Some political observers, however, had been of the opinion that Yerevan's overtures to the EU was a ploy and that it was being jointly coordinated with Moscow. Some political observers also felt that Yerevan was trying to gain maximum benefit by dealing with both sides but would ultimately drop the EU and seek closer economic cooperation with Moscow.
Moscow officials must have known that despite what happened Yerevan would be going nowhere. After all, the strategic Caucasus has traditionally been recognized as Russia's zone of influence and, as we saw during the summer of 2008, Moscow showed the global community that it is willing to go to great lengths and resort to drastic measures if need be to stop a Western foothold from forming in the region. With Turks patiently waiting on both sides of the Armenian borders, with the Middle East on the verge of exploding, what Armenian official in his right mind would seek to anger the Russian Bear?
European and American officials, however, were naively hoping that with a lot of empty promises as well as dissemination of anti-Russian propaganda in Armenia - and perhaps some money under the table - Yerevan could be somehow convinced to embrace the EU. This hope of theirs was essentially why they tolerated the Sargsyan administration in recent years.
In my opinion, a proven grossmeister in politics, President Sargsyan was able to manipulate EU officials. By leading them on for several years, President Sargsyan was able to effectively neutralize them during times when he was most vulnerable - specifically during the last presidential elections, during which Washington's political operatives in Armenia were constantly putting the pressure on him. Now that it's quite obvious that President Sargsyan played them like a cheep fiddle, Western officials will earnestly begin their propaganda assault against him... But it's too late.
The only thing that surprised me about President Sargsyan's announcement was its timing. I did not think President Sargsyan would announce his decision this early. President Sargsyan's government wanted to play the "complimentary" card as long as possible. Yerevan wanted to extract maximum benefit from both sides of the political fence. But it was time, as it seems.
I personally think the early announcement was because of the volatile geopolitical climate prevailing in the region. As I have pointed out on numerous previous occasions, Armenia, which hosts a significant Russian military presence, is located very near the Middle Eastern powder keg. And, needless to say, there is an air or urgency in Moscow. At a time when Moscow is desperately trying to ward-off a Western aggression against Syria and Iran, and secure its zones of influence throughout Eurasia from Western inroads, Russian officials seemed to have had enough of Yerevan's flirtations with the West (regardless of Yerevan's true intentions).
I can only hope at this point that the beatings in question were directly connected to Haykak's and Suren's well known professions as anti-Russian propagandists in Armenia. Incidentally, this Haykak was the same Haykak that wrote the following article in the rabidly anti-Russian opposition propaganda outlets known as Lragir about two years ago -
I had responded to his Russophobic nonsense in the following blog commentary -
I sincerely hope that suppressive actions against Western activists will become more frequent, now that the region of the world where Armenia is located in is on the verge of a major war as a direct result of Haykak's and Suren's spiritual bosses in Washington, London, Brussels, Ankara and Tel Aviv. Therefore, what happened to Haykak and Suren after their anti-Russian protest in front of the Presidential Palace in Yerevan may be good news and I hope hear more such good news in the future.
But, there is even better news. A day after the historic announcement by President Sargsyan, Eurasian Development Bank’s Deputy President Sergei Shatalov officially announced that his bank will be willing to allocate $100,000,000 to Armenia for the construction of the strategic north-south highway -
Armenia to Get $100M From Regional Fund for North-South Highway: http://en.rian.ru/world/20130904/183162143/Armenia-to-Get-100M-From-Regional-Fund-for-North-South-Highway.html
And sure enough, on September 6, this piece of good news came out -
That wasn't all: On September 9 and 10 the following three pieces of news made headlines -
Putin to visit Armenia next month, says Russian-Armenian tycoon: http://armenianow.com/news/49857/armenia_visit_president_putin_sargsyan_ara_abrahamyan
Nevertheless, regardless of what Yerevan wanted, Brussels wanted Armenia without Russia and Russia wanted Armenia without Brussels. In other words, Armenia was dealing with jealous partners with no desire to share anything. Therefore, Armenia could not have its desired ménage à trios.
Thus, in the big picture, Armenia had no choice in the matter. This was, from the start, an arranged marriage between Moscow and Yerevan. Although arranged, I am however very happy about the partner in question.
Ambassador Kovalenko stresses the importance of Russian language in Armenia:http://arka.am
Whether we like it or not, Armenia will remain in Russia's orbit for the foreseeable future and the largest and most successful Armenian Diaspora is located in Russia. Therefore, for the foreseeable future, after Armenian, Russian will be the single most important language in Armenia.Russian Schools in Armenia Raise Concerns: http://www.armenianow.com/society/49331/custom_union_russia_armenian_language
Zaruhi makes a mockery of Armenia: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=71mQB3bhHNo
Hairikyan believes that Putin wants to restore the Russian empire: http://en.aravot.am/2013/09/18/161688/
Richard Giragosian: It was really disgraceful on Armenia's part to surrender to Russia so easily: http://www.arminfo.info
Former Russian ambassador to Armenia is indignant at Richard Giragosian: http://www.arminfo.am
Richard Giragosian, Raffi Hovanissian, Zaruhi Postanjian, Nikol Pashinyan, Paruyr Hayrikian, Levon Petrosian, Vartan Oskanian, Andreas Gukasyan, Levon Zurabian, Manvel Sargsian, Shant Arutyunian, Ruben Gevorkyants, Avetik Ishkhanyan, Jirayr Libaridian, Yeghia Nersesian, Gayane Abrahamyan, Armen Martirosyan, Salpi Ghazarian, Vardges Gaspari, Jirayr Sefilian, Edik Baghtasaryan, Arpine Galfayan, Emil Danielyan, Levon Parseghyan, Artur Sakunts, Georgy Vanyan, Igor Muratyan, Ara Manoogian, Robert Davidian, Onnik Krikorian, David Grigorian, Arpine Galfayan, Lara Aharonian, Larisa Minasyan, Mamikon Hovsepyan, Sona Ayvazyan, Ara Papyan, Garo Ghazarian, Liana Aghajanian, Arman Babajanyan, Tsovinar Nazaryan, Karen Hakobian, Tony Halpin, John Hughes, Kirk Wallace, Transparency International Anti-corruption Center, Open Society Institute, Policy Forum Armenia, Sardarapat, ACNIS, Civilitas, Helsinki Citizens’ Assembly, Armenian Environmental Network, Institute for Democracy and Human Rights, Heritage Party, Radio Liberty, Asparez Journalists' Club, Caucasus Center for Peacemaking Initiative, Women’s Resource Center, Arajinlratvakan, ArmeniaNow, Aravot, Hetq and Lragir
Opposition MP gets hero’s welcome from supporters in Yerevan:http://armenianow.com/news/48980/armenia_zaruhi_postanjyan_airport_welcome
Protest turns violent in Yerevan:http://www.armenianweekly.com/2013/11/05/activists-clash-with-police-on-guy-fawkes-day-in-yerevan/#prettyPhoto
Do Armenian authorities have the balls to at least put these nutjobs away for good?
As long as Yerevan tolerates its Western-led political opposition freaks and bestows upon them legitimate sounding titles such as "patriot", "political activist", "musician", "rights advocate", "environmentalist", "expert" or "journalist", Armenia will remain a weak state, not taken seriously by any of the world major powers, including by our only ally in the north. The global community only understands the display of power and unity. The global community only respects those who respect themselves. This is why Turks have historically been successful. This is why nations such as Armenia and Greece has historically been failures.
As much as I hate to say it, and I know many of my readers will disagree with me, when it comes to serious political matters pertaining to Armenia, I have more trust in Russian officials than I do in Armenians. Until Armenia begins giving birth to capable nationalistic leaders with vision, courage and political acumen and a populace that stands-by its leadership - unconditionally - I will continue to looking north for Armenia's salvation.
As long as Armenians are not rallying behind their state unconditionally, at least on the international stage, Armenia will forever be looked upon as vulnerable and will thus be subject to foreign machinations.
Buying an election, Bulgarian style: http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2013/05/2013512101031785197.html
Power rustlers turn the screw in Bulgaria, EU's poorest country: http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/06/us-bulgaria-government-idUSBRE92508J2013030
Few Vote in Bulgaria as Apathy Prevails: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/13/world/europe/bulgaria-elections.html?_r=0
The multicultural/multiracial theme park known as the EU is imploding under its artificially induced weight. What Armenia did NOT need was a haphazard entry into a sinking ship like the EU.
Therefore, those who pursue "European values" today are pursuing phantoms of the past.
We all need to somehow put aside our massive egos, debilitating emotions and Cold War biases and recognize that Armenia's future, for better or for worst, lies with Russia. In my opinion, Armenia needs to pursue its Russian course even if it has to shed its ties with the Armenian Diaspora to do so. At the end of the day, and in the big picture, Armenia's future looks brighter than that of most European nations. At the end of the day, and in the big picture, Armenia's future looks better than that of its immediate neighbors.
Armenia needs to look North, South and Far East
For the past twenty years Armenians have wasted too much time and precious resources pursuing Western values (e.g. Darwinian capitalism, mob rule, Turkish-Armenian friendship, gay rights and vagina monologues) with nothing but a desperately impoverished and politically unstable nation to show for it.
Official Yerevan needs to stop wasting time and start concentrating efforts on further developing its north-south axis (i.e. Russia and Iran) and seeking emerging markets in the East (i.e. China and India). Only with such a political approach will Armenia gain a direct and unhindered access to developing markets in former Soviet territory to the north and to Iran and beyond to the south. Only with such a political approach will Armenia be poised to become a major regional trade hub.
Through Russia and Iran, Armenia will have direct access to markets stretching from western Europe to the Far-East. With its economic - and financial - emphasis placed on its north-south axis, Yerevan will be able to negate the adverse effects of the NATO imposed blockade the country has been made to suffer for the past twenty years, negate the importance of corrosive globalist entities such as the IMF and the USAID - and negate the importance of the Turkish-Armenian border.
Russian Ambassador says losing part of sovereignty in economic union natural: http://armenianow.com/news/48610/armenia_russian_ambassador_customs_union_sovereignty
The final status of Artsakh may perhaps be the only subject of contention between Moscow and Yerevan.
What does this mean for Artsakh?
This is why Armenia's antagonists have been placing much of their efforts on trying to drive a wedge between Yerevan and Moscow. This is why Yerevan's decision to enter the Customs Union was a important strategic step to secure Armenia's long-term existence.
With all due respects to the brave men and women serving in the Armenian armed forces today, without direct Russian support Armenia would simply be unable to mount an effective, long-term defense of Artsakh if or when her larger and wealthier neighbors decide to resort to sustained violence once again. We were able to liberate Artsakh during the chaotic years following the Soviet Union's collapse. But as my favorite Wall Street saying goes: Past performances do not guarantee future results.
Prominent Diasporans Sign Statement in Support of Homosexuality: http://www.armenianweekly.com/2013/11/01/prominent-diasporans-sign-petition-in-support-of-equality-in-armenia/
Now that Yerevan's allegiance has been secured via Yerevan's decision to join the Moscow-led Customs Union, I expect Moscow to earnestly begin pursuing bringing Baku under its fold as well.
Azerbaijan: An American ally in a sea of threats: http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2013/oct/7/azerbaijan-an-american-ally-in-a-sea-of-threats/?page=all#pagebreak
Moscow will eventually want to resolve the dispute between Yerevan and Baku under terms that meet its regional interests. Therefore, if Armenians holding on to all of the liberated territories suites its interests, it will support it. In my opinion, the primary responsibility of holding on to every square meter of liberated Artsakh falls upon the shoulders of Armenian politicians and Armenian lobbyists. Instead of bitching and complaining and fear-mongering and threatening closer relations with Western powers, as some of our idiots tend to do when things don't go their way with Moscow, we Armenians need to draw on all our national assets and make a strong case for Artsakh within the walls of the Kremlin.
The recent controversy regarding political activist and intellectual Zori Balayan's letter to Russian President Vladimir Putin may be a sign that the dispute over Artsakh is beginning to take center-stage. Zori Balayan's letter may have been a sign that Moscow is seeking to get more involved in the region. Although I'd like to refrain from drawing too many conclusions from Balayan's words for now, I do think that what he did was an attempt to test the waters for direct Russian involvement in Artsakh. Here is a relatively unbiased report on the matter from ArmeniaNow -
Experts say 200 years on, Russo-Persian peace deal still relevant: http://armenianow.com/karabakh/49499/armenia_roundtable_treaty_gulistan_russia_karabakh
Russian Expert: Nagorno Karabakh’s ties with Russia should be as strong as with Armenia: http://arka.am
In the big picture, as long as the territorial integrity of Armenia and Artsakh are maintained; as long as Armenia and Artsakh maintains its armed forces; as long as Armenian remains the nation's official language; and as long as the reigns of power in Yerevan remains in Armenians hands, I have absolutely no problems with Russians increasing their presence in Armenia - or in Artsakh.
Colonel Andrey Ruzinsky: Russian Troops in Gyumri will Retaliate If Azerbaijan Attacks Artsakh: http://asbarez.com/115675/russian-troops-in-gyumri-will-retaliate-if-azerbaijan-attacks/
In other words, the aforementioned antagonists are not truly concerned about Armenia's tiny military nor do they fear Armenia's big talking, under performing Diaspora. Simply put, they fear Russia. This is why Western agents (you know their names) have been tasked with disseminating Russophobia in Armenia. Their desire is to undermine Russo-Armenia relations so that it never reaches its potential.
Whats more, the Russian commander's comments were not totally unprecedented. As I have documented in my blog, Russian officials - both military and civilian - have been making similar statements for many years - but we Armenians have been too obsessed with genocide recognition in Washington and too preoccupied with the pursuit of Western fairytales in Armenia to have noticed it. In other words, Armenians have been too busy with petty nonsense to be taking advantage of the pro-Armenian political culture prevailing in the Kremlin today. This leads me to believe that the comments by the Russian commander may very well have been directed towards Armenians. The timing of the comments, coming on the heels of Armenia's acceptance of the Russian-led Customs Union is also significant in this context.
Needless to say, the Western press was quick to criticize the Russian commander's comments -
Russia Shows its Hand on Karabakh: http://euobserver.com/opinion/122032
Ara Abrahamyan interview: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rpf0iLdCJmU&feature=youtube_gdata_player
Convincing Moscow for common borders
Although Armenia is now on the right path, too many Armenians however continue to live only for today. There is no strategic effort or vision to lay the foundations of a powerful Armenia.
Armenians need to begin treating Armenia as they would a delicate seed full of potential. This seed first needs to be carefully sown and then it needs to be given a lot nurturing and time in order for it to grow and blossom.
Armenia, as it currently exists, is not going to big places going ultimately because the seed is not on fertile ground. Even with the best of domestic circumstances, even if our despised oligarchs turn into lovable angels overnight, Armenia will continue to remain embattled simply due to its geographic location and its less-than friendly neighbors.
Simply put, Armenia needs to expand if Armenia is to have a bright future.
Morality or ethics do not guide my thoughts. I am speaking in real political and economic terms when I say Armenia needs to breakout of its mountain prison.
In order to do that Armenians first need to stop chasing their tails with nonsense such as "Democracy" and "Civil Society" and recognize that Armenia's expansion to the Black Sea or to the borders of the Russian Federation should be the one and only long-term strategic agenda for the Armenian nation.
Despite the wild fantasies of Washington's "Democracy Now(!)" activists in Yerevan, Armenians must understand that Armenia's main problem today is not its lack of "Democracy" or the absence "free speech" or "fair elections". Rather, Armenia's primary problem today is geopolitical and geographical. Being that Armenia is small, poor, landlocked, remote and surrounded by hostile nations in a volatile political environment, we must recognize that there are essentially three ways we can cure Armenia's serious aliments:
Number one is a dream. Number two may be the most practical. But number three would be the most ideal. Obtaining a direct access to the Black Sea and/or establishing a common border with the Russian Federation should be the single most important agenda for officials in Armenia and for the Armenian Diaspora. In fact, such an agenda needs to be a pan-national pursuit and something that should somehow be incorporated into the Hay Dat. If we want Armenia to prosper - and to finally be taken seriously by international bodies - Armenians simply need to figure out a way of providing our small, impoverished, landlocked and remote nation in the volatile Caucasus with an opportunity to breakout of its geographic predicament. As long as Armenia remains in its current situation, it will continue begging at the feet of the great powers. Simply put, Armenia needs to break out of its current geographical predicament. Armenia needs common borders with the Russian Federation. When Armenians finally put aside their victim mentalities and stop looking at the political West for any kind of assistance, they may finally come to the realization that for Armenia to truly prosper it must gradually begin formulating a long-term expansionist policy in the Caucasus.
It would be naive us to think Russians would never allow such a thing. Have we tried it to know what Russians will or will not allow?
"I hope Armenia and Russia will some day have a common border"
The above comment was made by a Russian official in Yerevan several years ago. The official in question, who happens to be of Armenian decent, also called for another Russian military base in Armenia. The following is my commentary at the time -
I don't know about another Russian base in Armenia (although it wouldn't hurt), but Armenia having a border with the Russian Federation is certainly very desirable. I can only hope that a contingency plan to this effect is being worked on by Moscow and Yerevan. I can only hope that Armenian officials are doing their best to convince their Russian counterparts that establishing a land connection to Armenia is in Russia's best, long term interests. I can only hope that Armenian officials are doing their best to convince their Russian counterparts that having direct access to Armenia will level the playing field in the south Caucasus and give Moscow direct control over all three republics.
It is no secret that we Armenians are a very intelligent and talented people but our intelligence and talents are almost always misplaced and/or misused. We need to learn to apply our intelligence and talents to the strategic benefit of the Armenian state.
Had Armenians been politically sophisticated and thus farsighted, they would have at least temporarily shelved their "Western Armenia" urges and began thinking about extending Armenia's borders towards Russia via Azerbaijan or towards the Black Sea via Georgia. Those who still dream about liberating Western Armenia need to realize that the keys to Western Armenia lies in Moscow (and to a lesser extent in Tehran, if the regime there survives). In the meanwhile, Armenians who look forward to Western Armenia's liberation should stop placing hope in some worthless piece of paper being waved around by worthless pro-Western politicians like Ara Papyan.
If done right, Kremlin officials will listen. Armenia's presence in the Caucasus has for centuries been protecting Russia's vulnerable southern regions. Armenians have been an effective hedge against Muslims and Turks. Since Czarist times high officials in Russia have fully understood this. It is up to us Armenians now to effectively exploit this convergence of geostrategic interests between Russia and Armenia. The geostrategic significance of Armenia is as important for Russian officials today as it was for Czarist officials, if not more so. In a region that suffers from powerful Turkic and Islamic influences, Armenia's political independence and its close alliance with Moscow will be zealously protected by Russian officials for the foreseeable future. As a result, there exists a receptive political culture in the Kremlin for Armenians to tap into.
In the big picture, having a common border with Russia is not only more economically and geopolitically favorable to Armenia than extending into Turkey's most desolate, impoverished and still landlocked eastern regions - but it is also more doable.
Western powers, Turkey, Georgia, Azerbaijan and various other Islamic/Turkic tribes in the Caucasus are the main obstacles to a lasting peace and stability in the greater Caucasus region. The only way to pacify the strategic Caucasus region is to establish a common border with Armenia through Georgia and/or Azerbaijan. Geostrategically speaking, a powerful Armenia fully connected to and dependent on the Russian Federation is the only effective way to solve the Caucasus region's many pressing problems - including but not limited to Islamic insurgency, pan-Turkism and Western expansionism.
If Baku wants to get adventurous. If Baku tried to upset the prevailing status-quo in the region by resorting to military means to regain Artsakh. If Baku (and Tbilisi) continues being troublesome in the region - why not allow the establishment of common borders between Armenia and Russia?
A detailed plan to establish an Armenian presence on Russia's southern border via Azerbaijan should be worked on and it should be reserved as a contingency plan. This is where men like Zori Balayan can be helpful.
There are no other solutions to Armenia's core problems. Sooner or later, Armenia needs to expand. I'm not a dreamer. Therefore, I fully realize the complexities of such a suggestion. I also recognize that such a thing is wrought with risks. However, the point is that if we want our homeland to free itself of its severe socioeconomic and sociopolitical ailments and turn into a powerful state that Armenians will be proud of and would want to live in, Armenia's expansion to the Black Sea and/or to Russia is a historic necessity that we as a nation must collectively embark upon. This is a crucially important national project we Armenians must adopt and hardwire into our thinking.
However, there is a catch.
In order to convince Russian officials that a larger, more powerful Armenia will be in Moscow's long-term, strategic interests, Armenian officials must first cleanse Armenia of all its Western agents, Russophobes and it must refrain from playing footsie with Washington and/or Brussels. One of the reasons why Moscow has been somewhat nervous with its dealing with Yerevan is the ominous fact that Armenia's political landscape has been utterly infested by Western agents and Russophobes in recent years.
Armenia's Western-led political opposition represents a significant portion of Armenian society in and out of Armenia. Realizing that Armenia is saturated by Western operatives and that the typical Armenian today would sell his mother for a few Dollars or a Greencard, Russian officials would not want risking Armenia to grow too powerful, lest it loses control over Yerevan. Therefore, Kremlin officials have sought to contain all nations in the region, including their only ally, Armenia. While they have surely ensured Armenia's survival in the south Caucasus, they have nonetheless implemented a policy in the region that keeps all sides weak and in conflict. Simply put, while it treats Armenia as a strategic partner, at the same time Moscow fears that Armenia is vulnerable to Washington's political machinations and has therefore placed Yerevan on a very short leash.
Therefore, as a fundamental first step in alleviating the Kremlin's justified concerns and suspicions with regards to the political maturity of Armenians today, I am calling for a thorough purging of Armenia's dangerous Western operatives.
The only way the wild Caucasus can be pacified once again is through Pax Russica. With Moscow acting as the sole arbiter in the region, Western powers and their regional Turkish and Islamist allies will retreat. Only with them gone will the "Great Game" end and will projects such as the north-south highway and the Russia-Armenia-Iran railway grow to fruition. Only then will Armenia have a direct and unhindered access to developing markets in former Soviet territory to the north and to Iran and beyond to the south.
Syria has vividly shown us the great importance of Russian Bear on the global arena.
Recent developments in the Middle East should again be reminding us Armenians of the cruel and unforgiving nature of the region in which Armenia is unfortunately located. We should be reminded that the obsessive pursuit of "democracy" in Armenia as per Western demands is a dangerous red-herring for there are much more important tasks that our underdeveloped and inexperienced nation needs to take on before it can afford to play around with such nonsense.
Armenian lobbyists, politicians, businessmen and military leaders must be a constant presence within the walls of the Kremlin. Recent years have clearly shown us that Yerevan's alliance with the Russian Bear is Armenia's number one security guarantee for without a strong Russian presence in Armenia there won't be an Armenia in the south Caucasus. Recent years should also have shown us that Western institutions are a grave threat for underdeveloped and vulnerable nations such as Armenia.
While Western officials keep our Democracy Now(!) idiots preoccupied with things like gay rights, civil society and free elections, keeping Armenia politically isolated and economically stagnant is their ultimate game. Therefore, it would be wise to look past the lofty rhetoric of Washingtonian whores such as Raffi Hovannisian and assess their actions in Armenia within the following geostrategic context -
Keep Armenia isolated, George Friedman: http://theriseofrussia.blogspot.com/2010/11/arye-gut-israeli-jewish-expert-in.html
Thus, it could be said that the West's ultimate intention is to either destroy Armenia or place it under the mercy of their Turkic and Islamic allies. After all, the primary reason why they are in the south Caucasus to begin with is to push Russia out of the region so that Western economic/energy interests can exploit Central Asian gas and oil without Moscow's meddling. The West realizes that without Russia in the Caucasus, the very strategic region in question will be their playground. However, we Armenians need to be sober enough to realize that without a Russian presence in Armenia, there won't be an Armenian presence in the south Caucasus.
Although we have countless idiots in Armenia and in the Diaspora that think we are living in an enlightened age where the "rule of international law" and "human rights" are respected, the fact is that Western powers, as well as the entire world, is still very much governed by the old adage of - might makes right.
Let's never forget that "international law" is made by the powerful to control the weak.
Therefore, in this dog-eat-dog world, we Armenians need to be very grateful that we have a very powerful regional ally like the Russian Federation. We must be very grateful that a superpower is sincerely interested in Armenia's survival as a nation-state in a very hostile and unforgiving environment. Whereas Armenia is nothing but a geopolitical nuisance for Western powers, Armenia is a strategic asset for Russia.
This is what I mean -
"Armenia is more important to [Russia] than Israel is to the Americans"
Armenia is our only classic military-political ally...Armenia will not survive without Russia, while, without Armenia, Russia will lose all its important positions in the Caucasus...Even though Armenia is a small country, it is our forepost in the South Caucasus. I would say that Armenia is more important to us than Israel is to the Americans.
Alexsei Arbatov (Former deputy chairman of the Russia State Duma's Defense Committee)
We as a nation can never lose sight of the fact that Russia is the alpha and the omega of Caucasian politics and pray it remains that way. We Armenians need to learn to navigate the very turbulent waters of the Caucasus accepting this geopolitical reality. For the foreseeable future (i.e. for as long as the region retains its powerful Turkic and Islamic presence), Armenia will have to remain under Russia's protective umbrella. For better or for worst, Armenia is wed to Russia. Recognizing this, embracing this and exploiting this reality will help us Armenians go a very long way in the twenty-first century. We need to put aside our self-serving interests, political ignorance and emotional handicaps and for once recognize that Russia is a historic opportunity that we Armenians need to collectively wake-up to and take advantage of.
Nevertheless, as predicted, the Russian-camp in Armenia has come on top once again. This tells us that rational minds are continuing to make strategic decisions for our tiny, impoverished, remote, landlocked and blockaded nation surrounded by enemies in perhaps the most difficult location on earth. For now at least, I can sleep a little better at nights knowing that my Armenian homeland is on the right path. For now at least, I can sleep a little better at nights knowing that Armenian officials understand the paramount importance having Russian boots on the ground in Armenia. God bless Russia. God bless Armenia. And may God help protect and preserve Russo-Armenian relations from enemies both foreign and domestic.
