Zbigniew Brzezinski: Kosovo not Precedent for Abkhazia, South Ossetia or Karabakh - March, 2008

With historic land disputes with its Turkic neighbors, good relations with Iran and a strategic alliance with the Russian Federation - Armenia today is a political obstacle in the Caucasus region, as far as Western powers are concerned. But the West can not risk having more inter-ethnic wars in the region because such wars can potentially have a destabilizing effect upon the pro-Western capitols of Tbilisi and Baku and disrupt oil/gas flow to the West from the Caspian Sea region. Also, such wars may also draw Russian forces back into the South Caucasus, which is something the West does not want. Thus, due to these geopolitical/economic factors at play, the West will not engage in any efforts to undermine the Armenian state for now.

It is important to note also that Western powers will not risk attempting a regime change in Yerevan only as long as it believes the Armenian state is militarily and politically powerful and has Russian support. Thus, it's conditional. The West will instead resort to blackmail, bribes and the promotion of internal strife within the Armenian Republic in an attempt to pry Yerevan away from Moscow and make it conform to its regional agenda. The tools that will be used for such an attempt will undoubtedly be pro-Western and Turk-tolerant politicians such as Levon Ter-Petrosian, the exploitation of internal sociopolitical strife (e.g. Artsakhtsi versus Hayastantsi sentiments) and the deceptive/manipulative utilization of concepts such as democracy, liberty, justice and of course the American way.

As we have seen, the West is equipped with a vast array of weapons. If nations won't conform, they bomb them (e.g. Serbia and Iraq). Where bombs would not work, they use money/bribes (e.g. Central Asian republics and Arab nations in the Persian Gulf region). Where bombs and/or money do not work, they use the notion of democracy, human rights as well as western pop culture to soften the masses. This, in essence, is western style Realpolitik. Do we still have masses of idiots believing in the deceptive and destructive concepts of democracy, freedom, human rights, fair elections, etc, as preached by the West? I'm afraid recent developments in Yerevan have clearly revealed that we do. Nevertheless, as we can see by the statements of one of Washington's most senior policymakers, the political West can never be trusted by Armenians.




March, 2008

Caucasus is a shaky region where local conflicts can easily burst out. That is why the international community should be more cautious about Caucasus' security problems and address settlement of territorial and ethnic conflicts, said Zbigniew Brzezinski, National Security Advisor to President Jimmy Carrter, CSIS Counselor and Trustee. Commenting on Kosovo as a precedent, Mr Brzezinski said, "Kosovo's aspiration for independence was supported by the European Union, which is responsible for further decisions. Independence was a democratic expression of will of Kosovars. I do not think that Kosovo can set a precedent for Abkhazia, South Ossetia or Karabakh." Asked about U.S.' reaction to possible recognition of Abkhazia by Russia, Mr Brzezinski said, "America will not recognize seudo-independence," Georgia Online reports.

Source: http://groong.usc.edu/news/msg226572.html

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Dear reader,

Arevordi will be taking a sabbatical to tend to personal matters. New blog commentaries will henceforth be posted on an irregular basis. The comments board however will continue to be moderated on a regular basis.

The last 20 years or so has also helped me see Russia as the last front against scourges of Westernization, Globalism, American expansionism, Zionism, Islamic extremism and pan-Turkism. I have also come to see Russia as the last hope humanity has for the preservation of classical western civilization, Apostolic Christianity and the traditional nation-state. This realization compelled me to create this blog in 2010. Immediately, this blog became one of the very few voices in the vastness of cyberia that dared to preach about the dangers of Globalism and the Anglo-American-Jewish alliance, and the only voice preaching the strategic importance of Armenia remaining within Russia's orbit. From about 2010 to 2015 I did monthly, at times weekly, commentaries about Russian-Armenian relations and Eurasian geopolitics in general. It was very difficult as I had no assistance in this endeavor. The time I put into this blog therefore came at the expense of work and family. But a powerful feeling inside me urged me to keep going; and I did.

When Armenia finally joined the EEU and integrated its armed forces into Russia's military structures a couple of years ago, I finally felt a deep sense of satisfaction and relaxation, as if a very heavy burden was lifted off my shoulders. And when Prime Minister Karen Karapetyan reemerged in Armenian politics, I finally felt that my personal mission was accomplished. I therefore felt I could take a step back, as I really needed the rest. Simply put: I have lived to see the institutionalization of Russian-Armenian alliance. Also, I feel more confident now that Armenians are collectively recognizing the strategic importance of Armenia's ties with Russia. Moreover, I feel satisfied knowing that, at least on a subatomic level, I had a hand in the outcome. As a result, I feel a strong sense of mission accomplished. I therefore no longer have the urge to continue as in the past. In other words, the motivational force that had propelled me in previous years has been gradually dissipating because I feel that this blog has lived to see the realization of its stated goal. Going forward, I do not want to write merely for the sake of writing. Also, I do not want to say something if I have nothing important to say. I feel like I have said everything I needed to say. Henceforth, I will post seasonal commentaries about topics I find important. I will however continue moderating the blog's comments section on a regular basis; ultimately because I'm interested in what my readers have to say and also because it's through readers here that I am at times made aware of interesting developments.

To limit clutter in the comments section, I kindly ask all participants of this blog to please keep comments coherent and strictly relevant to the featured topic of discussion. Moreover, please realize that when there are several anonymous visitors posting comments simultaneously, it becomes very confusing (not to mention extremely annoying) trying to figure out who is who and who said what.Therefore, if you are here to engage in conversation, make an observation, express an idea or simply attack me, I ask you to at least use a moniker to identify yourself. Moreover, please appreciate the fact that I have put an enormous amount of information into this blog. In my opinion, most of my blog commentaries and articles, some going back ten-plus years, are in varying degrees relevant to this day and will remain so for a long time to come. Articles in this blog can therefore be revisited by longtime readers and new comers alike. I therefore ask the reader to treat this blog as a depository of important information relating to Eurasian geopolitics, Russian-Armenian relations and humanity's historic fight against the evils of Globalism and Westernization.

Thank you for reading.