of Democracy (pandering to special groups) and Capitalism (monetary profit being the main political goal) at play. Having willingly shed itself of its traditional identity and true nationalism as a result of multiculturalism and ultra-Liberalism, Washington's world view today has come to be tainted merely by financial pursuits around the world. For American officials, the world is a open market and the US is its headquarters.
Once more we may be seeing the hand of Democracy (pandering to special groups) and Capitalism (monetary profit being the main political goal) at play. Having willingly shed itself of its traditional identity and true nationalism as a result of multiculturalism and ultra-Liberalism, Washington's world view today has come to be tainted merely by financial pursuits around the world. For American officials, the world is a open market and the US is its headquarters.
The delusionary approach
to international relations is vividly seen in how American news
commentators, pundits and politicians alike have been assessing
President Putin's actions in Crimea. The
most popular "analysis" I keep hearing lately is that Putin will back
down
once his oligarchs start losing money and they begin putting pressure on him.
Russia's oligarchs will rein in Putin?
Are these people fucking serious? This is absolute hogwash!
Having
preserved Russian nationalism despite the corrosive effects of
Globalism during the past two decades, the Kremlin is able to formulate a
foreign policy that is based on nationalistic considerations and not
financial pursuits. This is because from the Baltic Sea to the Pacific Ocean, Moscow has borders to protect.
And nutjobs posing as "experts" in the West think Kremlin officials are going to
change their minds simply because of money concerns? How idiotic. It's very
scary how out-of-touch these people are from reality and it's even scarier
that these people actually represent a global empire who's power is
unprecedented in human history.
Nevertheless,
Ukraine was not the first geostrategic miscalculation by the West.
There have been similar miscalculations in recent years and they may all be a direct result of
allowing non-governmental groups and moneymen to have a say in policy
formulation. Political observers have noted for many years that Washington, as a political institution, has been hijacked by the thing
known as "special interests". Powerful non-governmental groups have used immense sums
of money and influence to basically buy elections and officials. This is more-or-less where the American axiom "the best government money can buy" comes from. A
similar situation is seen within the financial system of the US where
the gargantuan task of regulating the American empire's finances is
trusted to the privately owned Federal Reserve. Therefore,
when it comes to politics and economics, US policy is merely a reflection
of the wishes of its private sector financial/political elite.
Is this a prudent approach in governing a global empire? Of course not. It is in fact this factor in Washingtonian politics that is taking the US down the path of self-destruction, for American policies around the world, as well as those in the US, no longer reflect sound logic nor do they actually reflect American interests.
Due
to arrogance, ignorance and a world view tainted by a stock-market
mentality, Americans are once more terribly misreading events and the US
will suffer long-term consequences as a result.
In
my opinion, the special interest factor in Western politics is the main
difference between the foreign policies formulated by Western powers
and foreign policies formulated by traditional national
institutions as in Russia. In
traditional nation-states, national
institutions, high ranking military officials, state-funded think tanks
and a state control central bank formulate policies, both foreign and
domestic. In such a traditional approach, risks of making
serious mistakes is significantly reduced. We see Moscow following a
traditional model. Moscow is executing politics as devised by its
veteran
political analysts, military officials, career politicians and
economists -
while Washington has no choice but to follow the wishes of its special
interests groups. This is yet another sign of American decline.
Observers
will sooner-or-later
understand that unlike in the West, where money is the only god and
money determines much of Western policy formulations, for traditional
powers such as Russia, national interests will always trump financial
considerations.
Nonetheless, all this silly talk about expelling Russia from the G-8, placing
sanctions on Russia,
barring Russian officials from traveling to the "civilized world" and
freezing Russian assets underscores the very urgent need to wrestle
away international finance and trade from Anglo-American-Jewish
control.
Moscow needs to give the West the middle finger and simply do what it
needs to do to protect its western frontier from further Western
incursion.
Phony pretext? 19th century? Really, Kerry?
American officials are all of a sudden concerned about "false pretexts", "international law", "human rights" and "national sovereignty"?!?!?! Russia is behaving as if it's the 19th century?!?!?! There is bullshit and then there is bullshit but this kind of bullshit, coming after years of Western war crimes around the world is a fucking joke!
But nobody is laughing.
During the past twenty three years Washington did its best to set exactly this kind of a precedence in international affairs. Remember Kosovo? Washington did its best to convince the world that might makes right. Remember Iraq? Washington did its best to show complete and utter disregard for international law and human suffering. Remember Afghanistan? Remember Libya? Remember Syria? Now, Washingtonian reptiles need to understand that they will reap what they have sown.
With that said, how does horse face John Kohen Kerry utter the following nonsense without snickering? I am surprised he did not get an Oscar for his impeccable acting. You gotta love "American Exceptionalism" at its ugliest -
Seriously? Kerry tells Russia 'one doesn't invade country on phony pretext': http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3GUYl_RYvfw&feature=c4-overview&list=UUpwvZwUam-URkxB7g4USKpg
Phony pretext? 19 century? Really, Kerry? If I may ask: What century was Iraq invaded, and by who's false pretext? By the way, what happened to Democracy in Iraq?
War criminals in Washington have no right in rebuking Russia about anything. What's phony about Moscow wanting to protect a historically Russian region with a Russian population from anti-Russian thugs that with Western help overthrew the pro-Russian president and took over the country? What's phony about Crimea being one of the most important strategic military points for the Russian Federation?
Speaking of phony pretexts that have led to military and/or economic aggression against nations: Yes, there have been quite a few in recent decades, but they have not involved the Russian Federation. Let's look at them one more time: Cuba, Vietnam, Nicaragua, Panama, Granada, Venezuela, Lebanon, Palestine, Iraq, Serbia, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria, Egypt and Iran. These nations have been molested by Washington and friends in one form or another for decades. Some 21 century Western targets, like Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya and Syria, have suffered utter destruction and hundreds-of-thousands of deaths.
Regarding that silly thing called "international law": Once Western-backed insurgents in western Ukraine resorted to violence to overthrow the legitimately elected president of Ukraine, all legal considerations were thrown out the window and the Russian-speaking regions of Ukraine was fair game for Russian intervention. With an illegitimate government now in power in Kiev, Moscow reserves the right to protect Russian-Ukrainians and in doing so right the wrongs of history by liberating Crimea and eastern Ukraine.
Other than blowing a lot of hot air, and public displays of childish temper-tantrums, the West is capable of doing nothing.
In a very feeble attempt to discredit Russian President Vladimir Putin, Hillary Clinton and a host of other politicians and political "experts" in the US have recently begun stating that the political pretext President Putin used to militarily secure Crimea was historically similar to what German Chancellor Adolph Hitler did in the Sudetenland back in 1938. Well, folks, no need to go that far back in history. There is a much better comparison, and it's much closer to Washington. I'd like to remind the Whore of Babylon and her interlocutors throughout the US that little over thirty years ago the US military invaded the tiny island nation of Grenada because American officials at the time were claiming that the leadership of that strategic island in the Caribbean Sea had been taken over by Communist Cubans in a coup-detat. If that wasn't geopolitically similar enough to the recent crisis in the Ukraine, then hear this: The US excuse at the time, the political pretext used to militarily invade the tiny, defenseless nation was the "protection" of a few hundred American medical students stuck on the island. I was a teenager back then, but I followed the events very closely. I remember cheering when it was finally reported that American Rangers and Marines had liberated the students, defeated the Cubans and taken over the island. I was ecstatic that under President Ronald Reagan's leadership we in the US were finally able to put the "Vietnam syndrome" behind us.
If I can remember Grenada, I am pretty sure so can Clinton, so can Kerry, so can McCain, so can Obama and so can every single news executive in the US. I find it therefore very hypocritical and even underhanded that this bit of American history is totally absent from the airwaves in the West. With that said, what Russia is doing in Crimea today is incomparably more legitimate than what Washington did in Grenada back in 1983.
Russia's fight is Armenia's fight
Bringing Crimea back to Mother Russia has been a wonderful event for all self-respecting Russians worldwide. I would like to add that by correcting the mistakes of Communism, Moscow has also set a wonderful precedence for Armenians of Artsakh. Armenia has taken the right step by becoming the first political entity after the Russian Federation to officially recognize Crimea's right to self-determination. Needless to say, Washingtonian reptiles are upset. It is my opinion that as long as Yerevan preserves its strategic ties with Moscow and works to cultivate better Russo-Armenian relations, we Armenians will sooner-or-later also see a similar reunification of Artsakh with Armenia - with full Russian backing.
But, first thing's first: Before we expect Russians to assist us in such a manner, we as a people need to rid ourselves of our Asiatic ways, Russophobia, political ignorance and Western agents. In other words, as long as Armenia flirts with the political West and continues to host an army of Western operative and organizations, Moscow will keep Armenia vulnerable, dependent and on a very short leash.
Consider the following scenario:
Armenian,
Azeri, Turkish, Georgian, Ukrainian and American soldiers,
side-by-side, practicing military maneuvers against Russia?
Is this some kind of a terrible dream?
Is this perhaps a Paruyr Hayrikian fantasy?
No folks, this is reality and it's an inevitable by-product of an absurdity in Yerevan known as "complimentary politics". A recent NATO military exercise indeed saw Armenian troops side-by-side with Turkish, Azeri, Ukrainian and American troops practicing war games against none other than Russia -
NATO, Ukraine join military exercise in Bulgaria: http://pakobserver.net/detailnews.asp?id=237082
Apparently, Armenian officials did not have the self-respect
to say no to NATO and instead send Armenian troops to Syria to help
beleaguered Armenians there organize their self-defense - against NATO supported Al Qaeda terrorists nonetheless. Apparently, Armenian officials did not have the decency or the courage to inform Western officials that
Armenia will not participate in this particular exercise essentially because it is
being carried out against Yerevan's strategic partner - with
two nations that are openly hostile to Armenia nonetheless. Armenian officials did not have the balls to tell Western officials that
Armenia will not participate in this particular program essentially because it is
being carried out against a people's right to self-determination.
Just think: Joining Turks, Azeris, Ukrainians, Georgians and Americans in military maneuvers designed to be a show of force against Russia - Armenia's only lifeline, Armenia's only strategic partner and Armenia's only hope for Artsakh? Just think: Participating in a military show of force essentially against a people's right to self-determination? Just think: Armenians war-gaming with a bunch or people who are currently in the process of destroying the Armenian community of Syria?
Are Armenian officials out of their fucking minds? Are Armenians really this self-destructive when it comes to politics?
How much lower are our money hungry whores willing to go for Western bribes?
How long
will our chobans flirt with political disaster and national suicide? How long will
Armenia have to endure being stuck in the middle with no place to go?
How long will Armenians continue insulting and antagonizing Armenia's only ally in the world?
Although I am all for evolution and not revolution, being that Western assets have set deep roots throughout Armenia, I'm afraid we may need a Moscow sponsored revolution in Yerevan to rid ourselves of
our Captain Americas as well as our chobans-in-Armani-suits posing as government officials. We need Moscow to help us start with a clean slate.
Today,
Armenia's "complimentary politics" is
a serious liability for Armenia. This is no longer the 1990s. The West
is in a decline. For the foreseeable future, we will have to live with a
resurgent Bear. The good news for us here is that Russian and Armenian
interests align for the most part. Moscow needs Armenia as a southern
fortress protecting
Russia's vulnerable underbelly from Western inroads, pan-Turkism and
Islam. Armenia needs Russia to protect it from all her neighbors. Our
enemies and their enemies are essentially the same. What we have between
Russia and Armenia is a true strategic alliance. From an Armenian
perspective, Armenia
today has a strategic partner that is a global superpower, and one that
is the alpha and the omega of Caucasian politics. Armenians need to
exploit
this historic opportunity for Armenia's long term benefit. If we want
Armenia to prosper one day, we need to stop our pursuit of Western
fantasies (democracy, liberalism, free speech, civil society, gay
rights, feminism, globalism,
etc) and begin to better understand the nuances of geopolitics and
Armenia's place in it.
And if we cant do any of the above and we continue our traditional self-destructive path in politics, I much rather see Armenia get incorporated into the Russian Federation. At the end of the day, it's better to live with Russians (similar to Ossetians or Abkhazians) than live like a bunch of endangered gypsies under Turco-Western rule. At the end of the day, Armenian independence from Russia means Armenian dependence on Turkey. No Russia in the south Caucasus means no Armenia in the south Caucasus. It's all that simple. We all need to wake up from our Qaj Nazar fantasies and EUrotic dreams and realize that there are no alternatives to this reality.
Due to the recent Ukraine crisis, Western news media has been rife with news stories about the plight of Crimean Tatars both past and present. For all intents and purposes, Tatars, Azeris and Turks are half-brothers and they make up the very foundation of pan-Turkism in Eurasia. Tension between Russians and Tatar-Turks would serve Armenian interests. In fact, such a thing would also serve Russian interests for Turkic-Muslims are like cancerous tumors within the Russian mainland. Kremlin officials would do well to conclude that as long as Russia hosts large numbers of these types of people, Russians will never truly be secure in their homelands. Therefore, I really hope the Western world takes it upon itself now to champion the Tatar question.
Hypothetically speaking, if the absolute worst case scenario happens - i.e. NATO gets involved and Russia is somehow defeated in Ukraine - there will most probably be a full-scale Azeri attack against Armenia and/or Artsakh. Even without the worst the case scenario, any scenario that sees Russia backing off for any reason and allowing Ukraine to fall fully into Western hands will have a very adverse geostrategic impact on Russia, Belarus and Armenia. Any weakening of Russia will see an immediate strengthening of Western, Turkic and Islamic interests throughout the region. If Russia fails in the Ukraine and Western powers succeed in pushing right onto Russia's south-western borders, Armenians can expect Turks, Azeris, Tatars, Caucasian Muslims and Wahhabi Islamists to eventually come knocking at Armenia's door. And when that day comes, all our Western activists in Armenia will be on the first flight out.
Turks, Wahhabi Islamists and Western powers have been in a tight embrace due to serious geostrategic factors. This situation will not change as long as Russians, Iranians and pan-Arab nationalism are political factors within the region. Therefore, one must be deaf, dumb and blind to assume that Western powers are genuinely concerned about Democracy and human rights in Armenia, or that they will help defend Armenia against Turks.
Need I remind the reader of the twenty year old economic blockade of a landlocked and poor Armenia by NATO member Turkey? Need I reminded the reader of the threats NATO member Turkey has made against Armenia during the past twenty years? Need I remind the reader that it was a NATO member state that shamelessly released an Azeri barbarian accused of using an axe to murder a sleeping Armenian soldier? Need I remind the reader that it is NATO that supported Islamic Bosnians and Albanians against Christian Serbs? Need I remind the reader that is was NATO that recently tried to invade Syria to help Islamic terrorists to come to power in Damascus? Need I remind the reader of the billions being invested into Azerbaijan by Western powers? Need I remind the reader of the arms and training Western powers and Israel are providing to Azerbaijan? Need I remind the reader that the Anglo-American-Zionist alliance is plotting Iran's destruction? Need I remind the reader that Washington has a large arsenal of nuclear bombs stationed in Turkey? Need I remind the reader that the only thing our annual ass kissing in Washington will do for us is give us all a brown nose?
A better look at Western-Turkish relations as compared to Russian-Armenian relations -
A Russian defeat in eastern Europe or in the Caucasus will prove catastrophic not only for Russia but also for Armenia. Any form of Russian victory on the other hand will bring the entire region that much closer to Pax Russicana. It has been the Pax Russicana of the past two hundred years that has allowed Armenians to flourish in the region previously inhabited by an assortment of Turkic and Islamic tribes.Looking at US-Turkish and Russian-Armenian relations: http://theriseofrussia.blogspot.com/2012/11/us-working-to-strengthen-relations-with.html
Now, in Ukraine, we are once again seeing just how Western and Turkish interests are closely aligned in the region. During the winter Olympic games in Sochi, the Western press took every opportunity to spread awareness of the so-called Circassian genocide, the same press mind you that does its utmost to ignore or call into question the historic validity of the Armenian Genocide. Now, the same press is raising the alarm out the plight of Turkic-Tatars. No surprise there. Our sheeple need to take their heads out of their asses and come to the recognition that their beloved "democratic" leaders in the West are strategically allied to Turkic peoples and Wahhabi Muslims and this geostrategic calculus will not change for the foreseeable future.
For the Russian Federation, Armenia is a crucially important geostrategic asset in the south Caucasus. For the West, Armenia, with all its problems with Turks and Azeris, is a nuisance. In other words, despite the best efforts of our idiots to bring "Democracy" into Armenia, Western powers will continue seeing Armenia as a geopolitical obstacle.
Being that the south Caucasus is one major event away from turning back into being a Turkic-Islamic cesspool, our nationalistic chobans need to put aside their Qaj Nazar mentalities and realize that Armenia is in no shape to even dream about fighting its enemies alone. In other words, no Russia in the south Caucasus means no Armenia in the south Caucasus. Therefore, no matter how one looks at it, Russia's fight in Ukraine is Armenia's fight.
If our Western-backed, self-destructive peasantry of the political opposition in Armenia somehow managed to topple the regime in Yerevan and country was forced to sever its ties to Moscow, I would be the first one beseeching the Russian President to send Russian troops into Armenia (with or without insignias) and I would be the fist one out, with a Russian flag in my hand, cheering their arrival. As I said: If our people continue to show incompetence and suicidal tendencies in politics, I would much rather Armenia enter the Russian Federation and be done with it.
For Armenia's sake Russia has to be successful. For Russia to be successful, Moscow has to take some form of permanent control over Crimea. Moscow has to make sure regions east of the Dnipere are culturally, financially and economically tied to it. The Western-backed regime in Kiev has to be brought to its knees through economic warfare. This is a very serious situation not only for Russia but also for Armenia. If Russia is not able to stop Western inroads into the south-western border regions of Russia, the Western campaign will soon spread to the south Caucasus. If that happens, Armenia will eventually be faced with a bloody uprising.
Is an Armenian “Maidan” possible?
Why does Washington engineer revolutions around the world? Because it can. Why can it? Because we the sheeple allow them. Washington has in recent years become the leader of self-destructive peasantry worldwide. While our silly and hopelessly naive compatriots, both in the Diaspora and Armenia, were gleefully busying themselves with utter nonsense such as begging Washingtonian reptiles to say the "G" word, democracy, fair elections, transparency, freedom of speech, gay rights, civil society, oligarchs and corruption, their financial and spiritual leaders in Washington were gradually turning the entire region where Armenia is located into a volatile powder keg. In other words, as Western officials were pursuing an imperial agenda in the south Caucasus, they were having Armenians chase their tails with Western fairytales.
Once more: Armenia's primary problem is the geopolitical climate in the south Caucasus. Armenia's primary problem is the Great Games being played in the region between Russia and the Western world. Armenia's other serious problem is its now counterproductive approach to international relations known as complimentary politics. With that said, Yerevan needs to stop giving Western agents such as Civilitas, Nakhakhorhrdaran, Raffi Hovannisian and Paruyr Hayrikian a political platform to spew their toxic venom. Yerevan has to stop providing Western trained officials such as the IMF trained Tigran Sargsyan positions within the government. Yerevan has to stop allowing subversive Western institutions such as USAID and the IMF any footprint inside Armenia. Yerevan also needs to curb the operations of some of its Western funded NGOs and news organizations.
As long as this unstable and potential volatile situation continues, that is as long as Yerevan continues to flirt with Western powers (often times for personal gain) and Pax Russicana is not realized in the south Caucasus, Armenia will continue suffering severe sociopolitical and socioeconomic malaise - even if Armenia's so called oligarchs turned into angles overnight.
In the meanwhile, Washington will use all its levers both in-and-out of the Armenian republic to rally the disgruntled peasantry and societal freaks against their state. Washington will exploit every single contentious issue within Armenia to foment unrest.
Although I can't say I am surprised, it's been disturbing nonetheless to watch Armenian flags and Armenian activists side-by-side with Turkish, Tatar and Azeri flags and activists in Kiev's Maidan. It's even more disturbing that even after seeing Ukraine descend into chaos and bloodshed as a result of Western provocations, certain sectors within Armenia's political opposition are somehow feeling emboldened. In my opinion, regardless of their lofty rhetoric and stated intentions, Armenia's Western-funded/Western-inspired opposition freaks are fast becoming dangerous fifth columns in the country.
Will there be a Ukraine type uprising in Armenia? The short answer is, no.
With that said, I hope clowns in the tacky circus called the "political opposition" in Armenia are closely watching events as they unravel in Ukraine. I hope they are closely watching the country plunge into economic collapse, chaos, bloodshed and division as a result of their political illiteracy, Russophobia and pursuit of Western fairytales.
One way or another, "EuroMaidan" activists will sooner-or-later go crawling back to Mother Russia. Nonetheless, and regardless of what happens in Kiev now, Crimea has been liberated. The Kremlin has indeed made Ukraine a very hard pill for the West to swallow, and it's not over yet. Are we ready to allow our West-leaning "political opposition" to create a similar situation in Armenia?
Although Ukraine and Armenia are not very much alike as nations, their sociopolitical situations, however, do have a lot of similarities. EuroMaidan activists, those who have brought their nation to the brink of calamity due to their political illiteracy and hate, are the equivalent of Armenia's political opposition. The Armenian and Ukrainian political oppositions are vivid examples of just how ignorant the masses are and why they can never be trusted in political matters. At the end of the day, the crisis in the Ukraine may yet prove to be a very good lesson for our opposition idiots. Main lessons being:
- The recognition of the paramount importance of Pax Russicana on the southern periphery of Eurasia, stretching from eastern Europe to central Asia
- The recognition of the paramount importance of Russian hegemony in the Caucasus and having Russian boots on the ground in Armenia
- The recognition of the paramount importance of Slavic-Orthodox Christian nationalism in Russia
- The recognition that Turks and Muslims have an instinctual fear of Russians
- The realization that Western aid, Western-leaning politicians and political activists, Western-funded NGOs, think tanks, rights advocates and news outlets pose a serious threat to Armenia
- The realization that Western powers do not really care about democracy, peace, stability, human rights or prosperity in non-Western nations
- The realization that even an attempted political shift away from Russia will at the very least result in Armenia losing Artsakh
- The realization that Western and Turkish interests throughout the region compliment each other due to their shared interest to weaken Russian power and influence
- The
realization that the Armenian opposition's political designs for
Armenia and Turkish/Azeri desires for Armenia share many similarities
- The realization that Armenia's political opposition activists, whether they realize it or not, are serving Western imperial interests
- The realization that Armenia does not need a political system that is as toxic and as unstable as democracy
- The realization that Armenia's so-called oligarchs are the least of the problems facing Armenia today
- The realization that the entire Caucasus region is utterly saturated by Turks, Azeris, Tatars, Caucasian Muslims, Western imperial designs and international energy interests
- The realization that Armenia needs sociopolitical evolution not a Western sponsored revolution
- The realization that foreign inspired revolutions don't lead to anything good and only results the replacement of one corrupt government with another
- The realization that those waiting on the sidelines in Yerevan to take advantage of any political unrest in Armenia are Armenia's enemies
- The recognition that without Russian energy supplies, trade, investments and military aid, Armenia will collapse as a nation-state
It
is said that revolutions are dreamed of by romantics, carried-out by
adventurists and exploited by scoundrels. We saw this more-or-less play
out in Kiev recently. Washington promised the sheeple of western Ukraine their "moment", but what they ended up getting is screwed - as so many who believed in Western promises have in the past.
After seeing all we have been seeing, will our political opposition freaks in and out of the homeland still be seeking closer relations with the West? Will they still be seeking EU membership? Will they still be seeking to shift Armenia away from Russia? Will they still be collaborating with Western powers? Will they still be seeking to topple President Serj Sargsyan at all costs? Will Washington-backed opportunist like Raffi Hovanissian still be demanding that Moscow pay rent for its use of the 102nd military base in Gyumri? Will Armenia's longest serving Western agent Paruyr Hayrikian still be demanding that Russia pull its troops out of Armenia? In other words, will Uncle Sam's street whores in Armenia still act as stupid and as suicidal as before? I'm afraid they will -
Ինքնիշխանության օտարերկրյա խոչընդոտը: http://www.preparliament.com/inqnishkhanutyan_otarerkrya_khochyndoty/
As repugnant as the political opposition is in Armenia, they are no way near as dangerous as the one in Ukraine. If, however, freaks in the political opposition do the unthinkable and take to the streets, they deserve absolutely no mercy anymore. I know there is a joint Armenian-Russian contingency plan to deal with such an attempt. There will not be a repeat of events in Kiev in Yerevan. I have many concerns about Armenia, but a Ukraine-type uprising is not one of them at this time. But I do have to confess however that a part of me does want to see such an attempt by the political opposition. With the gloves now off in Moscow, it would be a very good opportunity to finally rid Armenia of Washington's street whores.
We are living in historic times
As far as its Western antagonists are concerned, Russia is too large, too independent, too powerful and simply possesses too much natural wealth. For Western political masterminds, Russia is either a source of easily exploited wealth or a potential competitor on the global stage. Therefore, Russia has to be either subjugated and exploited (similar to what occurred throughout much of the 1990s) or contained, isolated or, if possible, fragmented.
This is essentially how the Western world has been viewing the Russian nation for the past two hundred years. The importation of Marxism into the Russian Empire a century ago was in fact a by-product of this kind of political culture that has been so prevalent throughout the Western world. Bolshevism was the sociopolitical and ideological tool that foreign interests as far away as in Wall Street, New York used to drive a wedge between the ruler and the ruled in Russia. The intent geostrategic was to destroy the Czarist empire.
It's not much different today.
History repeats itself. More things change the more they stay the same. While the names and titles have changed, the essence remains the same. Western powers have figured out once more that when it comes to dealing with an uncooperative government, it's much better to by-pass its officials and go straight to the gullible masses. The following will help the reader better understand how Western powers manipulate targeted societies across the world -
The Truthseeker: NGO documents plan Ukraine war: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SEcZFgSnVP0
Does the US engineering revolutions?: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lpXbA6yZY-8
Coups for export: US has history of supporting anti-govt upheavals: http://rt.com/news/us-sponsored-coups-ukraine-517/
Documents Leaked by WikiLeaks Show an Organization Training Opposition Around the World: http://revolution-news.com/documents-leaked-wikileaks-show-organization-trains-opposition-around-world/
How to Start a Revolution: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XO1t4Fif2c0
Revolution Engineering: US know-how and 'colourful' technology: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0xlOeZ8Dr8&feature=plcp
South of the Border: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6vBlV5TUI64
NGOs, an extension of US foreign policy: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-raqX4KKY1Q
Washington on the War Path: Civil Society as Battering-Ram: http://rt.com/politics/washington-war-russia-putin-023/
US NGO uncovered in Ukraine protest: http://www.boilingfrogspost.com/2014/01/07/us-ngo-uncovered-in-ukraine-protests/#sthash.mJPpqq63.dpuf
The name of the game is who can best manipulate the sheeple. Western power in this regard is unprecedented. They have the powerful tools - psychological, financial and organizational - to manipulate and exploit. They have mainstream news media to disseminated propaganda under the guise of independent journalism. They have a whole range of well funded NGOs championing all kinds of causes. They have the financial means to bribe officials and enslave nations through trade and/or loans. They have a great multitude of brainwashed activists to organize opposition groups and take to the streets. They have the provocateurs to incite unrest when needed. They have the professional agents who work covertly behind the scenes. More importantly, they have the cultural tools like Hollywood and MTV to mesmerize, stupefy and create an alternative reality for the global sheeple.
Similar to what Bolshevism was one hundred years ago, so-called "Democracy" movements we are seeing spring-up around the world today appeal to the basic/primitive instincts of mankind. Let it surprise no one therefore that advocates of such movements in developing or underdeveloped nations tend to be those on the fringes of normal society. Similar to what Bolshevism represented one hundred years ago, Western instigated Democracy movements today appeal to the disgruntled masses of the world with false promises of a better life. They say: "Look at how developed our lands are". But they fail to say that "Democracy" was not how the Western world got so wealthy. They say: "Look at how free our citizens are". But they don't tell us that the freedom in Western lands is mostly illusionary, a perception they have crafted through mass psy-ops. They also don't tell us that the Western political system is based on institutionalized corruption. They similarly do not tell us that the Western world is administered not by the people but by an elite. Similar to what Bolshevism was, Democracy movements today are weaponized and exported to targeted nation (i.e. nations that are not subjugated by Western financial institutions or under Western boots).
On the eve of the one hundredth anniversary of the First World War, Russian lands are once again being attacked by corrosive ideological movements formulated and promoted in Western lands. In the larger picture, this is not only Russia's fight - this is humanity's fight. This is indeed a fight between good against evil. In closing, I would like to say that I hope my next blog commentary will not have to be about a new European war. I pray for peace - but I hope Kremlin officials are getting their big guns ready just in case. We simply cannot afford a replay of 1917. I'm confident that this time around we won't.
Arevordi
March, 2014
***
Crimea, Sevastopol officially join Russia as Putin signs final decree
Russia has finalized the legal process of taking Crimea under its
sovereignty, as President Putin signed a law amending the Russian
constitution to reflect the transition. Earlier Russian lawmakers ratified both the amendment and an
international treaty with Crimea and the city of Sevastopol,
which was legally required for the incorporation. Following the signing of the law, Putin thanked lawmakers and
everyone involved in the historic change of European borders for
their efforts to make it happen.
“I ask lawmakers of both chambers to work actively and do everything we can, to make the transition process not only painless, but also beneficial for all Russia and the people of Crimea,” Putin said.
The treaty and the bill were submitted for the approval of
Russian lawmakers on Tuesday by Putin, following last week’s
referendum in Crimea, which showed the overwhelming support of
the peninsula’s residents for joining Russia. The actual transition of Crimea to existing under Russian laws
and regulations may take until next year. Local rules in the new
Russian region will be changed to adopt the ruble, social
benefits, tax requirements and other Russian legislation.
As was promised by the Crimean authorities, the treaty includes
preferences for the region’s ethnic minorities, particularly
Crimean Tatars and Ukrainians. Their languages would be official
in Crimea, on par with Russian. Russia pledged to make the process as smooth as possible by
offering funding and recognizing various Ukrainian documents,
which were in force in Crimea before it declared its independence
last week.
Moscow will retain military ranks and academic levels for
Ukrainian troops who choose to serve Russia, give preference to
Ukrainian officials who want to keep their positions in Crimea,
and expedite the issuance of Russian citizenship to all residents
of Crimea who want it. Citizenship would be given automatically
to all except those who explicitly opt out of it no later than
one month’s time. The current interim authorities of Crimea will be replaced with
new ones after elections, which will be held in September 2015.
Crimea’s rejoining Russia was triggered by an armed coup in Kiev,
which ousted Ukrainian President Viktor Yanokovich from power.
The new authorities took some alarming steps, including
parliament passing a law revoking the regional status of the
Russian language, which caused the predominantly Russian region
to defy Kiev.
The public uprising in Crimea culminated in a referendum, in
which an overwhelming majority of over 96 percent voted in favor
of asking for reunification with Russia. Moscow agreed, citing
the will of the people and the historic justice of the move as
its motives.
Kiev and Western countries deemed Crimea’s secession and Russia’s
acceptance of the peninsula illegal, a notion that Moscow denies.
The US and the EU issued sanctions against some Russian officials
and businessmen in a bid to put pressure on Russia over its
stance on the Ukrainian crisis. Russian authorities mostly
mocked the sanctions.
‘Crimea is now part of Russia, the West has to come to terms with that’
Claiming that Crimea is part of Ukraine is the same as Serbia arguing
that Kosovo is not really separated from it, Gregory Copley, editor of
Defense & Foreign Affairs, told RT.
“Crimea is now part of Russia, the West will come to terms with that, the question is how much longer they’ll perpetuate the crisis in the rest of Ukraine and whether they will escalate the problem, which I think will be unwise for the US and Western European interests,” Copley said.
Lawrence Wilkerson, Colin Powell's Chief of Staff, goes further,
saying that as long as Crimea belongs to Russia, Ukraine should
be made a buffer zone between the West and Russia.
“This is a serious situation that will be alleviated with recognition that Russia and Crimea are going to be together, a recognition that the Ukraine should be a buffer state between let it say NATO, the West, and Russia, and a recognition on the Russian side that that’s the case and Ukraine is left alone, and the same thing on the Western side,” Wilkerson argued.
He blames the US for the creation of the artificial crisis, which
resulted in downgrading relations between great world powers
whereas their cooperation in other spheres is so needed.
“Obviously it’s not working the way we were trying to make it work, which is largely the US’s fault that they try to extend NATO well beyond NATO's proprietary distance, and its ability to handle an alliance that was spread all the way to Kiev, to Tbilisi. This is absurd. We started this mess, we knew (we should have known if we had a brain) that Russia would react to it, now Russia has reacted, let’s come down, let’s handle it like the great powers we’re supposed to be,” Lawrence Wilkerson told RT.
Gregory Copley also highlights another aspect of this issue,
namely US financial programs aimed at boosting color revolutions.
He claims that the 2004 Orange revolution was one of the examples
of these programs.
“What the US and the EU have done over the past decade or more has been to fund the color revolution in Ukraine in 2004, etc., and the subsequent outbreaks recently, which have led to this present situation. And if they had the ability to act more overtly, they would have done so. They’ve instead chosen to act through street protests and indirect sociological warfare to mobilize the Western Ukrainians to seize power when they were not able to do so electorally,” he said.
Copley also added that there is “an indication that the US
and the EU have had no way to go and they say they don’t wish to
engage Russia militarily.”
“It’s not to say that they could prevail ultimately in a military confrontation with Russia, that’s not the point. The point is why do you want to do it over a prize which is perhaps not worth having if you are NATO or the EU or the US?” he told RT.
Putin's Long Game
Anyone with good knowledge of the post-Soviet neighborhood and time
to think things through should have guessed that Russia would have acted
to prevent the interim government of Ukraine from decisively anchoring
their country to the West. The separation of Crimea could be just the
Kremlin’s first move in what Vladimir Putin rightly sees as a long game.
Disastrous Lack of Foresight
It goes without saying that leaders both in Kiev and Western capitals
must have displayed an astounding lack of foresight if they thought
that Ukraine’s interim government could steer the country toward the
West and Vladimir Putin would do little in response, other than impose
sanctions and rattle his sabre.
It was also short-sighted on the part of the interim government in
Kiev to hope that of the Russian-speaking population of eastern and
southeastern Ukraine would happily accept an outcome, in which a
victorious coalition excludes their representatives, but includes
ultranationalists; fires their governors, and passes a bill to cancel
the status of their mother tongue.
The leaders of the interim government also failed to anticipate that
Moscow would respond to ramblings in the south and east in ways that
they would not be able to neutralize with or without support from
Ukraine’s Western partners.
Russian diplomats have been lately criticized for restoring the
Soviet habit of “whataboutism,” but I too cannot help wondering what
would have been the reaction of Western governments if protesters had
built barricades in downtown Brussels or Berlin or Washington and stayed
there for months, battling police, throwing Molotov cocktails and
shooting. Would Western leaders have recognized an outcome in which a
legitimately elected president of a West European country is ousted by [3]what some describe [3] as “rebels-protesters” rather than voted out or impeached? I guess these are all rhetorical questions.
I was also surprised how quickly some of the Western governments
embraced the interim government after the deal that they themselves
brokered between Viktor Yanukovych and opposition on February 21
collapsed, forcing the Ukrainian president (who, by the way, came to
power in 2010 elections that observers of the Organization for Security
and Cooperation in Europe found to be [4]transparent and honest [4]) to flee out of fear for his life.
I am not saying Yanukovych didn't discredit and incriminate himself
through massive corruption, abuses and, use of deadly force against the
protesters. And precisely because of these abuses he would have probably
lost internationally observed early elections stipulated by the
February 21 agreement and faced prosecution. As a result, the moderate
opposition could have come to power peacefully in a democratic process
that not only Western governments, but also Russia could live with. As I [5]warned [5]
hours after the deal was sealed, it should be honored because the
alternative could be ensuing chaos that would lead to disintegration of
Ukraine.
But as much as the Western support encouraged Yanukovych's opponents,
it is the latter that are ultimately responsible for prompting Russia’s
leadership to spring into action. Vladimir Putin had remained observant
as long as the most likely scenario was that there would be an early
election in which Viktor Yanukovych would compete against Yulia
Tymoshenko. But once that scenario became improbable—after Yanukovych
was forced out by a coalition, which excluded representatives of
pro-Russian regions, but included anti-Russian ultranationalists—Putin
felt compelled to act.
And the interim government’s very first steps gave him an excuse, if
not a plausible reason, to intervene. These steps did a lot to stoke
worries of the Russian-speaking population of the eastern and southern
provinces and nothing to alleviate Moscow's worries that Ukraine might
first integrate first into West's economic structures, and then
eventually enter into a political-military alliance with the West.
Military Intervention Can Not Be Justified and Will Not Be Without Cost for Russia
Of course, only a few expected that Russia would respond to
developments in Kiev with a covert military intervention in Crimea that
allowed the pro-Russian majority in Crimea to vote on secession from
Ukraine. I did [6]acknowledge [6]
such a possibility, but I didn't quite expect it to happen. I also
thought then and continue to think now that a military intervention
cannot be justified in absence of flagrant and massive violation of
human rights.
I have no doubts that Crimea’s ethnic Russian majority wants to be
part of Russia and so do many Russians, given the blood Russian soldiers
spilled conquering and defending the peninsula over the course of many
centuries. It is no accident that Putin’s popularity has soared in the
aftermath of the recent events. But any surge in popularity might prove
to be short-lived while longer-term economic and political costs of
taking over Crimea could be significant.
If the current stand-off escalates into a Cold War redux between
Russia and West, then the latter will still continue to buy Russian
resources as it did during the original Cold War. But Western
governments can also revive some of the Cold War era restrictions on
exports of equipment and technologies Russia needs to modernize and
diversify its economy.
Such measures could have a formidable negative impact on the Russian
economy, which is already stagnating, and it won’t be easy for Russia to
import such technologies from somewhere else. As I have written [7] earlier, if sanctioned economically and isolated politically from the West, Russia might have little choice other than to enter a political-economic partnership with China [8]. And that won't be a partnership of equals, I am afraid.
China has made impressive strides in many technological fields,
leading the world in manufacturing of solar cells and wind turbines.
But, overall, the Middle Kingdom continues to lag behind the West
technologically. Therefore, Beijing won't be able to compensate if West
restricts exports of technologies and equipment to Russia. Nor should
Russia count for China’s full support in the case of Crimea, given
Beijing’s own problems with separatism. Beijing’s ambivalent attitude
became clear last weekend when [9]China abstained during a vote at the United Nations Security Council [9] on a resolution introduced by its Western members to declare the referendum in Crimea unlawful.
Crimea’s separation and its integration into Russia must have also
impressed Moscow’s own post-Soviet partners and not in a good way,
albeit some of them, such as Kazakhstan and Armenia may simply have no
other integration options, given Moscow’s enormous leverage vis-à-vis
them. (In fact, Armenia’s Serzh Sargsyan may be now congratulating
himself privately for displaying foresight. We all now have a better
idea of how Russia could have responded if
Sargsyan had not decided last fall to suspend negotiating the
association and free trade deals with EU and to agree enter Armenia in
the Moscow-led Customs Union instead [10].)
As for post-Soviet republics that have decided to distance themselves
from Russia, NATO would now have less qualms about accepting Moldova
and Georgia. (Georgia’s membership in the alliance would partially
negate whatever advantages Russian strategists see in solidifying
control of the naval facilities in Crimea.) And, of course, violation of
Russia's own commitments in the 1994 Budapest memorandum on security
assurances for Ukraine undermines the supremacy of international law
that Russia had been championing for so many years. More importantly, it
sets yet another precedent of secession, which Russia may come to face
if it weakens, reducing the cost of secession for some of its ethnic
republics.
Russia Still Has Aces to Play, Even Against a Crimea-Less Ukraine
Nevertheless, Moscow was bound to respond to developments in Kiev one
way or another. And it should not have taken a rocket scientist to
calculate that Russia has huge overt and covert leverage of nonmilitary
nature vis-a-vis Ukraine, which it wouldn’t hesitate to use it if
antagonized.
Leonid Kuchma (who, by the way, was a rocket scientist) had his own
serious flaws, but at least he understood the need to balance between
Moscow, Brussels, and Washington without committing to any of them, and
he did so rather skillfully. Yanukovych at least tried to follow the
same policy. He did it less skilfully than his mentor Kuchma (if only
because he was blinded by his and his retinue’s greed), but at least he
tried. As for the leaders of the opposition that topped Yanukovych, they
didn't even try to pursue a balanced policy, antagonizing Moscow. So
they should not be that surprised that the Crimea has slipped out of
their hands.
And if these leaders think Russia would stop after separation of the
Crimea, then they might be wrong. Yes, Putin did pledge in his Tuesday
speech that Russia doesn’t plan to further split up Ukraine. But he also
vowed to defend Russian speakers in Ukraine’s east, if needed.
And Putin still has some aces, including pro-Russian moods in eastern
and southeastern Ukraine and Kiev’s dependence on trade with Russia,
that he can play against a Crimea-less Ukraine, if given a reason (or an
plausible excuse) to intervene. For instance, if repeated on a larger scale and with greater
violence, the recent clashes between locals and pro-Western activists in
the eastern provinces can prompt Russia to intervene there.
Russia can also curtail trade with Ukraine on a scale no hikes in
trade with EU would able to compensate for. Russia supplies more than 60
percent of Ukraine's gas and is the source of half of raw materials
that Ukraine imports. Russia is also by far the largest importer of
goods and services from Ukraine. Putin would be more likely to play these cards if he concludes that a
new Cold War is unavoidable and Russia won't lose much more from
pursuing an even more expansive policy vis-a-vis Ukraine.
Time for Kiev to Display Foresight
Leaders of the interim government in Kiev should finally start
exercising some badly needed foresight to anticipate what disruptive
moves Moscow can make next and how they can realistically preempt such
moves. Or they will risk losing de facto control over parts of eastern
Ukraine.
Such a loss would, of course, would be condemned by Western countries
and their allies. But by now Kiev probably knows that condemnations
don’t stop Russia and that neither the United States nor its allies
would enter a military conflict with Russian forces to restore Ukraine’s
territorial integrity (there was a reason why the Budapest memorandum
contains assurances rather than guarantees of Ukraine’s security).
Taking and holding a high moral ground in international affairs is
important, but not as important as holding one’s ground literally.
Now, of course, some argue that membership in NATO represents a
shortcut to Ukraine’s territorial integrity, but chances are that the
republic may lose some of parts of eastern and southeastern provinces
before Article 5 of the Washington Treaty could be applied to Kiev. And I
myself held the view that Ukraine’s membership in NATO was not
improbable. But that was in the early 2000s, when Vladimir Putin was
himself making inquiries whether Russia could be invited into NATO. That
opportunity has been lost.
Yet, there are a number of steps that Ukrainians can take to hold their home ground even outside NATO. [11]Codifying Ukraine’s military-political neutrality [11]
and status of the Russian language in the Constitution in short-term
and strengthening Ukraine’s statehood, increasing independence of its
economy and reinforcing capabilities of its military in the longer-term
could be among those steps.
It would be as important for the Ukrainian elites and public both in
the short and long term to stick to defeating their political opponents
at polling stations rather than on the streets. The revolution (this is
the third attempt to stage a revolution in post-Communist Ukraine) must
make way for a politically cohesive, economically viable, stable and
neutral (but military capable) state, one whose neighbors have neither
reason nor excuse to intervene against.
Simon Saradzhyan is assistant director of the U.S.-Russia
Initiative to Prevent Nuclear Terrorism and a research fellow at Harvard
Kennedy School’s Belfer Center. His research interests include
international arms control, counter-terrorism, foreign, defense, and
security policies of Russia and other post-Soviet states and their
relations with great powers.
Source: http://nationalinterest.org/print/commentary/putins-long-game-10092
From Now On, No Compromises Are Possible For Russia
Washington has defaulted on all of its key agreements made with USSR/Russia during the last 30 years. Gorbachev was promised that Eastern Europe would not be taken into NATO. Country by country, it became part of NATO, and Yugoslavia was dismantled despite Russia’s objections. The US acted as the winner of the Cold War and guided its policies by the famous principle of “Vae victis!” Woe to the vanquished!
The “hawks” in Washington think they can push Russia around indefinitely, that Russia, in order to become an “accepted partner” in the West, would still try to negotiate, be diplomatic and peaceful. Washington’s defaulting on an explicit agreement regarding Ukraine’s future and the prospect of NATO troops on the ground in Ukraine finally convinced Vladimir Putin and a big part of the Russian elite that there is no point in negotiating with the US. It means that from now on, no compromises are possible.
For America, the situation in Ukraine is a geopolitical game, another opportunity to hurt Russia’s interests. For Russia, it’s not a geopolitical game. It’s a matter of national identity, it’s an ethnic matter. Almost every Russian I know has relatives in Ukraine. Roughly a third of Russian senators and members of the government were born in Ukraine.
Dmitry Yarosh, the leader of the biggest neo-Nazi group in Ukraine, issued a statement in which he called on Russia’s most wanted Chechen terrorist, Doku Umarov, to commit acts of terrorism in Russia. “Many Ukrainians with arms in the hands” had supported Chechen militants in their fight against Russians, the statement said, but “it is time to support Ukraine now.”
What would have happened to a warlord somewhere who called on Al-Qaeda to commit acts of terrorism in the US? He would have been killed by a drone strike without international warrant or court decision. If the US does this, then other countries are entitled to act in a similar manner.
The fact that the neo-Nazi leaders and their soldiers haven’t been disarmed despite the EU-brokered agreement signed on February 21st proves that they and not the “official government” are actually in control of the situation. But the US doesn’t care about the fate of the Russians who don’t want to live in a neo-Nazi-led state. The US wants to dislodge Russia from the region, and nothing else matters.
There are rumors circulating in the expert community in Moscow – and I have strong reasons to believe they’re true – that the decision to tackle the Crimean issue was taken by Putin personally. He has full support from a number of top officials, especially from the army and the secret services, who have no assets and no business abroad that can be seized by the US. Also, in 2013, the Parliament passed a law barring Russian officials from owning assets, except real estate, outside Russia. So, the officials whose assets will be frozen by the US sanctions are criminals under Russian law anyway – and Putin might even welcome the move.
The hard-liners in the Kremlin have received a tremendous boost from the US. Now, everyone who advocates for a softer stance on Ukraine and everyone who advocates for an “agreement with the US” is looked upon as too stupid to understand that Washington won’t honor its end of the bargain or as paid by Washington to lead Russia into another agreement that will once again be broken. America has lost most if not all of its ranking sympathizers or allies in Russia because they are either actively shunned or because they have to be silent.
Putin’s ratings are at two-year highs. Even his fiercest critics understand that his involvement in Ukraine has tremendous popular support. He will no longer have to cater to the needs of the pro-Western community. He is now supported not only by his usual conservative electorate, but also by the communists and nationalists who like his decisive actions and his disregard for America’s objections.
From the economic point of view, everyone should get ready for tough actions from Moscow. Sergei Glazyev, the most hardline of Putin’s advisors, sketched the retaliation strategy: Drop the dollar, sell US Treasuries, encourage Russian companies to default on their dollar-denominated debts, and create an alternative currency system (reference currency) with the BRICS and hydrocarbon producers like Venezuela and Iran.
Of course, some “anonymous sources” told RIA Novosti and Reuters that Glazyev was speaking “as an academic” and not in his official capacity, but it must be pointed out that those sources didn’t dare identify themselves. On the other hand, Glaziev’s projects more often than not become the cornerstone of Putin’s external policy, including the Customs Union and the Eurasian Union.
The Western media ignore another key supporter of hardline economic measures, Putin’s ally and trusted friend, Rosneft president Igor Sechin. At last October’s World Energy Congress in Daegu, South Korea, Sechin suggested that it was “advisable to create an international stock-exchange for the participating countries, where transactions could be registered with the use of regional currencies.”
Until February 21st, Moscow was content with the slow expansion of its economic sphere of influence. Now, the hard-liners have the possibility to go all in and pursue their radical projects and strategies. Here, in Moscow, almost everyone is certain that we’ll see a rerun of the “Georgian war” and that Crimea will be attacked by Ukrainian army at some point before March 16th. If you’re a trader, sitting on the fence for a week or putting on some hedges may be a very good idea.
By Valentin Mândrăşescu, Editor of The Voice of Russia’s Reality Check. Former commodity trader, economist, journalist. Nomadic lifestyle. When not in Moscow, he can be found travelling across Eastern Europe.
Source:http://www.testosteronepit.com/home/2014/3/10/from-now-on-no-compromises-are-possible-for-russia.html
West, Did You Really Expect Russia to Ignore Ukraine Chaos?
Lots of stern-faced Western politicians and so-called
experts have been asking: what is Russian President Vladimir Putin's endgame in Ukraine? The
presence of Russian troops in Crimea has sent alarm bells ringing in
Western capitals, with some people predicting that it is basically a
prelude to a full-blown invasion of predominantly Russian speaking
eastern parts of the country,
with Russian tanks rolling in.
Calls were also made for the "world community," whatever that means these days, to punish Russia economically and diplomatically, although no one is talking about any military response.
Calls were also made for the "world community," whatever that means these days, to punish Russia economically and diplomatically, although no one is talking about any military response.
Very
hard to see though how Western countries can exert serious economic
pressure on Russia, considering the state of their economies and
possible huge losses they will incur. Symbolically, yes, they can, say,
cancel some business conferences and maybe even refuse to sign a deal or
two. But that would be all.
We have already found out the British government is not considering any
military options or trade sanctions after a
cunning cameramen picked up an official carrying a policy document near
10 Downing Street, zooming in on the relevant paragraph.
Although, as a former Kremlin adviser, I can tell you that such things don't happen by accident and usually have all to do with sending out a signal to those who are watching carefully. Other countries have also signaled their lack of any desire to resort to sanctions.
U.S.
President Barack Obama and Secretary of State John Kerry have been
warning Russia about costs and punishments, if it does not withdraw its
troops back to the Black Sea naval base in Sevastopol. The White House
has been saying that economic sanctions against Russia are in the making
and that all military programs between the two countries are on hold.
Other suggested punishments being looked at include boycotting the G8
summits in Sochi in June and even banning Russia altogether from this
gathering, which, incidentally, has been losing its relevance in the
past decade or so. I mean, who is going to treat seriously the supposed
group of the biggest industrial nations if it doesn't include China and
India but has Canada and Italy in it, no offence to these two great
nations.
The
thing about the crisis in Ukraine is that the West has greatly
misjudged the way Russia would respond to the possibility of its
neighbor sliding into chaos and anarchy, with the so-called interim
unity government in Kiev failing to establish its authority in the east
and south of the country. Not to mention that the children of the Orange
revolution of 2004, which, by the way, eventually ended in tears for
most of them, have swallowed more than they can chew when they toppled
President Viktor Yanukovich, and then made a crucial mistake of making
all the wrong noises from day one, demonstrating open hostility to
Russia and to the ethnic Russians living in Ukraine.
And when the dust began to settle in Kiev and news emerged that out of the 98 people who died, at least 16 were police officers, the image of a glorious people's revolution somehow lost its initial appeal. And with the failed attempts by some extremists to spread the influence of the interim government to the east and south, using intimidation and violence, it became clear that a prospect of a civil war looked very real indeed.
So here's the deal then: as Ukraine was slipping into anarchy and chaos, with all sorts of radicals causing mayhem, President Putin's endgame became obvious. He needed to do anything in his power to prevent Ukraine from becoming another Iraq, with a possibility of a civil war breaking out and violence spreading to Russia at some point.
We should learn the lessons of Iraq where the delicate balance, which had existed there before the U.S.-led invasion of 2003, was undermined and no one now knows how to resolve it. The same outcome happened as a result of the so-called revolution in Kiev that has now opened up old wounds and awoken historical animosities that had been kept in check.
So Putin has chosen to use the 25,000 Russian troops based at Sevastopol, reinforcing them with another 16,000 soldiers, to prevent clashes between radicals on all sides erupting and provide stability in Crimea where about 60% of the population are ethnic Russians. Without a shot being fired, so unlike the rest of the country, law and order have been established. All the Ukrainian military installations in Crimes were surrounded by Russian troops with one purpose: to prevent undesirables arming themselves, like it happened in Lviv and some other cities, with disastrous circumstances. Up to now the plan has worked.
But any suggestions that the Kremlin is actually ready to start a full-blown invasion of Ukraine are way, way off the mark. This would be very dangerous for Russia itself, considering it close links with Ukraine on all levels. So the hysteria surrounding the Russian involvement in Crimea at the moment is either caused by ignorance or is a result of the deep suspicions that the West still has about Russia, Cold War or no Cold War.
A sudden regime change that has happened in Ukraine could never result in a swift and peaceful resolution. We saw that during the Arab Spring and, less recently, in the fall of Communism in Eastern Europe. That is why all sides in the Ukrainian crisis need to keep a cool head and refrain from one-sided propaganda and provocative, inflammatory statements. If one thing that we have learned for history it's that it doesn't take a lot for a big war to erupt in Europe, dragging the rest of the world in it.
Obama gambled that U.S. power would trump Russia's interests in Ukraine. He was wrong
The
Obama administration was clearly taken by surprise when Russia decided
to seize Crimea by force. The real question,
however, is why Obama and his advisors thought the United States and
the European Union could help engineer the ouster of a democratically
elected and pro-Russian leader in Ukraine and expect Vladimir Putin to
go along with it? This remarkable combination of hubris and naiveté is
even more striking when one considers that Washington has few, if any, options to counter Putin's move.
To
be sure, ousted
president Viktor Yanukovych was corrupt and incompetent and the United
States and the European Union didn't create the protests that rose up
against him. But instead of encouraging the protestors to stand down and
wait for unhappy Ukrainians to vote Yanukovych out of office, the
European Union and the United States decided to speed up the timetable
and tacitly support the anti-Yanukovych forces. When the U.S. assistant
secretary of state for European and Eurasian Affairs is on the streets
of Kiev handing out pastries
to anti-government protestors, it's a sign that Washington is not
exactly neutral. Unfortunately, enthusiastic supporters of "Western"
values never stopped to ask themselves what they would do if Russia
objected.
There's plenty of room for finger-pointing and blame casting here, but the taproot of the debacle in Ukraine was a failure to
distinguish between power and interests.
Power is a useful thing to have in
international politics, but any serious student of foreign
policy knows that the stronger side does not always
win. If it did, the United States would have won
in Vietnam, would have persuaded India,
Pakistan, and North Korea not to test nuclear weapons,
and would have Afghan President Hamid
Karzai dancing to our tune.
In the real world,
however, weaker states often care more about the outcome than stronger
states do and are therefore willing to run more risks and incur larger
costs to get what they want.
Unfortunately,
U.S. leaders have repeatedly lost
sight of this fact since the end of the Cold War.
Because the United States is so powerful and so
secure, it can meddle in lots of places without
putting its own security at risk. United States
officials tend to think they have the answer to every
problem, and they reflexively assume that helping
other societies become more like us is
always the "right thing to
do." Because we've
become accustomed to our self-appointed role as Leader of the Free
World, Washington is quick to proclaim redlines and issue high-minded
demands, convinced that others will do its bidding -- if it barks loudly
enough.
Unfortunately,
America's remarkably favorable geopolitical position also means that
the outcome of many global disputes don't matter all that much to
Washington, and still less to the American people. The result is a
paradox: primacy allows the United States to interfere in lots of global
disputes, but many of the issues it gets involved in are of secondary
importance and not worth much risk, blood, or treasure. Why? Because the
United States will be fine no matter how things turn out. It has the
power to act almost anywhere, but its vital interests are rarely fully
engaged.
That is certainly the case in Ukraine, a country whose entire economy is about the size of Kentucky's. Last year, total U.S. trade with
Ukraine was a measly $3 billion, less than the city budget of
Philadelphia and about .00018 percent of America's gross
domestic product (GDP). Ukraine's political
system has been a mess ever since independence in 1991
and its economy is nearly bankrupt and
needs massive outside
assistance. It would be
nice if Ukraine developed effective political institutions, but neither
the security nor prosperity of the United States depend on that
happening, either now or in the foreseeable future. Put simply: Ukraine
is not an arena on which America's future depends in the slightest.
For
Russia, however, the situation vis-à-vis
Ukraine is quite different. Russia is much, much
weaker than the United States -- in every
significant dimension of national power -- and its
long-term demographic and economic prospects are not
bright. That is why any prudent Russian
leader would want friendly
regimes on its borders
and would be sensitive about any area where ethnic Russians are a
significant fraction of the population. Ukraine is right next door,
there are deep historical ties between the two countries, and ethnic Russians account for about 20 percent of Ukraine's population and nearly 60 percent
of the population in Crimea. Add to that mix Russia's naval base in
Sevastopol and you can see why Putin sees the retention of Russian
influence there as a vital interest indeed.
Moreover,
Russia has spent the last 20-plus years watching the United States and
its European allies expand NATO eastward and deploy ballistic missile
defenses there, to boot, with near-total disregard for Russian interests
and complaints. Because Americans never see themselves as potential
aggressors and haven't had a great power in their own hemisphere for
over a century, they have trouble imagining how these acts looked from
Moscow's vantage point. But any good realist could have told you that
Russia would regard these developments as a long-term security
challenge. Imagine how Washington would react if a powerful China were
one day to cultivate close security ties with Canada or Mexico, and
you'll appreciate Putin's perspective a bit more.
Not
only is Ukraine much more important to Moscow, its geographic proximity
made it easy for Putin to act as he did and makes it hard for us to do
anything about it. News flash: Ukraine
and Russia share a long border, and Crimea is
thousands of miles from the United States. Russia may
not be a global military power (its defense
spending is about one-sixth the size of the U.S.
defense budget), but it is strong enough to occupy
Crimea. The United States and NATO aren't going to
assemble an expeditionary force to push them out,
so don't expect to see a replay of the 1991
liberation of Kuwait. The bottom line:
Putin was never going to
see Obama's warnings as
more than just a hollow bluff.
Mind
you: I'm not defending Putin's action or relishing Obama's
discomfiture. No one
should take pleasure from this unilateral violation
of international law or the likelihood that
Ukraine faces more years of political instability and
economic hardship. Nor should we neglect the
possible fallout from this blunder in other areas --
such as the ongoing negotiations with Iran -- as
the GOP is certain to seize upon this incident to
cast doubt on the administration's entire
approach to foreign policy. I just wish
someone in the administration
had thought this through
before they decided to help ease Yanukovych out of power. Did we really
think that power politics was no longer relevant in the 21st century,
and that the spread of democracy, free markets, rule of law, and all
that other good stuff meant that other states were no longer willing to
defend their own security interests?
Sadly,
this case provides another vivid reminder of
why tough-minded realism is a better guide to
foreign policy than feckless liberal idealism or
neoconservative bluster. Since 1992, the U.S.
approach to Russia and Eastern Europe has been
guided by the assumption
that Western-style
democracy was the wave of the future and that the United States could
extend its reach eastward and offer security guarantees to almost anyone
who wanted them, but without ever facing a serious backlash. Even after
the 2008 war between Russia and Georgia revealed the limits to what
Moscow would tolerate and what the West could impose, some U.S. leaders
continued to think they could draw more former Soviet bloc states into
America's orbit without provoking stiff Russian resistance.
By
contrast, realism tells you
major powers care a lot about security
and are often ruthless in
defending vital
interests, especially close to home. It recognizes that great powers
ignore international law when it gets in their way (as the United States
has done repeatedly), and it sees relations between major powers as a
ceaseless struggle for position, even when that struggle is waged for
essentially defensive reasons. Realists also know that diplomatic
contests have no finish line and that every foreign policy initiative
inevitably invites a counter-move. It's for this reason that those
responsible for foreign policy need to think two or three moves ahead:
"If we take this step, what are other states likely to do and what will
our options look like then?"
Nobody
in Washington or Brussels seems to have asked that question as they
watched (and helped) Ukraine unravel, and that's why their options today
are limited to angry denunciations and symbolic protests. It's possible
that Putin has bitten off more than Russia can comfortably swallow, and
the economic
costs may prove to be too much for the fragile
Russian economy to bear. But great powers are usually
willing to suffer when their security is on the
line, and that's likely to be the case here. If
you thought the era of power politics was behind us, think again.
The Clash in Crimea is the Fruit of Western Expansion
The external struggle to dominate Ukraine has put fascists in power and brought the country to the brink of conflict
Diplomatic pronouncements are renowned for hypocrisy and double standards. But western denunciations of Russian intervention in Crimea have reached new depths of self parody. The so far bloodless incursion is an "incredible act of aggression", US secretary of state John Kerry declared. In the 21st century you just don't invade countries on a "completely trumped-up pretext", he insisted, as US allies agreed that it had been an unacceptable breach of international law, for which there will be "costs".
That the states which launched the greatest act of unprovoked aggression in modern history on a trumped-up pretext – against Iraq, in an illegal war now estimated to have killed 500,000, along with the invasion of Afghanistan, bloody regime change in Libya, and the killing of thousands in drone attacks on Pakistan, Yemen and Somalia, all without UN authorisation – should make such claims is beyond absurdity.
It's not just that western aggression and lawless killing is on another scale entirely from anything Russia appears to have contemplated, let alone carried out – removing any credible basis for the US and its allies to rail against Russian transgressions. But the western powers have also played a central role in creating the Ukraine crisis in the first place.
The US and European powers openly sponsored the protests to oust the corrupt but elected Viktor Yanukovych government, which were triggered by controversy over an all-or-nothing EU agreement which would have excluded economic association with Russia.
In her notorious "fuck the EU" phone call leaked last month, the US official Victoria Nuland can be heard laying down the shape of a post-Yanukovych government – much of which was then turned into reality when he was overthrown after the escalation of violence a couple of weeks later.
The president had by then lost political authority, but his overnight impeachment was certainly constitutionally dubious. In his place a government of oligarchs, neoliberal Orange Revolution retreads and neofascists has been installed, one of whose first acts was to try and remove the official status of Russian, spoken by a majority in parts of the south and east, as moves were made to ban the Communist party, which won 13% of the vote at the last election.
It has been claimed that the role of fascists in the demonstrations has been exaggerated by Russian propaganda to justify Vladimir Putin's manoeuvres in Crimea. The reality is alarming enough to need no exaggeration. Activists report that the far right made up around a third of the protesters, but they were decisive in armed confrontations with the police.
Fascist gangs now patrol the streets. But they are also in Kiev's corridors of power. The far right Svoboda party, whose leader has denounced the "criminal activities" of "organised Jewry" and which was condemned by the European parliament for its "racist and antisemitic views", has five ministerial posts in the new government, including deputy prime minister and prosecutor general. The leader of the even more extreme Right Sector, at the heart of the street violence, is now Ukraine's deputy national security chief.
Neo-Nazis in office is a first in post-war Europe. But this is the unelected government now backed by the US and EU. And in a contemptuous rebuff to the ordinary Ukrainians who protested against corruption and hoped for real change, the new administration has appointed two billionaire oligarchs – one who runs his business from Switzerland – to be the new governors of the eastern cities of Donetsk and Dnepropetrovsk. Meanwhile, the IMF is preparing an eye-watering austerity plan for the tanking Ukrainian economy which can only swell poverty and unemployment.
From a longer-term perspective, the crisis in Ukraine is a product of the disastrous Versailles-style break-up of the Soviet Union in the early 1990s. As in Yugoslavia, people who were content to be a national minority in an internal administrative unit of a multinational state – Russians in Soviet Ukraine, South Ossetians in Soviet Georgia – felt very differently when those units became states for which they felt little loyalty.
In the case of Crimea, which was only transferred to Ukraine by Nikita Khrushchev in the 1950s, that is clearly true for the Russian majority. And contrary to undertakings given at the time, the US and its allies have since relentlessly expanded Nato up to Russia's borders, incorporating nine former Warsaw Pact states and three former Soviet republics into what is effectively an anti-Russian military alliance in Europe. The European association agreement which provoked the Ukrainian crisis also included clauses to integrate Ukraine into the EU defence structure.
That western military expansion was first brought to a halt in 2008 when the US client state of Georgia attacked Russian forces in the contested territory of South Ossetia and was driven out. The short but bloody conflict signalled the end of George Bush's unipolar world in which the US empire would enforce its will without challenge on every continent.
Given that background, it is hardly surprising that Russia has acted to stop the more strategically sensitive and neuralgic Ukraine falling decisively into the western camp, especially given that Russia's only major warm-water naval base is in Crimea.
Clearly, Putin's justifications for intervention – "humanitarian" protection for Russians and an appeal by the deposed president – are legally and politically flaky, even if nothing like on the scale of "weapons of mass destruction". Nor does Putin's conservative nationalism or oligarchic regime have much wider international appeal.
But Russia's role as a limited counterweight to unilateral western power certainly does. And in a world where the US, Britain, France and their allies have turned international lawlessness with a moral veneer into a permanent routine, others are bound to try the same game.
Fortunately, the only shots fired by Russian forces at this point have been into the air. But the dangers of escalating foreign intervention are obvious. What is needed instead is a negotiated settlement for Ukraine, including a broad-based government in Kiev shorn of fascists; a federal constitution that guarantees regional autonomy; economic support that doesn't pauperise the majority; and a chance for people in Crimea to choose their own future. Anything else risks spreading the conflict.
Source: http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/mar/05/clash-crimea-western-expansion-ukraine-fascists
Why Russia No Longer Fears the West
The West
is blinking in disbelief – Vladimir Putin just invaded
Ukraine. German diplomats, French Eurocrats and American pundits are all
stunned. Why has Russia chosen to gamble its trillion-dollar ties with
the West?
Western leaders are stunned because they haven’t realized Russia’s owners no longer respect Europeans the way they once did after the Cold War. Russia thinks the West is no longer a crusading alliance. Russia thinks the West is now all about the money.
Putin’s henchmen know this personally. Russia’s rulers have been buying up Europe for years. They have mansions and luxury flats from London’s West End to France’s Cote d’Azure. Their children are safe at British boarding and Swiss finishing schools. And their money is squirrelled away in Austrian banks and British tax havens.