However, in the past two months, relations between Yerevan and Moscow have resembled a kind of alienation. Until the very last moment, the recent visit by Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan to the Russian capital was under discussion, as well as a meeting and talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
On the one hand, Moscow, being extremely jealous about any penetration into the post-Soviet space by European and American interests, showed concern about the signing of the Association Agreement between Brussels and Yerevan, which is to take place in November at the upcoming Eastern Partnership Summit in Lithuania.
Sergei Markedonov is a visiting research associate at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, D.C.
Source: http://www.arminfo.info
Rasia Announces Achievement of Key Milestone for Southern Armenia Railway in Meeting with Armenian Prime Minister
Joseph Borkowski, Chairman of Dubai-based investment firm Rasia FZE which owns the 50-year concession for the Southern Armenia Railway, highlighted the strong economic viability and regional importance of the railway, as demonstrated by the feasibility study. Having reached this key milestone, Rasia will now move towards securing essential regional cooperation for the following financing, construction and operating stages of the project.
The feasibility study results indicate that the Southern Armenia Railway will cost approximately US $3.5 billion to construct, have a length of 305 kilometers from Gagarin to Agarak, and provide a base operating capacity of 25 million tons per annum. The railway will have 84 bridges spanning 19.6 kilometers and 60 tunnels of 102.3 kilometers, comprising 40% of the total project length. The selected railway alignment is nearly 44 kilometers shorter than previously estimated from Gavar to Agarak and will include the Gagarin to Gavar connection to the existing railway network, operated by the JSC Russian Railways subsidiary South Caucasus Railway CJSC.
Mr. Borkowski expressed his sincere gratitude for the time invested by Prime Minister Tigran Sargsyan in Dalian, China and for the strong support of Minister Beglaryan and the staff of the Ministry of Transport and Communication over the past year. Mr. Borkowski also reiterated his great satisfaction with the exceptional work and dedication of the CCCC team, enabling completion of the feasibility study ahead of schedule, and the positive technical cooperation with General Director Mr. Viktor Rebets and his team at South Caucasus Railway CJSC.
As the key missing link in the International North-South Transport Corridor, the Southern Armenia Railway will create the shortest transportation route from the ports of the Black Sea to the ports of the Persian Gulf. The Southern Armenia Railway will establish a major commodities transit corridor between Europe and the Persian Gulf region, with conservative long-term traffic volume forecasts of 18.3 million tons per annum. Once the railway is completed, transport costs and times for the region are expected to improve substantially, fostering greater regional trade and economic growth while dramatically strengthening the Armenian economy. The feasibility study suggests a National Economic IRR for Armenia exceeding 11%. The implementation of the Southern Armenia Railway Project is a top strategic priority for Armenia and the region.
Armenia may take advantages of the Eurasian corridor that Russia has proposed to open if the railroad stretching across Georgia's breakaway Abkhazia opens, Aram Safaryan, head of an NGO called Integration and Development, said Wednesday in Novosti International Press Center. The Russia-proposed corridor stretches from its Far East region to the European Union's border.
"Specialists have calculated that if this corridor works properly, in accordance with its technical and economic regulations, cargo transportation from the Far East to Europe will take less time, up to 50 days, in the future thanks to immense government investments, and it may become cheaper," Safaryan said.
"But only the opening of the Abkhazian section of the railway would give this advantage to Armenia."
Safaryan said if the Abkhazian railway starts functioning, it would benefit Armenia's trade with Russia and its partners.
"China is our second biggest trade partner after Russia, and the first partner, if gas component is not taken into account. Our trade turnover amounted to almost $500 million in 2012."
Safaryan also said that prices for Chinese goods may be other, if the Abkhazian section is opened.
"The status of observer at Shanghai Cooperation Organization will become reasonable if we solve important problems within the Commonwealth of Independent States," he said. In his words, specialists find prospects for the opening very high given political processes in Georgia.
Source: http://arka.am
Also, Russia is ready to lift a 30 percent customs duty on export of natural gas to Armenia, Movsisyan said. Currently Armenia pays $270 for one thousand cubic meters of Russian gas supplied to the country across Georgia. Of that amount $189 dollars is the price of gas, and the rest is the 30% customs duty.
"We have done quite a lot of work with the Russian side. After the September 3 announcement on Armenia’s joining the Russia-led Customs Union, the gas delivery contract between the two governments will be revised and simplified. This means the Russian side will not apply customs duty on gas exports to Armenia. We hope that a revised contract will be signed before the end of this year," Movsisyan said.
According to the minister, the price of gas for Armenia will be the same as in Russia plus transportation costs. However, Movsisyan said this will not affect the price for local consumers. “Our calculations show that revised contract will not entail a price rise or price drop,” he added.
Russia is ready to finance 35 percent of the cost of construction of a new power unit for Armenia’s nuclear power plant, Vahram Petrosyan, the secretary of a presidential council on nuclear power safety, said today.
Armenian authorities said they will build a new nuclear power plant to replace the aging Metsamor plant. The new plant is supposed to operate at twice the capacity of the Soviet-constructed facility. Metsamor currently generates some 40 percent of Armenia’s electricity. But the government has yet to attract funding for the project that was estimated by a U.S.-funded feasibility study to cost at as much as $5 billion.
“We are looking for new investors. As for Russia, they are willing to participate in the project by funding 35 percent of its cost. The money will be used to purchase the necessary equipment,” Petrosyan said at a news conference after a meeting of the council.
The plant is located some 30 kilometers west of Yerevan. It was built in the 1970s but was closed following a devastating earthquake in 1988. One of its two VVER 440-V230 light-water reactors was reactivated in 1995. On September 3, Russian president Putin said experts from Russian state nuclear company Rosatom and Armenian experts will work to extend the service life of the Armenian nuclear power plant in Metsamor for another 10 years until 2026.
Petrosyan said the extension of the service life of the facility requires at least $150 million. On Wednesday, President Serzh Sarkisian met with the chairman of the presidential Nuclear Energy Safety Council (NESC), Adolf Birkhofer, who has arrived in Armenia to participate in the regular session of the NESC.
The President of Armenia and Chairman of NESC spoke about planned works aimed at the enhancement of the security level of the Metsamor nuclear power plant and its current state. In that regard, the parties stated that the Metsamor plant has the necessary projected level of seismic stability. Serzh Sarkisian and Adolf Birkhofer also spoke about issues related to the future operation of the plant, the construction of a new energy unit, and cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), including the results of the OSART mission.
After the meeting, President Serzh Sarkisian and Chairman Adolf Birkhofer participated in the session of the NESC. The President began by underscoring that it would be difficult to overestimate the importance of cooperation in the council, considering the special role that nuclear energy plays in ensuring energy security for Armenia.
President Sarkisian thanked the IAEA, the governments of the Russian Federation, US, Czech Republic, Great Britain, and Italy, and the European Commission for their assistance.
The governments of the Republic of Armenia and the Russian Federation will soon sign an agreement on cooperation in the area of nuclear safety, the President said. The agreement will allow Armenia to:
– develop infrastructure for nuclear safety in preparation for the construction of new energy units based on Russian designs.
– train, re-train and upgrade specialists of nuclear safety, taking into consideration IAEA recommendations.
– expand the framework of cooperation in nuclear energy.
In October 2012, the Governments of the Republic of Armenia and the United States signed a memorandum of understanding pertinent to the energy (including nuclear energy) sector. The document allows the two countries to cooperate more closely in the area of peaceful use of nuclear energy.
President Sarkisian mentioned that a great amount of work has been done with the assistance of the IAEA and international experts towards improving the seismic stability of the Metsamor plant. In 2012, during routine, preventive renovations, supporting structures were installed to enhance the seismic stability of the main structures and components of the plant, which are pivotal from a safety point of view.
In 2013, the IAEA OSART sent a mission to Armenia that registered sufficient progress but also raised concerns related, particularly, to the management of radioactive waste. The President said experts have already started to develop a strategy on safe management of radioactive waste with the technical assistance of the European Union.
“Armenia reiterates her intention to develop nuclear energy which has a special place in the country’s energy development program. Only nuclear power can allow us to maintain the proper level of the country’s energy security and independence,” President Sargsyan stressed in his remarks.
Source: http://arka.am
"It is elementary, and it is unclear on what Armenia’s aspiration to sign association agreement with the EU was based, which would block, in my opinion, the only possible option for Yerevan to consolidate its allied relations with Russia through the Eurasian process ," said Kovalenko.
The diplomat said he never doubted that Armenia would eventually choose the Eurasian integration, noting that the allied relations between Armenia and Russia are based not only on military-technical , trade and economic, but also on humanitarian cooperation.
"Humanitarian cooperation implies development of close human relationships: it is the Russian language, mutual enrichment between the two cultures, it is the planned opening of the branch of Moscow State University in Armenia,” said Kovalenko.
According to him, the creation of the Armenian branch of the University will allow young people from the southern regions of Russia to pursue higher education not in Moscow but in Armenia and in the future to stay at homeland and serve it. He also stressed the importance of around 100 centers of Russian language in Armenia.
Director of the Caucasus Institute, Alexander Iskandaryan, said Armenia and Russia are interconnected by many threads, and neither side wants to cut them. "Russia is important for Armenia in terms of its security. Armenia in turn has strategic significance for Russia which wants to be present in the South Caucasus as a significant force,’ Iskandaryan said.
Director of the Armenian branch of the CIS Institute, Alexander Makarov, added that the military- political cooperation has always been a priority in relations between the two countries. "If we talk about economic cooperation, Russian investors are the main investors in Armenia, the Russian capital is present in almost all areas of the economy", he said.
Source: http://armenpress.am/eng/news/737026/
Russian troops stationed in Armenia could openly side with it in case of a renewed Armenian-Azerbaijani war for Nagorno-Karabakh, according to their top commander, Colonel Andrey Ruzinsky.
“If Azerbaijan decides to restore jurisdiction over Nagorno-Karabakh by force the [Russian] military base may join in the armed conflict in accordance with the Russian Federation’s obligations within the framework of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO),” Ruzinksy told the Russian Defense Ministry’s “Krasnaya Zvezda” newspaper in a recent interview.
Ruzinksy answered a question about the mission of the Russian base headquartered in Armenia’s second largest city of Gyumri. That mission was upgraded by a Russian-Armenian defense agreement signed in 2010. The agreement extended Russia’s basing rights in Armenia until 2044. It also committed Moscow to supplying its South Caucasus ally with more weapons and military hardware.
During a meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Sept 3, Armenian leader Serzh Sargsyan said Armenia is ready to join Customs Union, with further plans to be involved in formation of the Eurasian Economic Union. Mr. Putin supported the initiative, voicing readiness to assist Armenia in the process. He also noted that Russian Railways may invest 15 billion rubles in development of Armenia's railway network. The Customs Union was formed in 2010 to include of Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Russia; Kirghizia and Tajikistan later expressed willingness to join the Union.
A group of economists have drafted a research upon the initiative of the Eurasian Development Bank on “Economic Calculations of Armenia’s Integration Processes with the Customs Union and the Eurasian Economic Union.”
The group, lead by Ashot Tavadyan, head of the Faculty of Economic-Mathematical Methodology at the Yerevan State University of Economics, summing up the results of the four-month research told the press on Wednesday that in the event of Armenia’s membership in the Customs Union (CU) “an Armenian citizen will have a safer and better life”.
The economist shared an opinion that Armenia has not matured for European standards yet and could have found itself “in trouble”, just like Baltic countries have, if it entered the EU free trade area.
The experts have concluded that with the CU Armenia may have a 4-percent economic growth in the initial period, while in case of joining the EU free trade area that index would have ranged between two and three percent only (they referred to European experts’ analysis of Armenia’s Association Agreement with the EU to draw parallels).
As opposed to Bagrat Asatryan, former chairman of the Central Bank, who voiced rather pessimistic perspectives in this concern, Tavadyan claims the Customs Union agreement with Armenia is “about economic security, as part of security in general”.
“This is an agreement of unprecedented investments and employment growth,” stated Tavadyan. The economist says that the public transport fares will drop in Armenia, as Russia has promised to make a $470-million investment in that field.
“The other important factor is the $100 million investment by the Eurasian bank, which will ensure high tempo of economic growth in our country. As for the energy bloc, joining the CU means we will have a good chance of exploiting the nuclear power plant and building a new one in the future,” says Tavadyan, predicting that in the future Armenia, as a CU member, would import natural gas from Russia at a 30-percent cheaper price: today’s $270 per 1,000 cubic meter would cost $187.
“It will happen automatically, since the union ideology provides for fair competition, meaning that the gas tariff, in our case, would include only transportation and transit fees,” assures Tavadyan.
Another conclusion is that in the event of joining the CU Armenia's labor migrants would send 3 percent more remittances to Armenia, as they would have less trouble “finding employment and dealing with administrative issues”.
Armenia needs more maneuvers in handling its ties with the European Union and Russia in its foreign policies, an Armenia scholar said in an interview with Xinhua on Tuesday. There are two agreements pending between the EU and Armenia -- the Association Agreement (AA), or political document for integration with the EU, and the Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area (DCFTA), an economic and trade document with the EU, said Richard Giragosian, director of the Regional Studies Center. The two documents are closely related, said Giragosian.
"The AA has largely been negotiated under understanding that the key component will be that DCFTA. Therefore, if that is removed, what is left is seriously diluted -- giving Armenia very little, and giving the EU much less," he said.
Joining the Russia-led Customs Union closes the door for Armenia's access to European markets, and removes the availability of the DCFTA.
"Therefore, the EU reaction has been extremely negative but on a justifiable ground: it was a complete surprise, and it endangered several years of commitments and negotiations between Armenia and the EU," he said.
"More importantly, it also shows that EU investment and expectations in Armenia have been diminished. Therefore, Armenia is in danger of looking insincere and incompetent in the eyes of the EU," said Giragosian.
Armenia will lose an opportunity for much bigger markets if it turns away from Europe, while the Customs Union offers Armenia nothing in terms of trade with Russia and the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), he said.
Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan has said that Armenia is ready to join the Russia-led Customs Union. Giragosian said Sargsyan took a very bold but unexpected decision to commit Armenia to joining the Customs Union at a recent meeting in Moscow with Russian President Vladimir Putin. In many ways this decision was a strategic mistake, which makes Armenia no longer be capable of signing the DCFTA with EU, he said.
"Four years of negotiations between the EU and Armenia has now been rejected, and unfortunately Armenia is in danger of returning to a vassal state within the Russian orbit," he said. "Armenia for the past five years has been struggling to strengthen sovereignty and independence and to pursue a foreign policy designed to give more options and more space to Armenia to engage with the West while remaining a security partner of Russia."
Yet, currently there is a reversal in this trend of diversification, and the real danger for Armenia now is that it is becoming a little more than a Russian garrison-state.
Giragosian believed that economically Armenia is looking to the EU, while militarily it keeps a security agreement with Russia. "This balance is now in danger of being lost," he noted. Giragosian said that Armenia's decision might be a result of Russian pressure, which would reveal a deeper problem of the nature of the relationship or alliance between Russia and Armenia. If it was not a result of Russian pressure, that's another problem because it shows the weakness of the Armenian leadership and government, he said.
But the real question for Ukraine, Moldova and other former Soviet states is how to balance the need to overcome isolation and the reality of having a strong, assertive and aggressive Russia on their borders, he said. Currently, Armenia has been actively developing ties beyond its reliance on Russia in the military cooperation, said Giragosian. It has deepened ties with NATO's Partnership for Peace Program as well as bilateral military ties with a number of other countries, including the United States, Germany and Greece.
Giragosian also said that over the past four years Armenia has been negotiating with the EU, and the Russians have never protested, opposed nor blocked. What happened over the past several weeks was a rather late change in Moscow to exercise greater control, power and influence within the so-called near abroad -- the former Soviet states, added the scholar. He said that Russia's playing the Armenia card was a message of strength to the West, to the United States, and more importantly to Ukraine and Belarus.
It is much more important strategically for Russia to bring Ukraine into the Customs Union. This is also linked to Russia's policy over Syria as well, in terms of confronting and containing any kind of Western or European interference within its own sphere of influence.
"It is interesting that the Russian position is based on inherent weakness, not strength. And this is actually a desperate move to reinforce the decline in Russia's long-term power and influence," he said. "But I don't think over the long term it will work, because there is no incentive, this is more of stick than carrot. But for a small country like Armenia, it is going to be difficult to try to regain more options and more strategic maneuverability," said Giragosian.
"Russian policy has been not very strategic -- a much shorter, tactical response, counterproductive I would argue as well. Because in the long run, Armenia within this EU framework is a win-win prospect," he said.
He added that there has not been any danger of Russia losing Armenia as an ally in this region. Moreover, Armenia is the only reliable country for Russia in this region, the only member of the Collective Security Treaty Organization, the only country to host a Russian military presence.
"Armenia should do a better job in actually manipulating its geographic isolation and vulnerability, and think strategically in longer term, rather than giving in too soon in exchange for a little benefit," noted Giragosian.
Georgia traditionally has been the most pro-Western state in the South Caucasus. But in the almost year since Prime Minister Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Georgian Dream coalition gained control of parliament, Georgia’s stance toward Russia has softened somewhat.
On November 28, during a summit in Vilnius, Lithuania, Georgia is expected to move closer to the European Union when it is expected to initial an Association Agreement, a major step toward potential EU membership. The agreement, which is also on the table for Ukraine and Moldova, will gradually reduce obstacles for closer economic ties with Brussels.
Some Georgians believe that prospect makes Moscow nervous -- not only because it will expand EU influence in a region the Kremlin still considers its “backyard,” but it will also place an economic obstacle between Russia and Georgia’s southern neighbor, Armenia, the lone Caucasian country to sign on to the Eurasian Union’s precursor, a Customs Union with Russia, Kazakhstan and Belarus.
Georgian State Minister for Euro-Atlantic Integration Aleksi Petriashvili on October 9 predicted to reporters that Russia plans “to use all the levers available to it to exert pressure [on Georgia]” before it initials the Association Agreement.
Speculation began about Tbilisi’s intentions after an offhand observation last month from Ivanishvili that Georgia might consider joining Russia’s Eurasian Union, if it proved “interesting.”
Zurab Abashidze, a former Georgian ambassador to Moscow who represents Tbilisi in negotiations with Russia over humanitarian and economic issues, stressed that the Georgian government is not discussing the Eurasian Union with the Kremlin, or any sort of compromise on Tbilisi’s policy of European integration.
While support among Georgians for the EU and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization remains strong (76 percent of 3,838 respondents in a recent poll for the National Democratic Institute), a chance exists that the public -- particularly in impoverished, rural areas -- could switch sides if Moscow makes the right offer, said Kornely K. Kakachia, a political-science professor at Tbilisi State University.
“If you ask people at the end of the day; ‘which one is more important, territorial integrity or Western integration?’ I am not sure Western integration will prevail,” Kakchia commented. The fact that many Georgians understand the EU integration process more in terms of theoretical advantages tomorrow than immediate gains today plays into this risk, he continued. “Moscow knows this, and Moscow tries to utilize it.”
Beginning in roughly 2009, Russian troops have been installing barbed wire and fences within areas of separatist-controlled South Ossetia that neighbor on Tbilisi-controlled territory. In recent months, though, they have moved the “border” into Tbilisi-controlled lands, effectively incorporating Georgian orchards, cemeteries and houses into breakaway South Ossetia.
Denounced by Tbilisi’s Western allies and, in a United Nations speech, by President Mikheil Saakashvili, the fence-building appears to have paused for now, Interior Ministry spokesperson Kakha Kemoklidze told EurasiaNet.org on October 11.
But the fences “squandered” any chance that existed for Tbilisi and Moscow to mend relations, much less consider an economic alliance, said Tornike Sharashenidze, a professor of international affairs at the Georgian Institute for Public Affairs and the former director of the NATO Information Center in Tbilisi.
While ordinary Georgians possibly “are not very well aware of … the benefits of the European Union, … they cannot help but see the aggression of Russia,” Sharashenidze said.
Political analyst Alexander Rondeli, founder of the Georgian Foundation for Strategic and International Studies, agrees. “[With the fences] they show everyone -- and Georgians first of all -- that everything, all negotiations, are by Russian rules,” Rondeli said. “It is [a] classical, old strategy: the powerful do as they wish, and the weak do what they can.”
Ivanishvili himself has said he does not plan to visit the affected villages since his presence “will do nothing.” Officials maintain that the fences are the fault of the 2008 war with Russia under President Saakashvili, but conceivably could be used to pressure Georgia to join the Eurasian Union. Yet the potential pressure points go beyond fences.
The Russian Federal Security Bureau (FSB) announced on October 4 that it has unearthed an international arms-smuggling ring, which it claims has been moving weapons from Georgian-controlled territory via South Ossetia into Russia’s North Ossetia. Tbilisi has not yet responded to the claims. Such allegations often accompany upticks in tension over South Ossetia.
Another barb aims at a Georgian weak spot, the economy. Just three months after Russia reopened its markets to Georgian alcohol and mineral water, the Russian state consumer-protection agency RosPotrebNadzor once again began questioning the quality of imported Georgian wine. Georgian wine producers, in the past have emphasized that they have diversified away from the Russian market.
Source: http://www.eurasianet.org/node/67629
EU Commissioner for Enlargement and European Neighborhood Policy Stefan Fule told journalists in Yerevan Friday that the European Union will not sign any documents with Armenia at the Eastern Partnership summit in Vilnius, scheduled for late November.
“The agreement on a deep and comprehensive free trade area is part of the Association Agreement. It is a single document, and one can not be separated from the other,” Fule said after an informal meeting of foreign ministers of the Eastern Partnership program’s member countries in Yerevan.
Opposition leader Raffi Hovannisian described membership in the customs union of Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan as a grave threat to Armenia’s independence as he again rallied supporters in Yerevan on Friday.
Hovannisian added the Armenian government’s pledge to join the union to a list of reasons why he believes President Serzh Sarkisian should step down. He said Sarkisian “single-handedly decided to subordinate Armenia’s sovereignty to others in a humiliating manner.”
“A government that steals elections, attacks citizens, ruins cultural values, fails to solve crimes in the army and elsewhere … and takes a step in Moscow that is not anti-American or anti-European but anti-Armenian,” he told several hundred people in the city’s Liberty Square.
The Zharangutyun (Heritage) party leader, who was Sarkisian’s main challenger in the February 2013 presidential election, called for the creation of a broad-based “national renewal front” that would campaign for regime change. “If we don’t come out of our corners and create that powerful fist nobody will forgive us for the loss of statehood,” he said.
“Armenia’s independence is jeopardized,” Zaruhi Postanjian, an outspoken Zharangutyun parliamentarian, said in a speech at the rally.
Hovannisian launched what he described as a new campaign of anti-government protests late last month, shortly before Sarkisian announced his decision on the customs union in Moscow. He has failed to pull large crowds so far.
The U.S.-born oppositionist called on other opposition and civic groups to join in the campaign ahead of the latest rally. Only a handful of small groups and individual figures heeded the appeal, however. Among them was Paruyr Hayrikian, another former presidential candidate who spent more than a decade in Soviet prisons for campaigning for Armenia’s independence.
Of all opposition represented in the Armenian parliament, only Zharangutyun and the Free Democrats party have explicitly rejected Armenia’s accession to the customs union.
Now we have found ourselves in a little bit different situation [he refers to the choice of the Russian-led Customs Union over European integration] and it can be predicted that maybe not that fast, not in a very active and cruel manner, but restrictions on freedom of expression will grow to become a more and more serious challenge in Armenia and in that case the unwillingness of individual journalists to work in that situation, under such conditions will be understandable to me,” said Navasardyan.
The opposition leader clearly referred to Sargsyan’s volte-face in announcing last month Armenia’s decision to join the Russia-led Customs Union, calling into question the prospect of further political and economic integration with the European Union.
He has been outspoken in his criticism of the Armenian government, which he considers a “slave” of the Kremlin.
“So Armenia is a very special case, as is Belarus. But I’m not sure that the Russians will find it so easy to pull off the same trick with Georgia, Moldova, Ukraine or Azerbaijan,” the European diplomat said. “We have still away to go to Vilnius and I think Vilnius can still be a big success – even without Armenia.”
Long assumed to be the guiding principle of Armenia’s foreign policy, “complementarity” has lost any meaning with Armenia’s decision to join the Russia-led Customs Union and prospectively the Eurasian Union. Presidents Vladimir Putin and Serzh Sargsyan jointly announced that decision on September 3, and the Armenian government started on September 7 the drafting of accession documents for the Customs Union (see EDM, September 5, 6, 11)
Yerevan’s choice, in effect, repudiates the European Union’s offer to conclude association and trade agreements with Armenia—an offer that the United States had also encouraged Yerevan to embrace. Instead, Armenia’s decision in favor of Russia’s economic bloc, compounding Yerevan’s military alliance with Moscow, brings the process of Russia’s satellization of Armenia close to completion.
That duality, however, never applied in practice. The administrations of presidents Robert Kocharian and Serzh Sargsyan allowed Russia to establish an overwhelming economic presence in Armenia. That, along with endemic local corruption, discouraged Western investment generally and even the Armenian diaspora’s investment in Armenia. By farming out the economy to Russia, the two Karabakhi presidents ensured Moscow’s support for their rule in Yerevan and freezing the resolution of the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict.
Armenia’s main political parties basically support or accept Sargsyan’s decision on joining Russia’s Customs Union project. In this sense, the strategic choice rests on a political consensus across party lines. No coherent public debate can yet be observed in Yerevan on the economic merits of joining the Customs Union. Instead, politicians representing the main political parties justify this economic choice with reference to national security considerations. Explicitly or implicitly, this means Russian military protection of Armenian territorial gains at Azerbaijan’s expense.
Complementarity’s demise was not a pre-determined outcome. It is largely a result of Yerevan’s need for Russian support to maintain the occupation of six districts inside Azerbaijan, beyond Upper Karabakh.
Having renounced the European Union’s offer of association and trade agreements, Yerevan takes the position that it can only cooperate with the EU to an extent that would not contradict Armenia’s commitment to Russia’s Customs Union project. Foreign Affairs Minister Eduard Nalbandian rushed to Brussels and Vilnius to inform the European Commission and the EU’s Lithuanian presidency of Armenia’s policy shift. The Armenian government made the same explanations to the EU’s Enlargement and Neighborhood Policy Commissioner Stefan Fuele, in Yerevan (Arminfo, News.Am, September 11).
