As America Burns a New Global Military Balance is Born - Summer, 2020

For this summer's blog commentary I am once again (after 4 long years) honored to present comrade Zoravar's latest military analysis titled "The New Global Military Balance, the Syrian Miracle and the Shifting sands of Libya". Please feel free to skip right down to his analysis featured immediately below my opening commentary. As a prelude or introduction to Zoravar's latest report, I would like to take this opportunity to comment on the recent sociopolitical unrest in the United States (which are race riots in my opinion) because both Zoravar's work on the Russian military and the prevailing political climate in the United States in recent times are inherently related to one-another. In other words, to better understand the geopolitical environment of the world today, to better appreciate Zoravar's work regarding the on-going evolution of Russia's armed forces and the Kremlin's rekindled superpower status, we need to take a closer look at the American empire's declining domestic health and its shrinking empire.

The United States of America changed forever right in front of our eyes in 2020, and essentially did so twice in two months. The manufactured pandemic and restrictions relating to it - which was ultimately designed to bring the country's booming economy to its knees and more-or-less imprison its people - is still being enforced in varying degrees around the country despite its counterproductive consequences, and the violent protest movements that were commenced by special interests were two massive, revolutionary blows that the country will NOT recover from in my opinion. This spring and summer were in my opinion a turning-point in the history of the United States. Going forward, the country will never be the same. What has been happening during the past few months in the United States has been historic and unprecedented. What we saw take place was in fact an attempted insurrection and a coup d'état. What we saw take place under the cover of the Covid-19 pandemic and the so-called Black Lives Matter (BLM) movement, of course supported by Jewish activists as always, is actually how nations and empires are torn-apart from within. What we saw this spring and summer is how the seeds of violent revolutions and civilizational decline are sown.

When President Trump first got elected in 2017, a number of economists predicted an economic collapse during his presidency. The country's Liberal/Left promised to do all they can to topple his presidency by 2020. We recently learned that Dr. Fauci also promised the Trump administration a pandemic. Even the gods at the time seemed to be signalling. It is now very clear that what we see happening in the United States today - from the pandemic to the economic downturn to the relentless assaults against the Trump administration to the nation-wide race riots - is part of a big agenda. In other words, they are all interconnected. One must be blind not to see this. One would be a fool to believe otherwise. All this is designed to destroy the country's old system (i.e. White America). It is now very clear that the United States is heading towards uncharted territory. By all indicators, the final destination won't be pretty. The following link is to my blog commentary from Autumn, 2017. We clearly saw back then the official commencement of the on-going agenda/process to topple the Trump administration and remake the United States -
United States is entering a period of uncertainty and instability - Autumn, 2017:
I covered my concerns and observations about the manufactured Covid-19 pandemic in my previous blog commentary. I would therefore like to make some observations about the more recent race riots in the United States. Students of history know that popular protest movements with lofty slogans (similar to the rhetoric we are seeing coming out of BLM, Antifa and Anarchists in the United States) led to the bloody collapse of the French Empire and the Russian Empire two-hundred years and one-hundred years ago respectively. It now seems to be the United States' turn. The country is now being systematically placed on the same road. Consequently, we are seeing the flowering of Neo-Marxist ideology, the birth of extremist groups (both on the Left and on the Right) as well as separatist movements (again, both on the Left and on the Right). Make no mistake about it, what we are seeing today are the very seeds of the country's eventual demise, and no amount of 4th of July fireworks or photogenic flybys over national monuments will reverse the course. The kind of hate and division we are seeing in the United States today has not been seen in the country since the Civil War in the mid 19th century, when the country was overwhelmingly White, Christian and conservative. The kind of unrest we are seeing in the country today has not been seen in the country in over fifty years, when the country was still mostly White, still mostly Christian and still mostly Conservative. As we are periodically reminded, the veneer of civilization is very thin. All it takes is one spark for mankind to descend into a primitive state of existence -
Tucker: Our leaders dither as our cities burn:
Escalating Protests Nationwide Over Death Of George Floyd | NBC Nightly News:
United States descends into chaos as clashes between protesters and police escalate | ABC News:
Rioters clash with police, fires set near White House as protests escalate:
Riots and chaos engulf New York, Minneapolis, Los Angeles, Chicago, Washington DC:
Scenes of Chaos in Minneapolis, Minnesota as Buildings Burn during 4th day of George Floyd Protests:
Rioters destroy a line of police cars:
George Floyd Protests: Police Cars Swarmed On Los Angeles Freeway, U.S. Flag Burnt:
Demonstrations turn violent at the CNN Center in Atlanta:
Washington DC: protesters confront police during George Floyd protest:
L.A. turns to National Guard, curfew as violence, looting escalate:
Reports: Deep State, Soros, Obama fuel riots to hurt President Trump:
Project Veritas Exposes Another Far-Left Militant Group; George Soros And Hillary Named:
Intel report warns that far-right extremists may target Washington, D.C.:
Asheville Autonomous Zone Short-Lived, But Protesters May Try Again:
Portland Militants Attempting to Set Up New ‘Autonomous Zone’ After Seattle Version Overtaken By ‘Warlord’:
Tucker: The world welcomes its newest country:
The ‘Autonomous Zone’ In Seattle Is A Harbinger Of America’s Future If Politicians Don’t Start Working Together:
Trump tells governors to ‘DOMINATE’ rioters in scathing phone call:
Trump calls governors ‘weak’ on protests as designation of antifa as a terror organization is challenged: 
Tucker Carlson: Our leaders have sided with the agents of chaos – we're told crimes of the mob are our fault:
Floyd protests and Trump's response gave Washington a week it won't soon forget:
Picking up the pieces: Americans survey the damage after the sixth night of riots across the US that saw 50 Secret Service agents injured in DC, looters trash stores in NYC and now more than 4,000 arrests:
Shots fired as heavily-armed black militia members demanding the arrest of cops in Breonna Taylor's death face off with Three Percenters paramilitary group in Louisville:
Trump threatens to deploy federal agents to Chicago and other U.S. cities led by Democrats:

White House sends ‘almost 1,000’ National Guard troops & 200+ federal officers to help police in violence-plagued Kenosha:

The pictures of devastation in riot-torn Kenosha that Trump hopes will make the perfect backdrop for law and order campaign message:
Disregard all the analysis and explanations you are hearing from both sides of the political divide. The chaos and mayhem we are now seeing from coast-to-coast has nothing to do with "police brutality" or so-called White supremacy. The nationwide riots in the United States had little, if anything, to do with the oppression of Black Americans. There is no systematic oppression of Black Americans. Black Americans have never had it better, anywhere. Black Americans much, much better than any of their brethren anywhere in Africa. Black Americans are actually put on a pedestal in the United States by White Americans. American sport, music, television and cinema is replete with Black heroes and celebrities. Black-on-Black murders account for the vast majority of Blacks killed in the United States. Yes, some statistics do suggest that Blacks are more likely to be killed by policemen. What such statistics don't talk about however is also the well known fact that Black Americans are many times more likely to commit crimes than non-Blacks in the country. Blacks, who make-up around 15% of the population in the United States, commit about 50% of homicides. What is also not talked about is that more policemen are killed by Black criminals than the other way around. But, all these statistics and rationalizing are a moot point or effort in this discussion as there is a sociopolitical agenda behind what is happening, and that agenda has nothing to do with reality.