Putin’s inner circle no longer fear the European establishment. They once imagined them all in MI6. Now they know better. They have seen firsthand how obsequious Western aristocrats and corporate tycoons suddenly turn when their billions come into play. They now view them as hypocrites—the same European elites who help them hide their fortunes.
Once Russia’s powerful listened when European embassies issued statements denouncing the baroque corruption of Russian state companies. But no more. Because they know full well it is European bankers, businessmen and lawyers who do the dirty work for them placing the proceeds of corruption in hideouts from the Dutch Antilles to the British Virgin Islands.
We are not talking big money. But very big money. None other than Putin’s Central Bank has estimated that two thirds of the $56 billion exiting Russia in 2012 might be traceable to illegal activities. Crimes like kickbacks, drug money or tax fraud. This is the money that posh English bankers are rolling out the red carpet for in London.
Behind European corruption, Russia sees American weakness. The Kremlin does not believe European countries – with the exception of Germany – are truly independent of the United States. They see them as client states that Washington could force now, as it once did in the Cold War, not to do such business with the Kremlin.
When Russia sees Spain, Italy, Greece and Portugal outbidding each other to be Russia’s best business partner inside the EU (in return for no mention of human rights), they see America’s control over Europe slowly dissolving.
Back in Moscow, Russia hears American weakness out of Embassy Moscow. Once upon a time the Kremlin feared a foreign adventure might trigger Cold War economic sanctions where it hurts: export bans on key parts for its oil industry, even being cut out of its access to the Western banking sector. No more.
Russia sees an America distracted: Putin’s Ukrainian gambit was a shock to the U.S. foreign policy establishment. They prefer talking about China, or participating in Israeli-Palestinian peace talks. Russia sees an America vulnerable: in Afghanistan, in Syria and on Iran—a United States that desperately needs Russian support to continue shipping its supplies, host any peace conference or enforce its sanctions.
Moscow is not nervous. Russia’s elites have exposed themselves in a gigantic manner – everything they hold dear is now locked up in European properties and bank accounts. Theoretically, this makes them vulnerable. The EU could, with a sudden rush of money-laundering investigations and visa bans, cut them off from their wealth. But, time and time again, they have watched European governments balk at passing anything remotely similar to the U.S. Magnitsky Act, which bars a handful of criminal-officials from entering the United States.
All this has made Putin confident, very confident – confident that European elites are more concerned about making money than standing up to him. The evidence is there. After Russia’s strike force reached the outskirts of Tbilisi, the Georgian capital, in 2008, there were statements and bluster, but not a squeak about Russia’s billions. After Russia’s opposition were thrown into show trials, there were concerned letters from the European Union, but again silence about Russia’s billions.
The Kremlin thinks it knows Europe’s dirty secret now. The Kremlin thinks it has the European establishment down to a tee. The grim men who run Putin’s Russia see them like latter-day Soviet politicians. Back in the 1980s, the USSR talked about international Marxism but no longer believed it. Brussels today, Russia believes, talks about human rights but no longer believes in it. Europe is really run by an elite with the morality of the hedge fund: Make money at all costs and move it offshore.
The Kremlin sees its evidence in the former leaders of Britain, France and Germany. Tony Blair now advises the dictatorship in Kazakhstan on how to improve its image in the West. Nicholas Sarkozy was contemplating setting up a hedge fund with money from absolutist Qatar. And Gerhard Schroder is the chairman of the Nord Stream consortium – a majority Gazprom-owned pipeline that connects Russia directly to Germany through the Baltic Sea.
Russia is confident there will be no Western economic counterattack. They believe the Europeans will not sanction the Russian oligarch money. They believe Americans will not punish the Russian oligarchs by blocking their access to banks. Russia is certain a military counterattack is out of the question. They expect America to only posture. Cancel the G-8? Who cares?
Because Putin has no fear of the West, he can concentrate on what matters back in Russia: holding onto power. When Putin announced he would return to the presidency in late 2011, the main growling question was: why?
The regime had no story to sell. What did Putin want to achieve by never stepping down? Enriching himself? The puppet president he shunted aside, Dmitry Medvedev, had at least sold a story of modernization. What, other than hunger for power, had made Putin return to the presidency? The Kremlin spin-doctors had nothing to spin.
Moscow was rocked by mass protests in December 2011. More than 100,000 gathered within sight of the Kremlin demanding Russia be ruled in a different way. The protesters were scared off the streets, but the problem the regime had in justifying itself remained. Putin had sold himself to the Russian people as the man who would stabilize the state and deliver rising incomes after the chaos of the 1990s. But with Russians no longer fearing chaos, but rather stagnation as the economy slowed – it was unclear what this “stability” was for.
This is where the grand propaganda campaign called the Eurasian Union has come into its own. This is the name of the vague new entity that Putin wants to create out of former Soviet states — the first steps toward which Putin has taken by building a Customs Union with Belarus and Kazakhstan, and he had hoped with a Ukraine run by Viktor Yanuvokych. This is not just about empire; it is about using empire to cover up the grotesque scale of Russian corruption and justify the regime.
Russia would rather have swallowed Ukraine whole, but the show must go on. Russian TV needs glories for Putin every night on the evening news. Russian politics is about spin, not substance. The real substance of Russian politics is the extraction of billions of dollars from the nation and shuttling them into tropical Western tax havens, which is why Russian politics needs perpetual PR and perpetual Putinist drama to keep all this hidden from the Russian people. Outraged Putin has built up a Kremlin fleet of luxury aircraft worth $1 billion? Angry that a third of the $51 billion budget of the Sochi games vanished into kickbacks? Forget about it. Russia is on the march again.
This is why Crimea is perfect Putin. Crimea is no South Ossetia. This is not some remote, mountainous Georgian village inhabited by some dubious ethnicity that Russians have never heard of. Crimea is the heart of Russian romanticism. The peninsula is the only part of the classical world that Russia ever conquered. And this is why the Tsarist aristocracy fell in love with it. Crimea symbolized Russia’s 18th and 19th-century fantasy to conquer Constantinople and liberate Greek Orthodox Christians from Muslim rule. Crimea became the imperial playground: In poetry and palaces, it was extolled as the jewel in the Russian crown.
Crimea is the only lost land that Russians really mourn. The reason is tourism. The Soviet Union built on the Tsarist myth and turned the peninsula into a giant holiday camp full of workers sanitariums and pioneer camps. Unlike, the Russian cities of say northern Kazakhstan, Crimea is a place Russians have actually been. Even today over one million Russians holiday in Crimea every year. It is not just a peninsula; this is Russia’s Club Med and imperial romanticism rolled into one.
Vladimir Putin knows this. He knows that millions of Russians will cheer him as a hero if he returns them Crimea. He knows that European bureaucrats will issue shrill statements and then get back to business helping Russian elites buy London town houses and French chateaux. He knows full well that the United States can no longer force Europe to trade in a different way. He knows full well that the United States can do nothing beyond theatrical military maneuvers at most. This is why Vladimir Putin just invaded Crimea. He thinks he has nothing to lose.
Ben Judah is author of Fragile Empire: How Russia Fell In And Out Of Love With Vladimir Putin.
Western leaders are stunned because they haven’t realized Russia’s owners no longer respect Europeans the way they once did after the Cold War. Russia thinks the West is no longer a crusading alliance. Russia thinks the West is now all about the money.
Putin’s henchmen know this personally. Russia’s rulers have been buying up Europe for years. They have mansions and luxury flats from London’s West End to France’s Cote d’Azure. Their children are safe at British boarding and Swiss finishing schools. And their money is squirrelled away in Austrian banks and British tax havens.
Putin’s inner circle no longer fear the European establishment. They once imagined them all in MI6. Now they know better. They have seen firsthand how obsequious Western aristocrats and corporate tycoons suddenly turn when their billions come into play. They now view them as hypocrites—the same European elites who help them hide their fortunes.
Once Russia’s powerful listened when European embassies issued statements denouncing the baroque corruption of Russian state companies. But no more. Because they know full well it is European bankers, businessmen and lawyers who do the dirty work for them placing the proceeds of corruption in hideouts from the Dutch Antilles to the British Virgin Islands.
We are not talking big money. But very big money. None other than Putin’s Central Bank has estimated that two thirds of the $56 billion exiting Russia in 2012 might be traceable to illegal activities. Crimes like kickbacks, drug money or tax fraud. This is the money that posh English bankers are rolling out the red carpet for in London.
Behind European corruption, Russia sees American weakness. The Kremlin does not believe European countries – with the exception of Germany – are truly independent of the United States. They see them as client states that Washington could force now, as it once did in the Cold War, not to do such business with the Kremlin.
When Russia sees Spain, Italy, Greece and Portugal outbidding each other to be Russia’s best business partner inside the EU (in return for no mention of human rights), they see America’s control over Europe slowly dissolving.
Back in Moscow, Russia hears American weakness out of Embassy Moscow. Once upon a time the Kremlin feared a foreign adventure might trigger Cold War economic sanctions where it hurts: export bans on key parts for its oil industry, even being cut out of its access to the Western banking sector. No more.
Russia sees an America distracted: Putin’s Ukrainian gambit was a shock to the U.S. foreign policy establishment. They prefer talking about China, or participating in Israeli-Palestinian peace talks. Russia sees an America vulnerable: in Afghanistan, in Syria and on Iran—a United States that desperately needs Russian support to continue shipping its supplies, host any peace conference or enforce its sanctions.
Moscow is not nervous. Russia’s elites have exposed themselves in a gigantic manner – everything they hold dear is now locked up in European properties and bank accounts. Theoretically, this makes them vulnerable. The EU could, with a sudden rush of money-laundering investigations and visa bans, cut them off from their wealth. But, time and time again, they have watched European governments balk at passing anything remotely similar to the U.S. Magnitsky Act, which bars a handful of criminal-officials from entering the United States.
All this has made Putin confident, very confident – confident that European elites are more concerned about making money than standing up to him. The evidence is there. After Russia’s strike force reached the outskirts of Tbilisi, the Georgian capital, in 2008, there were statements and bluster, but not a squeak about Russia’s billions. After Russia’s opposition were thrown into show trials, there were concerned letters from the European Union, but again silence about Russia’s billions.
The Kremlin thinks it knows Europe’s dirty secret now. The Kremlin thinks it has the European establishment down to a tee. The grim men who run Putin’s Russia see them like latter-day Soviet politicians. Back in the 1980s, the USSR talked about international Marxism but no longer believed it. Brussels today, Russia believes, talks about human rights but no longer believes in it. Europe is really run by an elite with the morality of the hedge fund: Make money at all costs and move it offshore.
The Kremlin sees its evidence in the former leaders of Britain, France and Germany. Tony Blair now advises the dictatorship in Kazakhstan on how to improve its image in the West. Nicholas Sarkozy was contemplating setting up a hedge fund with money from absolutist Qatar. And Gerhard Schroder is the chairman of the Nord Stream consortium – a majority Gazprom-owned pipeline that connects Russia directly to Germany through the Baltic Sea.
Russia is confident there will be no Western economic counterattack. They believe the Europeans will not sanction the Russian oligarch money. They believe Americans will not punish the Russian oligarchs by blocking their access to banks. Russia is certain a military counterattack is out of the question. They expect America to only posture. Cancel the G-8? Who cares?
Because Putin has no fear of the West, he can concentrate on what matters back in Russia: holding onto power. When Putin announced he would return to the presidency in late 2011, the main growling question was: why?
The regime had no story to sell. What did Putin want to achieve by never stepping down? Enriching himself? The puppet president he shunted aside, Dmitry Medvedev, had at least sold a story of modernization. What, other than hunger for power, had made Putin return to the presidency? The Kremlin spin-doctors had nothing to spin.
Moscow was rocked by mass protests in December 2011. More than 100,000 gathered within sight of the Kremlin demanding Russia be ruled in a different way. The protesters were scared off the streets, but the problem the regime had in justifying itself remained. Putin had sold himself to the Russian people as the man who would stabilize the state and deliver rising incomes after the chaos of the 1990s. But with Russians no longer fearing chaos, but rather stagnation as the economy slowed – it was unclear what this “stability” was for.
This is where the grand propaganda campaign called the Eurasian Union has come into its own. This is the name of the vague new entity that Putin wants to create out of former Soviet states — the first steps toward which Putin has taken by building a Customs Union with Belarus and Kazakhstan, and he had hoped with a Ukraine run by Viktor Yanuvokych. This is not just about empire; it is about using empire to cover up the grotesque scale of Russian corruption and justify the regime.
Russia would rather have swallowed Ukraine whole, but the show must go on. Russian TV needs glories for Putin every night on the evening news. Russian politics is about spin, not substance. The real substance of Russian politics is the extraction of billions of dollars from the nation and shuttling them into tropical Western tax havens, which is why Russian politics needs perpetual PR and perpetual Putinist drama to keep all this hidden from the Russian people. Outraged Putin has built up a Kremlin fleet of luxury aircraft worth $1 billion? Angry that a third of the $51 billion budget of the Sochi games vanished into kickbacks? Forget about it. Russia is on the march again.
This is why Crimea is perfect Putin. Crimea is no South Ossetia. This is not some remote, mountainous Georgian village inhabited by some dubious ethnicity that Russians have never heard of. Crimea is the heart of Russian romanticism. The peninsula is the only part of the classical world that Russia ever conquered. And this is why the Tsarist aristocracy fell in love with it. Crimea symbolized Russia’s 18th and 19th-century fantasy to conquer Constantinople and liberate Greek Orthodox Christians from Muslim rule. Crimea became the imperial playground: In poetry and palaces, it was extolled as the jewel in the Russian crown.
Crimea is the only lost land that Russians really mourn. The reason is tourism. The Soviet Union built on the Tsarist myth and turned the peninsula into a giant holiday camp full of workers sanitariums and pioneer camps. Unlike, the Russian cities of say northern Kazakhstan, Crimea is a place Russians have actually been. Even today over one million Russians holiday in Crimea every year. It is not just a peninsula; this is Russia’s Club Med and imperial romanticism rolled into one.
Vladimir Putin knows this. He knows that millions of Russians will cheer him as a hero if he returns them Crimea. He knows that European bureaucrats will issue shrill statements and then get back to business helping Russian elites buy London town houses and French chateaux. He knows full well that the United States can no longer force Europe to trade in a different way. He knows full well that the United States can do nothing beyond theatrical military maneuvers at most. This is why Vladimir Putin just invaded Crimea. He thinks he has nothing to lose.
Ben Judah is author of Fragile Empire: How Russia Fell In And Out Of Love With Vladimir Putin.
Foes of America in Russia Crave Rupture in Ties
As
Russia and the United States drift toward a rupture over Crimea, the
Stalinist writer Aleksandr A. Prokhanov feels that his moment has
finally arrived.
“I
am afraid that I am interested in a cold war with the West,” said Mr.
Prokhanov, 76, in a lull between interviews on state-controlled
television and radio. “I was very patient. I waited for 20 years. I did
everything I could so that this war would begin. I worked day and
night.”
Mr.
Prokhanov is an attack dog whose career has risen, fallen and risen
again with the fortunes of hard-liners in the Kremlin. And it is a
measure of the conservative pivot that has taken place in Moscow in
Vladimir V. Putin’s third presidential term that Mr. Prokhanov and a
cadre of like-minded thinkers — a kind of “who’s who of conspiratorial
anti-Americanism,” as one scholar put it — have found themselves thrust
into the mainstream.
For
centuries, Russian history has been driven by a struggle between ideas,
as reformers and revanchists wrestled over the country’s future. Mr.
Putin keeps a distance from the ideological entrepreneurs clustered
around the Kremlin, leaving his influences a matter of speculation.
But
it became clear last week, as the United States threatened to cut off
Russian corporations from the Western financial system, that influential
members of the president’s inner circle view isolation from the West as
a good thing for Russia, the strain of thought advanced by Mr.
Prokhanov and his fellow travelers. Some in Mr. Putin’s camp see the
confrontation as an opportunity to make the diplomatic turn toward China
that they have long advocated, said Sergei A. Karaganov, a dean of the
faculty of international relations at the Higher School of Economics in
Moscow.
“This
whole episode is going to change the rules of the game,” Mr. Karaganov
said of Crimea, which is holding a referendum on secession on Sunday.
“Confrontation with the West is welcomed by all too many here, to
cleanse the elite, to organize the nation.”
When
he took power in Russia, Mr. Putin seemed intent on balancing the
voices of strong-state nationalists and promarket liberals, among them
the tycoons entrusted with Russia’s corporate empires. That balance flew
out the window in 2012, and with the Crimean crisis the space for
liberal dissent has been melting away, a process that accelerated
Thursday when the Russian authorities blocked websites used by prominent
opposition figures.
Mr.
Prokhanov, for one, was flush with victory. His dingy office and tiny,
extremist newspaper belie ties to Russia’s security services, which have
long employed “agitators” to whip up support for their initiatives. His
writing about the invasion of Afghanistan earned him the nickname
“nightingale of the General Staff.” In 1991, he co-wrote the manifesto
that was published to support an attempted coup by hard-line Communists
who were opposed to Mikhail Gorbachev’s reforms.
His
views have been more or less consistent for years: that the Soviet
Union should be restored, by force if necessary; that America “consumes
country after country” and must be prevented from devouring Russia. As
recently as 2003, his newspaper received a government warning for
publishing material deemed “extremist.” But Mr. Putin’s recent return to
the presidency, he said, has been accompanied by “a strong ideological
mutation.”
Mr.
Prokhanov, who speaks in rich, metaphorical Russian and has the
slightly disheveled look of a beat poet, contrasted the present
government with that of Boris Yeltsin, the president in the 1990s. “In
Yeltsin’s time I was seen as a monster by the regime, a character out of
hell,” he said. “I was under threat of arrest, and now I am regularly
invited to Kremlin events.”
Though
he said he had met the president only a handful of times, “The
intelligence officers around him pay much more attention to ideology,
and for them it is clear that ideological war is an important
instrument.”
If
Mr. Putin himself decided to make an ideological change, Mr. Prokhanov
said, it was in December 2011, when tens of thousands of urban liberals,
angry over ballot-stuffing and falsification in parliamentary
elections, massed on a city square, Bolotnaya, chanting, “Putin is a
thief!” and “Russia Without Putin.”
“During
the time of Bolotnaya, he experienced fear,” Mr. Prokhanov said. “He
felt that the whole class which he had created had betrayed him, cheated
him, and he had a desire to replace one class with another. From the
moment you got back from that march, we started a change of the Russian
elite.”
Another
person who has been swept into the mainstream is one of Mr. Prokhanov’s
former protégés, Aleksandr G. Dugin, who, in the late 1990s, called for
“the blinding dawn of a new Russian Revolution, fascism — borderless as
our lands, and red as our blood.”
Virulently
anti-American, Mr. Dugin has urged a “conservative revolution” that
combines left-wing economics and right-wing cultural traditionalism. In a
1997 book, he introduced the idea of building a Eurasian empire
“constructed on the fundamental principle of the common enemy,” which he
identified as Atlanticism, liberal values, and geopolitical control by
the United States.
Building
a Eurasian economic bloc, including Ukraine, became a central goal for
Mr. Putin upon his return to the presidency. His point man on the
project was the economist Sergei Glazyev, an associate of Mr.
Prokhanov’s and Mr. Dugin’s.
In
an interview, Mr. Dugin was evasive when asked about his personal
contact with Mr. Putin, saying only that he had been “in close contact
with the Kremlin, and with those in the Kremlin who make decisions,” for
the last 15 years. But he said the president, whom he described as a
Henry Kissinger-style “pragmatist,” had embraced a version of his
ideology because it served his interests domestically.
“It
is popular, it is populist, it helps to explain all the processes which
are going on in the country, and gradually — just by the logic of
things, pragmatically, he becomes closer and closer to this ideology,
just by the logic of events,” he said. He also offered a more human
reason: that Mr. Putin had been stung by Western leaders’ apparent
preference for his predecessor, Dmitri A. Medvedev, and then by the
antigovernment protests that he believed were backed by the West.
Though
a number of high-ranking officials around Mr. Putin have argued
strenuously against this ideological shift, Mr. Dugin said that their
influence had been waning steadily, and that the Crimean crisis left
them no option but to “be quiet, or gather up their suitcases and leave
Russia.”
“Anti-Americanism
has become the main ideology, the main worldview among Russians,” he
said. “Now, after Crimea, we have passed the point of no return. There
will not be another Medvedev. There will never be another ‘reset,’
ever.”
Ideological
mouthpieces have been used to send signals since the Soviet days — as a
warning to adversaries or domestic dissenters — and it would be foolish
to assume that Mr. Putin subscribes to their views. But there are
important stakeholders who, faced with the threat of sanctions last
week, have advocated that Russia cut itself off from the West.
The most
obvious among them is Vladimir I. Yakunin, president of Russian Railways
and one of Mr. Putin’s trusted friends, who in a recent interview with
The Financial Times described the struggle against a “global financial
oligarchy” and the “global domination that is being carried out by the
U.S.” On Tuesday, Mr. Yakunin presented plans for a Soviet-style
megaproject to develop transportation and infrastructure in Siberia, a
move toward “an economics of a spiritual type,” he said, that would
insulate Russia from the West’s alien values.
He
compared the project to monumental endeavors from the past: the
adoption of Christianity in ancient Rus; the conquest of Siberia;
electrification of the Soviet Union; the Soviet space program; and the
Olympics in Sochi. A
shift in planning to Siberia, Mr. Karaganov said, “has already been
proclaimed, and is happening,” in part to weaken the Western influence
on Russia’s elites, who are seen as “too dependent on their holdings in
the West.”
Dimitri
K. Simes, president of the Center for the National Interest, said he
saw the rise of people “who have very different views about the Russian
economy.”
“Hard-line
people, more nationalist people, they are being energized, they think
this may be their moment,” he said. “You can also say that this is the
tip of the iceberg. These are people who are more visible, more obvious,
but there is a lot behind them that is potentially more serious and
more ominous.”
Russia takes over Ukraine's Crimea region
A few hours after Putin was cleared by parliament to use military force on Ukrainian soil, Interfax news agency reported that two Russian anti-submarine warships have appeared off the coast of the Crimea region, violating an agreement on Moscow's lease of a naval base. The report quoted a Ukrainian military source who said that two vessels, part of Russia's Baltic Fleet, had been sighted in a bay at Sevastopol, where Russia's Black Sea Fleet has a base.
Putin's move follows U.S. President Barack Obama's warning Friday "there will be costs" if Russia intervenes militarily, sharply raising the stakes in the conflict over Ukraine's future and evoking memories of Cold War brinkmanship. The explicit reference to the use of troops escalated days of conflict between the two countries, which started when Ukraine's pro-Russian president was pushed out by a protest movement of people who wanted closer ties to the European Union.
"I'm submitting a request for using the armed forces of the Russian Federation on the territory of Ukraine pending the normalization of the socio-political situation in that country," Putin said in his request sent to parliament.
Putin's call came as pro-Russian demonstrations broke out in Ukraine's Russian-speaking east, where protesters raised Russian flags and clashed with supporters of the new Ukrainian government. Russia's upper house also recommended that Moscow recall its ambassador from Washington over Obama's comments. Ukraine had already accused Russia on Friday of a "military invasion and occupation" of the Crimea peninsula, where Russia's Black Sea fleet is based.
Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseny Yatsenyuk called on Moscow "to recall their forces, and to return them to their stations," according to the Interfax news agency. "Russian partners, stop provoking civil and military resistance in Ukraine."
The crisis was sparked when Ukraine's deposed president, Victor Yanukovych, ditched a deal for closer ties to the EU and instead turned toward Moscow. Months of protests followed, culminating in security forces killing dozens of protesters and Yanukovych fleeing to Russia. Ignoring Obama's warning, Putin said the "extraordinary situation in Ukraine" was putting at risk the lives of Russian citizens and military personnel stationed at a naval base that Moscow has maintained in the Black Sea peninsula since the Soviet collapse.
Reflecting a degree of caution, Deputy Foreign Minister Grigory Karasin, who presented Putin's request to the upper house, told reporters that the motion doesn't mean that the president would immediately send additional troops to Ukraine. "There is no talk about it yet," he said. Putin's spokesman, Dmitry Peskov, said in remarks on Rossiya 24 television that while the president "got the entire arsenal of means necessary for settling this situation," he hadn't yet decided whether to use the Russian military in Ukraine or recall the ambassador from Washington.
"He will make these decisions depending on how the situation will develop," Peskov said. "We would like to hope that the situation will not develop along the scenario it's developing now — that is inciting tensions and making a threat for the Russians on the Crimean Peninsula."
The UN Security Council called an urgent meeting on Ukraine on Saturday, and the European Union foreign ministers will hold an emergency meeting Monday to discuss the crisis. Putin's motion loosely refers to the "territory of Ukraine" rather than specifically to Crimea, raising the possibility that Moscow could use military force in other Russian-speaking areas in eastern and southern Ukraine, where many oppose the new authorities in Kiev. Pro-Russian protests were reported in the eastern cities of Kharkiv, Donetsk and Luhansk and the southern port of Odessa.
In Kharkiv, 97 people were injured in clashes between pro-Russia demonstrators and supporters of the new Ukrainian government, according to the Interfax news agency. Ukraine's population is divided in loyalties between Russia and Europe, with much of western Ukraine advocating closer ties with the European Union while eastern and southern regions look to Russia for support. Crimea, a semi-autonomous region of Ukraine, is mainly Russian-speaking.
In Saturday's parliamentary session in Moscow, a deputy house speaker said Obama had insulted Russia and crossed a "red line," and the upper house recommended the Russian ambassador in Washington be recalled. It will be up to Putin to decide whether that happens. In Crimea, the pro-Russian prime minister who took office after gunmen seized the regional Parliament claimed control of the military and police there and asked Putin for help in keeping peace, sharpening the discord between the two neighboring Slavic countries.
Ukraine's acting president, Oleksandr Turchynov, said the election of Sergei Aksyonov as prime minister of Crimea was invalid. Ukrainian officials and some Western diplomats said that a Russian military intervention is already well underway after heavily armed gunmen in unmarked military uniforms seized control of local government buildings, airports and other strategic facilities in Crimea in recent days.
Crimea only became part of Ukraine in 1954 when Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev transferred jurisdiction from Russia, a move that was a mere formality when both Ukraine and Russia were part of the Soviet Union. The Soviet breakup in 1991 meant Crimea landed in an independent Ukraine.
Russia put pressure on Ukraine from another direction when a spokesman for state gas company Gazprom said that Ukraine owed $1.59 billion in overdue bills for imported gas. Sergei Kuprianov was quoted by the RIA-Novosti agency as saying the gas arrears would endanger a recent discount granted by Russia. The discount lowered the price to $268.50 per thousand from other $400. The Russian payment demand and loss of the discount would accelerate Ukraine's financial crisis. The country is almost broke and seeking emergency credit from the International Monetary Fund.
Russia has taken a confrontational stance toward its southern neighbor after Yanukovych fled the country. Yanukovych was voted out of office by parliament after weeks of protests ended in violence that left more than 80 people dead. Aksyonov, the Crimea leader, appealed to Putin "for assistance in guaranteeing peace and calmness on the territory of the autonomous republic of Crimea."
Aksyonov was voted in by the Crimean parliament on Thursday after pro-Russia gunmen seized the building and as tensions soared over Crimea's resistance to the new authorities in Kiev, who took office this week. Obama called on Russia to respect the independence and territory of Ukraine and not try to take advantage of its neighbor, which is undergoing political upheaval. He said such action by Russia would represent a "profound interference" in matters he said must be decided by the Ukrainian people.
"The United States will stand with the international community in affirming that there will be costs for any military intervention in Ukraine," he said. Obama did not say what those costs might be. Swedish Foreign Minister Carl Bildt wrote on Twitter that it was "obvious that there is Russian military intervention in Ukraine. Likely immediate aim is to set up puppet pro-Russian semi-state in Crimea."
At the United Nations, the Ukrainian ambassador, Yuriy Sergeyev, said Friday that Russian transport aircraft and 11 attack helicopters had arrived in Crimea illegally, and that Russian troops had taken control of two airports in Crimea. He described the gunmen posted outside the two airports as Russian armed forces as well as "unspecified" units.
Russia has kept silent on claims of military intervention and has said any troop movements are within agreed rules, even as it maintained its hard-line stance on protecting ethnic Russians in Crimea. Meanwhile, flights remained halted from Simferopol's airport. Dozens of armed men in military uniforms without markings patrolled the area. They didn't stop or search people leaving or entering the airport, and refused to talk to journalists.
Many Ukrainians Want Russia to Invade
To many in Ukraine, a
full-scale Russian military invasion would feel like a liberation. On
Saturday, across the country’s eastern and southern provinces, hundreds
of thousands of people gathered to welcome the Kremlin’s talk of
protecting pro-Russian Ukrainians against the revolution that brought a
new government to power last week. So far, that protection has come in
the form of Russian military control of the southern region of Crimea,
but on Saturday, Russian President Vladimir Putin
got parliamentary approval for a broad military intervention in
Ukraine. As that news spread, locals in at least four major cities in
the east of Ukraine climbed onto the roofs of government buildings and
replaced the Ukrainian flag with the Russian tricolor.
For the most part, what drove so many people to renounce their
allegiance to Ukraine was a mix of pride and fear, the latter fueled in
part by misinformation from Moscow. The most apparent deception came on Saturday morning, when the Russian Foreign Ministry put out a statement
accusing the new government in Kiev of staging a “treacherous
provocation” on the Crimean Peninsula. It claimed that “unidentified
armed men” had been sent from Kiev to seize the headquarters of the
Interior Ministry police in Crimea. But thanks to the “decisive actions
of self-defense battalions,” the statement said, the attack had been
averted with just a few casualties. This statement turned out to be
without any basis in fact.
Igor Avrutsky, who was the acting Interior Minister of Crimea during
the alleged assault, told TIME the following afternoon that it never
happened. “Everything was calm,” he says. Throughout the night,
pro-Russian militiamen armed with sticks and shields had been defending
the Crimean Interior Ministry against the revolutionaries, and one of
the militia leaders, Oleg Krivoruchenko, also says there was no assault
on the building. “People were coming and going as normal,” he says.
But the claims coming from Moscow were still enough to spread panic
in eastern and southern Ukraine. On Saturday, pro-Russian activists in
the Crimean capital of Simferopol staged a massive demonstration in the
city, calling on residents to rally against the “Nazi authorities” who
had come to power in Kiev. “What’s happening in Ukraine is terrifying,”
says one of the organizers of the march, Evgenia Dobrynya. “We’re in a
situation now where the country is ruled by terrorists and radicals.”
That is the picture of Ukraine’s new government propagated in the Russian media,
the main source of information for millions of people in eastern and
southern Ukraine. For months, Russian officials and television networks
have painted the revolutionaries as a fascist cabal intent on stripping
ethnic Russians of their rights. Much of the coverage has amounted to
blatant scaremongering. The key posts in the new government, including
the interim President and Prime Minister, have gone to pro-Western
liberals and moderates, and they have pledged to guarantee the rights of
all ethnic minorities. But some of their actions have given Russia
plenty of excuses to accuse them of doing the opposite.
Within two days of taking power, the revolutionary leaders passed a
bill revoking the rights of Ukraine’s regions to make Russian an
official language alongside Ukrainian. That outraged the
Russian-speaking half of the country, and the ban was quickly lifted.
But the damage was done. With that one ill-considered piece of
legislation, the new leaders had convinced millions of ethnic Russians
that a wave of repression awaited them. So it was no surprise on Friday
when a livid mob in Crimea attacked a liberal lawmaker who came to
reason with them. Struggling to make his case over the screaming throng,
Petro Poroshenko was chased back to his car amid cries of “Fascist!”
Making matters worse has been the role of nationalist parties in the
new government, including a small but influential group of right-wing
radicals known as Pravy Sektor (Right Sector), which embodies some of
the greatest fears of Ukraine’s ethnic Russian minority. Its leader, Dmitro Yarosh,
has openly referred to Russia as the “centuries-old enemy of Ukraine”
and has spent years training a small paramilitary force to fight what he
calls “Russian imperialist ambitions.”
In the past week, Ukraine’s new leaders have been scrambling to
figure out what to do with Yarosh. His role in the revolution was too
significant for them to write him off. Having suffered dozens of
casualties in fighting off police during deadly clashes in Kiev last
month, his militia members are idolized as heroes by many supporters of
the revolution across the country. “It’s a real problem,” says the
pro-Western lawmaker Hrihory Nemiriya, whose fellow members of the
Fatherland party now hold the interim presidency and premiership. “Right
Sector people are very popular, but they are not in the government.”
Yarosh has, however, been offered top positions in Ukraine’s security structures. Zoryan Shkiryak, a revolutionary lawmaker involved in the negotiations over Yarosh’s role in the government, says the right-wing militant was in the running to become Deputy Prime Minister overseeing the security services. “That was on the table,” Shkiryak tells TIME. After much debate, Yarosh was offered the role of deputy head of the National Security Council, but rejected it as beneath him. In his only interview with the Western press, Yarosh told TIME last month that he planned to turn Right Sector into a political party and run for office. “He could run for President,” adds Nemiriya.
Even that possibility has been enough to horrify the Russians in the
east and the south, and Moscow has played on those fears to claim that
Nazis are coming to power. On Saturday, when Putin asked his upper house
of parliament to allow
an invasion of Ukraine, the lawmakers had no trouble coming up with a
justification. “What’s happening in Ukraine is a true mutiny, a plague
of brownshirts,” said one of the Senators, Nikolai Ryzhkov.
In the Crimean capital of Simferopol, that logic took hold. Thousands
of people marched through the streets of the city on Saturday carrying
enormous Russian flags and chanting “Fascism will not pass!” Dobrynya,
the organizer, said her greatest concern was the role of Right Sector in
the new government. “We’re supposed to accept these radicals deciding
who is going to rule Ukraine? That can’t happen. So thank God we have
these wonderful guardians now,” she said, gesturing toward the battalion
of Russian marines who were guarding the Crimean parliament building.
In four other cities of eastern Ukraine, major demonstrations called for
Russia to send similar contingents to protect them from the “fascists.”
Now, with the approval of his obedient legislature, Putin seems ready
to oblige, surely comforted by the fact that cheering crowds would come
out to greet the Russian tanks if they do roll over the border into
eastern Ukraine.
Russia is Prepared to Annex Crimea
Russia signalled for the first time on Friday that it was prepared to
annex Ukraine's Crimea region, significantly intensifying its
confrontation with the West over the political crisis in Ukraine and
threatening to undermine a system of respect for national boundaries
that has helped keep the peace in Europe and elsewhere for decades.
Leaders of both houses of Russia's Parliament said they would support a vote by Crimeans to break away from Ukraine and become a region of the Russian Federation, ignoring sanction threats and warnings, from the United States and other countries, that a vote for secession would violate Ukraine's Constitution and international law. The Russian message was yet another in a series of political and military actions undertaken over the past week that outraged the West, even while the Kremlin's final intentions remained unclear.
As fresh tensions flared between Russian and Ukrainian forces in Crimea, the moves by Russia raised the specter of a protracted conflict over the status of the region, which Russian forces occupied last weekend, calling into question not only Russia's relations with the West but also post-Cold War agreements on the sovereignty of the nations that emerged from the collapse of the Soviet Union.
The developments underscored how quickly the crisis has evolved. Earlier this week, President Vladimir Putin of Russia had said he did not foresee the possibility of the Crimean Peninsula becoming part of Russia, but on Friday Russia's parliamentary leaders, both strong allies of Putin's, welcomed a delegation from Crimea's regional assembly and declared that they would support a vote to break away from Ukraine, now scheduled for March 16.
The referendum - barely a week away - has been denounced by the fledgling national government in Kiev, which said it would invalidate the outcome and dissolve the Crimean Parliament. President Barack Obama has also rejected the referendum, and the U.S. government announced sanctions Thursday in response to Russia's de facto military occupation.
Russia denounced those sanctions in a blunt rejoinder Friday evening, posted on the Foreign Ministry website. The statement said Russia's foreign minister, Sergei V. Lavrov, had spoken by telephone with U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry and warned that "hasty and ill-considered steps" to impose sanctions on Russian officials "would inevitably backfire on the United States itself."
Russia's Interfax news agency reported that Lavrov and Kerry would soon meet again. A senior State Department official traveling with Kerry, who was flying back to Washington after a trip to Europe and the Middle East, confirmed Kerry had spoken with Lavrov, but said it was unclear when they would meet again.
The Russians also sent menacing economic signals to the financially strapped interim central government in Kiev, which Russia has refused to recognize. Gazprom, the Russian natural gas monopoly, which supplies Ukraine with most of its gas, warned that it might shut off supplies unless Ukraine paid $1.89 billion owed to the company.
"We cannot deliver gas for free," Russian news agencies quoted Gazprom's chief executive, Alexei Miller, as saying.
Gazprom cut off gas to Ukraine for nearly two weeks in January 2009, causing severe economic problems for Ukraine and for other European customers who were dependent on supplies delivered through Ukraine.
Valentina I. Matviyenko, chairwoman of the upper house of the Russian Parliament, the Federation Council, compared the planned referendum in Crimea to Scotland's scheduled vote on whether to become independent from Britain. She did not mention that the national government in Britain had agreed to hold a referendum, while the Ukrainian government has not.
The speaker of the Russian lower house, Sergei Y. Naryshkin, echoed Matviyenko's remarks. "We will respect the historic choice of the people of Crimea," he said.
Their assertions came a day after Crimea's regional assembly voted in a closed session to secede from Ukraine and apply to join the Russian Federation, and to hold a referendum for voters in the region to ratify the decision. On Friday, a delegation of lawmakers from Crimea arrived in Moscow to lay the groundwork for joining Russia, strongly supported by senior lawmakers.
In another telling sign of Russian government support, the Crimean delegates were cheered at an officially sanctioned rally in central Moscow that was shown at length on Russian state television, with songs and chants of "Russia, Moscow, Crimea." News agencies quoted the police as saying 60,000 had people attended.
Even if the referendum proceeds, it was unclear what would happen next, given the wide gap between the positions of Russia and the West - most notably between Putin and Obama, who spoke for an hour by phone Thursday night.
According to the White House, Obama urged Putin to authorize direct talks with Ukraine's new government, permit the entry of international monitors and return his forces to the bases that Russia leases in Crimea.
In a statement, the Kremlin offered a starkly different account of the phone call, emphasizing Russia's view that the new government in Kiev had no authority because it was the result of what Putin called an "anti-constitutional coup" last month that had ousted Viktor Yanukovych, the pro-Kremlin president.
The official Russian account of the phone call went on to say that the current Ukrainian leadership had imposed "absolutely illegitimate decisions" on the eastern and southeastern regions of the country, where pro-Russia sentiment is widespread. "Russia cannot ignore appeals connected to this, calls for help, and acts appropriately, in accordance with international law," the statement said.
In the United States, Obama was taking a wait-and-see attitude. He spoke by phone to Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany, which has been reluctant to pursue muscular sanctions against Russia because of the deep and interwoven economic relationship between the two countries. He traveled to Florida for an education speech and then a weekend off with his family, but aides promised that he would be monitoring the crisis.
"We're hopeful that in the next few days, we'll get greater clarity about whether or not the Russians are willing to take some concrete steps toward this off-ramp here," said Josh Earnest, a White House spokesman.
In Kiev, anti-Russian sentiment was hardening. The Right Sector movement, a nationalist group that was important in the deadly protests last month that drove Yanukovych from power, announced that its leader, Dmytro Yarosh, would run for president. Andriy Tarasenko, chairman of its local branch, also said the group was prepared to fight, in Crimea and elsewhere, "if the Kremlin tramples on us further."
With Washington and Moscow trading heated accusations of hypocrisy on the issue of respecting state sovereignty, validating Crimea's secession would carry pointed political risks for Putin, given longstanding demands for independence from Russia by its own similarly autonomous republics in the Caucasus, including Dagestan and Chechnya.
Michael A. McFaul, a former U.S. ambassador to Russia, noted the parallel in a sharp post on Twitter. "If Russian government endorses Crimean referendum," McFaul wrote, using abbreviations needed for a 140-character limit, "will they also allow/endorse similar votes in republics in the Russian Federation?"
The West, which has insisted that the Ukrainian people are entitled to decide their future without interference from Russia, faces similar challenges as it seeks to explain why the people of Crimea should not necessarily decide their own fate.
The United States and its European allies typically support self-determination, but have opposed independence for regions within their own borders, like Scotland in Britain or Catalonia in Spain.
There was no sign Friday that Russian armed forces were relaxing their tight clench on the Crimean Peninsula, with military bases surrounded and border crossings under strict control. There were news reports late Friday that pro-Russian militants had smashed through the gates of a Ukrainian air force base in the port of Sevastopol housing 100 Ukrainian troops, but that no shots had been fired. There were also reports that a number of Ukrainian journalists had been beaten by masked attackers and were missing.
For the second consecutive day, an observer mission from the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, the 57-member organization that includes Ukraine and Russia, was prevented from entering Crimea at a checkpoint blocked by armed men.
Astrid Thors, an OSCE envoy who had gone to Crimea earlier in the week, said in a telephone interview from Amsterdam that she had faced noisy, threatening crowds chanting pro-Russian slogans during her visit and had been forced to leave. Thors, the OSCE's high commissioner for national minorities, said she could have experienced the sort of predicament faced by a senior U.N. diplomat, Robert H. Serry, who was chased out of Crimea by gunmen this week.
"There was a risk the same could happen, that our movement could be hindered by the crowds," Thors said. "We took precautionary principles. We shortened our stay."
Leaders of both houses of Russia's Parliament said they would support a vote by Crimeans to break away from Ukraine and become a region of the Russian Federation, ignoring sanction threats and warnings, from the United States and other countries, that a vote for secession would violate Ukraine's Constitution and international law. The Russian message was yet another in a series of political and military actions undertaken over the past week that outraged the West, even while the Kremlin's final intentions remained unclear.
As fresh tensions flared between Russian and Ukrainian forces in Crimea, the moves by Russia raised the specter of a protracted conflict over the status of the region, which Russian forces occupied last weekend, calling into question not only Russia's relations with the West but also post-Cold War agreements on the sovereignty of the nations that emerged from the collapse of the Soviet Union.
The developments underscored how quickly the crisis has evolved. Earlier this week, President Vladimir Putin of Russia had said he did not foresee the possibility of the Crimean Peninsula becoming part of Russia, but on Friday Russia's parliamentary leaders, both strong allies of Putin's, welcomed a delegation from Crimea's regional assembly and declared that they would support a vote to break away from Ukraine, now scheduled for March 16.
The referendum - barely a week away - has been denounced by the fledgling national government in Kiev, which said it would invalidate the outcome and dissolve the Crimean Parliament. President Barack Obama has also rejected the referendum, and the U.S. government announced sanctions Thursday in response to Russia's de facto military occupation.
Russia denounced those sanctions in a blunt rejoinder Friday evening, posted on the Foreign Ministry website. The statement said Russia's foreign minister, Sergei V. Lavrov, had spoken by telephone with U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry and warned that "hasty and ill-considered steps" to impose sanctions on Russian officials "would inevitably backfire on the United States itself."
Russia's Interfax news agency reported that Lavrov and Kerry would soon meet again. A senior State Department official traveling with Kerry, who was flying back to Washington after a trip to Europe and the Middle East, confirmed Kerry had spoken with Lavrov, but said it was unclear when they would meet again.
The Russians also sent menacing economic signals to the financially strapped interim central government in Kiev, which Russia has refused to recognize. Gazprom, the Russian natural gas monopoly, which supplies Ukraine with most of its gas, warned that it might shut off supplies unless Ukraine paid $1.89 billion owed to the company.
"We cannot deliver gas for free," Russian news agencies quoted Gazprom's chief executive, Alexei Miller, as saying.
Gazprom cut off gas to Ukraine for nearly two weeks in January 2009, causing severe economic problems for Ukraine and for other European customers who were dependent on supplies delivered through Ukraine.
Valentina I. Matviyenko, chairwoman of the upper house of the Russian Parliament, the Federation Council, compared the planned referendum in Crimea to Scotland's scheduled vote on whether to become independent from Britain. She did not mention that the national government in Britain had agreed to hold a referendum, while the Ukrainian government has not.
The speaker of the Russian lower house, Sergei Y. Naryshkin, echoed Matviyenko's remarks. "We will respect the historic choice of the people of Crimea," he said.
Their assertions came a day after Crimea's regional assembly voted in a closed session to secede from Ukraine and apply to join the Russian Federation, and to hold a referendum for voters in the region to ratify the decision. On Friday, a delegation of lawmakers from Crimea arrived in Moscow to lay the groundwork for joining Russia, strongly supported by senior lawmakers.
In another telling sign of Russian government support, the Crimean delegates were cheered at an officially sanctioned rally in central Moscow that was shown at length on Russian state television, with songs and chants of "Russia, Moscow, Crimea." News agencies quoted the police as saying 60,000 had people attended.
Even if the referendum proceeds, it was unclear what would happen next, given the wide gap between the positions of Russia and the West - most notably between Putin and Obama, who spoke for an hour by phone Thursday night.
According to the White House, Obama urged Putin to authorize direct talks with Ukraine's new government, permit the entry of international monitors and return his forces to the bases that Russia leases in Crimea.
In a statement, the Kremlin offered a starkly different account of the phone call, emphasizing Russia's view that the new government in Kiev had no authority because it was the result of what Putin called an "anti-constitutional coup" last month that had ousted Viktor Yanukovych, the pro-Kremlin president.
The official Russian account of the phone call went on to say that the current Ukrainian leadership had imposed "absolutely illegitimate decisions" on the eastern and southeastern regions of the country, where pro-Russia sentiment is widespread. "Russia cannot ignore appeals connected to this, calls for help, and acts appropriately, in accordance with international law," the statement said.
In the United States, Obama was taking a wait-and-see attitude. He spoke by phone to Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany, which has been reluctant to pursue muscular sanctions against Russia because of the deep and interwoven economic relationship between the two countries. He traveled to Florida for an education speech and then a weekend off with his family, but aides promised that he would be monitoring the crisis.
"We're hopeful that in the next few days, we'll get greater clarity about whether or not the Russians are willing to take some concrete steps toward this off-ramp here," said Josh Earnest, a White House spokesman.
In Kiev, anti-Russian sentiment was hardening. The Right Sector movement, a nationalist group that was important in the deadly protests last month that drove Yanukovych from power, announced that its leader, Dmytro Yarosh, would run for president. Andriy Tarasenko, chairman of its local branch, also said the group was prepared to fight, in Crimea and elsewhere, "if the Kremlin tramples on us further."
With Washington and Moscow trading heated accusations of hypocrisy on the issue of respecting state sovereignty, validating Crimea's secession would carry pointed political risks for Putin, given longstanding demands for independence from Russia by its own similarly autonomous republics in the Caucasus, including Dagestan and Chechnya.
Michael A. McFaul, a former U.S. ambassador to Russia, noted the parallel in a sharp post on Twitter. "If Russian government endorses Crimean referendum," McFaul wrote, using abbreviations needed for a 140-character limit, "will they also allow/endorse similar votes in republics in the Russian Federation?"
The West, which has insisted that the Ukrainian people are entitled to decide their future without interference from Russia, faces similar challenges as it seeks to explain why the people of Crimea should not necessarily decide their own fate.
The United States and its European allies typically support self-determination, but have opposed independence for regions within their own borders, like Scotland in Britain or Catalonia in Spain.
There was no sign Friday that Russian armed forces were relaxing their tight clench on the Crimean Peninsula, with military bases surrounded and border crossings under strict control. There were news reports late Friday that pro-Russian militants had smashed through the gates of a Ukrainian air force base in the port of Sevastopol housing 100 Ukrainian troops, but that no shots had been fired. There were also reports that a number of Ukrainian journalists had been beaten by masked attackers and were missing.
For the second consecutive day, an observer mission from the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, the 57-member organization that includes Ukraine and Russia, was prevented from entering Crimea at a checkpoint blocked by armed men.
Astrid Thors, an OSCE envoy who had gone to Crimea earlier in the week, said in a telephone interview from Amsterdam that she had faced noisy, threatening crowds chanting pro-Russian slogans during her visit and had been forced to leave. Thors, the OSCE's high commissioner for national minorities, said she could have experienced the sort of predicament faced by a senior U.N. diplomat, Robert H. Serry, who was chased out of Crimea by gunmen this week.
"There was a risk the same could happen, that our movement could be hindered by the crowds," Thors said. "We took precautionary principles. We shortened our stay."
Russia Approves Use of Military in Ukraine
Russia executed a de facto
military takeover of a strategic region in Ukraine as the parliament in
Moscow gave President Vladimir Putin a green light Saturday to proceed
to protect Russian interests. The newly installed government in Kiev was
powerless to react to the swift takeover of Crimea by Russian troops
already in Ukraine and more flown in, aided by pro-Russian Ukrainian
groups. Putin's move
follows President Barack Obama's warning Friday "there will be costs" if
Russia intervenes militarily, sharply raising the stakes in the
conflict over Ukraine's future and evoking memories of Cold War
brinkmanship. The explicit reference to the use of troops escalated days
of conflict between the two countries, which started when Ukraine's
pro-Russian president was pushed out by a protest movement of people who
wanted closer ties to the European Union.
"I'm
submitting a request for using the armed forces of the Russian
Federation on the territory of Ukraine pending the normalization of the
socio-political situation in that country," Putin said in his request
sent to parliament.
Putin's
call came as pro-Russian demonstrations broke out in Ukraine's
Russian-speaking east, where protesters raised Russian flags and clashed
with supporters of the new Ukrainian government. Russia's upper house
also recommended that Moscow recall its ambassador from Washington over
Obama's comments. Ukraine
had already accused Russia on Friday of a "military invasion and
occupation" of the Crimea peninsula, where Russia's Black Sea fleet is
based. Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseny Yatsenyuk called on Moscow "to
recall their forces, and to return them to their stations," according to
the Interfax news agency. "Russian partners, stop provoking civil and
military resistance in Ukraine."
The crisis was sparked when
Ukraine's deposed president, Victor Yanukovych, ditched a deal for
closer ties to the EU and instead turned toward Moscow. Months of
protests followed, culminating in security forces killing dozens of
protesters and Yanukovych fleeing to Russia. Ignoring
Obama's warning, Putin said the "extraordinary situation in Ukraine"
was putting at risk the lives of Russian citizens and military personnel
stationed at a naval base that Moscow has maintained in the Black Sea
peninsula since the Soviet collapse. Reflecting
a degree of caution, Deputy Foreign Minister Grigory Karasin, who
presented Putin's request to the upper house, told reporters that the
motion doesn't mean that the president would immediately send additional
troops to Ukraine. "There is no talk about it yet," he said. Putin's
spokesman, Dmitry Peskov, said in remarks on Rossiya 24 television that
while the president "got the entire arsenal of means necessary for
settling this situation," he hadn't yet decided whether to use the
Russian military in Ukraine or recall the ambassador from Washington.
"He will make these
decisions depending on how the situation will develop," Peskov said. "We
would like to hope that the situation will not develop along the
scenario it's developing now — that is inciting tensions and making a
threat for the Russians on the Crimean Peninsula."
The
U.N. Security Council called an urgent meeting on Ukraine on Saturday,
and the European Union foreign ministers will hold an emergency meeting
Monday to discuss the crisis. Putin's
motion loosely refers to the "territory of Ukraine" rather than
specifically to Crimea, raising the possibility that Moscow could use
military force in other Russian-speaking areas in eastern and southern
Ukraine, where many oppose the new authorities in Kiev. Pro-Russian
protests were reported in the eastern cities of Kharkiv, Donetsk and
Luhansk and the southern port of Odessa.
In
Kharkiv, 97 people were injured in clashes between pro-Russia
demonstrators and supporters of the new Ukrainian government, according
to the Interfax news agency. Ukraine's
population is divided in loyalties between Russia and Europe, with much
of western Ukraine advocating closer ties with the European Union while
eastern and southern regions look to Russia for support. Crimea, a
semi-autonomous region of Ukraine, is mainly Russian-speaking.
In
Saturday's parliamentary
session in Moscow, a deputy house speaker said Obama had insulted Russia
and crossed a "red line," and the upper house recommended the Russian
ambassador in Washington be recalled. It will be up to Putin to decide
whether that happens. In
Crimea, the pro-Russian prime minister who took office after gunmen
seized the regional Parliament claimed control of the military and
police there and asked Putin for help in keeping peace, sharpening the
discord between the two neighboring Slavic countries. Ukraine's acting
president, Oleksandr Turchynov, said the election of Sergei Aksyonov as
prime minister of Crimea was invalid.
Ukrainian
officials and some Western diplomats said that a Russian military
intervention is already well underway after heavily armed gunmen in
unmarked military uniforms seized control of local government buildings,
airports and other strategic facilities in Crimea in recent days. Crimea
only became part of Ukraine in 1954 when Soviet leader Nikita
Khrushchev transferred jurisdiction from Russia, a move that was a mere
formality when both Ukraine and Russia were part of the Soviet Union.
The Soviet breakup in 1991 meant Crimea landed in an independent
Ukraine.
Russia put pressure on
Ukraine from another direction when a spokesman for state gas company
Gazprom said that Ukraine owed $1.59 billion in overdue bills for
imported gas. Sergei Kuprianov was quoted by the RIA-Novosti agency as
saying the gas arrears would endanger a recent discount granted by
Russia. The discount lowered the price to $268.50 per thousand from
other $400. The Russian payment demand and loss of the discount would
accelerate Ukraine's financial crisis. The country is almost broke and
seeking emergency credit from the International Monetary Fund.
Russia
has taken a confrontational stance toward its southern neighbor after
Yanukovych fled the country. Yanukovych was voted out of office by
parliament after weeks of protests ended in violence that left more than
80 people dead. Aksyonov, the Crimea leader, appealed to Putin
"for assistance in guaranteeing peace and calmness on the territory of
the autonomous republic of Crimea." Aksyonov was voted in by the Crimean
parliament on Thursday after pro-Russia gunmen seized the building and
as tensions soared over Crimea's resistance to the new authorities in
Kiev, who took office this week. Obama
called on Russia to respect the independence and territory of Ukraine
and not try to take advantage of its neighbor, which is undergoing
political upheaval. He said
such action by Russia would represent a "profound interference" in
matters he said must be decided by the Ukrainian people.
"The United States will
stand with the international community in affirming that there will be
costs for any military intervention in Ukraine," he said. Obama did not
say what those costs might be. Swedish
Foreign Minister Carl Bildt wrote on Twitter that it was "obvious that
there is Russian military intervention in Ukraine. Likely immediate aim
is to set up puppet pro-Russian semi-state in Crimea."
At
the United Nations, the Ukrainian ambassador, Yuriy Sergeyev, said
Friday that Russian transport aircraft and 11 attack helicopters had
arrived in Crimea illegally, and that Russian troops had taken control
of two airports in Crimea. He described the gunmen posted outside the
two airports as Russian armed forces as well as "unspecified" units.
Russia
has kept silent on claims of military intervention and has said any
troop movements are within agreed rules, even as it maintained its
hard-line stance on protecting ethnic Russians in Crimea. Meanwhile,
flights remained halted from Simferopol's airport. Dozens of armed men
in military uniforms without markings patrolled the area. They didn't
stop or search people leaving or entering the airport, and refused to
talk to journalists.
Ukraine’s Donetsk calls for referendum, votes to restore Russian’s official status
The City Council in the eastern city of Donetsk has refused to
recognize Ukraine’s self-imposed government and called for a referendum
on the region’s status. The council has made Russian alongside Ukrainian
the official language in the region.
“Until all the legitimacy of the new laws approved by
Verkhovna Rada [Ukrainian Parliament] is clarified, the City
Council [of Donetsk] will take full responsibility for its
territories,” said the document approved by Donetsk City
Council during the special session of March, 1. The report comes
from Ukraine-based Zerkalo Nedeli newspaper.
Donetsk is the capital of the coal-rich Donbass region in eastern Ukraine. Beside Donetsk, a major economic, industrial and scientific center, Donbass includes Lughansk and Dnepropetrovsk regions. The Council called for a referendum on Donbass’s future, urging the local parliament to set the date immediately. The move is set to “protect the citizens from possible violent actions on the behalf of radicalized nationalistic forces,” the council said in a statement.
In addition, the members of the city council have voted to set up self-defense squads. Russian language has been re-introduced as an official language along with Ukrainian in the area where a plurality of its residents are ethnic Russians (48.15%) and Russian-speaking Ukrainians (46.65%). This decision came after the new power in Kiev abolished the minority languages law. Also, the Donetsk authorities said they consider Russia a strategic partner.
The council’s session was called as pro-Russian activists gathered in the center of Donetsk, demanding local authorities to hold a referendum on the future of the region. The protesters seized the regional administration building and hoisted the Russian flag above it. Eastern Ukraine and Crimea are seeing massive pro-Russian demonstrations against the new self-proclaimed central government, with many government buildings being topped with Russian flags.
Source: http://rt.com/news/ukraine-donetsk-protests-referendum-383/
Thousands rally against 'illegitimate govt', raise Russian flags in
eastern Ukraine
Thousands of pro-Russian demonstrators across eastern Ukraine and Crimea are protesting against the new government, with administration buildings being seized in several cities. Gunshots have been reported as anti- and pro-Maidan protesters clash. Protesters in Kharkov and Donetsk stormed local government offices and removed Ukrainian flags, replacing them with the Russian tricolor on Saturday.
Between 7,000 to 10,000 demonstrators gathered in the center of
Donetsk, a large industrial city in eastern
Ukraine. Reportedly, protesters seized the regional
administration building. While a group of demonstrators were
storming the building from the central entrance, a crowd in Lenin
Square in front of it kept chanting “Russia!”
The participants of the rally were demanding to hold a referendum
on the future of the region, and particularly, on the status of
Russian language. Later in the day, Donetsk City Council held an extraordinary
session and approved an idea of holding a referendum on the
future fate of the Donetsk region. The council also supported the
initiative on setting up municipal militia squads to protect
citizens from possible aggression by radical nationalists,
reported Itar-Tass. Additionally, authorities decided to
introduce Russian as a second official language in the region.
The City Council refused to recognize the legitimacy of the
government in Kiev and declared itself the only legitimate body
in the city, according to ZN.UA. The decisions were read out to the crowd of demonstrators, who
praised the move.
Earlier, according to a local news portal, a scuffle occurred
between Party of Regions supporters and the so-called Volunteers’
Crops commanded by activist Pavel Gubarev, who was spontaneously
proclaimed “regional governor.” Addressing the crowd, Gubarev
said the authorities in Kiev were illegitimate and called for
establishing popular rule. He then urged demonstrators to set up
a peaceful protest camp in front of the regional government’s
office.
In Kharkov, the largest city in eastern Ukraine,
pro-Russian protesters managed to break through the cordon of
Maidan supporters and captured the government building. The
storming was accompanied by clashes and shooting, RBC daily
reported.
Some 111 people have been injured in clashes between anti- and
pro-Maidan demonstrators, reported Itar-Tass, citing the city’s
mayor, Gennady Kernes. At least 10 explosions were heard, both in the building and in
the area around it. At least one policeman was among those hurt
in the clashes, according to Itar-Tass.
One of the demonstrators got on to the roof of the administration
building, waving the Russian flag. Meanwhile, pro-Maidan
activists, who barricaded themselves inside one of the offices,
are hanging a white flag out of the window. Police were
accompanying injured supporters of the new government out of the
building to ambulances, Unian agency reports.
Activists from Right Sector radical group, who were inside the
building, “were throwing explosives, perhaps even grenades,
into public transport,” Kharkov Mayor Kernes told
journalists. “They also opened fire at protesters,” he
added and showed a cartridge for a Kalashnikov assault-rifle
which was found inside the building. According to the mayor,
“120 cocktail bombs, two mines and drugs” were
discovered at the site.
In the Crimean capital of Simferopol,
around 6,000 people marched, chanting “Russia!” and “No to
Fascism!” and carrying a huge Russian flag. Thousands were also demonstrating with Russian and Soviet flags
in Odessa, the third-largest city in the
country. According to police, around 5,000 people took part in
the gathering, while organizers insist there were up to 20,000.
Protests were also held in Lugansk, Melitopol, Yevpatoria, Kerch
and Mariupol.
Crimeans began protesting after the new self-proclaimed
government in Kiev introduced a law abolishing the use of other
languages for official documents in Ukraine. More than half the
Crimean population are Russian and use only this language for
their communication. The residents have announced they are going
to hold a referendum on March 30 to determine the fate of the
Ukrainian autonomous region.
Source: http://rt.com/news/donetsk-kharkov-ukraine-protest-365/
In Ukraine's east, some beg for Russian iron hand
Lidia Gany had some tea and bread, all she can afford these days for most meals, put on her duffel coat with the fake purple fur collar, and came down to the main square of this down-at-the-heels industrial city at Ukraine's eastern edge to join fellow ethnic Russians in urging Moscow to send troops across the border and protect them.
"Only Russia can save us," said the 74-year-old pensioner, crossing herself.
Since Russian troops rolled into Crimea, and lawmakers there scheduled a referendum for Sunday on whether to join Russia, the world's attention has focused on the fate of the lush peninsula that juts into the Black Sea. But here in Ukraine's coal-fired industrial east, where huge numbers of Russians have lived for more than two centuries, a potent mix of economic depression, ethnic solidarity and nostalgia for the certainties of the Soviet past have many demanding the right to become part of Russia as well.
"I'm for living in one country, with no borders, like we used to. Like the fingers on one hand," said 60-year-old Lyudmila Zhuravlyova, who signed a petition asking for Russian President Vladimir Putin's military invention to stop "political persecution and physical annihilation of the Russian-speaking and Orthodox population."
In Luhansk and other eastern Ukraine cities, some men have formed militia groups such as "Luhansk Guard," the "People's Auxiliary" as Russian news broadcasts swarm with alleged atrocity stories about attacks on ethnic Russians and Jews in Ukraine — helping to spur the secession drive and the anxieties that underlie it. The Associated Press and other international media have found no evidence of victimization.
On Sunday, in a possible portent of more trouble to come, pro-Russian demonstrators overran the regional government headquarters just off Soviet Street and forced Gov. Mikhail Bolotskih to sign a resignation letter.
"Among them were young aggressive people in an intoxicated condition, inappropriate condition, with bats, sticks, and it was obvious they were armed with some other kinds of weapons," the governor, who is appointed by Ukraine's central authorities, said Tuesday.
Bolotskih said he put his signature to the letter only to protect the terrified women, children and others who had taken refuge in the building out of fear of pro-Russian mobs. After negotiations that dragged on through the night, the occupiers left, and the governor was able to return to his second-floor office. Three burly Ukrainian policeman stood guard by the main staircase Tuesday.
Ukraine's easternmost city was founded in the late 18th Century by Catherine the Great as a foundry to make cannon and cannonballs for the Imperial Russian Army. In Soviet times, it was home to one of the country's blue-ribbon factories that turned out steam locomotives good enough to be designated "IS"— for the Russian-language initials of dictator Josef Stalin.
The city, with its five-story Khrushchev-era apartment blocks and tidy downtown with a pair of spire-topped edifices in a bombastic style known as Stalinist Gothic, seems an architectural throwback to a time when coal miners and locomotive factory workers were considered the proletarian elite.
But the breakup of the Soviet Union and harsh economic realities of the market haven't been kind to the east and the Luhansk region, where nearly 70 percent of the population in a 2001 census reported Russian as their mother tongue. Residents say many factories, including the locomotive works, have had to drastically cut both payrolls and production. Fewer smokestacks these days belch the sour-smelling coal smoke that shows people still work there. It all means that many people see Russia as the cure-all to their problems.
Some in Luhansk, including Gany, have relatives in Russia who tell them life is better on their side of the border. She now must make ends meet on about $100 a month in pension payments, she says_half of which goes to pay her rent. Her husband is dead. She held a variety of jobs in the old Soviet Union, from the BAM railway project in Siberia to a fish cannery in Kamchatka, but much of her savings vanished when the former superpower broke up. She now fears persecution from Ukraine's new leaders, and is afraid to travel to other regions of the country.
In 2010, the year of Ukraine's last presidential election, Luhansk gave 89 percent of its votes to Viktor Yanukovych, a native of another town in the Donbas coal-mining region. The pro-Moscow president fled office last month after prolonged street protests and bloodshed in Kiev, and was succeeded by a government made up of politicians friendlier to the United States and European Union. For some in the east, the regime change was not only blatantly unconstitutional, but a catastrophe.
"The West wants to put Hitler's Plan Ost into effect," said Zoya Kozlova, 54, a teacher of philology. That plan, if fully implemented, would have meant the enslavement, expulsion and extermination of most of the Slavic peoples in Europe.
Pro-Moscow forces in Luhanks already have a leader, self-styled "people's governor" Alexander Kharitonov, who is spearheading the drive for a referendum. "The people of Luhansk don't recognize illegitimate Kiev. We think that the government has been changed through a coup d'etat," he said. And Kharitonov said he hopes for assistance from Moscow to right that situation.
"The Maidan (the anti-Yanukovych protests in Kiev) showed us the police aren't able to protect us. Neo-Nazi groups that were created on the Maidan have spread throughout Ukraine. The police aren't able to protect us from them."
"The new government won't do it. So we think we have the right to ask our friend Russia to protect us," Kharitonov said.
Already, the Kremlin has made clear that it's closely watching developments. On Monday, in an official statement, the Russian Foreign Ministry said lawlessness "now rules in eastern regions of Ukraine" and blamed the Right Sector, a grouping of far-right and nationalist factions whose activists were among the most radical and confrontational during three months of protests that led to Yanukovych's ouster.
"Without Putin's help, they will annihilate us," said Sergei Chupeyev, 69, a retired mining engineer from Luhansk. "We need to ask him for help, or tomorrow there will be fascists here."
Source: http://news.yahoo.com/ukraines-east-beg-russian-iron-hand-164746132.html
Putin: Russian citizens, troops threatened in Ukraine, need armed forces’ protection
“It’s possible in this situation, complying with a request by the Crimean government, even to bring a limited contingent of our troops to ensure the safety of the Black Sea Fleet and the Russian citizens living on Crimean territory. The decision is for the president, the chief military commander, to make, of course. But today, taking the situation into account, even that variant can’t be excluded. We need to protect the people,” Matvienko said.