Limiting relations with the EU, as a deliberate policy, to a level that would not impinge on relations with Russia, means to all intents and purposes a Russia-First orientation; and Yerevan’s statements to that effect amount to an unofficial obituary of the “complementarity” policy.
“Armenia has said Yes to Putin and No to the European Union,” noted the European People’s Party (EPP, umbrella organization of Europe’s center-right and Christian-Democrat parties) in a statement deploring Yerevan’s decision. The EPP had strongly encouraged Yerevan and Brussels to conclude the association and trade agreements. The Christian-Democrats’ support all but guaranteed parliamentary ratification of those agreements in Europe, had these been signed. Instead, a disappointed EPP reminded Yerevan that the Customs Union would turn Armenia and other acceding countries into “Russia’s satellites” (PanArmenian.Net, RFE/RL, September 6).
If “complementarity’s” Western dimension ever operated in any real, practical sense, it was by using Armenian diaspora advocacy groups in the West to support Yerevan’s policy objectives. This activity was particularly visible in the US Congress, often contradicting the US administration’s policy objectives or complicating US relations with allied Turkey and strategic partner Azerbaijan.
Thus, Armenian advocacy groups and their allies unsuccessfully opposed the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline project, successfully opposed the Kars-Tbilisi-Baku railroad project (blocking EximBank funding for it), successfully imposed parity on US government funding of cooperation with Azerbaijan and Armenia, blocked or derailed several US ambassadorial appointments to the region, and urged US recognition of a “genocide” against Armenians in the Ottoman Empire, in the knowledge that such recognition would explode US-Turkey relations (2015 will be a watershed year in this as yet unsuccessful campaign). Insofar as they negatively affect Washington’s allies and partners, those public advocacy efforts should lose credibility when traceable to a government in Yerevan that has dropped “complementarity’s” façade, choosing full-fledged satellization by Russia.
Source: http://www.jamestown.org
The Armenians were no doubt watching Russian moves elsewhere in their immediate neighborhood, where a distinct pattern is emerging. On Sept. 11, Russia banned the import of Moldovan wine, on the grounds that it is a "health hazard." Ukrainian chocolates have suffered the same fate. Another old tactic, the use of gas pricing and supply as a tool of political influence, is being resurrected in Ukraine as well. In essence—and I'm summarizing here—the Russians have let the Ukrainians understand that if they drop their own negotiations with Europe and join the Eurasian Customs Union, the price of the gas they import from Russia could drop by more than half.
It's an excellent offer, so much so that—examined objectively—it seems extraordinary that the Ukrainians have not accepted it already. But Ukraine is hesitating, and has been for some time. Even the country's most Russo-philic politicians know that the decision represents not a short-term financial decision but a long-term civilizational choice, between the relatively open markets and open politics of Europe and the closed world of the former Soviet Union. One Armenian opposition politician explained the consequences of his country's decision to choose Russia over Europe like this: "Armenia, by choosing the customs union instead of agreements with the EU will remain a country of oligarchs and monopolies just like Russia."
Yet when examined objectively, it seems extraordinary that the Russians want their neighbors to make that kind of choice, too. Surely it's in Russia's own interests to share borders with countries that have broad international contacts, faster economic growth, access to Western markets, and therefore wealthier domestic consumers, who could buy Russian goods. Surely it's in Russia's own interests, in the long term, to have similar access to Western markets itself. If Europe did manage to craft association agreements with Armenia, Ukraine, and Moldova, there’s no reason to think that a similar arrangement with Russia would not eventually follow.
The explanation is as straightforward as it is sad: Russia's ruling elite, led by President Putin, does not act in Russia’s interests. Russian elites act in their own interests. At the moment, they are convinced that economic nationalism and the language of neo-imperialism will win them popular support, and possibly private profits. I wonder how long the rest of the Russians will put up with it.
Source: http://www.slate.com
Armenia has long maintained close economic ties with Russia, though it had been rather hesitant on the Customs Union issue. Moscow has sought to expand membership of the union (which it launched with Belarus and Kazakhstan in 2010) to other states in the former Soviet periphery, with Armenia serving as a leading candidate for expansion. However, Sarkisian remained aloof on such a proposal, preferring to cautiously expand trade ties with the European Union and other countries like Iran in order to diversify the country's economic options.
But Russia has been trying to dissuade countries on its periphery from expanding cooperation with the European Union, particularly as a key Eastern Partnership summit approaches in November. Moscow has pursued a stick-and-carrot approach in this regard, which in Armenia's case involved raising the price of natural gas exports while offering investment and trade benefits for closer integration. Sarkisian's announcement therefore reflects a success in Russia's strategy on the part of Armenia. Armenia's decision likely means that plans to initial the agreements with the European Union in November will be canceled. Though some Armenian officials have held the door open to the EU deals, both Russian and European officials have said that Customs Union membership necessarily precludes further integration with the European Union. Meanwhile, the already close links between Armenia and Russia can be expected to become even stronger, especially since the Customs Union is set to evolve into the Eurasian Union by 2015.
Armenia's potential membership (actual accession will likely take at least 1-2 years) will also have regional implications. Armenia does not share a physical border with Russia, necessitating a transit state for closer customs and trade links. Armenia's border with Azerbaijan is closed over the Nagorno-Karabakh issue, leaving Georgia as the logical candidate to serve as a transit country. Indeed, Georgia has already seen a slow but significant opening to Russia under the leadership of Prime Minister Bidzina Ivanishvili, with trade and visa links seeing limited resumptions. There have also been initial talks on reopening rail traffic between Russia and Armenia through Georgia and the breakaway territory of Abkhazia. Armenia's membership in the Customs Union will likely increase the prospects of such projects even further.
However, there are still many elements that could derail a complete transformation in regional economic and political dynamics. Armenia has already seen protests over the Customs Union announcement led by the opposition Heritage Party, though these have so far remained small. And while Ivanishvili has oriented Georgia more closely toward Moscow (he recently said that the details of Georgia's potential Eurasian Union membership are ''worth examining''), Georgia's political landscape remains fractured and such moves would be contested by other political elements, particularly those loyal to Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili. Azerbaijan, another regional country with close energy and economic ties to Georgia and one opposed to Customs Union membership, will try to dissuade Tbilisi from taking any bold moves that threaten its interests in the country.
Ultimately, Armenia's announcement shows that the battle between Russia and the European Union over the former Soviet periphery is intensifying, as countries feel pressured into making a choice between the two camps. Yerevan has chosen Moscow over Brussels, with both immediate and long-term implications for the other countries in the Caucasus region.
Thus, in one short meeting, he scrapped the draft Association Agreement with the EU, which included a ‘Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement’ (DCFTA), whose negotiation over the past three years had advanced to the point that its initialling was firmly scheduled for the Eastern Partnership summit in Vilnius in November. And, at the same time, the Armenian President chose to deprive his country of the possibility to enter into free trade area agreements with other states, which any economy is free to do unless it is part of a customs union, in which case it becomes bound to a common external tariff.
This latter deprivation is particularly serious in Armenia’s case, since Russia’s external tariff is on average rather highly protective. In the process, Sargsyan has also precluded Armenia from pursuing the only plausible strategy to become an open, highly-skilled, small economy, following for example the model of Israel, with which it shares several features in common.
More broadly, it is worth noting that most of the world’s top-ten economies by GDP per capita, from Luxembourg to Singapore, are small but completely open countries. The economic case against joining the Russian customs union is all the greater because nothing in the DCFTA with the EU would have prevented Armenia from entering into a ‘high-quality’, free trade agreement1 with the Russian-led customs union.
Armenia is already party to the matrix of CIS free trade agreements, but many of these do not function well. Rather than join the Belarus, Kazakhstan and Russia customs union, why should Armenia not simply negotiate a high-quality free trade agreement with it? President Sargsyan has offered two main explanations for his baffling behaviour: Armenia depends on Russia to guarantee its security and its large diaspora in Russia make it natural for the two countries to have a close economic relationship. One might challenge the first explanation by noting that no other collective security arrangement, e.g. NATO, requires its member states to join a customs union led by the principal nation.
Michael Emerson is Associate Senior Research Fellow at CEPS. Hrant Kostanyan is an Associate Research Fellow at CEPS and a BOF (Special Research Fund) Research Fellow at the Centre for EU Studies (CEUS) in the Department of Political Science at Ghent University.
The poll showed 67% of Armenia’s population prefers cooperation with Russia, 17% considers cooperation with the EU a priority and 12% prefers neither Russia nor the EU. Apart from this, if only one cooperation format should be chosen – the EU or Russia, then 75% of respondents choose Russia and only 19% prefer the EU.
Despite the fact that Armenia’s elites are of different opinion about the accession to the Customs Union, yet the mass support shows the decision about accession is justified, director of EurAsEc, member of Scientific Council of the Russian Academy of Sciences for Eurasian economic integration Vladimir Lepyokhin said.
My thoughts on your commentary (part 1 of 4).-
ReplyDelete"Simply put, Armenians cannot afford to be under any illusions today. Militarily, Azerbaijan is getting stronger with time. If for some reason Moscow gave Baku a green light to attack, we will lose Artsakh."
Moscow would only give green light to azerbaijan when it won’t find any strategic interest in Armenia (something that is unforeseeable).
azerbaijan is not getting stronger despite what our oppositionists want us to believe. First of all, we have the upper hand. We are on the mountains, they are in the plains. ALWAYS the mountainous people have won against the plain people, because each of these people have a different mentality. Sure, azeris have the billions to get unlimited amounts of arms, but will they use them effectively? I know this may sound like an underestimation and subjective, but azeri soldiers, even with all their latest gadgets and colorful camo-suits still don't stand a chance against Armenians. While you're right that the turks are soldiers, and Armenians are Generals, azeris are actually potato-cutters and room-cleaners. That has been their main occupation in the Soviet Army. Contrary to the turks, who are descendants of the ottoman empire(rich in diplomacy, realpolitik and military might), azeri/tatars were gypsies and cannot act/fight the same way as their turkish counterparts. Do you know by the way the main reason why we kill hundreds of azeris on the front every year, even though it goes unannounced? Because Aliyev's strongest forces are around him, to protect himself, while the weakest ones are on our borders, and have eventually become target practice for our boys. You might say that Russia supported Armenia during the Artsakh war, but Russia also supported to a lesser degree azerbaijan, which was also supported by foreign mercenaries and mujahideen. These facts show that logically we should have lost badly during the war, the reason that we succeeded was because Artsakhtsis, unlike other Armenians, have always maintained semi-independence and survived on their own, even during Persian and Ottoman rule (I am aware of Russia’s interference when Turkey announced to invade us, but we’re talking here about the Artsakh front). And what's the secret of their success? Artsakhtsis have mastered the art of KILLING; yes, KILLING is an art, unlike "dying for your country" which translates to a "sure I might kill but I'm gonna die anyway" mentality. I can give you another example, Musa Ler (6000 civilians with only 400 guns and limited supplies against the massive Ottoman Army). Musalertsis, just like Artsakhtsis, knew their terrain and throughout Ottoman rule were semi-independent (when turks came to collect taxes they'd get their asses kicked), and they didn't hesitate when the time to KILL came. Heck, even when the French ships came to the rescue, the men were not willing to go, they only wanted more food, guns and ammo to keep fighting and send the women and children away. Will they have been eventually overrun by the turks if the French didn’t come to help? Yes. BUT last I checked Killing visciously/ruthlessly while losing makes a hell a lot of difference than saying “vay turkere mezanic ujex en aveli lav a xelok mnank” and get slaughtered mercilessly. Now, imagine if EVERY single Armenian in the world had this KILLER mentality that the Musalertsis and Artsakhtsis have... Why am I saying all this? Because Armenians continuously think like victims “vay Azerbaijan has more weapons than us, they’re more in numbers etc.” “Turkey killed 1.5 millions of Armenians! We can’t do that! We’re not strong enough” We need to educate our children WARRIORS (we have it inside us, we just have to find it and wake it up after its 1500+ years slumber), not pacifists and hippies, which brings me to my next point.
Part 2: “Via television programming, the young republic's educational system, so-called aid agencies and propaganda outlets disguised as news agencies, Western "values" began penetrating Armenian society very soon after the Soviet Union dissolved.”
ReplyDeleteI would like to focus on the educational system since other points are widely covered in this blog. A few summers ago I was strolling in Yerevan with a local female friend. The subject turned to the educational system of Armenia. She said something that caught my attention “Here in Armenian schools, they do not teach us hatred towards the turks, all they teach us regarding that subject is that turkey commited genocide against Armenians and that they should apologize”. This a major flaw in Armenian Education in my opinion. We are still struck with this mentality that we can only do good, we can never hate, we can never directly confront turks, we should win our enemies by loving them (I’m not attacking Christianity here at all, I’m attacking our mentality, this has nothing to do with what is written in the New Testament), turkish people are good people, only their government is bad etc. etc. etc. Words such as “good” and “bad” are very subjective. Sure, there might be some genuine turks who accept the truth, but that does not mean we must trust them with all our hearts, in the end, they act for their own interests, and chances these interests are still harmful to Armenia. Basically what I’m trying to say is that while the turks are training youth to give a few hours a day from their time to spew hatred against Armenians on the internet or in the news or anywhere else, we on one hand in Armenia are turning into pacifist hippies, and in the Diaspora into crybabies (even though they taught us to hate turks, they have also subconsciously convinced many of us that we are this weak nation who needs to persuade the great world powers to “put pressure” on turkey and make them recognize the Genocide, which translates to “forget nation-building, forget homeland, forget warrior mentality, adopt crybaby mentality, stay in the comfort of your community, go to the closest community center and write anti-turkish slogans, then go out to the streets once a year and literally cry “turkey run! turkey hide!”, I’m sorry but WHO’s HIDING HERE?!?!?!)
We need to teach our children more about our victories than about our losses (not “moral victories”), we should teach them realpolitik, Caucasus Geopolitics throughout history, Turkish Geopolitics throughout history, Russian geopolitics in the Caucasus, how to think like a warrior, how to view your enemy, why to always keep your guard up… Some points are just too obvious that they shouldn’t even be mentioned here, but Armenians sadly do not realize them.
The fact is, Armenia’s educational system lacks a lot of things, just as much as we lack politicized culture agenda, something that our Cultural ministry maybe isn’t even thinking of. It is understandable that the Government was mainly focused on Military, and then economics, but now that the Customs Union marriage is almost done, it is time to make radical changes in our educational and cultural systems/ministries.
Part 3:
ReplyDelete“However, if Baku gives in to Moscow, which is what it will most likely do, Yerevan will eventually be faced will coming to terms with a settlement.
As a final negotiated settlement, Yerevan may be expected to return the "seven regions" taken outside of Artsakh proper. My biggest concern here is the fate of the territories west of Artsakh, namely the strategic region between Karvajar and Berdzor. In return, Baku would be expected to recognize Nagorno Karabakh's independence or its reunification with Armenia and perhaps return some areas of Artsakh under its control.”
They say that actions speak louder than words. The recent highway construction between Armenia and Artsakh through Karvajar can only say ONE thing. Karvajar and Berdzor are to be kept under Armenian control with no doubt, no matter what scenario. Even if Russia was settling the conflict for us, it wouldn’t be dumb enough to do what the Bolsheviks did with Artsakh (isolating it from Armenia), even if azerbaijan is under full and direct control of Russia, Russia still recognizes the fact that Berdzor/Karvajar is closer to Nakhichevan, which is tied to turkey. In the long run this could pose a serious threat to Russia. Also take into consideration that azerbaijan is Shiite. Though a US-friendly Shiite but also secular Azerbaijan can pose a threat to Tehran, a Russia-friendly Shiite Azerbaijan can actually be exploited in the far future by Tehran and can one day, if we see the emergence of Persia again, work against Russia. Thus, the less common borders azerbaijan has with Tehran, the better in the long run. A best case scenario would be to create a Talysh rebellion in the south east of Azerbaijan and make it expand up until it touches Artsakh, thus completely cutting azerbaijan by Tehran. Yes, all of these are just thoughts and observations, it is unknown and unlikely that we arrive at this stage for the time being, but such points must be taken into consideration. Even if there are wrong points mentioned, this is an important subject to debate on.
Returning to the points of Artsakh’s concessions, During Ter Petrosyan’s years it is said that even during those times the main lands to be given to azerbaijan excluded Berdzor and Karvajar.
Part 4: “ Obtaining a direct access to the Black Sea and/or establishing a common border with the Russian Federation should be the single most important agenda for officials in Armenia and for the Armenian Diaspora.”
ReplyDeleteAs much as I would love to see Armenia gain direct access to the Black Sea, I find it impossible currently. We now have a more-or-less Russia-friendly government in Tbilisi. We might have a Russia-friendly president after tomorrow. We also have a north-south highway being built that will pass through Armenia and Georgia. Thus, the possibility of fighting for Georgian territory(and Javakhk) sadly isn’t a realistic scenario. A more realistic scenario would be to have a common border with Russia via Azerbaijan, through a war where Armenians would take Northern Eastern parts of Azerbaijan and establish borders with Russia from that point.
Very insightful and analytical article. Arevordi. Worthy of research and study of its high points. In a broad sweep it pinpoints the fulcrum of endeavors to pursue. A common border with Russia is a path to follow and concretize it. Western values have become Zionist values, only good for Zionist, and Armenia should shirk away and exorcise those values from penetrating Armenian society. Diasporan armenians should continue with their lobbying for genocide recognition , should continue to pour their aid to Armenia, but should refrain from establishing western Zionist think tanks , propaganda organs and be divorced from Armenian grand geopolitical strategies. Good diasporan armenians which should be calling on Armenia for their largesse and contribution, with no strings attached, are the types of Ernesto Ernekian, the Armenian entrepreneur who has built, or revamped svarnotz, expanded it and invested millions on its infrastructure, contributed to the construction of large sections of the Lachin corridor and other infrastructure works in Artsakh. We need more Ernesto's to come to the homeland, and not the street politicians and pseudo researchers on regional studies like Raffi and his cohorts and others of his ilk. Someone remarked about Azeries being potatoe cutters. These potatoe cutters are a mortal danger for Armenia. A potatoe cutter with lethal weapons of mass destruction can cause is serious damage. Azeries are building their military, obviously they will use it at some point in time. Artsakh is an impregnable fortress, mountain terrain, warrior mind set, fiercely independent mountain people. However the potatoe cutters with all their sophisticated weaponry, and Zionist strategists behind them, can not be underestimated in any respect.
ReplyDeleteExcellent blog entry as usual Arevordi, I also enjoy reading your well-reasoned and clearly articulated opinion and analysis of geopolitics in Armenia and beyond. Thanks for doing this.
ReplyDeleteI have not read the articles yet, nor Svediatsi's four part comment, but I did want to post this response I wrote two weeks ago when I first read the article titled "Former Russian ambassador to Armenia is indignant at Richard Giragosian":
Wow, I am really glad to see someone of Ambassador Kovalenko's rank and stature call out the rats and traitors in Armenian society so openly and frankly. I very much hope that this signals that the bear is about to crack down hard on the traitors and foreign agents in Armenia. Maybe this is one of Moscow's patented "diplomatic, read between the lines" threats. We know how Moscow treats fifth columns, I hope they look to the Romanian leader Vlad the Impaler as a guide to dealing with the likes of giragosian and fellow cockroaches... I also find it significant that he pointed out "Giragosian should not frighten Armenia by hopeless future or loss of opportunities", basically the doom and gloom campaign you've written about for years. I'm noticing that Russia lately has been taking steps to win over the hearts and minds of the Armenian public. I hope to see President Putin visit Yerevan very soon and capitalize on his stratospheric international popularity in the wake of Syria. If he sets foot in Yerevan and delivers another "Բարեւ ցեզ" he can probably ease the feelings (and stroke the egos) of a significant part of Armenian society.
And I don't know why, but I was still a bit shocked reading hayrikyan's diatribe about South Caucasian solidarity. What a fucking jackass. Between his proclivity to extol georgians and azeris and his Mischling offspring, I strongly suspect there is a large օտար component of this scumbag's family tree and genetic history. I wonder if he reserves admiration for the North Caucasian Chechens, Circassians and Khazars as well?
***
ps Romanian Anonymouse if you are reading this I want you to know that I'm still a bit surprised as well as disgusted learning about vladimir socor's partial Armenian ancestry through you. Thanks for posting though, I appreciate learning and knowing the truth.
The conflict resolution on Artsakh is insoluble. Artsakh is inseparable from Armenia, the facade of republic of NKR is a political expediency to conform with international law, but it is a platform of the union to Armenia. The only resolution possible is for Azerbaijan to realize and accept that 70 years of Soviet rule have come to an end, and old Soviet maps and territory carvings are a history. The conflict, unresolved could stretch for decades on end. It would not surprise anyone if it becomes a replay of Arab Israely talks on talks to resolve more talks. The impasse can only be broken through an overt act of aggression or war by Azerbaijan . The outcome of such an adventure is unpredictable and far from certain. There can not be negotiations either. The settlement is about recognition of Artsakh borders. Negotiations are an ace up the sleeve for Azerbaijan . Any agreed terms of settlement will have to see the return of Azeries refugees back to artsakhs, something which is intolerable and unacceptable. The return of refugees is admitting an invasion by Azerbaijan . That is one of the hoops that is pretty well non negotiable. An unsuccessful attack by Azerbaidjan and a successful counterattack by Armenian forces can be the prelude to the establishment of a common frontier with holy Russia.
ReplyDeleteSvediatsi
ReplyDelete1) It will be a fatal mistake to under estimate our enemies. It's obvious you do not have a deep understanding of military matters. A lot goes into making sure a military is well trained, well equipped, well supplied and battle ready. Our source for affordable modern weaponry is Russia. They give us the money, the spare parts and the know-how to operate most of our most modern, most lethal weapons systems. Without their active support, namely their provision of specialized spareparts and ammunition, Armenia's military would not last more than several weeks on an active battle field. And, for the most part, mountain peoples almost always lost to plains peoples. Mountain peoples are notoriously disorganized in war and politics. The skirmishes between Armenians and Turks in and around Musa Ler is not an example of anything. Don't look for deep significance in what happened there. Yes, a bunch of courageous Armenians fougth a bunch of Turks to a standstill for a limited amount of time before they took off in French ships. That's it. The story ends. Without active Russian support, the Armenian military would not be able to put up a lasting defense of Artsakh. Without Russian support, Azerbaijan will eventually occupy Artsakh. This is one of those cold hard realities we need to wrap our mind around for not doing so will be disastrous. And this is merely one of the reasons why for almost a decade I have been calling for a pan-national effort in Moscow. The keys to Armenia's successes and failures are found in the Kremlin.
2) Until the collapse of the Soviet Union in December, 1991, the Kremlin was officially supporting Azerbaijan in an attempt to preserve the territorial integrity of the Soviet Union. As a result, until late 1991, Armenians were losing on all fronts. Then miraculously, the Soviet Union fell. The birth of the Russian Federation and the rise of Turkic and Islamic states on the periphery of southern Russia gave birth to a new geostrategic reality for Russian officials. Whereas before 1991 Armenia was the belligerent, now, Armenia was a natural ally in a region saturated by independence minded Muslims and Turks. Ask yourself: When did Armenia register its 'first' greatest battle victory in Artsakh? During 'February, 1992' in Khojaly. If you noticed, this first Armenian victory came merely 'two months' after the Soviet Union dissolved. And two months after the victory in Khojaly came the liberation of Shushi. And months after that came the liberation of Lachin, etc. By this time, Russian arms and military experts had begun pouring into Armenia and Artsakh. In the big geostrategic picture, this is why Armenians began wining in 1992. This was when Russian officials began helping Armenia against Azerbaijan. Without the Russian factor working behind the scenes, none of our war heroes (you know their names) would have been able to last very long on the battlefields of Artsakh. I understand Armenians will have a very hard time understanding or accepting any of this. But reality is one thing, what Armenians think is altogether another thing...
Anonymous October 27, 2013 at 2:03 AM
ReplyDeleteThank you for your kind words. The appreciation of my work makes my endeavor worthwhile. I totally agree with your take on Eduardo Eurnekian. While our idiots have been singing the praises of Kirk Kirkorian, the senile Amerika-Hay that would rather throw his money away than risk it get "stolen" in Armenia, I have been pointing to Eduardo Eurnekian (and Ruben Vardanyan) as someone in the Armenian Diaspora that truly needs to be honored instead. The following blog commentary has references to him and to Ruben Vardanyan -
Armenia on the eve of its presidential elections (February, 2013):
http://theriseofrussia.blogspot.com/2013/02/armenia-on-eve-of-its-presidential.html
@Arevordi,
ReplyDeleteMy post had more to do with propaganda and mentality rather than military. I didn't give these two examples in order to justify Armenians and say that we could have won without the help of foreign powers, even though I knew that what I wrote was going to give that impression (I even mentioned that it was going to look like an underestimation). You have a point, I am not deeply into military matters, I know only the basics regarding our military. I wanted to make 2 points clear:
I was criticizing the propaganda that the opposition does when it comes to military affairs, saying we are always weaker than the azeris, Russia is on their side, we are helpless, in order to make us more miserable. I wanted to show that most of the Armenians no longer have a Warrior Mentality, rather they are cowards. I gave the "potato-cutter azeris" example in order to point out the difference in morale. Yes, many times it has been said by observers that Armenian Morale is higher than azerbaijan's and we have the upper hand. I am not saying we alone can hold them off, of course we need Russia's support(money, spare parts, the know-how, ammunition), all I am saying is our forces can fight efficiently and are not as weak as we think they are. And what I'm saying this is not directed primarily to you Arevordi, it's for all those weak-minded Armenians. The art of killing is something that we Armenians fail to grasp. We feel bad when we kill. While our enemies get happy when they kill us, that has been one of our weak spots for centuries. All I'm saying is that we don't approach to war the same our enemies do.
Underestimating the enemy is dangerous, but overestimating its capabilities(which is what many self-destructive Armenians do)can hurt us on the psychological level.
Again, I did not want to say that we could have won the war without Russia, that is not true. The truth is, every single war that has taken place between 3rd world countries has had foreign powers supporting the sides, thus in reality Armenia vs. azerbaijan was in a way Russia vs. turkey+Nato. This is something natural, and in reality the most intact and stable countries are the ones that are closely tied to a major power. The perfect examples are wars fought between small states during the Cold War. I personally have no problem accepting that Russia's help is crucial. The truth is in Geopolitics there are 2 kinds of countries: 1) Superpowers 2) Countries allied to supoerpowers. Other countries who try to play both sides are doomed to fail.