What we are seeing play-out all across the United States is simply a SHOW OF FORCE by Neo-Bolshevik hordes (i.e. George Soros and company, the same ones that also brought Boris Yeltsin to power in Russia and brought Levon Petrosyan and Nikol Pashinyan to power in Armenia). Those who destroyed the Russian Empire, those to fought to topple Joseph Stalin and those who then imploded the Soviet Union, have now turned their attention on their erstwhile ally, the United States. If it was Jews that enthusiastically latched on to Marxist/Globalist ideology in Czarist Russia and destroyed the Russian Empire in the name of land reform and egalitarianism, in the United States it's Blacks (and also Jews, Homosexuals and Hispanics but mainly Blacks) that will destroy the United States in the name of liberalism, multiculturalism, interracialism, open borders, integration, racial inequality, gender equality, etc. Russia's large Jewish population had their reasons to support the destruction of the old system they were living under, Blacks have their reasons to destroy old system in the United States. If Communism in Russia had a Jewish face, Socialism or whatever it's going to be called in the United States will mainly have a Black face.

The killing of George Floyd in Minnesota by policemen was atrocious. There cannot be any excuses for what happened. Period. Yes, we know that the Black community in the United States has a propensity to criminality. However, law enforcement agencies, those entrusted by society to up-hold the law, need to be more responsible, show more restraint and set a better example. If they don't, American society will suffer these types of fiery upheavals from time-to-time, until one day it all seriously boils over into a very bloody civil war. Besides, let's finally come to the realization that the United States is no longer a White nation, nor is it any longer a Christian nation. Non-Whites, Jews and Homosexuals yield great power in the country today. So, when it comes to how White Americans deal with non-White Americans, it's a dammed if you do, damned if you don't situation. In other words, if Whites continue trying to aggressively maintain their hold on the country by marginalizing non-Whites (who will soon become a permanent majority in the country anyway), the country will continue suffering periodic unrest, until one day there is very serious conflagration between the races. On the other hand, if Whites as a collective fully give into the multicultural/interracial agenda and embrace Black Americans and other non-White groups in the country, the country will quickly transform into a Third World status. It is therefore a no-win situation for White America. As they say in American parlance, the writing (or rather the graffiti) is on the wall.

As with all similar movements there is also of course an attempt to rewrite history. United States today is similarly getting a makeover. The destructive riots, the widespread looting, the vandalizing of historic monuments and the toppling of historic statues are, at their core, barbaric. What these Neo-Marxist/Globalist backed BLM, Antifa and Anarchist mobs are doing is no less abhorrent than what ISIS did in Syria, then what the Taliban did in Afghanistan in 2001, than what Nazis did on Krystallnacht, than what the Bolshevik did in Russia. In a nutshell, this is all a result of America's Cultural Marxism, which has been pushed in Europe and North America by Neo-Marxist/Globalists for many decades. Destroying, vandalizing and looting is what Barbarians, Bolsheviks and Trotskyites do best. The show has finally come to the United States. What we are seeing is merely a preview of bigger things to come -
Historical statues coming down all across the country tied to protests: A list: 
Full list of statues Black Lives Matter protesters want removed and why:
Crowd of protesters shout down Catholic priest trying to defend statue of Saint Louis in Missouri:
Rudy Giuliani calls Black Lives Matter ‘a Marxist organization’:
Leader of ultra-right militia The Three Percenters General BloodAgent predicts end of America by 2021 and warns of new civil war:
Civil War 2.0? The “Boogaloo” Movement Is A Wake-Up Call For America:
‘We’re in your house’: Armed black protesters march through Georgia Confederate park:
Thousands of Americans gather for Fourth of July protests across the US:
New York City is ‘dead forever,’ according to one proud New Yorker:

Cities Will See Citizens Flee, Fearing Continued Riots And The Reemergence Of Covid-19:

Antifa clash with Proud Boys in Portland, as police refuse to declare a riot & let violent brawls ‘resolve themselves’:

Armed Conflict in America Is a Turning Point. Are You Prepared?:

U.S Antifa Riots: How Radical Anti-American Marxists Tie to BLM Movement:

George Soros' quiet overhaul of the U.S. justice system:

The Coming Coup?:

America: much less stable, much less powerful, but more dangerous:

Former CIA operative: We are in Phase 2 of Marxist-Maoist takeover of the nation:

How to avoid America’s coming secession crisis:

There Are Actual Secession Movements in America: Here Are the Biggest Ones:

Trump is ignoring right-wing extremists who 'want to start a race war,' former DHS official says:

Here’s how November’s election could lead to a new Civil War in America. I pray I’m wrong, but fear I’m not:

Confessions of a voter fraud: I was a master at fixing mail-in ballots:

‘Is that a threat?’ Gov. Cuomo says Trump ‘better have an army’ to protect him if he comes to New York:

Top US general says military will not escort Donald Trump from the White House if election disputed:

Vigilante, volunteer, terrorist: how the US media covers Kyle Rittenhouse:

Veterans Fortify the Ranks of Militias Aligned With Trump’s Views:

What Portland and Kenosha say about the return of political violence in America:

'Rest in peace Jay': Donald Trump pays tribute to Patriot Prayer supporter who was shot dead in Portland during violent clashes:

AG Barr’s praise for fatal arrest of Portland ‘Antifa’ shooter triggers outbursts on ‘state murder, vigilantism & civil war’:
‘I don’t like saying it, but something will replace the US dollar’: Investor Jim Rogers says century of USD reign is ending:

Whoever wins in November, here’s six reasons why America is on the brink of a complete political and social breakdown:

The fact that there is talk about any of this in the United States is in itself astounding. America's affliction is both historic and unprecedented. It is unprecedented primarily because the White population in the United States, even without all the unrest and uncertainty in the country, is on a fast track to becoming a minority in the country their ancestors built. In other words, what we are seeing is the rise of a non-White America. As a result, White America (or rather those who still identify with White America) is fighting for its survival. This ominous reality facing White America is what's unprecedented in my opinion, and why the country's future looks bleak. Why does it look bleak? Well, we know that the character of nations of this world are a result of the genetic/cultural makeup of the people that inhabit them. Think of it this way: The United States is the way it has been because of White, Christian European settlers. Similarly, Brazil is the way it is because of the genetic makeup of its population. The Congo is the way it is because of the genetic makeup of its population. Japan is the way it is because of the genetic makeup of its population. Germany is the way it is because of the genetic makeup of its population. Armenia is the why it is because of the genetic makeup of its population. Et cetera. I say with utmost certainty that a non-White America, which is definitely where this is all heading, will be a drastically different place, and not for the better in my opinion. In my opinion, in only a few generations, the United States, if the union of states is still in existence, will closely resemble Brazilian society, without the tropical weather of course. At the end of the day, it is actually a simple choice for White Americans: They either "circle their wagons" so to speak (i.e. congregate in certain states and try to preserve their national/racial identity and culture through some of the nation's governorships) or they fall to their knees, confess their sins and accept non-White supremacy. In either case, and even in the best of circumstances, they will be doing so as minorities -
Education or propaganda? Nickelodeon makes children watch 9 MINUTES of ‘I can’t breathe’ BLM commercial, polarizing parents:
White police officers and community members wash the feet of black faith leaders in North Carolina to 'express humility and love':
Hundreds of White People get on the Ground and Renounce their White Privilege Death of George Floyd:
WATCH white people BEG FORGIVENESS from their black neighbors in prayer ceremony:
White residents wash black priests’ feet during George Floyd vigil in US:
Down on one knee, boy! White penitence over racism and George Floyd’s murder plunges new depths of piousness and pointlessness:
Tucker Carlson: Why Are Americans Surrendering To Mobs? Kneeling Will Never Be Good Enough For Them:
Why White Middle Class Americans Are Dying at an Alarming Rate:
Multiracial in America  Proud, Diverse and Growing in Numbers:
US white population declines and Generation ‘Z-Plus’ is minority white, census shows:
America's Getting Less White, and That Will Save It:
The scientific way to train white people to stop being racist:
Falling apart  U.S. secessionist movements gather attention:
Can Americans Overthrow The Evil That Rules Them? — Paul Craig Roberts:
"We are in a revolutionary moment": Chris Hedges explains why an uprising is coming — and soon:
The American Collapse Accelerates:
George Soros 2012 Perdiction on the Coming U.S. Class War:
Carol Baker: Obama-Appointed CDC Chair Doctor "We’ll just get rid of all the White Americans":
Dear White America: Letter to a New Minority (City Lights Open Media):
We've Reached the End of White Christian America:
Grim reality of why the West's white race is now a dying breed:
CNN guest: If black children aren't 'allowed innocence' then white children 'don't deserve innocence':
Tucker Investigates: What is destroying rural America?:
Self-flagellation, self-hate, self-loathing and self-destructive altruism is what many (if not most) White Americans seems to excels in today... all of it of course encouraged by organized Jewry. What we are seeing in the United States is nevertheless White plight, and it will result in White flight in many increasingly non-White states in the country. In any case, this is not yet the final end of the United States. Although the country has forever changed and in some aspects died, the old governing system still embedded in Washington DC is still too powerful, too wealthy and too tightly controlled to collapse just yet. The American empire's final demise, as inevitable as it may be, it will be a very long and painful road. But a collapse is certainly inevitable. The groundwork for it has been laid. It's just a matter of time. The following iconic pictures best symbolize the prevailing sociopolitical climate in the United States today, and the ominous direction it is heading towards -