“In connection with the extraordinary situation in Ukraine, the threat to the lives of citizens of the Russian Federation, our compatriots, and the personnel of the armed forces of the Russian Federation on Ukrainian territory (in the Autonomous Republic of Crimea)... I submit a proposal on using the armed forces of the Russian Federation on the territory of Ukraine until the normalization of the socio-political situation in the that country.”
The Russian government has so far been careful in its assessment
of the new self-proclaimed Ukrainian government in Kiev.
Matvienko said the reason for that was Russia counting on its
Western partners, who vowed to guarantee the February 21
agreements between ousted Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovich
and the opposition.
“Russia did not interfere in the situation in Ukraine for a very long time and showed restraint, assuming that the Western states, which became backers of the agreements, would see that strict compliance with the deal is observed,” she said.
However, after “violent upheaval” took place in Ukraine, the Western states did not come up with “any reasonable measures or responses,” Matvienko said. Russia, in contrast, for a very long time has urged the situation to be resolved by lawful means, and called for the anti-coup sentiments in Crimea and in eastern Ukraine to be heard, she said.
“Not seeing an adequate reaction from the West, we could no longer maintain status quo,” the speaker concluded.
Matvienko spoke as thousands of pro-Russian demonstrators rallied in the Crimean cities of Simferopol, Melitopol, Yevpatoria and Mariupol, protesting against the rule of new Kiev authorities. The Russian leader held detailed phone discussions on “various aspects of the extraordinary situation in Ukraine" with US President Barack Obama, the Kremlin press service reported.
Putin stressed that in the case of further spread of violence in the eastern regions of Ukraine and Crimea, Russia reserves the right to protect their interests and the Russian speaking population. Putin emphasised the existence of real threats to the life and health of Russian citizens on Ukrainian territory.
In a separate conversation with French President Francois Hollande, Putin said that there is a real threat to the lives of citizens of the Russian Federation in Ukraine, Itar-tass reports. The Russian commander in chief also held a telephone conversation with UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon to discuss the case of an escalation of violence against the Russian-speaking population in the eastern regions of Ukraine and Crimea, the Kremlin announced.
Putin stressed that Russia cannot remain on the sidelines and will apply the necessary measures within the framework of international law to prevent further escalation of the crisis in Ukraine. According to the Russian Constitution, the use of Army on foreign territories can only be approved by the majority of the Federation Council members upon a request by the President.
The developments follow an appeal by the Prime Minister of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, Sergey Aksyonov, who requested that Russia to help cope with the crisis and ensure “peace and calm” in the region. The tension in Crimea escalated following an attempt to seize the building of the local Interior Ministry by gunmen overnight. Russia’s Foreign Ministry condemned the move in a statement, blaming the new authorities in Kiev for intending to “destabilize the situation on the peninsula.”
Meanwhile, self-proclaimed Ukrainian Acting President Aleksandr Turchinov has signed a decree ruling that appointment of the pro-Russia premier in Crimea is “illegal.”
Aksyonov, who is the leader of Crimea’s Russian Unity party, was appointed as the new Prime Minister of the autonomy after the Crimean Supreme Council dismissed the regional government. Peace and order in the region has been maintained by local armed self-defense squads, which were widely misreported as Russian troops on Friday.
Massive media speculation also arose around claims that the Russian military have been making “illegal” moves in Crimea. The Russian Foreign Ministry sent an official note to Ukraine, stressing that all the moves are carried out “in full accordance with basic Russian-Ukrainian agreements on the Black Sea Fleet.”
Source: http://rt.com/news/russia-troops-ukraine-possible-359/
How the West lost Putin: it didn’t have to be this way
It’s
a narrative that’s growing in popularity in the West: Vladimir Putin as
a 21st-century Adolf Hitler, an unhinged dictator bent on collecting
lost Russian lands.
It was
floated first on CNN last week, where former Georgian president Mikhail
Saakashvili – who fought and lost a war with Russia six years ago over a
place called South Ossetia – compared Mr. Putin’s stealth takeover of
the Crimean Peninsula to the Nazi annexation of Sudetenland in 1938. The
Canadian government has since embraced the storyline, with Foreign
Affairs Minister John Baird using the Sudetenland comparison while
denouncing Russian military moves in the Ukraine.
Prime
Minister Stephen Harper has made similar remarks, and former U.S.
secretary of state Hillary Clinton told a fundraiser in California: “If
this sounds familiar, it’s what Hitler did back in the ’30s.”
We
are, worryingly, in a situation where such comparisons can’t
immediately be laughed off. Mr. Putin’s own press conference this week
was characterized by two things: his alarming insistence that Russia had
a right to use its military to protect ethnic Russians living in other
post-Soviet countries, and his bitterness at the West for ignoring him
until he was pushed into a corner.
The
immediate triggers for Mr. Putin’s fury are now plain. The Kremlin
feels (and has evidence) that the West put its shoulder behind the
Ukrainian opposition that toppled the government of Viktor Yanukovych
last month following a deadly week of street battles between protesters
and police.
Mr. Yanukovych
was pro-Russian and clearly corrupt. But he was also the elected
president of Ukraine, with 12 months to go in his five-year term. His
overthrow was inspiring to watch, but it was also unconstitutional. (For
the record, the Kremlin says it’s the West that is encouraging fascism
by siding with the revolutionaries in Kiev who include right-wing
ultranationalists in their ranks.)
That
precedent set, Mr. Putin now seems willing to go as far as he needs to
in order to regain Russia’s lost influence in Ukraine – in the entire
country, if he can, or any pro-Russian part he can snap off. But this
New Cold War didn’t start last month. Nor was it doomed to happen this
way.
When
Mr. Putin came to power 15 years ago, he did so as a candidate who
appealed to many sectors of Russian society. His KGB background
suggested to those nostalgic for the Soviet days that Mr. Putin was the
tough leader Russia needed after the chaos of Russia’s 1990s. But his
track record as an aide to Anatoliy Sobchak, the reformist governor of
St. Petersburg, also persuaded Russia’s pro-Western liberals that he was
a man who shared their mindset, too.
Mr.
Putin’s first four years as president were marked by an battle inside
the Kremlin, pitting a camp of ministers and aides known as the siloviki,
the men of power, who had KGB backgrounds like Mr. Putin’s, against the
reformers, men like Prime Minister Mikhail Kasyanov and Alexander
Voloshin, the powerful chief of staff Mr. Putin inherited from Boris
Yeltsin. Mr. Putin was seen as listening to both sides, favouring
neither. This was the man who was the first foreign leader to call
former U.S. president George W. Bush after the Sept. 11, 2001 attacks,
the man who shared intelligence with and opened his airspace for the
subsequent NATO invasion of Afghanistan.
But the siloviki
gained strength, and the reformers faded, as Mr. Putin saw that favour
go unreturned. He furiously railed against the U.S. attack on Iraq in
2003, but was ignored. Then came the 2003 Rose Revolution in the former
Soviet republic of Georgia – which saw the U.S.-educated Mr. Saakashvili
brought to power – and the Orange Revolution in Ukraine a year later.
The
Georgian and Ukrainian revolts had many things in common, among them
the fall of autocrats who ran semi-independent governments that deferred
to Moscow when the chips were down. Both uprisings were also spurred by
organizations that received funding from the U.S. National Endowment
for Democracy. As in the Middle East, “promoting democracy” in Eastern
Europe became a code word for supporting pro-Western politicians.
The Western-backed revolts came alongside several tranches of eastward expansion by NATO, an alliance that Moscow sees as retaining its Cold War intent, as well as the establishment of an anti-ballistic missile shield in Europe that Russia saw as upsetting the strategic balance by eliminating its treasured nuclear deterrent.
Mr. Putin became convinced that the siloviki
were right, that the West was intent on keeping Russia weak, as it had
been under Mr. Yeltsin. By the beginning of his second term as President
in 2004, Mr. Kasyanov and Mr. Voloshin were gone from the Kremlin. Only
the KGB remained.
Barack
Obama saw the damage done, and came to office in 2008 promising a
“reset” in relations between Washington and Moscow. The timing was
right, with Mr. Putin stepping down the same year to the theoretically
junior post of prime minister in favour of one of his few remaining
liberal aides, Dmitry Medvedev.
The
two new presidents got along well, and Mr. Medvedev even gave Russian
acquiescence (in the form of an abstention at the United Nations
Security Council) to the establishment of a NATO no-fly zone over Libya
in 2011. But Mr. Putin – still the most powerful man in Russia – was
furious to see Russia’s goodwill again misused and the no-fly zone
expanded to include airstrikes that helped rebels topple and kill
Moammar Gadhafi, a long-time Kremlin ally.
Six months later, Mr. Medvedev awkwardly declared he would step aside so that Mr. Putin could return to the presidency.
“We
are often told our actions are illegitimate, but when I ask, ‘Do you
think everything you do is legitimate?’ they say ‘yes.’ Then, I have to
recall the actions of the United States in Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya,
where they either acted without any UN sanctions or completely distorted
the content of such resolutions, as was the case with Libya,” Mr. Putin
fumed during a press conference Tuesday, his first remarks since the
Ukraine crisis erupted. “Our partners, especially in the United States,
always clearly formulate their own geopolitical and state interests and
follow them with persistence. Then, using the principle ‘You’re either
with us or against us’ they draw the whole world in. And those who do
not join in get beaten until they do.”
Even
while Washington was talking at home about a reset, the messages it
sent to Moscow were more confrontational. Mr. Obama’s first secretary of
state, Ms. Clinton, made headlines during her own 2008 bid for the
presidency by stating Mr. Putin, as a former KGB agent, “doesn’t have a
soul.” (Mr. Putin shot back that anyone seeking to be U.S. President “at
a minimum … should have a head.”)
Even
more controversial was Mr. Obama’s choice of academic Michael McFaul as
ambassador to Moscow in 2011. By his own description, Mr. McFaul, who
couldn’t be reached for an interview, was an expert on how popular
uprisings happen in authoritarian regimes. A decade earlier, he had
authored the provocatively titled book Russia’s Unfinished Revolution: Political Change from Gorbachev to Putin.
One of his first acts after arriving in Moscow was inviting several key
members of the anti-Putin opposition to the U.S. embassy for a private
meeting.
The
opposition protests that swelled before and after that visit, and which
tarred Mr. Putin’s 2012 election win, were seen in the Kremlin as more
proof of Western meddling in and hostility to Russia. Mr. Putin accused
Ms. Clinton of personally giving “the signal” for his opponents to rise
up against him.
Since
returning to the Kremlin, Mr. Putin has made it clear he’s no longer
interested in co-operating with the West. He has backed Bashar al-Assad
to the hilt in the bloody struggle for Syria, another long-time Soviet
ally. Last month, he welcomed Egypt’s Abdul Fattah el-Sissi to Moscow,
and offered him military aid and an endorsement of his undeclared
presidential run, as Washington backed away from Cairo’s latest military
man in charge. A win for the West is a loss for Moscow. And vice-versa.
In
a September essay in The New York Times arguing against U.S.
intervention in Syria, Mr. Putin took on the idea of “American
exceptionalism,” and by extension U.S. world leadership. “It is
extremely dangerous to encourage people to see themselves as
exceptional, whatever the motivation. There are big countries and small
countries, rich and poor, those with long democratic traditions and
those still finding their way to democracy. Their policies differ, too,”
he wrote.
“You
have to understand the world in which Mr. Putin believes he lives. He’s
sure he’s in a power struggle, a geostrategic battle with the West,”
said Alexander Golts, a Moscow-based military analyst. “One of the
battlefields is Ukraine. In the beginning of December, he thought he’d
won, and then [Mr. Putin believes] the West organized these protests in
Kiev and stole his victory. Now he has to show his Western counterparts
that he’s not weak. He also has to show his inner circle that he’s not
weak.”
In
Ukraine, it’s Mr. Putin who is bending the rules and distorting the
facts in the same way he has accused the West of doing elsewhere. But
the battle for Ukraine is existential for him. Ukraine is central to
Russian history and culture, and crucial to Mr. Putin’s ambition of
restoring a sphere of influence over Moscow’s post-Soviet neighbours.
He’s almost certainly not going to back down, whatever the cost. There
“will be mutual damage,” Mr. Putin said when asked about the possibility
of Western sanctions over Crimea.
We
knew this, or at least we should have. But a lack of Western
scholarship on Russia – and the closure of many foreign media offices
(including The Globe and Mail’s own Moscow bureau a few years ago) – has
contributed to a dangerous lack of understanding of Russia in the West.
China,
by contrast, has in the past 15 years been deemed far more worthy of
study and journalism than Russia. Lobby groups such as the Canada-China
Business Council badgered Mr. Harper relentlessly when he didn’t visit
Beijing during the first two years he was in office. No one seems
bothered that Mr. Harper – eight years into his prime ministership – is
the only G-8 leader who has never made an official, bilateral trip to
Moscow.
“In
North America, the thinking was that European affairs are European
affairs,” said Andrew Robinson, a former Canadian ambassador to Ukraine.
“We don’t have a relationship with Russia right now.”
Which,
we can see now, has its costs. Every Western leader understands that
opening an embassy in Taiwan would bring a furious response from
Beijing. But no one in Washington, Brussels or Ottawa seems to have
expected what Moscow might do if the West encouraged the overthrow of a
pro-Russian leader in Ukraine.
When
Mr. Baird was in Kiev last week to show his support for Ukraine’s
post-revolutionary leadership, I asked him when was the last time he had
met with Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. There was a pause of
nearly 10 seconds before Mr. Baird recalled that both he and Mr. Lavrov
had attended a Syria peace conference in Montreux, Switzerland in late
January. They’ve had no interaction at all, then, since the change of
power in Kiev, or the Russian moves in Crimea.
A
decade ago, The eXile, a now-defunct satirical magazine based in
Moscow, published a list of 101 ways that Mr. Putin’s Russia then
resembled Weimar Germany. It was meant to be humourous, but the issue in
fact made for extremely depressing reading. Anger at foreigners was
rising, the eXile noted, as was militarism.
Russia
then was a proud but wounded country, one suffering from collapse of
its empire. The fall of the USSR was Russia’s Treaty of Versailles. Mr.
Harper, Mr. Baird and Ms. Clinton say Mr. Putin’s Russia today reminds
them of Nazi Germany. Scary words to describe a scary situation. If only
they paid such attention to Russia in the decade before we got to here.
Washington’s Arrogance, Hubris, and Evil Have Set the Stage for War
In some quarters
public awareness is catching up with Stephen Lendman, Michel
Chossudovsky, Rick Rozoff, myself and a few others in realizing the
grave danger in the crisis that Washington has created in Ukraine.
The puppet politicians who Washington intended to put in charge of Ukraine have lost control to organized and armed neo-nazis, who are attacking Jews, Russians, and intimidating Ukrainian politicians.
The government of Crimea, a Russian province that Khrushchev transferred to the Ukraine Soviet Republic in the 1950s, has disavowed the illegitimate government that illegally seized power in Kiev and requested Russian protection. The Ukrainian military forces in Crimea have gone over to Russia. The Russian government has announced that it will also protect the former Russian provinces in eastern Ukraine as well.
As Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn pointed out, it was folly for the Communist Party of the Soviet Union to transfer historic provinces of Russia into Ukraine. At the time it seemedto the Soviet leadership like a good thing to do. Ukraine was part of the Soviet Union and had been ruled by Russia since the 18th century. Adding Russian territory to Ukraine served to water down the nazi elements in western Ukraine that had fought for Hitler during World War 2. Perhaps another factor in the enlargement of Ukraine was the fact of Khrushchev’s Ukrainian heritage.
Regardless, it did not matter until the Soviet Union and then the former Russian empire itself fell apart. Under Washington’s pressure, Ukraine became a separate country retaining the Russian provinces, but Russia retained its Black Sea naval base in Crimea.
The puppet politicians who Washington intended to put in charge of Ukraine have lost control to organized and armed neo-nazis, who are attacking Jews, Russians, and intimidating Ukrainian politicians.
The government of Crimea, a Russian province that Khrushchev transferred to the Ukraine Soviet Republic in the 1950s, has disavowed the illegitimate government that illegally seized power in Kiev and requested Russian protection. The Ukrainian military forces in Crimea have gone over to Russia. The Russian government has announced that it will also protect the former Russian provinces in eastern Ukraine as well.
As Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn pointed out, it was folly for the Communist Party of the Soviet Union to transfer historic provinces of Russia into Ukraine. At the time it seemedto the Soviet leadership like a good thing to do. Ukraine was part of the Soviet Union and had been ruled by Russia since the 18th century. Adding Russian territory to Ukraine served to water down the nazi elements in western Ukraine that had fought for Hitler during World War 2. Perhaps another factor in the enlargement of Ukraine was the fact of Khrushchev’s Ukrainian heritage.
Regardless, it did not matter until the Soviet Union and then the former Russian empire itself fell apart. Under Washington’s pressure, Ukraine became a separate country retaining the Russian provinces, but Russia retained its Black Sea naval base in Crimea.
Washington
tried, but failed, to take Ukraine in 2004 with the Washington-financed
“Orange Revolution.” According to Assistant Secretary of State
Victoria Nuland, since this failure Washington has “invested” $5
billion in Ukraine in order to foment agitation for EU membership for
Ukraine. EU membership would open Ukraine to looting by Western bankers
and corporations, but Washington’s main goal is to establish US missile
bases on Russia’s border with Ukraine and to deprive Russia of its
Black Sea naval base and military industries in eastern Ukraine. EU
membership for Ukraine means NATO membership.
Washington wants missile bases in Ukraine in order to degrade Russia’s nuclear deterrent, thus reducing Russia’s ability to resist US hegemony. Only three countries stand in the way of Washington’s hegemony over the world, Russia, China, and Iran.
Iran is surrounded by US military bases and has US fleets off its coast. The “Pivot to Asia” announced by the warmonger Obama regime is ringing China with air and naval bases. Washington is surrounding Russia with US missile and NATO bases. The corrupt Polish and Czech governments were paid to accept US missile and radar bases, which makes the Polish and Czech puppet states prime targets for nuclear annihilation.
Washington has purchased the former Russian and Soviet province of Georgia, birthplace of Joseph Stalin, and is in the process of putting this puppet into NATO. Washington’s Western European puppets are too greedy for Washington’s money to take cognizance of the fact that these highly provocative moves are a direct strategic threat to Russia. The attitude of European governments seems to be, “after me, the deluge.”
Russia has been slow to react to the many years of Washington’s provocations, hoping for some sign of good sense and good will to emerge in the West. Instead, Russia has experienced rising demonization from Washington and European capitals and foaming at the mouth vicious denunciations by the West’s media whores. The bulk of the American and European populations are being brainwashed to see the problem that Washington’s meddling has caused in Ukraine to be Russia’s fault. Yesterday, I heard on National Public Radio a presstitute from the New Republic describe Putin as the problem.
The ignorance, absence of integrity, and lack of independence of the US media greatly enhances the prospect for war. The picture being drawn for insouciant Americans is totally false. An informed people would have burst out laughing when US Secretary of State John Kerry denounced Russia for “invading Ukraine” in “violation of international law.” Kerry is the foreign minister of a country that has illegally invaded Iraq, Afghanistan, Somalia, organized the overthrow of the government in Libya, tried to overthrow the government in Syria, attacks the civilian populations of Pakistan and Yemen with drones and missiles, constantly threatens Iran with attack, unleashed the US and Israeli trained Georgian army on the Russian population of South Ossetia, and now threatens Russia with sanctions for standing up for Russians and Russian strategic interests. The Russian government noted that Kerry has raised hypocrisy to a new level.
Kerry has no answer to the question: “Since when does the United States government genuinely subscribe and defend the concept of sovereignty and territorial integrity?"
Kerry, as is always the case, is lying through his teeth. Russia hasn’t invaded Ukraine. Russia sent a few more troops to join those at its Black Sea base in view of the violent anti-Russian statements and actions emanating from Kiev. As the Ukrainian military in Crimea defected to Russia, the additional Russian troops were hardly necessary. The stupid Kerry, wallowing in his arrogance, hubris, and evil, issued direct threats to Russia. The Russian foreign minister dismissed Kerry’s threats as “unacceptable.”
The stage is set for war.
Note the absurdity of the situation. Kiev has been taken over by ultra-nationalist neo-nazis. A band of ultra-nationalist thugs is the last thing the European Union wants or needs as a member state. The EU is centralizing power and suppressing the sovereignty of the member states. Note the alignment of the neoconservative Obama regime with anti-semitic neo-nazis. The neoconservative clique that has dominated the US government since the Clinton regime is heavily Jewish, many of whom are dual Israeli/US citizens. The Jewish neoconservatives, Assistant Secretary of State Victoria Nuland and National Security Adviser Susan Rice, have lost control of their coup to neo-Nazis who preach “death to the Jews.”
The Israeli newspaper Haaretz reported on February 24 that Ukrainian Rabbi Moshe Reuven Azman advised “Kiev’s Jews to leave the city and even the country.” Edward Dolinsky, head of an umbrella organization of Ukrainian Jews, described the situation for Ukrainian Jews as “dire” and requested Israel’s help.
This is the situation that Washington created and defends, while accusing Russia of stifling Ukrainian democracy. An elected democracy is what Ukraine had before Washington overthrew it. At this time there is no legitimate Ukrainian government.
Everyone needs to understand that Washington is lying about Ukraine just as Washington lied about Saddam Hussein and weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, just as Washington lied about Iranian nukes, just as Washington lied about Syrian president Assad using chemical weapons, just as Washington lied about Afghanistan, Libya, NSA spying, torture. What hasn’t Washington lied about? Washington is comprised of three elements: Arrogance, Hubris, and Evil. There is nothing else there.
Washington wants missile bases in Ukraine in order to degrade Russia’s nuclear deterrent, thus reducing Russia’s ability to resist US hegemony. Only three countries stand in the way of Washington’s hegemony over the world, Russia, China, and Iran.
Iran is surrounded by US military bases and has US fleets off its coast. The “Pivot to Asia” announced by the warmonger Obama regime is ringing China with air and naval bases. Washington is surrounding Russia with US missile and NATO bases. The corrupt Polish and Czech governments were paid to accept US missile and radar bases, which makes the Polish and Czech puppet states prime targets for nuclear annihilation.
Washington has purchased the former Russian and Soviet province of Georgia, birthplace of Joseph Stalin, and is in the process of putting this puppet into NATO. Washington’s Western European puppets are too greedy for Washington’s money to take cognizance of the fact that these highly provocative moves are a direct strategic threat to Russia. The attitude of European governments seems to be, “after me, the deluge.”
Russia has been slow to react to the many years of Washington’s provocations, hoping for some sign of good sense and good will to emerge in the West. Instead, Russia has experienced rising demonization from Washington and European capitals and foaming at the mouth vicious denunciations by the West’s media whores. The bulk of the American and European populations are being brainwashed to see the problem that Washington’s meddling has caused in Ukraine to be Russia’s fault. Yesterday, I heard on National Public Radio a presstitute from the New Republic describe Putin as the problem.
The ignorance, absence of integrity, and lack of independence of the US media greatly enhances the prospect for war. The picture being drawn for insouciant Americans is totally false. An informed people would have burst out laughing when US Secretary of State John Kerry denounced Russia for “invading Ukraine” in “violation of international law.” Kerry is the foreign minister of a country that has illegally invaded Iraq, Afghanistan, Somalia, organized the overthrow of the government in Libya, tried to overthrow the government in Syria, attacks the civilian populations of Pakistan and Yemen with drones and missiles, constantly threatens Iran with attack, unleashed the US and Israeli trained Georgian army on the Russian population of South Ossetia, and now threatens Russia with sanctions for standing up for Russians and Russian strategic interests. The Russian government noted that Kerry has raised hypocrisy to a new level.
Kerry has no answer to the question: “Since when does the United States government genuinely subscribe and defend the concept of sovereignty and territorial integrity?"
Kerry, as is always the case, is lying through his teeth. Russia hasn’t invaded Ukraine. Russia sent a few more troops to join those at its Black Sea base in view of the violent anti-Russian statements and actions emanating from Kiev. As the Ukrainian military in Crimea defected to Russia, the additional Russian troops were hardly necessary. The stupid Kerry, wallowing in his arrogance, hubris, and evil, issued direct threats to Russia. The Russian foreign minister dismissed Kerry’s threats as “unacceptable.”
The stage is set for war.
Note the absurdity of the situation. Kiev has been taken over by ultra-nationalist neo-nazis. A band of ultra-nationalist thugs is the last thing the European Union wants or needs as a member state. The EU is centralizing power and suppressing the sovereignty of the member states. Note the alignment of the neoconservative Obama regime with anti-semitic neo-nazis. The neoconservative clique that has dominated the US government since the Clinton regime is heavily Jewish, many of whom are dual Israeli/US citizens. The Jewish neoconservatives, Assistant Secretary of State Victoria Nuland and National Security Adviser Susan Rice, have lost control of their coup to neo-Nazis who preach “death to the Jews.”
The Israeli newspaper Haaretz reported on February 24 that Ukrainian Rabbi Moshe Reuven Azman advised “Kiev’s Jews to leave the city and even the country.” Edward Dolinsky, head of an umbrella organization of Ukrainian Jews, described the situation for Ukrainian Jews as “dire” and requested Israel’s help.
This is the situation that Washington created and defends, while accusing Russia of stifling Ukrainian democracy. An elected democracy is what Ukraine had before Washington overthrew it. At this time there is no legitimate Ukrainian government.
Everyone needs to understand that Washington is lying about Ukraine just as Washington lied about Saddam Hussein and weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, just as Washington lied about Iranian nukes, just as Washington lied about Syrian president Assad using chemical weapons, just as Washington lied about Afghanistan, Libya, NSA spying, torture. What hasn’t Washington lied about? Washington is comprised of three elements: Arrogance, Hubris, and Evil. There is nothing else there.
Ignore Western hypocrisy, Putin will do what he wants
All the self-righteous huffing and puffing in Washington over Ukraine
jars on European and especially Russian ears after the multiple
U.S.-led invasions and interventions in other people's countries of
recent years. It's difficult to say what is more astonishing: the double
standards exhibited by the White House, or the apparent total lack of
self-awareness of U.S. officials.
Secretary of State John Kerry risked utter ridicule when he declared
it unacceptable to invade another country on a "completely trumped-up
pretext," or just because you don't like its current leadership. Iraq in
2003 springs instantly to mind. This is exactly what George W. Bush and
Tony Blair did when they "trumped up" the supposed threat posed by the
hated Saddam Hussein's fabled weapons of mass destruction.
Like Saddam, the Taliban leadership in place in Afghanistan in 2001
was deeply objectionable. But instead of just going after Osama bin
Laden and his al Qaeda training camps after the 9/11 attacks, Bush
(again abetted by Blair) opted for full-scale regime change. The
lamentable consequences of that decision are still being felt 13 years
later, not least by Afghan civilians who have been dying in ever greater
numbers as the final Nato withdrawal approaches.
U.S. President Barack Obama, a former law professor who should know
better, has charged Vladimir Putin, his Russian counterpart, with
violating Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity, in breach of
international law.
But it is Obama, following in Bush's footsteps, who has repeatedly
and cynically flouted international law by launching or backing myriad
armed attacks on foreign soil, in Libya, Somalia, Yemen and Pakistan to
name a few, without U.N. security council authorization. It is Obama's
administration which continues to undermine international law by
refusing to join or recognize the International Criminal Court, the most
important instrument of international justice to have been developed
since 1945.
And it is Obama's State Department, principally in the person of
Assistant Secretary of State Victoria Nuland, that fatally overplayed
its hand in the run-up to last month's second Ukraine revolution.
Nuland's infamous "f**k the EU" comment revealed the extent to which
Washington was recklessly maneuvering to undermine Ukraine's elected
pro-Russian president, Viktor Yanukovych, by backing the Kiev street
protesters' demands.
The EU had wanted to take things more gradually, for fear of
provoking the very Russian reaction to which the U.S. now so strongly
objects. When the foreign ministers of Germany, France and Poland,
acting for the EU, negotiated a compromise agreement on February 22 that
envisaged early elections, the crisis appeared to have been defused.
Russia did not like the deal, but seemed ready to go along.
But within 24 hours, the opposition had torn up the agreement. It
forced Yanukovych from power and sacked the government. To alarm in
Moscow, where nightmarish World War II memories linger, Ukrainian
neo-fascists were among those who seized control. They are now part of
the new government in Kiev.
The U.S. almost immediately gave its blessing to what the Kremlin
later described as a "coup d'etat" while the EU, knowing this was what
Washington wanted, just looked on. Little wonder the Russians were
furious at what they saw as a western double cross.
Sergei Lavrov, the Russian Foreign Minister, reflected these worries
when he voiced "most serious concern" over Ukraine in phone calls to the
French, German and Polish foreign ministers. "The opposition not only
has failed to fulfil a single one of its obligations but is already
presenting new demands all the time, following the lead of armed
extremists and pogromists whose actions pose a direct threat to
Ukraine's sovereignty and constitutional order,'' Lavrov said. But it
was already too late.
Obama and Kerry seem to have calmed down a little since the crisis
first broke. The self-righteous hyperbole about international rights is
less evident, though it has not disappeared entirely. Obama has heard
the many voices in the U.S. and beyond terming this the worst east-west
crisis since the end of the Cold War -- and as the biggest foreign test
of his presidency.
So now he's doing what he does best: talking. In his latest phone
call to Putin, on Thursday this week, Obama put forward a plan to
resolve the stand-off diplomatically. It includes direct talks between
Moscow and Kiev, the return of Russian troops to their bases, and the
deployment of international observers to ensure the rights of all ethnic
groups, including Crimean Russians, are respected. But don't hold your breath. Putin is in no hurry to back off or back down.
He has his tail up after a fortnight in which he exposed the
hypocrisy and hollowness of much of western policy and politicians. His
behavior, especially in Crimea, has been dangerous, wrong-headed and
irresponsible in the extreme. In many ways, Putin is an unredeemed Cold
War throwback. He is definitely not the sort of chap one would invite
round for dinner, as a former British diplomat commented. The crisis
could still explode in his and everyone else's face. But it was not
unprovoked.
And the Russian leader has an eye for precedent. Similar battles over
so-called "frozen conflicts" and the rights of isolated ethnic groups
loom elsewhere on Russia's periphery, in Georgia, Moldova, Armenia,
Nagorno-Karabakh, and maybe Belarus and the Baltic states too. Putin is
putting down a marker, even as he plays Obama and Kerry for fools.
Whatever they think in Washington, and whatever the financial markets
say, it's working for him personally. Latest opinion polls in Russia
show Putin's popularity soaring. One of these days western leaders will
drop the pious cant, learn to stop under-estimating him, and recognize
Russia's leader-for-life as the canny, very dangerous, utterly
unscrupulous opponent he is.
Putin’s rating climbs to 5-year peak
Over three quarters of the Russian public approve of President
Putin’s work, according to the mid-March public opinion poll. Most
respondents connected with a good handling of the Ukrainian political
crisis and the help extended to the people of Crimea. According to the VCIOM All-Russian Public Opinion Research
Center, since the beginning of 2014 Vladimir Putin’s rating has
risen 15 percent and stands at 75.7 percent – the highest in the
last five years.
The pollsters say this is caused first of all by the complicated
political situation in Ukraine and the Autonomous Republic of
Crimea that was preparing to hold a referendum on joining Russia.
63 percent of respondents mentioned this as a primary reason of
their support of the presidential course.Another large group - 32
percent - mentioned the victory of the Russian team at the Sochi
Paralympics. Putin’s rating in major cities was slightly lower at 71.3 percent
but also reached a five-year peak.
The previous peak in Vladimir Putin’s popularity was in May 2012.
68.8 percent of Russians voiced their support for the president
around the date of his inauguration. A different poll conducted by VCIOM on March 14 and 15 showed
that 91.4 percent of Russian citizens approve of Crimea becoming
a part of the Russian Federation. Only 5 percent said they were
against such an outcome. 86 percent of respondents claimed they
already consider Crimea - home to an ethnic Russian majority - a
part of Russia.
Crimea was caught in the turmoil that engulfed Ukraine after
opposition leaders supported by rightist extremists ousted
President Viktor Yanukovich in late February this year. On March
16 the republic held a referendum on joining Russia in which over
96 percent of voters supported such a move.
Vladimir Putin addressed the Federal Assembly on March 18
pledging full support to Crimeans and praising their decision to
return to Russia after about 60 years of separation. On the same
day the Russian President and Crimean leaders signed a treaty
that makes the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and the city of
Sevastopol new parts of the Russian Federation.
After the ceremony Putin asked Russian parliamentarians to ratify
the treaty as fast as possible. The Lower House will hold a vote on ratification on Thursday and
the Upper House is scheduled to vote on Friday.
Ukraine, the West and Russia: An analysis
The recent events in Ukraine provide a text-book case study on how to
snatch (political and diplomatic) defeat from the jaws of victory.
The history of Ukraine is not the subject of this article, as
information on these historical issues can be obtained easily from a
Google search. As such, the basic point is that Ukraine is not a
homogenous country. Very roughly-speaking, its population is primarily
ethnically Ukrainian and Catholic in the West, and primarily ethnically
Russian and Orthodox in the East. Crimea - which only became part of
Ukraine less than 60 years ago (prior to that it was a part of Russia) -
is a semi-autonomous region within Ukraine, where the population is
approximately 60% ethnically Russian.
For historical reasons, there is a degree of antipathy between ethnic
Ukrainians and ethnic Russians in Ukraine; and there is a degree of
resentment among ethnic Ukrainians about the amount of influence that
Russia has historically exerted over Ukraine. Conversely, ethnic
Russians in Ukraine look to Russia for security and want close Russian
involvement.
Ukraine's economy is not stable or robust. It is approximately US$
150 Billion in debt - US$ 15 Billion of which is owed to Western
financial institutions, and if it defaults on the debt, it will cause a
crisis in Western financial circles. Russia had previously offered
Ukraine a financial guarantee to cover the US$ 15 Billion of debt to
Western institutions. These debts aside, Ukraine gets all of its gas
supplies (without which perhaps a third of its population may die in
winter, and its fragile economy will implode) from Russia at subsidised
rates, and it is further subsidised by Russia with various other
commodities (including food and substantial debt-forgiveness). Ukraine's
30% discount on the natural gas that it buys from Russia every year is
in fact the rent Russia pays for the use of the Crimea for its Black Sea
Fleet, but Ukraine nevertheless also defaults on payments of
approximately US$ 2.5 Billion of natural gas from Russia every year.
These, by the way, are the very stark realities of what is - which trump sentimentalities and views of what should be in an ideal world.
It is commonly accepted that Ukraine's recently-deposed President
(who is still, according to international law, the President), was
corrupt - as was his administration - and not necessarily fit to hold
that office. It is also commonly accepted that his sentiments were
predominantly pro-Russian, and that neither he nor his administration
were widely accepted by ethnic Ukrainians; but were widely accepted by
ethnically-Russian Ukrainians. It is also commonly accepted that he was
democratically elected.
During recent civic unrest in Ukraine - sparked by the
President's/ex-President's refusal to ratify a treaty with the European
Union, which unrest ultimately resulted in loss of life - primarily
ethnic Ukrainians (the "opposition") succeeded in bringing about his
agreement to reduce his powers, implement a national unity government
with the opposition, and hold early elections at the end of the year.
This represented an unqualified victory for the opposition, as
holding course on these terms would almost certainly have brought about
that which they desired (being closer ties to the European Union)
without further conflict, without endangering their financial guarantees
from Russia, and most importantly, in a stable manner. And then it all went very, and very avoidably, wrong.
After these terms had been agreed to, and in a rapid turn of events,
elements among the opposition suddenly declared that they did not accept
the agreement, and would storm the Presidential Palace the next morning
if the President did not immediately step down. Consequently, he fled
to Russia. Within the space of 72 hours, a new (unelected) government
was sworn in, which declared him a fugitive.
Thereafter, in short order, the new government in Kiev's first law
immediately revoked foreign language (read Russian) rights in Ukraine
(this would be like immediately banning the use of French in Canada or
Flemish in Belgium). Other than this, the newly appointed Head of the
Ukrainian government's Security and National Defense Committee (a
virulently and publicly anti-Russian person) publicly called on the
Chechen separatist leader (who is on the USA's list as the regional
leader of Al-Qaeda) to act with Ukraine and attack Russia.
Naturally none of these acts made Ukrainian citizens who are
ethnically Russian feel particularly secure. The EU's Foreign Minister
then publicly hugged members of the new government on TV, and the USA's
representative to the region had publicly gone to give cookies to the
opposition who were now in the new government - also on TV. The ethnic
Russian Ukrainian citizens therefore looked to Russia for help; which
they got (Russia basing its acts on a very loose interpretation of an
agreement which allows it to see to the security of its Black Sea Fleet
in Crimea).
To step away from Ukraine, a comparative situation would be for a
pro-Mexican President in the USA to be deposed by force, for the new
unelected government to immediately ban the use of Spanish (read
Mexican) language rights in the USA, to appoint a virulently and
publicly anti-Mexican person as the Head of Homeland Security,
and for him to call on Al-Qaeda to attack Mexico. It would not make
Mexican-Americans (or Mexico) feel particularly secure or satisfied. It
is also unlikely that Mexican-Americans or Mexico would be further
reassured if the EU's Foreign Minister then came and publicly hugged
members of that new American government on TV, or the Russian
representative to America went to publicly give them cookies on TV (as
the USA's representative did in Kiev). This comparison is inverted
in respect of Ukraine/Russia in that in this example the USA is the
dominant country - however it serves its purpose to illustrate the
potential effect that crude diplomatic actions can have in exacerbating
the fears of a (sizeable) minority in any country.
In any event, after these precipitous and unnecessary actions,
Russian troops entered the Crimea. These events have now created an
international geopolitical flashpoint, in which postures reminiscent of
the Cold War are being struck, with certain Western governments and the
Russian government being at loggerheads, and inflammatory rhetoric being
stepped up on an almost daily basis.
In this stand-off, Western political figures and the Western media
are painting Russia in general and President Vladimir Putin in
particular as the aggressor against Ukraine and as invading Crimea -
which is according to them an indication of a Russian attempt to expand
its "empire". Conversely, Russian and CIS political figures and media
are painting the West as being hypocritical for supporting what they
term an "illegal" government in Ukraine, and Russia's posture is that it
is merely protecting Russian civilians in Crimea according to a
bilateral agreement with Ukraine.
Other than it being worth noting that no military fighting or
bloodshed has occurred in Crimea - yet, it should also be remembered
that the ethnic Russians that make up 60% of the population of Crimea
(and form the majority of the democratically-elected Crimean Parliament
that has now voted to secede from Ukraine as a result of these
incidents) are also Ukrainians by citizenship.
As such, various diplomats' and political leaders' statements that
Ukrainians must be allowed to make their own decisions without external
interference should also apply to them - unless race-based politics are
to be invoked. This is why it is always best for diplomats and
politicians to think carefully about the potential unintended
consequences of their statements before making them in public.
In the current situation, neither the Russian/ethnic-Russian
Ukrainians' position nor the Western/ethnic-Ukrainian Ukrainians'
positions is either completely correct or completely incorrect. There
are elements of truth in both sides' arguments, and also elements of
falsity or posturing. In general, it is now very messy. This situation
was precipitated primarily by hasty and unthinking actions and
statements from (politically) unsophisticated and inexperienced people,
who assumed positions of authority. However, and more seriously, the
continuation and escalation of this incident primarily represents the
complete failure of experienced politicians and diplomats - who should
know better - to manage this process professionally and diplomatically,
and to seek resolution instead of promoting tension.
Regrettably, so poor has this diplomatic performance been that in
conversations which I have held over the past week with friends and
former colleagues of mine in both Ukraine and Russia - who have been in
government service in both of those countries - we have all agreed that
had this type of impulsive behaviour been exhibited by diplomats and
political leaders during the Cold War, we would have come close to
nuclear war erupting.
A further cautionary note is that it serves no purpose to demonise
President Putin as an individual. He is an elected President of a
government. Many ministers in his government (and Parliament) favour, in
comparison to him, a much harder line. He currently enjoys a 68%
approval rating within Russia for his actions in Ukraine, but if he had
taken a harder line, his approval rating in Russia would have been even
higher.
This article is, by the way, not a defence of either the Russian or
Western positions. The current situation is one of the occasions where
it can be said that there are no "clean" sides or arguments, and fault
can be found on all sides. This article is, however, a criticism of the
failures and ineptitude in geopolitical stewardship by diplomats and
political leaders, who have failed to exercise even the most basic and
(supposedly) unbreakable rules of geopolitical statecraft, which are:
1. Never say anything in public that will stoke passions unless you
want to start a conflict (verbal, diplomatic, trade, economic or
military), and even then, only do so if you are certain that you will
win any such conflict to come.
2. Never say anything in public that will stoke the (negative)
passions of the population of a potentially opposing country, as you
will then limit the options that the Head of State of that country has,
as he or she cannot oppose the will (passions) of their own people once
they are inflamed.
3. Never allow a situation to continue to escalate without trying
your utmost to defuse passions as soon as possible, as the longer a
standoff continues the more likely it becomes that the Laws of
Unintended Consequences will be invoked, over which you will have
absolutely no control.
The
inflammatory statements of many political leaders and diplomats -
whose job is in fact to ensure global stability not promote global
instability - sound in some cases like the histrionic comments to be
found in mock debates between first-year political science students;
rather than reflecting sophisticated and mature diplomatic stewardship,
focussed towards responsible de-escalation of tensions at a geopolitical
flashpoint. Other than this, let us examine a few geopolitical,
economic and military realities related to the current situation:
The world is united against Russia:
Well, actually, it is not. The combined population of Russia and the
CIS countries which support the Russian / ethnic-Russian Ukrainians'
position - and the qualified support of China for Russia - means that
the number of persons supporting the Russian position is exponentially
larger than the combined population of the USA and Western Europe. As
such, there is, in fact, a majority of support for Russia if one wants
to crudely try to use numbers as a benchmark for legitimacy. Moreover,
in most of Asia (excluding China), Latin America, and Africa, the
majority of people - including those who even know where to find Ukraine
on a map - generally couldn't care less either way (except as to how it
will affect their economies), as they have their own regional issues to
attend to.
The United Nations Option:
Seeing as the Russian Federation is a permanent Member of the UN
Security Council, and has a veto on the Council, it is a statistical
possibility of zero that any effective action could or would be achieved
through the United Nations.
The Sanctions Option:
Western Europe gets approximately 50% of its natural gas supplies
(absolutely essential for heating in winter and for industry) from the
Russia. Russia has alternative markets, and can turn off the supply
without shattering its own economy. Western Europe does not have an
alternative supply (the infrastructure for receipt and distribution of
sufficient natural gas from other locations does not exist). The results
of the closing off of the gas supply to Western Europe would be
extraordinarily serious for Western Europe and the EU's economy, and in
comparison not nearly as serious for Russia.
Other than this, the US$ 120 Billion per annum worth of trade between Russia and Western Europe benefits primarily Western Europe - not Russia. Russia is self-sufficient in food production, and is a net exporter -for which it is paid in foreign currency. As such, pressure on the Russian Rouble will, in fact, benefit Russia, as in Rouble terms the exports will be more valuable for Russia, being paid for in foreign currency as they are.
Moreover, other than having some of the largest deposits of oil,
diamonds, and multiple minerals and metals, Russia also has some of the
largest deposits of Strategic Minerals - which the rest of the world
cannot do without. As such, continuation of Russian exports is assured,
and if the West did not buy these product (many of which they have to)
then China will buy them.
Finally, Russia has the fourth largest foreign currency reserves in
the world, has hardly any debt, and its economy is sound. Western
European countries and the USA on the other hand have highly indebted
economies - some of which are teetering towards bankruptcy, and others
of which are in the grips of severe austerity measures. No points for guessing who will lose the most with sanctions.
The Military Option:
Various intemperate analysts and political advisers have been
stridently advocating that American and/or NATO military assistance be
provided to Ukraine. Well, let us see. In Strategic Warfare terms, the
Russian Federation has 2 500 Strategic Nuclear Missiles and over 6 000
Tactical Nuclear Weapons - more than the combined nuclear arsenal of the
USA and every other NATO country combined. In Conventional Warfare
terms, Russia has an army of 770 000 men with a further 2 500 000
reserves, 15 000 tanks, 28 000 Armoured Fighting vehicles, 8 000
artillery pieces and mobile rocket launchers, a 21st century
air-defence system, 3 000 aircraft and 900 helicopters - again, more
than the armies of the USA and all NATO members combined. The Russian
Armed Forces' home country (and abundant logistical resupply) is also
right next to Ukraine, while Crimea is home to the entire (large) Black
Sea Fleet of the Russian navy. Therefore, unless the Japanese code of
Bushido - which advocates Hara-Kiri (ritual suicide) and/or Kamikaze
activities - has recently become the ideology of Western leaders; it is
safe to assume it most unlikely that any military assistance could or
would be provided to Ukraine by any Western Armed forces.
The Diplomatic Option:
This is, frankly, the only option available. However, given the
extraordinarily impulsive and belligerent way that it has been handled
to date (in public, instead of in private), one hopes that the political
leaders and diplomats that have been breaking the most basic rules of
statecraft by making inflammatory public statements will rather (as they
seem not to know the basics of their own profession) buy and read a
copy of Henry Kissinger's book "Diplomacy", and then start to act in a
manner that actually befits their high political or diplomatic office.
Currently, they are, in fact, behaving worse than speculators who
irresponsibly play with Other People's Money - as they are, through
engaging in irresponsible and inflammatory public rhetoric, actually
playing with Other People's Lives.
I remember that some years ago, when I was a guest of members of both
the Ukrainian Federal Government and the Government of the Autonomous
Region of the Crimea; I held discussions with them at a Crimean city on
the Black Sea coast called Yevpatoria - which had been, in Soviet times,
a holiday city. The government guest house that I was put up in had
formerly been the USSR's special government house where Yuri Gagarin and
other Soviet Cosmonauts were put up prior to their Space Missions, and
it was filled with Cosmonaut memorabilia. It also had a "Russian
Pyramid" billiard table with its outsized billiard balls. Over a few
games of billiards and some drinks after our discussions, we had time to
chat informally, and I was introduced to a number of Ukrainian
proverbs, two of which strike me as being apt for the current situation.
Given the inflammatory rhetoric being used by diplomats and political
leaders, the only possible result of such rhetoric can be to
continually stoke the fires of potential conflict instead of pouring oil
on troubled waters. Bearing in mind that it is the Ukrainians, and
no-one else, who will bear the brunt of any escalation of conflict, the
first relevant Ukrainian proverb would be this: "The obliging fool is worse than an enemy".
Perhaps it would be best for the Ukrainians themselves to take control
of their own fate and enter into direct (discreet) negotiations with
each other and with Russia and/or Western countries; and not to place
their fate in the hands of those who would oblige them with populist
words, but then disappoint them in respect of concrete actions if the
populist rhetoric escalated the situation.
One only has to look at the assurances given to Poland by third
parties in 1939 - and then review what happened to Poland between 1939
and 1945, but most especially after 1945, to see what can happen to a
country that places the control of its fate into the hands of third
party countries - instead of remaining in control of its own destiny.
The second Ukrainian proverb - given that the situation as it
currently stands in Ukraine is still infinitely soluble in comparison to
what it could most definitely still degenerate into if not checked
through skilful statecraft - is this: "Only when you have eaten a lemon do you appreciate what sugar is".
The taste of the lemon that could yet be eaten if this situation
deteriorates further would be very bitter for all parties involved, and
it would take decades, if not longer, to remove its bitter taste and
legacy if consumed. For all parties, it would be better at this time to rather go in search of sugar.
Stuart Sterze is an international businessman who previously provided
Strategic Geopolitical Consulting services to governments of Eastern
and Western European countries, governments of countries within the
Commonwealth of Independent States (former USSR) - including the Russian
Federation and Ukraine - and to Europe-based International
Organisations.
Source: http://www.politicsweb.co.za/politicsweb/view/politicsweb/en/page
Let Crimea Go!
As the US and its European allies rally around the Ukrainian coup leaders and
denounce the Crimean referendum, we have yet another opportunity to stand in
awe of Washington’s limitless supply of arrogance. Meeting with the new "Prime
Minister" of Ukraine – who achieved his high office by unleashing mobs
on the duly elected government – President Barack Obama averred
Washington would be "forced to apply a cost" unless the Crimean vote
is called off.
So here is the United States, the alleged champion of "democracy,"
hailing a decidedly undemocratic coup, honoring one of the coup leaders
with an appearance at the White House, and railing against the decision
of the democratically elected Parliament of Crimea to let the people
vote on their own future.
As if vaguely aware of the massive hypocrisy infusing his word-cloud,
Obama conceded the Crimeans might possibly have some say in all this, just not now:
he wants talks with the Kremlin which "could lead to different
arrangements over time" for Crimea. "But, that’s not something that can
be done with the barrel of a gun pointed at you" – that is, unless we’re
talking about Afghanistan. Or Iraq.
In Iraq, the first post-invasion elections were unilaterally canceled by Paul
Bremmer, the American viceroy, because the newly "liberated" nation
"wasn’t
ready."
As conceived by the neocon geniuses who lied us into that war, the original scenario
for the elections was for a series of handpicked local "councils" to
vet the candidates and apportion parliamentary seats to suit the
convenience of Washington policymakers. This was furiously rejected by
the Ayatollah Sistani, supreme religious leader of the country’s
majority Shi’ites, who called out tens of thousands of his followers
into the streets, howling holy murder. This set Bremmer and his fellow
neocons back on their heels, and I guess the military intervened to get
Washington to override Bremmer’s commissars and let the Iraqis have
direct elections: you know, like one person one vote.
Then a referendum to ratify the Iraqi constitution was held, and shortly afterward the much-touted "blue finger" vote,
at which point over 100,000 US troops were fighting a revived Sunni
insurgency. The elections failed to tamp down support for the rebels and
so Bush ordered the "surge," which brought the total to over 150,000 American soldiers on the ground in Iraq.
Four elections have been held in Afghanistan with a very big American gun pointed at the Afghan people. In the ’04, ’05, ’09, and 2010
elections for President and Parliament there were as many as 101,000 US
troops in the country – that is, 101,000 guns pointed at the
electorate. Two of those elections have been held with Obama in the
White House – but we can’t really blame him for his hypocrisy.
After all, the habit of "exceptionalism"
is so ingrained in our political class, so much a part of the very air
they breathe, that they are no longer even aware of it. To ordinary
human beings, the breathtaking double standard is all too obvious, but
to an inhabitant of Washington’s Beltway such heretical thoughts are
downright subversive, indicative of the dreaded "moral equivalency" that
separates supposedly marginal figures like Noam Chomsky from the ranks
of the respectable.
When we do it, goes the unspoken first rule of "mainstream" American foreign policy, it’s an act of "liberation" – but when they do it, it’s a brazen violation of international law and a horrific act of aggression.
Our European sock puppets don’t dare dispute this, although their
subjects might have a far different opinion. Before Yatsenyuk showed up
in Washington with his hand out, the US and its NATO allies plus Japan
issued a "stern warning," as the McClatchy story put it, demanding the Russians cancel the referendum – and naturally not deigning to address the Crimeans directly:
"Any such referendum would have no legal effect. Given the lack of adequate preparation and the intimidating presence of Russian troops, it would also be a deeply flawed process which would have no moral force. For all these reasons we would not recognize the outcome."
Yet all these American satraps recognize the "government" of Hamid
Karzai, kept in power by American force of arms, just as they recognized the
Iraqi government that finally emerged from the rubble of war. Or is it that
the presence of American troops is somehow less “intimidating” than the Russians?
Tweet me when Putin sets up the Crimean equivalent of Abu Ghraib. Or when those
mysterious Russian-troops-out-of-uniform go on a murderous rampage like these
guys did.
In Washington, Yatsenyuk at his side, Obama declared that he and his
international vassals would "completely reject" what he called a
"slapdash" election. Did Yatsenyuk wince just a bit upon hearing these
words? After all, is the May 25 national election scheduled in Ukraine
any less slapdash than the Crimean referendum? Not that elections mean
much in Kiev these days.
As Obama hailed the "courage" of the coupists – and Yatsenyuk posed
for the cameras while declaring in a Ukrainian-accented Churchillian
voice "We will never surrender!" – it all came down to the money. Hurry up and pass that $1 billion dollar "aid package" for Ukraine, Obama urged Congress.
He needn’t have bothered: legislation passed the House on Tuesday and the Senate
Foreign Relations Committee approved a similar bill the next day. One of the
few rational human beings on Capitol Hill, Sen. Rand Paul, wrote an op-ed saying
we should "get tough" on the Russians by … denying Ukraine that billion
dollar boondoggle, which I thought was a rather too clever by half way of putting
it. But that should tell you what the atmosphere is like in Beltway-land, where
your money is their chance to posture as world leaders and we’re always on the
verge of some stupendous "crisis."
Meanwhile, back in the real world, the overwhelming majority
of Americans oppose US intervention in Ukraine, and are against sending
military aid in any form: even support for sanctions is weak,
with younger voters decisively opposed. While the Washington
establishment is frothing at the mouth over Ukraine, a judicious
politician like Sen. Paul is wisely urging policymakers not to "tweak"
the Russians – a view more in line with what ordinary Americans think.
Preening and posing on the international stage, huffing and puffing
and threatening to blow Putin’s house down, the Americans are
overreacting to what should be
a regional issue of marginal importance. Yet there is an internal logic
to this overreaction, one dictated by economic and political factors,
the first of these being the ongoing project of NATO expansion.
When a country joins NATO, it must measure up to the alliance’s
military standards, which means a complete upgrade of the armed forces.
This is a bonanza
for Western arms companies, mostly American, which supply the required
equipment and reap multi-billions in profits every time a new member is
inducted into the club. The old Committee to Expand NATO was generously
funded by the big weapons manufacturers, who drooled at the prospect of
recruiting former Soviet bloc nations into the fold. There is money to
be made in Ukraine by the sort of crony capitalists who thrive in the
Age of Obama, and you can bet the push to confer NATO membership on Kiev
is bound to pick up steam. The Georgians, too, are in line
for amalgamation into the NATO Borg, which has moved so far eastward
since the end of the cold war that they’re almost at the gates of
Moscow.
When the Berlin Wall fell, and the old cold war order dissolved,
Western European leaders were eager to ensure peace and relative
stability. This is why Germany’s Helmut Kohl made a deal
with Mikhail Gorbachev that the price of German reunification would be
no eastward expansion of NATO. We can see what the status of that
"gentleman’s agreement" is today.
Western leaders only bloviate about moral and "international law"
when it suits their purposes. Otherwise, when that law is supposed to apply
to them, they shrug it off and suddenly it’s might makes right. Such a Janus-faced
view of justice on the part of the US government is all too familiar to the
world’s peoples: what’s new is that, at this point, even the American people
are beginning to take the same justifiably cynical view of their government’s
role in world affairs. Once again, as in the case of Syria, the American people
oppose the policy preferred by their elites: thankfully, however, the Beltway
crowd is too stupid and self-absorbed to heed that warning, their second in
a few months.
I’m thankful because their blindness augurs their downfall.
Source: http://original.antiwar.com/justin/2014/03/13/let-crimea-go/
Russia’s very different take on Ukraine crisis
There are two things to keep in mind about the Ukrainian crisis. The first is that, rhetoric aside, there is little that the West can or will do to force Russian President Vladimir Putin’s troops out of Crimea. The second is that Russia’s view of what’s happening in Ukraine differs dramatically from the one commonly accepted here. If those who overthrew the old order in Kyiv are counting on the West to protect them militarily from Moscow, they are almost certainly doomed to disappointment.
The U.S., Canada, and other NATO members have made it clear that they are not willing to go to war with Russia over Ukraine. There has been talk of economic sanctions. But as both the West and Russia know, these would cut two ways. In the short run, Western Europe depends on Russian oil and natural gas. Russian rubles grease Britain’s important financial industry. As the BBC reported, British Prime Minister David Cameron has been warned by his own officials against imposing sanctions that could interfere with London’s role as a financial centre.
The West could expel Russia from the G8 group of big industrial nations. But so what? Many countries, including China, get by perfectly well outside of the G8. Resolutions condemning Russia’s intervention in Ukraine’s Crimea region, such as the one passed unanimously in the Commons Monday, may make the participants feel virtuous. But they have no practical effect. Lost in the clamour is the fact that Russia has an entirely different take on what is happening in Ukraine.
In the West, last month’s revolution is lauded as a victory of democracy over despotism. To Russia’s leaders, however, it was a Washington-backed putsch designed to draw a region long deemed essential to Moscow’s security into the enemy camp. U.S. President Barack Obama says Ukraine can both be a friend to the West and to Russia. Putin’s press conference Tuesday was marked by whoppers, including his claim that Russian troops in Crimea are not Russian. But I suspect he was speaking close to the heart when he accused the U.S. and its friends of playing a crucial role in the “coup d’état” that brought Ukraine’s new government to power.
“They sit there across the pond as if in a lab running all kinds of experiments on the rats,” Putin said. To Moscow, the decision to dig in now follows logically from what it sees as two decades of Western double-dealing. Canadians remember that the Berlin Wall came down in 1989. Russia remembers that, in return, the U.S. and its allies agreed to recognize Moscow’s vital interest in its own neighbourhood.
In particular, then U.S. president George Bush pledged not to expand NATO eastward. Yet to Russia’s dismay, that pledge was soon broken as NATO welcomed 11 former Soviet satellites into its fold, including Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic. In 2003 and 2004, Western countries backed so-called colour revolutions in Georgia and Ukraine. In 2008, NATO agreed that both would eventually be allowed to join the military alliance.
The West viewed all of this as the march of democracy. But Moscow saw it as hypocritical meddling. Russia knows that the U.S. accords itself the right to intervene militarily in the affairs of its neighbours. It has famously done so throughout Latin America and the Caribbean. Yet when Moscow does the same, it finds itself branded a pariah. Being lectured on international law by the country that illegally invaded Iraq almost certainly irks.
In a perfect world, Moscow would abandon its strategic interests in Crimea (it’s been home to Russia’s Black Sea fleet since 1783). In a perfect world, Russia would not care if a united Ukraine joined NATO. In the real world, this is unlikely to happen. For this crisis to end, Kyiv and Moscow will have to reach some kind of political accommodation. Moral and financial support from the West may be cheering for Ukraine. But it won’t be enough.
Source: http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2014/03/04/russias_very_different_take_on_ukraine_crisis_walkom.html#
Henry Kissinger: How the Ukraine crisis ends
The West must understand that, to Russia, Ukraine can never be just a foreign country. Russian history began in what was called Kievan-Rus. The Russian religion spread from there. Ukraine has been part of Russia for centuries, and their histories were intertwined before then. Some of the most important battles for Russian freedom, starting with the Battle of Poltava in 1709 , were fought on Ukrainian soil. The Black Sea Fleet — Russia’s means of projecting power in the Mediterranean — is based by long-term lease in Sevastopol, in Crimea. Even such famed dissidents as Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn and Joseph Brodsky insisted that Ukraine was an integral part of Russian history and, indeed, of Russia.
The European Union must recognize that its bureaucratic dilatoriness and subordination of the strategic element to domestic politics in negotiating Ukraine’s relationship to Europe contributed to turning a negotiation into a crisis. Foreign policy is the art of establishing priorities.
The Ukrainians are the decisive element. They live in a country with a complex history and a polyglot composition. The Western part was incorporated into the Soviet Union in 1939 , when Stalin and Hitler divided up the spoils. Crimea, 60 percent of whose population is Russian , became part of Ukraine only in 1954 , when Nikita Khrushchev, a Ukrainian by birth, awarded it as part of the 300th-year celebration of a Russian agreement with the Cossacks. The west is largely Catholic; the east largely Russian Orthodox. The west speaks Ukrainian; the east speaks mostly Russian. Any attempt by one wing of Ukraine to dominate the other — as has been the pattern — would lead eventually to civil war or break up. To treat Ukraine as part of an East-West confrontation would scuttle for decades any prospect to bring Russia and the West — especially Russia and Europe — into a cooperative international system.
Ukraine has been independent for only 23 years; it had previously been under some kind of foreign rule since the 14th century. Not surprisingly, its leaders have not learned the art of compromise, even less of historical perspective. The politics of post-independence Ukraine clearly demonstrates that the root of the problem lies in efforts by Ukrainian politicians to impose their will on recalcitrant parts of the country, first by one faction, then by the other. That is the essence of the conflict between Viktor Yanukovych and his principal political rival, Yulia Tymoshenko. They represent the two wings of Ukraine and have not been willing to share power. A wise U.S. policy toward Ukraine would seek a way for the two parts of the country to cooperate with each other. We should seek reconciliation, not the domination of a faction.
Russia and the West, and least of all the various factions in Ukraine, have not acted on this principle. Each has made the situation worse. Russia would not be able to impose a military solution without isolating itself at a time when many of its borders are already precarious. For the West, the demonization of Vladimir Putin is not a policy; it is an alibi for the absence of one.
Putin should come to realize that, whatever his grievances, a policy of military impositions would produce another Cold War. For its part, the United States needs to avoid treating Russia as an aberrant to be patiently taught rules of conduct established by Washington. Putin is a serious strategist — on the premises of Russian history. Understanding U.S. values and psychology are not his strong suits. Nor has understanding Russian history and psychology been a strong point of U.S. policymakers.
Leaders of all sides should return to examining outcomes, not compete in posturing. Here is my notion of an outcome compatible with the values and security interests of all sides:
1. Ukraine should have the right to choose freely its economic and political associations, including with Europe.
2. Ukraine should not join NATO, a position I took seven years ago, when it last came up.
3. Ukraine should be free to create any government compatible with the expressed will of its people. Wise Ukrainian leaders would then opt for a policy of reconciliation between the various parts of their country. Internationally, they should pursue a posture comparable to that of Finland. That nation leaves no doubt about its fierce independence and cooperates with the West in most fields but carefully avoids institutional hostility toward Russia.
4. It is incompatible with the rules of the existing world order for Russia to annex Crimea. But it should be possible to put Crimea’s relationship to Ukraine on a less fraught basis. To that end, Russia would recognize Ukraine’s sovereignty over Crimea. Ukraine should reinforce Crimea’s autonomy in elections held in the presence of international observers. The process would include removing any ambiguities about the status of the Black Sea Fleet at Sevastopol.
These are principles, not prescriptions. People familiar with the region will know that not all of them will be palatable to all parties. The test is not absolute satisfaction but balanced dissatisfaction. If some solution based on these or comparable elements is not achieved, the drift toward confrontation will accelerate. The time for that will come soon enough.
Source: http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/henry-kissinger-to-settle-the-ukraine-crisis-start-at-the-end/2014/03/05/46dad868-a496-11e3-8466-d34c451760b9_story.html
Public discussion on Ukraine is all about confrontation. But do we
know where we are going? In my life, I have seen four wars begun with
great enthusiasm and public support, all of which we did not know how to
end and from three of which we withdrew unilaterally. The test of
policy is how it ends, not how it begins. Far too often the Ukrainian issue is posed as a showdown:
whether Ukraine joins the East or the West. But if Ukraine is to survive
and thrive, it must not be either side’s outpost against the other — it
should function as a bridge between them. Russia must accept that to try to force Ukraine into a satellite
status, and thereby move Russia’s borders again, would doom Moscow to
repeat its history of self-fulfilling cycles of reciprocal pressures
with Europe and the United States.
The West must understand that, to Russia, Ukraine can never be just a foreign country. Russian history began in what was called Kievan-Rus. The Russian religion spread from there. Ukraine has been part of Russia for centuries, and their histories were intertwined before then. Some of the most important battles for Russian freedom, starting with the Battle of Poltava in 1709 , were fought on Ukrainian soil. The Black Sea Fleet — Russia’s means of projecting power in the Mediterranean — is based by long-term lease in Sevastopol, in Crimea. Even such famed dissidents as Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn and Joseph Brodsky insisted that Ukraine was an integral part of Russian history and, indeed, of Russia.
The European Union must recognize that its bureaucratic dilatoriness and subordination of the strategic element to domestic politics in negotiating Ukraine’s relationship to Europe contributed to turning a negotiation into a crisis. Foreign policy is the art of establishing priorities.
The Ukrainians are the decisive element. They live in a country with a complex history and a polyglot composition. The Western part was incorporated into the Soviet Union in 1939 , when Stalin and Hitler divided up the spoils. Crimea, 60 percent of whose population is Russian , became part of Ukraine only in 1954 , when Nikita Khrushchev, a Ukrainian by birth, awarded it as part of the 300th-year celebration of a Russian agreement with the Cossacks. The west is largely Catholic; the east largely Russian Orthodox. The west speaks Ukrainian; the east speaks mostly Russian. Any attempt by one wing of Ukraine to dominate the other — as has been the pattern — would lead eventually to civil war or break up. To treat Ukraine as part of an East-West confrontation would scuttle for decades any prospect to bring Russia and the West — especially Russia and Europe — into a cooperative international system.
Ukraine has been independent for only 23 years; it had previously been under some kind of foreign rule since the 14th century. Not surprisingly, its leaders have not learned the art of compromise, even less of historical perspective. The politics of post-independence Ukraine clearly demonstrates that the root of the problem lies in efforts by Ukrainian politicians to impose their will on recalcitrant parts of the country, first by one faction, then by the other. That is the essence of the conflict between Viktor Yanukovych and his principal political rival, Yulia Tymoshenko. They represent the two wings of Ukraine and have not been willing to share power. A wise U.S. policy toward Ukraine would seek a way for the two parts of the country to cooperate with each other. We should seek reconciliation, not the domination of a faction.
Russia and the West, and least of all the various factions in Ukraine, have not acted on this principle. Each has made the situation worse. Russia would not be able to impose a military solution without isolating itself at a time when many of its borders are already precarious. For the West, the demonization of Vladimir Putin is not a policy; it is an alibi for the absence of one.
Putin should come to realize that, whatever his grievances, a policy of military impositions would produce another Cold War. For its part, the United States needs to avoid treating Russia as an aberrant to be patiently taught rules of conduct established by Washington. Putin is a serious strategist — on the premises of Russian history. Understanding U.S. values and psychology are not his strong suits. Nor has understanding Russian history and psychology been a strong point of U.S. policymakers.