PS Would it be possible that you or one of your friends who understand a lot about military make a blog post dedicated to comparing Armenia's and azerbaijan's militaries?
As far as azerbaijan's military is concerned, they are still years away from being at a level to attack and succeed taking Artsakh. Sometimes common observers are fooled by the multi billion $ azerbaijani defense budget, but the reality is that a large chunk of the money goes toward the navy and coast guards, not the air force and army, the two units that would be involved in any future war against Armenia. Moreover, no credible Western, Russian, Iranian, or Chinese military sources have given the upper hand to the azerbaijani military if they were to attack Armenia. But the opposite has been true, there are Pentagon studies that claim an American operation to take Artsakh militarly would succeed but be quite costly!
ReplyDeleteLG
Sarkis86,
ReplyDeleteThank you for your words. I am happy when I can be useful. I am sorry if that caused some distress.
We lived, so-called, with Matei Socor on a daily basis. He was the author of the communist national anthem, which was sung all day long on the radio. Besides it was obligatory to sing it at school (until the 60'). Matei Socor was one of the "illegalists", member of the Party when it was illegal. The absolute majority of the members were Jews. It was known that he was partially Armenian. Vladimir was named after Vladimir Ilici, like many children of the Nomenklatura. In his youth he was swearing only by USSR and he left Romania when Ceausescu sidelined the pro-Russian wing (Jewish, actually). It was a bit of a surprise when he emerged as critic of Russia, but these people can change the color of their skin at will. With these exceptions Armenians are associated in my mind with sweet and pleasantly fragrant things. For a long time Armenian coffee merchants were kept as managers of their shops and as children we always bought candy sugar and sultanas and of course coffee ground in front of you, from them.
I wonder whether you know anything about a Professor of linguistics Zaharian or Zakarian, I am not sure, who was killed in the Stalin purges. I knew his daughter in Romania (who used to make a wonderful cake).
If anyone else knows anything I would be grateful if they send me some data.
RomAn
Arevordi, I like your latest commentary on Armenia's decision to join the Customs Union of Belarus, Russia and Kazakhstan. However, I do have some questions that I wanted to ask with regards to Armenia and Russia having a common border:
ReplyDelete- How can they actually achieve it if the only thing in their way is northwestern Azerbaijan? It would take a major conflict for Russia to even carve out northern Azerbaijan to actually accomplish it, along with Armenia's actual expansion into areas besides Artsakh.
- Two, assuming that we're hoping that Armenia expands to the Black Sea, does this mean that my earlier question from an older thread about Vaspurakan might actually be taken into account? As in Armenia could actually try to regain the Vaspurakan region from Turkey?
- Three: Why is Vietnam on the list of countries that might have the potential to join the Customs Union if they're separated from Russia through China? Not to mention that Vietnam is also a part of ASEAN, of which the Philippines is also a member. If Vietnam might end up joining the Customs Union of Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan, then I think it might set up a precedent for the potential collapse of ASEAN, which is already divided between pro-US and pro-Chinese camps (with Cambodia being the most prominent pro-Chinese member)
- One other thing: with the recent decrepit shapte of the EU, what is there to stop Russia from not only retaking the Caucasus, but the Balkans as well? Bulgaria could be a good candidate to be forced into seceding from the EU and pressure them to jump into Russia's arms, and while Serbia has recently acquired CSTO observer state status, we don't know if the Serbs would actually jump at the first chance of ditching their dreams for EU membership and joining Russia instead?
Finally, what is up with Turkey signing a missile defense deal with China?
Part 1 of 2:
ReplyDeleteThe official in question, who happens to be of Armenian decent, also called for another Russian military base in Armenia.
Let me make an argument below why I think a second major Russian military base, one specifically located near the southern tip of Armenia in the Syunik մարզ which serves as a nexus where Armenian/Iranian, turkish/azerbaijani, and several great power interests meet and overlap, would be a very welcome development for both Armenia and Russia:
1) The Russians can use a base right on the gateway to the Middle East and on the Iranian border to increase their influence and ability to apply pressure in that region. So far the Russians hold a base in Tartus, Syria on the western end of the Middle East, and we've just witnessed how useful that one base was. It would help Russia to move its military closer down to the Middle East from the North as well; 2) By fortifying Armenia's extremely mountainous southern region, Russia can put a strong dent in the claim that turkey enjoy's "overwhelming" military might in the South Caucasus region; 3) A base in that region would doubly reassure turkey and azerbaijan that any hopes they may be harboring about one day sharing a common border of their own will never come to fruition; it would be another nail in the coffin of the turkish wet-nightmare known as pan-turkism, fortifying the narrowest strip of land which prevents that nightmare from having a chance to become a reality; 4) Russia would increase it's ability to put pressure on azerbaijan by having troops a sparrow's flight away from occupied Nakhichevan; 5) I know Russia is now operating a superior early warning radar in Armavir as well as from intelligence ships close to Tartus, but it is in their interests to set up yet another redundant layer of protection and deploy some early warning Radars in the mountains of southern Armenia slightly closer to Iran, turkey and the Northern Middle East. There's no such thing as "too much cover" in radar. Needless to say Russian radar on the border of Artsakh could be shared with Armenia's military, which already operates a joint CSTO air defense network; And this would be a smart move by Armenia to capitalize on the azeri mistake of antagonizing Russia by denying the Russian military use of Gabala; 6) for Armenia, if the Russians are so inclined to open a base in lesser developed/populated southern Armenia, it may spur the Russians to better developing the infrastructure leading into the region as well as the infrastructure of the region itself, possibly by building or rebuilding additional roads or even building and refurbishing railroads via the Russian-owned South Caucasus Railways Company. Not to even mention potential improvements in local utilities/electricity/gas/telecommunications/water/etc. that would need to be brought into proper shape to service a base; 7) It should further de-incentivize renewed azeri aggression towards Artsakh if Russian troops are directly on azerbajians northern AND western borders; 8) a new base would require construction, maintenance as well as service and entertainment for the soldiers, which are all opportunities for Armenia to spur business, investment, taxes general interest and employment in the region. If I recall correctly, one of the major protests Javakhk Armenians had when Russia closed its military base in Javakhk was that the base was the major employer in the region; 9) it would add yet another very valuable asset that Russia would have in Armenia and therefore increase Russia's strategic interest in Armenia, it's desire to protect it from both turks and azeris as well as protect it from "fifth columns" currently being formed in Armenia (ie ruthless suppression and some "car accidents" and "gas pipeline malfunctions" for more cunning anti-Russian trouble-makers in Armenia);
Part 2 of 2:
ReplyDelete9) More Russian weapons in Armenia will mean more Russian weapons that get donated to Armenia as Russia upgrades its hardware, which will increase over the next few years anyway; 10) since Armenia and Russia are joined via the Joint Treaty of Friendship and Mutual Protection, CSTO and it's Joint Air Defense Network and Rapid Reaction Force, deep and comprehensive business, historical, cultural, political, educational, economical, financial, social and industrial ties, and now through formally through the Customs Union, another base only makes more sense; 11) it would aid Russian Border Guards in patrolling the Armenian border with Iran, which along the border with turkey is the stated reason they are in Armenia; 12) it would be yet another statement to the west that Russia is dead serious in keeping it's Armenian strategic ally within the Russian sphere of influence; 13) realistically, Russia can never be 100% comfortable with Muslim Iran's long-term aims in the South Caucasus (Iran's domain before the Rise of Russia), so it's good to keep a Russian presence directly on the Iranian border; 14) a psychological and morale boost for Russia to see their military reestablish a base on what was once the Tsarist and Soviet border with the outside world, and site of Russia's furthest advance to the south; 15) this may be a bit forward, but perhaps we can even convince them to build a modern military air field in the region which we can then also utilize; 15) Russian troops would be on the border of where israel reportedly conducts spying operations on Iran from bases in azerfagjan.
I cannot see any negatives from such a development. What's the worst that can happen? The EU continues to bitch about Armenia being to integrated with Russia? The US activates its agents in Armenia and thereby ensures their bloody removal from Armenian society by arrest, beatings or murder? turkey "bravely" bombs the new base and thereby hands us Western Armenia back and assures its own radioactive-tinged destruction?
I'd love to hear some feedback!
Sarkis jan, you have a very active imagination. I like it. But sadly the best Armenians minds like yours have worked on furthering the power of other nations. I am not being negative towards you my friend but Armenia's situation has always been such that our best minds have only helped other nations in this case Russia. This upsets me but it is what it is. Like Arevordi says, in the "big picture" I totally agree with your assertions. If Armenia can keep its Armenian leadership, borders, church and language intact I think we must do everything we can to increase the value of our little real estate in the kavkas in the eyes of Russians. What you are suggesting is a good way to do this. Isnt independence and freedom relative things in actuality? Ideally I want a powerful and independent Armenia. Realistically I know this wont happen in my life time. So my friend, that is why I rather have a stable and powerful Armenia that is totally dependent on Russia than have one totally independent and free to do what it wants and in constant fear of extinction.
ReplyDeleteArto
Thanks for grouping me with the "best Armenian minds" Arto jan. I actually agree with everything you posted. Privately, just in my own mind, I dream of seeing Armenia ascending to become a great power, rising to the highest levels of human development, demographically stable, economically productive, and a world leader in advanced scientific and technological research and development... But for right now we have to play the best we can with the cards that we have been dealt.
ReplyDeleteI'm glad you picked up the underlying intention of my argument - essentially it is in our benefit to underline to our Russian allies just how important the protection and development of tiny Armenia is for Russia every chance we get. Armenia's best interest was the driving motivation for my argument, as is often the case when I write an opinion or advocate some action. When I wrote the argument, I tried to frame it how an Armenian lobbyist at the Kremlin (as Arevordi has been calling for more of) should frame it: basically that an investment which would significantly benefit Armenia is actually in Russia's interest, despite the great expense that Russia would have to bear to make that investment a reality. And if the argument is perceived as "only helping other nations in this case Russia," then I'm glad to see I achieved my objective. I see the argument as the same as when any special interest lobby frames its own objectives as being in the target audience's best interests (ie "cracking down on tobacco companies' ability to advertise to children is an attack on all of our civil freedoms" or "the US must support israel because we are united in a fight against terrorism"). Here the tangible benefits (the deterrent of more Russian boots on the ground) would all go to Armenia, while the cost and the symbolic/morale benefits would go to our ally.
And I agree Armenians have for the last several hundred years expended too much creative energy developing other's countries (ie Armenian istanbul, tblisi, baku, etc.). This is both a result of our having been stateless, and a cause for our continued statelessness and subsequent weakness of our state in a vicious cycle. No matter, we have the present and the future to make up for the shortcomings of the past. I appreciate the honest feedback man, constructive criticism helps us all better formulate our ideas.
***
Romanian Anonymous,
Thanks again for another informative post. I have to admit my knowledge on Armenians and Romania is minimal. I know Romania, and most Eastern European nations in general, are friendly nations with interesting cultures and vast potential, and they have been safe refuges for Armenians since the collapse of the Armenian Kingdom in 1064. Our nations are plagued by the same enemies. On a personal level I find Romania interesting in that, much like Armenia, it is on the crossroads of major cultural powers. You are one of the world's largest Orthodox nations, yet geographically very close to the centers of Catholicism and Protestantism. You have a Romance language, but with a decent influence from local Slavic and German languages. Romania like Armenia is not particularly known for its aggressive policy (except maybe according to the Hungarians), yet has seen many of the same empires which have occupied Armenia throughout history (Rome, Byzantine, turkish, Russian/Soviet, etc.).
Thank you for this wonderful article, I read your blog since mid 2011, and find fewer points to argue with you with every consecutive article. (maybe I am being brainwashed by you!!!).
ReplyDeleteIn this article I finally found courage to comment on some of the points you talk about.
1- Europes achievements in the past and the accumulated wealth were vastly dependant on the looted recourses of the colonialised nations. Hopefully not to be repeated.
2- your accusations of diaspora are exaggerated even though important diasporian organizations are certainly infiltrated by CIA , a substantial mass of diasporian intellectuals will agree with your points.
3- Overprivatisation of the economy in Armenia left the state (bedutiun) with fewer recourses to manipulate people , I don’t know how but this must be remedied.
4- In the last 10 years Syria took the road of privatization of its economy , THE FIFTH COLOMN which were on critical posts neglected the rural population so they were fertile ground to organized insurgency the west cultivated in Syria . In Armenia we don’t have ethnic ground to unrest but the neglect of agriculture may cause class based unrest organized by this 5th colomn.
Thank you for reading Mardirossian and thank you for the compliment. I hope you have been sharing links to this blog with like-minded acquaintances.
ReplyDeleteBut why did you say "I finally found 'courage' to comment". Even if you are opposed to my politics, you are my equal and as long as you can argue your point rationally and objectively, I will gladly entertain it.
A few comments of my own:
First, I primarily criticize the American and the Middle Eastern Diasporas because those two communities are what I'm most familiar with. I was born in the Middle East and grew up in the US and I was very active in a plethora of Armenian organizations - including the ARF, including the church.
What exactly did I say about our Diaspora in the US and the Middle East that you find exaggerated? That they are assimilated for the most part? That they do not understand politics? That they are genocide obsessed to the detriment of sociopolitical and economic matters to Armenia? That they spearhead many of the Western activities inside Armenia? That they are more American, Arab or Turkish than Armenian? That they look down at Armenians in Armenia? That they rather teach their children a dying language like Western Armenian instead of embracing Armenia and teaching their children the official language of their homeland? That being an Armenian for them is like an article of clothing their wear on weekends? That many of them are Russophobes? That the American-Armenian lobby in US is worthless in real political terms? They they are big talking and under-performing?
Based on my experiences/observations during the past 20-25 years, I believe the description above to be very accurate.
Of course there are many respectable patriots in the American-Armenian community: Aram Hamparian, Appo Jabarian and Harout Sassounian readily come to mind. But I am talking collective nature and character of the Diasporas in question.
I agree with your comments about over-privatization in Armenia. It's essentially about corporatocracy, plutocracy, crony capitalism and darwinian capitalism. Such an approach in economic matters is essentially an Anglo-American model that our idiots wholeheartedly adopted as soon as the Soviet Union dissolved. Such an approach appeals to the animalistic instincts of the individual e.g. our oligarchs. I think it will be a few years before our idiots wake-up and try to reverse the process. But by then, Russians may simply step in and buy literally everything. Anyway, the foundations of the modern republic were improperly set in the 1990s. We need to hope for the best.
Why am I "brainwashing" you? In my opinion, what's happening here is that you are taking my comments/ideas and juxtaposing them to what you are observing take place around the world and are thus gradually coming to the conclusion that what I'm saying is indeed accurate. This is not called brainwashing, this is called seeing the light :)
PS: I'm not too worried about a Fifth Column. Levon's destructive peasantry back in 2007/2008 was perhaps the worst as it could get in a place like Armenia, and they were quite easily put in their place. Now, with a much better state apparatus and a much more powerful Russia in the region, the development of a Western-led Fifth Column is virtually impossible.
PS: The "wonders" of Europe and the US has nothing to do with liberalism or democracy. The Western world's success/wealth is derived from genocide, slavery, imperial wars and plunder of third world nations for centuries. In fact, had the Western world been liberal and democratic throughout the centuries, it would be part of the third world today. Nations like China and Russia today are following the path Western nations took during the last two/three centuries: they are top heavy, ambitious, authoritarian, aggressive, progressive and nationalistic, minus the imperial wars, genocide and slavery. This why Western policymakers are panicking. They see competition they may not be able to defeat.
Longtime reader, first time poster Aroverdi, great great article, you hit the nail on the head, I look forward to more actively participating in discussion from now on.
ReplyDeleteYour mention of Mkhitar Sparapet while on point was depressing. I can't imagine what he must have felt seeing a bunch of village idiot chobans put him to the axe over their own petty Armenian squabbles. Unfortunately, in our history we have had far too many such instances involving our own people pitted against each other. This needs to change, hopefully the 21st century is when change comes.
Welcome aboard, Sassounci Davit. I'm looking forward to your participation.
ReplyDeleteMkhitar Sparapet's life and death are very poignant and need to be remembered today. Here was a warrior aristocrat (the last of this type in our gypsy-like society) who with the help of Czarist Russia freed portions of Armenia from Persian/Islamic rule - and our self-destructive peasantry at the time thanked him by beheading him and presenting his head to the Turkish Sultan in Tabriz as a peace offering.
As long as free thinking, patriotic Armenians accept or tolerate the garbage that infests our once great nation today, Armenia will continue giving birth to traitors and mercenaries.
What countries did Europe pillage, colonize, plundered and the mention of other atrocities which the enemies of Europe keep on as a propaganda weapon to destroy Europe ? Europe , or Spain, civilized and developed Hispano America. The Indians were a mass of ambling atoms, incapable of developing anything of worth. In fact they had no history. The spaniards gave them a history. The legacy of Euopean rape and pillage, colonization is the flourishing Latin American countries. Immigration to South America did not commence until after the South American countries had obtained their independence. Similarly on Africa the European developed that continent to their charging and regret. At the end of the xix century the African continent had 200m people. A century later they number1 billion. Africa was a cesspool of disease, cannibalism, and inhospitable. Hospitals, education, European standards, norms, law, order were introduced and the Africa and African flourished and prospered. The big lie of Europe having raided and enriched herself at the expense of her former colonies is an absurd slander and stain which serves the purpose of the antieuropean forces bent on her destruction. Where is European colonization in Africa ? Africa is for Africans, Europeans are only present in S.A and there they now exist as a minority , powerless, segment of the population, under duress and expecting more exploitation under the hands of the parasitic !indolent negroids .. Those people assailing and attacking Europe can never be satisfied. They will not rest until the Euroepan disappears from the face of the earth ( armenians are included) England has been bastardized already, islamized, Germany is turkified, French is the first African nation in the heart of Europe. Had Europe won the Ww 2 we would not be hearing such misrepresentation of history, and the hogwash of Marxist-Zionist- indoctrination such as the evils of European colonialism, pillage, plunder and other nonsensical balderdash. Go to SA in Africa and see what European colonialism has done. Compare that with any other Negroid place that did not have the rape,pillage plunder of European colonialism, and draw your own conclusions. We are born, grow, and educate ourselves in lies, self destructive lies. If Europeans are such evils, why is there that everyone, rat, dog, and flotsam of the formerly colonized world leave their homes,hovels,and holes and hail toward Europe in their millions, they want to be close, vey close, uncomfortably close to the European, and they follow her wherever she is.
ReplyDeleteAs always interesting to read your blog, i am getting into a habit of waiting end of the month to get my Arevordi fix.
ReplyDeleteI think in current geopolitics Georgia's orientation is a key to Armenia's future. Russia and Armenia need Georgia to come back to it's rightful place. But as before Georgian politics has been influenced by sizable jewish column, it can not free itself. We must do everything we can to strengthen Armenians living in Georgia (financially and educationally) to elevate them in Georgian hierarchy. I think with Ivanishvili's exit in November (Saakashvili is gone) new prime minister will be installed and hopefully Georgia will do a U-turn and not sign the EU's AA. Ivanishvili has done it's job and time has come to change the course. I also hope and sure Ukraine is getting ready for a U-turn. So important events are coming up and by the time we get your November blog we may have a lot of good news.
T.K.
if you guys didnt see it before this is the great Soviet Armenian film called Davit Bek and Mxitar Sparapet: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vgQl7kqcvRE
ReplyDeleteAnonymous October 30, 2013 at 12:06 AM
ReplyDeleteYou may have reading compression problems. I'm not discussing ethical issues per se. I'm merely trying to convey the message that the Western world is powerful/wealthy today due to imperial wars, genocide, slavery and exploitation - and not because of liberalism and democracy. Liberalism/Globalism is in fact eroding the western civilization. I am emphasizing this to point out the futility and the counter-productivity of the political West's modern agenda to Globalize, liberalize and democratize the world.
I'm sure you are on my side on this matter.
PS: The greatest genocide in recent human history was the extermination of the new world's indigenous populations. The greatest human exploitation in recent human history was the institutionalized practice of slavery in the new world. The greatest exploitation of resources in recent human history was the exploitation of the natural wealth of the new world. Similar things also occurred in Africa and south-east Asia. These are part of the fundamental reasons/factors why European nations and the US became ridiculously wealthy and thus powerful during the past several centuries. But, again, I am NOT discussing the ethical implications of this matter.
Anonymous @ October 30, 2013 at 12:06 AM
ReplyDeleteplease watch this documentary on one example of native american tribe who you labeled as a "mass of ambling atoms"
apart for the ridiculous apparatus they plug into their chins, they live pretty peacefully and in harmony with nature.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9SW0jzXTS6A
Indigenous people have age old history and wisdom to impart to modern "civilized" people and should not be disregarded quickly by labeling them as primitives. sure there are primitives and civilized tribes, just like any other population in earth.
A good read to appreciate some of their wisdom
http://www.amazon.com/Millennium-Tribal-Wisdom-Modern-World/dp/0670829358
PS: "all men are created equal" is the great moral lesson that westerners preach rigorously, but practice the complete opposite.
@Arevordi, great commentary once again.
Your critique on Armenian diaspora is very accurate. Personally I accept it very openly. Truth should be told and we shouldn't be emotional when digesting it.
What's your take on the recent announcement in Minsk regarding Turkey's, Syria's and Indian potential Eurasian Union membership?
Finally I would like to share this article regarding Islam in EU, US and Russia
http://frontpagemag.com/2013/dgreenfield/islamerica-eurabia-and-eurasia/
Jerriko,
ReplyDeleteOne: A major conflict between Russia/Armenia and Azerbaijan and/or a Russo-Armenian conspiracy against Baku is the way to carve common borders between Armenia and Russia. Moscow and Yerevan can solve many of their problems in this manner. Anyway, it's easier said than done - but not impossible.
Two: Expanding to the Black Sea should be achieved through Georgia not NATO member Turkey - unless Turkey is in the process of imploding. Again, this requires Russo-Armenian conspiracy/collaboration and may or may not have anything to do with Armenia's historic Vaspurakan region.
Three: Vietnam or Turkey seeking membership in the Russian-led Customs Union may be a trial attempt, a way of testing the waters. Nations plan for the future and they want options and opportunities, and they will give thought to anything that sounds good.
Four: Naturally, once Moscow feels totally secure in the Caucasus and Central Asia (still years away), I believe the Balkans will be one of the areas they will transfer their attention to. Serbia, Bulgaria and Greece will be pivotal in this equation.
Five: Turkey purchasing Chinese arms may be a result some disagreement or problem between Ankara and its NATO allies - or a simple matter of Ankara trying to execute "independent" politics. I wouldn't read too much into it.
T.K.
ReplyDeleteRegarding your "Arevordi Fix", think of it this way: At least it's an addiction you wont feel guilty about and one that is actually good for you.
Thank you for reading.
Arevordi
ReplyDeletei am a certified addiction treatment specialist and don't see a problem with a healthy 'fix'. what i meant is a habit or something you get used to, doesn't have to be a chemical addiction, so please don't spin my words. thank you.
Going back to the subject- I feel our president Sargsyan has made a timely decision to join CU. It was also a brave decision that may become a precedent. I am happy Armenia became the first country to show the finger to EU. And i think it will have the desired effect or a chain reaction. I believe that was the aim.
Excellent analysis. The jewish lobby in the U.S. forces the White House to work for the benefit of Israel, even when it goes against the interests of America.
ReplyDeleteThe Armenians, in a lot of points, share the same interests as the Russians; there is no need to lobby and convince them to take actions detrimental to them, there is however need to intensify Armenian lobbying efforts to maximize the potential there exists between Russia and Armenia and convince them to increase the support in things that are in both countries' interests.
If the Azerbaijani lobby in Russia was weak a few years ago, the last few years they have become very active and have achieved a lot, both within the Kremlin, Russian media, education system etc. The Armenians, found in all layers of society, are generally sleeping, disorganized and think only of how to make more money (what Joseph Emin was already complaining about in the 18th century).
Intensified lobbying would have meant bigger Russian investments, an already finished North-South highway, an already finished North-South railway, and already finished new Metsamor Nuclear power plant, an already upgraded Nairit factory, etc.
Because of Armenia's "complementary" politics, and especially because of Armenia's sleeping Diaspora (Raffi Hovanissian had a HUGE fan base in Russia), whose lobbying efforts effectively have been worse than that of Kim Kardashians', Russian-Armenian relations have remained at a minimum level; at such a minimum-level that to even dream/speak about what Arevordi is writing (connection to Black Sea, Russia), is almost impossible, though it shouldn't have been so.
Kim Philby,
ReplyDeleteYou are addressing a very sour point and something I have been persistently talking about for the past ten years. While the keys to Armenia's successes - and failures - rest in Moscow, Armenians are busy chasing Western fairytales. While Moscow is the alpha and the omega of the Caucasus, Armenians are wasting themselves "lobbying" reptilians in Washington. Your description of the Russian-Armenian community (the largest and the most affluent Armenian diaspora in the world) is very revealing, sad and frustrating at the same time. What right do we have to call ourselves a nation? Our darkest pages in history (I'm afraid not all of them may have yet been written) have ultimately been made possible because of our traits: politically illiterate, arrogant, jealous, tribal, օտարամոլ, self-serving, self-righteous, emotionally unstable, naive, individualistic, materialistic and gypsy-like.
If you have not yet done so, please read the following blog commentary -
A critical look at Armenians: http://theriseofrussia.blogspot.com/2013/04/the-need-for-cyber-activism-and-why.html
At the moment, a common Russian-Armenian border is not a very urgent matter.
ReplyDeleteFlow of goods and machinery will soon start flowing more freely and in larger volumes from Armenia to the Black Sea and Russia via Georgia.
It is more urgent to disrupt Azerbaijan's (and potentially central Asia's) natural gas flow to Georgia and Westward.
This disruption can materialize only in case of a renewed Armenian-Azerbaijani war. It's already overdue.
In case Russia provides air cover, Armenian forces can disrupt and control the pipeline route in a mattter of few days in the Northern Tavush.
Such a war will bring-in Russian peacekeeping forces into the area of conflict.
