Russia In Growing Role Of Special Services - 2007


The following is another political essay right out of my desk drawer, this time dating back to the year 2000. I believe that this report should be closely examined and pondered for it may be a crucial key in helping one understanding just how Vladimir Putin wrestled power from the hands of western supported Russian oligarchs soon after his rise to power in the Kremlin. The report also helps us see how the geopolitics of the region was being assessed by Moscow at the time. We see in the report the evolution of Russian-Iranian and Russian-Armenian relations, which at the time were shaky to some extent. What's interesting here is that the political dynamics in Moscow as highlighted within the article reads eerily similar to what occurred within the United States in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks. Whether it was elements within the Russian government that carried out the bloody terrorist attacks in Russia at the time or not, the end result was that Vladimir Putin solidified his hold on government and enabled Russia to finally push itself back into the Caucasus region and thereafter onto the international political arena.

Arevordi

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Russia In Growing Role Of Special Services "Caucasian Rhomb" Myth


August 11, 2000

Terror acts in Moscow prompts political leaders in government and Communists alike to call for emergency powers to be given to special services and police. Moscow seeks to establish control over Trans-Caucasian republics as part of plan involving partnership with Iran. One of the consequences of the August 8 explosion in Moscow's Pushkin Square is the fact that Russian politicians are once again calling for expanded powers to be given to special services and law-enforcement bodies because they say otherwise these agencies will be unable to either investigate such crimes or make effective efforts to prevent them.

[...]

Even politicians who are not among Putin's loyal supporters have been talking in the same vain. Communist leader Gennady Zyuganov, for example, has said that the communist faction will support any tough measure to combat terrorism and organized crime. The paper notes in this connection that, according to Zyuganov, he held two hours of talks with the president on Wednesday, August 9. NEZAVISIMAYA GAZETA examines the idea of forming a "Caucasian Rhomb" with the aim of countering Washington's policy of extracting Trans-Caucasian republics, notable Azerbaijan, from the sphere of Russia's interests in the area. Basically, the plan provides for the formation of two hypothetical axis: Moscow-Yerevan-Tehran and Moscow-Baku-Tehran, incorporating strategic regional cooperation between Russia and Iran. The purpose of this partnership is to prevent US-Turkish infiltration of the region and end Western influence in the Trans-Caucasus republics. The key element of the structure is efforts to resolve the conflict over Nagorno-Karabagh, which largely determines relations between Armenia and Azerbaijan and between them and principal "regional" players.


Many analysts, however, are doubtful of the chances of the idea being implemented since it does not accurately reflect the geopolitical realities of "the Euro-Asian Balkans." To start with, Moscow and Tehran are engaged in separate games in the region and their interests do not always coincide. especially in the context of Iran's current efforts to activate its policies in the region. Curiously enough, several analysts in Washington feel that if Tehran consolidates its positions in the Trans-Caucasus (if only in small measure), this will benefit the United States in so far as Moscow's influence on the foreign policies of the countries of the region will be determined.

Secondly, it is doubtful that the Moscow-Yerevan-Tehran axis cold be established in view of Yerevan's declarations in favor of a "complementary" and balanced foreign policy. It is a fact that [Armenia] is greatly dependent on US financial and economic institutions, including the World Bank and the IMF. Moreover, Armenia's balanced approach enables it to pursue a most effective policy on the question of a Karabagh settlement as well as in international affairs. Characteristically, one of Yerevan's latest statements says "the scales of Armenian diplomacy could tip either towards Moscow or Washington, depending on how much a particular situation will conform to Armenia's interests." At the same time it should be recognized that the military-strategic alliance of Moscow and Yerevan and Armenian's regional partnership with Iran are quite stable and institutionalized. A cardinal change in this supra-regional balance may trigger a devastating geo-political earthquake or even a new war.