WASHINGTON DC: Police stand guard outside the White House late Sunday as chaotic demonstrations took place in Washington, D.C.

Hundreds of protesters scattered as the truck sped directly at them while they marched across all 10 lanes of traffic

The United States, the country or rather the empire as we knew it, essentially died during the past three months. No amount of 4th of July fireworks displays and/or patriotic flag waving will bring it back. The masses of people we saw rioting from coast to coast were basically coming out to pay their last respects to the now all but dead empire. The America that will come to replace the former one will be a multicultural zoo resembling a typical third world cesspool like Brazil. What we saw in recent months was therefore also the birth pangs of a new United States. Said otherwise, despite any effort to revive it, the Old America we knew is now officially out of business. The large scale looting we saw from coast-to-coast was basically the country's going out of business "clearance" sale. Even the gods seemed angry over the course of the unrest -

The unthinkable has just happened: The foundations of a color revolution has finally been set in the United States. Political instability and unrest has finally come to the  purveyor of political instability and unrest around the world, the United States. It's only a matter of time now before we see a color revolution in the nation that made a living exporting color revolutions.
What we are seeing in the country in recent months is in essence a preview or rather a trailer of what's to come in larger magnitude further down the road. We are in a sense watching a new America finally rearing its head today. We are in a sense watching the fight between an Old America that is trying to survive  and a New America that is trying to be born. What we have been recently observing in the United States is at its core a show of force by domestic and foreign interests seeking to remake the country. It was a successful operation by all standards. Americans themselves were subjected to some "shock and awe" for a change. Division in the country, both political and ethnic, has gotten deeper. Just as President Obama's election energized the country's Right, President Trump's election energized the country's Left. Both sides are now energized and ready for action. A climate of hate has now been sown not only inside American society but also inside Washington DC itself, which is something that has not been seen since the Civil War in the mid 19th century. The United States has now been turned into a volatile powder keg. This November therefore promises to be a pivotal time in the history of the United States. We may therefore see more fireworks in the coming months.

The polished facade of the country, something that Washingtonians and Globalists worked hand-in-hand to craft for over a century, has been shattered in recent years. All of the internal decay in the United States has been laid bare for all to see. Trump's unexpected presidency and the rabid opposition to it has made this all too obvious. One day there will indeed be a spark that will collapse or fragment the United States, and the empire's former victims around the world will rejoice. It is only a matter of time. The country is full of hate and guns. That is a very volatile mix. But, as the saying goes: Karma is a bitch. For many decades imperial officials in Washington DC collaborated with Globalist/Neo-Marxist forces to inflict countries around the world with sociopolitical unrest in the name of "Fighting Terror", "Democracy" and "Westernization" (i.e. profit, power, exploitation, influence and conquest). For generations Anglo-American-Jews have had a toxic net effect on humanity -
At Least 37 Million People Displaced by US War on Terror, US Study Finds:
A Timeline of CIA Atrocities:

Mind Control: The MK Ultra File:

Seeds of Death: Unveiling The Lies of GMO's Full Documentary HD:

Council on Foreign Relations: Democracy-Promotion and U.S. NGOs:

NGOs: The Missionaries of Empire:

US spent $585 million on ‘promoting democracy’ worldwide in past year:

The National Endowment for Democracy, NGOs and the Imperial Uses:

Historian Webster G. Tarpley on "The Ford Presidency":
“American neoconservatives: a history and overview” Jim Lobe:
I have spoken about this for many years. A movement like BLM or Antifa or any other similar movement in a country opposed to the Anglo-American-Jewish political/financial paradigm would have immediately been exploited by the CIA and its covert teams of agent provocateurs and assassins. Examples are many: Russia, Ukraine, China, Venezuela, Cuba, Serbia, Georgia, Armenia, Iran, Syria, Iraq, Egypt, Libya, Yemen, to name only a few. The aforementioned are countries Washington DC did its best to destroy. The Anglo-American-Jewish establishment is guilty of destroying nations, murdering millions of people and ruining the lives of tens-of-millions of more around the world. The United States is finally succumbing to the very poisons it has been administering. Globalist interests have finally turned on the United States. This is Karma -
‘US, Europe getting back SAME CHAOS they were sowing around the world’ – Russia’s FM spokeswoman on riots in America:
How the New World Order “Globalists” Are Dividing Americans: 
The Corona “Global False Alarm”, the Campaign against Racism and Neoliberalism:
For decades the WASP establishment in the United States (along with Jewish interests quietly operating within it) joined forces with Globalists/Neo-Marxists to bring "Democracy" (a form mob rule) to the world with destructive effect. The WASP intent was obviously to subvert and break-apart traditional societies around the world and make such countries easy to manipulate and exploit. For decades Globalist interests found the United States to be a very fertile ground to plant and harvest their agendas. Western power consequently became a dispenser of poisons around the world. As with all dispensers of poison, the poison was within itself as well. The Western world began falling sick from their own poisons starting in the 1960s. It only got worst with the ascent of Neoconservatism and Neoliberalism in the United States, and of course the fall of the Soviet Union, which put the American empire into overdrive.

As imperial officials in Washington DC worked closely with Globalists/Neo-Marxists to afflict nations around the world with economic collapse, political turmoil and societal unrest by financially supporting destructive agendas around (e.g. open society, open borders, IMF loans, privatization, multiculturalism, liberalization, homosexuality, feminism, democracy and westernization), Globalist were at the same time injecting the very same toxins deep inside American society itself. In other words, Globalists have turned on the United States. As a result, a Maidan-style unrest has finally come to an American town near you. But, unlike during Ukraine's Maidan, we unfortunately didn't see Russian officials giving out cookies. This is not surprising as Russians are notoriously bad when it comes to PR. Nevertheless, at the end of the day a lot of what we see happening today is also a result of supernatural forces at play beyond our visual and cognitive ability. Much of what we see transpiring today is preordained by forces beyond our comprehension, be it earthly or ethereal.

Moral of the story we are witnessing in the United States today: If you play with fire you will get burned sooner or later. The chickens are coming home to roost, as they say in American parlance. Live by the sword, die by the sword, as the biblical proverb warns.

Going forward, the nation's police forces will be even further restricted from dealing with crime in Black neighborhoods (where statistically most of the crime in the United States occurs). The process has already started. More-and-more policemen will become demoralized and more-and-more Americans will avoid serving in law enforcement. The process has already started. More government funds will be transferred from police departments and wasted on "inner cities". The process has already started. American society will become even more violent than it already is. The process has already stared. The Black demographic in the county will be pandered to at the expense of the country's White demographic. The process has already started. The vengeful/violent sector among Black Americans will be energized like never before. The process has already started. White Americans will literally be on their knees in front of their former slaves begging for mercy. The process has already started. The country's Right, the mostly White, Christian, Conservatives, well as White Nationalist types, will also become radicalized and will more actively seek separation from the United States. The process has already started. In fact, White America will in a few years will be the new oppressed minority. The process has already started. If current world trends are to be considered, White Americans can expect to be treated not very well to say the least. The process has already started.