Such a war will bring Azerbaijan completely under Russian control.
Such a war will bring a final solution to the Artsakh issue, based on de facto borders.
Such a war will deliver to Russia ultimate control over energy extraction, distribution and pricing.
Allowing the Anglo-American-Zionist axis to tap into Central Asian energy resources will be a major loss for China,Iran, and Russia combined.
With the backdrop of the above hypothesis, one can imagine why Russia armed Azerbaijan with weapons (increasing the chances of renewed conflict). One can understand China's interest in building a North-South railway through Armenia despite the fact that it does not have major gains in such a venture except for blocking an alternative East-West transport and energy corridor through Georgia and Azerbaijan, thereby protecting its interests in Central Asia .
If we were to be realistic, the time is ripe and a new war is very imminent.
Georgia will remain silent while it drifts slowly into Russian orbit. Iran will remain neutral. Russia will protect Armenia's and Artsakh's airspace. Europe will demand an immediate ceasefire.
With the current backdrop one can understand why Europe always insists on peaceful solution, because the alternative would mean a disruption of energy flow for years to come, increased dependance on Russia, fewer bargaining chips with Iran over the nuclear issue because they will need Iran's energy.
Will Turkey and Israel would be promoted to intervene?
You might also enjoy this article
http://www.theatlantic.com/china/archive/2013/10/china-is-pivoting-to-central-asia-but-is-washington-paying-attention/280921/
Here is a very interesting and up to date commentary on Artsakh.
ReplyDeleteHowever I don't think the authors opinion is well received in Washington circles. But it gives an idea about US concerns and motivations towards Armenia.
http://nationalinterest.org/commentary/kerry-go-fix-karabakh-8765
Dear Arevordi,
ReplyDeleteIm not saying that I disagree with you but if we are all those things you say we are then whats the point in you trying to do what you are doing? A cripple cant run no matter how hard you want him to.
Long time reader
AJ,
ReplyDeleteI also think that a final battle to determine the status of Artsakh is near. Such a war will also determine Baku's political allegiance. I think Moscow is carefully engineering such a battle. It will be limited in scope but will have a very clear set of goals. Again, this underscores the paramount importance of Armenian lobbying efforts in Moscow.
Long time reader,
I wouldn't go as far as comparing Armenians to cripples. With proper conditioning (i.e. social engineering) Armenians will have great potential. We have the potential to be a regional superpower and an economic powerhouse. Armenians excel in a lot of things. Armenians needs guidance. Armenians must excel in Armenia, not in the US, not in France, not in Lebanon, etc. One of our main problems is our folk culture. Read Hovhaness Tumanian's beloved children's fairytales and you'll see what I'm talking about. Collectively, we have the global outlook of very individualistic, very ambitious peasants striving to survive materially. And we do not understand or appreciate statehood. We know why we have been degraded to such a level. We have suffered over one thousand years of cultural as well as genetic damage. Such damage is not easy to fix, but it can be done. As Svediatsi mentioned: We need a well designed conditioning of the people through nation-wide propaganda and social engineering. As a first step, we need to recognize our flaws and we need to stop considering the garbage in our communities as our compatriots. My task here is to help good Armenians such as yourself to develop critical thinking towards Armenians, politics and history and begin looking at things from an alternative perspective.
@ AJ October 30, 2013 at 5:16 PM
ReplyDeleteVery interesting post. War is always dangerous and unpredictable, and even a drop of Armenian blood is precious, but since war is inevitable this is the proper way our people need to look at it.
@ Everyone arguing about Europe:
Firstly, Europeans are just genetically superior and capable of creativity, order, civility, abstract thought, philosophizing, and all of the technological and scientific developments that go along with that, which asiatics, africans and hispanics can never achieve on their own. No doubt that a world without Europeans would be a primitive hellhole (See "It's a Wonderful Race http://www.tomatobubble.com/wonderfulrace1.html)
I very much doubt that Arevordi, a wise man in history and politics, and a man who appreciates the glory that National Socialist Germany represented, has fallen for any social-marxist agitprop. Look that the context in which Arevordi highlights western Europe's colonialist and exploitative past:
Armenia's Captain America's and self-destructive peasantry are trying to spread hysteria through propaganda that "ascending to the Custom's Union will be the end of Armenia's sovereignty and the ultimate absorption of the Armenian people into Russians". Arevordi points out that several dozen minorities, including Armenia for the past 200 years, have not only maintained their cultural identity under Russian rule, but have seen renaissances. Compare this to the elimination of the natives of North America and Australia, the hybridization of the natives of Central and South America, and the scope of slavery in Africa and the Caribbean.
Additionally, Europe's current wealth is undeniably a result of it's mercantile colonial past. That Europe now want's to spread black PR that Russia is "colonizing" the former Soviet nations is a declining Europe whining about the Rise of Russia in its role as Third Rome. And btw it's not for nothing that France still uses fighter planes to bomb niggers in resource-rich African countries it used to own, or that America's AFRICOM is planning to deploy US mercenaries/troops in several dozen African states.
http://armenianow.com/society/human_rights/49647/armenia_lgbt_human_rights_celebrities_petition_antigay
ReplyDeleteWhen I read the title "Diaspora Armenians supporting Gay Rights," I thought by myself, surely it isn't the Armenian community in Turkey, Lebanon, Syria, Iran, Russia; probably these are Westernized Armenians.
And yes, as we can see again, Armenians in the West are mostly busy - not unconditionally building up Armenia - introducing Western fairytales such as "transparency", "human rights", "women's issues", and now "gay rights", criticizing Armenia, wanting to change Armenia culturally, leading to denigration and further stagnation...
One has to realize the Customs Union is purely economical, but the Association Agreement is 50% economical and 50% cultural(!), meaning Armenia had to change its culture/values/norms, so more destructive feminism would grow, consumerism, individualism, anti-Christian values + destruction of our national church, gay rights, etc... compare Western "values" to those now being promoted in Russia, -> Importance of National Orthodox Church -> Importance of Traditional Values, Family and Nationalism.
Now make a choice yourself...
Breaking news
ReplyDeleteColonel Andrey Ruzinsky, commander of 102nd Russian military base in Armenia:
“If the Azerbaijani authorities decide to restore the jurisdiction over Nagorno Karabakh by force, the military base may enter into an armed conflict in accordance with the legal obligations of the Russian Federation within the framework of the Collective Security Treaty.”
http://armenpress.am/eng/news/738459/russian-military-base-may-interfere-in-case-of-azerbaijan%E2%80%99s-provocations.html
I will drink to this development.
Arevordi jan what can I say I agree with you my friend. I live in crappy LA and you dont know how much I want there to be more Armenians like those in this blog. Anyway my friend there is more interesting comments coming from Russia http://arka.am/en/news/politics/nagorno_karabakh_s_ties_with_russia_should_be_as_strong_as_with_armenia_russian_expert_says/
ReplyDeleteLong time reader
http://news.am/eng/news/178581.html
ReplyDeleteAnother not so subtle hint that Russia will not tolerate any Azerbaijani adventurism in the Caucasus.
LG
All these Unions and grandiose alliances across countries forming blocs contain the seeds of their own demise in time to come. What is the EU ? A compost of former nation states, now totally deracinated and lumped together in a grand mixer of panmixia dimensions. What is the European today ? A non descript lumpen .recently there was celebration in Germany at the election of two kaffirs in the German Bundestag. About 40 percent of the elected mps are of foreign origin. Most likely despicable and unspeakable Turks. Coming to the Eurasian union, nothing wrong with that, as long as Armenia is not led into a corral of social engineering with unlimited mass movement of certain kind of citizens invading the homeland . We have to have a wary eye and a lynx like vision to foresee and pre empt any potential sweeping away of our identity by mass transfers of aliens. We can see the demographic catastrophe wrought upon Greece by unrelenting Afro-Asian invasion. Greece has ceased to be a sovereign nation, but it is a EU appendix , a kind of half way station or warehouse to keep the invading armada destined to fan out to the rest of the decadent and impotent European entities . We categorically and uncompromisingly reject such a possibility to befell our national homeland. As far as the diasporan armenians are concerned, specially those of America and Canada, the best they can do is stay put where they are, work hard, make as much money as they can and send all the savings they can to the homeland, for it security and protection. They must become involved in our social and political life. A failed lawyer like Raffi is one too many to tolerate. We just want their moral, and monetary support. Obviously if they wish to return, they must do so, but must leave their baggage of democracy, human rights, anti racism, multiculturalism and other nonsensical Judaic dogmas and credos back in America and Canada. We do not need those toxic venoms and poisonuous tocsins imported into Armenia by these do good pseudo moralists and holier than thou westernized brothers in blood. If you do not like the way Armenia is, do not worry, do not come but keep sending your monies. At least they can be useful somehow to the homeland. Sushi lusavor
ReplyDeleteAnonymous (Sushi lusavor)
ReplyDeleteI must say your comments were powerful. I fully agree with you - especially your comments about the Diaspora. Armenia's membership in the Customs Union/Eurasian Union should not worry you. The pact in question is based on traditional, old world political and economic values. What Armenia needs to stay far away from is Anglo-American-Jewish entities. Have you posted comments here before?
CSTO PA delegates visit Armenia-Azerbaijan border
ReplyDeletehttp://news.am/eng/news/178663.html
These recent developments with Russia and the CSTO making unprecedentedly open and direct statements in support of Armenia in the immediate aftermath of azeri snipers murdering an Armenian officer and injuring several Armenian soldiers is a most welcome response.
Not only does this make it clear to azerbaijan that reckless azeri behaving will be suicidal for azerbaijan, but more importantly this is a needed psychological weapon to use against those who are agitating against Armenia's ascension to the Custom's Union or claiming that Russia/the CSTO will force Armenia to give away Artsakh. I hope the pro-government media in Armenia highlights this fact over and over to counter the anti-Russian hysteria of the western-funded "opposition" propaganda outlets, until a majority of Armenian society appreciates the importance of the Russian-Armenian Alliance.
Armenia was the first country where the nato-funded, anti-Russian "color revolutions" of the 2000s were stopped back in 2008, let us hope now that Armenia and Artsakh become the first countries where the Russian-led CSTO achieve their first victory as a united organization against a nato-backed adversary.
With respect to Armenian-Azerbaijani military balance.
ReplyDeleteA- acquisition of military gear in large amounts from various states means literarily nothing in terms of strenghtening the military combat readiness and technical know-how. A nation can stockpile massive amount of weapons that end up in some military depots with a layer of dust on top to be paraded once a year at the national square, a visual companion to the national anthem. If only one tenth of Azerbaijan's acquired weapons were deployed at tactival offensive locations throughout the country and well integrated through electronic communications with radar systems, air defense, infantry, tank brigade units, intelligence gathering, tecnhical engineering teams combined with a uplifting morale in the army, they would have won a war over Armenia in no time and they would not have hesitated to do so. Azerbaijan acquires its arsenal from Israel, US, Russia, Turkey, Belarus, South Africa, South Korea (at least 7 countries), that would make an impossible feat for even the most technically advaned system engineers to integrate all these different non-compatible technologies into one a coherent well integrated system.
On the other hand, who supplies Armenian army its weapons? 100% time tested, robust Russian gear that are fully compatible with each other, integrated into one successful defensive system, moreover, it is integrated into the Russian army itself through the base in Gyumri, add to that the topographic advantage of a natural mountaineous fortress. So who is the winner?
2- capacity to inflict human losses. Armenia's population is 2.5 million ( i doubt it though), Azerbaijan has 10 million. Many Armenian villages are deserted semi empty whereas Azerbaijani villages are densely populated. Azerbaijan has 10 cities with over The missile to casulaty ratio is to Armenia's advantage.
Nearest Azerbaijani city to Yerevan, Ganja, 170 Km, population over 350,000
Nearest Armenian city to Baku, Stepanakert, 280 Km , population 53,00
In case of a war, the government will in due time order the Armenian ordinary citizens to crawl from Yerevan, Stepanakert to the rural surrounding to take shelter in the villages, this will dramatically minimize if not eliminate Armenian losses. Azerbaijan cannot react likewise because if their bordering towns/cities civilans migrate suddenly inwards due to shelling from Armenian side, this will create social tension in Baku when thousands of refugees flock into Baku.
3- capacity to inflict economic losses. The highest value damages that Azerbaijani missiles can cause would be things like a dairy factory or an old rusted chemical facotry, nairi rubber plant for example, we are dealing with damages in the scale of a few million USD. Armenia on the other hand can strike a handful of missiles on Sangachal Terminal (one of the largest gas processing plant in the world). The terminal is localized in a dense 500 hecater of real estate merely 250 kilometers from Artsakh (no need for Iskander-M in this case). The destruction caused by a few missiles to this fine technological masterpiece would be in the magnitude of billions of dollars, not to mention that it would bring the entire Azerbaijan energy based economy into an everlasting freeze leading to a socio-economic disaster that would cause the population to revolt against Aliyev. Russia and Iran's role to restabilize the country would be very appreciated.
This only touches the tip of the iceberg. Consider it as such, Azerbaijan's acquisition of super cool expensive weapons and parading them once a year is a great way from Aliyev to fool the sheep to remain in control, if the sheep get control of the weapons they will use it first on Aliyev clan.
Sarkis' analysis on a potential second base in the south of Armenia is of utmost importance and we should approach it very seriously. If that isn't enough proof that we are that important to Russia and that we can exploit this opportunity to the full then I don't know what is. I would also like to bring to your attention the following article, which is yet another proof that we've got a superpower that is investing highly on us:
ReplyDeleteRussian Troops in Gyumri will Retaliate if Azerbaijan Attacks
http://asbarez.com/115675/russian-troops-in-gyumri-will-retaliate-if-azerbaijan-attacks/
A Russian base in southern Armenia would be a very strategic move.
ReplyDeleteLong time reader
Why would any country put another base just a few km away from the base they already have. No sense. The Gyumri base has strategic coverage over all of Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Iran and Turkey. How do we know that Russian tactical nuclear missiles aren't already at Gyumri. There is already a squadran of Mig29s at Erebuni air base and soon they will have a squadran of helicopters too. Russian military presence in Gyumri is very precisely calculated and measured against the Nato presence in the region. Any Turkish military base in Nakhichevan will increase Russia's military presence in Armenia and likely get a green light from Russia for Armenia to invade Nakhichevan. Just like Nato's patriot battalions in Turkey resulted in Eskander missiles in Gyumri. We must remember that Russia's military presence in Armenia is very political and limited to intelligence gathering and missile delivery only. 16 Migs and 3000 servicemen do not make an offensive army for capturing ground. Only the Armenian army can do that with intelligence support from the 102nd. Therefore we should push for a stronger Armenian military base in Zangezuer and closer intelligence contacts with the 102nd.
ReplyDeleteArto2
I sympathize with the idea of having another Russian military base in southern Armenia. If we really need it, why not? But I totally agree with the comments made by Arto2. I think Yerevan needs to fully exploit its close relationship with Russia to further strengthen Armenian forces throughout Armenia and Artsakh. As long as Russia covers Armenia's border with Turkey/NATO and continues to provide Armenia with military support, Armenian troops will be more than able to handle anything Azerbaijan can throw at Artsakh. Moreover, Russia does not need another military base in Armenia to stop an aggression from Baku: One phone call can do that. Although I'm open to the idea of another Russian base in Armenia, I fear that an overly powerful Russian presence in Armenia may weaken Armenian revolve in military matters. In other words, I don't want Yerevan to become too complacent or too dependent on another party for its security, even if the other party is a close ally. Yes, Armenia needs Russian support - but it needs to do the holy work of fighting for Armenia itself. But I have a feeling Moscow is looking to further bolster its military presence in Armenia. Again, I have no problems with an increased Russian presence in Armenia - as long as Armenians don't become too complacent or too dependent.
ReplyDeleteI also am in agreement with Arto 2 that the base in Gymuri has quite a large coverage (at least it has potential to be upgraded to increase its coverage).
ReplyDeleteFolowing steps could further fortify our military posture
1- buy more Scud-B missiles to deploy them in Artsakh (why Syunik if you have Artsakh?). So far I think there are four Scud-B launchers there, so why not doubling that to 8 with some 4 missiles to each launcher and spread them in multiple locations in underground hangars.
2- boost the production of Krunk drones to 10 drones a year, with continuous upgrades to the existing ones (software, electronics, camera, operational range, speed, flight dynamics etc.) the cost of drone production should be cut down to a minimum so that losses during war time would not cause any tactical disadvantage. Experience from Iranians alsoe can be valuable in this field.
If we take it that Scud-B has a 300 Km range
The distance from Stepanakert to the following stategic targets are as follows:
Sangachal Terminal 230 km
Karadag compressor station 250 km
Haydar Aliev Refinery 270 km
Azerineftyag Refinery 300 km
So all of them are within range of Armenian controlled missiles in Artsakh.
Sangachal by itself would piss-off British Petroleum very much. The Anglo-American-Zionist rats would be calling for a ceasefire immediately if one single missile falls on this facility.
Map here
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/a1/Baku_pipelines.svg
Targeting the remaining refineries would be like the final nail on the coffin.
The low cost (homemade) drones would enable us to gather location data of any approaching military units to neutralize them at their early stages using short to medium range rockets and/or artillery.
PS: Azerbaijan cannot strike Armenia's main energy producing facility (Metsamor power plant)that supplies over 45%. of Armenia's electricity needs. Any unfortunate accident at this power station will
A: affect their azerbaijani population in turkish igdir city
B: the radioactively contaminated water will flow into Arax river that makes their brothers in Nakhichevan irrigate their food with polluted waters.
Russia's move to deploy Iskander-M shows how seriously they take this issue and the strategic depth they attribute to their presence in Armenia as Arevordi always have emphasized.
Whatever it takes the armed forces of Armenia have to be in a state of ever readiness. We can only survive if we arm ourselves to the teeth with sophisticated infrastructure and state of art weaponry. The aim and goal must be to make our armed forces the most intelligent, the best equipped ,the best and most efficient combat force in the region, and imbued with a fanatical spirit in the undying defense of our nation. It is our destiny to be an armed fortress. We must fulfill that destiny. We have to be all reliant on our armed forces. The Russian army base can be a guarantor of the inviolability of our borders, but the actual defense should be the prerogative of our own forces. Any outsider meddling and threatening our sacred homeland must be taught a lesson not to repeat the error twice. Armenia is our land for our race. Armenia must never become anything else but a homeland for its nationals. The armed forces are our present and future. Sushi lusavor
ReplyDeleteUK believes in peaceful settlement of Nagorno Karabakh conflict
ReplyDeletePanARMENIAN.Net - UK believes in peaceful settlement of the Nagorno Karabakh conflict, member of the House of Lords of the British Parliament and Chairman of Global Counsel Peter Mandelson said in Baku.
"Eliminating this instability through the peaceful settlement of the conflict between the parties is of great importance," Mandelson said, quoted by Trend news agency.
"This mission was entrusted to the OSCE Minsk Group and we hope its efforts in this direction will be successful," Mandelson added.
http://www.panarmenian.net/eng/news/172177/
In other words, piglet Mandelson on behalf of BP is telling Aliyev not to screw up their investment in Baku.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1241929/Mandelson-BP-job-Election-say-insiders.html
There has been some significant developments on the Syrian front for those who wish to stay updated on this issue
ReplyDeleteHighlights
* SAA took control over Safira,a strategic city south-east of Aleppo.
* Turkey increasingly speaking against the Jihadi Wackos it has gladly imported into its borders.
* Saudi-Turkish tension is at a high point.
* FSA leader in Aleppo quit his post.
* Turkey trying to warm up relations with Iran, you know why? because they want to re-open channels with Assad through Iran, that's why...
All these developments point towards an ultimate defeat of the foreign mercenaries. Now it's a matter of determining the final kill zone, the main slaughter zone is rumored to lie somewhere between north of Aleppo and Raqqa extending until the Turkish border. I think prior to that there may be a possible escalation in Qalamoun (the mountains between Syria and Lebanon).
It is expected that many of the mercenaries local and foreign will seek to flee Syria towards Turkey.
The foreigners want to enter Turkey to transit back to their origin countries. But it is unlikely these whackos are allowed back to their countries because of the security threat after being trained in extremist groups in Syria (Chechens for one will not be allowed re-entry to Russia). So they shall seek residence in Turkey :) moreover the Syrian rebels also will want to get the hell out of Syria when the major offensive starts, simply to wait it out in Turkey and see the political developments hoping for Assad's pardon.
It is common to see such protests in South east Turkey, but the cause of the protest this time is against Turkey building a wall along Syrian border. Yup, Turkey is about to build a 600 Km wall on its Syrian border. What a silly idea...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wy48uOUnzGk
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4p_Fiyxc0vU
It is also theoretically possible that the Islamists turn their weapons towards Turkey. They already have fought against the FSA who are supposed to be Turkey's fighters.
German historian Hilmar Kaiser's criticism of historian's from Armenia caught my eye as I read this article. These ultraliberal, raceless freaks need to stop mixing their poisonous politics into the study of history.
ReplyDeletehttp://asbarez.com/115747/istanbul-conference-opens-discussion-on-islamized-armenians/
He also pulled no punches in criticizing the academic work carried out in Armenia for the past twenty years, labeling it as not only academically inferior but also damaging giving its nationalist, even racist overtones. Luckily, Kaiser noted, there is a new generation of academics coming of age in Armenia who are raising the bar when it comes to academic scholarship, pointing to the presence of two young scholars from Armenia as panelists.
So will Vladimir the Great be visiting Armenia anytime soon?
ReplyDelete"So will Vladimir the Great be visiting Armenia anytime soon?"
ReplyDeletefirst we need to clean some of our monkeys so they won't disturb the mood when Putin is in town.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1g35r-EiXC4
Now that the disagreements about Yerevan's complimentary politics is over, I expect to see the great president of the Russian Federation in Armenia on an official visit hopefully before the end of this year.
ReplyDeleteHis visit is well overdue.
What the hell happened in Yerevan today? Why is this terrorist would-be revolutionary shant harutiunian not rotting in a gulag given his long history of violence and terrorism? If any American citizen even once tried to pull in the United States what this harutiunian scum has done on several occasions in Armenia, then that American citizen would have been given the Bradley/Chelsea Manning treatment. There is way too much political freedom in Armenia and way too many foreign-funded provocateurs. I sincerely hope they make an example out of this criminal... And what a shame that a quick google search for "shant harutiunian" brought up bullshit about him being a "political prisoner."
ReplyDeletehttp://asbarez.com/115830/protest-turns-explosive-in-yerevan/
What happened in Yerevan today was just another measure to punish Sargsyan's administration due to its recent decision to join the Russian-led customs Union. Ever since Yerevan's historic September 3 announcement, Armenia's Western-led freaks (you know who they are) have been working in overdrive. Therefore, as predicted, we can all expect more fireworks.
ReplyDeleteNevertheless, I have been warning about situations like this. Enough of this "complimentary politics" bullshit. We need to stop giving Western-led NGOs and propaganda outlets the freedom to destabilize Armenia. We need to stop tolerating the nation's Western-led political opposition freaks. The Armenian government is too lenient. This leniency is being looked upon as weakness by Western powers. The only way to stop these freaks is to break their heads and spill their blood.
Kill a few of them, jail the rest and we'll have the sociopolitical peace and stability needed to help Armenia continue its evolution.
Sarkis is right. Had these people tried to pull off something like this in any Western nation, they would have been beaten, pepper-sprayed, tased, beaten some more, arrested, interrogated as terrorists, beaten some more and thrown in jail indefinitely...
It's good in one way what happened today. Now we have proof that there are people who are openly saying "guess what, we are going to make a revolution, we have sticks, rocks, benzine, gas, and we're going to cause terror acts". Hope people will wake up and see what the opposition's true intentions are.
ReplyDeleteI agree Svediatsi, what happened today was good, just like what Zaruhi Boztanjian did in Europe was good. Since Armenians are irrational when it comes to politics, I remain hopeful that these kinds of actions by the Western-led political opposition in Armenia will finally open the people's eyes. I find it amusing that these opposition freaks are playing right into the hands of the authorities. I am pretty sure the authorities knew exactly what Shant Harutunyan was up to. Give them enough rope and they'll be sure to hang themselves.
ReplyDeleteI agree with Svediastsi as well, the more dispicable that the clowns which the west employs to harm Armenia, the better Armenia's leadership appears.
ReplyDeleteAm I overly optimistic to hope (believe) that the west is this desparate in Armenia? Are they so hopelessly lacking in any respectable agents on the ground that zaruhi cunt-stanjian, crazy-ass hayrikyan and this self-described terrorist-"revolutionary" are the best the west could muster? For all the studying they do of Armenian national characteristics, did they really conclude gay "rights" would galvanize Armenia's masses? Or terrorism to rally mass riots - they must have Armenia confused for one of their muslim allies.
I don't want to underestimate the external enemies of Armenia, but the more I read about this man's psychopathic declarations of revolution, the more obvious it becomes that even the most gullible AYF member would sense "this isn't the way." Dare I say that the west is handing the Armenian government its very own "new Pearl Harbor" which would justify a final crackdown on western-funded subversives?
And what about the west's main agents on the ground, they are rather quiet. That inbred, horse-faced white trash hick jon hughes, not a neigh out of him lately (pun intended). LTP and co are also not rocking the boat. Could it be these otherwise broken records have lost legitimacy in the Armenian publics eyes? Or did someone warn them that if they keep opening their mouths in Armenia they may find unwanted objects penetrating down into their throats?
Hey Arevordi,
ReplyDeleteI love your posts, they give me a lot of hope for our homeland. Although I have to disagree with you on the subject of English. Given that Sargsyan is positioning Armenia to set itself up as a high tech powerhouse, learning English is going to be a must for those workers. It is the language that programming languages and code are written in and if Armenian specialists want to communicate with engineers in Silicon Valley, Scandinavia, India and China they are going to have to do so in English.
Interesting analysis on Artsakh (western perspective)
ReplyDeletehttp://www.isn.ethz.ch/Digital-Library/Articles/Detail/?id=171907
the final point is particularly eye opening
"The most difficult task is to convince the government of Azerbaijan to give up on Nagorno-Karabakh for the sake of peaceful co-existence and ultimately reducing Russia’s influence in and leverage on the South Caucasus region."
So in other words, western observers acknowledge that Azerbaijan has to give up its claims on Artsakh if they intend to preserve their gains in the South Caucasus.