Leaders of all sides should return to examining outcomes, not compete in posturing. Here is my notion of an outcome compatible with the values and security interests of all sides:
1. Ukraine should have the right to choose freely its economic and political associations, including with Europe.
2. Ukraine should not join NATO, a position I took seven years ago, when it last came up.
3. Ukraine should be free to create any government compatible with the expressed will of its people. Wise Ukrainian leaders would then opt for a policy of reconciliation between the various parts of their country. Internationally, they should pursue a posture comparable to that of Finland. That nation leaves no doubt about its fierce independence and cooperates with the West in most fields but carefully avoids institutional hostility toward Russia.
4. It is incompatible with the rules of the existing world order for Russia to annex Crimea. But it should be possible to put Crimea’s relationship to Ukraine on a less fraught basis. To that end, Russia would recognize Ukraine’s sovereignty over Crimea. Ukraine should reinforce Crimea’s autonomy in elections held in the presence of international observers. The process would include removing any ambiguities about the status of the Black Sea Fleet at Sevastopol.
These are principles, not prescriptions. People familiar with the region will know that not all of them will be palatable to all parties. The test is not absolute satisfaction but balanced dissatisfaction. If some solution based on these or comparable elements is not achieved, the drift toward confrontation will accelerate. The time for that will come soon enough.
Source: http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/henry-kissinger-to-settle-the-ukraine-crisis-start-at-the-end/2014/03/05/46dad868-a496-11e3-8466-d34c451760b9_story.html
Putin may be crazy, but it doesn’t matter
Is
Vladimir Putin crazy? Former U.S. secretary of
state Madeleine Albright says Putin is “delusional.” Germany’s Angela
Merkel says he’s “out of touch with reality.”
I have no idea if he’s crazy and I don’t think it matters. According to The Psychopath Test, numerous CEOs and politicians make the cut based on criteria like their ability to blithely take decisions that wreck millions of lives. And if you look at what he’s actually done, I doubt it matters either. If you designed a computer program to react “rationally” on the model of great power leaders pursuing what’s consensually viewed as the National Interest, it would probably “behave” as Putin has, or perhaps more drastically.
When the Soviet Union broke up, the West said it wouldn’t advance against Russia militarily. Since then it’s tightened a NATO noose around Russia’s neck: Poland, Hungary, the Baltic states, the threat of missiles based near Russian borders. When the Soviets put missiles in Cuba in 1962, the U.S. went berserk, metaphorically or literally, blithely promising to incinerate the planet in response. Was John F. Kennedy delusional? Does it matter? It’s how great powers behave, especially in their own backyard.
I think this is wretched, immoral bullying — maybe I should put that in caps: THIS IS ODIOUS BEHAVIOUR — and bullied nations like Ukraine are right to protest, just as people in Latin America hate it when the U.S. does it. But it’s normal great power activity, crazy or not. By the way, Madeleine Albright, who’s presumably non-delusional, was asked in 1996 if half a million dead Iraqi kids was a “price” worth paying to assert U.S. power in far-off Iraq. She said: “We think the price is worth it.” Please note her use of “we” — indicating a possible collective psychosis.
Is he Hitler? It’s always springtime for Hitler analogies. Hillary Clinton has done it, also U.S. Senators John McCain, Marco Rubio, Lindsey Graham and lesser luminaries. But the only government leaders who’ve taken that plunge are Stephen Harper and Foreign Affairs Minister John Baird. I think the distinction is significant. Out of power, you can say anything since your only purpose is to get elected or re-elected. When you hold power, like Harper and Baird, you might actually have an effect so you tend to be more cautious and less stupid. Except for our guys.
I’d say what this shows is that Harperites have simply abandoned foreign policy as anything except a way to sweep up votes. They’ve already made themselves irrelevant in forums like global climate conferences or the UN; they just don’t give a damn. If you want to become a Canadian diplomat, forget working your way up or getting degrees in global affairs. Become head of the PM’s security detail or shill for the Israeli government instead. This must be discouraging for generations of civil servants. I agree with Yves Engler that Canadian diplomats were never neutral “brokers”; they acted mostly in the interest of the U.S. But that was sometimes useful, offering a little distance from the boss. That’s all gone, too.
The dilemma of the squares. There have always been spontaneous outbreaks of democratic will, like the Paris Commune or slave revolts. There’s a collective as well as an individual need to control one’s life. But recently the eruption and takeover of public spaces — in Tunis, Cairo, Madrid, Wall St., Kyiv’s Maidan — seem more coherent and continuous, perhaps due to social media.
These movements are the lifeblood of democratic renewal. They’re also susceptible to manipulation. Ukraine’s Orange Revolution of 2004 seemed far more stage-managed by western forces like the U.S.’s National Endowment for Democracy or George Soros’ Open Society Institute than the Maidan has been. But there’s no doubt the same forces still operate. See the phone intercepts from U.S. diplomat Victoria Nuland. They make these eruptions vulnerable to charges of being illegitimate fakes.
The trick is finding a way to link the genuine popular outbursts to institutionalized, constitutional, representative forms. I know that’s a mouthful but I don’t think anyone’s come up with a solution. Yet who wants to be stuck with merely voting in the occasional election, then going to sleep for another four years? If anyone has the answer, please write or call.
Pat Buchanan: Putin's Move Into Crimea Strictly 'Defensive'
Russia's aggressive push into Crimea is a "defensive" move by President
Vladimir Putin to keep his country politically and economically viable,
conservative commentator and former presidential candidate Pat Buchanan
says.
"Crimea is probably Russia's foreseeable future for sure . . . I don't agree with those who say this is a beginning of a big new move across Europe," Buchanan told "The Steve Malzberg Show" on Newsmax TV. "It is a move by Putin to make sure that he does not lose Crimea . . . the way he has lost the Ukraine politically and otherwise. So, in that sense, it's defensive. "But no doubt it's a crossing the borders and a capture of territory which does not legally belong to Russia. You can conclude from that what you wish," Buchanan said Tuesday.
A pro-Russian regional government was installed in Crimea earlier this month after armed men seized the parliament building and raised the Russian flag. Crimea is set to hold a referendum Sunday on whether the peninsula should become part of Russia or remain within Ukraine. Buchanan, who has run for president and hosted CNN's "Crossfire," does not think the Crimean takeover is the beginning of a new Cold War.
"The heart of the Cold War was the communist ideology . . . It was an ideology which juggled the globe, which was determined basically to eliminate Western civilization rivals, become a guiding philosophy, religion, whatever you want to call it, the entire world, and that no longer exists," Buchanan said.
"Whatever you say about Vladimir Putin, he is trying to restore the Russian Orthodox faith, which is far different from Leninism or communism. "What he is trying to do with the other elements of the old Soviet Union is to bring them together in an economic union, not again in a political union as far as I can see."
Buchanan said Putin's methods of seizure are also different from those of the old Soviet Union. "The manner at which he is taking Crimea is nothing like the manner Stalin behaved in the Ukraine . . . They murdered between 5 and 9 million people," he said.
"Crimea is probably Russia's foreseeable future for sure . . . I don't agree with those who say this is a beginning of a big new move across Europe," Buchanan told "The Steve Malzberg Show" on Newsmax TV. "It is a move by Putin to make sure that he does not lose Crimea . . . the way he has lost the Ukraine politically and otherwise. So, in that sense, it's defensive. "But no doubt it's a crossing the borders and a capture of territory which does not legally belong to Russia. You can conclude from that what you wish," Buchanan said Tuesday.
A pro-Russian regional government was installed in Crimea earlier this month after armed men seized the parliament building and raised the Russian flag. Crimea is set to hold a referendum Sunday on whether the peninsula should become part of Russia or remain within Ukraine. Buchanan, who has run for president and hosted CNN's "Crossfire," does not think the Crimean takeover is the beginning of a new Cold War.
"The heart of the Cold War was the communist ideology . . . It was an ideology which juggled the globe, which was determined basically to eliminate Western civilization rivals, become a guiding philosophy, religion, whatever you want to call it, the entire world, and that no longer exists," Buchanan said.
"Whatever you say about Vladimir Putin, he is trying to restore the Russian Orthodox faith, which is far different from Leninism or communism. "What he is trying to do with the other elements of the old Soviet Union is to bring them together in an economic union, not again in a political union as far as I can see."
Buchanan said Putin's methods of seizure are also different from those of the old Soviet Union. "The manner at which he is taking Crimea is nothing like the manner Stalin behaved in the Ukraine . . . They murdered between 5 and 9 million people," he said.
Estonian Foreign Ministry confirms authenticity of leaked call on Kiev snipers
The Estonian Foreign Ministry has confirmed the recording of his
conversation with EU foreign policy chief is authentic. Urmas Paet said
that snipers who shot at protesters and police in Kiev were hired by
Maidan leaders. Paet told RIA-Novosti news agency that he talked to Catherine Ashton last week right after
retiring from Kiev, but refrained from further comments, saying
that he has to “listen to the tape first.”
“It’s very disappointing that such surveillance took place
altogether. It’s not a coincidence that this conversation was
uploaded [to the web] today,” he stressed. “My conversation with Ashton took place last week right after
I returned from Kiev. At that time I was already in
Estonia,” Paet added.
Paet also gave a press conference about the leaked tape on
Wednesday, saying that the dramatic events in Kiev, which
resulted in people being killed, must become the subject of an
independent investigation. The Estonian Ministry of Foreign Affairs also issued a statement
on its website, saying that the recording of the leaked telephone
conversation between Paet and Ashton is “authentic.”
The phone call took place on February 26 after Estonia’s FM
returned from his visit to Ukraine, which took place soon after
the end of street violence in Kiev, the ministry added.
“We reject the claim that Paet was giving an assessment of the opposition’s involvement in the violence," the statement stressed, adding that the FM was only providing an overview of what he had heard during his Kiev visit. RT has contacted Ashton’s spokesperson, Maja Kocijancic, who said “we don’t comment on leaked phone conversations.”
The US government declined to comment on the leaked phone
conversation between EU foreign affairs chief Catherine Ashton
and the Estonian foreign affairs minister. State Department spokeswoman Jen Psaki said she had nothing to
say on the issue, ITAR-TASS reported. However, she did accuse
Russia of leaking the tape, stating that “this was another
example of how the Russians work.”
The call took place after Estonia’s Foreign Minister Urmas Paet
visited Kiev on February 25, following the peak of clashes
between the pro-EU protesters and security forces in the
Ukrainian capital.
It was reportedly uploaded to the web by officers of the Security
Service of Ukraine (SBU) loyal to ousted President Viktor
Yanukovich who hacked Paet’s and Ashton’s phones.
During the conversation, Paet stressed that “there is now
stronger and stronger understanding that behind the snipers, it
was not Yanukovich, but it was somebody from the new
coalition.” According to the Estonian FM, “all the evidence shows”
that the “same snipers” at Maidan were shooting at
people from both sides – the police and the protesters.
Ashton reacted to the information by saying: “Well,
yeah…that’s, that’s terrible,” adding that the matter is
worth investigating.
94 people were killed and another 900 injured during the standoff
between police and protesters at Maidan Saquare in Kiev last
month.
Russia calls for OSCE probe into Kiev sniper deaths
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei
Lavrov on Saturday called for an OSCE investigation into who was behind
the deaths of dozens of people in Kiev last month in attacks by snipers,
saying the truth could no longer be "covered up". Lavrov's
comments came after Estonia's top diplomat told EU foreign policy chief
Catherine Ashton in a phone call leaked this weak that the
then-Ukrainian opposition to president Viktor Yanukovych may have been
involved in the attacks.
"The
latest information about the so-called snipers case can no longer be
covered up," Lavrov told a news conference in Moscow with his Tajik
counterpart. "We have proposed
that the OSCE (Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe)
takes up an objective investigation of this and we will ensure there is
justice. "There have been too
many lies, and this lie has been used too long to push European public
opinion in the wrong direction, contrary to the objective facts."
Western
states have blamed Yanukovych's now disbanded elite riot police force
for much of the killing that rocked in Kiev in February. However
Russia has strongly emphasised the leaked phone call between Estonian
Foreign Minister Urmas Paet and Ashton as evidence for its argument that
the new post-Yanukovych government in Kiev is made up of dangerous
extremists. Lavrov's call for a
full probe indicates that this is an issue Russia will not allow to
drop, risking new tensions with the West. In
the audio of the February 26 call, whose authenticity was confirmed by
Estonia, Paet told Ashton he was informed in Kiev that "they were the
same snipers killing people from both sides."
Dozens of protesters and around 15 police officers were killed in the attacks. Paet,
who had held talks with Ukraine's new leaders on February 25, added:
"It's really disturbing that now the new coalition, they don't want to
investigate what exactly happened."
Russia warns could 'reduce to zero' economic dependency on US
Russia could reduce to zero its
economic dependency on the United States if Washington agreed sanctions
against Moscow over Ukraine, a Kremlin aide said on Tuesday, warning
that the American financial system faced a "crash" if this happened. "We would find a
way not just to reduce our dependency on the United States to zero but
to emerge from those sanctions with great benefits for ourselves," said
Kremlin economic aide Sergei Glazyev.
He
told the RIA Novosti news agency Russia could stop using dollars for
international transactions and create its own payment system using its
"wonderful trade and economic relations with our partners in the East
and South." Russian firms and banks would also not return loans from American financial institutions, he said.
"An
attempt to announce sanctions would end in a crash for the financial
system of the United States, which would cause the end of the domination
of the United States in the global financial system," he added. He
said that economic sanctions imposed by the European Union would be a
"catastrophe" for Europe, saying that Russia could halt gas supplies
"which would be beneficial for the Americans" and give the Russian
economy a useful "impulse".
Glazyev has long been seen
as among the most hawkish of the advisors to President Vladimir Putin
but many observers have seen his hand in the apparent radicalisation of
policy on Ukraine since the overthrow of president Viktor Yanukovych. Economists
have long mocked his apocalyptic and confrontational vision of global
economics but also expressed concern that he appears to have grown in
authority in recent months. A
high ranking Kremlin source told RIA Novosti that Glazyev was speaking
in the capacity of an "academic" and his personal opinion did not
reflect the official Kremlin policy.
Glazyev
descrived the new Ukrainian authorities as "illegitimate and
Russophobic", saying some members of the government were on lists of
"terrorist organisations, they are criminals". "If the authorities
remain criminal then I think the people of Ukraine will get rid of them
soon," he added.
Source: http://news.yahoo.com/russia-warns-could-reduce-zero-economic-dependency-us-083926261.html?vp=1
Western sanctions will only strengthen Russian industry – Rogozin
After an urgent closed meeting of the heads of Russian defense
enterprises, Deputy PM Dmitry Rogozin said that possible economic
sanctions could stimulate Russian industry and only hurt its foreign
partners. The meeting took place on Thursday and afterwards the man in
charge of the Russian weapons industry announced the decisions
via a Twitter post.
“The result of the conversation with our industry leaders:
the possible economic sanctions would only force it to work
better and follow the policy of import replacement,” Rogozin
tweeted. “Instead, the boomerang of sanctions would hit and
hurt foreign partners,” the official added.
“Hard to believe that in the conditions of a continuing
economic recession Western politicians find some pleasure in
hurting the businesses that use Russian markets as the only
opportunity to maintain the production and to keep jobs,”
Rogozin wrote.
The Deputy PM paid special attention to the situation in Ukraine
because of the close ties between Russian and Ukrainian weapons
companies dating back to the centralized economy of the Soviet
Union. In early February he expressed hope that economic
cooperation with Russia could help Ukraine create more jobs and
eventually end the social tensions ravaging the country.
Earlier this week, veteran Russian parliamentarian and head of
the Liberal Democratic Party Vladimir Zhirinovsky told reporters
that the sanctions would not have any negatively impact the
Russian economy directly. “The USA is ready to support anyone
if this would help them spite Russia, this is still the remnants
of the Cold War,” the politician noted.
The European Union and the United States have threatened Russia
with various sanctions over its position on the Ukrainian
political crisis and the support to the Crimean Autonomous
Republic that is currently preparing a referendum on possible
succession from Ukraine and joining the Russian Federation. The
measures include visa bans, asset freezes and various economic
restrictions. Polish PM Donald Tusk told the press on Tuesday
that the decision to impose sanctions had already been made and
they would start as soon as Monday.
The US authorities announced last week that they had imposed visa
restrictions on Russian and Crimean officials and private
citizens who they accused of “threatening Ukraine’s
sovereignty and integrity.”
The move prompted telephone talks between Russian Foreign
Minister Sergey Lavrov and US State Secretary John Kerry as well
as a telephone conversation between presidents Vladimir Putin and
Barack Obama FM Lavrov warned that any sanctions against Russia will have a
“boomerang” effect and urged Washington to steer away
from actions that could hurt relations between the countries.
President Putin explained to President Obama that Russia could
not ignore the pleas for help from the Ukrainian Russian-speaking
population, and that all Russia’s actions were in full compliance
with international law. He also emphasized that he regarded
Russian-US relations as of paramount importance to guarantee
stability and security in the world.
“These relations should not be sacrificed to differences over
individual – even though very important – international
problems,” Putin said according to the press release issued
after the talks.
Source: http://rt.com/politics/rogozin-sanctions-boomerang-russian-582/
EU sanctions are ‘stupid’ and will ‘sabotage’ the West – Rosneft spokesperson
A list has surfaced containing the names of more than 100 Russian
businessmen and politicians allegedly targeted for EU economic
sanctions. German newspaper Bild reported Igor Sechin, CEO of the
world’s largest-listed oil company is on the list. Alexey Miller, head of state-owned Gazprom and Vladimir Yankunin,
who runs Russian Railways, are both rumored to be on the ‘list’.
"This is stupid, petty and obvious sabotage of themselves
most of all," Rosneft spokesman Mikhail Leontyev said by
phone, Reuters reports. Rosneft’s official comment echoes that of Sergey Lavrov, Russia’s
foreign minister, who warned any sanctions against Moscow will have a
“boomerang” effect."I hope this all ends up as being empty rhetoric,"
Leontyev said in response to the Bild’s report that Sechin is on
the list of key targets.
The US and EU have warned that Russia’s actions in Crimea will be
followed by economic sanctions, and it won’t be “business as
usual” with Russia. More precise actions are expected on March
17, following a referendum vote in Crimea taking place this Sunday. On Wednesday, the EU agreed to issue visa bans and freeze assets
of anyone who was “responsible” for undermining the
territorial integrity of Ukraine, including key politicians,
state-owned banks, commercial organization, and other state
agencies.
In response,
Russia said it could issue counter
sanctions against the EU and US if they push sanctions, which may
include freezing the assets of Western companies and individuals.
Rosneft has increased earnings this year by more than 50 percent,
company officials announced on Tuesday. Rosneft accounts for 40
percent of Russia’s oil output.
Rosneft’s western partners
Rosneft’s western partners
"I think this would primarily affect Rosneft's business partners in the West in an extraordinary way,” the spokesman said.
Rosneft has strong strategic partnerships worldwide. Some of the
biggest projects are with China’s state-owned oil companies as
the country looks east to growing Asian markets, rather than west
for expanding markets. In 2013, net income reached $15.6 billion, which pushed the
company’s market capitalization to $72.8 billion. In 2013 the
company’s capitalization increased by 18 percent, much of this
due to the acquisition of TNK-BP.
US-based ExxonMobil is planning a $500 billion exploration of the
Bazhenov oil field in Western Siberia, and a separate Far East
liquefied natural gas terminal project costing $15 billion. The
project is aimed at expanding the company’s influence in the
East. Exxon has also partnered with Rosneft to explore Black Sea
reserves, which lie under Crimean waters.
Another big project is with Norway’s Statoil, to explore the
continental shelf in the Barents Sea. In Japan, Rosneft has
signed a deal to jointly explore oil and gas in the Sea of
Okhotsk with INPEX, Japan’s largest energy exporter.
As CEO, Sechin may be best-known for his affinity for oil deals
in Venezuela, where the CEO often makes personal trips. Rosneft’s
influence in Venezuela ranges from exploring
‘sand oil’ in the Orinoco River delta to huge offshore projects.
Source: http://rt.com/business/eu-sanctions-sechin-rosneft-906/
Wall Street Journal: Welcome to the 19th Century
'You just don't in the 21st century behave in 19th century fashion by
invading another country on completely trumped up pretext," declared
John Kerry on March 2 as Russia began its conquest of Ukraine's Crimean
peninsula. Though he didn't intend it, the U.S. Secretary of State was
summing up the difference between the current leaders of the West who
inhabit a fantasy world of international rules and the hard men of the
Kremlin who understand the language of power. The 19th-century men are
winning.
***
Vladimir Putin consolidated his hold on
Crimea Sunday by forcing a referendum with only two choices. Residents
of the Ukrainian region could vote either to join Russia immediately or
to do so eventually. The result was a foregone conclusion, midwifed by
Russian troops and anti-Ukraine propaganda. Russia's Foreign Minister
Sergei Lavrov dismissed Mr. Kerry's pleas for restraint on Friday in
London, and Russia vetoed a U.N. Security Council resolution denouncing
the Crimean takeover a day later.
Next up for conquest may be
eastern Ukraine. Russian troops are massed on the border, and on
Saturday its soldiers and helicopter gunships crossed from Crimea and
occupied a natural gas plant on the Ukrainian mainland. Scuffles and
demonstrations in the eastern Ukrainian cities of Donetsk and Kharkiv,
egged on by Russian agitators, could create another "trumped up
pretext." And what is to stop Mr. Putin? In the two weeks since Russian
troops occupied Crimea, President Obama and Europe have done little but
threaten "consequences" that Mr. Putin has little reason to take
seriously.
The U.S. has refused Ukraine's request for urgent
military aid, and it has merely sent a few NATO planes to the Baltic
states and Poland. The Russian strongman might figure he's better off
seizing more territory now and forcing the West to accept his facts on
the ground. All the more so given that his domestic popularity is
soaring as he seeks to revive the 19th-century Russian empire. Left
in shambles are the illusions of Mr. Obama and his fellow liberal
internationalists. They arrived at the White House proclaiming that the
days of U.S. leadership had to yield to a new collective security
enforced by "the international community." The U.N. would be the
vanguard of this new 21st-century order, and "international law" and
arms-control treaties would define its rules.
Thus Mr. Obama's
initial response to Mr. Putin's Crimean invasion was to declare, like
Mr. Kerry, that it is "illegal" because it violates "the Ukrainian
constitution and international law." As if Mr. Putin cares. The
19th-century men understand that what defines international order is the
cold logic of political will and military power. With American power in
retreat, the revanchists have moved to fill the vacuum with a new world
disorder.
Backed by Iran and Russia, Bashar Assad is advancing
in Syria and may soon crush the opposition. Iran is arming the terrorist
militias to the north and south of Israel. China is pressing its
regional territorial claims and building its military. And Mr. Putin is
blowing apart post-Cold War norms by carving up foreign countries when
he feels he can. The question now is whether Mr. Obama and his
advisers will shed their 21st-century fantasies and push back against
the new Bonapartes. Jimmy Carter finally awoke after the Soviets invaded
Afghanistan, but Mr. Obama hasn't shown the same awareness of what is
happening on his watch.
We've written about the need for broad
economic and financial sanctions against Russia and its elites. Skeptics
reply that Europe will never go along. Even if that's true—and that
would mean a failure of U.S. diplomacy—it shouldn't deter the U.S. from
imposing its own banking and financial sanctions. The world's banks can
be made to face a choice between doing business with Russia or doing
business in America. We know from the Bush Administration's experience
with North Korea that such sanctions bite.
The West must also meet Mr. Putin's military aggression with a
renewed military deterrent. This does not mean a strike on Russia or
invading Crimea. It should mean offering military aid to Ukraine to
raise the price of further Russian intervention. Above all it means
reinforcing NATO to show Mr. Putin that invading a treaty ally would
lead to war. The U.S. and Europe should move quickly to forward
deploy forces to Poland, the Baltic states and other front-line NATO
nations. This should include troops in addition to planes and armor.
Reviving an updated version of the Bush-era missile defense installation
in Eastern Europe is also warranted, including advanced interceptors
that could eventually be used against Russian ICBMs.
Russia's
revanchism should also finally awaken Europeans to spend more on their
own defense. The 19th-century men know that nationalism isn't dead as a
mobilizing political force. Western Europe's leaders will have to
relearn this reality or their dreams of European peace will be
shattered. They need more modern arms of their own in addition to
America's through NATO. In response to the Crimean referendum
Sunday, the White House issued a statement declaring that, "In this
century, we are long past the days when the international community will
stand quietly by while one country forcibly seizes the territory of
another." We shall see, but Mr. Obama first needs to understand that
America's adversaries reject his fanciful 21st-century rules.
Heavier Sanctions on Russia Could Backfire
Heavier U.S. and European Union
sanctions could sting Russia's already slow-growing economy and hurt its
financial sector. But Moscow could retaliate and seize American and
other foreign assets or cut exports of natural gas to Europe, which is
heavily dependent on Russia for energy.
Russian
Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov on Friday warned Secretary of State John
Kerry that U.S. sanctions could "backfire," the Russian foreign
ministry said in a statement. During a telephone call, Lavrov urged the
U.S. not to take "hasty, poorly thought-out steps that could harm
Russian-U.S. relations, especially concerning sanctions, which would
unavoidably boomerang on the U.S. itself," the statement said.
In
a separate statement on Friday, the Russian Foreign Ministry also
warned the European Union that any sanctions it imposed would not go
unanswered and would harm "the interests of the EU itself and its member
nations."
Declaring his
determination not to let the Kremlin carve up Ukraine, President Barack
Obama on Thursday slapped new visa restrictions on Russian and other
opponents of Ukraine's government in Kiev and authorized wider financial
penalties against those involved in the military intervention or in
stealing state assets. Obama emphasized his resolve in an hourlong
telephone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin, affirming his
contention that Russia's actions violate Ukraine's sovereignty.
On Capitol Hill, both chambers of Congress looked to advance legislation imposing hard-hitting sanctions on Russia.
Obama hailed U.S.
cooperation with the European Union, which on Thursday suspended talks
with Putin's government on a wide-ranging economic agreement and on
granting Russian citizens visa-free travel within the 28-nation bloc.
But Europe's presidents and prime ministers remain divided on taking
more drastic steps such as freezing assets and issuing travel bans on
Russian officials.
European
hesitancy reflected the reality that targeting influential Russian
businessmen or major Russian companies would also harm Europe's economic
interests. U.S. trade with Russia is less than one-tenth of Europe's.
Russian
investors hold assets worth billions in European banks, particularly in
Britain, which is highly protective of its financial sector, and major
exporters such as Germany and the Netherlands have far more at stake
than the United States in Russia's consumer economy.
Showing
greater caution than Obama on sanctions, German Chancellor Angela
Merkel said European penalties against Russia depend "on how the
diplomatic process progresses." EU President Herman Van Rompuy said
travel bans, asset freezes and the cancellation of an EU-Russia summit
could still come. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk acknowledged "no
enthusiasm" in Europe for economic sanctions.
In
some ways, the debate over sanctions echoes the Cold War doctrine of
military strategy in which if two opponents fired off nuclear weapons,
both sides would be annihilated.
"There
is a kind of mutually assured destruction relationship here," said
Steven Pifer, a former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine and analyst at the
Brookings Institution think tank in Washington. "Russia could say,
'Well, we're going to cut off your gas, and you guys can now scramble
and buy extra gas and pay big prices.'
"It
would hurt the Europeans, but it also would cut off the biggest source
of cash that flows into Russia today," he said referring to oil and gas
sales that account for about 60 percent of Russia's exports and half of
its government revenue. "So the Russians may threaten some things, but
they also have to consider that if they do that what it would do to the
Russian economy."
The West should forget about punishing Russia and do more to help Ukraine
The United States
and the European Union
both announced aid packages for Ukraine last week. But with the new
government in Kiev struggling to clean house after the corrupt rule of
Viktor Yanukovych and face down a belligerent Russia, the aid packages
are too small and will disburse too slowly to provide the immediate help
it needs. Ukraine’s
current crisis is typically miscast as a political conflict between
East and West—between pro-Russian Yanukovych and Europhile opposition
leader Yulia Tymoshenko; between the country’s Russian-speaking eastern
regions and its Ukrainian-speaking western half; and between Russia and
its old Cold War adversaries. These political clashes are, however,
byproducts of a much more profound, long-simmering Ukrainian economic
crisis that has been decades in the making.
Since its independence in 1991, Ukraine hasn’t been economically viable. Though it is one of the world’s top cereal producers,
its manufacturing infrastructure is tired and its steel industry is
obsolete. It adds to these woes by rigging its currency at artificially
high levels, making consumer imports cheap, but exports uncompetitive. The
economy is also dangerously dependent on natural gas imports from
Russia that power about 40% of Ukraine’s electricity production. The
supply contracts for Russia’s natural gas provide a cover for massive
corruption by Russian and Ukrainian interests, as Quartz’s Steve LeVine notes. The
problem is compounded by huge Ukrainian government subsidies: Kiev pays
about 80% of the cost of Russian gas imports. In theory, it passes the
remaining 20% on to consumers and businesses, but the government’s
collection efforts are spotty.
As
a result, the Ukrainian state has racked up debt equivalent to about
40% of GDP. That’s not massive compared with other troubled
countries—Greece’s debt-to-GDP ratio exceeds 150%—but it’s more than
Ukraine and most emerging markets can sustain.
Ukraine is living on borrowed time
Through
the 1990s and early 2000s, foreign appetite for Ukrainian grain and
steel kept the country afloat. But with the 2008 financial crisis,
demand for Ukrainian exports crashed. Rather than adjusting their
spending, successive Ukrainian governments flirted alternately with
Russia and the West to paper over the country’s financial cracks. With
IMF support, the government set reform programs in motion in 2008 and
2010 to put the country on a sounder financial footing. But both IMF
loans were suspended when Ukraine reneged on promised reforms. Accession
talks with the European Union stalled. Kiev turned to Moscow for help,
and replaced Western financing with $15 billion in support from Russia
combined with $7 billion of natural gas discounts. All of that got
pulled when Yanukovych fled office a few weeks ago.
Ukraine
is now living on borrowed time. Around $20 billion in debt comes due
over the next two years. That’s $20 billion the Ukrainian government
can’t finance. Its other financing needs are murky: No-one trusts the
Kiev authorities’ numbers. An IMF mission arrived in Kiev last week to
set the facts straight, but it won’t report back to Washington for
another week. In
any case, a crisis two decades in the making can’t be undone in the 18
to 36 months of a typical IMF-supported reform program. As for the
American and European aid, it will also likely carry conditions the
fledgling Ukrainian government can’t fulfill in the coming months. The
government has already started slashing pensions and social spending to
meet the West’s demands. Rather than shoring up the interim
administration, this is a recipe for disaster ahead of May elections.
Kiev needs more money, and sooner
Ukraine
needs more time to reform its economy and put it on a sustainable
path. The West should make its offer of aid more realistic. First,
the US and EU need to front-load their aid packages and make them
richer. The American offer of $1 billion in loan guarantees would make
only a dent in Ukraine’s financing needs. Europe’s $11 billion aid
package would release only about $1.6 billion this year, and then only
on agreement to widespread reforms and a deal with the IMF. To dispel
any fear of a debt default and defer crippling spending cuts, the US and
Europe should offer Ukraine $20 billion over the next two years, of
which $7 billion to $10 billion should be upfront in liquid non-project
financing. Second,
the West needs to ensure that IMF money carries fewer strings and
disburses faster than past loans. The Ukrainian government has requested
$15 billion from the IMF, but this is likely to come in two parts:
perhaps $1 billion under an emergency facility, with the rest over the
next three years once Kiev has agreed to tough conditions. Third, the West needs to open unilaterally and immediately its markets to Ukrainian goods by dropping tariff barriers.
Punishing Russia won’t achieve anything
Diplomatic
isolation, asset freezes, and travel bans may be appropriate, but are
unlikely to have much impact on Russia. Economic and financial sanctions
that would actually bite aren’t credible. Russia does $100 billion in
annual trade with Europe. One-third of European natural gas comes from
Russia. The $3 billion in transit fees on that gas constitute Ukraine’s
largest service export. And London’s banks house billions in oligarchs’
assets. Europe needs Russia and Vladimir Putin knows it. Likewise,
musings about the US using its abundant shale gas or releases from its
Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) to drive down global energy prices and
hurt Russia’s exports are fantasies. It will be years before the US has the infrastructure needed
to export its gas surplus. And SPR releases turn the screws on Russia
only if OPEC, or at least the Saudis, check their production too.
Finally,
helping Ukraine is diplomatically easier than sanctioning Russia. In
contrast with the UN Security Council, where Russian and Chinese vetoes
hamper action, the US and Europe have enough voting power on the IMF
Executive Board to approve a large loan with few strings to Ukraine.
They should use that power. Solve
Ukraine’s economic problems, and you stop Kiev’s oscillating tease
between East and West. Help Ukraine’s emerging leaders make the country
economically sustainable, and you make Ukraine a bridge between East and
West rather than a flash point of tension. Henry Kissinger asks how the Ukraine crisis ends. The answer: When we start sending real money to Kiev.
Source: http://qz.com/185767/the-west-should-forget-about-punishing-russia-and-do-more-to-help-ukraine/
Russia provides passports to Berkut officers
The Russian Foreign Ministry has answered SOS signals coming from the
disbanded Ukrainian riot police “Berkut.” The ministry ordered the
prompt issue of Russian passports for the officers, who have been
threatened by lynch mobs. "The Consulate General in Simferopol has started giving out
Russian passports to officers of the special Berkut forces, based
on the applications it has received,” the consulate’s
spokesperson Evgeniya Kaplunenko told Itar-Tass.
The Berkut officers who choose to get a Russian citizenship will
be offered career opportunities in some regions of Russia,
Russian Interior Ministry’s press-service said earlier on Friday.
The governor of Russia’s Astrakhan region has announced that
“if needed, the Region can accept, accommodate and provide
social, rehabilitation and other help for Berkut officers and
their families,” adding that they will not be left without
employment there. Other regions have also offered help to Ukrainians in general,
who found themselves in “difficult circumstances,”
according to Itar-Tass.
On Saturday, Russia’s Consul General in Simferopol, Vyacheslav
Svetlichny, said he did not exclude the possibility of
Russian passports being issued not only for ex-Berkut officers,
but also for all Ukrainian citizens who wanted them. “That could be possible,” Svetlichny told RIA Novosti.
“We will be solving these issues gradually.”
The news came as a surprise for some of the Berkut unit members,
who not only were left without a job, but have also been showered
with threats to themselves and their families.
“The people who have come to power do not need us; to them, we are enemies. We have been threatened, they want to execute us. Of course, in such conditions we will be glad to receive any kind of protection,” a Crimea-based Berkut officer told RIA Novosti on condition of anonymity. According to the officer, he has only just learned about Russian Foreign Ministry’s statement, and will now spread the word to Berkut officers in other parts of Ukraine.
Berkut, the Ukrainian riot police that took a prominent part in
trying supress the riots in Kiev, which started at the end of
November, became “arch-enemies” of Maidan, have largely
been demonized both at home and in the Western media. The
officers in the unit are usually mentioned in connection with the
brutal ejection of Maidan protesters on November 30 that they
actually carried out, or are presented as cold-blooded murderers
of dozens of unarmed people during last week’s bloody street
battles in Kiev, which is yet to be proven.
However, few mention the other side of the story: weeks of having to stand on duty and obey orders with a hail of stones, pyrotechnics and petrol bombs raining down on their heads, with groups of violent armed rioters always waiting for an officer to be separated from a group to beat him to a bloody pulp, or with some “revolutionary engineers” reportedly mixing up flammables and toxic substances behind the scenes on Maidan to test inextinguishable fire on living human beings.
Berkut’s body armor, which many of the reporters cited, did not
mean they were not burnt, shot in the neck or the head by the
armed rioters, or had their limbs and other body parts broken.
While “only” 16 law enforcement officers, including those of
Berkut, were killed in Kiev clashes, hundreds more were injured,
and many were hospitalized with serious gunshot wounds. However,
while the new Ukrainian authorities promised the strictest
possible investigation into “crimes against humanity” by
President Viktor Yanukovich or into the “deaths of peaceful
protesters” in central Kiev, they apparently crossed out any
responsibility on the part of the armed radical groups, including
the Right Sector.
Source: http://rt.com/news/berkut-police-russian-passports-266/
Russian nationalists promote granting citizenship to ethnic Russians from Ukraine
Ukrainian nationalists are suggesting the Russian language could be
banned in the country, so the populist Russian nationalist LDPR party
suggests fast-tracking Russian citizenship for ethnic Russians in
Ukraine and their families.
MP Ilya Drozdov of the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia on
Monday initiated a bill that allows Russian citizenship within
six month if the applicant successfully proves his or hers
Russian ethnicity. This can be done by presenting documents
proving that any of one’s direct ancestors had Russian
citizenship by birth. The politician also mentioned grandparents
and great-grandparents, apparently meaning that citizenship of
the Soviet Union and the Russian Empire can count as well.
Drozdov emphasized that his suggestion came about because of the
current political situation in Ukraine. “The adoption of this
amendment would allow to lawfully use the migration potential of
Ukrainian citizens of Russian ethnicity who desire to get Russian
citizenship,” the lawmaker explained. He added that the
potential influx of ethnic Russians would help to stabilize their
number in the country and prevent their replacement by people
from Central Asian states.
On Sunday the Ukrainian parliament canceled the 2012 law “On
State Language Policy” that allowed the country’s regions to add
more official languages to the existing Ukrainian, if these
languages were used by over 10 percent of population. The law was
originally passed in the interests of the Russian-speaking
industrial eastern part of the country where regional
legislatures quickly officially recognized the Russian language,
but also benefited two Western regions that have introduced
Romanian and Hungarian as official languages, and the Crimea
Region where lot of people speak Tatar. Currently, the Eastern
regions face mass demonstrations against the “Maidan” policies
and newly-appointed officials and most of all against the
infringement of the rights of the Russian speaking population.
According to some sources, the head of the Freedom Party, Oleg
Tyagnibok has recently spoke before his supporters in Kiev and
said that the use of Russian language should be criminalized and
all ethnic Russians should be stripped of citizenship and live
under the non-citizen status.
At the same time, Tyagnibok has said that the recent cancellation
of the language law was technical and promised to introduce a new
non-discriminative bill in the near future. He gave no details.
Russia had a simplified procedure of citizenship for residents of
former Soviet republics from the collapse of the USSR till 2009.
Over 2 million people have used this scheme and become Russians.
The rule has never been based on ethnicity though – for example,
many residents of the Republic of South Ossetia are ethnic
Ossetians – the Caucasian people of Iranian roots – and yet many
of them have received Russian passports hoping for protection
from neighboring Georgia.
In 2012 Vladimir Putin voiced an initiative to simplify the
citizenship procedure for the residents of the former Soviet
Union and descendants of Russian emigrants, but it has not yet
ended in a law.
The Russian ambassador to Ukraine has been recalled to Moscow for
consultations in connection with the political situation in the
country. On Monday Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev
commented. “We do not understand what is going on there,
there is a real threat to our interests and to the lives and
health of our citizens,” he noted.
Medvedev also added that currently Ukraine lacked legitimate
representatives of authority, and expressed surprise over Western
politicians holding opposite opinions.
“Strictly speaking, today there is no one there to communicate
with. The legitimacy of a number of power bodies is in huge
doubt,” the Prime Minister said at a press conference. “If
you consider people in black masks strolling through Kiev with
Kalashnikov rifles a government, then it will be difficult for us
to work with such a government," Medvedev stated.
“Some our foreign, western partners hold the opposite
opinion, they think these people to be legitimate power bodies. I
do not know what constitution and what laws they have been
reading, but I hold that it is some sort of conscience aberration
when you call something legitimate while in reality it is a
result of a mutiny,” the Russian official told reporters.
Source: http://rt.com/politics/russia-ukraine-citizenship-bill-474/
Armed groups of Cossacks from across the area are flocking to the disputed region to help Moscow wrest it from Ukraine in hopes they'll be rewarded by being integrated into Russia's primary security apparatus after the takeover is complet.
On Monday morning, about 150 Cossack officers got together in Crimea, the breakaway region of Ukraine, and lined up in formation on the central square of the regional capital Simferopol. Bundled up against the winds that blew in that day from the Black Sea, they made for a sorry sight, disheveled and grumpy, like a reunion of elderly veterans kitted out in old, mismatching camouflage gear. But their commander, Vladimir Cherkashin, stood before them in a leather jacket and military cap to say their fortunes were about to change.
They noted a broad overlap of the Russian and Chinese views on the current situation in and around this country (Ukraine),” the Russian Foreign Ministry said. In addition, the Russian ministry said the two ministers pledged to continue close contacts on the issue. Meanwhile, UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon is expected to meet with Lavrov later in the day on the sidelines of the UN Human Rights Council in Geneva to discuss the spiraling crisis in Ukraine. The developments come as seven major industrialized countries denounced Russia’s military actions in Ukraine’s semi-autonomous Republic of Crimea.
On March 1, the upper house of the Russian parliament unanimously approved a request by President Vladimir Putin to deploy troops into the Crimea if necessary. The approval came after Crimea’s regional Prime Minister Sergey Aksenov asked Putin to help restore peace and calm in the region amid tensions over the region’s resistance against new pro-Western authorities in Kiev. Russia has dispatched hundreds of its troops to the Ukrainian territory of Crimea “to protect its interests and also of those Russian speakers in that region.”
At first, Rustem Kadyrov could barely make out the mark outside his
house, in the Crimean town of Bakhchysarai, but it filled him with
terror. It was an X, cut deep into the gray metal of the gate, and its
significance cut even deeper, evoking a memory Kadyrov shares with all
Crimean Tatars. Kadyrov, who is thirty-one, grew up hearing stories
about marks on doors. In May of 1944, Stalin ordered his police to tag
the houses of Crimean Tatars, the native Muslim residents of the
peninsula. Within a matter of days, all of them—almost two hundred
thousand people—were evicted
from their homes, loaded onto trains, and sent to Central Asia, on the
pretext that the community had collaborated with the Nazi occupation of
Crimea.
Kadyrov’s grandmother, Sedeka Memetova, who was eight at the time, was among those deported. “The soldiers gave us five minutes to pack up,” she told me, when I visited the family on Thursday. “We left everything behind.” Memetova still has vivid memories of her journey into exile: the stench of the overcrowded train carriage, the wailing of a pregnant woman who sat next to her, and the solemn faces of the men who had to lower the bodies of their children off of the moving train—the only way, she said, to dispose of the dead. Four of her siblings were among the thousands of Crimean Tatars who never even made it to their final destination, Uzbekistan.
Starting in the nineteen-sixties, the Soviet Union began to allow survivors of the deportation to return. Memetova and her family came back to Crimea almost three decades ago, in 1987. This weekend, at around 3 P.M. on Saturday, Memetova’s forty-four-year-old daughter, Ava, looked out the window and saw four young men, strangers to the neighborhood, walking down the street, armed with batons. The men were also carrying pieces of paper, Ava told me—which she believes were lists of homes belonging to Crimean Tatars. Seventy years after Memetova’s deportation, her house had been marked once again. “Just as we thought we finally had a future,” she said. “How could anyone do this in the twenty-first century?”
When I walked up Chiisty Istochniki Street from the Memetovas’ house, I saw similar marks on four other houses, all of them residences of Crimean Tatars, Kadyrov said. The houses of their Russian neighbors, however, had not been touched. Similar markings have been reported in other parts of Bakhchysarai, and in some areas of the regional capital, Simferopol. Kadyrov told me that he called the police, who came out see his gate, but they refused to register a case. He was not surprised. “The police will not help us,” he said. “They told me Crimean Tatars are not a priority for them. Of course not—they are punishing us because we do not want Putin here.”
Kadyrov’s Russian neighbors have noticed the markings but dismissed his worries. “Whoever did it was just joking,” one woman, who did not wish to be named, told me. “We get along with our neighbors fine,” she continued. “But it would be helpful if Crimean Tatars stopped supporting Kiev.”
Vladimir Putin, the Russian President, claims that his country has an obligation to protect the Crimean peninsula’s Russians, a majority of its population, from what he called an “orgy of nationalists, and extremists, and anti-Semites” rampaging through the streets of Kiev. “What does that mean for us?” Kadyrov asked. “Who will protect us?”
Crimea is now firmly under the control of a new, pro-Moscow government, which does not recognize the authority of the new administration in Kiev. On Thursday, as the United States and European Union ramped up pressure on the Kremlin—announcing sanctions and visa restrictions against involved individuals—the regional parliament in Crimea voted unanimously to declare the peninsula part of Russia. A previously scheduled referendum on more autonomy for Crimea within Ukraine was moved up from March 30th to March 16th, and changed to a question about merging Crimea with Russia.
There are about three hundred thousand Crimean Tatars on the peninsula, and although they constitute only fifteen per cent of its population they have great political significance. If they do not back the upcoming referendum, it will be far more difficult for the pro-Moscow government in Crimea to legitimize what is in effect a Russian annexation of the peninsula. This, Crimean Tatars told me, is precisely why pressure is growing for them to turn their back on Kiev.
Over the past week, Moscow has sent a series of delegations to meet with the leaders of the Crimean Tatar community. On Wednesday, the President of Tatarstan, an autonomous Muslim republic in Russia, met with members of the representative body of Crimean Tatars, known as the Mejlis. Another member of his delegation, Ilshat Aminov—the head of Tatarstan’s state broadcaster—paid a visit on the same day to the journalists at a Crimean Tatar television channel, ATR, which has been openly supportive of the new government in Kiev.
I happened to be at ATR when Aminov arrived. His laughter echoed through the newsroom as he walked around, praising the station’s modern equipment and avoiding any discussion of the news. When I asked Aminov about the reason for his visit, he said, simply, “I am here to support my brothers in a time of trouble.” Linur Yunusov, a senior journalist at ATR, told me that while no Russian official had ever bothered to visit Crimean Tatars before, Moscow was now sending one delegation after another. “This sudden brotherly love is overwhelming,” he joked.
At one point, a journalist inside the newsroom called Aminov’s attention to a television screen, which showed masked Russian soldiers blocking the entrance to a military base outside Simferopol. “This is our live position,” the journalist said, provocatively. “A perfect view of the Russian occupation.” Aminov didn’t take the bait. “Which editing software do you use?” he replied.
The delegates visiting from Russia have made many promises to the Crimean Tatars to solicit their political support: seats in the new government, financial assistance, official language rights, and rural-development programs. These offers resonate, particularly as the community feels that its plight has been largely ignored by the government in Kiev for the past quarter century. Many Crimean Tatars remain bitterly disappointed that Kiev has not delivered on its many promises to pass laws that would recognize victims of Stalin’s deportation or establish Crimean Tatar-language schools.
“We are on a verge of losing our culture, our language, our identity,” Yunusov, the senior journalist, told me. And yet, like most of the Crimean Tatars I have interviewed, he believes that the community will be safer if the peninsula remains part of Ukraine. “For us, a European Ukraine is the only way of making sure that we survive as people,” he said. “We need European laws to protect our identity. After what happened in 1944, we can never trust the Russians.”
Eskandar Baiibov, a deputy in the Crimean Tatar Mejlis, told me firmly that his community is unanimous in its backing for the government in Kiev, and that Crimean Tatars would boycott any referendum on joining Russia. But he is also terrified, he admitted, of the price that they might have to pay for refusing to give the Kremlin the support it wants.
“We are already seeing signs that they are trying to intimidate us, to split us, to stir trouble,” Baiibov said. “Ukrainians are also vulnerable, but at least they have Ukraine to go to. Where will we go? Crimea is our only home.” After the regional parliament voted to merge Crimea into Russia on Thursday, the chairman of the Mejlis, Refat Chubarov, released a statement to the press, calling for the United Nations to “immediately consider” sending a contingent of international peacekeepers into Crimea, “in order to deëscalate the military conflict … which can lead to mass casualties among the entire civilian population of the peninsula.”
But the prospect of U.N. peacekeepers landing on the peninsula anytime soon is less than slim. And so, as Crimea prepares for a referendum on its future, its native people are preparing for the worst. In Bakhchysarai, Ava’s husband has cut up metal rods and placed them throughout the house so the family can use them to fight off any possible intruders. The men of Chiisty Istochniki Street now take turns patrolling the neighborhood at night, and Rustem Kadyrov has applied for travel documents for his children.
“Many of us want to get wives and children out of here, to somewhere safe,” Kadyrov told me. The men, he said, will stay.
Four days after Crimean Tatars sent an SOS to Azerbaijani President
Ilham Aliyev, nothing has been heard from Baku but silence. For all its
grievances with Moscow, chances are slim that Azerbaijan, the Tatars'
rich South-Caucasus cousin, will stick its neck out over Crimea.
But Crimean Tatar community leader Mustafa Dzhemilyev, a Ukrainian parliamentarian, gave it his best shot in a March 6 interview with the news site Haqqin. “Do not leave your Crimean brothers and sisters at this difficult time,” Dzhemilyev implored Aliyev.
Recalling repressions by Tsarist and Soviet Russia, he underlined that the Tatars will never put up with a Russian takeover of the Crimean peninsula, and asked Aliyev to use his influence with Russian President Vladimir Putin to prevent such an event.
The request was cc-ed to Turkish President Abdullah Gül and another Turkic leader, Kazakhstani President Nursultan Nazarbayev. Turkey has so far weighed in the strongest on the issue, while Aliyev and Nazarbayev have been slow to provide even a non-binding, thinking-of-you response.
Azerbaijani officials routinely emphasize Azerbaijan's emergence as a regional power, but don’t expect Aliyev to snap his fingers in Putin’s face over Crimea. Through its economic and political involvement in the region and its many conflicts, Nagorno-Karabakh included, Russia could hurt Azerbaijan.
But not everyone in Azerbaijan is willing to sit back. On March 9, two senior members of Azerbaijan’s opposition Musavat Party, Arif Gadjily and Gulaga Aslanly, were detained in Makhachkala, in Russia's North Caucasus, while traveling by train to Ukraine. The party has been outspokenly critical of Russia's Ukraine policy, and, apparently, somebody had an eye out for any whistle-stop tours to Kyiv. Local police on March 10 claimed that the two were sent back home, APA reported.
Source: http://www.eurasianet.org/node/68121
The referendum decision of Crimea to return to the Russian fold,
after Turkey lost it to the Russian Empire with the 1774 Treaty of Kucuk
Kaynarcam, has spoiled Turkey’s strategic ambitions for the region.
What kind of ambitions? Nothing to do with recovering Crimea
geographically, but to bring back to life cultural and historical
heritage of the Crimean Tatar Khanate.
Even the burial of writer Cengiz Dagci, who died in London in 2011, back home in Crimea was a mission of strategic significance for Turkey. The Cooperation and Coordination Agency of Turkey (TIKA), by restoring the historic relics of Zincirli Madrassa and Haci Gray Inn and by renovating Kirim Tatar National School, tried to make the legacy of the Muslim Tatars more visible. In an action plan Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu had prepared in 2002 while he was the chief adviser to the prime minister, Ukraine was among the countries to develop strategic relations with, alongside South Korea, Brazil and South Africa. Ankara tried to develop its ties to Crimea with the consent of Ukrainians. This policy did not change during the reign of the toppled leader Viktor Yanukovich.
Territorial integrity: a boomerang
Since the collapse of the USSR, Turkey has preferred to see the future of Crimean Tatars within the territorial integrity of Ukraine. When in 2008 Russian leader Vladimir V. Putin declared that unilateral recognition of Kosovo without a UN decision would set a precedent, it was not hard to predict that this was a Slavic vow of revenge. The turf for this revenge was inevitably to be the historical friction points between the Russians and the Turks. After the United States declared its recognition of Kosovo, the first diplomat to submit his letter of accreditation to the prime minister of Kosovo was the representative of Turkey. How do you think Putin considers Turkey’s objections to his decisions about Crimea?
Limited options
So what can Turkey do more than its US and EU allies against the secession of Ukraine? Can Ankara decide on sanctions like the United States and EU? Davutoglu, as the first foreign minister to go to Kiev immediately after the crisis broke out, had meetings with Mustafa Abduljamil, the leader of Crimean Tatar National Movement and the new Ukrainian government. In addition to moves on international platforms, Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan spoke with Putin and Davutoglu spoke with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov to emphasize the need to find a solution to the crisis within the territorial integrity of Ukraine. But these efforts did not change the course of events. Abduljamil, the former speaker of the Crimean Tatar National Assembly, the civil society organization of the Tatars, met with Erdogan in Izmir on March 16 and with Davutoglu in Ankara on March 17. Davutoglu said the results of the referendum will not be accepted, that Ankara will continue to support the Crimean Tatars, and Turkey’s position on seeking a diplomatic solution stands.
Despite the resolute position expressed in our statements, the general impression is this: Turkey is not in a position to reverse the process of Crimea joining Russia. It is not even in a position to adopt sanctions similar to those taken by the United States and EU. That is why even if Turkey talks of initiatives in the UN, NATO and OESC it has no option but to live with the situation. A diplomatic source asked by Al-Monitor, “What options does Turkey have? Does it have a road map?” responded: “We want a solution through diplomatic means but it is not realistic to talk of a road map. Turkey has adopted a course many other countries have chosen.” Asked if Turkey could resort to sanctions like the United States and EU, the source said; “We don’t know what sanctions are on the table at the moment. We can’t forecast what will happen in the long run. The government has to make an assessment.”
Actually, it might be more realistic to talk of a reaction that has been reduced to “diplomatic activity” that has no deterrent effects and that won’t influence the outcome.
Russians gave what Turkey wanted
Because of dearth of options, the focus has shifted from blocking the Russian designs for Crimea to protection of Tatars of Crimea. Russia, aware of the question of legitimacy that would arise unless there is the consent of Tatars, offered them guarantees far beyond Turkey’s expectations. Putin told Abduljamil, invited to Moscow, that he had issued directives for the protection of Tatars.
Moreover, Russia prepared a package that encourages the Crimean Tatars to return to their homeland and assuring their participation in governing it. Turkey’s priority is the return to their homeland of the Crimean Tatars exiled to Central Asia in 1944. Davutoglu noted: “In last 12 years, TIKA and Turkey entered the picture. For our brethren, we built hundreds of tenements, even bought houses from them. Today, the Tatar population in Crimea is slightly above 300,000. This is all because of Turkey’s support.”
The decisions of the Crimean Parliament also were promising. It decided: “Tatars exiled in 1944 will be encouraged to return. Legal, material and property problems of the returnees will be solved. They will be offered financial assistance for five years. Primary, second and higher schools in the Tatar language will be opened. Historical and cultural relics will be restored. Tatar publications will be encouraged.” This decree also gave official status to Tatar language. Crimean Tatar National Assembly was given legal recognition. They were offered 20% representation in the national parliament. These were all rights Tatars could not obtain from the Ukrainian government. The only anxiety Turkey or Crimeans might express would to be say, “These promises can remain on paper.” But autonomy practices of Russia since the end of the Soviet era shows that at least when it comes to preservation of people’s language and cultures they have not a bad record.
Chechnization syndrome
Another scenario that concerns Turkey closely is the possibility of a Chechnization syndrome that could develop as a reaction to attaching the peninsula to Russia. Tatars with their historical animosity to Russia are between a rock and a hard place. There is talk of a jihadist threat after Russian annexation. Abduljamil, who had been spearheading the survival struggle of his people since the 1944 deportations, spoke of this potential danger: “We have among us Salafists, Wahhabis and organizations that fought in Syria. They tell me that the enemy is now on their land and that they are ready to confront them. We can’t stop those who want die in dignity.”
In addition to threats emanating from Takfir and Hijret Salafi organizations whose existence have been felt in Crimea in recent years, there is also the potential of global jihadist network concentrating in Syria to open an anti-Russia front in Crimea. Tatars who had gone to Syria to fight had first attracted attention on April 25, 2013, when a militant code-named Abu Khalid staged a suicide attack from the ranks of Muhajiroun and Ansar groups. Growing Islamic militancy in Ukraine first hit the agenda when seven militants were apprehended with their weapons. The Ukrainian Interior Ministry said that the apprehended militants were linked to Takfir and Hijret and Hizb-ut Tahrir and were planning to assassinate Abduljamil.
The desire of those fighting against Moscow-supported regime in Syria to settle accounts with Russia in Crimea scares Tatars who, like Abduljamil, prefer nonviolent resistance. A representative from the Tatar Crimean National Assembly said in our private chat: “Yes, there are Tatars fighting in Syria and they might come back. We are worried.”
The Tatars know only too well that provocation, whether from Ukranian radical nationalists or nationalist Russians or a Chechnization scenario originating from Islamist Tatars who want to open a jihadist front, will bring to them only a new exile or genocide.
The representative of Zorakn foundation, involved in raising public awareness on army, military and strategic-political issues, views Russia’s behavior in relation to the Autonomous Republic of Crimea in Ukraine as natural. “The fact that Russia is trying to preserve its active presence in the Black Sea and that its primary target is Crimea stems from the overall geopolitical situation.”
Vrtanesyan points out also that in the Black Sea basin Russia’s position against Turkey is not that strong.
“Today the military balance between Russia and Turkey in the Black Sea is frail as it is, and I wouldn’t say Russia has any advantages, quite the opposite, the Turkish fleet is much better equipped excelling that of Russia by some criteria, for example, Turkey has 14 submarines, while Russia has two, one of them non-functional,” says Vrtanesyan.
Since late last week Moscow established de-facto military control over Crimea, an autonomous republic in the south of Ukraine with a predominantly ethnic Russian population. The Russian parliament has also empowered President Vladimir Putin to use troops to defend the ethnic Russian and Russian-speaking population elsewhere in the territory of Ukraine. Moscow says it is reacting to the formation of an ultranationalist government in Kiev that threatens the country’s Russian-speaking minority. Meanwhile, the United States and the European Union have condemned Russia’s aggressive designs, threatening economic sanctions against Moscow.
The biggest ethnic community of the peninsula with more that 2 million population is Russian, followed by the Ukrainian – 24 percent, and Muslim Tatars – 12 percent; about 0.5 percent of the population is Armenian who have declared a neutral position in the conflict supporting neither Russians, nor Ukrainians nor Tatars.
“I wouldn’t say Russia’s position in the Black Sea is too strong, and Crimea’s loss would aggravate the situation, which can become a problem for us. Of course, not in non-combat conditions, but if the Armenian-Azeri conflict gets more tense, there might be issues in terms of supplies to the Georgian ports – Turkey can effortlessly place ships there, inspect ours and turn them back/deny passage,” says Vrtanesyan.
Expert in Turkish studies Gevorg Petrosyan, editor of razm.info website, reminds that Turkey and Russia have been fighting for Crimea for ages, because of the peninsula’s strategic geopolitical position. Petrosyan says Turkey’s claims for Crimea should be viewed as quite feasible.
“The geopolitical situation is changing so rapidly that it cannot be ruled out, considering the fact that Turkey is one of the two major players in the Black Sea, the withdrawal of Russian forces from Crimea is absolutely in Turkey’s interest,” says the expert.
Armenia has backed Crimea’s choice of joining Russia, supporting the
right to self-determination for the peninsula’s population. In response,
Ukraine has recalled its ambassador to Armenia.
"Armenia's principled position on the right to self-determination remains unchanged and has been repeatedly expressed over the years," Armenia's deputy foreign minister, Shavarsh Kocharyan, told Ukrainian Ambassador Ivan Kukhta, as quoted by the Armenian Foreign Ministry's press service.
The meeting, which took place in Armenia’s capital of Yerevan, was initiated by the Ukrainian side after Armenia’s President Serzh Sargsyan expressed support for the Crimean referendum, stating it was justified. Sargsyan told his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin in a phone conversation that the Crimean referendum was a “model for the realization of self-determination.”
In response, Ukraine recalled its ambassador to Yerevan for consultation on Friday. Kiev also summoned Armenia’s ambassador to Ukraine, Andranik Manukyan, to express its concerns over Armenia’s position on the referendum. On Sunday, over 96 percent of voters taking part in the Crimean referendum answered “yes” to the autonomous republic joining Russia. The Crimean parliament also unanimously voted to integrate the region into Russia.
On Friday, Russia finalized the legal process of taking Crimea under its sovereignty, as President Putin signed a law amending the Russian constitution to reflect the transition. Earlier, Russian lawmakers ratified both the amendment and an international treaty with Crimea and the city of Sevastopol, which was legally required for the incorporation. The move has been met with an onslaught of international sanctions against Russia for its role in the Ukraine crisis.
Armenia has a strong stance of supporting self-determination.
During the confrontation over Nagorno-Karabakh, which broke out in 1988, the region – mostly populated by Armenians – sought independence from Azerbaijan and announced its intention to join Armenia. In 1991, the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic was founded. Azerbaijan tried to regain control over the territory, and the conflict escalated into a full-scale war which claimed the lives of around 30,000 people. The conflict ended in 1994, with Nagorno-Karabakh’s independence remaining unrecognized and the region remaining a part of Azerbaijan, according to Baku’s legislation. Yerevan has been supporting the Nagorno-Karabakh region, representing its interests in an official capacity.
Since 1994, talks to determine the status of the disputed region have been conducted within the framework of the Minsk Group of the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE). The group proposed the basic principles for a settlement of the conflict – known as the Madrid document – in 2007.
Source: http://rt.com/news/armenia-supports-crimea-referendum-473/
The US policy on Armenia has resulted in a break-up of Armenia's once powerful light industry, in lopsided reforms and the ensuing economic and social problems. According to experts, the US long-term plans to make Armenia distance itself from Russia are hardly feasible today, just as they were unfeasible 20 years ago. Americans have to take into account the historical and political realities of the region.
The US has never cherished illusions about the post-Soviet Armenia. Washington has conversely been and will remain suspicious of Yerevan, for Armenia is Russia's strategic partner, a member state of the Collective Security Treaty Organization and has friendly relations with Iran despite the geographical and geopolitical realities. And yet, the US seeks to play an active role in the Trans-Caucasus. The US has for example tried to ensure that Armenia and Turkey will open their border, one that's been closed since 1993 at the insistence of Ankara. The US thus sought to bolster its ally Turkey's position in the region. But the diplomatic effort of 2010 yielded no specific result. The US plan failed. This is what Director of the Institute for Caucasus Studies, political analyst Alexander Iskandaryan, says about it in a comment.
"The US has clearly miscalculated. The moment the Armenian-Turkish factor became a factor in Turkey's home policy, the US pressure proved insufficient. There is a world of a difference between pressurizing Turkey in Zurich and doing the same thing in Ankara. Besides, the US badly needs Turkey; it needs the crazy house that's emerged in the Middle East in recent years. Ankara is perfectly aware of that. So, it was the US miscalculation and also the drastically changed situation, I mean the Arab Spring, etc. In short, the US efforts failed".
Yet another factor in the US attempted boosting of influence on Armenia over the past 20 years have been all sorts of grant programmes, the loan financing of government and central bank programmes, and also support for numerous nongovernmental public organizations that have initiated most protest actions in Armenia. According to experts and analysts, the US is thus trying to create financial dependence and pro-western sentiment of the local elite. But according to an Armenian political analyst and spin doctor Vigen Akopyan, the Americans failed to ensure an alternative to Russia in such important areas as military and economic security.
"Security is of paramount importance to Armenia. If Armenia has strong armed forces, it will be able to settle the issue of Nagorno-Karabakh, and will also manage to settle economic problems. Transfers are also very important. A transfer is Armenia's second budget. Some 2.5 billion dollars are transferred to Armenia officially every year. Russia accounts for some 86% of that amount. Americans have failed to offer alternatives to these important factors".
Experts also point out that the US has never tried to stage a coup in Armenia, like the one in Georgia, because of Armenia's obvious orientation towards Russia. An increasingly great number of experts agree that to weaken Russia's influence on the region will soon become next to impossible, given Armenia's forthcoming joining of the Customs Union.
Armed Cossacks Flock to Crimea to Help Russian Annexation Bid
Armed groups of Cossacks from across the area are flocking to the disputed region to help Moscow wrest it from Ukraine in hopes they'll be rewarded by being integrated into Russia's primary security apparatus after the takeover is complet.
On Monday morning, about 150 Cossack officers got together in Crimea, the breakaway region of Ukraine, and lined up in formation on the central square of the regional capital Simferopol. Bundled up against the winds that blew in that day from the Black Sea, they made for a sorry sight, disheveled and grumpy, like a reunion of elderly veterans kitted out in old, mismatching camouflage gear. But their commander, Vladimir Cherkashin, stood before them in a leather jacket and military cap to say their fortunes were about to change.
Next week, a referendum on Crimea’s independence from Ukraine
will open the door for Russia to annex the entire Crimean Peninsula, and
for the local Cossack paramilitary groups, that marks the opportunity
of a lifetime. It would mean a chance to be integrated into the Russian
security forces — just like their Cossack brothers to the east have been
under Russian President Vladimir Putin. “That means state recognition,
it means training for our cadets,” Cherkashin explained to his Cossack
commanders, who are known as atamans. “It’s status. You understand? It’s
all about finances!” At this, the group of men looked around at one
another and grumbled in approval. Then, at Cherkashin’s command, they
shouted the celebratory Cossack salute — “Lyubo!”
For the past two weeks, the Cossacks — a caste of warriors
who have guarded the borders of the Russian empire for centuries — have
played a key role in the Russian occupation of Crimea. They have manned
checkpoints on its highways, guarded the headquarters of its separatist
government, patrolled the streets with their ceremonial whips in hand
and are now helping build and defend fortifications
on the de facto Crimean border with Ukraine. Through it all, they have
had ample help from Russia’s professional and state-sponsored Cossack
forces, who have come by the thousands to defend what they see as
historically Russian lands.
“Cossacks have no borders,” said Nikolai Pervakov, the first
deputy commander of Russia’s Kuban Cossack legion, who is leading their
mission to Crimea from his usual base of operations in the southern
Russian city of Krasnodar. Appearing on the square alongside Cherkashin
on Monday, he told TIME that a few thousand of his men have come to
Crimea from Russia, all with the express approval of the Kremlin. After
inspecting the bedraggled ranks of his Crimean comrades, Pervakov gave a
short speech on their fraternal ties. “We are a united people, people
of the same faith, traditions, customs. Our lives are linked,” he told
them. “So we need to be like a clenched and monolithic fist. Only then
will we have victory.”