Neo-Marxists/Globalists set the foundations of the American empire's downfall many decades ago, the 1960s to be precise. The seeds are beginning to bare fruit today. Barbarians have now sacked Rome. The empire's former slaves are revolting. Rome is burning as Senators are quarreling among themselves. Going forward, there will be a few more sackings of Rome, until the empire disintegrates into pieces and altogether disappears from the political map. This may happen to the American empire within the lifetime of those alive today. The writing is clearly on the wall. White America - the backbone of the United States since its founding - will in a few years become a minority and most probably next the oppressed minority. Nothing and no one will change this. The process has already started. Make no mistake about it, there is an agenda in store for the United States. In a nutshell: It's about the spread of Neo-Marxist ideas in a formerly White, formerly conservative, formerly traditional and a formerly Christian nation. And, this, in a nutshell, is why they want to dumb down society, take guns away from the citizenry, fill the country with illegal migrants from third world countries and promote abortions, atheism, Satanism, feminism, homosexuality and pedophilia -
KGB defector Yuri Bezmenov's warning to America:
Why are we in Decline - Cultural Marxism:
Is Cultural Marxism America's New Mainline Ideology?:
Out of Shadows Documentary - Exposing the Sins of MSM and Hollywood:
Mainely Unspoken "Dumbing Down of Schools" with Charlotte Iserbyt:

The Dumbing Down of America - By Design:

We've Reached the End of White Christian America:
Soros' Ideology Exposed: A Post-Modern, Post-Family, Post-Border New World Order:

From Netflix's 'Cuties' to Sex Trafficking, We Have a Child Exploitation Problem:

The US government just officially recognized the Satanic Temple as a religion:

Cardi B - WAP feat. Megan Thee Stallion [Official Lyric Video]:

The American empire is dying indeed. The United States is going through a metamorphosis of sorts. American intellectuals have been talking about all this for some time now, but not many were listening -
Suicide of a Superpower: Pat Buchanan on the Death of Western Civilization:
The Collapse of the American Empire?:
"We are in a revolutionary moment": Chris Hedges explains why an uprising is coming — and soon:
The American Collapse Accelerates:
Are We Rome? Ben Powell Compares the U.S. with the Roman Empire:
The Fall of Rome and Modern Parallels | Lawrence Reed at FreedomFest:
I am not a big fan of President Trump primarily due to his Right wing Jewish backers, nor do I particularly like Evangelical (Christian-Zionist) Rednecks in the United States. But, purely from an American perspective, despite his subservience to organized Jewry, President Trump may be the last hope Old America has today. Trump's importance in this regard was instinctually realized by White America from day one -
It Was Cultural Anxiety That Drove White, Working-Class Voters to Trump:
How Trump Exposed America’s White Identity Crisis:
Pew Research Center: Behind Trump’s victory: Divisions by race, gender, education: 
Does White America Fear Black Equality? The Economic Forces Behind Trump’s Win:
Two thirds of Trump voters viewed the election as Americas last chance:
How Trump Happened: Racism Against Barack Obama:
Analysis Trump Is White America’s Great White Hope:
Those behind the recent unrest in the United States will try to keep sociopolitical tensions going until the next elections. Their ultimate intent is to topple the "Trump regime". President Trump's political opposition will do their best to exploit the Covid-19 pandemic, the sociopolitical unrest and the country's resulting economic downturn to undermine the Trump presidency. I also suspect that the Democrat party will try to use the pandemic as an excuse not to put their near-senile presidential candidate on the debate stage with President Trump. Therefore, the next presidential election promises to be perhaps the most important in the history of the United States.