Armen jan, thank you for reading.
ReplyDeleteRegarding English: You are looking at the matter somewhat superficially. Let me put it another way: If I come to control the world's water supply, they will have no choice but to came to me to drink. If all need to come to me to drink, then I have the advantage over everyone else. Drinking from a source that has an agenda to manipulate and socially engineer human society may be necessary for survival, but it does not make it safe. Therefore, we need to figure out a way to be less dependent on this source.
We are living in an Anglo-American-Zionist world. There are some some things such as English and the US Dollar that we will have to deal with for the foreseeable future, but that does not mean we should all embrace it recklessly and blindly, as we are currently doing. Besides, I never said we don't need English at all. After Armenian and Russian, we need to learn English as well... and why not French, German, Persian, Arabic, Chinese, etc. From a business perspective, what's more effective, dealing with a German industrialist via English or via German? From a political perspective, what's more effective, dealing with an Iranian official via English or Persian?
Let Armenia's IT people deal with their counterparts around the world in English, but let's not make English an integral part of Armenia's everyday life.
The main point I'm trying making is that English has become weaponized and is a catalyst for corrosive, globalist sociopolitical agendas, and that Russian needs to be protected as our nation's number two language.
Russia is our only ally. It is our strategic ally. Russia is our largest trade partner. Russia is our largest investor. Russia is our most important source for energy. Russia hosts our largest Diaspora. Moreover, Russia's technology sector will outdo that of the West's in the next few decades. Armenia is small, impoverished, remote and surrounded by enemies in a very hostile environment. Armenia needs to concentrate its limited efforts wisely. As a result, Armenians need to concentrate their limited efforts in Russia, a country that holds the potential to fix most of Armenia's most fundamental problems and safeguard its existence.
I see what you're saying now, perhaps the best approach would be to implement a case by case basis. I.E. Tech students learn English but politics, finance and business majors learn Russian plus Farsi, Chinese or whatever is necessary. I don't know much about Russia's IT sector but it will be interesting to see how they choose to interact with technology.
DeleteRussia Offers to Subsidize Nuclear Plant
ReplyDeletehttp://asbarez.com/115886/russia-offers-to-subsidize-nuclear-plant/
I'm glad to see we are reaping some serious rewards after announcing we will join the the Customs Union.
http://news.am/eng/news/179486.html
ReplyDeleteGreat, another bimbo playing politics.
LG
Ok it's official Putin is coming on dec 1-2. I want to go stand in front of USA embassy (the road from airport passes by) with a sign Putin we love you, Armenia's future is with Russia. anyone wants to join me. time to act, talking is nice but we need to counter all those russophobes.
ReplyDeleteT.K.,
ReplyDeleteI hope to see large numbers of our people turnout to greet him. The man is a living legend and in many ways, a savior. We need to welcome him with open arms. This is the perfect occasion to embrace this man and begin a pan-Armenian effort to promote Armenian interests amongst top level Russian officials.
It is now being widely reported that Russian President Vladimir Putin will be visiting Armenia in early December -
Putin to visit Armenia next month, says Russian-Armenian tycoon: http://armenianow.com/news/49857/armenia_visit_president_putin_sargsyan_ara_abrahamyan
Expect a frenzy of anti-Putin hysteria by our nation's Western-led street whores and psychopaths masquerading as nationalists. Attached to this email is one such example brought to my attention by a reader. I call on Armenian authorities to crack-down hard on the nation's Western-led provocateurs and agitator ahead of his visit. We need to stop our Captain Americas, EUrotic fags, nationalist nutjobs and self-destructive peasantry from embarrassing us once again.
Exactly a year ago, there were widespread reports that Vladimir Putin's visit to Armenia was imminent. It then became obvious that the trip was put off - most likely due to disagreements between Moscow and Yerevan over Yerevan's "complimentary politics". Now that Armenia's counterproductive foreign policy formulations that have kept the country politically unstable and economically stagnant for the past twenty years have been corrected as of September 3, I expect a visit by the living legend, I also expect a visit by him to the Armenian Genocide memorial.
I wrote the following back in October, 2012. Please revisit it for the commentary is fully relevant today -
The living legend may be visiting Armenia - October, 2012: http://theriseofrussia.blogspot.com/2012/10/the-living-leagend-will-be-visiting.html
Arevordi
ReplyDeleteWe do need to appear as i am sure there will be others doing the opposite.
there has been a big push in the construction of russian church about a mile down from usa embassy. i imagine they may finish up by the time Putin comes and do an opening ceremony.
I will ask around to get an official permission to be on the road and great Putin. it is not hard for me to get some signs printed in russian and english. i will also get some like minded people to join me. i will make posts on your blog about the time and the place. hope other from your blog who will be in Armenia at the time will join.
http://www.aysor.am/en/news/2013/11/07/vardan-oskanyan-1/
ReplyDeleteHe's still the West's man in Yerevan.
LG
T.K.,
ReplyDeletePlease keep us updated on this matter.
Dear Arevordi,
ReplyDeleteI wish to participate in the nation building process by planting a seed of endeavor.
http://newarmenianparty.blogspot.de
Your opinion is highly appreciated.
Hay Ari,
ReplyDeleteI don't know anything about this "New Political Party" or the "seed of endeavor" you speak of. If you want my opinion, I first need to know: Who is involved in this. What is their political platform. Where are they located. Where do they stand on core political matters. Etc.
Dear readers,
ReplyDeleteI have revised and updated the current blog commentary.
I don't know anything about this "New Political Party" or the "seed of endeavor" you speak of.
ReplyDelete>It is a new party.
Who is involved in this.
>So far only myself.
What is their political platform.
>Under development and open for suggestions.
Where are they located.
>Globally active with its main headquarter in Armenia.
Where do they stand on core political matters.
>Wherever its future members decide upon.
The background of this is that I was considering to be politically active, however, I could not find any Armenian party that really encouraged me to be a member of. Therefore, the idea of starting a new party with agreeable principles flowed naturally.
If one thinks the idea is very far fetched, I would like to hear your opinion if there are any Armenian political bodies that you think is worth participating in their activities, specially for the diaspora.
I do not enjoy the term nation building. It is a zionized neologism. Nation building can take place in non descript countries with a falafel of peoples, languages, religions, sects and other. Armenia is a nation, there is no building an Armenian nation. Yes of course we can endeavor to make it strong, self reliant, powerful, great, etc , but nation building ? No, let the Juden use their chosen terms for themselves. Let them nation build Israel. As far as nationalist parties in Armenia are concerned, every Armenian is a nationalist, albeit of different favors, but essentially we are nation conscious and aware of who we are. At this juncture in our history we are fortunate , very fortunate that we have remain homogeneous and monoculltural, thus obviating the carcinogenic challenges of divisions, lack of unity and stresses and strains of intra cultural diversity and dis cohesion. It is a life and death struggle in the polymathic multicultural panmixia wrecking people's identity and nations which is under way in the global racial stew. By all means go ahead and start a political movement of nationalist essence, and make it grow and prosper. There would be no shortage of blessings to have a parliament represented by different nationalists parties, each trying to out armeniianize the other. Compare the rottedeness of the ossified parliaments in western capitals, everyone of them saturated with the canker of Marxism, Zionism partisanship trying to out zionized each other, in their eternal quest to masquerade like democracies.
ReplyDelete“Armenia in Eurasia” social alliance is formed
ReplyDeleteYEREVAN. – The “Armenian Socialist Movement” social initiative and the “Eurasian Integration” NGO announced about the formation of the “Armenia in Eurasia” social alliance.
Their respective statement notes that they see the imperative of the development of Armenia’s economic, military, political, societal, spiritual and cultural life in the country’s accession to the Customs and the Eurasian Unions.
“The alliance will come up with a series of initiatives to assist in the process of Armenia’s membership in the Eurasian family.
“The ‘Armenia in Eurasia’ social alliance is open to the cooperation-supporting social and political organizations, and individuals,” the newly-formed alliance’s statement reads.
http://news.am/eng/news/180158.html
Dear Arevordi,
ReplyDeleteI really enjoy reading the comments posted by your readers. You have a very interesting community here. I hope it grows. To be on topic, I think the following news about Iran is also related to all this: http://asbarez.com/116034/iran-armenia-emphasize-expansion-of-ties/
Long time reader
Long time reader,
ReplyDeleteI'm glad you enjoy reading this blog. And I agree with you that there are some very intelligent people posting comments on this blog. I only wish their numbers were greater.
Moreover, I wish the anonymous ones would identify themselves with pseudonyms at the very least.
Hay Ari,
ReplyDeleteI know your heart is in the right place, but what makes you think you can start a political party?
More importantly, are you sure you want to be "democratic" in building your political party?
What if your political party gets populated by liberal, globalists seeking closer relations with Turkey? What if your political party gets populated by ultra-nationalistic nutjobs that want to close down the Russian military base in Armenia? What if your political party gets populated by Western operatives seeking European Union membership for Armenia. What if your political party gets populated with blind Russophiles who want Armenia under direct Russian rule? What if your political party gets populated by militant-homosexuals with a vendetta? What if your political party get populated with representatives of all of the above and as a result they constantly fight against each-other and get nothing done?
I'm afraid you have it all wrong. You first formulate a political platform, suggest serious solutions to serious problems and then work to recruit and/or attract like minded individuals into your political party - then go public.
With your approach, all you will be able to do set-up is a club, at best. Like I said, I know your heart is in the right place but what you are proposing is unrealistic and impractical - to put it in a nice way .
In my opinion, we don't need yet another political party. We have enough parties; I'd even say too many. In fact, some of our political parties look excellent on paper - until you take into consideration the human/Armenian factor. What we need to do is to work with what we got. We need to help bring our existing political parties to their best potential.
If you live in the Diaspora, there is nothing I can suggest to you because the Diaspora is a desolate graveyard. If you live in Armenia, you can get involved with any one of the nation's state-sponsored youth organizations. The ARF has one. Even the Hanrapetakan Party has one. The Hanrapetakan Party is by design a party based on Garegin Njdeh's ideology. It's all together another story what party members have been doing with the party in recent years. The platform of the party is very good and it desperately needs the services of young, bright and nationalistic men and women.
Therefore, no new parties please. I suggest you work with what we have.
Having said that, what we do need are serious activists, analysts and think tanks.
We need to promote closer, more effective Russo-Armenian relations. We need organized pan-national lobbying efforts in the Kremlin. We need to preach about the importance of the Russian factor in Armenian affairs. We need to preach about what it means to be an Armenian. We need to preach about what it means to have an Armenian state. We need to preach about the importance of having political stability in Armenia. We need to preach about the importance of nationalism. We need to preach about the importance working with the state and within state to bring about positive change. We need to preach about maintaining ties with the homeland. We need to preach against negativism, pessimism and destructive criticism. We need to preach against involving Westerners in our domestic matters. We need to preach against the political West. We need to preach against American pop culture. We need to preach against Globalism. We need to preach against "western values". We need to preach against wasting time and money in anti-Armenian vipers nests like Washington and Brussels. We need to preach about the dangers of democracy? We need to preach about the dangers of capitalism.
Hay Ari,
ReplyDeleteIn short, too many Armenians today are preoccupied with selfish/material interests. Too many Armenians today are blinded by Western fairytales. Too many Armenians today are politically ignorant or indifferent. Armenians need a better understanding of geopolitics and world history. Armenians need a better understanding of Armenians. We desperately need nationalistic activism in the name of the Armenian state. Nationalism is something that is severely lacking in Armenian society today.
Don't make the mistake of confusing Armenian "pride" with Armenian nationalism. We have very few true nationalists.
Most Armenians are "proud" Armenians. This pride is derived from their personal egotism, arrogance and narcissism. The individual is namely proud of his or herself, and since they also happen to be Armenian - they are "proud Armenians".
We dont need "proud" Lebanese-Armenians or "proud" American-Armenians or "proud" Iranian-Armenians or "proud" Yerevantsis or "proud" Gyumretsis - what we need are NATIONALISTIC ARMENIANS. What we need are nationalists: Individuals that will serve the Armenian state - unconditionally - and place the wellbeing of the state above theirs.
Nationalism is for disciplined, intelligent, politically aware, hardworking, humble and selfless people who put patriotic ideals above their personal interests. Nationalism is not for those who are arrogant, individualistic, narcissistic, materialistic, emotionally unstable, egotistic, self-righteous, politically ignorant and jealous people who place their personal interests or their emotional baggage above that of the greater nation.
Sadly, due to Armenian genes and folk cultural (the by-product of one thousand years of decay), we have a deficit of true nationalism. This is a fundamental problem that needs to be remedied. Therefore, we all need to work on this problem if we want to have an Armenia that we can all be truly proud of someday.
Just curious Arevordi, how do you propose remedying the problem of Armenain genes?
ReplyDeleteArto2
Armenian genes are very good genes. Recently I paid a visit to Armenia; what a marvelous land, the beauty of its scenery and landscape, the beauty of her people. ( I'll never forget a conversation between a russian jew and the mother of an armenian friend of mine way back in 1988. The russian kept saying, in Armenia you have beautiful people.) In my meandering in Armenia, the words of this russian jew kept reverberating in my ears time and time again as I travelled form one paradisiacal spot on to another. Has anyone come into close contact with the Armenian peasant ? What a dignified personage . I have seen peasants in other lands, but the Armenian is different streets above the rest . Have you seen our wonderful soldiers ? In Karabagh you'll see plenty of them; it is an unforgettable sight. The words of General Lebed come to mind when visiting the Karabagh front in 1992, the general was much impressed by the bearing and pride of our boys in uniform, and he said these brave boys have defiance in their eyes and are the best guarantee for the Armenian people. Sadly ,the General a very pro-armenian, died in an air accident years later.
ReplyDeleteArmenians have to be proud of their land , it is a bouquet country, and I wonder how many of them realize this ? The Armenian genes are clean, in Armenia that is. Of course there are some very unsavoury strains which are not Armenian, but they are in a minority and I doubt if they can have an impact on the racial make up. To cleanse the genes these alluded strains would have to be neutralized. With diasporan Armenians is another matter. Lebanese Armenians think in lebaneses terms, so Armenians in other lands they adopt and think in terms of their adopted homeland. The pokrik Hayastan has also one thing in its favor; they are isolated and surrounded by enemies. Being surrunded by mortal enemies is good, it makes the race strong, and alert to the dangers threatening her. Having said that nothing in this life is guaranteed, therefore the struggle to preserve the race, the people, the identity , the religion must be pursued to the very end. We do not want to follow in the footsteps of the europeans nations, who thanks to their ill conceived and trecherous national policies have allowed their countries to be hit by tsunami waves of invading hordes from Afro -Asia, causing a catastrophic dysgenic and biological disaster. Armenia must consciously guard against that and fight against it for her own survival.
The Anglo-American-Zionist world has turned genetics and nationalism into taboo subjects. Consequently, this is a very touchy subject because most people do not know how to assess or approach this topic.
ReplyDeleteFor the past seventy plus years Western-led Globalist institutions (the UN being one of them) have spent immense sums of money and effort (via "scientific" studies, film, television, music, publications, school curriculum) downplaying the role of genes in human society and encouraging multiculturalism, race mixing and homosexuality for one primary reason:.
1) Elimination of nationalism (which is related to race worship) and the curbing of masculinity from human society (specifically from white/Germanic societies historically recognized by the Anglo-American-Jews as a problem in Europe) for better global management and governance.
In short, they have deemed that the American experiment works.
As a result, they want to turn the world into a reflection of American society. This agenda lurks behind the modern world's well organized and well funded liberal movements.
Due to factors noted above, most sheeple today associate this topic with Nazism and racism. Yet most sheeple today do not realize that when they talk about the differences in dogs for instance, they are essentially recognizing the importance of breeding and genetic makeup in animals, which include us humans (although we have souls).
In the dog world: Although different kinds of modern dogs can be traced to one prehistoric ancestor, do Sheppard dogs have the same traits as Maltese dogs? Of course not. They are vastly different in looks, intelligence, physical capabilities and temperament. Why? Due to their breeding (genetic refinement or makeup).
If released into nature, how would the two dogs in question do? It's easy to see how Sheppards can thrive whereas the Maltese wont.
It's same with humans.
I believe breeding/genetic makeup is the most fundamental tool of a nation that determines its future, its survival, its destiny. Our DNA provides us with predisposition and a genetic foundation - be it good or bad.
Our DNA is why we Armenians for instance are naturally good in business, sciences, arts, sports, chess - as well as why we are temperamental, disorganized, controlling, individualistic, materialistic, flashy, jealous, etc.
To continue:
ReplyDeleteI believe national culture is a by-product of breeding/genetic makeup. Historically, human societies (e.g. Germanic, Latin, Armenian, Semitic, African, Slavic, etc) have been the way they have been due to their breeding.
Therefore, breeding is key.
Having said that, what do we do with Armenians?
I have never specifically singled-out our genes as something that has to be fixed in any specific way. Such a suggestion would be utterly idiotic on my part. After all, humans are not lab experiments nor are they animals that can be bred (although that is exactly what the Western elite has been trying to do for over seventy years).
Therefore, I have been somewhat vague in my statements: I have merely said our one thousand years old genetic and cultural damage needs to be eventually fixed. How we do that is another story, a story to which I do not have much to add.
However, before we do anything we need to fully recognize that for more than one thousand years we have been genetically mixing with gene pools that were historically foreign to the Armenian highlands. The gene pools in question are Semetic (Arabian/Jewish), Turkic and Gypsy-like nomadic tribes from south-central Asia. This mixing has altered us physically and culturally. Let's first recognize this.
Like I said, I don't know how to remedy the genetic equation of this problem in a realistic or effective way. If I had to however provide solutions, I guess the only thing I would suggest is procreation within our race since our genes are predominantly Armenian genes and we can eventually flush out the foreign influences. Or, at the very least, I suggest procreating with compatible races and cultures.
Nevertheless, I would place most emphasis on education and conditioning (i.e. social engineering) to work with what history has dealt us and to bring out its best potential. Like I said, irregardless of what happened in the last one thousand years, we are Armenians and we continue to have great potential within us. We just need to figure out how to bring this out not for our personal benefit but for the benefit of our homeland.
Arevordi,
ReplyDeleteWhile I agree on most of what you said,
I cannot clearly understand your stand against the formation of a new political body in the diaspora after having said "the Diaspora is a desolate graveyard"...
It is this exact political emptiness that needs to be dealt with, otherwise the diaspora Armenians will always be drawn towards the notorious pro-Western, Russophobe parties, hence they continue to be a liability for Armenia.
Remember that the majority of Armenians are living abroad. Their energies need to be harvested and directed efficiently for the purpose of serving the Armenian nation.
Although I enjoy commenting on forums and blogs, however such online activism is not a substitute for a genuine Nationalistic and pro-Eurasian political body that seems to be lacking at the moment.
I do not intend to start a political party (in fact I do not have either the knowledge nor the time needed for such an endeavor), but I propose to start debating such a motion. If there are a number of Armenians who share such an opinion, then it is up to those individuals to initiate such an movement. Otherwise, if there are no interest at all, and if the current political bodies do satisfy the aspiration of most Armenians in the diaspora, then we can drop the whole topic.
I personally can tell from my side, I am acquainted with at least five young and dynamic Armenians scattered over the world with a strong connection to their Armenian homeland, who are desperately looking for a political umbrella to co-ordinate and enhance their activism.
I find it shameful that as diaspora Armenians, we should remain without a leadership, and without an organizational framework, except possibly for the ARF who you frequently criticize for understandable reasons.
TK's following comment shows the current frustrating state of affairs
"I will ask around to get an official permission to be on the road and great Putin. it is not hard for me to get some signs printed in russian and english. i will also get some like minded people to join me"
Now imagine if we already had such a political body with a strong popular base within Armenia as well. We would have been able to mobilize thousands of partisans, we would have been able to print thousands of flags, posters and propaganda material, we would have completely overshadowed the few dozens of paid western agents who will try to protest Putin's visit, and finally, we would not have been pressed to collect a few like minded people just a month before the visit of such a global figure.
I agree on the need of having think tanks, but that does not exclude the need of a political body. They go hand in hand.
I ask you to think more about this topic, you do have the political knowledge and obviously the time (your monthly commentaries need lots of time I assume), therefore you (and other commentators here) do have the capacity to start such a movement.
ReplyDeleteIn my opinion there is a niche, and it would be a waste not to take this opportunity.
Finally, since we live in the 21st century, and the fact that Armenians are scattered throughout the globe, we have to consider ways of exploiting the internet as an instrument to connect and co-ordinate our scattered population.
There are a number of internet based political party initiatives, they are still at their initial stages, but this will certainly grow in the near future.
Some examples of internet base political parties
Online Party of Canada
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Online_Party_of_Canada
Digital Revolutions: Argentina’s Online Political Party Shakes Up City Government
http://thisbigcity.net/digital-revolutions-argentinas-online-political-party-shakes-up-city-government/
Internet election campaigns can change Japan's politics
http://ajw.asahi.com/article/views/editorial/AJ201304200031
The kikes whining when things don't go exactly their way. This is why every nation they come into contact with sooner or later wants to exterminate them.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2013/11/10/israel-us-relations-iran/3488455/
And fuck france. I can't wait over the next few years as economic collapse and a tipping point in muslim and african demographics plunges france into a well-deserved civil war.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=V0JYZ3yBdsQ
ReplyDeleteIgnore the bullshit speech and read the comments on this video. Fuck briain either way.
Hay Ari,
ReplyDeleteI understand you. I sympathize with you. Yes, we do need to fill the void in emptiness of the Diaspora but I do not think your suggestion is realistic. I think the caliber of the Armenian today, especially the American-Armenian, is very low. We need to work on raising political awareness in our communities. We need to work on helping Armenians better understand their history and the world they live in. I think the internet is a powerful tool for this. Mind you that this is merely only my personal opinion. This does not mean I am not with you. In fact, you can consider me a member of your political party. And look at this blog as my political/ideological stance, one that is made public every month.
In the meanwhile, see if you can begin contacting different organizations, churches, clubs, activists, etc, to see if you can recruit them. I think Armenian student organizations would be a good place to start.
http://www.rferl.org/content/russia-serbia-military-pact-/25167365.html
ReplyDeleteThis is a positive development. More effort should be put into bringing Serbia closer to the EAU and CSTO.
LG
In 1934. Rosenberg pronounced France, as the first African European country in the Europe. That was in 1934. Today France is a laboratory of rampant miscegenation and race degradation of the first order. The UK has become a hotbed of Asian races with the statutory sprinkling of Caribbean genes. Germany is now thoroughly judaized internally and turkified externally. Sweden is a miasma of Afro Arabia, the Mediterranean cordon, Spain, Italy , Greece have been turned into latrines of Afro-asi attic flotsam. The Balkans have been fractured and littered with Muslim statelets under the auspices of the USA-EU mantle. There are a lot of Armenians in France, a civil war there is going to affect them adversely. A size able Armenian community in Greece , well established and prosperous, and on the whole patently nationalistic. In Argentina,Uruguay,Brazil, strong well established communities. The minister of sport in Uruguay is an Armenian woman, used to belong to the militant Marxist movement in her youth. Now she has been rewarded by the party with a ministerial post. In Argentina the chief of the anti discrimination,antisemitism, xenophobia NGO ( a nasty organ created by the Jews in 1995) is an Armenian , muradian,. This muradian is a Jewish broom, it has brought charges of antisemitism, xenophobia and other humanistic , human rights doctrinal aberration against many and sundry for senseless behavior, muradian has yet to bring an anti Armenian charge against anybody. Such a talent wasted in the services of an international octopus. Armenians in Argentina and Uruguay are very nationalistic, so are the Brazilian armenians, the latter ones emigrated to Brazil mainly from the Middle East, and during the 60's. In Argentina the president of the Mint in the Menem government of the 90's was Armenian too. Very wealthy, who bankrolled Menem' s initial presidential bids. In the 70,s the Armenian restaurant ( the tashnak one) was the favorite rendevouz point of the argentine military, notable figures such as Videla, Viola, Agosti , etc, were seen dining there at regular intervals. The restaurant is still running and is one of the finest in the city. It is frequented by a torrent of tourists, and very much liked and loved by the judas customers. On a Friday evening there is Armenian dancer and singer and the place is booked by almost 80 percent of the judas clientele.
ReplyDeleteArmenian student organizations would be a good place to start
ReplyDeleteComrade Arevordi, as an Armenian post-graduate student myself, I have to issue a strong warning about Armenian Student Organizations. By the time a majority of Diasporan Armenian students reach the university level and beyond, they have been effectively brainwashed very thoroughly during the decade of their lives where they formed their core political and ideological beliefs (ie late teens to late twenties). The religion of the west ("democracy" and mob rule, USA-good Russia-bad, the Holy hollowhoax, etc.) has taken strong root in a majority of such students, and they are likely to be zombie-like victims harvested by pre-packaged western trojan horses preaching "freedom and democracy" such as raffi hovannisian. Perhaps the situation is not as bad among Armenian students in technical fields (medicine, engineering, chemistry, physics, information technology) but I'd generally steer clear of a majority of the Armenians in the self-styled "social sciences" (law, history, law, child development, law, anthropological studies, law, sociology and race relations, and the especially ideologically toxic field of law where a large number of western agents in Armenia originated). Those tend to be the asbarezes which attract the overly-educated, under-intelligent, politically illiterate political activists that plague our community.
On a side note since social sciences attract the students who think more politically than average, it is also here where you may find the most potentially capable political leaders, but its like searching for a gem in the sewers.
http://www.foxnews.com/world/2013/11/13/western-raised-jihadists-pouring-into-syria-could-threaten-us-in-future/
ReplyDeleteTypical symptoms of nations suffering under ZOGs (zionist occupied governments).
