Escalation of Georgian-Abkhazian conflict - April, 2008

I disagree with the assessment in the following article. Yes, in the short term, having Russia beat up on Georgia would have a negative impact on Armenia's economy. However, in the long-term, having Russia beat up on Georgia (i.e. bring Tbilisi back into its orbit by force) would benefit Armenia greatly. Just my opinion.

Arevordi

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Sergei Minasyan: Escalation of Georgian-Abkhazian conflict promises no good for Armenia


April, 2008

Military operations are unlikely in the Georgian-Abkhazian conflict zone, an Armenian political scientist said. “Influence from outside is great. Neither the U.S. nor Russia will allow Georgia to start war. Russia pressurizes deliberately, using the Abkhazian factor for replenishing its peacekeeping contingent. Meanwhile, Georgia tries to gain internal political dividends on the threshold of parliamentary elections. Saakashvili did the same last October. So, I do not think that increasing of the Russian contingent up to 3000 peacekeepers can act as detonator,” Georgia expert Sergei Minasyan told a PanARMENIAN.Net reporter. “If a war starts, it will spread over to South Ossetia, thus jeopardizing regional security. Such a scenario promises no good for Armenia, taking into account the importance of communications and specific relations with Russia. Georgia eyes Armenia as a pro-Russian state. But as a matter of fact, we hold a neutral stand,” he said. The Russian leadership has recently accused Georgia of preparing a springboard for attack on Abkhazia. “The number of Georgian troops exceeds 1500 in the upper segment of the Kodor gorge,” the Russian Foreign Ministry said. Meanwhile, member of Georgian Interior Ministry Shota Utiashvili described it as “misinformation aimed to deteriorate the situation in the conflict zone.” On April 29, the Russian Defense Ministry announced replenishment of peacekeeping forces in Abkhazia and South Ossetia. “Any Georgia’s attempt to use force to resolve the conflicts will be rebuffed adequately and toughly,” the Ministry said.

Source: http://www.panarmenian.net/news/eng/?nid=25961

 
In other news:


Russia new missile base response to US



Russia begins the construction of a new missile base in the Southern Caucus region amid a row with the US over its missile shield. Citing informed Georgian sources, the Azeri newspaper Ayna reported that Russia has started the construction work near the Armenian city of Noyemberyan. The report added the base is located in a place overlooking Sadighlu village near the Georgian town of Marneuli and it would reportedly be equipped with advanced air defense and missile systems. The move by Moscow is considered as a response to Washington's plans for stationing the components of a missile defense shield system in Eastern Europe. Russia says the US plan poses a threat to its national security and it has vowed to take retaliatory measures against the United States if Washington goes ahead with the project.

Source: http://www.presstv.ir/detail.aspx?id...onid=351020602

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Dear reader,

Arevordi will be taking a sabbatical to tend to personal matters. New blog commentaries will henceforth be posted on an irregular basis. The comments board however will continue to be moderated on a regular basis.

The last 20 years or so has also helped me see Russia as the last front against scourges of Westernization, Globalism, American expansionism, Zionism, Islamic extremism and pan-Turkism. I have also come to see Russia as the last hope humanity has for the preservation of classical western civilization, Apostolic Christianity and the traditional nation-state. This compelled me to create this blog in 2010. Immediately, this blog became one of the very few voices in the vastness of cyberia that dared to preach about the dangers of Globalism and the Anglo-American-Jewish alliance, and the only voice preaching the strategic importance of Armenia remaining within Russia's orbit. From about 2010 to 2015 I did monthly, at times weekly, commentaries about Russian-Armenian relations and Eurasian geopolitics in general. It was very difficult for me because I had no assistance from anywhere. The time I put into this blog therefore came at the expense of work and family. But a powerful feeling inside urged me to keep going; and I did. When Armenia joined the EEU and integrated into Russia's military structures a couple of years ago I finally felt a deep sense of relaxation, as if a very heavy burden was lifted off my back. And when Prime Minister Karen Karapetyan reemerged in Armenian politics, I finally felt that my personal mission was accomplished. I therefore felt I could take a step back as I really needed the rest.

Simply put: I have lived to see the institutionalization of Russian-Armenian alliance. Also, I feel more confident now that Armenians are collectively recognizing the strategic importance of Armenia's ties with Russia. Moreover, I feel satisfied knowing that, at least on a subatomic level, I had a hand in the outcome. As a result, I feel a strong sense of mission accomplished. I therefore no longer have the internal urge to continue as in the past. In other words, the motivational force that had propelled me in previous years has been gradually dissipating because I feel that this blog has lived to see the realization of its stated goal.

Going forward, I do not want to write merely for the sake of writing. Also, I do not want to say anything if I have nothing important to say. I feel like I have said everything I needed to say. Henceforth, I will post seasonal commentaries about topics I find important. I will however moderate the blog's comments section on a regular basis; ultimately because I'm interested in what readers of this blog have to say and also because it's through readers here that I am at times made aware of interesting developments. To limit clutter in the comments section, I kindly ask all participants of this blog to please keep comments coherent and strictly relevant to the featured topic of discussion. Moreover, please realize that when there are several anonymous visitors posting comments simultaneously, it becomes very confusing (not to mention extremely annoying) trying to figure out who is who and who said what. If you are here to engage in conversation, make an observation, express an idea or just attack me, I ask you to at least use a moniker to identify yourself.

Please appreciate the fact that I have put an enormous amount of information into this blog. In my opinion, most of my blog commentaries and articles, going back ten-plus years, are in varying degrees relevant to this day and will remain so for a long time to come. Posts in this blog can therefore be revisited by longtime readers and new comers alike. I therefore ask the reader to treat this blog as a depository of important information relating to Eurasian geopolitics. Russian-Armenian relations and humanity's historic fight against Globalism and Westernization.

Thank you for reading.