The links that bind Cossacks around the world can be mystifying
for outsiders and hard to pin down. They are largely Slavic but come
from many other ethnic groups as well, and they speak various languages.
Some are born Cossacks while others are initiated into their martial
traditions. Their zealous devotion to the Orthodox Christian religion
tends to unite them, although different Cossack groups follow different
denominations of that faith. Through history, they have rebelled against
the Russian empire and marched alongside its armies to fight common
enemies, including the Turks, the British and the Khans of Central Asia.
Conflicts and upheavals have scattered them for centuries around the
world, and there are vibrant communities of Cossacks as far afield as
New Jersey, where their ancestors wound up after the Bolshevik
Revolution of 1917 tried to purge them from the Soviet Union. But what
unites the Cossacks in Crimea with their allies in Russia today is a
common belief that Moscow should command the Slavic world, most
crucially including eastern and southern Ukraine.
For the Cossacks of Crimea, that victory could mark a total
transformation. Ever since the collapse of the Soviet Union, Ukraine’s
succession of leaders, regardless of whether they leaned toward Russia
or the West, have treated the local Crimean Cossacks with great
suspicion. Their commanders in Crimea have spread militant notions
of Slavic unity among their young cadets. All of that has attracted
scrutiny from Ukraine’s security services in recent years. Under the
rule of President Viktor Yanukovych, a Russia-leaning leader who was
deposed in a revolution last month, Crimea’s leading Cossacks were
investigated for training paramilitary groups and speaking out in
support of separatism, both of which are illegal in Ukraine. Some of
them have had their Cossack training camps raided by police in search of
weapons. Others have been deported to Russia on charges of inciting
ethnic hatred.
All of that stands in stark contrast to the lives of their fellow
Cossacks in Russia. In 2005, Putin signed a law called “On the State
Service of the Russian Cossacks,” which gave them the status of a
state-backed militia, complete with government paychecks. Under that
law, Putin, in his role as commander in chief, is the only one who can
assign someone the rank of Cossack general. Other officer ranks in the
Cossack hierarchy, which is distinct from the rest of the Russian
military’s pecking order, must be approved by the Kremlin Council for
Cossack Affairs. That law also granted
more than 600,000 officially registered Cossacks in Russia the rights
to fulfill various functions usually controlled by the state. This
includes the right to defend border regions, guard national forests,
organize military training for young cadets, fight terrorism, protect
local government buildings and administrative sites and provide the
vague service of “defending social order.”
It seemed to be in the latter capacity that they patrolled the
streets of Sochi during last month’s Winter Olympic Games, even greeting
arrivals in the airport terminal dressed in their signature lambskin
hats and knee-high leather boots. Vladimir Davydov, a local Cossack
officer and a member of the Sochi city council, saw the Games as a
historic chance to demonstrate the usefulness of Cossacks to the
Kremlin. “Our entire history we have served the sovereign, the
motherland,” he told TIME a few weeks before the Games began. “Now that
role is restored.” If the Kremlin calls on them, he said, the Cossacks
can field a force of 50,000 armed irregulars in the region surrounding
Sochi. “The Olympics will be our chance to prove our worth.”
Throughout the Games, they seemed to do that with flying colors,
though not without one appalling show of force. On Feb. 19, a few days
before the closing ceremony of the Games, a group of activists from the
protest group Pussy Riot tried to film an anti-Putin music video in
Sochi. But just as the young women pulled on their colorful balaclavas
and started dancing around, a group of uniformed Cossacks ran up to
them, sprayed them in the face with pepper spray, hit them with whips,
yanked them by the hair and dragged them away kicking and screaming.
Under current Ukrainian law, that kind of attack would have gotten the
Cossacks arrested for battery. In Russia, even during the Olympics, it
was part of their paid service to the state.
The allure of becoming a formally recognized militia force seems
to have made Crimea’s Cossacks even more gung ho about the Russian
annexation of their peninsula. “Our priority right now is to make sure
the referendum goes as planned,” Cherkashin told me on March 9, just
after he held a meeting with the new de facto leader of Crimea, the separatist prime minister Sergei Aksyonov.
Watching Russian state TV in a waiting area outside Aksyonov’s office
that afternoon, Cherkashin said Cossack volunteers from across Russia
and the former Soviet Union have been offering to come help Crimea break
away from Ukraine. “These two Cossacks in Armenia called me on Skype
the other day,” he said. “They held two Kalashnikovs in front of the
camera and said they’re ready to ride.”
But Cherkashin, who is also a member of the Crimean parliament,
has had to decline most of these offers. Flooding the peninsula with
various Cossack vigilantes would not be good for “keeping order,” he
said, and besides, they have enough support from Pervakov and the Kuban
Cossack legion as it is. After the morning lineup on the square in
Simferopol, the highest-ranking commanders walked over to a nearby
church — The Cathedral of Holy Mary Magdalene, Equal to the Apostles —
for a private powwow. It began with a blessing from a local priest of
the Russian Orthodox Church, Vitali Liskevich, who prayed for the Lord
to defend the righteous mission of the Cossacks in Crimea. After that,
Pervakov, the Cossack envoy from Russia, walked into the hall with a
sheaf of papers, and this reporter was asked to leave the room.
Russia, China ‘in broad agreement’ on Ukraine
The
Russian Foreign Ministry says Russia is in broad agreement with China
on the situation in crisis-hit Ukraine. The ministry’s announcement
followed a telephone conversation between Russian Foreign Minister
Sergei Lavrov and his Chinese counterpart Wang Yi on Monday. “The
foreign ministers have exchanged their views on the situation in
Ukraine.
They noted a broad overlap of the Russian and Chinese views on the current situation in and around this country (Ukraine),” the Russian Foreign Ministry said. In addition, the Russian ministry said the two ministers pledged to continue close contacts on the issue. Meanwhile, UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon is expected to meet with Lavrov later in the day on the sidelines of the UN Human Rights Council in Geneva to discuss the spiraling crisis in Ukraine. The developments come as seven major industrialized countries denounced Russia’s military actions in Ukraine’s semi-autonomous Republic of Crimea.
On March 1, the upper house of the Russian parliament unanimously approved a request by President Vladimir Putin to deploy troops into the Crimea if necessary. The approval came after Crimea’s regional Prime Minister Sergey Aksenov asked Putin to help restore peace and calm in the region amid tensions over the region’s resistance against new pro-Western authorities in Kiev. Russia has dispatched hundreds of its troops to the Ukrainian territory of Crimea “to protect its interests and also of those Russian speakers in that region.”
Who Will Protect the Crimean Tatars?
Kadyrov’s grandmother, Sedeka Memetova, who was eight at the time, was among those deported. “The soldiers gave us five minutes to pack up,” she told me, when I visited the family on Thursday. “We left everything behind.” Memetova still has vivid memories of her journey into exile: the stench of the overcrowded train carriage, the wailing of a pregnant woman who sat next to her, and the solemn faces of the men who had to lower the bodies of their children off of the moving train—the only way, she said, to dispose of the dead. Four of her siblings were among the thousands of Crimean Tatars who never even made it to their final destination, Uzbekistan.
Starting in the nineteen-sixties, the Soviet Union began to allow survivors of the deportation to return. Memetova and her family came back to Crimea almost three decades ago, in 1987. This weekend, at around 3 P.M. on Saturday, Memetova’s forty-four-year-old daughter, Ava, looked out the window and saw four young men, strangers to the neighborhood, walking down the street, armed with batons. The men were also carrying pieces of paper, Ava told me—which she believes were lists of homes belonging to Crimean Tatars. Seventy years after Memetova’s deportation, her house had been marked once again. “Just as we thought we finally had a future,” she said. “How could anyone do this in the twenty-first century?”
When I walked up Chiisty Istochniki Street from the Memetovas’ house, I saw similar marks on four other houses, all of them residences of Crimean Tatars, Kadyrov said. The houses of their Russian neighbors, however, had not been touched. Similar markings have been reported in other parts of Bakhchysarai, and in some areas of the regional capital, Simferopol. Kadyrov told me that he called the police, who came out see his gate, but they refused to register a case. He was not surprised. “The police will not help us,” he said. “They told me Crimean Tatars are not a priority for them. Of course not—they are punishing us because we do not want Putin here.”
Kadyrov’s Russian neighbors have noticed the markings but dismissed his worries. “Whoever did it was just joking,” one woman, who did not wish to be named, told me. “We get along with our neighbors fine,” she continued. “But it would be helpful if Crimean Tatars stopped supporting Kiev.”
Vladimir Putin, the Russian President, claims that his country has an obligation to protect the Crimean peninsula’s Russians, a majority of its population, from what he called an “orgy of nationalists, and extremists, and anti-Semites” rampaging through the streets of Kiev. “What does that mean for us?” Kadyrov asked. “Who will protect us?”
Crimea is now firmly under the control of a new, pro-Moscow government, which does not recognize the authority of the new administration in Kiev. On Thursday, as the United States and European Union ramped up pressure on the Kremlin—announcing sanctions and visa restrictions against involved individuals—the regional parliament in Crimea voted unanimously to declare the peninsula part of Russia. A previously scheduled referendum on more autonomy for Crimea within Ukraine was moved up from March 30th to March 16th, and changed to a question about merging Crimea with Russia.
There are about three hundred thousand Crimean Tatars on the peninsula, and although they constitute only fifteen per cent of its population they have great political significance. If they do not back the upcoming referendum, it will be far more difficult for the pro-Moscow government in Crimea to legitimize what is in effect a Russian annexation of the peninsula. This, Crimean Tatars told me, is precisely why pressure is growing for them to turn their back on Kiev.
Over the past week, Moscow has sent a series of delegations to meet with the leaders of the Crimean Tatar community. On Wednesday, the President of Tatarstan, an autonomous Muslim republic in Russia, met with members of the representative body of Crimean Tatars, known as the Mejlis. Another member of his delegation, Ilshat Aminov—the head of Tatarstan’s state broadcaster—paid a visit on the same day to the journalists at a Crimean Tatar television channel, ATR, which has been openly supportive of the new government in Kiev.
I happened to be at ATR when Aminov arrived. His laughter echoed through the newsroom as he walked around, praising the station’s modern equipment and avoiding any discussion of the news. When I asked Aminov about the reason for his visit, he said, simply, “I am here to support my brothers in a time of trouble.” Linur Yunusov, a senior journalist at ATR, told me that while no Russian official had ever bothered to visit Crimean Tatars before, Moscow was now sending one delegation after another. “This sudden brotherly love is overwhelming,” he joked.
At one point, a journalist inside the newsroom called Aminov’s attention to a television screen, which showed masked Russian soldiers blocking the entrance to a military base outside Simferopol. “This is our live position,” the journalist said, provocatively. “A perfect view of the Russian occupation.” Aminov didn’t take the bait. “Which editing software do you use?” he replied.
The delegates visiting from Russia have made many promises to the Crimean Tatars to solicit their political support: seats in the new government, financial assistance, official language rights, and rural-development programs. These offers resonate, particularly as the community feels that its plight has been largely ignored by the government in Kiev for the past quarter century. Many Crimean Tatars remain bitterly disappointed that Kiev has not delivered on its many promises to pass laws that would recognize victims of Stalin’s deportation or establish Crimean Tatar-language schools.
“We are on a verge of losing our culture, our language, our identity,” Yunusov, the senior journalist, told me. And yet, like most of the Crimean Tatars I have interviewed, he believes that the community will be safer if the peninsula remains part of Ukraine. “For us, a European Ukraine is the only way of making sure that we survive as people,” he said. “We need European laws to protect our identity. After what happened in 1944, we can never trust the Russians.”
Eskandar Baiibov, a deputy in the Crimean Tatar Mejlis, told me firmly that his community is unanimous in its backing for the government in Kiev, and that Crimean Tatars would boycott any referendum on joining Russia. But he is also terrified, he admitted, of the price that they might have to pay for refusing to give the Kremlin the support it wants.
“We are already seeing signs that they are trying to intimidate us, to split us, to stir trouble,” Baiibov said. “Ukrainians are also vulnerable, but at least they have Ukraine to go to. Where will we go? Crimea is our only home.” After the regional parliament voted to merge Crimea into Russia on Thursday, the chairman of the Mejlis, Refat Chubarov, released a statement to the press, calling for the United Nations to “immediately consider” sending a contingent of international peacekeepers into Crimea, “in order to deëscalate the military conflict … which can lead to mass casualties among the entire civilian population of the peninsula.”
But the prospect of U.N. peacekeepers landing on the peninsula anytime soon is less than slim. And so, as Crimea prepares for a referendum on its future, its native people are preparing for the worst. In Bakhchysarai, Ava’s husband has cut up metal rods and placed them throughout the house so the family can use them to fight off any possible intruders. The men of Chiisty Istochniki Street now take turns patrolling the neighborhood at night, and Rustem Kadyrov has applied for travel documents for his children.
“Many of us want to get wives and children out of here, to somewhere safe,” Kadyrov told me. The men, he said, will stay.
Source: http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/newsdesk/2014/03/who-will-protect-the-crimean-tatars.html
Turkey Torn Over 'Brothers'
In Crimea, Good Ties With Russia
Serkan Sava's ancestors left Crimea in a mass exodus some 150 years ago,
after the Ottoman Empire staved off Russian pressure in the Crimean War
but could not reverse the slow tumble that would lead to its
dissolution after World War I. A century later, the 35-year-old IT consultant's grandparents, by then
rooted in the post-Ottoman Turkish Republic, would hear of Soviet
dictator Josef Stalin's deportation of hundreds of thousands of Crimean
Tatars to Central Asia, in 1944, that cost the lives of more than
100,000 people.
This week, Sava stood under a steady rain at a protest of about 250 people -- mostly Turkish Crimean Tatars -- outside the Russian consulate in Istanbul. Noting that Crimean Tatars "have bad memories" of life under Moscow's thumb, Sava argued that Turkey should use its influence to ensure that the Black Sea peninsula remains a part of Ukraine and is not annexed by Russia.
With Crimea now occupied by Russian forces, the peninsula's Russian-majority parliament clamoring to join the Russian Federation, and a referendum on the issue scheduled for March 16, Crimean Tatars are fearful of what another chapter of life under Russian rule could mean. But if the Crimean Tatar relationship with Russia is rife with tragedy, the Turkish reaction to any potential conflict with Moscow is one of trepidation. It recalls a past marked by a series of demoralizing military defeats and recognizes a present in which the country enjoys deep trade ties with its Black Sea neighbor, on which it relies for half of its natural-gas supplies.
"Russia is the only neighbor that Turkey really fears for historic and contemporary reasons," says Soner Cagaptay, author of "The Rise Of Turkey: 21st Century's First Muslim Power" and director of the Turkish program at the Washington Institute, a U.S.-based think tank. "Historically, there's a deep-rooted fear among many Turks about not waking up the Russian bear."
The Crimean Tatars, an ethnic-Turkic people with millions of its diaspora living inside Turkey, would appear to fit in with the role Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan has carved out for himself. Erdogan, the leader of the Islamist-rooted Justice and Development party (AKP), has spent much political capital casting Ankara as a protector of Muslims along its periphery. Erdogan was a harsh critic of the overthrow of Muslim Brotherhood leader and Egyptian President Muhammad Morsi, and was one of the first world leaders to call for military intervention in Syria against the regime of Bashar al-Assad in the Arab Spring uprising.
Amid the recent political upheaval in Ukraine, Ahmet Davutoglu, Turkey's foreign minister, was the first envoy to meet with Ukraine's new government in Kyiv, following months of protests that led to the ouster of the country's pro-Russian president, Viktor Yanukovych. With an eye on the past, Erdogan himself has promised not to "leave Crimean Tatars in the lurch." But Erdogan, who has appeared at times to relish conflict with other world leaders, has carefully nurtured his relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin and appears unlikely to stake out a position that would put Ankara-Moscow ties at serious risk.
"If you look at Erdogan's mercurial political style, he has pretty much yelled at every and any head of government he has dealt with with the exception of the Russian and the Iranian president," Cagaptay says, "not because he likes them necessarily but because Turkey gets about three-quarters of its gas and oil from Iran and Russia."
Ottoman-Russian history is also a factor, says Cagaptay, who wrote in a recent paper that, over a period of almost 400 years, the Ottoman Empire fought in at least 17 wars with Russia and lost all of them. Further complicating matters is that the 1936 Montreaux treaty, which gives Turkey control over the straits that link the Black Sea to the Mediterranean, also limits the weight of warships that would be allowed to pass through from states not located on the Black Sea.
This week, Sava stood under a steady rain at a protest of about 250 people -- mostly Turkish Crimean Tatars -- outside the Russian consulate in Istanbul. Noting that Crimean Tatars "have bad memories" of life under Moscow's thumb, Sava argued that Turkey should use its influence to ensure that the Black Sea peninsula remains a part of Ukraine and is not annexed by Russia.
With Crimea now occupied by Russian forces, the peninsula's Russian-majority parliament clamoring to join the Russian Federation, and a referendum on the issue scheduled for March 16, Crimean Tatars are fearful of what another chapter of life under Russian rule could mean. But if the Crimean Tatar relationship with Russia is rife with tragedy, the Turkish reaction to any potential conflict with Moscow is one of trepidation. It recalls a past marked by a series of demoralizing military defeats and recognizes a present in which the country enjoys deep trade ties with its Black Sea neighbor, on which it relies for half of its natural-gas supplies.
"Russia is the only neighbor that Turkey really fears for historic and contemporary reasons," says Soner Cagaptay, author of "The Rise Of Turkey: 21st Century's First Muslim Power" and director of the Turkish program at the Washington Institute, a U.S.-based think tank. "Historically, there's a deep-rooted fear among many Turks about not waking up the Russian bear."
The Crimean Tatars, an ethnic-Turkic people with millions of its diaspora living inside Turkey, would appear to fit in with the role Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan has carved out for himself. Erdogan, the leader of the Islamist-rooted Justice and Development party (AKP), has spent much political capital casting Ankara as a protector of Muslims along its periphery. Erdogan was a harsh critic of the overthrow of Muslim Brotherhood leader and Egyptian President Muhammad Morsi, and was one of the first world leaders to call for military intervention in Syria against the regime of Bashar al-Assad in the Arab Spring uprising.
Amid the recent political upheaval in Ukraine, Ahmet Davutoglu, Turkey's foreign minister, was the first envoy to meet with Ukraine's new government in Kyiv, following months of protests that led to the ouster of the country's pro-Russian president, Viktor Yanukovych. With an eye on the past, Erdogan himself has promised not to "leave Crimean Tatars in the lurch." But Erdogan, who has appeared at times to relish conflict with other world leaders, has carefully nurtured his relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin and appears unlikely to stake out a position that would put Ankara-Moscow ties at serious risk.
"If you look at Erdogan's mercurial political style, he has pretty much yelled at every and any head of government he has dealt with with the exception of the Russian and the Iranian president," Cagaptay says, "not because he likes them necessarily but because Turkey gets about three-quarters of its gas and oil from Iran and Russia."
Ottoman-Russian history is also a factor, says Cagaptay, who wrote in a recent paper that, over a period of almost 400 years, the Ottoman Empire fought in at least 17 wars with Russia and lost all of them. Further complicating matters is that the 1936 Montreaux treaty, which gives Turkey control over the straits that link the Black Sea to the Mediterranean, also limits the weight of warships that would be allowed to pass through from states not located on the Black Sea.
Any adaptation of this restriction by Turkey in favor of its NATO partners would put the treaty at risk. But as Celal Icten, the president of the Istanbul branch of Turkey's
Crimea Tatar Association, points out, it may be that the current
domestic political climate provides the main hindrance to a greater role
by Ankara in helping resolve the crisis in Ukraine.
Erdogan,
who has been embroiled in a months-long corruption scandal, is
fighting for his political career, and municipal elections at the end of
March are seen as a barometer of the remaining strength of his ruling
Justice and Development Party (AKP). Icten says Erdogan and President
Abdullah Gul are doing all they can, given the circumstances.
"Turkey's current political climate is hectic and that's why the
president and prime minister's support for Crimean Tatars gets lost
among other things on the political agenda," Icten says. "But [they've]
given support to Crimean Tatars and continue cooperation with Western
powers in Europe."
Cagaptay
agrees that Ankara will cooperate with Europe, which has
proposed limited sanctions, but is unlikely to take a leading role
unless serious violence is inflicted on the Crimean Tatar population.
That might not assuage Crimean Tatars like Sava, who say the protection
of a Turkic minority that is under threat should outweigh any political
concerns.
While Moscow refuses to recognize Ukraine's new government because it is
led by "fascists" who pose a threat to ethnic Russians, Tatars in
Crimea -- some of whose homes have reportedly been marked with an
ominous "X"-- say they are being singled out by Russian "self-defense"
brigades. At the Istanbul demonstration, protesters chanted, "Turkey, help your
brothers!" and, "We are shoulder-to-shoulder against the enemy!"
Erugrul Toksoy, a 47-year-old account manager sporting a blue scarf with
the Crimean Tatar insignia, says Erdogan "has done nothing" to help
Crimean Tatars, who make up 12 percent of the peninsula's population.
Sava,
the IT consultant, riffing on a quote from the late British
statesman Winston Churchill about the dangers of appeasement, warns that
waiting for action will have its own costs. "The one who tries to
protect the current state [of affairs] is hopeful that the crocodile
will eat him last," Sava says.
Crimean Tatars Ask Azerbaijan's Ilham Aliyev for Help
But Crimean Tatar community leader Mustafa Dzhemilyev, a Ukrainian parliamentarian, gave it his best shot in a March 6 interview with the news site Haqqin. “Do not leave your Crimean brothers and sisters at this difficult time,” Dzhemilyev implored Aliyev.
Recalling repressions by Tsarist and Soviet Russia, he underlined that the Tatars will never put up with a Russian takeover of the Crimean peninsula, and asked Aliyev to use his influence with Russian President Vladimir Putin to prevent such an event.
The request was cc-ed to Turkish President Abdullah Gül and another Turkic leader, Kazakhstani President Nursultan Nazarbayev. Turkey has so far weighed in the strongest on the issue, while Aliyev and Nazarbayev have been slow to provide even a non-binding, thinking-of-you response.
Azerbaijani officials routinely emphasize Azerbaijan's emergence as a regional power, but don’t expect Aliyev to snap his fingers in Putin’s face over Crimea. Through its economic and political involvement in the region and its many conflicts, Nagorno-Karabakh included, Russia could hurt Azerbaijan.
But not everyone in Azerbaijan is willing to sit back. On March 9, two senior members of Azerbaijan’s opposition Musavat Party, Arif Gadjily and Gulaga Aslanly, were detained in Makhachkala, in Russia's North Caucasus, while traveling by train to Ukraine. The party has been outspokenly critical of Russia's Ukraine policy, and, apparently, somebody had an eye out for any whistle-stop tours to Kyiv. Local police on March 10 claimed that the two were sent back home, APA reported.
Source: http://www.eurasianet.org/node/68121
Who lost in Crimea? If there is a country to be added to Ukraine, it's Turkey
Even the burial of writer Cengiz Dagci, who died in London in 2011, back home in Crimea was a mission of strategic significance for Turkey. The Cooperation and Coordination Agency of Turkey (TIKA), by restoring the historic relics of Zincirli Madrassa and Haci Gray Inn and by renovating Kirim Tatar National School, tried to make the legacy of the Muslim Tatars more visible. In an action plan Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu had prepared in 2002 while he was the chief adviser to the prime minister, Ukraine was among the countries to develop strategic relations with, alongside South Korea, Brazil and South Africa. Ankara tried to develop its ties to Crimea with the consent of Ukrainians. This policy did not change during the reign of the toppled leader Viktor Yanukovich.
Territorial integrity: a boomerang
Since the collapse of the USSR, Turkey has preferred to see the future of Crimean Tatars within the territorial integrity of Ukraine. When in 2008 Russian leader Vladimir V. Putin declared that unilateral recognition of Kosovo without a UN decision would set a precedent, it was not hard to predict that this was a Slavic vow of revenge. The turf for this revenge was inevitably to be the historical friction points between the Russians and the Turks. After the United States declared its recognition of Kosovo, the first diplomat to submit his letter of accreditation to the prime minister of Kosovo was the representative of Turkey. How do you think Putin considers Turkey’s objections to his decisions about Crimea?
Limited options
So what can Turkey do more than its US and EU allies against the secession of Ukraine? Can Ankara decide on sanctions like the United States and EU? Davutoglu, as the first foreign minister to go to Kiev immediately after the crisis broke out, had meetings with Mustafa Abduljamil, the leader of Crimean Tatar National Movement and the new Ukrainian government. In addition to moves on international platforms, Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan spoke with Putin and Davutoglu spoke with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov to emphasize the need to find a solution to the crisis within the territorial integrity of Ukraine. But these efforts did not change the course of events. Abduljamil, the former speaker of the Crimean Tatar National Assembly, the civil society organization of the Tatars, met with Erdogan in Izmir on March 16 and with Davutoglu in Ankara on March 17. Davutoglu said the results of the referendum will not be accepted, that Ankara will continue to support the Crimean Tatars, and Turkey’s position on seeking a diplomatic solution stands.
Despite the resolute position expressed in our statements, the general impression is this: Turkey is not in a position to reverse the process of Crimea joining Russia. It is not even in a position to adopt sanctions similar to those taken by the United States and EU. That is why even if Turkey talks of initiatives in the UN, NATO and OESC it has no option but to live with the situation. A diplomatic source asked by Al-Monitor, “What options does Turkey have? Does it have a road map?” responded: “We want a solution through diplomatic means but it is not realistic to talk of a road map. Turkey has adopted a course many other countries have chosen.” Asked if Turkey could resort to sanctions like the United States and EU, the source said; “We don’t know what sanctions are on the table at the moment. We can’t forecast what will happen in the long run. The government has to make an assessment.”
Actually, it might be more realistic to talk of a reaction that has been reduced to “diplomatic activity” that has no deterrent effects and that won’t influence the outcome.
Russians gave what Turkey wanted
Because of dearth of options, the focus has shifted from blocking the Russian designs for Crimea to protection of Tatars of Crimea. Russia, aware of the question of legitimacy that would arise unless there is the consent of Tatars, offered them guarantees far beyond Turkey’s expectations. Putin told Abduljamil, invited to Moscow, that he had issued directives for the protection of Tatars.
Moreover, Russia prepared a package that encourages the Crimean Tatars to return to their homeland and assuring their participation in governing it. Turkey’s priority is the return to their homeland of the Crimean Tatars exiled to Central Asia in 1944. Davutoglu noted: “In last 12 years, TIKA and Turkey entered the picture. For our brethren, we built hundreds of tenements, even bought houses from them. Today, the Tatar population in Crimea is slightly above 300,000. This is all because of Turkey’s support.”
The decisions of the Crimean Parliament also were promising. It decided: “Tatars exiled in 1944 will be encouraged to return. Legal, material and property problems of the returnees will be solved. They will be offered financial assistance for five years. Primary, second and higher schools in the Tatar language will be opened. Historical and cultural relics will be restored. Tatar publications will be encouraged.” This decree also gave official status to Tatar language. Crimean Tatar National Assembly was given legal recognition. They were offered 20% representation in the national parliament. These were all rights Tatars could not obtain from the Ukrainian government. The only anxiety Turkey or Crimeans might express would to be say, “These promises can remain on paper.” But autonomy practices of Russia since the end of the Soviet era shows that at least when it comes to preservation of people’s language and cultures they have not a bad record.
Chechnization syndrome
Another scenario that concerns Turkey closely is the possibility of a Chechnization syndrome that could develop as a reaction to attaching the peninsula to Russia. Tatars with their historical animosity to Russia are between a rock and a hard place. There is talk of a jihadist threat after Russian annexation. Abduljamil, who had been spearheading the survival struggle of his people since the 1944 deportations, spoke of this potential danger: “We have among us Salafists, Wahhabis and organizations that fought in Syria. They tell me that the enemy is now on their land and that they are ready to confront them. We can’t stop those who want die in dignity.”
In addition to threats emanating from Takfir and Hijret Salafi organizations whose existence have been felt in Crimea in recent years, there is also the potential of global jihadist network concentrating in Syria to open an anti-Russia front in Crimea. Tatars who had gone to Syria to fight had first attracted attention on April 25, 2013, when a militant code-named Abu Khalid staged a suicide attack from the ranks of Muhajiroun and Ansar groups. Growing Islamic militancy in Ukraine first hit the agenda when seven militants were apprehended with their weapons. The Ukrainian Interior Ministry said that the apprehended militants were linked to Takfir and Hijret and Hizb-ut Tahrir and were planning to assassinate Abduljamil.
The desire of those fighting against Moscow-supported regime in Syria to settle accounts with Russia in Crimea scares Tatars who, like Abduljamil, prefer nonviolent resistance. A representative from the Tatar Crimean National Assembly said in our private chat: “Yes, there are Tatars fighting in Syria and they might come back. We are worried.”
The Tatars know only too well that provocation, whether from Ukranian radical nationalists or nationalist Russians or a Chechnization scenario originating from Islamist Tatars who want to open a jihadist front, will bring to them only a new exile or genocide.
Expert: Turkey strengthened by power-play in Crimea
The loss of Russia’s most important military base in the Black Sea basin
– the Sevastopol base in Crimea – will shift the balance in Turkey’s
favor, which may become the only strong power in the area, says Zorakn
Foundation board trustee Karen Vrtanesyan. This circumstance might cause
more challenges for Armenia, which has an unresolved military conflict
with Azerbaijan, should tensions escalate between the two countries.
The representative of Zorakn foundation, involved in raising public awareness on army, military and strategic-political issues, views Russia’s behavior in relation to the Autonomous Republic of Crimea in Ukraine as natural. “The fact that Russia is trying to preserve its active presence in the Black Sea and that its primary target is Crimea stems from the overall geopolitical situation.”
Vrtanesyan points out also that in the Black Sea basin Russia’s position against Turkey is not that strong.
“Today the military balance between Russia and Turkey in the Black Sea is frail as it is, and I wouldn’t say Russia has any advantages, quite the opposite, the Turkish fleet is much better equipped excelling that of Russia by some criteria, for example, Turkey has 14 submarines, while Russia has two, one of them non-functional,” says Vrtanesyan.
Since late last week Moscow established de-facto military control over Crimea, an autonomous republic in the south of Ukraine with a predominantly ethnic Russian population. The Russian parliament has also empowered President Vladimir Putin to use troops to defend the ethnic Russian and Russian-speaking population elsewhere in the territory of Ukraine. Moscow says it is reacting to the formation of an ultranationalist government in Kiev that threatens the country’s Russian-speaking minority. Meanwhile, the United States and the European Union have condemned Russia’s aggressive designs, threatening economic sanctions against Moscow.
The biggest ethnic community of the peninsula with more that 2 million population is Russian, followed by the Ukrainian – 24 percent, and Muslim Tatars – 12 percent; about 0.5 percent of the population is Armenian who have declared a neutral position in the conflict supporting neither Russians, nor Ukrainians nor Tatars.
“I wouldn’t say Russia’s position in the Black Sea is too strong, and Crimea’s loss would aggravate the situation, which can become a problem for us. Of course, not in non-combat conditions, but if the Armenian-Azeri conflict gets more tense, there might be issues in terms of supplies to the Georgian ports – Turkey can effortlessly place ships there, inspect ours and turn them back/deny passage,” says Vrtanesyan.
Expert in Turkish studies Gevorg Petrosyan, editor of razm.info website, reminds that Turkey and Russia have been fighting for Crimea for ages, because of the peninsula’s strategic geopolitical position. Petrosyan says Turkey’s claims for Crimea should be viewed as quite feasible.
“The geopolitical situation is changing so rapidly that it cannot be ruled out, considering the fact that Turkey is one of the two major players in the Black Sea, the withdrawal of Russian forces from Crimea is absolutely in Turkey’s interest,” says the expert.
Armenia backs Crimea’s right to self-determination
"Armenia's principled position on the right to self-determination remains unchanged and has been repeatedly expressed over the years," Armenia's deputy foreign minister, Shavarsh Kocharyan, told Ukrainian Ambassador Ivan Kukhta, as quoted by the Armenian Foreign Ministry's press service.
The meeting, which took place in Armenia’s capital of Yerevan, was initiated by the Ukrainian side after Armenia’s President Serzh Sargsyan expressed support for the Crimean referendum, stating it was justified. Sargsyan told his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin in a phone conversation that the Crimean referendum was a “model for the realization of self-determination.”
In response, Ukraine recalled its ambassador to Yerevan for consultation on Friday. Kiev also summoned Armenia’s ambassador to Ukraine, Andranik Manukyan, to express its concerns over Armenia’s position on the referendum. On Sunday, over 96 percent of voters taking part in the Crimean referendum answered “yes” to the autonomous republic joining Russia. The Crimean parliament also unanimously voted to integrate the region into Russia.
On Friday, Russia finalized the legal process of taking Crimea under its sovereignty, as President Putin signed a law amending the Russian constitution to reflect the transition. Earlier, Russian lawmakers ratified both the amendment and an international treaty with Crimea and the city of Sevastopol, which was legally required for the incorporation. The move has been met with an onslaught of international sanctions against Russia for its role in the Ukraine crisis.
Armenia has a strong stance of supporting self-determination.
During the confrontation over Nagorno-Karabakh, which broke out in 1988, the region – mostly populated by Armenians – sought independence from Azerbaijan and announced its intention to join Armenia. In 1991, the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic was founded. Azerbaijan tried to regain control over the territory, and the conflict escalated into a full-scale war which claimed the lives of around 30,000 people. The conflict ended in 1994, with Nagorno-Karabakh’s independence remaining unrecognized and the region remaining a part of Azerbaijan, according to Baku’s legislation. Yerevan has been supporting the Nagorno-Karabakh region, representing its interests in an official capacity.
Since 1994, talks to determine the status of the disputed region have been conducted within the framework of the Minsk Group of the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE). The group proposed the basic principles for a settlement of the conflict – known as the Madrid document – in 2007.
Source: http://rt.com/news/armenia-supports-crimea-referendum-473/
US pressure on Armenia to become ally against Russia fails
The US policy on Armenia has resulted in a break-up of Armenia's once powerful light industry, in lopsided reforms and the ensuing economic and social problems. According to experts, the US long-term plans to make Armenia distance itself from Russia are hardly feasible today, just as they were unfeasible 20 years ago. Americans have to take into account the historical and political realities of the region.
The US has never cherished illusions about the post-Soviet Armenia. Washington has conversely been and will remain suspicious of Yerevan, for Armenia is Russia's strategic partner, a member state of the Collective Security Treaty Organization and has friendly relations with Iran despite the geographical and geopolitical realities. And yet, the US seeks to play an active role in the Trans-Caucasus. The US has for example tried to ensure that Armenia and Turkey will open their border, one that's been closed since 1993 at the insistence of Ankara. The US thus sought to bolster its ally Turkey's position in the region. But the diplomatic effort of 2010 yielded no specific result. The US plan failed. This is what Director of the Institute for Caucasus Studies, political analyst Alexander Iskandaryan, says about it in a comment.
"The US has clearly miscalculated. The moment the Armenian-Turkish factor became a factor in Turkey's home policy, the US pressure proved insufficient. There is a world of a difference between pressurizing Turkey in Zurich and doing the same thing in Ankara. Besides, the US badly needs Turkey; it needs the crazy house that's emerged in the Middle East in recent years. Ankara is perfectly aware of that. So, it was the US miscalculation and also the drastically changed situation, I mean the Arab Spring, etc. In short, the US efforts failed".
Yet another factor in the US attempted boosting of influence on Armenia over the past 20 years have been all sorts of grant programmes, the loan financing of government and central bank programmes, and also support for numerous nongovernmental public organizations that have initiated most protest actions in Armenia. According to experts and analysts, the US is thus trying to create financial dependence and pro-western sentiment of the local elite. But according to an Armenian political analyst and spin doctor Vigen Akopyan, the Americans failed to ensure an alternative to Russia in such important areas as military and economic security.
"Security is of paramount importance to Armenia. If Armenia has strong armed forces, it will be able to settle the issue of Nagorno-Karabakh, and will also manage to settle economic problems. Transfers are also very important. A transfer is Armenia's second budget. Some 2.5 billion dollars are transferred to Armenia officially every year. Russia accounts for some 86% of that amount. Americans have failed to offer alternatives to these important factors".
Experts also point out that the US has never tried to stage a coup in Armenia, like the one in Georgia, because of Armenia's obvious orientation towards Russia. An increasingly great number of experts agree that to weaken Russia's influence on the region will soon become next to impossible, given Armenia's forthcoming joining of the Customs Union.
Source: http://voiceofrussia.com/2014_03_28/US-pressure-on-Armenia-to-become-ally-against-Russia-fails-0367/
Ukraine and the Rebirth of Fascism in Europe
“Buoyed
by the continued support from the US and Europe, these fanatics
represent a more serious threat to democracy than Yanukovich and the
pro-Russian government ever could. The
violence on the streets of Ukraine is far more than an expression of
popular anger against a government. Instead, it is merely the latest
example of the rise of the most insidious form of fascism that Europe
has seen since the fall of the Third Reich.
Recent months have seen regular protests by the Ukrainian political opposition and its supporters – protests ostensibly in response to Ukrainian President Yanukovich’s refusal to sign a trade agreement with the European Union that was seen by many political observers as the first step towards European integration. The protests remained largely peaceful until January 17th when protesters armed with clubs, helmets, and improvised bombs unleashed brutal violence on the police, storming government buildings, beating anyone suspected of pro-government sympathies, and generally wreaking havoc on the streets of Kiev. But who are these violent extremists and what is their ideology?
The political formation is known as “Pravy Sektor” (Right Sector), which is essentially an umbrella organization for a number of ultra-nationalist (read fascist) right wing groups including supporters of the “Svoboda” (Freedom) Party, “Patriots of Ukraine”, “Ukrainian National Assembly – Ukrainian National Self Defense” (UNA-UNSO), and “Trizub”. All of these organizations share a common ideology that is vehemently anti-Russian, anti-immigrant, and anti-Jewish among other things. In addition they share a common reverence for the so called “Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists” led by Stepan Bandera, the infamous Nazi collaborators who actively fought against the Soviet Union and engaged in some of the worst atrocities committed by any side in World War II.
While Ukrainian political forces, opposition and government, continue to negotiate, a very different battle is being waged in the streets. Using intimidation and brute force more typical of Hitler’s “Brownshirts” or Mussolini’s “Blackshirts” than a contemporary political movement, these groups have managed to turn a conflict over economic policy and the political allegiances of the country into an existential struggle for the very survival of the nation that these so called “nationalists” claim to love so dearly. The images of Kiev burning, Lviv streets filled with thugs, and other chilling examples of the chaos in the country, illustrate beyond a shadow of a doubt that the political negotiation with the Maidan (Kiev’s central square and center of the protests) opposition is now no longer the central issue. Rather, it is the question of Ukrainian fascism and whether it is to be supported or rejected.
For its part, the United States has strongly come down on the side of the opposition, regardless of its political character. In early December, members of the US ruling establishment such as John McCain and Victoria Nuland were seen at Maidan lending their support to the protesters. However, as the character of the opposition has become apparent in recent days, the US and Western ruling class and its media machine have done little to condemn the fascist upsurge. Instead, their representatives have met with representatives of Right Sector and deemed them to be “no threat.” In other words, the US and its allies have given their tacit approval for the continuation and proliferation of the violence in the name of their ultimate goal: regime change.
In an attempt to pry Ukraine out of the Russian sphere of influence, the US-EU-NATO alliance has, not for the first time, allied itself with fascists. Of course, for decades, millions in Latin America were disappeared or murdered by fascist paramilitary forces armed and supported by the United States. The mujahideen of Afghanistan, which later transmogrified into Al Qaeda, also extreme ideological reactionaries, were created and financed by the United States for the purposes of destabilizing Russia. And of course, there is the painful reality of Libya and, most recently Syria, where the United States and its allies finance and support extremist jihadis against a government that has refused to align with the US and Israel. There is a disturbing pattern here that has never been lost on keen political observers: the United States always makes common cause with right wing extremists and fascists for geopolitical gain.
The situation in Ukraine is deeply troubling because it represents a political conflagration that could very easily tear the country apart less than 25 years after it gained independence from the Soviet Union. However, there is another equally disturbing aspect to the rise of fascism in that country – it is not alone.
The Fascist Menace Across the Continet
Ukraine and the rise of right wing extremism there cannot be seen, let alone understood, in isolation. Rather, it must be examined as part of a growing trend throughout Europe (and indeed the world) – a trend which threatens the very foundations of democracy.
In Greece, savage austerity imposed by the troika (IMF, ECB, and European Commission) has crippled the country’s economy, leading to a depression as bad, if not worse, than the Great Depression in the United States. It is against this backdrop of economic collapse that the Golden Dawn party has grown to become the third most popular political party in the country. Espousing an ideology of hate, the Golden Dawn – in effect a Nazi party that promotes anti-Jewish, anti-immigrant, anti-women chauvinism – is a political force that the government in Athens has understood to be a serious threat to the very fabric of society. It is this threat which led the government to arrest the party’s leadership after a Golden Dawn Nazi fatally stabbed an anti-fascist rapper. Athens has launched an investigation into the party, though the results of this investigation and trial remain somewhat unclear.
What makes Golden Dawn such an insidious threat is the fact that, despite their central ideology of Nazism, their anti-EU, anti-austerity rhetoric appeals to many in the economically devastated Greece. As with many fascist movements in the 20th Century, Golden Dawn scapegoats immigrants, Muslim and African primarily, for many of the problems facing Greeks. In dire economic circumstances, such irrational hate becomes appealing; an answer to the question of how to solve society’s problems. Indeed, despite Golden Dawn’s leaders being jailed, other party members are still in parliament, still running for major offices including mayor of Athens. Though an electoral victory is unlikely, another strong showing at the polls will make the eradication of fascism in Greece that much harder.
Were this phenomenon confined to Greece and Ukraine, it would not constitute a continental trend. Sadly however, we see the rise of similar, albeit slightly less overtly fascist, political parties all over Europe. In Spain, the ruling pro-austerity People’s Party has moved to establish draconian laws restricting protest and free speech, and empowering and sanctioning repressive police tactics. In France, the National Front Party of Marine Le Pen, which vehemently scapegoats Muslim and African immigrants, won nearly twenty percent of the vote in the first round of presidential elections. Similarly, the Party for Freedom in the Netherlands – which promotes anti-Muslim, anti-immigrant policies – has grown to be the third largest in parliament. Throughout Scandinavia, ultra nationalist parties which once toiled in complete irrelevance and obscurity are now significant players in elections. These trends are worrying to say the least.
It should be noted too that, beyond Europe, there are a number of quasi-fascist political formations which are, in one way or another, supported by the United States. The right wing coups that overthrew the governments of Paraguay and Honduras were tacitly and/or overtly supported by Washington in their seemingly endless quest to suppress the Left in Latin America. Of course, one should also remember that the protest movement in Russia was spearheaded by Alexei Navalny and his nationalist followers who espouse a virulently anti-Muslim, racist ideology that views immigrants from the Russian Caucasus and former Soviet republics as beneath “European Russians”. These and other examples begin to paint a very ugly portrait of a US foreign policy that attempts to use economic hardship and political upheaval to extend US hegemony around the world.
In Ukraine, the “Right Sector” has taken the fight from the negotiating table to the streets in an attempt to fulfill the dream of Stepan Bandera – a Ukraine free of Russia, Jews, and all other “undesirables” as they see it. Buoyed by the continued support from the US and Europe, these fanatics represent a more serious threat to democracy than Yanukovich and the pro-Russian government ever could. If Europe and the United States don’t recognize this threat in its infancy, by the time they finally do, it might just be too late.
Recent months have seen regular protests by the Ukrainian political opposition and its supporters – protests ostensibly in response to Ukrainian President Yanukovich’s refusal to sign a trade agreement with the European Union that was seen by many political observers as the first step towards European integration. The protests remained largely peaceful until January 17th when protesters armed with clubs, helmets, and improvised bombs unleashed brutal violence on the police, storming government buildings, beating anyone suspected of pro-government sympathies, and generally wreaking havoc on the streets of Kiev. But who are these violent extremists and what is their ideology?
The political formation is known as “Pravy Sektor” (Right Sector), which is essentially an umbrella organization for a number of ultra-nationalist (read fascist) right wing groups including supporters of the “Svoboda” (Freedom) Party, “Patriots of Ukraine”, “Ukrainian National Assembly – Ukrainian National Self Defense” (UNA-UNSO), and “Trizub”. All of these organizations share a common ideology that is vehemently anti-Russian, anti-immigrant, and anti-Jewish among other things. In addition they share a common reverence for the so called “Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists” led by Stepan Bandera, the infamous Nazi collaborators who actively fought against the Soviet Union and engaged in some of the worst atrocities committed by any side in World War II.
While Ukrainian political forces, opposition and government, continue to negotiate, a very different battle is being waged in the streets. Using intimidation and brute force more typical of Hitler’s “Brownshirts” or Mussolini’s “Blackshirts” than a contemporary political movement, these groups have managed to turn a conflict over economic policy and the political allegiances of the country into an existential struggle for the very survival of the nation that these so called “nationalists” claim to love so dearly. The images of Kiev burning, Lviv streets filled with thugs, and other chilling examples of the chaos in the country, illustrate beyond a shadow of a doubt that the political negotiation with the Maidan (Kiev’s central square and center of the protests) opposition is now no longer the central issue. Rather, it is the question of Ukrainian fascism and whether it is to be supported or rejected.
For its part, the United States has strongly come down on the side of the opposition, regardless of its political character. In early December, members of the US ruling establishment such as John McCain and Victoria Nuland were seen at Maidan lending their support to the protesters. However, as the character of the opposition has become apparent in recent days, the US and Western ruling class and its media machine have done little to condemn the fascist upsurge. Instead, their representatives have met with representatives of Right Sector and deemed them to be “no threat.” In other words, the US and its allies have given their tacit approval for the continuation and proliferation of the violence in the name of their ultimate goal: regime change.
In an attempt to pry Ukraine out of the Russian sphere of influence, the US-EU-NATO alliance has, not for the first time, allied itself with fascists. Of course, for decades, millions in Latin America were disappeared or murdered by fascist paramilitary forces armed and supported by the United States. The mujahideen of Afghanistan, which later transmogrified into Al Qaeda, also extreme ideological reactionaries, were created and financed by the United States for the purposes of destabilizing Russia. And of course, there is the painful reality of Libya and, most recently Syria, where the United States and its allies finance and support extremist jihadis against a government that has refused to align with the US and Israel. There is a disturbing pattern here that has never been lost on keen political observers: the United States always makes common cause with right wing extremists and fascists for geopolitical gain.
The situation in Ukraine is deeply troubling because it represents a political conflagration that could very easily tear the country apart less than 25 years after it gained independence from the Soviet Union. However, there is another equally disturbing aspect to the rise of fascism in that country – it is not alone.
The Fascist Menace Across the Continet
Ukraine and the rise of right wing extremism there cannot be seen, let alone understood, in isolation. Rather, it must be examined as part of a growing trend throughout Europe (and indeed the world) – a trend which threatens the very foundations of democracy.
In Greece, savage austerity imposed by the troika (IMF, ECB, and European Commission) has crippled the country’s economy, leading to a depression as bad, if not worse, than the Great Depression in the United States. It is against this backdrop of economic collapse that the Golden Dawn party has grown to become the third most popular political party in the country. Espousing an ideology of hate, the Golden Dawn – in effect a Nazi party that promotes anti-Jewish, anti-immigrant, anti-women chauvinism – is a political force that the government in Athens has understood to be a serious threat to the very fabric of society. It is this threat which led the government to arrest the party’s leadership after a Golden Dawn Nazi fatally stabbed an anti-fascist rapper. Athens has launched an investigation into the party, though the results of this investigation and trial remain somewhat unclear.
What makes Golden Dawn such an insidious threat is the fact that, despite their central ideology of Nazism, their anti-EU, anti-austerity rhetoric appeals to many in the economically devastated Greece. As with many fascist movements in the 20th Century, Golden Dawn scapegoats immigrants, Muslim and African primarily, for many of the problems facing Greeks. In dire economic circumstances, such irrational hate becomes appealing; an answer to the question of how to solve society’s problems. Indeed, despite Golden Dawn’s leaders being jailed, other party members are still in parliament, still running for major offices including mayor of Athens. Though an electoral victory is unlikely, another strong showing at the polls will make the eradication of fascism in Greece that much harder.
Were this phenomenon confined to Greece and Ukraine, it would not constitute a continental trend. Sadly however, we see the rise of similar, albeit slightly less overtly fascist, political parties all over Europe. In Spain, the ruling pro-austerity People’s Party has moved to establish draconian laws restricting protest and free speech, and empowering and sanctioning repressive police tactics. In France, the National Front Party of Marine Le Pen, which vehemently scapegoats Muslim and African immigrants, won nearly twenty percent of the vote in the first round of presidential elections. Similarly, the Party for Freedom in the Netherlands – which promotes anti-Muslim, anti-immigrant policies – has grown to be the third largest in parliament. Throughout Scandinavia, ultra nationalist parties which once toiled in complete irrelevance and obscurity are now significant players in elections. These trends are worrying to say the least.
It should be noted too that, beyond Europe, there are a number of quasi-fascist political formations which are, in one way or another, supported by the United States. The right wing coups that overthrew the governments of Paraguay and Honduras were tacitly and/or overtly supported by Washington in their seemingly endless quest to suppress the Left in Latin America. Of course, one should also remember that the protest movement in Russia was spearheaded by Alexei Navalny and his nationalist followers who espouse a virulently anti-Muslim, racist ideology that views immigrants from the Russian Caucasus and former Soviet republics as beneath “European Russians”. These and other examples begin to paint a very ugly portrait of a US foreign policy that attempts to use economic hardship and political upheaval to extend US hegemony around the world.
In Ukraine, the “Right Sector” has taken the fight from the negotiating table to the streets in an attempt to fulfill the dream of Stepan Bandera – a Ukraine free of Russia, Jews, and all other “undesirables” as they see it. Buoyed by the continued support from the US and Europe, these fanatics represent a more serious threat to democracy than Yanukovich and the pro-Russian government ever could. If Europe and the United States don’t recognize this threat in its infancy, by the time they finally do, it might just be too late.
The
violence on the streets of Ukraine is far more than an expression of
popular anger against a government. Instead, it is merely the latest
example of the rise of the most insidious form of fascism that Europe
has seen since the fall of the Third Reich.
Recent months have seen regular
protests by the Ukrainian political opposition and its supporters –
protests ostensibly in response to Ukrainian President Yanukovich’s
refusal to sign a trade agreement with the European Union that was seen
by many political observers as the first step towards European
integration. The protests remained largely peaceful until January 17th
when protesters armed with clubs, helmets, and improvised bombs
unleashed brutal violence on the police, storming government buildings,
beating anyone suspected of pro-government sympathies, and generally
wreaking havoc on the streets of Kiev. But who are these violent
extremists and what is their ideology?
The political formation is known as “Pravy Sektor” (Right
Sector), which is essentially an umbrella organization for a number of
ultra-nationalist (read fascist) right wing groups including supporters
of the “Svoboda” (Freedom) Party, “Patriots of Ukraine”, “Ukrainian
National Assembly – Ukrainian National Self Defense” (UNA-UNSO), and
“Trizub”. All of these organizations share a common ideology that is
vehemently anti-Russian, anti-immigrant, and anti-Jewish among other
things. In addition they share a common reverence for the so called
“Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists” led by Stepan Bandera, the
infamous Nazi collaborators who actively fought against the Soviet Union
and engaged in some of the worst atrocities committed by any side in
World War II.
While Ukrainian political forces,
opposition and government, continue to negotiate, a very different
battle is being waged in the streets. Using intimidation and brute
force more typical of Hitler’s “Brownshirts” or Mussolini’s
“Blackshirts” than a contemporary political movement, these groups have
managed to turn a conflict over economic policy and the political
allegiances of the country into an existential struggle for the very
survival of the nation that these so called “nationalists” claim to love
so dearly. The images of Kiev burning, Lviv streets filled with thugs,
and other chilling examples of the chaos in the country, illustrate
beyond a shadow of a doubt that the political negotiation with the
Maidan (Kiev’s central square and center of the protests) opposition is
now no longer the central issue. Rather, it is the question of
Ukrainian fascism and whether it is to be supported or rejected.
For its part, the United States has
strongly come down on the side of the opposition, regardless of its
political character. In early December, members of the US ruling
establishment such as John McCain and Victoria Nuland were seen at
Maidan lending their support to the protesters. However, as the
character of the opposition has become apparent in recent days, the US
and Western ruling class and its media machine have done little to
condemn the fascist upsurge. Instead, their representatives have met
with representatives of Right Sector and deemed them to be “no threat.”
In other words, the US and its allies have given their tacit approval
for the continuation and proliferation of the violence in the name of
their ultimate goal: regime change.
In an attempt to pry Ukraine out of the
Russian sphere of influence, the US-EU-NATO alliance has, not for the
first time, allied itself with fascists. Of course, for decades,
millions in Latin America were disappeared or murdered by fascist
paramilitary forces armed and supported by the United States. The
mujahideen of Afghanistan, which later transmogrified into Al Qaeda,
also extreme ideological reactionaries, were created and financed by the
United States for the purposes of destabilizing Russia. And of course,
there is the painful reality of Libya and, most recently Syria, where
the United States and its allies finance and support extremist jihadis
against a government that has refused to align with the US and Israel.
There is a disturbing pattern here that has never been lost on keen
political observers: the United States always makes common cause with
right wing extremists and fascists for geopolitical gain.
The situation in Ukraine is deeply
troubling because it represents a political conflagration that could
very easily tear the country apart less than 25 years after it gained
independence from the Soviet Union. However, there is another equally
disturbing aspect to the rise of fascism in that country – it is not
alone.
The Fascist Menace Across the Continent
Ukraine and the rise of right wing
extremism there cannot be seen, let alone understood, in isolation.
Rather, it must be examined as part of a growing trend throughout Europe
(and indeed the world) – a trend which threatens the very foundations
of democracy.
In Greece, savage austerity imposed by
the troika (IMF, ECB, and European Commission) has crippled the
country’s economy, leading to a depression as bad, if not worse, than
the Great Depression in the United States. It is against this backdrop
of economic collapse that the Golden Dawn party has grown to become the
third most popular political party in the country. Espousing an
ideology of hate, the Golden Dawn – in effect a Nazi party that promotes
anti-Jewish, anti-immigrant, anti-women chauvinism – is a political
force that the government in Athens has understood to be a serious
threat to the very fabric of society. It is this threat which led the
government to arrest the party’s leadership after a Golden Dawn Nazi
fatally stabbed an anti-fascist rapper. Athens has launched an
investigation into the party, though the results of this investigation
and trial remain somewhat unclear.
What makes Golden Dawn such an
insidious threat is the fact that, despite their central ideology of
Nazism, their anti-EU, anti-austerity rhetoric appeals to many in the
economically devastated Greece. As with many fascist movements in the
20th Century, Golden Dawn scapegoats immigrants, Muslim and
African primarily, for many of the problems facing Greeks. In dire
economic circumstances, such irrational hate becomes appealing; an
answer to the question of how to solve society’s problems. Indeed,
despite Golden Dawn’s leaders being jailed, other party members are
still in parliament, still running for major offices including mayor of
Athens. Though an electoral victory is unlikely, another strong showing
at the polls will make the eradication of fascism in Greece that much
harder.
Were this phenomenon confined to Greece
and Ukraine, it would not constitute a continental trend. Sadly
however, we see the rise of similar, albeit slightly less overtly
fascist, political parties all over Europe. In Spain, the ruling
pro-austerity People’s Party has moved to establish draconian laws
restricting protest and free speech, and empowering and sanctioning
repressive police tactics. In France, the National Front Party of
Marine Le Pen, which vehemently scapegoats Muslim and African
immigrants, won nearly twenty percent of the vote in the first round of
presidential elections. Similarly, the Party for Freedom in the
Netherlands – which promotes anti-Muslim, anti-immigrant policies – has
grown to be the third largest in parliament. Throughout Scandinavia,
ultra nationalist parties which once toiled in complete irrelevance and
obscurity are now significant players in elections. These trends are
worrying to say the least.
It should be noted too that, beyond
Europe, there are a number of quasi-fascist political formations which
are, in one way or another, supported by the United States. The right
wing coups that overthrew the governments of Paraguay and Honduras were
tacitly and/or overtly supported by Washington in their seemingly
endless quest to suppress the Left in Latin America. Of course, one
should also remember that the protest movement in Russia was spearheaded
by Alexei Navalny and his nationalist followers who espouse a
virulently anti-Muslim, racist ideology that views immigrants from the
Russian Caucasus and former Soviet republics as beneath “European
Russians”. These and other examples begin to paint a very ugly portrait
of a US foreign policy that attempts to use economic hardship and
political upheaval to extend US hegemony around the world.
In Ukraine, the “Right Sector” has
taken the fight from the negotiating table to the streets in an attempt
to fulfill the dream of Stepan Bandera – a Ukraine free of Russia, Jews,
and all other “undesirables” as they see it. Buoyed by the continued
support from the US and Europe, these fanatics represent a more serious
threat to democracy than Yanukovich and the pro-Russian government ever
could. If Europe and the United States don’t recognize this threat in
its infancy, by the time they finally do, it might just be too late.
- See more at: http://www.boilingfrogspost.com/2014/01/30/ukraine-and-the-rebirth-of-fascism-in-europe/#sthash.51fGPo5d.dpuf
Source:http://www.boilingfrogspost.com/2014/01/30/ukraine-and-the-rebirth-of-fascism-in-europe/Source:http://www.boilingfrogspost.com/2014/01/30/ukraine-and-the-rebirth-of-fascism-in-europe/Source: http://www.globalresearch.ca/ukraine-and-the-rebirth-of-fascism-in-europe/5366852
A Monster Reawakens: The Rise of Ukrainian Fascism
With the eyes of the
world fixed on Russia’s invasion of Crimea
and the prospect of a wider war engulfing all Ukraine, our attention
has been diverted from what may be the most significant aspect of this
crisis: the ascension of a genuinely fascist mass movement into the corridors of power.
Our "mainstream" media shrugs off what it describes as the presence of "a few ultra-nationalists" at the Kiev protests, but this is nonsense: it is far more than a few. Indeed, the activists of the two main fascist parties in Ukraine – Svoboda and "Right Sector" – provided the muscle the insurrectionists needed to take over government buildings in Kiev and across western Ukraine.
Svoboda ("Freedom") was founded in 1991 as the Social National Party of Ukraine. The party idolizes Stepan Bandera, whose followers fought on the side of the Nazis during World War II against the Red Army and Ukrainian communist militias. Bandera’s Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists (OUN) had direct support from the Germans: Hitler wanted them to police Ukraine after the Germans took it, and the OUN organized volunteer militias that actively participated in the Holocaust. "The Jews of the Soviet Union," declared the Banderists, "are the most loyal supporters of the Bolshevik Regime and the vanguard of Muscovite imperialism in the Ukraine." When the Germans took Lvov in the summer of 1941, the Banderists sent a message to Lvov’s Jews in the form of a pamphlet which said: "We will lay your heads at Hitler’s feet"! Which they did; the OUN worked with the SS to round up and slaughter 4,000 of the city’s Jews. Their weapons of choice: everything from guns to metal poles.
When Viktor Yushchenko, during his disastrous tenure as President of Ukraine, bestowed on Bandera the posthumous title of "Hero of Ukraine," the European Parliament formally protested: they were ignored.
Svoboda leader Oleh Tyahnybok, now a top official of the Ukrainian Parliament, is an unrepentant anti-Semite. In the summer of 2004, he made a speech to his followers at the gravesite of a Banderist commander in which he declared: "You are the ones that the Moscow-Jewish mafia ruling Ukraine fears most." His peroration also made reference to "Kikes" as prominent among those the Banderists fought. Tyahnybok was expelled from Parliament for his remarks, but the "revolution" has installed him back in his seat – and more powerful than ever.
He has plenty of company. Svoboda activists, who already held seats in Parliament, hold no less than eight top Cabinet positions:
-
Ihor Tenyukh – interim defense minister and a member of Svoboda’s political council. Formerly commander of Ukraine’s navy, in 2008, during Russia’s war with Georgia, he ordered Ukrainian warships to block the entrance of the Russian Navy to the bay of Sevastopol.
-
Andriy Parubiy – National Security Council chief, co-founded Svoboda back when it was the “Social National” (ahem!) party.
-
Dmytro Yarosh – deputy head of the National Security Council, i.e. the police, and the founder-leader of "Right Sector," a militant neo-Nazi paramilitary group that took charge of security in the Maiden.
-
Oleh Makhnitsky – Svoboda member of parliament, is prosecutor-general.
-
Oleksandr Sych – Svoboda parliamentarian and the party’s chief ideologist, is deputy prime minister for economic affairs.
-
Serhiy Kvit – a leading member of Svoboda, is to head up the Education Ministry.
-
Andriy Moknyk – the new Minister of Ecology, has been Svoboda’s envoy to other European fascist parties. Last year, he met with representatives of Italy’s violent neo-fascist gang, Forza Nuovo.
-
Ihor Shvaika – agro-oligarch and a member of Svoboda, has been appointed Minister of Agriculture. One of the richest men in the country, his massive investments in agriculture would seem to indicate a slight conflict of interest.
For the first time since 1933, the followers of a movement that valorizes Adolf
Hitler and preaches anti-Semitism has entered a European government. The German
Nazis, too, were part of a "coalition" government, the other members
of which thought
they could contain or even “tame” them and prevent a Communist takeover. They
were tragically wrong – and the United States and its European allies are taking
the same road in backing Hitler’s heirs in Ukraine.
Of course the majority of the government’s supporters are hardly hardcore neo-Nazis: but that isn’t necessary to make this a precedent the West will live to regret. The presence of Svoboda and "Right Sector" legitimizes these movements, and not only in Ukraine. Germany has periodically sought to ban the neo-Nazi National Democratic Party, and the British have taken legal measures against the British National Party: will they now grant the Ukrainian brothers of these so-called hate groups diplomatic recognition and pledges of political and even military support?
What’s interesting about the specific appointments listed above is the prominence of "Right Sector" leader Dmytro Yarosh in the key position of deputy chief of the national police. The "Right Sector" organization came out of the merger of several ultra-nationalist and openly neo-Nazi grouplets, including "Trident," the Ukrainian National Assembly-Ukrainian National Defense Force, "White Hammer," and "Patriots of Ukraine." Yorash boasted at the height of the protests that his group had amassed a large weapons cache, and since they already had the guns it was inevitable they would form the nucleus of the reconstituted police force. With the group’s high profile, and its celebrated status as "heroes of the revolution," Yorash’s stormtroopers – who wear the red-and-black insignia of the Banderists –will be charged with suppressing anti-government "disturbances" and hunting down "traitors." Perhaps they’ll throw in a little queer-bashing as well: the nationalists hate gays as well as Jews and all Russian-speakers.
Victoria Nuland thought she could keep Svoboda and "Right Sector" out of the government, but she hasn’t done a very good job so far. And with elections scheduled for May 5, the nationalists are well positioned to take a good chunk of the vote. Arseniy Yatsenyuk, the State Department’s favored candidate, is a bespectacled technocrat notably lacking in the charisma department. Tyahnybok , on the other hand, is a natural demagogue.
No matter how many US taxpayer dollars flow into the coffers of the State Department’s Ukrainian sock puppets between now and May 25, all the money in the world may not be able to contain the forces our interventionists have loosened on the world. The news that the leader of "Right Sector" has called on none other than al-Qaeda to help Ukraine in its battle against Russia is an indication of just what sort of demons we have unleashed – this time.
Source: http://original.antiwar.com/justin/2014/03/04/a-monster-reawakens-the-rise-of-ukrainian-fascism/
The war will be nuclear.
The rescue rope thrown to Kiev by the IMF and the European Union is in reality a ball and chain. Ukraine’s external debt, as documented by the World Bank, increased tenfold in ten years and exceeds 135 billion dollars. In interests alone, Ukraine must pay about 4.5 billion dollars a year. The new loans will only serve to increase the external debt thus obliging Kiev to “liberalize” its economy even more, by selling to corporations what remains to be privatized.
Ukraine, IMF “Shock Treatment” and Economic Warfare By , Global Research, March 21, 2014
Under the IMF loan agreement, the money will not enter the country, It will be used to trigger the repayment of outstanding debt servicing obligations to EU and US creditors. In this regard, according to the Bank for International Settlements (BIS)”European banks have more than $23 billion in outstanding loans in Ukraine.” Ukraine Facing Financial Instability But IMF May Help Soon – Spiegel Online, February 28, 2014
[...]
Western Looting Of Ukraine Has Begun
According to a report in Kommersant-Ukraine, the finance ministry of
Washington’s stooges in Kiev who are pretending to be a government has
prepared an economic austerity plan that will cut Ukrainian pensions
from $160 to $80 so that Western bankers who lent money to Ukraine can
be repaid at the expense of Ukraine’s poor. http://www.kommersant.ua/doc/2424454 It is Greece all over again.
Before anything approaching stability and legitimacy has been obtained for the puppet government put in power by the Washington orchestrated coup against the legitimate, elected Ukraine government, the Western looters are already at work. Naive protesters who believed the propaganda that EU membership offered a better life are due to lose half of their pension by April. But this is only the beginning.
The corrupt Western media describes loans as “aid.” However, the 11 billion euros that the EU is offering Kiev is not aid. It is a loan. Moreover, it comes with many strings, including Kiev’s acceptance of an IMF austerity plan.
Remember now, gullible Ukrainians participated in the protests that were used to overthrow their elected government, because they believed the lies told to them by Washington-financed NGOs that once they joined the EU they would have streets paved with gold. Instead they are getting cuts in their pensions and an IMF austerity plan.
The austerity plan will cut social services, funds for education, layoff government workers, devalue the currency, thus raising the prices of imports which include Russian gas, thus electricity, and open Ukrainian assets to takeover by Western corporations. Ukraine’s agriculture lands will pass into the hands of American agribusiness. One part of the Washington/EU plan for Ukraine, or that part of Ukraine that doesn’t defect to Russia, has succeeded. What remains of the country will be thoroughly looted by the West.