France
ReplyDeletehttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z4GQO7iV_Q4
Comrade Arevordi
ReplyDeleteYour thoughts regarding race and how its biologically connected to human culture are powerful. This resonates with me fully. I also see how the world's globalist elite is trying to "breed" a new mixed humanity and they are staring with europeans probably because europeans have been the proudest and most racist in the past. I find it difficult to talk about this kinds of topics with my peers. Sarkis is correct, americans are zombies, their brains just cant go to certain places. Its almost scary how conditioned "free thinking" human can become. Thanks to you I now beginning to see russia as a potential salvation for the white race, christianity, traditional family values, straight people and nationalism
Arto#1
Let me just add on the topic of the death of western European countries like france and britain that, while I cannot spare an itoa of sympathy for countries I ultimately hold liable for the Armenian Genocide (from their treachery during the Crimean War to their nato alliance with turkey today), I am at the end an Armenian nationalist and I recognize that Armenia is genetically and culturally linked to western Europe, and that Europeans are the most productive peoples in the world. There is an element of tragedy seeing their current states and bleak futures. But they cannot continue to exists as they are and continue actively propelling themselves and their people down the path to destruction.
ReplyDeleteThis concern for their survival is a major part of why I justify my decision to cheer their demise and collapse in their current form. Because until the ZOGs (zionist-occupied governments) and the supernational EU which are the sole authorities in Europe cross the point of no return and collapse, there will be absolutely no chance for any positive change for those countries. When the states collapse, when the ZOGs are no longer able to subsidize immigrants through taxes and wealth redistribution, when the state "security agencies" are no longer capable of repressing Nationalism, when the propaganda outlets are no longer able to fool the masses that "democracy and diversity" are the reason Europeans enjoy such elevated living standards, only then will the Europeans who are still capable of thought and patriotism have a fighting chance to save their countries. The sooner this happens, the better. Nature and a life/death battle for survival will be the best antidote for 75 years of ultraliberal brainwashing. Europe today is as fucked up as weimar Germany or Yetsin's Russia (under different specifications of course), and such times have historically proven to produce the required strongmen to remedy the situation.
It is ironic how many White Nationalists point out that the aim of the jews has always been to collapse western countries. Now the situation has devolved to the point where kikes control and exploit the state apparatuses of these countries, and so nationalists should be hoping for the collapse of their states as soon as possible. It is a necessity if they ever wish to rebuild their countries.
And I'm sorry Armenians in those diasporas, and even non-Armenian Europeans, will suffer tremendously during these tumultuous times. The natives in many ways have no one to blame but themselves for letting their countries fall to foreign control, and for allowing their people to fall for the lies of foreign segments of society. Of course, as with most major problems around the world, if you look deep enough all the blame can be laid on the hooked-nosed, yarmulke-wearing deceivers walking among us.
ReplyDeleteAnd since we're talking about the decay of France, let me post this review I wrote of the idiotic french film glorifying the Armenian-origin french traitor missak manoushian. Forgive the very crude language I used when I wrote it:
Army of Crime is a fucking embarrassment lionizing the filthy communist named missak manushian who led a group of "French" kikes and Armenians in committing terrorist acts against German-allied France during World War 2. Of course there were "tender" moments where the jewish subordinates lashed out at the "Armenian" manushian because he could not understand how bad Hitler was because he was not a jew, to which manushian responds that he in fact sympathized with his oppressed jewish comrades because Armenians too have suffered like the jews. One wonders how a hardcore bolshevist like manoushian who abhorred the concepts of Nation and Nationalism can be upheld as an exemplar of the Armenian nation in France, but this film does its utmost to do just that. No wonder real Frenchmen look down on both the kikes and the Armenians who reside in France. And that sand-nigger simon apkarian (who played manoushian) needs to stop associating himself with Armenians, him and that singer who sings "La Yiddishe Mama" aznavour are a disgrace.
And this is Britain:
ReplyDeletehttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=psZBaJU_Cvo#t=215
Arevordi,
ReplyDeleteI remember you saying something about Egypt geting closer to Russia. Did you see this article from today http://news.yahoo.com/egypt-russia-too-important-us-substitute-092421382.html
Longtime reader
third intifada warning from the incestuous John Kerry
ReplyDeletehttp://www.foxnews.com/world/2013/11/13/kerry-third-intifada-warning-sends-us-diplomat-into-damage-control-mode/
I find the following debate very interesting with 85% of the audience agreeing that Israel is destroying itself with the settlement policy
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Rk60vNUJ9Y
Marxism,trotskyms reigns in Europe.. The resistance is officially venerated by the French system. France had never had any other form of government save from the left. Even the Gaullist faction, pseudo French nationalists ,were harnessed to the left chariots. It is in line with their ideology and philosophy to build a history of their own. No surprise than seeing the myth creation around a scabious dog like manoshian as a historical personage cum hero of the reds, leftists, Marxists. Ethnomasochism is the official policy of the jewified EU . The current social and political policies of population replacement fit into this thinking mould. The population replacement takes place through the massive, unrelenting flow of the population excess of Africa, Asia, the third world into the heartland and core of the European land mass. This development does not favor ethnic Armenia since the ultimate goal pursued by such policies and practices is the obliteration of ethnicity and the nation state. Armenia can not influence policies at the international level, but they certainly can take prophylactic measures against racial genocide through institutionalized race destruction policies.
ReplyDeletehttp://asbarez.com/116175/armenian-parliament-refuses-karabakh-recognition-bill/comment-page-1/#comment-6552478
ReplyDeleteThe first comment on this article makes a great point. zaruhi bozstanjian and her fellow miscreants demonstrate that they are the lowest, most selfish human filth in Armenia. They try to use "official" Artsakh recognition as a political tool to stir up support among their followers. They don't give a damn that their political games are more or less goading the barbaric azeris to order their snipers to take a few more shots at Armenian servicemen. It is obvious that the lives of Armenian soldiers mean nothing to these opposition freaks so long as they can score a fleeting political advantage in stirring up public sentiment for another 15 minutes in Yerevan.
Aznavour is a professional actor. In a France surrounded by omnipotent jews, who dominate the platform of culture and arts; what else could he do ? He will sing yidishe mama over and over again. Also, remember that haunting melody of the jerushalam song was written by none other than Aznavour in the 60's. Ihave met Aznavour personally in the 70's. He is a great fellow and actor of course. He did not hesitate, in spite of parading his armenianness , to marry outside the race, with a swedish lady, and raise a nice family.
ReplyDeleteArevordi
ReplyDeleteI am having problems finding out the time when Putin will arrive. the rest is not a problem. I have talked to people who are responsible to meet and move the motorcade and the word i get from them is that they may not know until last day. So i guess we can only organize something on the short notice the day he arrives. Or the other option is to go early morning and stand there possible all day long. That may not be suitable for everyone. I am still trying to get more info and will post if something comes up.
As to other posts I read here, have you ever considered to make the blog in Armenian too. As much as i know your stated goal about this blog, Armenians here in Armenia need your blog even more. Most think of USA and EU as dream lands. and also they are very stubborn and narrow minded. hard to even have an intelligent conversation.
TK,
ReplyDeleteThank you for keeping us informed. Please keep looking into this matter and please try to do something because I'm sure Paruyr Hayrikian's and Raffi Hovanissian's idiots will be out protesting when Putin arrives.
With regards to this blog: I'm a Diasporan Armenian. Although my Armenian is good, it's not at a level where I can properly and accurately translate my work in this blog. I have looked into finding someone that would translate my commentaries into Armenian (as well as into Russian) but it has been difficult to find a fully qualified person (I need a translator who is also politically/ideologically with me). If my work is going to be translated, it has to be done right. I don't want poor translations. Moreover, I am not asking for favors. I would financially compensate such work. Therefore, if you have any suggestions please let me know.
Anyway, your English/American is quite good. Are you an American-Armenian? Please tell me a few things about yourself. If you want to remain anonymous to the rest of the readers, I will not post your comments.
PS: Due to the typical Armenian's ignorance, arrogance, materialism and individualism, it will be gargantuan task for an Armenian to convince another Armenian of anything. The knife has to reach the bone before Armenians wake up. Armenian have to have their noses rubbed in shit, before they realize what is going on around them. Armenians need an iron fist to keep them in order. Therefore, do not place much hope in convincing Armenians of anything by simply explaining things to them. They will treat you as a fool. "Democracy" is one of the most dangerous threats facing Armenia today. Armenians like us need to by-pass our problematic sheeple and simply do what we think is right for the homeland. In the big picture, we can't be concerned about the Armenian (the typical Armenian will always have problems and complaints and they are never wrong), we need to be concerned about - Armenia. Therefore, I think a better strategy will be to find like minded-individuals and organize a sociopolitical movement. It can start in the internet as first, like what I am doing here. Armenians like us need to somehow become a serious factor in Armenia's political dialogue. Our political platform has to crush all others in the country. Armenians like us need to counter the information war being waged against Armenia by Washington's many operatives in the country. Our number one enemy today is Western Globalism and all its tools currently operating in Armenia. But it is not the only enemy. Once we can eliminate this threat we can then turn our attention to the our country's gluttonous chobans. As I have said, the current government is merely the lesser of evils in Armenia. Once we are successful in keeping Armenia fully within the Russian orbit - we then need to convince Russia's security services of the importance of helping us eliminate some of Armenia's unsavory businessmen. Armenians must be made to fear law enforcement bodies and law enforcement bodies need to enforce the law. After we cleanse Armenia of is Western operatives, we need to cleanse Armenia's government of its 1990's era chobans-in-Armani-suits.
Updates on the Syrian Front:
ReplyDeleteThe Syrian Arab Army has started the recapture of Aleppo, but the last few days were the most significant achievements. The long-awaited liberation of Aleppo is finally on its way. The area around Aleppo Airport has been mostly liberated, and its reopening is expected soon.
It's been a month now that there is a land route between Aleppo and Lebanon, under the surveillance of the Army (while previously when civilians wanted to go, they had to pass through militant territories). This route is due to the ongoing offensive by the Army. After months of stalemate, heavy fighting has restarted in different parts of Aleppo.
Sadly we also had Armenian casualties the last few days (2-3 killed, 5 injured). However, those losses are due to recent mortars that fell on Armenian-inhabited quarters (Midan, Suleymaniyeh). Currently there is no direct fighting in that area. Luckily, the Armenian district was always under the control of the Government, but on the other hand acts as a border between the Army and the militants. In Damascus the most tragic thing happened, I'm sure you're all aware. 2 Armenian children lost their lives due to a mortar shell that hit the Armenian bus carrying them to school.
Թող Աստուած իրենց հոգիները Լուսաւորէ եւ մեր Հայրենակիցներուն քաջութիւն տայ:
The turkish factor is present, as always. Recently a ship was seized by the Greek Coast Guard, carrying infantry weaponry. It is said that this was done because of the involvement of Syrian and Russian intelligence, who had notified Greece while the ship was passing through heading towards Iskenderun(turkey). Among the crew members, the captain and 2 others are turkish.
Informative videos:
http://www.syrianews.cc/details-liberating-brigade-80-securing-aleppo-international-airport-saa-operation/
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tv3VMVExfAI
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1DdDSbmaSqg&feature=c4-overview&list=UUx6Uyh_iiqER337f0FPlmtQ
Arevordi
ReplyDeletethere has been two reports lately that turks have intercepted russian reconnaissance flights along black sea border line. this is news, i have been following and don't remember such actions for last 5 years. right after that the 102 russian base made a statement about artsakh. 3 months ago there has been firing from Nachijevan direction, where we all know turks control the situation.
It maybe a pressure, but there are signs that turkey wants to act under the smily face of davitoghlu.
I get info that 400S along with Iskandars are to be deployed. Not counting the helicopter squadron. so things are getting hot, and it is to our advantage.
i think they want to corner aliev soon to accept what is right or else.
One thing is sure russia is serious and armenia is becoming a regional military power that no one can mess with. and we should all be happy and cherish this.
This is how it is in Greece
ReplyDeletehttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rf7YuaN4ifA
Armenia needs to become an armed fortress. Anyone thinking of meesin up with her must be made to realize of the futility and far reaching consequences of such folly. Further more there is no space in Armenia with liberal experiments, democratic, non existing democratic liberal debauchery. Our only concern should be the ultimate safeguarding of our borders, expansion , and turn Armenia into a state of steel and armor. As far as Azerbaijan is concerned sooner or later they will launch an aggressive attack, the response has to be ready to repel the attack and drive deep to neutralize their military assets. Anyone thinking of turning Armenia into a liberal den of decadent democrats, carbon copies of the EU or USA, should be defenestrated from political life. We have no time to lose. They, the forces of liberal nihilists, can transmogrified a nation like Armenia into a liberal monstrosity , just like they are doing with Greece. Greece is being systematically deracinated, a government of occupation is in place, it has been in charge since the day when pseudo democracy was instaurated in 1974, policies of demographic catastrophe following EU general ideology of anti nation, anti religion, anti identity are implemented with an iron fist, flooding the country with millions of illegal migration, invasion, of Afro Asian hordes, allowing the entry of millions of illegal Muslims into the land, building mosques, in other words turning the place into a racial cataclysm where the survival of the Greek is questioned in the near future. Greece should be a lesson, a model of nation collapse to be copied throughout the EU. And Armenia seeks close cooperation with these mephistophelian culture, racial , nation destroyers ?
ReplyDeleteBetween A.J.'s, Anonymous' and Svediatsi 's eye-opening videos and comments, it becomes clear to me that among all of the EU supporting sheeple in Armenia, only a very tiny faction would want to see Armenia turn into a multiracial theme park, or more literally the world's toilet where all unwanted waste is excreted, as is the case in EU satrapies like Greece, France and Britain. And this leads to T.K.'s important observation:
ReplyDelete"Most think of USA and EU as dream lands."
Maybe advanced concepts - like the advantages of National Socialism; the jewish roots of the bolsheviks who gave away a large percentage of Armenia's lands to ankara in 1920; the fact that color revolutions and Arab springs are the result of US clandestine operations and financing; or the idea that geopolitics and nato hegemony over the former USSR motivating western meddling in Armenia - may be too complex to understand for the average Armenian who protests on the streets or who claims to support closer ties with the EU. But there is tangible, flagrant evidence of how destructive the EU has been for the nations it occupies, and I want to see Armenian media and special interest groups start shoving footage like what has been posted here into the Armenian publics face. There is probably a very severe lack of widespread dissemination of this news in Armenia, which is a shame because it could be a very valuable tool in the hands of the government and the pro-Customs Union segment of society. I know Armenian news networks generally don't cover immigration nightmares of other countries, but I think they should start taking such proactive steps and maybe spread doom-and-gloomy about the truly doomed provinces/outposts of the EU. Even if it is not a direct case for supporting Armenia's ascension to the Custom's Union, it supports the CU indirectly by destroying the carefully crafted, artificial image its rival the EU.
I really hope the Armenian and/or Russian governments also look into paying a handful of poor/unemployed Armenian youth to work on spreading this message through social networks and online forums as well. It might well be worth the relatively low cost if it can help spread information and sway Armenian public opinion. And now is the optimal time between the EU's financial and demographic problems as well as the west's main tool in Armenia, the Hemorrhoid Party, being led by an incompetent clown like Zaruhi "Orospu" Bozstanjian.
Ps Arevordi it is too bad you won't come to Los Angeles, you would have a relatively easy time in North Hollywood or Glendale finding capable Armenian and Russian speakers who can translate your blog and who could use the extra income.
@Sarikis86
ReplyDelete"I know Armenian news networks generally don't cover immigration nightmares of other countries, but I think they should start taking such proactive steps and maybe spread doom-and-gloomy about the truly doomed provinces/outposts of the EU".
That is a VERY GOOD point you make. And the sad part is that quite the opposite is taking place.
On H1 Channel (arajin aliq) there was a show called օտար ամայի ճամբեքի վրայ (otar amayi champeki vra) now also known as մերոնք (meronq), which explores the different Armenian Diasporan communities.
On Shant TV there is a show called "Armenians of the World" (Աշխարհի Հայերը), where the host Artyom Yerkanyan (who by the way seems like a genuine patriot)interviews Armenians who have become successful in their careers and are on high levels in different parts of the world (mainly Russia, EU, USA).
While these two programs are done in order to show something good, they indirectly affect the way the Armenians of Armenia think about outside. in H1 and Shant TV they see active, vibrant communities, and successful people(MONEY!), therefore they start thinking that if they leave Armenia, they are going to live a prosperous lifestyle and, in their minds, become millionaires someday. And the sad part as you said is that next to that, Armenian media does not show the other side of the Diaspora, where family and national values are being ignored/neglected/mocked upon, where there are also MANY poor people in the Diaspora (most notably Hayastantsis who have settled in EU and USA since Independence).Sadly, however, only the few who have succeeded are being shown on Armenian TV.
I believe this is a very important subject that the authorities should take into consideration. Their main weakness is lack of PR and effective propaganda.
Combine this with the non-stop negativity spread against Armenia by the opposition media + most of the diasporan media = more Armenians willing to spit on their homeland and leave.
Arevordi, are you sure it's OK to actually let us refer to your work when it comes to cyber-activism? I know someone on Facebook who is very active in his work, and he mostly talks about the dangers of Zionism, and of course he has a FB page called "Ban American Presence in the Philippines".
ReplyDeleteJerriko,
ReplyDeleteI'm glad you are here. In the wake of the terrible typhoon that hit your homeland I wanted to express my condolences but was not sure if you were reading this blog. I feel very bad about what your people are going through. I hope you did not have family in the affected areas.
PS: As long as the spirit of my work is not altered, I don't have any problems with activists using any of what I write.
Syrian outcome scenario
ReplyDeletehttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L6Rqp0GOWqQ
Thank you for your kind words, Arevordi. I do have some good news though: Armenian citizens were not affected by Typhoon Haiyan, though I don't know where they live.
ReplyDeleteHere is the link: http://news.am/eng/news/180392.html
My family lives in Luzon, and the typhoon has struck Visayas.
One thing we need to be cognizant of is that this blog is one of the finest blog, if not the finest, amongst all and any other blogs. The deep analysis , the penetrating insights, the eclectic reporting, the intelectual basis, conclusions, are worthy of being used by any govermental ministry promoting and abdicating the nationalist ideology.
ReplyDeleteThe problem ( not our problem) is that the views and opinions are outside the mainstream of libero-marxist-democracy worshipping , holocaust venerating , multicuturalist, zionized media, print ,and organs of social, educational and political communication. As such these views and commentaries can not find a space in the mainstream media Since 1945 Nationalism, its ideas, its soul, its biological essence has been execrated, degraded , abused and discredited in favor of internationalism. In europe one can be jailed for expressing nationalist sentiments. Almost every country in europe has been bludgeoned, stunned and numbed by legalistic ambushes such as laws against racism and antisemitism, hate speech, and a battery of bylaws condemning nationalism whilst simultaneously exalting and rapshodysing threadbare democracy, multiracialism, open borders, evisceration of family values, drug culture, and other ills of modern living. Coming to Armenia, it can not escape the torrents and rapids in which it finds herself , but it can retain her composure and national integrity in an international cesspool of corruption and debauchery. there is a great deal of criticism and adroit attacks against our country. The diaspora served us well during the soviet era; but now it might have outlived its usefulness. The diaspora can not be faulted, per se. Millions of Armenians have been born and bred up with a steadfast diet of indoctrination in the pseudo values, corrupted ,ideological miasma of the so called west. The diaspora can not express any other sentiments than those it has soaked and internalized for decades, which is antiracism, antinationalism, ethnic masochism and self hate for her own culture, history, traditions, christian values and our past. So we have typical diasporans coming to Armenia and instead of being overawed and inspired, they react with pavlovian characteristics by criticizing and damning everything they see becuase it falls short of their manufactured western standards. Hence we get an anomaly that the diasporan imagines he has all the nostrums and magic phials for Armenia's imaginary or alleged ills. The diasporans ought understand that if they want to contribute they must first divest themselves from the western baggage and their ideological indoctrination. One time ago I heard a talk at the Washington institution, the audience was full of westernized robots, automatons, one track minded idealists, day dreamers, and hectoring them was none other than the transplant Raffi. Raffi was hurling thunderbolts at the Armenian government, open incitement at " change", accusations of the government " stole the election", and that the time is nearing for the " Halo" revolution. in the final peroration he exhorted the audience members to " return to Armenia" and bring about change, democratic change. However this Raffi did not spell out what these changes mean or are; however the audience thought his talk was inspirational. These diasporans are dangerous, they are the spearhead and proxies of the multicultural, internationalist western jewified vermin which intends to propagate itself in Armenia, and everywhere else. The best way the diaspora can contribute to Armenia is by pouring their wealth, but not their adopted and plagiarized ideologies and baleful mercenary influences.
Dear Anonymous (November 18, 2013 at 5:39 AM)
ReplyDeleteI would like to ask you to please extend the points on your powerful and penetrating commentary and produce a free-standing article for me to use in this blog. If there is anything private you would like to convey to me please write it here and I will not post it.
@Jerriko Magpantay
ReplyDeleteI extend my sincere condolences to your compatriots in the Philippines.
I find it remarkable that Israel sent a team of over 200 IDF members.
While it is praiseworthy that they have mobilized the IDF for help during such a disaster, but it is worth keeping an eye over their activities.
Geo-politically, The Philippine plays a key role as an ally for the the US Asia-Pacific pivot strategy. This entails the withdrawal of US troops and vessels from the Middle East-Mediterranean region to the Pacific area to contain China's growth.
More on US strategy here:
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-disaster-relief-mission-philippines-213516268.html
This tectonic shift in US policy puts Israel in a very vulnerable situation.
Add to this the perceivable distancing between US administration and the Israeli government (AIPAC failure to draw the US into a war with Syria, Kerry talking about 3rd intifada and asking senators not to listen to Israel)
http://frontpagemag.com/2013/dgreenfield/kerry-to-senators-on-iran-stop-listening-to-the-israelis/
Considering the link between the Zionist-Mossad agencies and terrorist organizations, I am worried that over the next few months (years), we might witness an intensification of rebel/terror activity as an attempt to undermine US policy on the Asia-Pacific and redirect it to focus on the Middle East, stripping away from the US army a secure base for their naval fleet in the Philippine.
In addition, Israeli media is exploiting this tragedy for petty PR purposes, primarily, to whitewash the IDF image which is now associated with occupation and criminality.
http://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/1.558225
Moreover, such a gesture perhaps comes at a tangible price, for Israel can now pressure the Philippine government to extend the service of 300+ UN Philippino troops in the Golan Heights, whose lives were already put in danger, having been kidnapped some months ago by terrorists, the Austrians have pulled out their troops.
So the equation is, we helped you, now you help us, and perhaps next time vote on our side at the UN circus.
The incident at the UN
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CflHEGP-GjM
look at the voting panel, Israel has never been so cornered and isolated.
To continue exposing the Israeli dirty PR tricks, check this out
ReplyDelete"Israel quietly treats Syria war victims"
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/97d3ee40-451d-11e3-b98b-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2l0LWb1Ri
Do a google search on this and you will find that they don't treat the Syrians so "quietly", but quite the opposite, they trumpet their activities as loud as possible. Hypocritical though, unleashing terrorists on Syrian civilians and then offering them help. Meanwhile Gaza remains the world's largest prison camp, no help there, they deserve to starve.
(Part 1 of 2)
ReplyDeletehttp://asbarez.com/116302/what-threatens-armenia%E2%80%99s-national-security/
Point-by-point rebuttal to the asshole author:
"Shunning joining the EU" - This is deceitful and attempts to falsely blame Armenia and Russia for the EU's refusal to build closer relations to Armenia unless Armenia gives up a very large part of Armenian sovereignty to the EU. The Customs Union is an economic union, while the EU is a 50% economic and 50% socio-political union which is anti-Nationalist in nature and which promotes third-world immigration, debt slavery to the Euro Central Bank-IMF-World Bank-US Federal Reserve System cartel, race-mixing, multiculturalism, atheism, homosexuality, abortions, and general socio-cultural and spiritual decay. It's no coincidence that every EU country is headed towards having a turkish or Islamic majority.
"Russia is not 'eager' to help Armenia" - If Russia is not eager, the US-EU-turkey-NATO alliance is categorically against. The west could have recognized Artsakh along with Kosovo, instead the west made ridiculous claims that "they are different situations", while turkey directly arms and trains azerbaijan as the article concedes. Meanwhile Russia provides bankrupt and blockaded Armenia with free weapons like S300s, upgrades T-72 tanks, SMERCH and TORNADO artillery systems and other weapons which Armenia could never produce or acquire on its own, and without which azerbaijan would overrun Armenia on the ground and blast it to bits from the air. A more correct statement would be "Russia (and Armenia) do not want to explicitly make threats against azerbaijan because these two countries know how diplomacy is conducted and how to extract the maximum geopolitical benefit from positions of ambiguity." In any case, NO RUSSIAN COMMANDER WOULD EVER issue a threat against a third country unless authorized to do so from Moscow. Here the audience should remember the importance of reading between the lines.
"Russian Trojan Horse" - Russia gives Armenia natural gas at domestic rates Russian customers pay, as well as gives Armenia the technical know-how to operate its 1970s era nuclear plant in a remarkably safe and sustainable manner. It would be ridiculous, at best, to claim that anyone else would invest in the infrastructure of a small market and economically poor state like Armenia. Armenia also benefits from Russian investments in its roads, railways, air transport, telecommunications, very profitable aluminum smelting, mining, agriculture, automobile, and contruction industries, as well as R&D centers and universities. Did you know that Armenia had ZERO military transport planes until "evil and controlling" Russia granted three brand new IL-76s to Armenia for free? And those Russian-donated military cargo airplanes have been making very frequent trips, from Armenian military bases, over Georgia, and into Russian military bases in the North Caucasus. It is an open secret that they return to Armenia full of top of the line Russian weapons.... The "trojan horse" myth, once exposed to facts, begins to small like horse...
(Part 2 of 2)
ReplyDelete"West has not been able to force turkey to lift its blockade". A pathetic, apologist lie on behalf of the west. The west wants to keep Armenia "poor and isolated", to quote George Friedman, until conditions are bad enough that western-funded groups can instigated a "color revolution" or Arab Spring scenario in Yerevan. If the west wanted to, it could force turkey to do anything. If the west can arm and train terrorists in Syria, tear apart nations like Iraq and Libya, and essentially unilaterally occupy large parts of Central and South America as well as Africa, then it is silly to think a paper tiger like turkey can stand up to the US. Let's not forget when it served American interests in Iraq, the west had to qualms about arresting turkish soldiers and displaying them in the press handcuffed and hooded.