The formation of the Azeri component of "the Caucasian Rhomb" is an even less feasible task. Relations between Baku and Moscow on the one hand, and between Baku and Tehran, on the other, are in themselves more than problematic, and the emergency of a Russian-Azeri-Iranian triad seems to be altogether unreal. That course of events would mean the total collapse of Turkey's regional policy and the United States' complete ouster from the Caucasus and Central Asia. Yerevan is still Moscow's only geopolitical ally in the Caucasus. Most important in this respect are the military and political factors, with the two military departments maintaining close cooperation. Armenia is the only Trans-Caucasus country which does not have contacts with Turkey, that regional bulwark of the North Atlantic Alliance. It is obvious, however, that Moscow's long-term program provides for the establishment of dominant influences over the entire Trans-Caucasus, notable oil-rich Azerbaijan.

Source: http://www.pressdisplay.com/pressdisplay/viewer.aspx

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Dear reader,

Arevordi will be taking a sabbatical to tend to personal matters. New blog commentaries will henceforth be posted on an irregular basis. The comments board however will continue to be moderated on a regular basis.

The last 20 years or so has also helped me see Russia as the last front against scourges of Westernization, Globalism, American expansionism, Zionism, Islamic extremism and pan-Turkism. I have also come to see Russia as the last hope humanity has for the preservation of classical western civilization, Apostolic Christianity and the traditional nation-state. This compelled me to create this blog in 2010. Immediately, this blog became one of the very few voices in the vastness of cyberia that dared to preach about the dangers of Globalism and the Anglo-American-Jewish alliance, and the only voice preaching the strategic importance of Armenia remaining within Russia's orbit. From about 2010 to 2015 I did monthly, at times weekly, commentaries about Russian-Armenian relations and Eurasian geopolitics in general. It was very difficult for me because I had no assistance from anywhere. The time I put into this blog therefore came at the expense of work and family. But a powerful feeling inside urged me to keep going; and I did. When Armenia joined the EEU and integrated into Russia's military structures a couple of years ago I finally felt a deep sense of relaxation, as if a very heavy burden was lifted off my back. And when Prime Minister Karen Karapetyan reemerged in Armenian politics, I finally felt that my personal mission was accomplished. I therefore felt I could take a step back as I really needed the rest.

Simply put: I have lived to see the institutionalization of Russian-Armenian alliance. Also, I feel more confident now that Armenians are collectively recognizing the strategic importance of Armenia's ties with Russia. Moreover, I feel satisfied knowing that, at least on a subatomic level, I had a hand in the outcome. As a result, I feel a strong sense of mission accomplished. I therefore no longer have the internal urge to continue as in the past. In other words, the motivational force that had propelled me in previous years has been gradually dissipating because I feel that this blog has lived to see the realization of its stated goal.

Going forward, I do not want to write merely for the sake of writing. Also, I do not want to say anything if I have nothing important to say. I feel like I have said everything I needed to say. Henceforth, I will post seasonal commentaries about topics I find important. I will however moderate the blog's comments section on a regular basis; ultimately because I'm interested in what readers of this blog have to say and also because it's through readers here that I am at times made aware of interesting developments. To limit clutter in the comments section, I kindly ask all participants of this blog to please keep comments coherent and strictly relevant to the featured topic of discussion. Moreover, please realize that when there are several anonymous visitors posting comments simultaneously, it becomes very confusing (not to mention extremely annoying) trying to figure out who is who and who said what. If you are here to engage in conversation, make an observation, express an idea or just attack me, I ask you to at least use a moniker to identify yourself.

Please appreciate the fact that I have put an enormous amount of information into this blog. In my opinion, most of my blog commentaries and articles, going back ten-plus years, are in varying degrees relevant to this day and will remain so for a long time to come. Posts in this blog can therefore be revisited by longtime readers and new comers alike. I therefore ask the reader to treat this blog as a depository of important information relating to Eurasian geopolitics. Russian-Armenian relations and humanity's historic fight against Globalism and Westernization.

Thank you for reading.