The other part hasn’t worked as well. Washington’s Ukrainian stooges lost control of the protests to organized and armed ultra-nationalists. These groups, whose roots go back to those who fought for Hitler during World War 2, engaged in words and deeds that sent southern and eastern Ukraine clamoring to be returned to Russia where they resided prior to the 1950s when the Soviet communist party stuck them into Ukraine.
At this time of writing it looks like Crimea has seceded from Ukraine. Washington and its NATO puppets can do nothing but bluster and threaten sanctions. The White House Fool has demonstrated the impotence of the “US sole superpower” by issuing sanctions against unknown persons, whoever they are, responsible for returning Crimea to Russia, where it existed for about 200 years before, according to Solzhenitsyn, a drunk Khrushchev of Ukrainian ethnicity moved southern and eastern Russian provinces into Ukraine. Having observed the events in western Ukraine, those Russian provinces want to go back home where they belong, just as South Ossetia wanted nothing to do with Georgia.
Washington’s stooges in Kiev can do nothing about Crimea except bluster. Under the Russian-Ukraine agreement, Russia is permitted 25,000 troops in Crimea. The US/EU media’s deploring of a “Russian invasion of 16,000 troops” is either total ignorance or complicity in Washington’s lies. Obviously, the US/EU media is corrupt. Only a fool would rely on their reports. Any media that would believe anything Washington says after George W. Bush and Dick Cheney sent Secretary of State Colin Powell to the UN to peddle the regime’s lies about “Iraqi weapons of mass destruction,” which the weapons inspectors had told the White House did not exist, is clearly a collection of bought-and-paid for whores.
In the former Russian provinces of eastern Ukraine, Putin’s low-key approach to the strategic threat that Washington has brought to Russia has given Washington a chance to hold on to a major industrial complex that serves the Russian economy and military. The people themselves in eastern Ukraine are in the streets demanding separation from the unelected government that Washington’s coup has imposed in Kiev. Washington, realizing that its incompetence has lost Crimea, had its Kiev stooges appoint Ukrainian oligarchs, against whom the Maiden protests were partly directed, to governing positions in eastern Ukraine cities. These oligarchs have their own private militias in addition to the police and any Ukrainian military units that are still functioning. The leaders of the protesting Russians are being arrested and disappeared. Washington and its EU puppets, who proclaim their support for self-determination, are only for self-determination when it can be orchestrated in their favor. Therefore, Washington is busy at work suppressing self-determination in eastern Ukraine.
This is a dilemma for Putin. His low-key approach has allowed Washington to seize the initiative in eastern Ukraine. The oligarchs Taruta and Kolomoyskiy have been put in power in Donetsk and Dnipropetrovsk, and are carrying out arrests of Russians and committing unspeakable crimes, but you will never hear of it from the US presstitutes. Washington’s strategy is to arrest and deep-six the leaders of the secessionists so that there no authorities to request Putin’s intervention.
If Putin has drones, he has the option of taking out Taruta and Kolomoyskiy. If Putin lets Washington retain the Russian provinces of eastern Ukraine, he will have demonstrated a weakness that Washington will exploit. Washington will exploit the weakness to the point that Washington forces Putin to war.
Before anything approaching stability and legitimacy has been obtained for the puppet government put in power by the Washington orchestrated coup against the legitimate, elected Ukraine government, the Western looters are already at work. Naive protesters who believed the propaganda that EU membership offered a better life are due to lose half of their pension by April. But this is only the beginning.
The corrupt Western media describes loans as “aid.” However, the 11 billion euros that the EU is offering Kiev is not aid. It is a loan. Moreover, it comes with many strings, including Kiev’s acceptance of an IMF austerity plan.
Remember now, gullible Ukrainians participated in the protests that were used to overthrow their elected government, because they believed the lies told to them by Washington-financed NGOs that once they joined the EU they would have streets paved with gold. Instead they are getting cuts in their pensions and an IMF austerity plan.
The austerity plan will cut social services, funds for education, layoff government workers, devalue the currency, thus raising the prices of imports which include Russian gas, thus electricity, and open Ukrainian assets to takeover by Western corporations. Ukraine’s agriculture lands will pass into the hands of American agribusiness. One part of the Washington/EU plan for Ukraine, or that part of Ukraine that doesn’t defect to Russia, has succeeded. What remains of the country will be thoroughly looted by the West.
The other part hasn’t worked as well. Washington’s Ukrainian stooges lost control of the protests to organized and armed ultra-nationalists. These groups, whose roots go back to those who fought for Hitler during World War 2, engaged in words and deeds that sent southern and eastern Ukraine clamoring to be returned to Russia where they resided prior to the 1950s when the Soviet communist party stuck them into Ukraine.
At this time of writing it looks like Crimea has seceded from Ukraine. Washington and its NATO puppets can do nothing but bluster and threaten sanctions. The White House Fool has demonstrated the impotence of the “US sole superpower” by issuing sanctions against unknown persons, whoever they are, responsible for returning Crimea to Russia, where it existed for about 200 years before, according to Solzhenitsyn, a drunk Khrushchev of Ukrainian ethnicity moved southern and eastern Russian provinces into Ukraine. Having observed the events in western Ukraine, those Russian provinces want to go back home where they belong, just as South Ossetia wanted nothing to do with Georgia.
Washington’s stooges in Kiev can do nothing about Crimea except bluster. Under the Russian-Ukraine agreement, Russia is permitted 25,000 troops in Crimea. The US/EU media’s deploring of a “Russian invasion of 16,000 troops” is either total ignorance or complicity in Washington’s lies. Obviously, the US/EU media is corrupt. Only a fool would rely on their reports. Any media that would believe anything Washington says after George W. Bush and Dick Cheney sent Secretary of State Colin Powell to the UN to peddle the regime’s lies about “Iraqi weapons of mass destruction,” which the weapons inspectors had told the White House did not exist, is clearly a collection of bought-and-paid for whores.
In the former Russian provinces of eastern Ukraine, Putin’s low-key approach to the strategic threat that Washington has brought to Russia has given Washington a chance to hold on to a major industrial complex that serves the Russian economy and military. The people themselves in eastern Ukraine are in the streets demanding separation from the unelected government that Washington’s coup has imposed in Kiev. Washington, realizing that its incompetence has lost Crimea, had its Kiev stooges appoint Ukrainian oligarchs, against whom the Maiden protests were partly directed, to governing positions in eastern Ukraine cities. These oligarchs have their own private militias in addition to the police and any Ukrainian military units that are still functioning. The leaders of the protesting Russians are being arrested and disappeared. Washington and its EU puppets, who proclaim their support for self-determination, are only for self-determination when it can be orchestrated in their favor. Therefore, Washington is busy at work suppressing self-determination in eastern Ukraine.
This is a dilemma for Putin. His low-key approach has allowed Washington to seize the initiative in eastern Ukraine. The oligarchs Taruta and Kolomoyskiy have been put in power in Donetsk and Dnipropetrovsk, and are carrying out arrests of Russians and committing unspeakable crimes, but you will never hear of it from the US presstitutes. Washington’s strategy is to arrest and deep-six the leaders of the secessionists so that there no authorities to request Putin’s intervention.
If Putin has drones, he has the option of taking out Taruta and Kolomoyskiy. If Putin lets Washington retain the Russian provinces of eastern Ukraine, he will have demonstrated a weakness that Washington will exploit. Washington will exploit the weakness to the point that Washington forces Putin to war.
The war will be nuclear.
Regime Change in Ukraine and the IMF’s Bitter “Economic Medicine”
In the days following the Ukraine coup d’Etat of February 23,
leading to the ousting of a duly elected president, Wall Street and the
IMF–in liaison with the US Treasury and the European Commission in
Brussels– had already set the stage for the outright takeover of
Ukraine’s monetary system. The EuroMaidan protests leading up to “regime
change” and the formation of an interim government were followed by
purges within key ministries and government bodies.
Stepan Kubiv is a member of Parliament of the Rightist Batkivshchyna “Fatherland” faction in the Rada led by the acting Prime Minister Arseny Yatsenyuk
(founded by Yulia Tymoshenko in March 1999). He previously headed
Kredbank, a Ukrainian financial institution largely owned by EU capital,
with some 130 branches throughout Ukraine. Ukraine Central Bank Promises Liquidity To Local Banks, With One Condition,
Kubic is no ordinary bank executive. He was one of the first field “commandants” of the EuroMaidan riots alongside Andriy Parubiy co-founder of the Neo-Nazi Social-National Party of Ukraine (subsequently renamed Svoboda) and Dimitry Yarosh, leader of the Right Sector Brown Shirts, which now has the status of a political party. Kubiv was in the Maidan square
addressing protesters on February 18, at the very moment when armed
Right Sector thugs under the helm of Dmitry Yarosh were raiding the parliament building. A
few days later, upon the establishment of the interim government,
Stepan Kubiv was put in charge of negotiations with Wall Street and the
IMF.
The new Minister of Finance Aleksandr Shlapak [left] is a political crony of Viktor Yushchenko
–a long-time protegé of the IMF who was spearheaded into the presidency
following the 2004 “Colored Revolution”. Shlapak held key positions in
the office of the presidency under Yushchenko as well as at the National
Bank of Ukraine (NBU). In 2010, upon Yushchenko’s defeat, Aleksandr
Shlapak joined a shadowy Bermuda based offshore
financial outfit IMG International Ltd (IMG), holding the position of
Vice President. Based in Hamilton, Bermuda, IMG specialises in “captive
insurance management”, reinsurance and “risk transfer.”
Minister of Finance Aleksandr Shlapak works in close liaison with Pavlo Sheremeto,
the newly appointed Minister of Economic Development and Trade, who
upon his appointment called for “deregulation, fully fledged and across
the board”, requiring –as demanded in previous negotiations by the IMF–
the outright elimination of subsidies on fuel, energy and basic food
staples.
Another key appointment is that of Ihor Shvaika [right], a member of the Neo-Nazi Svoboda Party, to the position of Minister of Agrarian Policy and
Food. Headed by an avowed follower of World War II Nazi collaborator
Stepan Bandera [see image below], this ministry not only oversees the
agricultural sector, it also decides on issues pertaining to subsidies
and the prices of basic food staples.
The new Cabinet has stated that the country is prepared for socially
“painful” but necessary reforms. In December 2013, a 20 billion dollar
deal with the IMF had already been contemplated alongside the
controversial EU-Ukraine Association Agreement. Yanukovych decided to
turn it down. One of the requirements of the IMF was that “household subsidies for gas be reduced once again by 50%”.
“Other onerous IMF requirements included cuts to pensions, government employment, and the privatization (read: let western corporations purchase) of government assets and property. It is therefore likely that the most recent IMF deal currently in negotiation, will include once again major reductions in gas subsidies, cuts in pensions, immediate government job cuts, as well as other reductions in social spending programs in the Ukraine.” (voice of russia.com March 21, 2014)
Economic Surrender: Unconditional Acceptance of IMF Demands by Western Puppet Government
Shortly after his instatement, the interim (puppet) prime minister Arseny Yatsenyuk casually dismissed the need to negotiate with the IMF. Prior to the conduct of negotiations pertaining to a draft agreement, Yatsenyuk
had already called for an unconditional acceptance of the IMF package:
“We have no other choice but to accept the IMF offer”. Yatsenyk intimated that Ukraine will “accept whatever offer the IMF and the EU made” (voice of russia.com March 21, 2014)
In surrendering to the IMF, Yatsenyuk was fully aware that the
proposed reforms would brutally impoverish millions of people, including
those who protested in Maidan. The actual timeframe for the implementation of the IMF’s “shock
therapy” has not yet been firmly established. In all likelihood, the
regime will attempt to delay the more ruthless social impacts of the
macroeconomic reforms until after the May 25 presidential elections
(assuming that these elections will take place).
The text of the IMF agreement is likely to be detailed and specific,
particularly with regard to State assets earmarked for privatization. Henry Kissinger and Condoleeza Rice, according to Bloomberg are among
key individuals in the US who are acting (in a non-official capacity)
in tandem with the IMF, the Kiev government, in consultation with the
White House and the US Congress.
The IMF Mission to Kiev
Immediately upon the instatement of the new Finance Minister and NBU
governor, a request was submitted to the IMF’s Managing director. An IMF fact finding mission headed by the Director of the IMF’s European Department Rez Moghadam was rushed to Kiev:
“I am positively impressed with the authorities’ determination, sense of responsibility and commitment to an agenda of economic reform and transparency. The IMF stands ready to help the people of Ukraine and support the authorities’ economic program.” Press Release: Statement by IMF European Department Director Reza Moghadam on his Visit to Ukraine
A week later, on March 12, Christine Lagarde, met
the interim Prime Minister of Ukraine Arseniy Yatsenyuk at IMF
headquarters in Washington. Lagarde reaffirmed the IMF’s commitment:
“[to putting Ukraine back] on the path of sound economic governance and sustainable growth, while protecting the vulnerable in society. … We are keen to help Ukraine on its path to economic stability and prosperity.”(Press Release: Statement by IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde on Ukraine
The above statement is wrought with hypocrisy. In practice, the IMF
does not wield “sound economic governance” nor does it protect the
vulnerable. It impoverishes entire populations, while providing
“prosperity” to a small corrupt and subservient political and economic
elite.
IMF “economic medicine” while contributing to the enrichment of a
social minority, invariably triggers economic instability and mass
poverty, while providing a “social safety net” to the external
creditors. To sell its reform package, the IMF relies on media
propaganda as well as persistent statements by “economic experts” and
financial analysts which provide authority to the IMF’s macroeconomic
reforms.
The unspoken objective behind IMF interventionism is to destabilize
sovereign governments and literally break up entire national economies.
This is achieved through the manipulation of key macroeconomic policy
instruments as well as the outright rigging of financial markets,
including the foreign exchange market.
To reach its unspoken goals, the IMF-World Bank –often in
consultation with the US Treasury and the State Department–, will exert
control over key appointments including the Minister of Finance, the
Central Bank governor as well as senior officials in charge of the
country’s privatization program. These key appointments will require the
(unofficial) approval of the “Washington Consensus” prior to the
conduct of negotiations pertaining to a multibillion IMF bailout
agreement. Beneath the rhetoric, in the real World of money and credit, the IMF has several related operational objectives:
1) to facilitate the collection of debt
servicing obligations, while ensuring that the country remains indebted
and under the control of its external creditors.
2) to exert on behalf of the country’s
external creditors full control over the country’s monetary policy, its
fiscal and budgetary structures,
3) to revamp social programs, labor laws, minimum wage legislation, in accordance with the interests of Western capital
4) to deregulate foreign trade and investment policies, including financial services and intellectual property rights,
5) to implement the privatization of key sectors of the economy through the sale of public assets to foreign corporations.
6) to facilitate the takeover by foreign
capital (including mergers and acquisitions) of selected privately owned
Ukrainian corporations.
7) to ensure the deregulation of the foreign exchange market.
While the privatization program ensures the transfer of State assets into the hands of foreign investors, the
IMF program also includes provisions geared towards the destabilization
of the country’s privately owned business conglomerates. A
concurrent “break up” plan entitled “spin-off” as well as a “bankruptcy
program” are often implemented with a view to triggering the
liquidation, closing down or restructuring of a large number of
nationally owned private and public enterprises.
The “spin off” procedure –which was imposed on South Korea under the
December 1997 IMF bailout agreement– required the break up of several of
Korea’s powerful chaebols (business conglomerates) into smaller
corporations, many of which were then taken over by US, EU and Japanese
capital.. Sizeable banking interests as well highly profitable
components of Korea’s high tech industrial base were transferred or sold
off at rock bottom prices to Western capital. (Michel Chossudovsky, The Globalization of Poverty and the New World Order, Global Research, Montreal, 2003, Chapter 22).
These staged bankruptcy programs ultimately seek to destroy national
capitalism. In the case of Ukraine, they would selectively target the
business interests of the oligarchs, opening the door for the takeover
of a sizeable portion of Ukraine’s private sector by EU and US
corporations. The conditionalities contained in the IMF agreement would
be coordinated with those contained in the controversial EU-Ukraine
Association agreement, which the Yanukovych government refused to sign.
Ukraine’s Spiraling External Debt
Ukraine’s external debt is of the order of $140 billion. In consultations with the US Treasury and the EU, the IMF aid package is to be of the order of 15 billion dollars. Ukraine’s outstanding short-term debt is of the order of $65 billion, more than four times the amount promised by the IMF.
The Central Bank’s foreign currency reserves have literally dried up. In February, according to the NUB, Ukraine’s
foreign-currency reserves were of the order of a meagre US$13.7
billion, its Special Drawing Rights with the IMF were of the order of
US$16.1 million, its gold reserves US$1.81 billion. There
were unconfirmed reports that Ukraine’s gold had been confiscated and
airlifted to New York, for “safe-keeping” under the custody of the New
York Federal Reserve Bank.
Under the bailout, the IMF –acting on behalf of Ukraine’s US and EU
creditors– lends money to Ukraine which is already earmarked for debt
repayment. The money is transferred to the creditors. The loan is “fictitious money”. Not one dollar of this money will enter Ukraine. The package is not intended to support economic growth. Quite the opposite:
Its main purpose is to collect the outstanding short term debt, while
precipitating the destabilization of Ukraine’s economy and financial
system.
The fundamental principle of usury is that the creditor comes to the
rescue of the debtor: “I cannot pay my debts, No problem my son, I will
lend you the money and with the money I lend you, you will pay me back”.
The rescue rope thrown to Kiev by the IMF and the European Union is in reality a ball and chain. Ukraine’s external debt, as documented by the World Bank, increased tenfold in ten years and exceeds 135 billion dollars. In interests alone, Ukraine must pay about 4.5 billion dollars a year. The new loans will only serve to increase the external debt thus obliging Kiev to “liberalize” its economy even more, by selling to corporations what remains to be privatized.
Ukraine, IMF “Shock Treatment” and Economic Warfare By , Global Research, March 21, 2014
Under the IMF loan agreement, the money will not enter the country, It will be used to trigger the repayment of outstanding debt servicing obligations to EU and US creditors. In this regard, according to the Bank for International Settlements (BIS)”European banks have more than $23 billion in outstanding loans in Ukraine.” Ukraine Facing Financial Instability But IMF May Help Soon – Spiegel Online, February 28, 2014
What are the “benefits” of an IMF package to Ukraine?
According to IMF’s managing director Christine Lagarde the bailout is
intended to address the issue of poverty and social inequality. In
actuality what it does is to increase the levels of indebtedness, while
essentially handing over the reins of macro-economic reform and monetary
policy to the Bretton Woods Institutions, acting on behalf of Wall
Street.
The bailout agreement will include the imposition of drastic
austerity measures which in all likelihood will trigger further social
chaos and economic dislocation. It’s called “policy based lending”,
namely the granting of money earmarked to reimburse the creditors, in
exchange for the IMF’s “bitter economic medicine” in the form of a menu
of neoliberal policy reforms. “Short-term pain for long term gain” is
the motto of the Washington based Bretton Woods institutions.
Loan “conditionalities” will be imposed –including drastic austerity
measures– -which will serve to impoverish the Ukrainian population
beyond bounds in a country which has been under IMF ministrations for
more than 20 years. While the Maidan movement was manipulated, tens of
thousands of people protested they wanted a new life, because their
standard of living had collapsed as a result of the neoliberal policies
applied by successive governments, including that of president
Yanukovych. Little did they realize that the protest movement supported
by Wall Street, the US State Department and the National Endowment for
Democracy (NED) was meant to usher in a new phase of economic and
social destruction.
History of IMF Ministrations in Ukraine
In 1994 under the presidency of Leonid Kuchma, an IMF package was imposed on Ukraine. Viktor Yushchenko
–who later became president following the 2004 Colored Revolution– had
been appointed head of the newly-formed National Bank of Ukraine (NBU).
Yushchenko was praised by the Western financial media as a “daring
reformer”; he was among the main architects of the IMF’s 1994 reforms
which served to destabilize Ukraine’s national economy. When he ran in
the 2004 elections against Yanukovych, he was supported by various
foundations including the National Endowment for Democracy (NED). He was
Wall Street’s preferred candidate.
Ukraines’ 1994 IMF package was finalized behind closed doors at the
Madrid 50 years anniversary Summit of the Bretton Woods institutions. It
required the Ukrainian government to abandon State controls over the
exchange rate leading to an massive collapse of the currency. Yushchenko
played a key role in negotiating and implementing the 1994 agreement as
well as creating a new Ukrainian national currency, which resulted in a
dramatic plunge in real wages:
Yushchenko as Head of the Central Bank was responsible
for deregulating the national currency under the October 1994 “shock
treatment”:
- The price of bread increased overnight by 300 percent,
- electricity prices by 600 percent,
- public transportation by 900 percent.
- the standard of living tumbled
The IMF-World Bank had destroyed Ukraine’s ‘bread basket”. By 1998, the deregulation of the grain market, the hikes in the price
of fuel and the liberalisation of trade resulted in a decline in the
production of grain by 45 percent in relation to its 1986-90 level. The
collapse in livestock production, poultry and dairy products was even
more dramatic. (See http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/scr/2003/cr03174.pdf). The cumulative decline in GDP resulting from the IMF sponsored reforms was in excess of 60 percent from 1992 to 1995.
Source: http://www.globalresearch.ca/regime-change-in-ukraine-and-the-imfs-bitter-economic-medicine/5374877
Did Ukraine Just Airlift Its Entire Gold Hoard To The U.S. Fed?
Today an outspoken hedge fund manager out of Hong Kong stunned King
World News when he said that the entire Ukrainian gold hoard may have
just secretly been flown from Ukraine to the United States. William
Kaye, who 25 years ago worked for Goldman Sachs in mergers and acquisitions,
also spoke about the incredible implications of this astonishing
development. Below is what Kaye had to say in this powerful interview.
Kaye: “There are now reports coming from Ukraine that all of the Ukrainian gold has been airlifted, at 2 AM Ukrainian time, out of the main airport, Boryspil Airport, in Kiev, and is being flown to New York -- the presumable destination being the New York Fed. Now that’s 33 tons of gold which is worth somewhere between $1.5 billion - $2 billion. That would amount to a very nice down payment to the $5 billion that Assistant Secretary of State Victoria Nuland boasted that the United States has already spent in their efforts to destabilize Ukraine, and put in place their own unelected government.”
Eric King: “Whether the United States is taking down Saddam Hussein in Iraq, or Muammar Gaddafi in Libya, there always seems to be gold at the end of the rainbow, which the U.S. then appropriates.”
Kaye: “That’s a good point, Eric. The United States installed a former banker in Ukraine who is very friendly to the West. He is also a guy with central bank experience. This would have been his first major decision to transport that gold out of Ukraine to the United States.
You may recall that allegedly the logistical requirements prevented the New York Fed from returning the 300 tons of gold the United States stores for Germany back to Germany. After a year of waiting, the New York Fed only sent Germany 5 tons of gold. So only 5 tons of gold was sent from the Fed to Germany, and it wasn’t even the 5 tons that had been originally stored with the Fed. Even the Bundesbank has admitted that the gold sent to them by the New York Fed had to be melted down and tested for purity because it wasn’t Germany’s original bars. So how is it, since logistical requirements are supposedly such a major issue, that in one airlift, assuming this report is accurate, all the gold Ukraine possessed in their vault was taken out of Ukraine and delivered to the New York Fed? I think anybody with any active brain cells knows that just like Germany, Ukraine will have to wait a very long time, and very likely will never see that gold again. Meaning, that gold is gone.”
Source: http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entrie
If anyone tries to convince you that the Cold War is over, take that statement with a grain of salt. The Cold War is continuing, if not intensifying. After the collapse of the Soviet Empire, the West rushed in to fill the power vacuum left in the absence of a central Soviet regime, by engaging the newly-emancipated Eastern European countries into the European Union and NATO structures. It even drew the line in the sand for Russia after dismembering former Yugoslavia.
In 2008, Moscow drew its own line in the sand by attacking and “liberating” parts of Georgia. Ukraine remained the center of a tug-of-war between Russia and the West, shifting allegiance at least three times. The Orange Revolution of 2004 brought to power Victor Yushchenko and Yulia Timoshenko, which nudged the country toward the West. By 2010, the erstwhile allies had become bitter enemies and during a three-way presidential election, former Prime Minister Victor Yanukovich won, shifting the country back towards Moscow.
Thus the country teetered between the two tectonic centers of power until the recent revolt emerged at Kiev’s Maidan, which brought down Yanukovich’s administration. He had just struck a deal with the opposition, with the blessing of the foreign ministers of France, the UK and Poland. The agreement called for the revival of the 2004 constitution limiting the presidential powers and setting a December date for the election. The Maidan protestors, however, did not heed the agreement and the government fell. Yanukovich was deposed by the Ukrainian Rada (Parliament), which appointed Alexander Turchinov as interim president.
Naturally, these developments were filtered through different and opposing lenses; for the West, the will of the Ukrainian people had won, while for the Russians, street gangs and thugs had usurped power through violence. A pivotal role was played in this transition by Arsen Avakov, minister of the interior, an ethnic Armenian. There is no doubt that the tug-of-war will continue. Susan Rice, President Obama’s national security chief, has warned Moscow against any military intervention.Ukraine is a vast country with a population of 46 million. Seventy percent of its trade is with Russia. There is a precedent that Moscow has interrupted the flow of gas to Ukraine when things did not go to its liking.
The eastern regions of the country are the most industrialized and are populated by Russian-speaking and Russophile Ukrainians, who have already been agitating. The Crimean peninsula, birthplace of Hovhannes Aivazovsky, by the way, is predominantly populated by Russians. Incidentally, while former Politburo member Heydar Aliyev accused any Armenian who sought the return of Karabagh and Nakhichevan as reactionary and nationalist, Nikita Khrushchov, an ethnic Ukrainian, annexed Crimea to Ukraine in 1954 and no one accused him of nationalism. Of course, at that time, border adjustments within the Soviet Union did not have the same political significance as they will have today because the Russian Black Sea fleet is based in Crimea.
A hostile neighbor with a potential of joining NATO will certainly irritate policy planners in Moscow, compelling them to take remedial action now before any further deterioration of the situation. That reaction may lead the country into a partition. Political analyst Igor Muradian believes that “there will be actual federalization while maintaining Ukraine as a single internationally-recognized state and at the same time, the issue of the state budget, utilities and mobility of the people, foreign relations, army and law enforcement agencies will be addressed. At the same time, the process of separating Crimea from Ukraine will begin, which is apparently inevitable.”
There are striking parallels between Ukraine and Armenia, especially since both made their U-turn to join Russia’s Customs Union, at the same time interrupting their negotiations with the EU, ostensibly under Russian pressure. Before these events, Moscow had pledged $15 billion worth of aid to Ukraine. Now the new leaders believe that Ukraine needs $60-70 billion to avoid an economic collapse, it is doubtful if Moscow will abide by its early pledge. The US and EU have made some vague promises, which may or may not meet the expectations of the new leaders.
In Armenia, there is no love lost for the Russians who are increasingly treating the country in a cavalier manner. Armenian political groups organized a solidarity unit with Maidan and even travelled to Kiev to support the protestors. Political pundits are comparing the March 1, 2008 Armenian demonstrations which claimed 10 lives with Kiev’s Maidan. All opposition parties are wishing and trying to enact the repeat performance of Maidan in Armenia. Fortunately, or unfortunately, the opposition is so splintered that no two groups can agree on any common ground. The well-oiled media is entirely financed by foreign governments and agencies and they are trying hard to incite anti-Russian sentiments. Armenia’s well-being is the least of their worries. They finance the media for their own selfish purposes. Many starving journalists are serving these foreign agencies for their own survival, oblivious of their cumulative impact on the fate of the country.
Any veteran or novice in politics there begins his rhetoric with calls for regime change. But modern history has demonstrated time and again that any change will only rout one set of oligarchs and bring new ones to power. Corruption is endemic in all former Soviet republics. No country in the region can remain sanitized as long as they continue their former economic and business relations with each other. Georgia, the most Western-oriented state in the Caucasus, had trumpeted loudly that it had eradicated corruption under Mikheil Saakashvili, that the rule of law had become paramount. Former Prime Minister Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Georgian Dream Party rose to power, and last week former Prime Minister Ivane Merabishvili was sentence to a five-year prison term for corruption.
The Orange Revolution had catapulted Yulia Timoshenko to power in Ukraine and she landed in jail for corruption. Even Greece, the cradle of democracy and civilization, and a member of the European Union, is plagued with corruption. This means that association with Europe alone is not a panacea. Corruption is a genuine cause for concern in Armenia. It has to be criticized. It has to be eradicated, but only for its own sake so that the lives of its people improve and not in order to feed the agenda of foreign powers who have a vested interest in Armenia without a strong central government. Events in Ukraine shook the world and its echoes reverberate more in Armenia, having the same predicament. But a repeat performance of Maidan will only bring chaos.
National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) of the US Department of Energy plans to replace the existing arsenal of nuclear weapons at the Turkish base of Incirlik with upgraded bombs. Incirlik holds about 60-70 items of this type of ammunition, the Haberturk agency reports. This version is designated B61-12, which is being developed within the framework of the 2010 NNSA project to replace the outdated version of B61. The main improvement is a modified tail section, which enables active targeting, the function the previous B61 lacks. NNSA has conducted the first tests, which were evaluated as successful. Practical use of the new bombs would be possible in 2017. At present, the European nuclear arsenals of the United States are located at bases in Belgium, Germany, the Netherlands, Italy and Turkey. It is supposed, that there is a total of about 300 B61 nuclear bombs in these countries. The US and the UK armies have been using the Turkish base of Incirlic for operational, strategic and logistical needs since 1955. It is located a few kilometers to the east of the large Mediterranean city of Adana.
The Trans-Dniester region split from Moldova around 1990 and made a failed attempt at independence in 2006, when it held a referendum that was unrecognized internationally. The region did not want to split from the Soviet Union at the time of its collapse and has now requested unity with Russia.
Otilia Dhand, vice president at advisory and intelligence firm Teneo Intelligence said Trans-Dniester has been asking to join the Russian Federation for two decades, so now is an opportune moment to ask again. Dhand said up until now the Kremlin had shown little interest in absorbing the region as it offers little strategic and economic benefits.
"There are 550,000 citizens of citizens of Trans-Dniester who mostly also claim other citizenships. There are about 150,000 of them that claim dual citizenship with Russia and many others claim Ukrainian citizenship or Romanian so it is kind of a mixed picture," Dhand told CNBC.
"Russia has roughly 1,000 soldiers based there and also some ammunition and equipment that comes with it. They are not such a substantial force as they are in Crimea and Russia does not have common borders with Trans-Dniester, so it would be difficult to service as a territory," she said.
"If they were interested in tactically taking it over - it would just really be for show. Should Russia choose to take Trans-Dniester over, it would be quite intimidating for Ukraine," she added.
Speaker of the high council, Mikheil Burla sent a written address to a speaker in Russia's Duma, the lower house, asking him to consider legislation that would allow the non-recognized republic to become part of Russia, according to media reports. The President of Moldova Nicolae Timofti has warned that any move to enable the mainly Russian speaking region to join Russia would be a "mistake".
Russia's decision to sign a treaty to annex the Black Sea peninsula of Crimea, after a referendum held under Russian military occupation showed overwhelming support for the move, has further damaged relations with the West.
The United States and the EU imposed travel bans and asset freezes against a number of officals from Russia and Ukraine following Sunday's referendum and U.S. Vice President Joe Biden called Moscow's action a "land grab". Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov told U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry in a telephone call that such sanctions were unacceptable and threatened "consequences", without going into detail.
Trans-Dniestrian citizens: A 'mixed picture'
Trans-Dniester is recognized as part of Moldova by the U.N. rather than as an independent state, but the region is self-governed and runs its own institutions. Moldova has a population of approximately 3.56 million. Crimea has 2.3 million people compared to Trans-Dniester, the thin strip of land between the Dniester river and the Ukraine border, which is populated by approximately 550,000 people and has its own currency, the Trans-Dniester rouble.
Teneo's Dhand said many citizens living in the region have as many as three passports: a Trans-Dniesterian one which is not recognized, a Russian one and potentially one other from "whichever other country allows them to have one. So it is complicated to define each and every person, where they belong,"she said. The referendum held in Trans-Dniester in 2006 resulted in about 97 percent of the population voting for independence and to join Russia.
Kaye: “There are now reports coming from Ukraine that all of the Ukrainian gold has been airlifted, at 2 AM Ukrainian time, out of the main airport, Boryspil Airport, in Kiev, and is being flown to New York -- the presumable destination being the New York Fed. Now that’s 33 tons of gold which is worth somewhere between $1.5 billion - $2 billion. That would amount to a very nice down payment to the $5 billion that Assistant Secretary of State Victoria Nuland boasted that the United States has already spent in their efforts to destabilize Ukraine, and put in place their own unelected government.”
Eric King: “Whether the United States is taking down Saddam Hussein in Iraq, or Muammar Gaddafi in Libya, there always seems to be gold at the end of the rainbow, which the U.S. then appropriates.”
Kaye: “That’s a good point, Eric. The United States installed a former banker in Ukraine who is very friendly to the West. He is also a guy with central bank experience. This would have been his first major decision to transport that gold out of Ukraine to the United States.
You may recall that allegedly the logistical requirements prevented the New York Fed from returning the 300 tons of gold the United States stores for Germany back to Germany. After a year of waiting, the New York Fed only sent Germany 5 tons of gold. So only 5 tons of gold was sent from the Fed to Germany, and it wasn’t even the 5 tons that had been originally stored with the Fed. Even the Bundesbank has admitted that the gold sent to them by the New York Fed had to be melted down and tested for purity because it wasn’t Germany’s original bars. So how is it, since logistical requirements are supposedly such a major issue, that in one airlift, assuming this report is accurate, all the gold Ukraine possessed in their vault was taken out of Ukraine and delivered to the New York Fed? I think anybody with any active brain cells knows that just like Germany, Ukraine will have to wait a very long time, and very likely will never see that gold again. Meaning, that gold is gone.”
Source: http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entrie
Coups for export: US has history of supporting
anti-govt
upheavals
The US has been selective in supporting the self-determination of
nations. It continues to dismiss Crimea's choice to reunite with Russia,
while at the same time backs the coup in Kiev. And the idea is hardly
new for Washington.
The current situation in Ukraine has something in common with the one in Colombia, James Petras, a political analyst and Professor (Emeritus) at Binghamton University, New York, believes. The common part is the US role in what’s going on in both countries, he suggests in his op-ed, recently published at the website of Montreal-based Centre for Research on Globalization.
“The two paths to 21st century empire-building-via-proxies are illustrated through the violent seizure of power in the Ukraine by a US-backed junta and the electoral gains of the US-backed Colombian war lord, Alvaro Uribe,” Petras says. “By rendering democratic processes and peaceful popular reforms impossible and by overthrowing independent, democratically elected governments, Washington is making wars and violent upheavals inevitable.”
The US has quite a history of meddling in Colombia since encouraging the breakaway of Panama, in the early 20th century. The US was then able to negotiate favorable conditions for the creation of the Panama Canal. The most recent example comes from 2013, when The Washington Post published an article revealing that the CIA actively helped the Colombian government to locate and kill guerrilla leaders.
While preaching non-interference to Russia, Washington has been very active in showing its support for, first, protesters in Kiev and then to the coup-appointed government. The US participation in events in Ukraine did not confine itself to distributing snacks to rally participants, or friendly gestures of support.
“We’ve invested over 5 billion dollars to assist Ukraine in these and other goals that will ensure a secure, prosperous, and democratic Ukraine,” Victoria Nuland, Assistant US Secretary of State for Europe and Eurasia said in December, 2013. The announcement has drawn criticism.
“The West spent 5 billion dollars destabilizing Ukraine. This is something that is a mess that’s put on Russia’s doorstep by the West,” a US writer and activist, Daniel Patrick Welch, believes. International law professor at Georgetown University, Daoud Khairallah, says there are many more examples of the US meddling in the internal affairs of other countries. “The Middle East is an example,” he told RT. “What is known as the Arab Spring is method of self-destruction, achieving political goals through having societies destroy themselves.”
Quite a number of post WWII coups are believed to have been US-assisted, like the one in Iran in 1953. Prime Minister Mohammed Mossadegh, who sought to turn Iran into a full democracy was ousted with the help of the US and replaced by the Shah, who then ruled as absolute monarch for the next 26 years.
"It was the potential... to leave Iran open to Soviet aggression - at a time when the Cold War was at its height and when the United States was involved in an undeclared war in Korea against forces supported by the USSR and China - that compelled the United States [REDACTED] in planning and executing TPAJAX [the code name of the coup operation]," reads the CIA document, declassified in 2013 and cited by the Foreign Policy.
Similarly the US’s hand is seen in the 1954 coup in Guatemala, the in the Congo 1960, in South Vietnam 1963, in Brazil 1964, and Chile in 1973. Latin Americans have always believed themselves to be a major target of the US over the years. A popular joke there says: “Why will there never be a coup in the US? Because there’s no US Embassy in Washington.”
“We have examples of outside intrusion in the internal politics of states like Mexico, Guatemala, Panama, Nicaragua, Haiti, Dominican Republic, and Grenada,” the late Venezuelan president, Hugo Chavez, said in one of his RT interviews. “Repeated attempts of a coup in Venezuela, Argentina, Brazil, Ecuador, and Bolivia. There was no coup in the 150-year-old history of Latin America, that the US government did not apply its hand to.”
For more opinions on the role of the US in “regime changes” throughout the world watch RT's Anastasia Churkina’s report.
The current situation in Ukraine has something in common with the one in Colombia, James Petras, a political analyst and Professor (Emeritus) at Binghamton University, New York, believes. The common part is the US role in what’s going on in both countries, he suggests in his op-ed, recently published at the website of Montreal-based Centre for Research on Globalization.
“The two paths to 21st century empire-building-via-proxies are illustrated through the violent seizure of power in the Ukraine by a US-backed junta and the electoral gains of the US-backed Colombian war lord, Alvaro Uribe,” Petras says. “By rendering democratic processes and peaceful popular reforms impossible and by overthrowing independent, democratically elected governments, Washington is making wars and violent upheavals inevitable.”
The US has quite a history of meddling in Colombia since encouraging the breakaway of Panama, in the early 20th century. The US was then able to negotiate favorable conditions for the creation of the Panama Canal. The most recent example comes from 2013, when The Washington Post published an article revealing that the CIA actively helped the Colombian government to locate and kill guerrilla leaders.
While preaching non-interference to Russia, Washington has been very active in showing its support for, first, protesters in Kiev and then to the coup-appointed government. The US participation in events in Ukraine did not confine itself to distributing snacks to rally participants, or friendly gestures of support.
“We’ve invested over 5 billion dollars to assist Ukraine in these and other goals that will ensure a secure, prosperous, and democratic Ukraine,” Victoria Nuland, Assistant US Secretary of State for Europe and Eurasia said in December, 2013. The announcement has drawn criticism.
“The West spent 5 billion dollars destabilizing Ukraine. This is something that is a mess that’s put on Russia’s doorstep by the West,” a US writer and activist, Daniel Patrick Welch, believes. International law professor at Georgetown University, Daoud Khairallah, says there are many more examples of the US meddling in the internal affairs of other countries. “The Middle East is an example,” he told RT. “What is known as the Arab Spring is method of self-destruction, achieving political goals through having societies destroy themselves.”
Quite a number of post WWII coups are believed to have been US-assisted, like the one in Iran in 1953. Prime Minister Mohammed Mossadegh, who sought to turn Iran into a full democracy was ousted with the help of the US and replaced by the Shah, who then ruled as absolute monarch for the next 26 years.
"It was the potential... to leave Iran open to Soviet aggression - at a time when the Cold War was at its height and when the United States was involved in an undeclared war in Korea against forces supported by the USSR and China - that compelled the United States [REDACTED] in planning and executing TPAJAX [the code name of the coup operation]," reads the CIA document, declassified in 2013 and cited by the Foreign Policy.
Similarly the US’s hand is seen in the 1954 coup in Guatemala, the in the Congo 1960, in South Vietnam 1963, in Brazil 1964, and Chile in 1973. Latin Americans have always believed themselves to be a major target of the US over the years. A popular joke there says: “Why will there never be a coup in the US? Because there’s no US Embassy in Washington.”
“We have examples of outside intrusion in the internal politics of states like Mexico, Guatemala, Panama, Nicaragua, Haiti, Dominican Republic, and Grenada,” the late Venezuelan president, Hugo Chavez, said in one of his RT interviews. “Repeated attempts of a coup in Venezuela, Argentina, Brazil, Ecuador, and Bolivia. There was no coup in the 150-year-old history of Latin America, that the US government did not apply its hand to.”
For more opinions on the role of the US in “regime changes” throughout the world watch RT's Anastasia Churkina’s report.
Is an Armenian “Maidan” possible?
The Armenian political elite and the general
public are divided on the account of the Kiev events. The main question,
however, is whether the Ukrainian revolution may spill out to Armenia.
In the evening of February 20, in the Armenian city of Spitak, several young activists appeared on one of the central squares, named after Viktor Yanukovich. They covered the plaque that read “Viktor Yanukovich square” with a self-made sign with the name “Sergey Nigoyan square”.
Sergey Nigoyan, an ethnic Armenian from Eastern Ukraine, was one of the first victims of the clashes in Kiev, allegedly killed by a pro-government sniper on January 22. As for Yanukovich, he was the head of a construction company that took part in the reconstruction of earthquake-hit northern Armenia during the last years of the Soviet Unions, and the square was named after him a sign of gratitude for this work.
Of course, there are doubts as to whether Yanukovich’s role in the reconstruction would have been so highly appreciated had he not become an influential politician: the square was named after him in 2008, when he was already the leader of the Regions’ Party in Ukraine.
Arayik Harutyunyan, member of a recently formed “Civil Contract” political movement, says that he had been thinking about the symbolic renaming of the square for months, after he heard about the first cases of violence against protesters. When on February 20 the news spread about the bloodshed in Kiev, he had no more doubts. “I do not think Yanukovich deserves a square named after him”, Arayik explains.
“Thousands of people helped Armenia after the earthquake, including many Ukrainians, but the square was named after Yanukovich... this was a purely political decision”.
The choice of Sergey Nigoyan’s name was not a coincidence: for many young Armenians he became a symbol of liberty and resistance. Nigoyan was not the only ethnic Armenian among the victims: Georgi Hyrutiunian, from the western Ukrainian town of Rivne, was killed on February 20, when the clashes escalated.
People power or conspiracy?
However, not everyone in Armenia shares positive views about the Ukrainian revolutionaries. Many Armenians are wary of the Ukrainian events, seeing them as a showdown between Russian and Western secret services, rather than a popular revolution. Russian language sources, both on television and Internet, remain the main source of information about the events in the Post-Soviet space for the majority of Armenians.
Therefore, the image of chaos in Ukraine that the Russian state media has been promoting, has influenced the perceptions of the Ukrainian events in Armenia. Some Armenians even share Moscow’s view of Ukrainian revolutionaries as “fascists” and “criminals”.
Even after Nigoyan’s death captured the attention of Armenian media, some of the commentary aired the view that Nigoyan’s death was in vain, since he had found himself on the wrong side of the barricades. This ambivalence about how to react to the Ukrainian events seems to go up to the highest echelons of the Armenian government.
On the one hand, they do not want to displease the Russian authorities, but simply subscribing to Moscow’s view would further complicate relations with Western partners. Some pro-government figures openly embraced the Yanukovich's version of events: thus, pro-government member of parliament Artashes Geghamyan accused “outside forces” of using “technologies of destruction” in Ukraine.
Higher-level government officials have been more careful in their comments, preferring to avoid the topic, especially after the defeat of Yanukovich became obvious.
When in the National Assembly the opposition suggested a minute of silence in memory of the Ukrainian protesters killed during the clashes, the parliament speaker agreed, but he added that the deputies should honor all victims, including those from the police force. The opposition is more outspoken about the Ukrainian events, pointing to similarities between Armenia and Ukraine, and implying that Armenian government may repeat the fate of Yanukovich.
However, opposition politicians are also careful to tone down their comments when it comes to the geopolitical rivalry between Russia and the West, as no political force wants to come off as anti-Russian.
Armenia and the Ukraine: so similar, yet so different
Of course, the biggest question is whether the Ukrainian revolution may spill out to Armenia. Similarities between Ukraine and Armenia are plenty: both lack energy resources and are heavily dependent on foreign supplies, both were hit hard by the financial crisis and never fully recovered, both have a serious corruption problem. In both countries, the government has been accused of election fraud and other authoritarian tendencies, but both countries have a degree of political and media freedom, which puts them ahead of typical post-Soviet autocracies like Belarus.
However, there are also important differences.
The Armenian opposition has been in disarray since the presidential elections of 2013, when, in spite of claims of election fraud, the opposition failed to unite, and post-election protests ended in a fiasco. Also, given Armenia’s geopolitical situation, the European option, which mobilized at least part of protesters in Ukraine, seems relatively feeble for Armenia. Finally, Armenia is involved into an ongoing conflict with Azerbaijan and has unresolved issues with Turkey, and against that background an internal stand-off of the kind that happened in Ukraine would be extremely risky for Armenia.
With all that in mind, it is clear why many Armenians are skeptical that the Ukrainian events will have any substantial influence on Armenia. However, some disagree. Poet Marine Petrosyan, who is also well known for her political activism, says “I remember 1987, when protests had started in various places all over the USSR, and many people in Armenia were saying that Armenians are different, there is no way they will rise up against the system… Only a few months later the Karabakh movement started, and hundreds of thousands were on the street protesting”.
Arshak, a small business owner from Yerevan, says he was shocked by the casualties in Kiev: “I don’t want something like that to happen in Armenia and I don’t think it’s possible”. But, he says, “Armenians need to do something in order to remind the government that it is supposed to serve the people, as Ukrainians had done… Whoever comes to power in Ukraine, all those deaths would not be in vain: from now on, people in power will realize that sooner or later they will have to answer for what they are doing”.
In the evening of February 20, in the Armenian city of Spitak, several young activists appeared on one of the central squares, named after Viktor Yanukovich. They covered the plaque that read “Viktor Yanukovich square” with a self-made sign with the name “Sergey Nigoyan square”.
Sergey Nigoyan, an ethnic Armenian from Eastern Ukraine, was one of the first victims of the clashes in Kiev, allegedly killed by a pro-government sniper on January 22. As for Yanukovich, he was the head of a construction company that took part in the reconstruction of earthquake-hit northern Armenia during the last years of the Soviet Unions, and the square was named after him a sign of gratitude for this work.
Of course, there are doubts as to whether Yanukovich’s role in the reconstruction would have been so highly appreciated had he not become an influential politician: the square was named after him in 2008, when he was already the leader of the Regions’ Party in Ukraine.
Arayik Harutyunyan, member of a recently formed “Civil Contract” political movement, says that he had been thinking about the symbolic renaming of the square for months, after he heard about the first cases of violence against protesters. When on February 20 the news spread about the bloodshed in Kiev, he had no more doubts. “I do not think Yanukovich deserves a square named after him”, Arayik explains.
“Thousands of people helped Armenia after the earthquake, including many Ukrainians, but the square was named after Yanukovich... this was a purely political decision”.
The choice of Sergey Nigoyan’s name was not a coincidence: for many young Armenians he became a symbol of liberty and resistance. Nigoyan was not the only ethnic Armenian among the victims: Georgi Hyrutiunian, from the western Ukrainian town of Rivne, was killed on February 20, when the clashes escalated.
People power or conspiracy?
However, not everyone in Armenia shares positive views about the Ukrainian revolutionaries. Many Armenians are wary of the Ukrainian events, seeing them as a showdown between Russian and Western secret services, rather than a popular revolution. Russian language sources, both on television and Internet, remain the main source of information about the events in the Post-Soviet space for the majority of Armenians.
Therefore, the image of chaos in Ukraine that the Russian state media has been promoting, has influenced the perceptions of the Ukrainian events in Armenia. Some Armenians even share Moscow’s view of Ukrainian revolutionaries as “fascists” and “criminals”.
Even after Nigoyan’s death captured the attention of Armenian media, some of the commentary aired the view that Nigoyan’s death was in vain, since he had found himself on the wrong side of the barricades. This ambivalence about how to react to the Ukrainian events seems to go up to the highest echelons of the Armenian government.
On the one hand, they do not want to displease the Russian authorities, but simply subscribing to Moscow’s view would further complicate relations with Western partners. Some pro-government figures openly embraced the Yanukovich's version of events: thus, pro-government member of parliament Artashes Geghamyan accused “outside forces” of using “technologies of destruction” in Ukraine.
Higher-level government officials have been more careful in their comments, preferring to avoid the topic, especially after the defeat of Yanukovich became obvious.
When in the National Assembly the opposition suggested a minute of silence in memory of the Ukrainian protesters killed during the clashes, the parliament speaker agreed, but he added that the deputies should honor all victims, including those from the police force. The opposition is more outspoken about the Ukrainian events, pointing to similarities between Armenia and Ukraine, and implying that Armenian government may repeat the fate of Yanukovich.
However, opposition politicians are also careful to tone down their comments when it comes to the geopolitical rivalry between Russia and the West, as no political force wants to come off as anti-Russian.
Armenia and the Ukraine: so similar, yet so different
Of course, the biggest question is whether the Ukrainian revolution may spill out to Armenia. Similarities between Ukraine and Armenia are plenty: both lack energy resources and are heavily dependent on foreign supplies, both were hit hard by the financial crisis and never fully recovered, both have a serious corruption problem. In both countries, the government has been accused of election fraud and other authoritarian tendencies, but both countries have a degree of political and media freedom, which puts them ahead of typical post-Soviet autocracies like Belarus.
However, there are also important differences.
The Armenian opposition has been in disarray since the presidential elections of 2013, when, in spite of claims of election fraud, the opposition failed to unite, and post-election protests ended in a fiasco. Also, given Armenia’s geopolitical situation, the European option, which mobilized at least part of protesters in Ukraine, seems relatively feeble for Armenia. Finally, Armenia is involved into an ongoing conflict with Azerbaijan and has unresolved issues with Turkey, and against that background an internal stand-off of the kind that happened in Ukraine would be extremely risky for Armenia.
With all that in mind, it is clear why many Armenians are skeptical that the Ukrainian events will have any substantial influence on Armenia. However, some disagree. Poet Marine Petrosyan, who is also well known for her political activism, says “I remember 1987, when protests had started in various places all over the USSR, and many people in Armenia were saying that Armenians are different, there is no way they will rise up against the system… Only a few months later the Karabakh movement started, and hundreds of thousands were on the street protesting”.
Arshak, a small business owner from Yerevan, says he was shocked by the casualties in Kiev: “I don’t want something like that to happen in Armenia and I don’t think it’s possible”. But, he says, “Armenians need to do something in order to remind the government that it is supposed to serve the people, as Ukrainians had done… Whoever comes to power in Ukraine, all those deaths would not be in vain: from now on, people in power will realize that sooner or later they will have to answer for what they are doing”.
Will Yerevan Emulate Kiev?
If anyone tries to convince you that the Cold War is over, take that statement with a grain of salt. The Cold War is continuing, if not intensifying. After the collapse of the Soviet Empire, the West rushed in to fill the power vacuum left in the absence of a central Soviet regime, by engaging the newly-emancipated Eastern European countries into the European Union and NATO structures. It even drew the line in the sand for Russia after dismembering former Yugoslavia.
In 2008, Moscow drew its own line in the sand by attacking and “liberating” parts of Georgia. Ukraine remained the center of a tug-of-war between Russia and the West, shifting allegiance at least three times. The Orange Revolution of 2004 brought to power Victor Yushchenko and Yulia Timoshenko, which nudged the country toward the West. By 2010, the erstwhile allies had become bitter enemies and during a three-way presidential election, former Prime Minister Victor Yanukovich won, shifting the country back towards Moscow.
Thus the country teetered between the two tectonic centers of power until the recent revolt emerged at Kiev’s Maidan, which brought down Yanukovich’s administration. He had just struck a deal with the opposition, with the blessing of the foreign ministers of France, the UK and Poland. The agreement called for the revival of the 2004 constitution limiting the presidential powers and setting a December date for the election. The Maidan protestors, however, did not heed the agreement and the government fell. Yanukovich was deposed by the Ukrainian Rada (Parliament), which appointed Alexander Turchinov as interim president.
Naturally, these developments were filtered through different and opposing lenses; for the West, the will of the Ukrainian people had won, while for the Russians, street gangs and thugs had usurped power through violence. A pivotal role was played in this transition by Arsen Avakov, minister of the interior, an ethnic Armenian. There is no doubt that the tug-of-war will continue. Susan Rice, President Obama’s national security chief, has warned Moscow against any military intervention.Ukraine is a vast country with a population of 46 million. Seventy percent of its trade is with Russia. There is a precedent that Moscow has interrupted the flow of gas to Ukraine when things did not go to its liking.
The eastern regions of the country are the most industrialized and are populated by Russian-speaking and Russophile Ukrainians, who have already been agitating. The Crimean peninsula, birthplace of Hovhannes Aivazovsky, by the way, is predominantly populated by Russians. Incidentally, while former Politburo member Heydar Aliyev accused any Armenian who sought the return of Karabagh and Nakhichevan as reactionary and nationalist, Nikita Khrushchov, an ethnic Ukrainian, annexed Crimea to Ukraine in 1954 and no one accused him of nationalism. Of course, at that time, border adjustments within the Soviet Union did not have the same political significance as they will have today because the Russian Black Sea fleet is based in Crimea.
A hostile neighbor with a potential of joining NATO will certainly irritate policy planners in Moscow, compelling them to take remedial action now before any further deterioration of the situation. That reaction may lead the country into a partition. Political analyst Igor Muradian believes that “there will be actual federalization while maintaining Ukraine as a single internationally-recognized state and at the same time, the issue of the state budget, utilities and mobility of the people, foreign relations, army and law enforcement agencies will be addressed. At the same time, the process of separating Crimea from Ukraine will begin, which is apparently inevitable.”
There are striking parallels between Ukraine and Armenia, especially since both made their U-turn to join Russia’s Customs Union, at the same time interrupting their negotiations with the EU, ostensibly under Russian pressure. Before these events, Moscow had pledged $15 billion worth of aid to Ukraine. Now the new leaders believe that Ukraine needs $60-70 billion to avoid an economic collapse, it is doubtful if Moscow will abide by its early pledge. The US and EU have made some vague promises, which may or may not meet the expectations of the new leaders.
In Armenia, there is no love lost for the Russians who are increasingly treating the country in a cavalier manner. Armenian political groups organized a solidarity unit with Maidan and even travelled to Kiev to support the protestors. Political pundits are comparing the March 1, 2008 Armenian demonstrations which claimed 10 lives with Kiev’s Maidan. All opposition parties are wishing and trying to enact the repeat performance of Maidan in Armenia. Fortunately, or unfortunately, the opposition is so splintered that no two groups can agree on any common ground. The well-oiled media is entirely financed by foreign governments and agencies and they are trying hard to incite anti-Russian sentiments. Armenia’s well-being is the least of their worries. They finance the media for their own selfish purposes. Many starving journalists are serving these foreign agencies for their own survival, oblivious of their cumulative impact on the fate of the country.
Any veteran or novice in politics there begins his rhetoric with calls for regime change. But modern history has demonstrated time and again that any change will only rout one set of oligarchs and bring new ones to power. Corruption is endemic in all former Soviet republics. No country in the region can remain sanitized as long as they continue their former economic and business relations with each other. Georgia, the most Western-oriented state in the Caucasus, had trumpeted loudly that it had eradicated corruption under Mikheil Saakashvili, that the rule of law had become paramount. Former Prime Minister Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Georgian Dream Party rose to power, and last week former Prime Minister Ivane Merabishvili was sentence to a five-year prison term for corruption.
The Orange Revolution had catapulted Yulia Timoshenko to power in Ukraine and she landed in jail for corruption. Even Greece, the cradle of democracy and civilization, and a member of the European Union, is plagued with corruption. This means that association with Europe alone is not a panacea. Corruption is a genuine cause for concern in Armenia. It has to be criticized. It has to be eradicated, but only for its own sake so that the lives of its people improve and not in order to feed the agenda of foreign powers who have a vested interest in Armenia without a strong central government. Events in Ukraine shook the world and its echoes reverberate more in Armenia, having the same predicament. But a repeat performance of Maidan will only bring chaos.
US to upgrade its
nuclear arsenal in Turkey - media
National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) of the US Department of Energy plans to replace the existing arsenal of nuclear weapons at the Turkish base of Incirlik with upgraded bombs. Incirlik holds about 60-70 items of this type of ammunition, the Haberturk agency reports. This version is designated B61-12, which is being developed within the framework of the 2010 NNSA project to replace the outdated version of B61. The main improvement is a modified tail section, which enables active targeting, the function the previous B61 lacks. NNSA has conducted the first tests, which were evaluated as successful. Practical use of the new bombs would be possible in 2017. At present, the European nuclear arsenals of the United States are located at bases in Belgium, Germany, the Netherlands, Italy and Turkey. It is supposed, that there is a total of about 300 B61 nuclear bombs in these countries. The US and the UK armies have been using the Turkish base of Incirlic for operational, strategic and logistical needs since 1955. It is located a few kilometers to the east of the large Mediterranean city of Adana.
Another Crimea? Ukraine's
neighbor asks to join Russia
As Russian president Vladimir
Putin signed a treaty on Tuesday making Crimea part of Russia, a
little-known region in neighboring Moldova has also pleaded to join the
country. Russian
loyalists in the breakaway region of Trans-Dniester, which shares a
border with Ukraine, asked the parliament in Russia to write new laws
that would allow them to join the
The Trans-Dniester region split from Moldova around 1990 and made a failed attempt at independence in 2006, when it held a referendum that was unrecognized internationally. The region did not want to split from the Soviet Union at the time of its collapse and has now requested unity with Russia.
Otilia Dhand, vice president at advisory and intelligence firm Teneo Intelligence said Trans-Dniester has been asking to join the Russian Federation for two decades, so now is an opportune moment to ask again. Dhand said up until now the Kremlin had shown little interest in absorbing the region as it offers little strategic and economic benefits.
"There are 550,000 citizens of citizens of Trans-Dniester who mostly also claim other citizenships. There are about 150,000 of them that claim dual citizenship with Russia and many others claim Ukrainian citizenship or Romanian so it is kind of a mixed picture," Dhand told CNBC.
"Russia has roughly 1,000 soldiers based there and also some ammunition and equipment that comes with it. They are not such a substantial force as they are in Crimea and Russia does not have common borders with Trans-Dniester, so it would be difficult to service as a territory," she said.
"If they were interested in tactically taking it over - it would just really be for show. Should Russia choose to take Trans-Dniester over, it would be quite intimidating for Ukraine," she added.
Speaker of the high council, Mikheil Burla sent a written address to a speaker in Russia's Duma, the lower house, asking him to consider legislation that would allow the non-recognized republic to become part of Russia, according to media reports. The President of Moldova Nicolae Timofti has warned that any move to enable the mainly Russian speaking region to join Russia would be a "mistake".
"This
is an illegal body which has taken no decision on inclusion into
Russia," Reuters cited Timofti as saying at a news conference. "If
Russia makes a move to satisfy such proposals, it will be making a
mistake," he said.
Russia's decision to sign a treaty to annex the Black Sea peninsula of Crimea, after a referendum held under Russian military occupation showed overwhelming support for the move, has further damaged relations with the West.
The United States and the EU imposed travel bans and asset freezes against a number of officals from Russia and Ukraine following Sunday's referendum and U.S. Vice President Joe Biden called Moscow's action a "land grab". Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov told U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry in a telephone call that such sanctions were unacceptable and threatened "consequences", without going into detail.
Trans-Dniestrian citizens: A 'mixed picture'
Trans-Dniester is recognized as part of Moldova by the U.N. rather than as an independent state, but the region is self-governed and runs its own institutions. Moldova has a population of approximately 3.56 million. Crimea has 2.3 million people compared to Trans-Dniester, the thin strip of land between the Dniester river and the Ukraine border, which is populated by approximately 550,000 people and has its own currency, the Trans-Dniester rouble.
At the time of the collapse of the USSR, Moldova as a constitutive
republic of the USSR wanted independence but Trans-Dniester wanted to
stay with Russia. There was a short, but bloody war in 1992, but the
issue has never been fully resolved.
Teneo's Dhand said many citizens living in the region have as many as three passports: a Trans-Dniesterian one which is not recognized, a Russian one and potentially one other from "whichever other country allows them to have one. So it is complicated to define each and every person, where they belong,"she said. The referendum held in Trans-Dniester in 2006 resulted in about 97 percent of the population voting for independence and to join Russia.
Breaking news -
ReplyDeleteRussia says intercepted US drone over Crimea: arms group: http://news.yahoo.com/russia-says-intercepted-us-drone-over-crimea-arms-180430584.html
This is drone #3 then? Because "Crimean defense forces", say they shot down 2 before, This one is claimed to have been jammed.
Deletehttp://rt.com/news/ukraine-kharkov-radicals-attack-982/
ReplyDeleteAnother breaking report
LG
More on West’s aggression on Russia, see link below. The truth about what the West has been doing since the middle of the 90’s as Arevordi pointed.
ReplyDelete“ But in the middle of the 90’s the United States changed habits, changed attitude. They no longer pursued international laws, they proposed the law of the jungle.”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cKfdfbwkm5I
Rand Paul, says it all funny the hypocrisy of it all. It’s all such a big hypocrisy. The reason the US of A does not want to hand out money is that they will never see a return on investment. This is called in the business world ROI. No matter who bleeds to death unless there is an ROI there is no reason for democracy....LOL
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bM4dLQ7v7Ks
The Neoliberal Neo-Nazi Coup in Ukraine. M. Chossudovsky. This is very good one, goes into every aspect of this crisis.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eHqExUDPYvA
The worst type of feminists in the world are Ukrainian. Brought to you by the likes of Soros. In the below video you find the finest cultural display, from the same type of assholes as Euromaiden. A topless bitch topples a cross to the ground with breasts exposed. Thank you George, thank you. We Christians loved this so much we demand that you pay some money to a Hasidic JEW bitch. We want to see her with bear breasts topple a menorah to the ground
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PSfcuzU4Yo0
Vahram
The article of Paul Craig Roberts needs to be looked at a wider scope to be understood, just maybe the unfolding of economic destruction was the precursor of the destruction of nations elsewhere , did these concepts get tested before and thus convinced oneself if this is foreboding for future The fundamental question that needs to be asked, who is benefiting from the creating of a unipolar world, it seems only Russia who has not joined the modern world in this century is creating a counterbalance and is keeping a bipolar world . Do Western populations believe they can trust their leadership to the point where they can entrust them with making world policy while not questioning the least bit the marauding of Africa, Middle East and now Europe. So what is it to be gained by this except for the few who have created such designs. Do the populations believe this will serve them well in the end. Just a decade ago the culmination of certain factors leads you to believe that the such policy was deliberate and trialed thru the zeroing of interest rates and major world events such as 9/11 and the invasion of Iraq and the huge accumulation of US debt that ensued. The creating of a unipolar world may also be congruent with the plan to indebt the masses with its zero interest rate policy. The looting of nations does not seem to exclude anyone perhaps not even the West itself. It seems the elimination of subsistence farming in Africa is now reaching Europe (with Ukraine downfall?) and the West which will impoverish the masses . So far no enough critical thinking has challenged the western hubris. Therefore the destruction of wealth is a concept that does not preclude anyone not even the USA can 9/11 be taken as an example of its own destruction if this were to be believed for a moment it was a conspiracy . If an analysis can be made based on just a cause and effect scenario based on the two assumptions : willful capital destruction and the destruction of sovereignty of nations. So maybe an economic recovery was never part of the plan and the North America and European economic destruction was rather the effect and not the cause (food for thought). So let’s take a leap and wait and see if Turkey is next, their recent decision to increase their interest rates from 8 to 12% to gain was it to give escape velocity from a diving economy? Should the hypothesis be correct is their luck about to run out soon , maybe a zero neighbor policy might just do the trick , who’s to help them ?
ReplyDeleteArevordi,
ReplyDeleteIt is always a pleasure to read your post. It is music to my ears, if I can say so, because there are very little things that I have not seen in the same way. It should not be surprising if you have a more in depth knowledge of the geographical, historical, cultural circumstances of the region we hail from.
Taking a closer look at History (where from we are supposed to draw lessons of life), we'll see that Ukraine played a decisive role in the final demise of the Central Powers in the first World War. By helping the Bolsheviks to take power in Russia the Germans hoped that, by concluding the Peace of Brest-Litovsk the armies would be transferred to the Western front, where they sought the final decision. But the necessity to ensure the steady supplies of food and coal from Ukraine to the starving Central Powers forced them to keep a greater number of troops in Ukraine which lacked when the tanks of the Entente crushed through the German lines.
The peace also freed all the POV from Russia who returned to Germany and Austria thoroughly infected with the bolshevik virus. The diplomatic representatives of the Bolshevik Russia worked intensely to unleash the Revolution in Germany itself. That was the real "Stab in the back". The Germans actually shot themselves in the foot.
Cheers,
RomAn
Thank you for your kind words, RomAn. I'm very glad we continue to be on the same page, with one little exception. Thank you for sharing your very valuable perspective with us. Please do tell us about how Romanian officials are handling this crisis. From what I have noticed (perhaps I'm wrong), they seem to be standing behind the EuroMaidan movement.
DeleteYou haven't been around for a while. I hope all is well with you.
Thank you for your concern. I had indeed some problems, which Thanks God are now behind.
DeleteIndeed you have noticed right. They not only stand behind the EuroMaidan, they "will support with the greatest firmness all the measures taken by EU" declared the PM. The more that someone launched the idea that Yats the round worm is partly Romanian! He is actually from Cernauti, son of a Professor of History at the University. Typical product of the Soviet (Jewish) nomenklatura. Confirmation of the Romanian dictum (after the "revolution"): "The children of our masters will be the masters of our children".
The populace is anti-Russian, convinced that the Russians want to invade all Europe, but that we don't have to worry because Russia is not the Russia we feared 200 years ago, but a dying contry, acting as it acts out of incertitude and fear of the wind of freedom that blows from the West. The United States are "the judge and the gendarme of the world" therefore there would not be war. All the crap overflowing from the western propaganda latrines.