"Armenians are losing the will to fight" - Well what do you expect when so-called opposition and opposition media only spread doom-and-gloom hysteria about Armenia, as if the sky was falling. Armenia may not be Switzerland, but given the circumstances and compared with the rest of the world, it is a middle of the road country with a bright future. Reading foreign-funded English language news websites you'd think Armenia is worse off than Zimbabwe, Iraq or Afghanistan. If Armenians want to flee Armenia, or they refuse to have children, we have no one but ourselves to blame - not our government or our leadership but us as individuals for not taking full advantage of independence.
"The Diaspora" - There is no future in diaspora, we are not the Jews and we tend to assimilate quickly. Look to Watertown, Fresno, Poland, Bulgaria or India for precedent of how the diaspora is largely a graveyard for Armenianness. Non-citizens have absolutely rights to dictate policy to another country, even if that country is the one they claim as a homeland. If the Diaspora wants to improve Armenia, let Diasporans invest in Armenia (instead of leaving their billions to the UCLA fund or some other diversion), or let them move their and take part in developing Armenia's society and culture. Arrogantly dictating unilateral policy changes for Armenia without being exposed to any of the consequences of those policies (ie ordering Armenia distance itself from Russia from the comfort of an armchair in Los Angeles) is a ridiculous proposition.
"The Army" - One thing we can agree on. Armenia's Army deserves all the praise it receives. It is still important to keep in mind that without free Russian weapons and training Armenia's noble soldiers would not be able to hold out against azerbaijan for an extended war, while on our own we are simply too small to resist a turkish invasion. Ps for the past three years there has been a campaign to denigrate the image of the Armenian Army by spreading hysteria over every tragic non-combat fatality. Of course any fatality is a tragedy that needs to be addressed, but even at its highest point Armenia suffered a fraction of similar incidents in exponentially better-funded armies (like the US Army for example)
****
****
Let's beat them at their own game, on their own forum, in their weaponized language of choice. Let's give this defeatist article and its clown author an avalanche of righteous responses. Asbarez does not require an account to comment, you even click the link while your browser is in Private Browsing (Firefox), Incognito (Chrome), InPrivate Browsing (Internet Explorer) and leave a comment and it will leave no trace on your computer. We can be sure that some of the braindead sheeple and agent provocateurs will be posting "pro-democracy, death to Armenia's government" responses as well
@Jerriko Magpantay:
ReplyDeleteI'm sorry about what happened to the Philippines. These natural disasters are so devastating to the people who are affected by them. I hope the Philippines rebuilds quickly and the people get back on track.
I'm glad to hear your family were not among the victims!
To all interested readers,
ReplyDeleteThe intent of this blog (as well as the emails I send out to various people and the commentaries I leave on various English language propaganda outlets) is to combat the persistent propaganda assaults against Armenia and her strategic ally Russia by Western propaganda outlets and Armenian lackeys that work for them.
My intent is to expose anglophone readers (we unfortunately have more anglophone Armenians around the world than we have Armenian speaking Armenians) to information and political analysis/reasoning that they would not be normally exposed to in western society. My intent is to reveal to my reader that the Western world or better yet nations that are under the boot of the Western world are not in good shape; that the political West poses a serious threat to developing nations around the world; that the western world's lure is based on hype. More importantly, the intent of this blog is to convey the message that Armenia's number one priority needs to be the deepening of Armenia's strategic relations with Russia; Yerevan's number one priority has to be to turn Armenia's national interests into an extension of Russia's foreign policy. In other words, I want to awaken the desire within Armenians to tap into the potential of the Russian Federation and derive positive results for the Armenian homeland.
In this mission, we unfortunately cannot expect our community representatives, heads of our traditional parties or editors of our so-called news outlets to do the right thing for they all answer to their egos, their mentors and/or their financiers - who generally speaking tow a Western line. Therefore, if we want to get things done, we have to start doing it ourselves - like what I have been actively doing for the past five years. If I can do it, so can you. Instead of bitching and complaining about this or that - get pissed off and get active.
Setup a blog. Set up a facebook page. At the very least, setup an email account to do mass mailings of pertinent sociopolitical topics on a regular basis. Monitor Western-leaning Armenian news sites such as Asbarez, Armenian Weekly, ArmeniaNow, Lragir, Hetq, etc. Leave comments to articles or news reports that are being spun by a Western agenda. Recognize the power of social media and the internet that is on your finger tips - because our enemies have and they have been using it with devastating effect in recent years. Armenians are fleeing Armenia in large part due to a poisonous atmosphere created by the constant doom-and-gloom of the "political opposition" and their handlers in the West.
If you want to change things for the better, stop complaining and get involved. Get politically active.
Like I said, if I can do it so can you.
(part 1 or 2)
(Part 2 of 2)
ReplyDeleteThink of this blog and the emails you receive from me as a base, a foundation upon which you can build on. I want you to PLAGIARIZE my work (but please don't alter its main points/purpose/intention). Therefore, feel free to go back and pick out relevant blog posts such as:
Media Blitz Against Armenia
Panel Discussion Calling for Chaos in Armenia
Armenians again reveling in destructive behavior
Collective Destructionism of Armenians
Why Armenians want out of Armenia, a critical look at Armenians
Armenians Want to Know, is Russia a Friend or Fore?
Use these blog entries as a go-to database for your cyber activism. Set up an email address for your activism and begin sending out your materials to politically aware friends and relatives, prominent individuals, student clubs, churches, news papers, organizations.
You will be rejected at times, but you will also be able to recruit people - like I more-or-less have been able to here.
Again, don't expect others to fight your fight. If you think this is an important fight - and it certainly is for this is Armenia's fight - than act like true nationalists and become a cyber-warrior. Cyber-based political activism and the dissemination of propaganda is a major tool that Western powers and the Zionist state utilizes.
For now, my intention is to create a similar cyber-based grassroots activism with individuals that adhere to the kind of political analysis expressed in this blog. I want to set up various cells of independently operating cyber-warrior units that monitor the flow of information pertaining to Armenia. Once this is realized, it can be taken to the next level by recruiting relevant talents from the in-house pool of activists and perhaps one day even setup a serious think tank.
Harut Sassounian is the only respectable writer at Asbarez. Take a look at his latest article, for example.
ReplyDelete"Playing Partisan Politics with Artsakh Damages Armenian Interests"
http://asbarez.com/116374/playing-partisan-politics-with-artsakh-damages-armenian-interests/
What's interesting is that Asbarez only posted the "Armenian Parliament Refuses Karabakh Recognition Bill" article on Facebook and not this one.
This comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteFor diaspora Armenians seriously intending to live in Armenia.
ReplyDeleteForget about your own career based lifestyles, you have better opportunities in the West compared to Armenia. So don't search for "jobs" cause it is fruitless path. Local Armenian youths are highly skilled and willing to fill in job positions for 500-600 USD. If we now go and grab their jobs, they will be pissed, and we won't be happy because of the little income.
Working a white collar job in Armenia is not an option unless you are working for an NGO, but even the NGO stooges are lowly paid.
Use your time outside Armenia to collect minimum capital and implement the following workable plan in my opinion
Needed capital 100,000 USD is enough to:
Buy a few acres of agricultural land in the vicinity of Yerevan: 15,000 USD
House construction: 60,000 USD
15 pregnant Cows: 15,000 USD
Building a stable and equipment: 10,000 USD
Transport vehicle: 5,000 USD
Grow trees for heating, grow vegetables and orchards for self sustenance, read about living off-the-grid for maximum self dependency.
Each cow brings a net income of 1,000 USD a year
15 cows means 1,250 USD per month, that's a decent amount of money to live on in Armenia. Milk or dairy products are sold very easily and there is a constant demand on it.
Implement such plans preferably with friends, family or partners.
If anyone wants to be my neighbor, drops me a message :D my time frame is to be permanently in Armenia in 2015.
Impressive, they have hit a record low level in reporting news, they must be really desperate, not easy to loose one's job. Some highlights of quality press.
ReplyDelete"Armenians hate Russians more and more, which is not something new but is acquiring a radical content."
"The Russian propaganda is a mixture of dirt, deception, shamelessness and claims against truth.
In Armenia this was accepted successfully but by who? A handful of SCUM who will still be attended to."
"Dmitry Medvedev visited Yerevan a few days after the announcement on supply of S300 missiles to Azerbaijan. In addition, the government brought together tens of thousands of people on the square where prostitutes and homosexuals usually strut."
I didn't get the homo and prostitute statement, what is meant by that? by globalese is very bad.
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/31352
AJ,
ReplyDeleteAllow me to help you with globalese: The square that the author of the Lra-glir article talks about is the hraparak in front of Yerevan's city hall, which is also adjacent to the Russian embassy there. Adjacent to the square is also a large, wooded park known as "mankakan aygi" or "gom aygi". At nights, Armenia's homosexual prostitutes and transvestites congregate there to solicit. There has been some limited efforts by the authorities to curb this situation due to growing public complaints, but the problem seems to be persisting. See how "western" Armenia is?
PS: Expect to see political opposition freaks in the country get more and more desperate as President Putin's visit gets nearer and nearer...
Lra-glir! Epic
ReplyDeleteback to serious business, I will am writing a commentary regarding the ongoing Iran talks, Syrian developments and the impact on the region.
In you next commentary depending on the theme I would be glad if you insert mine. Maybe will release some pressure for you to come up with a new release and we can cover mid-east developments.
will send it to you in the next couple of days. very hot season if you know what I mean
@AJ,
ReplyDeleteThe smaller, Armenian-language opposition papers like lragir and aravot make the most ridiculous claims. I finally decided to stop paying any attention to them when during the LTP revolution attempt during 2008 one of them claimed something along the lines of "Armenia's government plans to send troublemakers pretending to be pro-LTP protesters in order to stir up trouble and give the police an excuse to break up the protests... for this purpose they have imported many Crimean Tatars to Armenia because they look like Armenians(!!!) and can infiltrate the crowds and act as provocateurs". They have ZERO credibility, you get better quality journalism out of the National Enquirer.
AJ:
ReplyDeleteYes, the Philippines is definitely screwed now that Israel decides to help us in return for conditions with strings attached. If Israel has its way with screwing around the Asia-Pacific region, it would only encourage China to make its claims on the Spratlys louder, and we might even end up suffering the same fate as Armenia once did: the end of the Philippines as a nation-state itself, assuming that China would not stop with the Spratlys, but to conquer our lands. We have a very weak military and our government is so corrupt it makes people like Hovannisian look amateurs. At least Armenian politicians don't have slush funds worth millions like Filipino politicians have.
Arevordi:
From an Armenian perspective, what kind of fate would be better for the Asia-Pacific region?
Jerriko,
ReplyDeleteIf your leaders cannot act independent and diligently work to strike a long-term deal with a rising giant like China, then your nation is doomed to remain a playground for Anglo-American world.
Your region is a region that has five essential players: Anglo-Americans, Japan, Russia, China and India. [Russia and India are lesser factors in the south Pacific, but they do have a presence] Your leaders should figure out a way to stop bending-over to the Anglo-American players in the region (which is pissing off China) and begin figuring out a way of dealing with the other players, especially China. And why not Russia?
But your nation's leader will sooner die in a car accident or suffer an "anti-corruption" uprising by the people before they are able to implement what I suggested.
The typhoon is even more tragic in that your nation is now even more dependent on those that have turned large portions of it into a brothel.
I don't know how interested the Armenian government is in Asia-Pacific arena, but from my perspective, anything that weakens the Anglo-American-Zionist global order is fine with me. Therefore, I would like to see China grow in strength in the region. And I woudl like to see nations like the Philippines come to terms with China.
AJ,
ReplyDeleteI'd be more than happy to feature a political analysis/commentary by you my friend. But in due time. Please have patience. My next blog commentary will be about Vladimir Putin's upcoming visit to Armenia.
In the meanwhile, refine your work, keep it updated and collect supporting articles (relevant articles I can feature below your work).
Are you on my e-mailing list? If not post your address here, I won't show it publicly.
@T.K.
ReplyDeleteI hope you managed to organize a welcoming for Putin, their haters are actively working. They just opened this facebook page https://www.facebook.com/ArmeniaVsPutin . What I suggest is you create a facebook event and make it spread as much as possible in order to counter the anti-Putiners and gather many partisans. If you succeed in doing such a thing it already is a big step in counter the one-sided "civic activism" taking place in Yerevan
When it comes to political incompetence, I'm afraid my country even outdoes Armenia in that department. As for the Asia-Pacific region, there are actually only four if Japan is actually within the Anglo-American orbit, though if they were outside said orbit, then it would be five. China has a huge interest in the Philippines mainly because we also host a large Chinese diaspora in the country (though the local Chinese here are loyal to the government in Manila, and not to either Taipei or Beijing). India, we have an excellent relationship with them since they pretty much gave us some of their cultures in terms of influence. Russia however, is a wildcard. Why I said that Russia is a wildcard, is because they don't have any closer relations with us other than whenever the next APEC summit comes up. Besides that, our leaders still have a Cold War mentality, and combined with a feudalist mindset in the entire nation where land reform = communism, not only have we become the most politically correct nation, but the political elite would rather join with their American masters to the US than to see Russia exert some influence in the Philippines.
ReplyDeleteThat being said, it will definitely take more than just a revolution for us to actually give our corrupt politicians the boot. It's extremely tragic indeed that the Philippines has become a gigantic cheap brothel, and I'm not sure if there are shady characters who take advantage of such disasters, kinda like that earthquake that occured in Armenia back in 1988.
Now getting back to the topic at hand with regards to Armenia and the Caucasus, I came across a facebook post made by a Georgian schoolmate of mine who's actually a Saakashvili supporter and she is a bit concerned about Washington's waning influence in the South Caucasus, I'm guessing that this is becoming a good sign for Armenia because I am not sure how will new Georgian President Margvelashvili will deal with Armenia and Azerbaijan.
Aj. Interesting comments about plans to settle in Armenia. I have not lost my love for the land in spite of having been burnt once in a real estate scam. Have you got the addresses of genuine, reliable, trustworthy and reputable estate agents ? . In 2005 I bought an apartment, unseen, through an estate agent. Sadly the agency went insolvent, my title deeds were nowhere to be found, these things happen everywhere, that is why I need to be extra careful second time round. I wish to buy again, this time I want to see the property, and not purchase something blindfolded.
ReplyDeleteHi Jerriko,
ReplyDeleteGlad to hear you and yours is safe. I hope your peoples recovery from such devastation is swift.
Here's an article from Asia Times today regarding what you are talking about
http://atimes.com/atimes/Southeast_Asia/SEA-02-201113.html
It seems like Russia is flexing some geopolitical muscle in the South China Sea. Putin is brilliantly maneuvering his way into Vietnam by making military and business deals while potentially securing some rights for the Russian Navy in the region. Obviously China is the 90 pound gorilla in the region but Russia is in essence acting like a broker soothing out the difference between two tense neighbors - China and Vietnam and bringing them together while keeping an eye on things in the Pacific. Clearly the Russians chose Vietnam because there isn't such a largely ingrained US presence there such as in the Philippines or South Korea. Asia is indeed becoming more polarized and things don't look good.
Arto2
An attack on the Greek GD, the nationalist ethnicist movement, is an attack on all nationalist movements. The Greek parliament, filled with catamite whores disguised as MP's, is tabling the " antiracist Bill" at the instigation of the jewified Brussels parliament. The antiracist bill ( anti european -anti white bill) is directly aimed at neutering the nationalist, ethnicist movement. The bill provides the suspension of government funding to political parties who advocate and promote nationalist policies, the suspension of MP's from parliament and fines of EU 100000 and jail terms of 6 months for any anti-immigrant, racist, antisemitic, xenophobic, and holocaust doubters/denial expressions in public. In other words, there is no more freedom of expression, Greeks are now gagged, except to eulogize and sing hossanahs the light amongst the nation , the chosen race. In this manner the policy to be implemented, in line with the EU diktats, is to turn Greece into the own country to any and every invading hordes from the thirld world. This in a nutshell is what awaits nationalists in Europe, it is their death march. No matter what happens, and at what costs, Armenia must keep away as far as possible from the EUSSR and their panmixia policies of liquifying peoples and obliterating nations into an abstract mass of potash. This is criminal , scandalous, sacrilegious, it is plain and simple genocide.The marxists Greek MP's have now requested to FIFA to ban the sign of the cross in football fields by Greek referees. Greek referees have the habit to crossing themselves before the start of matches. We have another illustrious scumbag in the EU parliament, the Jew red hyena Cohen Bendit ( the rogue of the 68 student revolt in Paris ) has made an inspiring new suggestion to the EU in respect to bankrupt and starving Greece. Cohen Bandit recommendation is that Greece dismantle and disband her armed forces, and the EU budget apportioned for the armed forces be reditected to ameliorating the economic situation. As for protection of Greece' borders, Cohen Bandit proposes the EU as guarantor of her borders. This is the garbage one has to eat day in and day out being a member of that decrepit, obnoxious body called EU. The example of Greece is paradigmatic and should serve as a lesson for Armenia. Today Armenia is in a much more exhalted position and economically healthier note that a country like Greece. Greece , a democratic member of the scrofolous democratic EU, has been morphed from an homogenous homeland for Greeks into a democratic multicultural cesspool, in the mere space of 20 years. Armenia is fortunate that in spite of all our problems, our political landscape, with our corruption, our "oligarchs", our "traitors" does not approximate nor resemble , nor reaches the level of decrepitude,skulduggery and fraudelent corruption of their corrupt degenerate counterparts in the EU.
ReplyDeleteJerriko:
ReplyDeleteFrom an Armenian perspective I support US pivot to Asia-Pacific policy, for a simple reason, that it reduces US military presence in the vicinity of Armenia (mid-east, east mediter, persian gulf), giving more space for Russia to take lead in those regions. Noticed the Turkish and Israeli frequent pilgrimage to Moscow?
Clearly Russia cannot fully replace the US vacuum, but in can tilt regional developments to its advantage.
So I rather see US fleets (with all its extra baggage) 9000 km away from Armenia in the direction of Philippines
or some other planet even better, perhaps also for Philippines and all the world
I also keep repeating that Russia and China are in competitive positions (struggle over Central Asia, demographic stress) despite the overlap of interests at a global level.
So I rather see China pre-occupied how to handle the US lineup along its shores, rather than seeing it implement aggressive policies in Eurasia.
Arevordi:
I am enthusiastically waiting for your new commentary on Putin's visit.
I will take my time and do my best to write a piece for you to review, related to the upcoming Iranian deal, or no deal!? and its wider implications in particular for Armenia.
Anonymous November 20, 2013 at 11:02 PM
ReplyDeletePlease excuse me, but your comment makes me want to say something. It's not about you per se, it's about a irrational modern mindset that is so prevalent in Armenians today.
What does being a victim of a scam have 'anything' to do with love for one's homeland?
This is part of the the fundamental problem I always speak of. In discussions about Armenia, no sense in mentioning you getting had by misfortune or con men. Just be careful with your money anywhere you find yourself in the world.
Keep your nationalism unconditional and unemotional.
I have been called an axpar, an American. I have been back stabbed. More often than not the typical native there looks at me as a mobile ATM. I have probably lost/wasted/been swindled of more money in Armenia than anyone here could 'ever' imagine. I have written thousands of pages of commentaries about Armenia in recent years, can anyone show me one place where I talk about my personal loses?
Armenia is a country like any other: It has whores, homos, transvestites, professional thieves, child pickpockets, mobsters, criminals and fake beggars. Because it has been economically depressed for well over a quarter-of-a-century, it may have more of the aforementioned than perhaps a place like Switzerland, a nation in the heart of Europe that has been living in peace and political stability for many hundreds of yeas.
The important difference between a place like Switzerland and Armenia is that Armenia is ours whereas Switzerland is not.
Good or bad, whether we live there or not, Armenia is ours to build/cultivate - patiently, rationally, responsibly and objectively.
Anonymous November 20, 2013 at 11:02 PM
ReplyDeleteI did not buy my land through real estate. Once when I was in Armenia "OVIR" to get my citizenship, I met there a very honest young guy from Syria who moved to Armenia some years before the war. He is very IT literate and smart, so I told him if he doesn't mind doing a few things for me. I gave him also authority at the notary to buy on my behalf and do all form of paperwork since I am not in Yerevan when I make the decision to buy.
We used skype for communication, he would take photographs from all angles of the land and surrounding, and gps co-ordinates. On top he would give me his opinion if the price is high or low.
I must say it worked like a charm and two weeks ago I received all the paper documents, validated and authentic :D
I offered to pay him 25$ an hour for his service although he would go for less. But anyway although I know sometimes he worked a couple of days on something, he tells me he spent only 3 hours, so it balanced out. He's a bit shy when it comes to money, typical for people working technical jobs. I assume he thinks 25 an hour is quite a rip off, considering that he makes 600 for a full month.
My advice, work directly with the people, get to know them, and build trust. They are very smart, agile, fast and dynamic willing to work on anything that sounds like a good idea, but unfortunately many are very greedy and have rip off ideas lol
It's better than working with real estate agents who aim to make a quick buck.
For example real estates want to sell you and say good bye, you are a one time customer.
They would show you only pictures from good angles, hide the negative points of the property, and they want to minimize effort and maximize profit.
For that reason I don't like commission based property hunt, but rather effort based.
Bottomline, I can connect you with him if you are interested. Just send your email to Arevordi. First he would look in newspapers for properties that fit your specifications, and will prioritize and visit selected ones and make an assessment then revert to you.
I understand how it feels to be fooled, happened to me also, but it's ok. Consider this, in 1991, you have an entire nation, mentally trained with high level Soviet education, waking up one day, scientists and engineers don't have jobs, factories shutting down, students have nowhere to go. Impoverished nation with hungry oligarchs ready to devour everything. What I Want to say, Armenians in Armenia did not have the easy lifestyles that we diasporans have. In fact, notice when Hayastancis leave elsewhere and improve there economic conditions, in general they are no longer greedy and are just like us (so it is in Europe to my knowledge).
Diaspora also have to be blamed, when we go there we are looking down on the local villagers, cruising with luxury cars, and fancy pompous clothing.
As Arevordi said, Armenia is ours, so we have the responsibility to bring our monies there. It's not charity. An excellent way to help the country is to BUY PROPERTY. Then we don't need to complain that Russia is buying Armenia!
Ofcourse, the risk is that for an Armenian to sell his property means they are about to leave the country. But if you don't buy it, foreigners will do. So just do it and have a foot in Armenia
PS: I am no real estate agent and I do not make any profit if you buy anything!
Personally I feel so good now that I own a piece of land, even if it's empty and I have to sit in a tent when I'm there.
@Svediatsi and @T.K.
ReplyDelete"What I suggest is you create a facebook event and make it spread as much as possible in order to counter the anti-Putiners and gather many partisans."
We already have a facebook page that is pro-Putin in its orientation. Please support like and share links from there.
https://www.facebook.com/pages/World-and-Armenia/229698963852400
That is how traitors are born. It is a psychological sickness, not peculiar to a particular mindset. We have countless of examples where personal experiences change the attitude of individuals to a place , feelings and sentiments towards other individuals etc.
ReplyDeleteAnonymous November 21, 2013 at 2:55 AM
ReplyDeleteAll of the EU's recent acquisitions, especially Greece, Bulgaria and Spain, are absolute disasters. Even older EU states are heading towards disaster. Yet, we Armenians have significant numbers of EUrotic idiots seeking European integration. If I am not mistaken, you have posted several very interesting comments in this blog recently. Are you Artur? Please identify yourself so we know who we are communicating with.
AJ,
I am 'very' happy for you, my friend. I agree with you. The most important thing for a Diasporan Armenian is to have a physical attachment, a physical connection to the homeland. It's a powerful feeling knowing that a little piece of the Armenian Highlands belongs to you. It's our responsibility to try to build, even if it's against all odds. I hope to meet you in Armenia one day.
Breaking news: Ukraine most likely headed towards Customs Union: http://rt.com/business/ukraine-eu-deal-suspended-088/
ReplyDeleteArevordi,
ReplyDeleteIt looks that we have a new "last" laugh. The ZIOEU frantic push to swallow Ukraine (and create in the long run a safe heaven for the Jews who would leave Palestine) has been stemmed (so far at least). The "mission statement" of the WEST:"Who rules Central and Eastern Europe commands the Heartland. Who rules the Heartland commands the World-Island (Eurasia). Who rules the World-Island commands the World", has been again trashed.
Let's hope that it is not the last laugh.
RomAn
@Anonymous "November 21, 2013 at 1:20 PM"
ReplyDeleteThat is a great facebook page. It's exactly what we needed. I will inform my friends who are like-minded (and not-so like-minded) and hopefully we can grow it and make it reach to many people. The time is now, let us use their weapons against them.
This article on Infowars really made me laugh. The west may try to label Armenia as "corrupt", but at least Armenians aren't fucking retarded.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.infowars.com/peanut-butter-and-jelly-sandwich-is-racist-says-portland-school-official/
****
Anonymous @ November 21, 2013 at 2:55 AM
That was really well-stated. I enjoy your well-articulated, and spot on, commentaries on the rise of social-marxism in the west. Here's another headline today which highlights the continued assault against masculinity in the EU:
http://www.businessweek.com/news/2013-11-20/eu-lawmakers-back-plans-for-40-percent-quota-for-women-on-boards
***
AJ,
Thanks for that information. I have been thinking about moving to Armenia one day, I believe dual citizenship would probably be the best first step for myself. Can you briefly share your experiences with applying for Armenian citizenship please?
Ukraine made the smart move, I don't know enough details to in depth commentary, but I did read a bit about their previous PM currently in jail and she fits the bill for a classic EU backed whore.
ReplyDeleteFrom what I gather, she milked the gas industry while it was ripe in Ukraine and they have even sought to indict her for murders related to monopolizing incoming gas market into Ukraine. Now it seems the nationalist have got her cornered in jail and of course the EU is lobbying to get her out and about so she can whore out her country again.
Every time an Armenian raises the comment about oligarch, corruption and other inanities, I end up quarreling with these damn idiots. The dolls think that corruption and thieving is only a characteristic of Armenia. The discussion ends with the parting of the ways, and after all it is preferable to have corrupt armenians and be armenians, then having corrupt crypto Jews and others identifying themselves as pseudo armenians and rampaging through the state coffers and corrupting every level of Armenian social and political life.
ReplyDeleteThe Ukrainian pm in jail, we must not forget she is not a thoroughbred Ukrainian, she is a jewess.
ReplyDelete