Sadly impervious to any argument to the contrary.
Mabe you know it, but I found it delightful : the new name of Ukraine: "The Khaganate of Nulands!"
RomAn
Hey Romanian Anonymous,
DeleteIt is good to see you posting here again! I'm sorry to hear you were having some issues but I am glad that they are behind you. Thanks for the information on how the situation is being perceived in Romania, sadly it seems that many people in Europe are being fed the same misinformation. I hope you remain active here.
Yats the Yid is now spent a few days with his soul masters in Washington. The jewkraine is thoroughly doused with yids. It is incredulously bizarre how these ancient tribe has managed to sown up the jewkraine to the rest of occupied Europe. There is a lot of buffoonery and hype propaganda tha Nazis are in alliance with the Yiddish gangsters. This band of nationalists are fake nationalists and are being used by Yats tribesmen to do the dirty work.
ReplyDeleteArevordi thank you for an in dept analysis is this crucial time we are witnessing.
ReplyDeletePutin can call any bluff and can bring Nato to its knees if need be. Russian military has seen a lot and has been prepared for this day. He has the backing of his nation and military.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lMJi0JIVZas
Russian new army, all the changes coming and re-armament till 2020
ReplyDeletehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BPybIP8sDIc
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KtWfTUzPZeE
By 2020 USA will have no other way but to come back to USA territory and mind defence of the homeland. The overstretch USA military with many bases can not sustain itself and protect it's bases.
Some developments I picked up today:
ReplyDeleteRossya 24 channel was showing training exercises of airborn troops in Russia. Troops were jumping out with parachutes, and executing ground maneuvers. Their gear and uniforms looked identical to the troops we see in Crimea. So I believe those soldiers in Crimea are VDV (airborn troops).
In Kharkov yesterday the "Right Sektor" organized a shooting of a pro-Russian demonstration. The militsia I guess stormed the building and are now questioning them. In the meantime, 2 people are said to have died of their wounds, while several others are injured. Russia's ministry of foreign affairs said they are received many letters and calls from Kharkov about protection of citizens. The foreign ministry declared that this well not be left without attention.
In Donetsk, a massive pro-Russian rally headed for internal security building demanding the release of pro-Russian activists who were previously arrested. A member of the security forces came out to try to negotiate with the crowd, but no one could hear what he was saying since the crowd was yelling "Donbass Rise!" "Russia! Russia! Russia!" And for the local security head to resign. One of the activists was invited inside the building for "talks" -- no more news on this. Oh and demonstrators once again took down the Ukrainian flag and replaced it with the Russian tri-color.
In the meantime, the Kiev authorities are trying to remake the military of Ukraine and make it an army of militant russophobes understanding that the officers and soldiers in the current configuration would not shoot at Russian soldiers and will not suppress south-east regions, since these are their own people.
Also, there was an attempted separation of Carpathian Ruthenians around the same time as the 2008 South Ossetia War from Ukraine before it was formally suppressed by the Yushchenko government.
DeleteIf Ukraine is reforming their army to consist entirely of Russophobes, then they are certainly going to fail because the general population is stuck between taking up arms for Ukraine and not wanting to shoot fellow Orthodox Christian Russians.
Putin laying down the facts
ReplyDeletehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HKX3ErDmeBo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6vE4VLoObI0
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TSMp_MOPpr8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oaujt9ldQjU
Jewish intel officer about Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KswxumWhe2s
I really like this guy- Nikolay Starikov, smart and logical
ReplyDeletehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ifU4ePb9bgE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qp8-DXl1xe4
and Voskanapat with an article hinting about Aliev - Yanukovitch deal
http://www.voskanapat.info/?p=6599
I am getting some opinions from military experts and here is what they say may probably happen
ReplyDelete- after Crimea becomes independent but not yet part of Russia, Crimean army will engage and free Kherson and move towards Odessa.
- Russian forces will move from north of Kharkov and secure the line all the way down to Kherson.
- the dividing line will be reinforced
- next will be Kiev in few months
This woody Allen look alike of Yats claims stentorially, in Churchillian rethoric ", we shall never surrender". The mulatto Obama muses and listens to Yats ramblings. Both of them cut pathetic figures. Neither of them has the poise and charisma of a " leader". Yatas looks like a downcast rabbi, while Obama looks like a bouncer of a Harlem night spot. Yats will never surrender ?? What is he not surrendering ?
ReplyDeleteArevordi
ReplyDeleteI have spent some time reading, but, will have to come back to read the rest
but so far, If I may, job well done
and thank you
Thank you, Penny. Please inform us of new developments if you come across any.
DeleteArevordi
ReplyDeleteA job well done. If I may add, although I'm no big fan of Nazis, I did find your point about them interesting. Seeing the cultural values and the ethnic makeup behind Ukraine's revolutionary movement, you are probably right. After all, ethnic Russian were not an issue for Nazis who were trying to exterminate Bolsheviks, Jews, gays, gypsies and Jehovah Witnesses.
Russel
Thank you for commenting Russel. We are in agreement. Please don't take this the wrong way but let's not derail this subject-matter with discussions on Nazi Germany.
DeleteThe first exit-polls are out, 93% have voted for Russia, no provocations and a above 80% turnout in Crimea.
ReplyDeleteCongats to all of us.
I am happy, and seeing grim face of McCain and Amanpour makes me double happy.
Well dressed reptiles in Washington have been trying to pass off the Crimean elections as "voting under the gun". They will do their best against Russia, but their best will prove ineffective at best. Today is a historic day indeed. Today is a day the Russian nation has been waiting for. In the big picture, Russia's fight is our fight, for Russia is the last front against American imperialism, Globalism, Islamic extremism, Zionism and pan-Turcism. God bless Mother Russia. And may God help protect Russo-Armenian alliance from all enemies both foreign and domestic.
DeleteThis is going to be more then about Ukraine, this is going to play out in the currency wars.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GoKsQJBM3Do
It will be an active week, I'm going to post again once the markets are open later today. In the mean time we might get some count figures soon. Its a very hard sell for the West to call this election by any other name then a referendum for freedom of a people. Considering more then half of the EU officials are unelected they should be the last ones to open their pie holes.
Vahram
You are correct. But shills in the West are trying to paint this as if Russia will be the one to suffer. Just read this article from rfe/rl.
Deletehttp://www.rferl.org/content/in-sanctions-showdown-with-west-russia-playing-a-weak-hand/25296840.html
LG
Gold only up about 5 bucks in light trading. However I caution everyone in following jut the price of gold as it is a political metal and is easy to manipulate. However the broader markets are down heavy.
DeleteCurrent Nikkei is down over 3.3 percent.
As of this moment everything is red across the board for world markets.
And last but not least the referendum has come in with more then 80 percent of the voters voting. Never mind how they voted, the fact that democracy has taken a foot hold in the Crimea should scare the shit out of fake elections with vote for the guy I picked for you to vote for, as the West can barely get 47 percent of the people to vote. Out of 47 percent of total eligible population voting if 51 percent of the 47 percent say they want the nest puppet the get it...LOL
With a voter turn out of over 80% and more then 90% voting for Russia who cares what the price of gold is?
The fact of the matter is the nail of the coffin is at hand, a simple blow of the hammer is what closes the lid shut. As if anyone wants to spew more shit, let them stand right up at the plate and spew their shit. Democracy has spoken, and sooner or later this will reflect in the price of gold.
But this does not matter as of right now, China is only down less then 1% while Japan ..ie the Western stooge is down over 3.3%. Let us take this out another month and then let us take a tally of who has lost what %
Vahram
http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/americas-200-trillion-debt-is-closing-in/4823
DeleteIt's a few months old but worth reading.
LG
Arevordi,
ReplyDeleteGood job again. Let no one be surprised at the Russian moves because this is how the real world always worked. When the soviets weak the west took that as their chance to takeover strategic countries just like how Wesley Clark said in his speech. Now the west is weak so its Russia turn to get revenge. This is realpolitic. Job job Russia.
Long time reader from Los Armenios
http://www.rferl.org/content/ukraine-crimea-situation-china-benefits/25297509.html
ReplyDeleteHow China stands to gain.
LG
http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/ukraine-crisis/whats-putins-next-move-its-anyones-guess-experts-say-n53886
ReplyDeletePotential false flag op in the works?
http://journal-neo.org/2014/03/15/8929/
LG
http://news.yahoo.com/state-tv-says-russia-could-turn-us-radioactive-212003397.html LOL
ReplyDeleteNorth Korea lunches 10 rockets into the see.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/mar/16/north-korea-test-fire-10-rockets-sea-south-defence-ministry
These are very interesting times, one revolution after the next. One puppet installed after the other. The game was good while it lasted, more governments seem to be awake now then ever. All this really means is that whatever calculus was used to determine the game theory has now changed. Things will be far more costly then expect going forward.
Being that this silly game in Ukraine went the wrong way, one wonders what the logic going forward is with the current stance of the West.
Vahram
I loved the fact that Crimea has voted to rejoin Russia because the Russians get to troll the West with the concept of self-determination. I also liked the fact that the Serbs had gone on to help the Russians with their peacekeeping missions in Crimea (even if it was at the initiatives of local Serb nationalists). The Serbian group in Crimea is led by Milutin Malisic, a Kosovo War veteran.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.loonwatch.com/2014/03/crimea-ukraine-serbian-chetnik-militias-arrive-to-aide-russia/
This article is kinda amusing and funny to read because it kinda confirms the Muslims' fear that Orthodox Christians would actually get a chance to fight them, hence the quote "Slav-Orthodox assault on vulnerable Muslims".
Hi Jerriko, good to see you back here. How are things in the Philippines?
DeleteNot good. We're on the verge of having US bases back in, and China continues with its Spratlys dispute. Then I heard a rumor that Japan slapped Russia with some sanctions for its actions in the Crimea. Events like these make me wish the Philippines would be partitioned with a Muslim Mindanao joining Indonesia, the remaining Catholic territories becoming a US state with my personal desire to have North Luzon pull a Crimea and hold a referendum on seceding from pro-US Philippines as a re-Hispanicized entity. Overall, not good. I'm living in Canada, and the anti-Russian propaganda is way worse over here. Doesn't help that we have a ton of Ukrainians living in Canada.
DeleteWelcome back, Jerriko. The crux of the problem you describe about your homeland is endemic in most region of the world today. We are living in an Anglo-American-Jewish era. Let's just hope China and Russia are able to put an end to this situation within this century.
DeleteThis will affect Armenia, if they are arming fighter planes nuclear in Turkey, i am sure we are getting nuclear too.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.military-informant.com/index.php/analytic/4890-1.html
Costal batteries Bal on top of Bastion, this is getting serious
http://www.military-informant.com/index.php/army/4887-1.html
Newest BTRs, we need some here in Armenia too
http://www.military-informant.com/index.php/interviews/4889-1.html
On another news from FT seems like russian oligarkhs have been able to move back their capitals to Russian banks. hope Putin will place a hold for 2 weeks on their wire transfers.
With all this news i expect we are soon getting armed here in Armenia, serious stuff, we need Pantser, S400, Iskandars, nuclear heads, new BTRs, KA- 52s, and our own airforce with MIGs and SU-27s.
We need to use this opportunity. this is the time.
Bal-E
ReplyDeletehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t33O4qjuhKk
Costal Bastion with Yakhont missiles
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qGnnmjbn-sE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zUGdPOIeSXY
The market action today left people wondering including myself. There can't be any serious military or economic action by the West. Markets were booming and Russia was one of the biggest gainers in today's action. So there is nothing coming near term. But the action still does not make any sense as the underlying economic conditions remain the same. After all Greece is still Greece, Eurozone troubles are still there, same with the US and much everyplace else.
ReplyDeleteLong term the cards are still held by Moscow. As today confirms Ukraine is to be a basket case. The longer this situation continues the worse the East and West Ukraine will pull apart. However I still wonder at the conditions of West Ukraine, as that is where the revolution was directed. Now with the same Oligarchs in charge and the Nazi troops all over the place what will be the backlash? The more Moscow waits the better.
Arevordi, thank you for another very insightful blog entry. These are indeed historic times, and we Armenians are lucky that the current battles, and subsequent destabilization, destruction and death they bring, are playing in Ukraine somewhat distant from Armenia's borders. I wish Armenians would better understand just how seriously all of this affects Armenia, and that our people would get as worked up about the West's repeated attempts at strengthening the position of anti-Orthodox Christians and Islamo-Turkic freaks in Armenia's neighborhood as they do when some no-name Congressman or City Council Member hints at Genocide "recognition". I sincerely hope that Russia will in these trying times assist Armenia in cleansing itself from the influence of western-funded scum currently scurrying about in Yerevan.
ReplyDelete***
Am I overestimating Russia's strong position in the economic, financial, and natural resource fields, or have Western leaders simply lost whatever fleeting touch they had remaining with reality? I am referring to claims of "an impoverished Russia" because of the almost laughable threat of sanctions from the almost bankrupt US and their faggot lackeys in the EU. Or is it just propaganda for the masses?
***
Speaking of the worthless EU, their track record is downright comical. In the last twenty years they have converted the White, Christian continent into a Muslim breeding machine. They have succeeded in destroying traditional family structures; respect for one's ethnic and linguistic, identity and national traditions and culture; robbed and squandered the fortunes acquired during centuries of colonial conquest and impoverished much of their population; and essentially turned their own nations and populations into human shields and cannon fodder as they continue to antagonize the Russian Federation through naked acts of aggression and international criminality. They led the charge and did the dirty work for the Muslim settlers in Kosovo to establish an illegal sovereignty on Serbian territory through their war crimes, and they are working overtime to turn the Turkish conquest of Cyprus from de facto into de jure. Yet when Artsakh declared independence at the collapse of the Soviet Union, when Artsakh's population voted for a Constitution in one of the most perfect displays of the democratic process anywhere on the planet in 2006; when Hamas won democratic election in 2006 in occupied Palestinian Territories; when South Ossetia and Abkhazia were able to defeat subjugation in 2008 at the hands of imperial Georgia, when Crimeans bravely told the illegitimate usurpers of authority in Kiev to go fuck themselves - it was the spineless, unelected freaks in the EU to raise their voice loudest protesting the against the free will of the people... The Ukrainians as well as the Armenians agitating in favor of the EU should be rounded up, put on a plane and dumped into the toilette known as Brussels. I'm sure they will get along famously with the Muslim mayor there and the large faggot community and the Jews who control the place.
In other news:
ReplyDeleteSyria has started the cleansing of the Qalamoun region, the last rebel-hand area bordering Lebanon. The capital Yabrud was liberated yesterday. In a few short weeks that region will be completely free from rebel. The country will no longer fear weapon and insurgent smugling from the Lebanese border. Next target: Aleppo!!
Notice how the media has completely 'forgotten' about Syria now that the Ukraine crisis is in the spotlight (and due to the West's failure in Syria).
Good job guys. Vietnam war criminal mccain is talking shit again
ReplyDeletehttp://news.yahoo.com/mccain-ukraine-crimea-160807712.html
read some of the comments, I guess ameros are waking up.
Wow, I read the first fifty or so comments and I must say I am impressed! Many of those comments mirror the comments on this blog. I read two comments that were pro-McCain, and one was clearly written by a polack bitch.
DeleteEven with their misconceptions about Russia, it seems the American cattle understand the Russians are not the typical primitive third world country that America's multi-billion dollar military struggles to suppress at great expense. We can only imagine what the fate of politicians like McCunt would be if there was even a pretense of "democracy" or rule of by the will of the people in the West.
i comment a lot on yahoo, under my T.K. with my westy's avatar. back years ago when i would make any comment it was thumbed down in 5 min. now it is different, i mostly get thumbs up and i can tell you public opinion is changing in USA. people read more and many who comment form old times know each other. it is a personal decision but we need to be active on yahoo too. why not?
Deletefew advises, try to make your comment short, to the point and not too hard for common American to understand. the goal is to expose media lies and give facts. You don't want to get into conversation with people who don't have basic knowledge of world map. i don't usually answer replies. some stupid jerks may get into back and forth conversation, that is useless. the purpose is to get many eyes to see the that there is other side of the story. most americans, we can't blame them have no way to find out about the truth. they are bombarded with propaganda.
Thank you for the advice T.K., I agree with what you said. Whenever I comment, I prefer to slip in a short history lesson to the audience and hope that at least some of the readers will learn a thing or two; but I try to phrase things as simply as possible and if I can I appeal to emotion as well. It's actually quite cheap and effective - taking five minutes to write and edit a comment can collapse the false reality that took billions of dollarsof propaganda and PR and paid cyber-warriors to build up.
DeleteAnd I agree, no point feeding the trolls, and it is extremely important that we get our message out on as many forums as possible. Luckily, like you said, it is not as difficult as it used to be and more and more people are waking up and speaking out.
While we are on this subject, check out the amazingly positive comments people leave on documentaries on youtube regarding zionism, western war crimes, the truth about the holohoax, the banking scam, the decline in western society, and true history among other topics. Also, if you notice some western propaganda outlets no longer allow comments on stories on their articles because the webmasters can no longer contain the torrent of truth in the comments. I notice this a lot in British media especially.
Check out this idiotic assessment from anglo-american jane's defense weekly:
ReplyDeletehttp://www.janes.com/article/35155/planned-highway-increasing-ceasefire-violations-heighten-war-risks-between-azerbaijan-and-armenia-over-nagorno-karabakh
"Armenia is likely to be forced by its inferiority in conventional forces either to give in or to resort to the use of its missiles to strike Azerbaijan. The continued acquisition of advanced weapons by Azerbaijan has given it military superiority over Armenia, which Russia is unable to restore by its deployments or arms transfers to Armenia."
What idiotic analysis mixed with azeri propaganda. If the monkeys in baku thought they could win a war against the Russia-backed Armenia in Artsakh, they would not hesitate. Not a peep from the "human rights defenders" in britain regarding azeri terrorism against civilians and civilian infrastructure development projects.
Fucking anglo-saxon trash, their mongrelized race is on its way to minority status on their own island.
Janes is a sold out to Baku.
Deletei have met someone that is stationed on the border in Hadrut, narrowest place, 300m to azeri positions. the word i get we dictate, if they do anything they get punished really badly. the only reason we get losses is some of our youngs don't listen, talk on cell phones, don't follow directions and make mistakes. most loses are due to our young soldiers being themselves. they constantly need someone older to watch for them.
otherwise azeris always start shooting 2000 rounds per day if they know we may attack. so every time you hear they are active is mostly because they are expecting losses.
to make it short we in Artsakh make the weather in the front line most of the time.
Don't worry; the Hispanic community in the US Southwest would eventually pull a stunt to the Crimean scenario and demand a reunification with Mexico. While I'm hoping that the Pacific Northwest would either become an independent nation on the South African model (even though South Africa was a part of the Anglo-American bloc, why are they on the same side now as Russia, India and China?) or be fractured to several pieces, dominated by First Nations peoples eager to get their lands back.
DeleteT.K. I have heard a few other sources who also had friends or family serving on the front lines saying the same thing, that the main reason for a vast majority of our casualties on the front lines are because young, newly recruited soldiers don't follow directions as strictly as they should (whether just plain Armenian cockiness or negligence combined with inexperienced) which exposes their positions to azeris and makes them easy targets. I have never served in any military but I understand the need for a very strict discipline and for older, more experienced officers to keep an eye on the rookies. I trust our Armed Forces are constantly working on improving and increasing efficiency in every field... And I don't believe a word out of janes, I just wanted everyone to see what these so-called "respected" western intelligence agencies are passing off as facts and realities. They've been engaged in professional lying for so long that they produce shallow "analysis" like this probably based on things they found on apa.az.
DeleteJerriko, if the Hispanics tried that today a good number of the clueless whites (aka americans) would gladly bend over. These people have lost all connection and pride in tradition, history, race, culture, religion and had it replaced with degenerate "pop culture" and idiotic ultraliberal globalist ideology like democracy and multiculturalism. They are in for a very rude awakening. The only future for the American southwest is the same kind of violence and lawlessness and roaming gangs that currently exist on the mexican side of the border. It's hard to feel sympathy for people who don't defend their own country but fully support "humanitarian intervention" in countries they have no business with.
In all likelihood the eastern regions are next to be brought into Russia's orbit . The question is how can this be accomplished without bloodshed. Contrary to press reporting, the "Nazis" are not in power, nor they have any clout . The organogram in Kiev is juden par tout. Those so called " fascists and nazis" are simply the juden shock troops. Yats the yis has blustered that the feet will burn underneath the separatists; they will be tracked down, hunted and liquidated, they will get the Simon wisenthal treatment. The " nazis" ( who will soon be splurted out of the kiev government ; unless they decapitate Yats the Yid and his yiddish mafia) will do the screaming, shouting and firing for the Juden in Kiev. The " nazis" can not survive in the EU. Nazi philosophy is diametrically contrary to the globalist, multiracial,open border, free movement of peoples and the obliteration of nation states which happens to be the dogma and credo of the EU. The Nazis can not have a free , sovereign ethnic Ukraine and at the same time belong to the EU. It is an oxymoron. The goals and strategic objectives of the USA-EU is to destabilize Russia, to that effect the turmoil in Jewkraine is serving and achieving its purpose. Destabilize the entire eastern European landscape, sow chaos, confusion, discord, enmity between nations and peoples .
ReplyDeleteyou have too much fear of judean power. they are powerful and have many ways to accomplish what they need. most importantly they are powerful becasue they think and act according to their book. they have more feedom to be cheat, scam and use any methods we won't, to achieve their goals. that is unquestionable.
DeleteWe need to be mindful. but to blame them for everything is naive and does not serve our purpose. we can, and many have proved that strong, patriotic and educated nations can show them the finger.
Putin's speech today could be considered a start of new world order, and i mean the one Russia has in mind. with this speech he put an end to unipolar world and in fact made USA the second world power. this speech, every word of it is a must watch. please take time to translate and understand. one important point i would like to mention was about eastern and southern ukraine. Putin said those were russian lands given to Ukraine by bolsheviks. guess we all know what that means.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.vesti.ru/only_video.html?vid=585417
here is the 1st fact that Crimea will become protector of russian population in neighbouring regions, they mean Kherson, Odessa and connection to Transestria.
ReplyDeletehttp://dokwar.ru/publ/novosti_i_sobytija/sobytija/krym_gotov_zashhishhat_ot_ugroz_sosednie_russkojazychnye_oblasti/10-1-0-1207
Belarus and i think soon Armenia will be reinforced seriously
http://dokwar.ru/publ/voenny_vestnik/novosti_armii/na_rossijskoj_aviabaze_v_belorussii_budut_razmeshheny_24_su_27sm3/18-1-0-1209
Lithuania and Poland are becoming a fair target due to their willingness to sell themselves to Nato
http://dokwar.ru/publ/voenny_vestnik/novosti_armii/na_rossijskoj_aviabaze_v_belorussii_budut_razmeshheny_24_su_27sm3/18-1-0-1209
some news is coming about 1 killed crimean defence officer, and 2 wounded. also some talk about killed ukrainian soldier. can't be without provocations on this day.
USA previous intel agents on the record about revolution engineering
ReplyDeletehttp://rt.com/shows/sophieco/ukraine-revolution-usa-support-246/
Armenia needs to be armed to the hilt.Our military must be on a constant war footing. The war by the turkish states will be unleashed upon us sooner or later. If need be we must turn our homeland into a nuclear "hedgehog", and bristling with latest tech advanced technology armaments; naturally this will have to be provided to our armed forces by our Russian partners. We need to be two steps ahead of the turks in those fields. Less butter and more guns. Anyone daring to tamper with our frontiers must understand it will be have its limbs amputated. The subhuman turks are issuing muffled threats to Russia about the closure of the Dardanelles straits, should Russia ignore Tatars minority islamic interests. Naturally such a myopic move by the subhuman turks would be a casus belli. The turks do not seem to care about casus belli actions on their part, after all they are under Nato's umbrella. It is difficult to understand the folly of the Europeans taking away the custodianship of the straits from the orthodox Greeks and passing it to the non european asiatic muslim turks. By the treaty of Montreaux in 1937 these fait accomplit was granted de jure status. The russian black sea fleet needs to come out of its ports and harbors through the Dardanelles. If the straits are closed the fleet would end up bottled up in its ports. A situation which will require Russians to storm the straits and crush the turkish coastal garrisons and open the passage. This of course will bring Nato into the fray; this scenario can only be re enacted in a total war situation. That moment will also come to pass when the USA-Nato-EU-Israel ttry their next expansionist gamble. There will be no respite on the continent until the last american foot soldier has departed European soil. There will be no respite until Nato occupation is brought to its end. There will be no respite until the present Jewified EU is brought down to its knees. In the meanwhile Armenia must stand firm and thwart menacing maneuvres by the turks through our armed forces.
ReplyDelete"It is difficult to understand the folly of the Europeans taking away the custodianship of the straits from the orthodox Greeks and passing it to the non european asiatic muslim turks."
DeleteAs it has been stated on this blog several dozen times, the turks have historically served as the perfect, preferred pawns of the west in their attempts to contain Russia. That is why time and again the west has demonstrated a propensity to ally itself with the turks and sunni muslims at the expense of the Orthodox Christians. Don't make excuses for the Europeans, their leaders know today and have always known what they are doing when it comes to propping up the turkish empire. It was the same reasoning during the Crimean war of centuries past as it is today... And for once America cannot be blamed, Western European powers and turkey have had overlapping interests dating before America declared independence from Britain.
Let's not delude ourselves, neither Europe nor America give a fuck about its "fellow Christians" whether in Greece or Armenia. Anti-Christian, anti-European ZOGs cannot be expected to support the interests of Orthodox nations against the interests of their turkish minion, we saw this during the Genocide Era. And even if the EU collapsed tomorrow I would not expect any western European power change its pro-turkish, anti-Russian position now. The quicker Western Europe experiences a socio-economic collapse and the more they become inundated with Muslim immigrants to help speed up that collapse, the better it will be for Armenia. And quite frankly it would be poetic justice for the British, French and Germans to have their islamo-turkic allies start spreading havoc in their formerly safe and prosperous countries.
The West's alliance with the turks has its roots in the 16th century Franco-ottoman alliance. This alliance between a Christian state and an Islamic one caused quite a stir, it was directed against the Spanish Empire, the preeminent power during this time. Below is a link to a good book on the subject if anyone is interested in further study.
Deletehttp://www.amazon.com/Allies-Infidel-Ottoman-Alliance-Sixteenth/dp/1780764979/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1395192748&sr=8-1&keywords=16th+century+french+ottoman+alliance
LG
Frankly, Arevordi, the situation in the Crimea and that Turkey wanted the island is a sign that NATO is really going over the edge to not only subjugate Russia entirely, but to actually unleash the Islamic hordes that would end up committing genocide against Russians and Armenians. I do believe that for their twisted New World Order to happen, they are marking Orthodox nations like Russia and Armenia as their "sacrificial lambs" to be placed on the altar.
ReplyDeleteWith that in mind, I am pleased to say that within the next ten years, the US should get a taste of its own medicine when Hispanic settlers in the US Southwest would demand reunification with Mexico and Quebec would secede from Canada. I also hope that Russia can gain some influence in North America too, just to teach them a lesson, but this is just wishful thinking.
Turkey and its supporters would be nuclear wastelands before a genocide could even commence against Russians and her allies. I get your point though, NATO, or at least certain members of the alliance are rather unstable psychologically speaking at this moment. I think cooler heads will prevail but I don't discount the possibility of turkey being told to close the straits to the Russian Navy, of course they would only do this if they are given full carte blanche by Washington. This would entail that the US will have turkey's back when Russia retaliates.
DeleteI think China will remain on the sidelines if Russia goes to war with the West, this would allow it to keep its strength while its two rivals weaken or destroy one another (bait and bleed). At the same time I can imagine a scenario where critical Chinese national interests are threatened and they are forced to join the conflict. Of course this scenario is essentially WWIII.
LG
I watched Putin's speech today to all government officials of the Russian Federation. He spoke of not only the Crimea -- he basically threw a guantlet to the west. He called them out on everything since the collapse of the USSR. Although he made faint remarks on the individual topics before -- after the speech today -- what I understand from Putin's speech is that the name of the game is different now. The rules have changed and Putin has called them out -- in no uncertain terms he directly called hypocrites -- and it was a public humiliation of the political west. Clearly he no longer cares much about the "feelings" and considerations of "western partners" - it is a hard game of interests now. If Americans want to foment revolutions, then we will use military force if we have to.
ReplyDeleteHe said that the west has always attempted to contain Russia and force Russia into the corner. Just like in the 19th century, 20th century, and now. Nothing has changed.
What is happening now is sureall and I better understand some of the actions or inaction of the past -- for example the games with "Russian oligarchs" -- he just had to play the game to buy some time that has led up to this moment.
I love how Russia is trolling American sanctions too. I am left wondering why Americans even introduced these "sanctions". The only thing I can think of is that they want to be seen as being able to somehow hurt Russia thereby asserting their dominance over the world. These "sanctions" are accompanied with words like "we are sending a clear message to Russia!"
I love how individual Russian officials and as well as collectively have been trolling these sanctions. Where one official says that he can live without a US Visa since the only thing he cares about in America are Tupoc Shakur LOL! and a couple of other artists -- and he doesn't need to go to US to access their work.
Dimity Rogozin called if a badge of honor and the rest of gosDuma deputies are jealous that they didn't make the list so they past a resolution urging Washington and Brussels to sanction all of them. I just love it.
I listened to that lecture by Nikolaj Saratnikov posted by TK above and he said in there something interesting about when he was a teenager. He said that Soviet propaganda didn't work on him at that time -- the Soviet propaganda used to say America is trying to spark a war -- but his reaction was "no way, America is is cool: blue-jeans and coca-cola". During the cold war, American propaganda defeated the Soviet propaganda - because in America people believed in their righteousness while in the Soviet Union people believed that America was cool.
I am seeing a sort of reversal of roles today -- America is the evil empire and the world is looking at Russia and how Russia is fighting for its interest, how Russians now troll the American "power". It is Russian citizens who believe in their righteousness while Americans are cracking at the seems. Those yahoo comments tell a story. Incidentally, similar comments are made on all the Syria articles I've ever read on yahoo. The people commenting on yahoo are diametrically opposed to the US government line. It is the sign of the times.
The West is getting far more desperate enough to have an army of internet trolls in posting anti-Russia messages in most forums. I do believe that they are still holding on to the false sense of hope that the West will intimidate Russia into obeying their will, but thankfully Putin has graciously told them to go fuck themselves.
DeleteThe world can learn about how to run a country from a man like Putin instead of these spineless idiots that we have as leaders of our Western countries.
Below is a very good documentary about the rise of the criminal oligarchs in Russia, and their utter destruction by President Putin. Of course it does not specifically mention that almost all of the oligarchs were jewish, and its goes completely downhill after the 46th minute of part 2 when they start bitching about "democrazy", but it gives a pretty good idea of Russia in the 1990s and the significance of the rise of Putin. A less prudent man might not have waited until the time was right to strike against the oligarchs or make a move in Crimea, but Putin played it perfectly and the whole of Russia is reaping the rewads.
DeleteThe Rise of Putin and The Fall of The Russian-Jewish Oligarchs (1/2)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q2Cl8lSv9Is
The Rise of Putin and The Fall of The Russian-Jewish Oligarchs (2/2)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x2nNtynZAiI
It does get tedious listening to that vermin berezovsky talking but keep in mind these are the lunatic ravings of a crushed cockroach twitching its last breaths of life.
Yesterday was a historic day. After sixty years, yesterday saw the reunification of Crimea with Russia. It was a wonderful event for all self-respecting Russians. By correcting the mistakes of Communism, Moscow also set a wonderful precedence for Armenians of Artsakh.
ReplyDeleteIt is my opinion that as long as Yerevan preserves its strategic ties with Moscow and works to cultivate better Russo-Armenian relations, we Armenians will sooner-or-later also see a similar reunification of Artsakh with Armenia - with full Russian backing.
But, first thing's first: Before we expect Russians to assist us in such a manner, we as a people need to rid ourselves of our Asiatic ways, Russophobia, political ignorance and Western agents. As long as Armenia flirts with the political West and continues to host an army of Western operative and organizations, Moscow will keep Armenia vulnerable, dependent and on a very short leash.
Today, Armenia's "complimentary politics" is a serious liability for Armenia. This is no longer the 1990s. The West is in a decline. For the foreseeable future, we will have to live with a resurgent Bear. The good news for us is that Russian and Armenian interests align. Moscow needs Armenia as a southern fortress protecting Russia's vulnerable underbelly from Western inroads, pan-Turkism and Islam. Our enemies and their enemies are essentially the same. Armenia today has a strategic partner that is a global superpower, and one that is the alpha and the omega of Caucasian politics. We need to exploit this historic opportunity for Armenia's long term benefit. If we want Armenia to prosper one day, we need to stop our pursuit of Western fantasies (democracy, free speech, civil society, gay rights, globalism, etc) and begin to better understand the nuances of geopolitics and Armenia's place in it. For once let's stop admiring Jews and let's start acting like them. Instead of fearmongering about the growth of Russian power, let's realize that Armenians can be in Russia what Jews are in America.
And if we cant do any of the above and we continue our traditional self-destructive path in politics, I much rather see Armenia get incorporated into the Russian Federation. At the end of the day, it's better to live with Russians similar to Ossetians or Abkhazians than live like a bunch of endangered gypsies under Turco-Western rule. Armenian independence from Russia means Armenian dependence on Turkey. No Russia in the south Caucasus means no Armenia in the south Caucasus. It's all that simple. We all need to wake up from our Qaj Nazar fantasies and EUrotic dreams and realize that there are no alternatives to this reality.
It can be argued that President Putin's historic speech at the Kremlin yesterday officially heralded the birth of a new world order, a world in which Anglo-American-Jews are no longer omnipotent. Finally, after over two decades of Anglo-American-Jew worship and unipolarity in global affairs, a multipolar world is born. Finally, after over two decades of ultra-liberal decadence and a global cultural decline as a result of Americanization, Western pop culture and Globalization, a traditional Christian power is back on the world stage. Needless to say, faced with a new political reality that profoundly troubles them, warpigs are squealing on Wall Street -
Welcome to the 19th Century: http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702304914904579441752139339602
Would you be able to post the article in your main entry?
DeleteExcellent commentary by Arevordi... As for the wall street journal, I think they have surpassed the most hardcore Bolshevik press organs in their vile presentations of outright lies and distorted facts. How any decent human being can subscribe to that filth is beyonf me.
DeleteLet's get ready to watch the genocide-obsessed diaspora beg and plead with the wsj and other mainstream lie machines to stop questioning the veracity of the Armenian Genocide in their annual turkophilic April 24 articles.
First time i came across this website, anyone knows more about them?
ReplyDeletehttp://warontherocks.com/2014/03/five-questions-with-paul-saunders-on-the-implications-of-crimea/
http://warontherocks.com/2014/03/ukraine-and-the-art-of-crisis-management/
Pack your bags and go on a nice vacation, when you come back in a few weeks look up Ukraine and see what has happened then. Aside from a provocation here, and a shooting there, perhaps more hysteria about an immanent Russian invasion there is going to be no action on this front. Moscow is going to sit and wait, the West if they pay for anything will be for Russian gas deliveries and Ukraine will slowly disintegrate into madness. The economy with this revelation made everything worse. Everything,, everything is worse then it was. Let us not mention the loss of Crimea and the money they were getting from Moscow for the base and any tourism and other stuff they got from Crimea. Never mind the reduced gas price that is now gone. What do you have besides a basket case for an economy run by a bunch of basket case dudes who beat anyone and everyone they see fit. This is a sham if there ever was such a thing as a sham this would be it, the word was made for such.
ReplyDeleteA total loss of the entire Ukrainian Navy, this is a huge blow. We are not talking about just ships, but the shipyards the base, command headquarters any and all surface installations. At least 45 Migs are now gone into the Russian arsenal. There simply is no precedent for this ever. Just the Migs cost 1.35 Billion! What are the costs of the rest of the equipment? What of the cost of all fixed installations?
The IMF is going to come in and do what they do best, make people miserable. Their plan will be to cut the pensions in half, and increase the price consumers pay for gas. Welcome to the revolution 2.0 in a few months.
Vahram
http://topwar.ru/uploads/posts/2014-03/thumbs/1394941667_cfxpqsqbyu0.jpg
ReplyDeleteVahram
Baby Polar Bear Poses for Photos in Novosibirsk
ReplyDeletehttp://en.ria.ru/photolents/20140313/188384529/Polar-Bear-Cub-at-Novosibirsk-Zoo.html
Awww
http://rt.com/usa/neocons-stage-attack-alternative-media-965/
ReplyDeleteRT brilliantly counters the recent attacks against it and its journalists. I am very impressed with the strategy the Russians are taking on this issue because it shows that Russia is finally adopting public relations tactics adapted to the modern world. Back in the day potentially embarrassing setbacks like the hungarian whore's on-air resignation would have been ignored and covered-up like it did not happen, but that is impossible to do in the modern information age. Instead, the Russians are shining the spotlight on her tacky on-air resignation and in the process exposing the connections that this self-righteous agent has to war Russophobic war criminals like Robert Kagan (husband of victoria "fuck the eu" nuland"), William Kristol, and James Kirchick.
Just like a good judo move, RT has gone in closer to its enemy and turned its supposed strength, which was the attention and public stir that the resignation had caused, and used it against the enemy by focusing the attention on the neocon puppet-masters behind the incident... And by this point these American officials are so tainted by the crimes against humanity they have engaged in for the past two decades that any project they are involved in automatically become suspect.
Sarkis jan i was also following that story and glad RT exposed them. one other fact is that youtube stopped broadcasting english language RT programming. Simonyan has said that she hopes this problem will be solved as they have about billion people watching. this is very serious, over a billion people watch english version of RT.
Deletethe channel has been on for last 10 years. people are hungry for alternative viewpoint, many are smart and tired of CNN fed propaganda.
Foreign Policy Initiative exposed as a mouthpiece owned by Nuland's husband.
Deletehttp://www.vesti.ru/only_video.html?vid=585851
Some new exposure, making connections and names who are very active in anti-russian media control in USA going back to georgia times.
Deletehttp://rt.com/usa/liz-whal-neocons-twitter-101/
Turkey also a looser in Crimea.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2014/03/turkey-crimea-loser.html#
Western values at work.
ReplyDeletehttp://cs606218.vk.me/v606218040/5250/b72ICu_TK7E.jpg
Western alliances with Muslim powers are very old. They shamefully lay at the very foundations of the upstart Empire of Charlemagne. The alliance of Charlemagne with Harun al-Rashid was directed against Byzance and was mediated by a, who else, Isaac Judaeus. This alliance did not get much traction, but set a trend. The "New Israel" of the "New King David" as the Carolingian Empire and Charlemagne loved to be called were on the same wavelengh as the Islam, both hellbent to destroy the Christian 'Rum'.
ReplyDeleteRomAn
there are reports Klab-K is moved to Crimea. Very interesting missle system
ReplyDeletehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mbUU_9bOcnM
Armenia recognized Crimea's independence, Haffern is sad about it. ukraine wants to recall ambassadors from Armenia and Kazakhstan.
ReplyDeleteSome other reports about Erdogan planing to invade Syria, similar reports about USA may back this as a revenge to Russia.
http://www.military-informant.com/
http://topwar.ru/41788-siriyskiy-vyvert-ssha-hod-protiv-rossii.html
Heffern, the same faggot that called Armenia a "road to nowhere". To hell with him and his kind. That massive embassy building the US occupies in Yerevan would be better utilized converted to a memorial for the millions of Native American, Arab, South American, Serbian and African civilians that the US murdered or enslaved... Or, in a twist of irony, an "indefinite detention center" for the various big name "activists" like Artur Sakunts and Richard Giragosian once cleaning season begins.
DeleteSpeaking of Arthur Sakunts, check out that worthless political prostitute defending deranged terrorist shant harutunyan. They call themselves "friends of shant harutunyan", in the land of the free these terrorist-enabling scum would be rotting in prison for making such idiotic statements. But we all know terrorism is a legitimate political tool so long as the terrorism is directed at Russia, in the eyes of the west and their lackeys around the world:
http://hcav.am/en/events/shant-harutyunyan-is-also-russias-political-prisoner-artur-sakunts/
I truly, truly hope that this marks the end of the era of "complimentary policies" Armenia had been pursuing. Armenia has made enough concessions to the American Empire which has been sowing the seeds of a bloody uprising in Yerevan over the past two decades. It would be nice to see Armenia taking stronger positions on issues which effect its interests like the independance of Crimea.
It would also be nice if Armenia could simply kill the pro-Western agents while tuning the West out for "committing human rights violations".
DeleteThat being said, about Turkey invading Syria as a big "F U" to Russia from America, wouldn't the Turkish public actually protest against such a thing, given that they're kinda weary on getting involved in a conflict?
This is about Aliev talking shit, but i wanna post this so you can read the comments to see how generally Russians think about us. overwhelmingly as a friend and ally. some comments are outright to the point that we will never let Armenian brothers alone.
ReplyDeletehttp://vz.ru/news/2014/3/20/678051.html
Washington activates its worthless prostitutes among Armenian-Americans. Of course the ARF is their tool of choice:
ReplyDeletehttp://asbarez.com/120812/serzh-sarkisian%E2%80%99s-catalogue-of-failures-a-brief-foreign-policy-survey/
Several facts that this blog has covered reinforced here:
-The western diaspora is a wasteland and all of its major organizations and media have been inflitrated by western intelligence and currently serve as brainwashing machines promoting the EU and Russophobia.
-Armenians must be looked at as exceedingly short-sighted, emotional, self-destructive and unable to think critically as a people if this is the crap the west thinks will succeed in gettings its views to Armenians.
-America is getting ever more desperate and is itching to cause regime change or instability in Armenia in order to cause a headache for Russia.
Anyway I left this comment, I doubt it will not be censored:
What infantile garbage passing as "analysis". Sounds like an emotional piece written by a high school drama queen. NATO and Georgia has just suffered a string of major defeats, from Georgia to Syria to Ukraine. Armenia was spared certain death from the suffocation, economic slavery and anti-Armenian culture (gay rights, multiculturalism, mass turkish and islamic immigration) that would have resulted from an EU agreement. And Armenia's and Artsakh's borders have never been so secure.
With publications such as this, its no wonder that the ARF is universally despised in Armenia, and the western diaspora is looked upon with scorn and suspicion.
Where did you leave the comment?t
DeleteHere to my point earlier about Iran:
ReplyDeletehttp://www.ajc.com/news/ap/international/russia-warns-west-it-may-change-its-stance-on-iran/nfGmY/
Skhara,
DeleteIran went through 3 revolutions.
The first was gaining independence shortly after WWII when the colonial powers lost their grip. The same bastards that today tout democracy subjugated people while they scream from the parapet of human rights values. The first revolution in Iran was a democratic revolution, Iran joined the modern nations and was a thriving democracy.
The second revolution came when the West torpedoed the DEMOCRATICALLY ELECTED GOVERNMENT and placed the Shah in charge.
The third revolution came in 1979!
Iran today is a thriving country, yes I know there are issues, but from a technological and military point of view they are doing wonders. All this from a country that is possibly as blockaded as Armenia is. The sanction imposed on this country since 1979 have not blunted it from achieving some major goals. Considering all the issues facing it on every level, one can’t take for granted that they went all inside for weapons development with very little from the outside. Considering the size of the country, and the resources available there are some impressive things. Yes Moscow is better at a lot of things and so is the USA, but these are Giants.
While the USA did not attack Iran in 1979 for fear of confronting American weapons system in particular some avionics. The tenacity of fighting showed during the war with Sodom was also a very important consideration as it scared some folks. However it has been many years since 1970, a lot of systems that America left behind in the revolution are not a factor except a few cases of avionics. So what has stopped the West after so many years of sanctions from attacking Iran? The fact that Iran is stronger now, and can produce it’s own weapons systems. The fact that Israel could not even win a conflict with a bunch of militants that number someplace in the few thousands against a machine of Israel that is brimming with American tax payer sponsored weapons and a standing army 1000 time larger. Israel count not win against an opponent without and air force, no tanks, no navy yet they got their ass kicked and kicked hard.
I can see Moscow not wanting Iran to have nukes. In fact I can see any country that has nukes not wanting any other country to have nukes. I can also see politico games, wish they were cleaner but this is basic, it is explanatory and is sufficient to understand the logic. In playing this game the West should know full well the Asymmetrics are not a one way street. Meaning a big move does not have to be countered by a small but equalizing move. A big move can be countered by even a bigger move and this also fits well in the definition of Asymmetrical response.
Vahram
ReplyDeletehttp://www.intifada-palestine.com/2014/03/israeli-settlers-kick-90-year-old-home-shocking-video/
http://www.globes.co.il/en/article-russia-holds-the-aces-1000926225
ReplyDeleteGood summary of why the EU/US sanctions against Russia are toothless.
LG
Today is Lavrov's birthday, and Crimea deal is finalized, well deserved gift.
ReplyDeletehttp://topwar.ru/42024-sergey-lavrov-s-dnem-rozhdeniya.html
Happy birthday to the greatest statesman of our times.
Deletehttp://www.foreignpolicyi.org/content/Letter-President-Obama-Ukraine-Russia
ReplyDeleteOpen letter from the dildos at the neo-con outlet, and successor to the notorious Project for the New American Century.
LG
http://www.rferl.org/content/russia-armenia-azerbaijan-nagorno-karabakh-crimea/25302429.html
ReplyDeletecia agent giragosian's article.
LG
Over 500 Russian military equipment are blessed in Armenia
ReplyDeletehttp://news.am/eng/news/200141.html
Versus
Azeri army operating Israeli supplied Cardom mortar system
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yo94UauZsw0
The blessing of military hardware by Orthodox priests is very profound. I am very proud that my country hosts Russian troops.
DeleteDear readers,
ReplyDeleteI have revised the blog's commentary and updated the supporting articles.
With that said, I do not expect everyone to agree with everything I write, but I do expect everyone that visits this blog to read what I write. I have begun noticing that many of you who are posting comments are not reading my work in its entirety. Mostly likely you are skimming through the commentary and going straight to posting your comments. While I truly appreciate your ideas as well as links to supporting materials, if you appreciate my work here, then please read what I have to say. I realize I post a lot of information. But I break it down into sections. Therefore, during the course of a few days, you can read the work in individuals sections.
Thank you for your participation
We haven't yet grasped the whole meaning and the consequences of what is going on because it all happened pretty fast. Putin has been planing and getting ready for this confrontation. not necessarily in Ukraine. He had been in power for a long time and he came back after Medvedev. At the time i was thinking maybe he didn't have to. But now i understand that he had goals and challenges to deal with. I can only imagine what patriotic Russians like Putin felt when Nato bombed Serbia, what they felt when they took baltic states in Nato. what they felt when they came to Afganistan and Iraq. It was one hit followed by another. Putin proved to be a master, being patient, taking time, building his country, socially, politically and militarily. and all this was done for this day.
Deleteif it would have not been Ukraine it might of been Kazakhstan or Armenia. there was a confrontation cooking and Putin was waiting for his time. maybe it came earlier than he wanted but he was getting ready all this years.
We have to recognize that the move he did is a call against Nato. this is a military organization of USA, France, UK, etc. To call them out is not an easy game. But i have no doubt Russia had all security and military in on this call. Meaning they have a common consensus that they can win. And most importantly they know that Nato has doubts about being able to win against Russia. this alone is a miracle, to be able to build a country to challenge Nato in 20 years is not an easy task.
all this whining from the west is a proof that those arrogant fucks had no idea the facts on the ground have changed and now they have no other choice but to feel like Russia felt when they were marching all over the world.
It will be a good wake up call for them and i am sure they will readjust their polices to suit Russia. As loud as they bark they have been checked and they can be mated if need be.
they will now try to make other hotspots and proxy wars around the world to get Russia tied up and weakened but what has happened is a fact on the ground and they lost.
We can be happy Armenia has come on the right side and today is one of the primary allies of Russia. recent backing re Crimea self determination and yesterday's european parliament vote that was only opposed by Russia and Armenia talk about this relationship growing into two states in one type of thing. maybe with Russia recognizing Artsakh we can agree to get into confederate type relation like Belarus has with Russia.
@The organogram in Kiev is juden par tout. Those so called " fascists and nazis" are simply the juden shock troops. Yats the yis has blustered that the feet will burn underneath the separatists; they will be tracked down, hunted and liquidated, they will get the Simon wisenthal treatment
ReplyDeleteI fully agree with you. The "Banderists" are just patsies. They are there to hide the real perpetrators and to be blamed if things go wrong. Unless, and it seems that this possiblity is developing, they cast their "antisemitism". I have seen that in Romania where the most "antisemitic" Romania Mare Party and his "antisemitic leader" Corneliu Vadim Tudor "renounced anti-semitism". The emasculated Party was increasingly side-lined since.
I think that Russia makes a good use of the faux-pas of bringing in the "nazis", embarassing the Yats who foamed at the mouth about the "appaling crimes" of the Ukrainian colaborationists only to mumble excuses for them now. It is absolutely hilarious.
RomAn
This comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteThe "professional" facade is quickly peeling as unskilled and low-grade western officials and their whores in the controlled press get outplayed at every single turn by the Russians. You can see the panic as their illusions of infallibility shatter before the world's eyes. Again, Russia is giving them a serious run for their money even in the English-language media battlefield, which until now the west had owned entirely. No wonder, as T.K. earlier pointed out, RT experienced some youtube/google "difficulties". A while back, RT and links to RT were banned on relevant forums (aka subreddits) on the very popular social media website Reddit, which has an audience made up of teens to mid-30s American idiots... The response by this Russian official is as professional as it gets, and the final paragraph was a very polite "fuck you, bitch" to amanpour.
ReplyDeleteRussia's UN envoy Churkin replies to CNN anchor Amanpour
http://rt.com/usa/churkin-response-amanpour-cnn-465/
Not only is Ukraine going to backfire, just look at the mess in former Yugoslavia.
ReplyDelete"It is very obvious that the level of protests has subsided in recent days, but the grievances at their hearts such as unemployment, corruption, nepotism, organized crime, political paralysis, social problems, and incompetent political elites-mostly rooted in the deal that ended the war- have remained there "
http://www.worldbulletin.net/news-analysis/131532/recent-social-unrests-in-bosnia-and-herzegovinia
This Western inept leadership just does not know when to quit. There are so many issues in the Eurozone, never mind the issues facing the US. Low intensity wars of attrition with barbaric and backward peoples still has not been won. It is now 2014, these adventures started in 2001. For 13 year not only is there no victory in sight, there are no political issues solved. For 13 long years the Western powers have showed an amazing ability to not see any reality. This ineptitude continues today with Ukraine. To continue unabated and open yet more issues for oneself is beyond my understanding.
We must remember that when we speak about the Western powers we are talking about multiple governments and peoples. With huge sums of money, and all sorts of think tanks and PhD’s on the payroll. Yet with all this might, with all the smarts we have nothing but stupidity on the ground. When militaries are stretched thin because of an emperors hubris it’s one thing. When multiple entities are involved in collective psychosis it is beyond any rational analysis. There is no rational way of reasoning what is happening in Western culture in general. After all these years under the Western governors former Yugoslavia is on fire, and what is burning? The same states they made up supposedly for human rights and for justice. What a racket, what a god damn racket unbelievable.
Vahram
This is just to funny:
ReplyDeletehttp://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-03-14/will-first-3-billion-ukraine-bailout-immediately-go-russia
There is this article as well from the same source.
Deletehttp://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/2014-03-21/forget-russia-dumping-us-treasuries-%E2%80%A6-here%E2%80%99s-real-economic-threat
LG
This is getting interesting,
ReplyDeletearmed "pro-Russians" in Lugansk:
http://www.vesti.ru/only_video.html?vid=586194
The Jews are begining to stir. Having got the seats of power in Kiev, they are now ready to proceed to eliminate the " shock troops", the Nazis and the nationalists who were the material adjunct to the revolt and " regime change" in Kiev. The nationalists, or Nazis, whatever one would like to call them were throughly duped when they thought they could get the better of a partnership with the jews. They might have believed they would have taken care of the sanhedrin once in power. They were grossly mistaken and equivocated abysmally. The nationalists would have been wiser to have worked together with the Yankuvitch nomenclatura and Russia to attain their long term goals. They could have had a united nationalist Ukraine in an inseparable alliance with Russia; or they could have come to an amicable separation like checks and slovaks did. But to trumpet the syren call of the EU was foolish to say the least. The EU has a program , a racist programe against the indigenous European peoples. The EU program consists of a grand plan to eradicate nations, hence the promotion of tsunami like invasion of the European heartland by the Afro-Asians. The EU programs works for the invasion of Europe and against the national interests and peoples of the unsovereign nations/or " real estates" on the continent.. Why seek a partnership with those scabious jewified gangsters ? Whatever happens, the onslaught upon Russia will not abate. Grand politics is orchestrated by the jews, and this mischievious and paranormal tribe is relentless in the pursuit of their ambitions and goals. One wouild have thought that nationalists would have drawn the necessary lessons after their catastrophe in the WW2. But it appears that memories are short lived. And the same errors keep repeating themselves. Russia will get the eastern regions; it is anathema to conceive these russian speaking regions to pass under USA-NATO tutelage and a nominee nomenclatura staffed by jews and foreigners in the remnant of the Kievians. The second phase of the onsalught upon Russia is being played out. The USA-Israel-EU-Nato quartet was thwarted in Georgia; they seem to have had a setback in the Syrian scenario, and now the Jewkraine fiasco. They will be spoiling for more. Already their pawns and lackeys in Eastern Europe--Poland-checks-Romanians and the baltics are being lined up to become cannon fodder on the borders with Russia; the same will happen in the South with the islamic turks. Poland is vigourously demanding a beefing up of the Nato troops on the border with Russia. Poles are also prone to amnesia and are averse to learn the lessons of the 30's. Good luck to Russia, for the sake of our Armenian nation, in facing these challenges. Fortunately Russia is a nuclear giant and this could be a deterrent to imperialistic ambitions, but one need to remember the Judaics don't understand about deterrents. This tribe is capable of dragging the entire globe down to the catacombs if they don't get their way.
ReplyDeleteInteresting interview
ReplyDeletehttp://rt.com/shows/big-picture/iraq-war-crimea-us-533/
Yugoslavia is not enough, Greece is not enough, and now Spain is up in flames.
ReplyDelete“88 injured, 29 arrested in Madrid clashes after massive march against austerity”
Who was the wise man with the long beard that decided to play with Ukraine?....LOL
http://rt.com/news/spain-protest-cuts-crisis-509/
Vahram
This Rossiya 24 are leaving no rock unturned, they picked up on Ukraine television a live skype call between Ukrainian admiral and a young officer in Kerch. This is from a base housing a battalion that lowered the Ukrainian flag and raised the Russian tri-color. He got pretty emotional on air. Said that he's got 49 guys who want to go back to Ukraine, 20 guys who want to leave the military alltogether, and all the rest are signing contracts to serve in the Russian armed forces. I don't understand what the Ukrainian admiral is saying - judging from the nature he is being harsh towards them and mocks the guys who signed contracts with Russia, he is speaking Ukrainian - the soldier from Kerch is speaking Russian. The young man gets pretty emotional and tells the admiral that they never got any orders and they never got any orders from Kiev and that after hearing what you said today (the admiral) those 50 guys probably will not want to come back either. Ukraine military is a mess
ReplyDeletehttp://www.vesti.ru/only_video.html?vid=586275
Additional, Sergei Shoigu said that of Ukraines 67 total vessels, 54 are now Russian black sea fleet. Of those are 8 warships and one soviet era junky submarine (ukraines only submarine).
A worrying development is that this planned "national guard" seems to be a formation of west ukraine elements aimed to suppress the population of south and east. Very quickly people of the south-east are going to faced with one of 3 choices:
1. cultural, economic, and socio-political capitulation
2. leave the country
3. form a paramilitary outfit to directly counter the western paramilitary outfit under the "national guard" umbrella.
Out of 18,000 Ukrainian troops in Crimea, only 2,000 want to go back to Ukraine.
ReplyDelete"MOSCOW, March 22 (RIA Novosti) - Less than 2,000 of Ukrainian troops serving in Crimea decided to leave the peninsula for Ukraine, the Russian Defense Ministry said on Saturday.
"As of March 21, less than 2,000 out of 18,000 Ukrainian servicemen staying on the territory of the Republic of Crimea decided to go to Ukraine," the ministry said in a statement."
http://en.ria.ru/world/20140322/188664307/2000-out-of-18000-Ukrainian-Troops-to-Leave-Crimea-.html
Vahram
NATO, Ukraine join military exercise in Bulgaria
ReplyDeletehttp://pakobserver.net/detailnews.asp?id=237082
These exercises, even if planned months ago, are now unavoidably politicized. Serbia and Armenia have no business participating in drills with the turks and americans. I can't speak for Serbia, but for Armenia this would have been an excellent, excellent opportunity to make a public statement announcing its "withdrawal from the exercise over the refusal of the participating countries to recognize the people's right to self-determination in Crimea, and their insistence of upholding the fictional "territorial integrity" of states which had their borders artificially and illegally expanded by the Soviet regime in the prior century to include regions which never historically belonged to those beneficiary states, and against the will of the native populations of the subjugated regions. As went Artsakh in 1988, so went Crimea in 2014. The wrongs of the past must be righted." This would have been a slap to turkey, azerbaijan, georgia, and moldova yet limited enough not to offend non-formerly-Soviet countries suffering from territorial disputes. It would have also signaled to the US that the days of Yerevan looking the other way as American funded media and NGOs sowed the seeds of upheaval, revolution and regime change in Armenia - we simply cannot tolerate another March 2008 or attempted "barevolution". And of course we could have used this to negotiate with the Russians, pointing out that sacrificing training with nato will require evermore advanced weaponry, training and even local production capabilities and technological know-how for Armenia's Armed Forces and Military Industry, along with official, Russian-backed recognition of Artsakh's independence so that Armenia's public statements of support for Crimea will carry more weight on the international stage.
Too bad, like Arevordi said, Armenia's leaders are not cunning, aggressive, far-sighted or courageous enough to take proactive steps like what I outlined about, or sending in agents to stroke tartar/turkic and Russian conflicts in Crimea, or take the West to task for the games they play with the memory of the Armenian Genocide. And Armenia's citizens are not active enough to demand such action from the government. At some point Armenia will need to produce more diplomats and cultural, socio-political and economic leaders who are more ideological (Nationalistic) than self-interested. Right now a large part (but not all) of Armenia's journalists and self-proclaimed "intellectuals" and "experts" are either an infantile joke or paid western agents preaching concepts like "democracy" and "sovereignty" which they themselves cannot comprehend. The current status guarantees a mediocre existence at best, and unfortunately for Armenia means stagnation at the current low levels that we find ourselves in.
Like I have said, after we exterminate our Captain Americas, we need to exterminate our chobans-in-Armani-suits posing as government officials. Armenia has absolutely no excuse for having participated in a NATO military exercise (side-by-side with Turks and Azeris nonetheless) that is specifically designed to be against Moscow - Yerevan's only lifeline and strategic partner. These are the absurdities of Armenian life that make me want Russia to just incorporate Armenia into its federation and be done with it. I don't think we are ready for independence. Perhaps in a few more centuries...
DeleteWell, the Government has a school for future diplomats. I just hope that they are learning true diplomacy, not 'choban'-ism
Deletehttp://www.diplomaticacademy.am/en/
Wait, what?
Delete"The Diplomatic School cooperates closely with the European Union Delegation in Armenia to implement its program which is designed to reflect the foreign policy priorities and principles of the Republic of Armenia, and is in sync with the curricula of the advanced institutions of diplomatic training and foreign relations."
Russia and Argentine agreed to place a Russian military base. UK is in trouble
ReplyDeletehttp://topwar.ru/42216-vladimir-putin-dogovorilsya-o-razmeschenii-voennoy-bazy-rf-v-argentine.html
USA is losing in geopolitics, Azeris and Georgians will be pawns. Proof mass protests in Georgia against Nato today, Georgians don't want to be pawns.
http://topwar.ru/42177-kak-ssha-proigryvayut-geopoliticheskuyu-bitvu.html
Tymoshenko wants to bomb Russians in east and south of Ukraine with atomic power. Don't have any idea how she will do it???
http://www.vesti.ru/only_video.html?vid=586752
Russia with Armenia on Kessab events, moving 3 navy ships to Latakia region. Turkey is becoming a rogue state and a wildcard. I am sorry but i can't find the article about russian ships crossing the bosphore, i read it like 3 hours ago.
http://news.am/arm/news/200598.html
http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702304026304579453331966405354?mg=reno64-wsj&url=http%3A%2F%2Fonline.wsj.com%2Farticle%2FSB10001424052702304026304579453331966405354.html
ReplyDeleteUS intel comm had trouble picking up Russian internal communications prior to the take over of Crimea.
LG
(Part 1 of 2)
ReplyDeleteCopy/Edit/Paste to articles on Kessab:
So the reports are something like 80 Syrian citizens killed in Kessab and another Armenian community has been destroyed. This necessitates we take appropriate responses. There are many things to be done, but I believe that one of the most important is to LEARN from what happened. Those segments of the Armenian community, in Armenia or in the western diaspora, need to wake up from our dreams and false realities and recognize that Armenia's geostrategic position remains as vulnerable today as it did in 1915. The western powers, through their control of almost all of the world's mass media and news organizations, have deluded our people that fairy tales like "democracy", "gay rights" and "civil society (whatever meaning one can attach to this term)" will magically raise Armenia's living standards and economic status to the same level that the west has achieved through centuries of colonialism, mercantilism, genocide on continental scales in North America, South America, Australia, and parts of Africa and the Middle East. They have Armenians working against our own interests because we have allowed ourselves to fall for their lies, whether it is the "activist" in Yerevan who is weakening the Armenian government and setting the stage for the collapse of the Republic of Armenia, or the diasporan Armenian blindly supporting causes that are against Armenian interests such as NATO wars of aggression and destruction against governments who have not yet succumbed to the Anglo-American-Zionist-Turkish-Azeri alliance like Serbia, Syria, Iran and Russia (how many gung-ho Americans of Armenian decent were disgracefully agitating in favor of the Ukraine-NATO-Turkey-Zionist-Tatar aggressors in Crimea).
Turning to Syria directly, the massacre in Armenian Kessab should prove to even the stupidest Armenian that our Turkish enemies HAVE NOT CHANGED. 1071 or 1915 or 2014, a Turk will remain a Turk and his goal will be to DESTROY any and every Armenian community which is not able to protect itself. Unlike the image of Turkey as a vacation resort that some Armenians have fallen for over the years, Turkey today remains a major ally of the United States, the European Union and Israel. There is no way to ignore or get around this ugly truth. The ONLY reason that the massacre was limited to Kessab in Syria and not the whole Republics of Armenia and Artsakh is because of the presence of Russian troops in Armenia and the Russian-armed Armenian military. Imagine what these barbarians would do in Armenia if the Russians left tomorrow? The sad fact of the matter is that without Russia's presence, the South Caucasus is one bad event away from returning to an Islamist-Turkic cesspool. And brave and noble as they may be, Armenia's 70,000-man military with its 17 warplanes does not stand a chance at holding out against a sustained Turco-Azeri attack from both east and west for long.
Our worthless ANCA is too busy leading protestations from its Washington DC offices against domestic legislation in Armenia concerning pension reform; while the Armenian Assembly hasn't been heard from in years - in short the mythological "Armenian lobby" is a joke. Our worthless Armenian lawyers in LA are too busy strategizing on the next barevolution. Our masses in Glendale are too busy washing their BMW's so that they look good when draped with Armenian flags on April 24 in a month. Our worthless celebrities are too busy making sex tapes with Africans, or writing disrespectful open letters to Armenia's President calling for more gay rights, or just plain doing drugs. Our environmental activists can't be bothered to protest American GMOs being forced on Armenia, or American nuclear weaponry based and undergoing upgrades in Turkey. And that's not even touching psychologically-deranged, self-hating scum like ara manoogian.
They are setting us up for another fail, this time they are going to dangle the 100 years in our face so they kill it again. Pull the rug right from under us, like taking candy from a baby.
DeleteNothing is being proven, how many Armenians visit this site? How many get their information from sources that are pro Western? We are lucky if 1 in a 1000 know what is happening. The biggest loss was that most Armenians left the Middle East and the bulk of them are in L.A. The place is a cesspool! Western backed ass holes like Raffie have the Western idiots rooting for him. None know the danger, none will look at facts when you confront them. They blame Armenia for all actions and this is also part of the Western Armenian press that has been taken over. The entire Western press is junk, did we really expect the Western Armenian press to be a press? We need our own version of RT! We need this based in Armenia, not in the West!
Kessab is gone, and idiots waiting around for 100 year event what a bunch of idiots. We have tried to get the West to admit to simple historical truth for 99 years and we are still going back to the source for more punishment. We deserve this as we are so stupid, we are daydreamers we are well wishers we are generally a nice people but the facts on the ground should have waken up a grasshopper let alone a human being. Yet you have stupid Armo's licking boots for the famous G word! It's not going to happen. They are playing this up that it's 100 years, this came as bait from the Western press. This is classic, setting up for failure. The West has done this for 99 fucking years and had success, the Armenians for 99 years went back for another bitch slap. Now they are going gaga for 100 years, the same 100 years that was baited to them. They are laughing, and laughing hard they have laughed for 99 years and they are going to be laughing at 100. Especially since they set it up to be the grand failure that it is going to be.
The Genocide will be avenged, don't care if it takes 1000 years this is not over! But for gods sakes what sheeple the Armenians are. They don't get it, 99 years and still counting. You really think the West gives a fuck about historical truth? I bet you don't but you are outnumbered.
We need our own RT.
Vahram
Yes, Armenia definitely needs its own RT. We cannot allow the west to present our history and our national issues framed from their own self-serving perspectives. It would be national suicide. The Armenian masses need to have their views molded from the top down... Unfortunately, as Svediatsi discovered on the website of the Diplomatic school in Armenia, today the west has agents in place in nearly all major Armenian educational and journalistic institutes. A while back I read the Wikipedia article on Yerevan State University. There are sections describing the many faculties and departments of YSU, some of which date to the 1930s and earlier. The Faculty of Journalism was founded in 1991. Most faculties cooperate with a diverse range of universities in Russia, the CIS, Europe, North America and even the Middle East. But check out the foreign partners active in the Journalism faculty:
Delete"Cooperation is established with the UN PIA in Armenia, OSCE Yerevan Office, EC Information Office in Armenia, European Commission Delegation and NATO IC. Cooperation with leading foreign HEI (higher education institutes) is being developed permanently."
The west's invasion and occupation of Armenia's unregulated media sphere is very strategic and a calculate move to eventually brainwash most of the Armenian masses. Is it any wonder intellectual toilettes like aravot.am and lragir.am behave as destructively as they do? It's time for Armenia to clean up its Universities, and its society in general, of these foreign scum.
I think azatutyun radio and lra-glir, aravot and haykakan zhamanak are the most destructive entities. It seems to me that the English-language Armenian media is dying. Good riddance!
ps it's good to see you active again Vahram :) Very interesting links and videos you posted on the last two threads.
Vahram`
DeleteYou are absolutely right about our version of RT . My car radio is tuned on 107.7 MHz public radio, however I constantly check the display to be sure that it is not azadutiun radio which I am listening to . Even our public radio is infected by western scum
Sarkis bro it's good to be back, I should have listened to you a long time ago and spent more time here. It is proving to be a more fruitful venture then our overrun highclub that is in odar hands!
DeleteEither case as you and Sebouh have pointed out we are overrun. At least the idea of Armenian RT is out and perhaps we can do something with this. To continue like madmen with our overrun press is a useless venture as we need to reach the community and at least share facts with a larger mass of people. Once proper information is in the hands of the people this game of subversion will end.
Vahram
Sebouh
DeleteAt least the idea of an Armenian RT is out in the open. If we are going to be colonized with nonsense in the media we might as well fight back with the weapons they use. We have always excelled at guerrilla warfare history has proven this. If they want to fight with this type of weapon then we should learn to do the same. Let us see how they can handle the Armenian intellect.
Vahram
(Part 2 of 2)
ReplyDeleteLet's drop the notion that Europe will protect us, Europe is dying economically and dying socially, culturally, spiritually and demographically. We are a decade away from seeing Sharia law and Muslim and Turkish majorities in Europe. And despite having decades of "democracy" and "freedom" and economic prosperity, Armenia today actually has a HIGHER BIRTH RATE than most EU countries. The only growth in population in Europe comes from immigration of Turks, Muslims, Africans and Asians... Europe refused to recognize the Armenian Genocide and the independence of Artsakh when they could have decades ago, now Europe has merged with the Turks and their interests will be forever the same.
In all this darkness, true Armenian nationalists should be proud that Armenia's government has protected Armenia's population from suffering the same fate as Kessab through the prudent policies of forging a strategic alliance with Russia. The CSTO is Armenia's military salvation, and the Customs Union is quickly proving to be Armenia's economic salvation. NATO, the US, the EU, Turkey, American-backed Sunni terrorists in Syria, and last but not least Israel and the Jews will remain committed to destroying Armenia, as well as the whole of traditional-European-Christian civilizations around the world.
TK posted the vesti link, but here is the original youtube posting, posted just earlier today:
ReplyDeletehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oEFCmJ-VGhA
It is absolutely amazing this hoes grasp of the very rich Russian curse language. There is a rough translation on the videos commentary of what's being said, but those who don't understand can't just fully appreciate the pure hate and venom that she is spewing.
Here it is reported by rt:
http://rt.com/news/tymoshenko-calls-destroy-russia-917/
This is a beautiful gift to the pro-Russian information war. What's even stupider is her tweet, as if the lines she blathered outside that particular genocidal intention is any better. The other guy categorically denied the conversation took place.
USAID, Yerevan Press Club, and half a dozen turkish organizations... These NGOs are going hysterical about Armenia "losing sovereignty" to Russia, but let's see what kind of anti-Russian, pro regime-change, "turks and Armenians are brothers", and "we must confront the 'events' of 1915 and the mutual loses on both sides" nonsense they come up with at this assembly of freaks:
ReplyDeletehttp://www.armradio.am/en/2012/10/19/representatives-of-the-armenian-and-turkish-civil-society-to-come-together-at-a-conference-in-istanbul/
Wishful thinking, but...
ReplyDeleteIn case turkey gets ahead of itself and decides to continue causing problems for Syria and Russia, Armenian leaders should emphasize to Moscow that Russia can send the clearest message possible to turkey and the west by giving the green light for Russian-backed Armenian troops to march into azerbaijan proper and secure large swaths of land, annex the land to Armenia, and the next day sign an agreement with Russia about reopening the former Russian radar station at Gabala which was shortsightedly closed down by Baku two years ago. Not only will the azeris pay for their intransigence, but tough-talkin' nato member ankara will be exposed, once again, as impotent on the international stage. Turkey would find itself with conflicts on its northern, eastern and southern borders, and with Russian warships in the Black and Mediterranean seas, the a regrouping Syrian Army on its southern flanks, and Russian soldiers directly on its eastern border, all while being deprived of the pro-turkish counter balance that used to exist in a now-subdued baku. And azerbaijan is in the Russian sphere of influence anyway and is not under nato protection (yet), this would be a show of Russian dominance and a "friendly" reminder to the new government in Tblisi to play nice. Since the region is in a state of flux and boundaries are being redrawn, both Russian and Armenian interests can be served by crushing the western Trojan horse in the South Caucasus. Additionally, Russia would ensure that azerbaijan stops supplying any gas to Europe, which will be important as Russia may have to play the gas card in the sanctions showdown with the west.
About Kessab events, most is our fault. it's been 3 years Syria is in war, and we know that it is supported by turkey. so what were we waiting?
ReplyDeleteWe have nearly 100k Armenians living there. but we don't even have 1000 strong Armenian fighting force. Kurds do and they protect their territories. I was always thinking that turkey will use this chance to kill more Armenians and steal their property. This was the time Armenian diaspora should have acted, used all the channels to form an armed group to counter such attacks. all they do is trash Sargsyan and Putin. why do we need all those dashnak or other parties if they can't even act, predict, prepare in such situations. what is their purpose?
I can't believe this is happening to us. how many times we need to be massacred to learn that we need to be armed in such situations.
Armenian government is in a tough position it can not send arms, but it sure needs to talk to Russia seriously to help. Now only Russians can secure us in Syria.
To my eyes all Armenian diaspora parties lost all their credibility for their non-action or "just talk" action. they were in a position to organize armed armenian self protection force in Syria from the first days of the conflict.
T.K. jan, you know this better than me but in the diaspora, the parties and organizations either exist as social clubs at best, or at worst they exist to either generate money for the "elites" who are at the top of the organizational hierarchy and often times their main "service" is to further spread doom-and-gloom about Armenia or to protest for western values, gay rights and EU association for Armenia. Svediatsi knows the Armenian communities in the Middle East and their organizations very well, he may have some interesting thoughts on the matter and why there are no Armenian militias in Syria... Don't expect anything from the L.A. community either, most Armenians here don't give a damn that Armenians are regularly murdered by western-backed turkish forces in Syria and on the frontlines in Artsakh.
DeleteAnd yes, once again the fate of Armenians depends on Russia. Russia has resumed its traditional role as defender of Christians, particularly Orthodox Christians, in the Middle East.
I think the Middle Eastern communities are a lost cause in any case, just like the Armenians in Istanbul are a lost cause. Either the remaining Armenians will be forced to flee as the entire region goes up in flames just, like the communities from Egypt, Iraq and Iran have fled. Or they will stay and assimilate further until they become Arabs. The interesting question will be to where they will go, if they go to the west then they have no future as Armenians. If they go to Armenia, and are willing to change and adapt to the culture and language of the Republic of Armenia then they have a future. Like you said, it's sad but Armenia does not have the resources to send its military to protect Armenians in a foreign land that is plagued by an invasion of western-backed terrorists.
For this latest Turco-Islamo-Western aggression against Syria and Armenians, the proud “AmerikaHay” community (especially those championing Western fairytales inside Armenia, including ARF types in north America) can thank their spiritual bosses in Washington. This is the thank you Armenians will get every time for serving Western imperial interests. And the most absurd aspect of this fiasco is the fact that Armenians in the US are stupid enough to be 'appealing' to American officials to do something about the situation in Syria. Instead of 'protesting' American war crimes in Syria - they are asking Americans for assistance. Fucking pathetic...
Delete"About Kessab events, most is our fault. it's been 3 years Syria is in war, and we know that it is supported by turkey. so what were we waiting?"
DeleteT.K. jan, what can you expect from a population that had the chance in 1915 to resist but didn't and eventually got mssacred/displaced?? The Kessab population was subjected to the same tyrannical acts. Just like how today most of the population has escaped the village, the same happened in 1915. Most of them ran away until it became safe to come back again.
Now, they should have been smart enough to realize the high-risk of being on the turkish border, especially after having experienced the same scenario 99 years ago.
As for the Middle East Armenians and their political parties, don't get your hopes up. The ARF of today is not the ARF of the 70s and 80s which produced sons who defended Armenian quarters in Lebanon. Today, nobody actually cares anymore. If the ARF was smart it could have organized self-defense groups in Aleppo, Kessab and Qamishli. It had the potential. It could have even sent experienced men from Lebanon to help organize. I'm sure that the Government would have backed it. In a region as volatile and dangerous as the Middle East, it's either kill or be killed.
But for reasons unknown to a rational, they did nothing. This new young generation is the most cowardly and most spineless as it can be.
Don't even get me started on Ramkavars and Hnchakians. Those are 100% for Syria's destruction, even if Armenian lives are lost. They are far worst, more cowardly and spineless than their Dashnak counterparts.
We will never understand the importance of defending ourselves in a violent environment.
"Fellow Armenians, you have certainly well understood what weapons could have accomplished and what they do accomplish! Thus, my dear and blessed Armenians, hailing from the provinces, when you return to the Homeland, as a gift to your friends and family, take them each a weapon. Buy weapons upon weapons – and then buy more." - Khrimian Hayrig, 1878, "The Iron Ladle"
The ARF has assets throughout Syria and Lebanon. The ARF's absence in Kessab is inexcusable. The Armenian government could have done something as well. Instead of our assholes in Yerevan sending soldiers to perform anti-Russian war games with Turks, Azeris and Americans, they could have sent a team of military specialists to Syria to help Armenians there organize their self-defense.
DeleteՄենք ինքներս ազգ կոչելու իրավունք չունենք
While we are on the subject of Middle Eastern Armenians, I was speaking with Svediatsi and I asked him:
Delete"Do you think that Lebanese-Armenians are happy to see the destruction of Syria because of some false sense of Lebanese "pride" and Lebanese hatred of Syria that is unrelated to Armenians? Like they don't care if there are Armenian deaths as collateral damage? Basically Armenians breaking down from being a nation into being a bunch of self-destructive tribes."
I will let Svediatsi post a response, because again I have to emphasize that his understanding of the mentality of Middle Eastern Armenians far exceeds mine. But let me state that I have stumbled across enough comments on numerous Armenian and non-Armenian forums of Lebanese-Armenians gloating over the destruction of Syria because "Syria occupied Lebanon all these years and now they are getting what they deserve." It's utterly pathetic, Middle Eastern Armenians have lived so long with the primitive and tribalistic Arabs that they are partaking in the Arabs petty squabbles. I know the maronites in Lebanon are having a schadenfreude overload with the destruction of Syria - without giving any thought to the fact that Israel and the Sunnis are waiting for the right moment to bring some of that "peace and democracy" to Lebanon as well. It seems the many members of the Armenian communities there are not any better than their Arab neighbors.
Of course in every community there are good and bad, but the number of "proud" Middle Eastern Armenians, particularly from Lebanon, boasting about how happy they were that Assad is under attack is disturbing... And the only way for Armenians to survive is as a Nation, tribes will not suffice and will die out, disperse and assimilate in a relatively short period of time.
Here is my response:
Delete"The answer to your question my friend is a big fucking YES!
As absurd as this may sound, when the civil war escalated in Syria many current Lebanese-Armenians and "former" (those living in the west for a long time now) are delighted to see the destruction of Syria. «Ասքան տարի մեր Լիբանանը վնասուեցաւ Սուրիոյ կողմէ, հիմա ալ իրենք թող քիչ մը զգան իրենց մորթին վրայ»: Although they fail to recognize the fact that Syria and the Syrian-Armenians opened their doors and welcomed the Lebanese in their country during the Lebanese Civil War. During the difficult years between 1988-1990, many Armenian families went to Aleppo and lived with their relatives there. But now that it's the other way around, Lebanese-Armenians are angry that many Syrian refugees have entered the country, and that the crime rate is higher, certain places have become more unsafe than ever. Yet they blame Assad for that, and not the real people responsible. The Lebanese "pride" that they carry is unimaginable to the degree that I can confidently say that they are culturally not Armenian. More and more they are acting like Maronites.
But there are also some 'good' Lebanese-Armenians, but as usual you do not hear much about them. Some of them have started considering moving to Armenia. Some of them are politically literate enough not to talk shit about Syria's destruction. As usual, these kinds of people are a minority.
Funny thing is, most of these "proud" Lebanese-Armenians weren't expecting that Syria's crisis would have a spillover in Lebanon. «պապամ Սուրիոյ խնդիրը մեզի հետ ի՞նչ կապ ունի: Իրենք իրար միս կուտեն կոր իշթէ»: My answer.- «Եթէ Սուրիան հարբուխ ըլլայ, Լիբանանին փորը կը քշէ»... idiots."
i have read a joke from someone on russian news. its funny, will try to translate
ReplyDelete" Ukraine has got into EU. two ukrainians sitting having some drinks. one asks the other, so what's up? the other answers- fuck this EU, i am jobless, wife is working in Italy, cleaning houses, son got married to a german, daughter is a prostitute in France. And it's all because of those Russians.
why Russians?
they told us don't get into EU, don't get into EU, fuckers knew we will do it in spite of them."
"The Russian Secret Service and the Black Hundreds, an ultra-nationalist movement in Russia whose slogan was “Beat the Jews and Save Russia,” were trying to convince the czar that the Jews were behind the Bolshevik Revolution. The czar was already convinced, but they needed proof."
ReplyDeleteCurious to know what author of this blog makes of the fact that Jewish people like Stephen Cohen, Israel Shamir, and student of Alisa Rosenbaum like Ron Paul are loudest, most staunchest defenders and proponents of Putin. With Putin seeking to rebuild Russian empire not on ethnic or national aspiration, but more of Soviet, Eurasian, multiethnic empire, and Putin "fighting antisemtism" and "Nazis" in the Ukraine, and Putin's very friendly attitude toward Russian Jews and Zionists, what happened to the old and very true Russian saying, "beat the Jews, Save Russia"? Does Putin think that by "Saving the Jews, he is Saving Russia"? If he is, he is mistaken.
"Beat the Jews, Save Russia."
This question has been repeatedly addressed and answered on this thread, notably in the analysis and comments section of the the past three or four blog entries. Please feel free to look through and you'll find what you are looking for. The short answer is "the 'let's genocide the jews' ship sailed in 1945," and if you think Putin is 'saving the jews' you have not paid attention to how the jewish press has been vilifying Putin in the west, nor to how Putin single-handedly destroyed the jewish oligarchs khodorkovsky, guzinsky, berezovsky, chernoi, and others".
DeleteThe Rise of Putin and The Fall of The Russian-Jewish Oligarchs (1/2)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q2Cl8lSv9Is
The Rise of Putin and The Fall of The Russian-Jewish Oligarchs (2/2)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x2nNtynZAiI
Anonymous, you have a very convoluted way of reasoning. Stop spreading disinformation. Stop obsessing. Stop fearmongering. Stop distracting. The only thing your obsessive and irrationally racist rhetoric is capable of doing is turning antisemites into judeophiles...
DeletePutin the Jew, puppet of the Jews, is the recent theme of Hasbara. This is disinformatsyia.
DeleteTo see who really hates Putin there are a few materials that say it all: Putin is Haman, the archetypal enemy of the Jews, who is ritually "killed" on the Purim (BTW this year the Purim fell on 15-16 March!)
Look at this:
TheUglyTruth Broadcast March 5, 2014
It is Purim season, 2014 and Putin is this year’s Haman. Israel and Netanyahu are in full court press to see Putin — who is standing in the way of the New World Order — destroyed, even if it means war with the United States.
We are joined by the one and only Michael Collins Piper to discuss this.
http://theuglytruth.podbean.com/2014/03/05/tut-broadcast-march-5-2014/
And this:
jtf.org › JTF.ORG Forum › General Category › General Discussion
Dress like Putin for Purim:
Purim is coming up in a little over a week (a week from this Sunday)…
Purim is the holiday we celebrate to remember the miraculous survival of the Jewish people in Persia in the face of certain destruction at the hands of Haman and the wicked king.
I just noticed that the word Purim is very similar to the word Putin (’r’ is 2 letters before ‘t’ and ‘m’ is one letter before ‘n’)…
I think I have figured out what I will dress up as for Purim. One of the fun things we do on Purim is dress up with masks and costumes…
http://jtf.org/forum/index.php/topic,74786.msg626826.html#msg626826
Now where does Putin fit in…. Well in my mind he represents the Amalekian ideal, like Haman, and he is a puppet on the stage of Hashem’s creation.
I listen to a Rabbi (Rabbi Shafier) who explains this concept very well (and I posted his video in the Torah section previously).
The dictators of the world (like Pharoah) are just pawns in Hashems game. They have no power of their own (once we start believing they have power, then they gain power by our granting them it)…
On Purim we laugh at the powers in the world which rise up against us. Russia is arming Iran and trying to subvert American interests around the world.
I think that the fact that the words Purim and Putin are similar is because it should remind us that Putin is just another puppet on Hashems stage.
http://jtf.org/forum/index.php/topic,74786.msg627063.html#msg627063
If Putin were the puppet of the Jews, as some hasbaratchiks try to push it, why do they hate him so much and want to eat his ears (Hamantaschen, Oznay Haman)?
Have you noticed that in many caricatures Putin is represented with big ears (triangular)?
RomAn
Thank you for your contribution.
DeleteI am surprise...The responses the my question were straw men arguments or arguments I did not make or blind attacks. Who suggested "genocide the Jews" my friend? It was not me. Which of my rhetoric was "irrationally racist", "obsessive", or strangest of all "distractive", which is strange coming from someone who is probably is called all those meaningless words al the time for not follwoing CNN narrative? The rhetoric was actually "Czarist" and "Russian". You describe Russians this way faced with Jewish Bolshevism as "obsessed", "distraction" blah blah? None of what I said was addressed by author. I would imagine to get that crazed, perosnal attack response from a Bolshevik, not from a Russophile.
DeleteMy question still not answered: what is Putin's view and philosophy of Jewry? The old Czarist view was stated above in that slogan. Putin is no Czar as we know. My own amateur observation...He appears to be something of a Soviet regarding Jewry, that is, "Don't ask, don't tell." Again, I find your outrage very strange
Save Russia
Really, only thing I did was notice what another reader noticed and curious for answer:
Delete"T.K.March 4, 2014 at 10:29 AM
"Another important development is Jewish leaders coming on russian shows almost daily and praising Russia for taking a stand about ultranationalist in ukraine....
Jews are sneaky could it be that they are feeling the west is falling and they better switch sides?"
Your personal attacks without substance is very damning. Im sorry I forced you to think. God knows its a crime to talk about this in Putin's KGB National Bolshevist fake Orthodox Russia.
http://www.fighthatred.com/fighting-hate/people/891-vladimir-putin-has-he-fought-political-anti-semitism-in-russia
Save Russia
Armenians in Kessab are being targeted by the barbarian turks and their islamist proxies. As it is expected the criminal Inc of USA is numb and silent on these attacks. Maybe the obstreperous Raffi Ohanessian could go to the Capitol and stage a hunger strike until the Washington gangsters decide to take some action against turkey for " regime change". The jewkranian pasionaria Julia has been making some odd remarks and firing "extremist" salvoes toward Russia. According to the vapid and odious EU norms and cannons Julia's outburst amount to nothing less than " hate speech". Imagine if someone had replaced the words " the bastard Putin, for the bastard Netanhiau", or " nuke the Ruskies by nuke the jews". The matter would not have rested . The Judaics are starting to settle accounts with their partners "the extremist Nazis and pseudo nationalists"; one of them Muznieks was assasinated, two bullets in the heart;;;;, a sobering message to the rest of what can happen to them or will happen to them if they continue on the current path of mayhem and antisemitism". The Russian government accuses the putchists in Kiev of being a band of marauders, nationalists and antisemitics. I wonder why Russian propaganda harp ceaselessly on the nationalist angle and antisemitic tenor of the revolt, when for all intents and purposes the putchists are unashamedely first and foremost anti Russians. I was listening to RT the other day; the news have a philosemitic nuance ?? Nationalism is excoriated and bad mouthed; Not a bad word against the Juden is mentioned; their actions in the ME and Palestine are mildly criticised Yes, by this is counter balanced by selected snippets on holocaustianity, negros in USA , slavery, narratives on apartheid and antiracist tid bits. I could be absurdly wrong but that was my humble impression.
ReplyDeletehttp://rt.com/news/ukrainian-nationalist-muzychko-antics-093/
ReplyDeleteThere are so many things to be said about this fat piece of trash. Arevordi's adage that nationalist nutjobs are among the biggest threat to the survival of nations is epitomized by this jackass who volunteered to fight with the chechens. A petty war criminal of the worst kind, no wonder he got along so well with the turks and chechens. These are the same breed of Ukrainian mercenaries that volunteered to fight against Armenians in Artsakh.
And he looks like an inbred illiterate. What self-respecting "Nazi" dresses in NFL gear? The Oakland Raiders, principally owned and managed by by Jewish million Al Davis from 1972 until his death in 2011, who is notable for his pioneering role in spreading civil rights and diversity to the NFL. You'd be hard pressed to find an "Aryan" face on the Raiders, or anywhere in Oakland for that matter. Ukrainian nationalists must be the stupidest group of people in the world, they are the equivalent of Black Panthers members who dress in KKK robes.
I hope his termination heralds a new era in Kiev, where the useful idiots that did the dirty work for the west have exceeded their useful lives and are "retired". Much like paruyr hayrikian's western puppet-masters were most likely behind the attempt to kill hayrikian in 2013 because his death would have produced more dividends for the west than his continued existence (despite hayrikian's decades of faithful service to the west), Ukrainian "Nazis" will likely be killed off soon as their ultimate reward for delivering Ukraine to the Zionist-owned EU.
Well said.
DeleteLooks like Ukraine will fall apart faster then expected. One of the radical ring leaders has been hunted down in what appears to be in cold blood and murdered with his hands tied behind his back.
ReplyDeletehttp://rt.com/news/yarosh-nationalist-resign-killing-157/
To be fair this guy had it coming to him for a long time, but the important thing to understand is that this is going to fragment the Kiev boys. They are trying to gain control but they will not gain it. For one the broad street in the Western Ukraine has been demoralized and they have started to wake up. They awoke to a worse Ukraine then the one they had before, with the Oligarchs in charge of even more land then when they started. Maybe they did this to appease Moscow, but Moscow had more value in this idiot being alive then dead. The fact that they killed him now shows how fucked up things have gotten, this is out of control for the West.
The video below shows him getting kicked in the face by two whores..no you can't make this shit up...LOL
http://www.liveleak.com/view?i=814_1395422940
I hope Moscow does not cave in, the longer they sit back the more they win. If the children that played this game are this stupid they deserve the most pain. Whatever short term issues might happen for Moscow is only going to be magnified to the West in time. The longer this goes the more stupid and painful it gets for the West for playing such a childish game without any thought and planning. Just what was the end game here? Now that the West got the government stooges in place what is the West going to do with this mutely lot? Crimea is gone, there are no options on the table that are viable, this is a huge embarrassment and they are getting clobbered on very front. They are trying to duck, cover and through up a bunch of flak, but nothing is going to stop the strafing from continuing. When the West can come up with only 1 billion in aid after spending 5 billion nurturing it what the hell kind of incomprehensible game is this?
Vahram
"The video below shows him getting kicked in the face by two whores..no you can't make this shit up"
Deletehttp://www.liveleak.com/view?i=814_1395422940
I'm not sure exactly how to respond to this. This degenerate was a perfect representative of the cultural, moral, spiritual and ideological values of the ukrainian rebels that the west and the Armenian "opposition" have been fawning over. I see a repeating pattern of behavior here, because what those he let those whores do to his face is pretty much what he and his supporters have set up the west to do to the whole of ukraine. The only difference is that western officials like victoria nuland are not as respectable, sanitary or classy as the two whores the freak was with.
Seriously, this was the finest video demonstrating the quality and class of the "peaceful democracy activists" who are now in charge in Kiev I've seen since one of the regulars here posted this golden gem a few entries back:
http://www.liveleak.com/view?i=526_1385897370
Ahhh Freedom, Democracy what Joy.
ReplyDelete"Ukraine: The Corporate Annexation. “For Cargill, Chevron, Monsanto, It’s a Gold Mine of Profits”
http://www.globalresearch.ca/crimea-putins-triumph-now-the-confrontation-moves-east-to-new-russia/5374710
"Regime Change in Ukraine and the IMF’s Bitter “Economic Medicine”"
http://www.globalresearch.ca/regime-change-in-ukraine-and-the-imfs-bitter-economic-medicine/5374877
The streets overrun by bands of outlaws not seen since they made the move Madmax.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SSRZ8MJiZTU
All brought to you by the loving caring people that want freedom and democracy for all..Heaven forbid.
Vahram
I've been following events in Syrian media and anna-news most of the day today with a lot of tension in my mind. I have to say that I am in awe of these people. Just incredible especially the Alawites -- 2000 volunteers pulled up to Kesab to aid the SAA. After the jet shoot down, not only did the Syrians not back off, they threw Su-24s along the Mig-23s, helicopter gunships, put a Mig-29 in the air for air to air interception cover along with BukM2e who have been locking onto Turkish F-16s for several minutes at a time. The turk scum have been providing fire support from the ground to help the rats take "point 45" the focal point most of the day -- but Syrians recaptured -- the sewer sludge is scurrying back to their host mostly in ambulances. The Syrian's fight for the sake of human decency this day. It is such a tense and dangerous time.
ReplyDeleteThe conspirator Arsen Avakov is in the eye of the storm. The radical Juden storm troopers ( pseudo nationalists-nazis -fascists- called them what you like) are going to avenge their fallen comrade. Yats the Juden will also be dealt with in a summarily fashion. The radicals have now nothing to loose and must have realized their purpose having been materially servile to Juden interests and their purpose fulfilled that they are going to be liquidated in turn. As for the Timoshengo woman, she will not fare well in the election circus. Kiev will desintegrate. Moscow must pick up the pieces. Neither the EU nor the USA will risk a confrontation with Russia in the heartland of Europe The EU is politically in a terminally sclerotic condition, and appendix to the USA-Israely axis The USA should know by now that Russia is not Yugoslavia,Lybia,Kosovo,Afganistan, Iraq. The USA is too stretched at the moment to look for new hegemonic adventures. The USA-EU are banking their positions vis a vis Russia on economic warfare. In their world view everything is a matter of costs and ROI. They are crowing that Crimea will cost Russia billions. They totally ignore or delete the spiritual and transmaterial forces of blood and soil, which makes great nations as opposed to mercantile empire hegemons. The same miserly scrooge like calculations are equated with the Artsakh question. The conviction and distorted concept disseminated by corrupt officials and yellow press that Armenia, nor Artsakh can afford to compete with the turks with current resources and GDP's. The spiritual dimension is not taken into account by these judaic entities. How Moscow will anschluss the former territories in Russia's orbit it is a matter for Kremlin strategists.
ReplyDeleteJust within the past week or so, the Syrian embassy in Washington was ordered shutdown, Israel carried-out strikes against Syrian military targets in southern Syria and a new wave of Islamic terrorists have entered northern Syria. It was only a matter of time before Western officials would let loose their dogs of war in Syria as a retaliation against Russia's annexation of Crimea. What we are seeing in Syria are essentially war crimes carried out by the Anglo-American-Jewish world order via their Turkish and Wahhabist allies in the region. The long-term agenda seems to be to fill the entire region in question with failed states administered by brutal but backwards Islamic regimes. This is a fight to keep the Middle East free of Iranian and Russian influences. This is a long-term campaign to eradicate pan-Arab nationalism. This is a measure to ensure the long-term preservation of the Jewish state and maintain control over the region's energy production and distribution.
ReplyDeleteWith that said, the plight of Syrian-Armenians brings the following not so pleasant thoughts to mind:
The Armenian Diaspora, regardless of where it is located and how prosperous it may be, is a dead-end and should not be idealized. Armenians should have realized that when it comes to the Armenian Diaspora, a penny spent is a penny wasted. While generally speaking American-Armenians are assimilated degenerates and have in recent years become a liability for Armenia, the Arabified and Turkified Middle Eastern Armenians are worthless, useless and hopeless. These Arab loving and Turkish culture loving people had plenty of chances to move to their Armenian homeland during decades of Middle Eastern turmoil, yet they sat back and enjoyed belittling Armenia and looking down on "Russified" Hayastantsis.
Armenians of Kessab and Aleppo, in particular, had over two years to organize self-defense units. The big talking and "nationalistic" ARF (who's members have been busy championing gay rights and pushing a Western agenda in Armenia in recent years) is an organization that has significant assets throughout Syria and Lebanon. The ARF could have organized the defense of Armenian towns in Syria. So, where are all our big talking, courageous Dashnaks? Apparently, no where to be seen. No real effort has been made to militarily protect Armenians in Syria. No real effort has been made by the region's ARF to even organize a repatriation of Syrian-Armenians to Armenia. Using their propaganda outlets, the only thing the ARF is busy with these days is spreading disinformation about Armenia on behalf of their spiritual sponsors in Washington. Other than issuing worthless "announcements" on the plight of Armenians in Syria, the ARF seems utterly impotent. And one of the most surreal/absurd things to see is watching American-Armenians (including ARF types of course) asking American officials for help. Instead of protesting, criticizing and publicly demanding that war criminals in Washington stop their genocidal campaign in Syria, our meek assholes in the US are attempting to "inform" Washingtonian reptiles about what's going on in Syria?!?!?!
Decades of bending-over to anti-Armenian war criminals in Washington has given our American-Armenian community anal warts. It's these anal warts that have come to represent the proud American-Armenian community in recent years.
This is the height of Armenian ignorance, incompetence and cowardice. Once again we are confronted with our impotence.
Arevordi jan
Deletedont these anal warts protest "Serik" and Russia at the drop of a hat? Where are the protests in washington or in front of the american embassy in yerevan? where is Ara Manoogian when you most need him LOL
Arto1
Just like in 1915, when faced with danger, Armenians, just like gypsies, pack up and leave. Ask yourselves, what would a Russian population have done to protect itself? Virtually every single Russian male (and a quite a few of their women as well) would have taken-up arms. True nationalism, genuine courage and a deep desire to fight for one's home is is the main difference between a nation like Armenians, a nation that has systematically shrunk for over one thousand years and a nation like Russians, a nation that has grown to become the largest, most powerful nation on earth over the last one thousand years. Yet, despite their pathetic state of being, our self-destructive but arrogant peasantry looks down at Russians because Russian men are "drunkards" and Russian women are "whores". If we had just a little bit of drunk Ivan's and whore Natasha's nationalism, discipline and courage, we would have had a nation to be proud of today. Diasporan Armenians are more interest in protecting their bank accounts than their homeland. Hayastantsis are more interesting in protecting their women's "dignity" than their homeland.
ReplyDeleteArmenians have no right to take credit for the heroism of the warlike Artsakhtsis. Artsakh Armenians are of a different pedigree. They are in fact the only surviving remnants of our ancient warrior class. The class of people Artsakhtsis represent is utterly missing in the rest of our people. It would therefore not be a stretch of the imagination to claim that Armenians of Artsakh are closer to Russians and other warlike peoples than to the rest of us "merchants".
With that said, when it comes to the plight of Syrian-Armenians, I want to say that the government of Armenia is also guilty. At the very least, instead of sending Armenian troops to a NATO exercise to conduct anti-Russian war games - side-by-side with Turks and Azeris nonetheless - our assholes in Yerevan could have sent troops to Syria to help Armenians there organize themselves militarily.
Whether its Armenians fleeing Turks in Kessab or Armenians protesting Russia side-by-side with Turks in EuroMaidan or Armenians trying to overthrow their government on behalf of Western leaders, times like this make me profoundly ashamed of my nationality. Times like this remind me that we don't deserve to be called a nation. Times like this remind me that we don't deserve independence. Perhaps in a few more hundred years. Not yet. In the meanwhile, if our chobans-in-Armani-suits continue antagonizing Moscow and Russia one day decides to send a large army into Armenia to take it over and in the process kills thousands of Armenians, it would be doing us all and Armenia a big favor. Better to live with dignity under Russians, than live like endangered gypsies under Turco-Western rule.
I feel your pain and anger Arevordi.
ReplyDeleteThis is to cheer you up http://en.ria.ru/world/20140325/188744178/Tens-of-Thousands-Sign-Petition-to-Reunite-Alaska-With-Russia.html
LOL
Arto1
"Decades of bending-over to anti-Armenian war criminals in Washington has given our American-Armenian community anal warts. It's these anal warts that have come to represent the proud American-Armenian community in recent years"
ReplyDeletebrutal but I love it LOL
Arto1
http://asbarez.com/121038/arf-central-committee-issues-announcement-on-kessab-crisis/
ReplyDelete"Both on the state and federal levels, the Armenian National Committee of America chapters, beginning on Friday, have met with several influential political officials to inform them about the developments in Syria and to ask that they join a campaign in Washington urging the White House to leverage its influence to halt Turkey’s direct or indirect role in the attacks."
That's the best the "revolutionary" party of war could come up with? The spoiled, politically-illiterate, ideologically-poisoned idiots are thinking about sending some petitions and perhaps staging a get-together as an adequate response to the destruction of Kessab? Oh and maybe a $20 donation to some Syrian relief fund... They take more fucking action to protest President Sargsyan when he visits the US! I guess the $20 is more than they give during the Armenia Fund Telethon though...
As for the ANCA, western intelligence agencies have such a tight grip on their balls that they won't even call the invasion of Syria by western-backed terrorists by its true name, rather they refer to vague statements filled with euphamisms about the so-called "civil war" or "conflict" in Syria. Is it any wonder these hypocrites have accomplished absolutely nothing regarding justice for the Armenian Genocide and recognition for Artsakh?
Well said, Sarkis.
DeleteBurial precession for the guy the Jew government of Ukraine killed in cold blood. Look how many are marching in his honor! Now I never liked the guy, he was nothing but a menace, but like it or not he has a huge following. They have already issued threats about revenge but this is no small group! This is no five or six guys they can put down. They are all now against this new government, this is no longer Ukrainian government, it’s Jewkrainian...LOL
ReplyDeleteThey played the game, and the game went bad. They tried this stunt and now this too is going to make it much worse, much much worse.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RXoDAdV0X9Q&list=UUN53mbbGvnaPepMBFibWSvg
Latvia seeks EU compensation for damage resulting from sanctions against Russia.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.globalmeatnews.com/Industry-Markets/Latvia-seeks-EU-compensation-for-damage-resulting-from-sanctions-against-Russia
But wait, didn't the Western press say Latvia was scared for their lives? Guess that propaganda went by the wayside. Latvia does not fear Russian tanks, Latvia fears the EU...LOL
LMAO the idiots ruling Latvia replaced their former currency, the Lat, with the Euro officially on Janury 01, 2014. They literally boarded the Economic and Financial Titanic well after it became clear that the Euro was on its way down to the bottom. These are the same "far-sighted" geniuses that rushed to join nato after the collapse of the USSR. Now they are facing an economic Armageddon, and they have essentially been reduced to a buffer state and mass human shield in a feeble attempt to slow down Moscow's westward march.
DeleteAs bad as Armenia's government may seem at times, Latvia and the other psychologically damaged regimes in Eastern Europe show us that it could always be worse. These countries are completely blind, shortsighted and suicidal.
Reports indicate that Moscow has got possession of 45 Ukrainian ships. The important questions are what does this mean from a force projection point of view. For example last time Moscow sent about 5 ships to Syria on rotation. These ships were to be rotated from other far flung locations as far as the Pacific fleet. This means Moscow was tight on ships, now Moscow has landed a lot of ships they can put in this mix. No need to draw down forces and extended voyage just to get to the patrol area. This is an exercise and logistics, one ship has to arrive before another can leave.
ReplyDeleteThere are other factors such as the condition of the ships and how quickly they can be ready and or modernized but this is a huge fleet bonus no matter what. This would have take years to make that many ships not to mention billions of rubles. Besides a lot of this ships are Soviet designs, they basically got the Red Navy back. These ships themselves are used by Moscow and have parts, and know how about the ships. The force multiplier affect of this is huge.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eWBQsdWUvC0
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nrz7KU7126U
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AbAjfE6itXg
Landing ships, assault ships, troop carriers frigates, mine sweepers, command ships, missile boats, tugs, huge hover craft, support ships you name it.
Vahram
Yes Vahram jan
DeleteIt is a major boost to Russian BSF. it will free up more ships to send to mediterenian. plus with this whole Crimea takeover was a major blow to turkey. that and erdogan's political situation are the reasons why we had this attack in kessab. i think erdogan will act again and we need to stop talk and act. Armenia has all it needs to act strongly. and more into direction of Azeris. we need to get turks to realize that if they attack us we will attack azeries. and take more land. these are times when strong politicians use to make map changes.
I think there should be reprisal action from Armenia in this coming days. Since it is now clear that there were many Azeri and Turkish citizens participating in the attack on Kassab, there should be political and military action from us.
ReplyDeleteArmenia first can declare the erdogan's government complicit and continuing the genocide policies, thus not a party we can negotiate anything and withdraw the signature from those stupid protocols.
Next we can declare Azeries a major threat and an enemy to armenians around the world and recognize Atsakh with surrounding areas as part of Armenia, thus stopping any negotiation with them.
third, we need to do special ops and kill some Azeries.
As long as Armenia flirts with the political West and continues to host an army of Western operative and organizations, Moscow will keep Armenia vulnerable, dependent and on a very short leash. I don't blame Moscow one bit for not trusting Armenians - for I don't trust Armenians.
ReplyDeleteConsider this: Did anyone ever think they would live to see the day when Armenian, Azeri, Turkish and American soldiers were side-by-side practicing military maneuvers against Russia?!
Wouldn't the above be a bad dream? Perhaps an erotic fantasy of dreamed of by agent Paruyr Hayrikian? No folks, this is reality and it's an inevitable by-product of an absurdity in Yerevan known as "complimentary politics". A recent NATO military exercise indeed saw Armenian troops side-by-side with Turkish, Azeri, Georgian, Ukrainian and American troops practicing war games against none other than Russia -
NATO, Ukraine join military exercise in Bulgaria: http://pakobserver.net/detailnews.asp?id=237082
Apparently, Armenian officials did not have the self-respect to say no to NATO and instead send Armenian troops to Syria to help beleaguered Armenians there organize their self-defense - against NATO supported Al Qaeda extremists. Apparently, Armenian officials did not have the balls to tell Western officials that Armenia will not participate in this particular program essentially because it is being carried out against Yerevan's strategic partners in Moscow - with two nations that are openly hostile to Armenia nonetheless.
Just think: Joining Turks, Azeris, Ukrainians, Georgians and Americans in military maneuvers designed to be a show of force against Russia - Armenia's only lifeline, Armenia's only strategic partner and Armenia's only hope for Artsakh? Just think: Participating in a military show of force essentially against a people's right to self-determination? Just think: Armenians war-gaming with a bunch or people who are currently in the process of destroying the Armenian community of Syria?
Are Armenian officials out of their fucking minds? Are Armenians really this self-destructive in politics?
That is an out of mind thing, what they have done.
DeleteI can also add our government's corrupt officials don't want to let go of money contracts with Nato, EU and USA. they all make money out of this or that programs they bring to Armenia. thus, they are selling their nation for personal profit.
How much lower are our money hungry whores willing to go for Western bribes? How long will our chobans flirt with political disaster and national suicide? How long will Armenia have to endure being stuck in the middle with no place to go? How long will Armenians continue insulting and antagonizing Armenia's only ally in the world?
ReplyDeleteFolks, we desperately need a Moscow sponsored revolution in Yerevan to rid ourselves of our Captain Americas as well as our chobans-in-Armani-suits posing as government officials.
Today, Armenia's "complimentary politics" is a serious liability for Armenia. This is no longer the 1990s. The West is in a decline. For the foreseeable future, we will have to live with a resurgent Bear. The good news for us here is that Russian and Armenian interests align for the most part. Moscow needs Armenia as a southern fortress protecting Russia's vulnerable underbelly from Western inroads, pan-Turkism and Islam. Armenia needs Russia to protect it from all her neighbors. Our enemies and their enemies are essentially the same. What we have between Russia and Armenia is a true strategic alliance. From an Armenian perspective, Armenia today has a strategic partner that is a global superpower, and one that is the alpha and the omega of Caucasian politics. Armenians need to exploit this historic opportunity for Armenia's long term benefit. If we want Armenia to prosper one day, we need to stop our pursuit of Western fantasies (democracy, liberalism, free speech, civil society, gay rights, feminism, globalism, etc) and begin to better understand the nuances of geopolitics and Armenia's place in it.
For once let's stop admiring Jews and let's start acting like them. Instead of fearmongering about the growth of Russian power, let's realize that Armenians can be in Russia what Jews are in America.
And if we cant do any of the above and we continue our traditional self-destructive path in politics, I much rather see Armenia get incorporated into the Russian Federation. At the end of the day, it's better to live with Russians (similar to Ossetians or Abkhazians) than live like a bunch of endangered gypsies under Turco-Western rule. At the end of the day, Armenian independence from Russia means Armenian dependence on Turkey. No Russia in the south Caucasus means no Armenia in the south Caucasus. It's all that simple. We all need to wake up from our Qaj Nazar fantasies and EUrotic dreams and realize that there are no alternatives to this reality.
Armenia votes against UN resolution supporting jewkraine's "territorial integrity"
ReplyDeletehttp://rt.com/news/ukraine-russia-crimea-resolution-609/
The vote was 100 for, 11 against, 58 abstaining. How cute, the "democratic world" and the Islamic world united against Russia. And Ukraine is following in the footsteps of its azeri brothers with empty UN resolutions in support of territorial integrity.
At least one good news today, i was hearing Armenia will abstain on the UN GA ukraine resolution and was pissed. but now RT reported that Armenia voted NO.
ReplyDeleteRadicals are in front of Ukraine gov building. This is going to get messier and messier by the day. Moscow sits back and enjoys the show. This was such a stupid game to play by the West, they can't hid behind propaganda any more.
ReplyDeletehttp://rt.com/news/right-nationalists-storm-ukraine-701/
Vahram
Kessab is what Western Armenians get with the Western support. NATO bombed Armenians, NATO killed our soldiers during their sleep. Now NATO is bombing Syria!
ReplyDeletehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UAgus2vg4LE
You forget to mention the twenty year old NATO blockade of Armenia. Anyway, none of this will matter to our degenerates in the US. Just watch how anal warts representing the American-Armenian community will continue bending-over to American officials; just watch how Western propaganda outlets like Asbarez, Armenian Weekly, Armenian Mirror Spectator, Armenian Reporter, etc, will continue pushing a Washingtonian agenda in Armenia; just watch how American-Armenians will continue their corrosive activism in Armenia for truth, justice and the American way...
DeleteYour right about the blockade, it has been going on for long guess it was almost overlooked. Do you see how sneaky they are?
DeleteFact NATO is blockading Armenia.
Fact NATO murdered an Armenian service man in his sleep
Fact NATO let killer free for doing a good job.
Fact NATO just finished bombing an Armenian village.
Arevordi, please comment on the UN vote wherein Armenia voted no. Clearly, this is not complementary politics at play. For a small, vulnerable country like Armenia to go against the US and Europe, it's seems to clear message of political orientation. Also, I don't think it's simply a clear show of how Armenia is reliant on Moscow, but rather, in addition, that Armenia also excepts to receive the same treatment from Moscow, i.e. Russia's recognition of Artsakh. Your thoughts?
ReplyDeleteI thought Yerevan would abstain. I was pleasantly surprised that they did not. The point you made about Yerevan expecting Moscow to reciprocate the favor is spot on. There is talk about using recent developments in the region as an opportunity to recognize Artsakh's independence or reunion with Armenia. I personally think the groundwork is being laid for this. With that said, I am glad Yerevan finally signaled a clear and timely break with the political West. I hope they now fully pull out of all NATO partnership programs and begin actively monitoring the operations of the American embassy in Yerevan, as well as all of those who are in any way connected to the Western world.
DeletePS: Please identify yourself when you post comments.
You need to also consider a few historical facts. I know there is a big game in play here but there are some things you are overlooking. For one Ukraine was allied with Azerbaijan in GUAM. Ukraine has been providing a lot of equipment to the baboons that puts us in grave danger.
DeleteSo Armenia stood up for a change, there is a lot of bad blood with what Ukraine has done to Armenia. Ukraine has put Armenia at risk with it's actions for the past 20 plus years.
This vote at the UN is none binding so it means shit. Just a bunch of ass kissers, but note how many people abstained. The power vector has not changed in the world for a lot of countries yet. Everyone still uses the dollar, there are a lot of other considerations a BS vote is a no brainer its just show. But I'm glad Armenia made the statement as we have had enough of Ukrainian backstabbing.
Sorry to cut in on your question, I don't mean to step in but I needed to put my two cents in.
Vahram
My homeland actually had this unusual stance on the independence of Crimea, to be honest. For a nation that sucks up to the Anglo-American-Zionist cabal, this development is rather interesting.
Deletehttp://www.philstar.com/headlines/2014/03/21/1303521/santiago-says-philippines-should-have-stand-crimea-conflict
Don't read too much into this, as Miriam Santiago is also biased.
On the other hand, seeing Armenia actually vote in favor of having Crimea as part of Russia should be seen by ordinary Armenians as a payback to Ukraine for giving aid to the Azeris. Perhaps Armenia should withdraw from the GUAM bloc and actually suspend ties with Ukraine.
Jerriko
DeleteArmenia is not in GUAM (Georgia, Ukraine, Azerbaijan, Moldova), has never been.
Ukraine with its always sold out government over the years is a very corrupt country. they will sell weapons to anyone. all that matters to them is deals and money.
This nation has no history and has no identity of a nation, because they have never been a nation. it is a made up state with many fractions. Ukraine means literally a place not a nation. U- kraina means a place at the end of the land. their history is Russia (Kievian Russ), and the only way they can find themselves is by joining Russia.
However, starting from 14th century when polish-lithuanian invasions happen some of the western areas of ukraine have been under control of mixed mostly catholic influence.
So let them go back to their polish and lithuanian areas and be there.
Russia has no right to give an inch to them. eventually, it will take time but whole of todays ukraine will be in russian confederation. maybe minus 2-3 regions in and around Lvov. if armenians work hard those areas could swing by to us too. LOL
http://armenianow.com/news/53075/armenia_president_serzh_sargsyan_nato_delegation
DeleteArmenia is not going to stop cooperating with nato.
LG
Dear readers,
ReplyDeleteKeep an eye on Raffi Hovanissian and Paruyr Hayrikian and their political parties. For years they have been viciously attacking the Armenian government for not recognizing Artsakh's independence. Now, that the geopolitical calculus in the region has changed drastically for Washington, I am interested to see if they will continue actively and courageously championing Artsakh's right to self-determination or its reunification with Armenia. They may now suddenly remain silent on the matter. Which is why Raffi and Paruyr should be made to get up on a podium and make public statements about Crimea and Artsakh. If their political stance about Artsakh's independence or reunification with Armenia has changed in any way, they should be immediately escorted down from the podium and either deported, jailed or hanged in Freedom Square.
I think they have outlived their usefulness. There are not that many times that people run for office loose and have a come back. This alone I think will make a difference this time around. But that is not all, this Ukraine thing has opened a lot of eyes around the world. This is the straw that broke the camels back. This foolish game has now been busted wide open and it has done nothing but show everyone the bare ass of the West.
DeleteThe game has changed, I really feel the game has changed. Not that it was not changing and all that fine, but this is different this time. With that said I hope that the FSB will continue to monitor all traffic and I expect this time around compromising videos and audio to be made public as soon as some traitor like Raffi opens his stinking mouth. And the other idiot with a fake wound made by a 1912 musket with a target bullet.
I suspect degenerate assholes like ara manooguglu will step up their attacks against Artsakh's representatives in the west. As recently as November 2013 the psychopathic piece of shit tried provoking Artsakh's consul in Los Angeles into a fight. I don't know how many of the readers here are aware of the incident below, but watching this բոզի տղայ and the vitriolic manner in which he carries out the work of the azeri government is a damning indictment of the entire Armenian-American community and every single "human rights activist" in Yerevan:
Deletehttp://www.thetruthmustbetold.com/attempted-arrest/
As to the rest of the Armenian diaspora, I can almost hear the "educated" AYF-types reacting to hypothetical news that Armenia has recognized Artsakh with full Russian-backing; it is almost guaranteed that they will spin it into a negative and complain:
-"now the US will never recognize the genocide"
-"the recognition is fake, we have sold our sovereignty"
-"damn it, now we'll never get into the EU"
-same worthless yapping about democracy, gay rights, civil society, feminism
-a few of the truly moronic may even complain about the "right of return" for the azeri settlers which were expelled in 1988.
-asbarez and the rest will church out another dozen "hard-hitting" articles calling President Sargsyan a failure; joining the Customs Union a fatal mistake; and complaining about Armenia's righteous positions on Syria and Crimea -- thankfully I suspect the audience of most English-language Armenian media is significantly smaller than we may suspect; it seems the current trend is opinions being spread more by social media.
In Armenia the west may try to stir up the anti-"Karabakh clan" rhetoric amongst the opposition again like they did with traitor LTP in 2008. I doubt too many Armenians will fall for the trap, but it would be nice to see Armenia's security services exterminate the leadership of the western activists, propaganda outlets and NGOs before they have the opportunity to try.
Here is some more iinfo on what Moscow got in the form of military equipment.
ReplyDeleteThey have a lot of bases and what looks like a good modern fleet. This will come in handy in a lot of places. Expect the Syrian convey to get larger, already I believe 2 or 3 additional ships have left for Syria.
Most of the troops in Crimea from the Ukrainian side either have defected or simply walked away. Moscow says 1,500 troops out of 18,000 want to go back. Ukraine confirms only 131 Marines are going back as far as now but 4,000 want to go back. What this tells me is that even if we believe Kiev more then 75% of the Ukrainian Armed forces chose not to go back to the Ukrainian side. This is a major slap.
http://www.thehindu.com/news/international/russia-takes-control-of-all-ukranian-military-facilities/article5836052.ece
To reinforce the idea that the armed forces are melting away, there is another story that Ukraine is having an issue with manning the boarders. This leads me to believe that forces outside of Crimea are either not present or have outright defected to the Russian side. They simply have no army they have melted away, Ukrainian officers on the ground wondering how they are going to man the boarders they don't even have enough to man Crimean border.
http://www.kentucky.com/2014/03/21/3154054/as-russia-formally-annexes-crimea.html
I'm trying to dig up some more info on this but facts are hard to find. I know this is all hush hush as the tactical situation has changed greatly and there are a lot more forces on the Russian side that is being spoke publicly. There seems to have been a lot more thinking going on in Moscow then the West, as every move is not only a check but every move is being checkmated.
Vahram
More updates on the standoff in Kiev with the right sector. Seems this menace is not going to go away...LOL
ReplyDelete" Several hours into the standoff activists announced the rally was over for tonight as they decided not to storm the building just yet, but reconvene tomorrow.
On Friday, Verkhovna Rada will hold an emergency session to discuss the possibility of Avakov’s resignation, one of the representatives of the Right sector told Itar-Tass. Right Sector activists have been urged to gather outside the Parliament building at 9:00 GMT. "
http://rt.com/news/right-nationalists-storm-ukraine-701/
Seems they will meet tomorrow to consider letting the minster go. You can bet that he will be killed some time down the road as the right sector has a huge following. This Right sector that was used so gingerly by the West is coming back to bite them in the arse. This is a no win situation for Europe and the US. If they continue to shoot at these guys never mind the East but Western Ukraine is going to have a civil war on itself. If they cater to their needs this is going to be impossible for the EU or the US to deal with them, never mind what will become of the Jew president or any of the dealings with the West, especial the IMF.
Can you believe the West has deteriorated to this point? This is all happening as the West is trying to remain standing. Western powers economically are in a bad situation as the vectors have switched. Instead of using a shred of brains they have resorted to this childish stupid game and have a beating yet to go before this is over. They are covered in welts now and there are more beatings yet to go just in Ukraine.
Vahram
Blood on it's hands, the EU has blood on it's hands in Ukraine.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jDykLIl_4XQ
Propaganda only goes so far, when the truth is out it no longer is propaganda but lies! Lies and more lies to cover the other lies that were just told.
It's not just the Ukraine that the EU has blood on it's hands. NATO just attacked an Armenian village is Syria.
Armenia read Arevordi's blog -- and were like "you know what, this dude is right" :)
ReplyDeleteActually, I think this is a signal of comitment to political orientation. For me, there are 2 events that happened. One is the UN vote. Tiny little Armenia did not abstain with 58 other countries - but with just a few countries stood in support of Russia. Armenia let herself be known.
The other is the parliamentary delegation that went to Damascus and praised president Assad. So there you go, no more neutrality I guess.
Also, this "Righ Sector" riot at the Verhovna Rada building is a great show. The deputies all ran home in fear.
Remember how I mentioned above and even before that that the Ramgavars and Hnchagians of Lebanon are the Sunnis' puppets and are the lowest form of Armenian diasporans? Well, here's your proof. Ramgavars in Lebanon calling for "neutrality" and "patience" for Kessab. These whores are the same people who had lunch with the turkish ambassador of Beirut and posed and took pictures with him. Only filth comes to my mind when I think of them. Their only existence as a party is because of the Saudi-turkish money flooding into their leaders' bank accounts. I wish those were sent into Kessab to be slaughtered by their "brother rebels".
ReplyDeleteYet another proof that Mideast Armenians are delighted/having a collective orgasm with Syria's destruction.
Warning! liberal/treasonous language in the link. Click at your own risk.
http://www.lradou.com/am/content/4/1/10216/%D5%8C%D4%B1%D4%BF-%20%D4%BC%D5%AB%D5%A2%D5%A1%D5%B6%D5%A1%D5%B6%D5%AB%20%D5%B4%D5%A1%D6%80%D5%B4%D5%AB%D5%B6%D5%A8%20%20%D5%94%D5%A5%D5%BD%D5%A1%D5%BA%D5%AB%20%D5%A4%D5%A7%D5%BA%D6%84%D5%A5%D6%80%D5%B8%D6%82%D5%B6%20%D5%BE%D5%A5%D6%80%D5%A1%D5%A2%D5%A5%D6%80%D5%A5%D5%A1%D5%AC%20%D5%AF%D5%A1%D6%80%D5%A5%D6%82%D5%B8%D6%80%20%D5%AF%D5%B8%D5%B9%20%D5%B0%D6%80%D5%A1%D5%BA%D5%A1%D6%80%D5%A1%D5%AF%D5%A5%D6%81
Interesting piece from Infowars about the leaked audio recording of turkish officials planning a false flag attack as a pretext for war with Syria.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M3Rc20Ah7LY
The islamists made a PR video claiming they liberated the Armenians from Assad!?!?! Unbelievable, psych-ops taken to a new level... Of course a few of the political illiterates that constitute the Armenian public will fall these cheap tricks, particularly those in the western diaspora that have been trained to believe only what they see on the news without questioning the bullshit they are being fed. More proof that democracy is dangerous for primitive peoples who have not yet evolved strong national institutions to counter foreign manipulations.
ReplyDeleteToo bad innocent civilians are dying as result of the general stupidity or apathy of the Armenian masses and the utter impotence of the so-called leadership within the diaspora. I don't know whether or not it would be reasonable to expect the Armenian government to send actual troops to Syria, we can debate openly that on the one hand Armenia is tight on resources and the logistics would be very difficult supplying and reinforcing troops from Armenia to Syria, while on the other hand Armenian lives need to be defended and Armenia needs to stand up to the west and counter turkish moves in Syria and forge ever closer relations with Moscow in the process... But I do know for sure the anti-Armenian, anti-Russian, pro-EU, pro-NATO and pro-"Syrian rebel" attitudes and opinions expressed by a vast majority of the Armenian diaspora in the west and even some of the Lebanese Armenians is absolutely treasonous and unforgivable. It is too bad that Kessabtsis, and not the Armenians in Los Angeles or Washington DC or Bourj Hammoud who are so quick to protest President Sargsyan and welcome as a hero traitor raffi, are not the ones experiencing the "blessings of freedom" that these "peaceful opposition activists" have unleashed in Syria.
are you friends active on RT comments, i do. its easy to sign up via RT.
ReplyDeletehere is another expose
http://rt.com/news/turkey-syria-phone-leak-861/
Are you "jehenem"? LOL
DeleteI'd love to post comments at RT but monitoring several West-leaning Armenian news sites, managing comments in this blog and working on future blog commentaries takes up virtually all of my free time. What I like to see is Vahram and Sarkis getting active in RT. I think RT can use their intelligence, energy and wits.
PS: Armenians posting comments on Russian sites should be posting under names that Russians can easily be identify as being Armenian. Examples: Aram Khachaturian, Mikoyan, Marshal Baghramyan, Armenian, Armenia, Armen, Yerevan, Erevan, etc...
Love the Armenian Soviet Socialist Republic avatar :)
DeleteArevordi
DeleteNo, but he is active, i use T.K.
i like the idea of names.
How odd you mention this, I made an account on RT literally a few hours before T.K.'s comment. The confirmation email I received from RT was timestamped 3:45 AM on March 28. My username on RT is "Sarkis X.", which was also my username a few years back on armenianow.com (way before I discovered this blog actually).
DeleteIt's good we are all on the same page, we are taking the natural, correct actions for our cause... And great minds think alike!
How does Vartan Migoyan sound?
DeleteBefore we create our accounts we should at least know who is taking what name, this way we can tag team. Let us see how they can deal with the Armenian intellect. Besides we should be there with RT supporting our brothers. I bet we Armo's will give a kick to RT that has not been seen before. Just like we did when we created the Migs we were a very good asset. Time to support our brothers, we finally showed a little voice by voting at the UN. This is not the last of our voice, this is just the beginning.
Getze Hayastan
Vahram
"Are you "jehenem"? LOL"
DeleteRolling on the floor! We should invite the brother to post here.
Vahram
Notice how CIA paid operatives (i.e. whores) at ArmeniaNow are spinning the news about Armenia's UN vote -
ReplyDelete‘Rogue’ vote: Armenia backs ally Russia over UN resolution on Ukraine: http://armenianow.com/commentary/analysis/53083/armenia_united_nations_general_assembly_vote_ukraine_russia_crimea
Armenia has presented the anglo-american-zionist scum with a fait accompli through the decision to recognize Crimea and through the open declaration of official support for President Assad and the Syrian government. And it is should be obvious why:
Delete1) Armenia's long-term interests include the defense of ethnic Armenians wherever those Armenians might be around the world (even if those Armenians are useless for the Armenian state), and a guarantee that never again will Armenians be massacred and expelled in large numbers, and specially not western-backed turks and islamists as was the case throughout the 19th and 20th centuries.
2) The legal concept of the right to people's self-determination is the key foundation of the solution Armenia used for settling the Artsakh issue.
ANYONE who questions the validity of these two policies is a traitor to the Republic of Armenia and needs to be dealt with without mercy, meaning arresst and if need be execution.
Since the gloves are off and since it is clear to anyone with critical thinking ability that the US will soon attempt to incite riots within Armenia as retalliation for Armenia taking an independent stance as well as to generally cause Moscow a headache, it's time step things up in Yerevan. If Serj Sargsyan is unable to make the drastic changes needed, then perhaps Tigran Sargsyan should be forced to resign and a more capable (and less western-connected) Prime Minister should be installed with Moscow's blessing, perhaps Karen Karapetyan. Then the Spring cleaning in Yerevan can begin, and Moscow's candidate for President in 2018 can gain the experience and public exposure he needs.
ps can anyone tell me about Tigran Sargsyan's brother? Is he connected to the west as well, and what activities does he carry out in Yerevan? Thanks!
here we go, the day is coming. hopefully soon.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.voskanapat.info/?p=6885
Excellent news! Here is a Google translation into English:
DeleteMoscow may recognize Artsakh
Baku and Yerevan are closely watching the developments in Ukraine . Caucasian analysts and experts are trying to predict what impact the Crimea to Russia on the fate of Nagorno-Karabakh. Because of the region , relations between Armenia and Azerbaijan over 20 years strained to the limit .
The leaders of these countries react differently to return home Crimea . Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan on March 19 called Putin and , in fact, supported by the Russian leadership . Press office of the President of Armenia issued a statement saying that the events surrounding the Crimea became " another example of the right of nations to self-determination ." Armenia already voices demanding the example of Crimea held in Karabakh referendum on the status of the region.
Azerbaijani leadership behaves differently. March 20 President Ilham Aliyev stressed that "the territorial integrity of the countries can not be changed without their consent ." However, in his speech he did not mention Ukraine. Nevertheless, analysts agree that Baku will hardly recognize the independence of the Crimea or express support for Moscow. Azerbaijani officials have even admitted to media leaks about the possibility of breaking off relations with the Crimea . First of all we are talking about the termination of flights between Baku and Simferopol .
They say it is the Azerbaijani leadership was furious that the West in the Nagorno -Karabakh has never exerted the same support integrity of the country as Ukraine. Apparently, so a visit to Baku zasobiralsya U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry . According to some experts , the West can now start a new game in the Caucasus in order to weaken Russia's influence there . In short, just to avenge Moscow. In this case, it is possible that the Kremlin will prompt support Armenia and Karabakh recognize the outcome of the referendum.
Russia is getting involved for us, in Kesab.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.voskanapat.info/?p=6883
Russia is truly the last bastion of dignity and honor in the traditional/Christian/European world. The big-talking, under-performing Armenian diaspora in the west has proven once again they are absolutely useless. When it comes to foreign policy, the Republic of Armenia is obligated by its own needs for survival to choose strengthening its relations with Russia even if it means officially cutting ties with the diapora and condemning it for the worthless cesspool that it truly is
DeleteGoogle translation: (Part 1 of 2)
Russian Foreign Minister on developments in Kesap
Department of Information and Foreign Ministry of Russia issued today commented on the development of the situation in Syria. In a statement, the Russian Foreign Ministry says:
"The situation in Syria in recent days, is characterized by a sharp aggravation of confrontation government forces and illegal armed formations (IAF ) , trying to take revenge for the recent string of defeats.
Major clashes unfolding in northwest Syria. March 21 groups associated with
"Al- Qaeda " extremist groups " Dzhabhat An- Nusra " and " Ahrar al-Sham " numbering several thousand people took the offensive in Kasab district on the border with Turkey , where the overwhelming majority of the population are Armenians . Offensive IAF deployed , according to Damascus , with artillery support, including the use of tank fire from Turkish territory , led to a temporary loss of some settlements , including Kasab . Fearing terrorist atrocities , the Armenian population Kasaba , Samra , Nabva Al Murr and nearby settlements fled their homes and under the protection of the Syrian military rushed to Latakia .
Promotion extremists to Latakia, located 65 km from Kasaba , threatening, including the breakdown of the international operation for removal of Syrian chemical weapons components , has been stopped. Syrian military recaptured militants strategic height and tuned soon put an end to the armed gangs break and regain control over PPC Kasab on the border with Turkey.
(translation part 2 of 2):
DeleteCapture extremists city Kasab called resonant condemnation of the Armenian community worldwide. Yerevan hosted a demonstration outside the UN office demanding an end to ethnic religious minorities persecuted by the illegal armed groups in Syria. Simultaneously Armenian leaders expressed their appreciation to the Syrian authorities to protect the Armenian population. Armenian National Committee of America urged U.S. President Barack Obama and the U.S. Congress to exert pressure on Ankara to stop her from promoting the militants who attacked civilians Kasaba .
Extremists continue to terrorize the civilian population of Syria , systematically exposing the indiscriminate mortar shelling cities and towns of the country. In Damascus, a result of falling min student campus killed two students , 15 students received injuries of varying severity. Victims of attacks in Homs was 5 people in metropolitan areas Dahiyat Assad Haraszti, mezze and Abu Ruman - 6 persons, 9 wounded. The result of a rocket attack by militants Latakia was the death of eight people of that city .
According to information from Damascus, in areas where hosted militants , the practice of illegal trade in human organs . Victims of traffickers from the medicine, as a rule, are children .
Media also reported that the extremists have organized several training camps for teens in which children make of suicide bombers.
Continuing acts of vandalism and abuse of religious shrines , and both Christian and Muslim . In the area g.Rakka terrorists destroyed the tomb of the Prophet Muhammad Ammar companions ibn Yassin and Al- Karni Uvays .
In the context of the implementation of resolution 2139 Damascus UNSC note the successful functioning of the joint commission on the line Government CAP UN . Carried out a large batch of delivery assistance in the Kurdish areas of the country through a checkpoint Nusaybin - Qamishli on the Turkish border . Continues despite the continued firing of militants willing evacuation operation Po of the Palestinian refugee camp of Yarmouk near Damascus .
Strongly condemn the terrorist acts and other crimes against civilians , including indiscriminate shelling of residential areas militants Syrian cities and towns . One gets the impression that enhanced action aimed at extremists to prevent mezhsiriyskie resume talks rob Syrians possible political and diplomatic settlement , disrupt the process himdemilitarizatsii Syria. Such a scenario is unacceptable. Russia , for its part , as always, ready to continue cooperation with all partners to contribute to ending the bloody internal conflict in the SAR based on the implementation of the Geneva communique of June 30, 2012 . "
http://www.thewire.com/global/2014/03/steven-seagal-loves-putin-and-might-become-a-russian-citizen-because-of-ukraine/359792/
ReplyDeleteLOL