But, in the big picture, it's a foregone conclusion. Regardless of everything else, and despite President Trump's best efforts, in two or three decades Whites in the United States will become a minority in the country their forefathers built. Jews have been talking abut this with glee for many years. Everything good (and bad) about the United States was a reflection of the civilization (White, European) that built the country and turned it into the world's most powerful and most wealthy nation on earth. But wealth and influence comes with a heavy price for it attracts the attention of hungry masses around the world yearning for a free meal. As such, all empires eventually end up looking like the peoples they conquered and/or enslaved. Perhaps this is why President Trump wants to restraint an out-of-control Pentagon and in doing so shrink the American empire. Too little, too late. The demographic makeup of the country has been changing rapidly for decades. The changes will be permanent. Consequently, the United States is no longer the country our parents and/or grandparents dreamed of migrating to. The United States is no longer a White or European nation. The United States is no longer a Christian nation. And there is no longer an "American Dream". No matter how you look at it, the future of American civilization in general does not look too good. This may be unprecedented in the history of the United States but we have seen this before. Yesterday's slaves are running amok today and destroying Rome. Rome is burning as the Senators are quarreling. The United States is burning as its Senators are quarreling. The burning of police stations; the looting of thousands of homes and shops all across the United States; the unrest in front of the White House; the president of the United States being taken into a bunker for safety; special forces being deployed in Washington DC; and the talk of deploying active duty military personnel in American cities to bring law and order if governors refuse stamp put riots in their cities are unprecedented and symbolic of the downward spiral the United States is in today.

Globalists/Neo-Marxists have made their point very clear. Every time there is an opportunity to incite the masses there will be similar - if not worst - unrest in the country. This was a show of force indeed. Any further abuse - or even perceived abuse - of Blacks in the United States will provoke, incite and agitate extremists in the country's tens-of-millions strong Black community as well as the country's political Left. This will fasten the pace of the country's darkening, so to speak. As we have seen with the recent crime wave gripping the country, this will also significantly restrict the way police forces handle societal disorder and crime, especially when it's connected to the Black community. And even if abuse against Black Americans is somehow stopped, in a generation or two non-Whites in the United States will become a clear majority anyway. It's clearly a lose-lose situation for White America. The sociopolitical situation in the country will get progressively worst (especially for Whites) at a faster pace from now on. The United States is gradually being turned into a Third World cesspool. Once the nation's racial demographics change for good and Whites permanently become a minority in the country their ancestors built - and once increasing numbers of nations around the world begin avoiding the US dollar as a reserve currency and therefore dethrones the dollar - the United States will collapse - not figuratively but quite literally. Such a collapse will make the Soviet collapse look like a pleasant walk in a flower garden.

What we witnessed in the United States during the past few months was an insurrection and a coup d'état against the old system and its only champion, the Trump administration. The next presidential elections will be very interesting, to say the least. No matter how one looks at the current mess in the United States, what we are living through today is the death of the Old America and the birth of a New America. Those who are happy with the death of the Old America, have the country's degenerate WASP elite and organized Jewry to thank for. Those of you however who see the very ominous writing on the wall and are therefore not happy with the birth of the New America, I suggest you start planning your move out of the country. If you don't, you will eventually regret not doing so. The New America that is being formed in front of our eyes today is NOT the United States our grandparents dreamed of living in. At the end of the day, what we are seeing happening in the United States today eventually happens to all "open societies" - without exception. All empires, in one way or another, end up falling to their former slaves - without exception. All advanced and "enlightened" societies implode - without exception. For the sake of Russians (and therefore of Armenians) let's hope Russia never again becomes as democratic, as liberal, as developed, as progressive and as "open" as Western societies. Imagine Russians kneeling in front of Tatars, Dagestanis, Circassians and Chechens and asking for forgiveness. That would be the end of not only Russia but also of Armenia. As I always say, thank God for Russian racism and thank God for Russian arrogance.

As Armenians let's remind ourselves that the systematic destruction of the United States by Globalist/Neo-Marxists forces are in the bigger picture the same ones that toppled the Russian Czar and destroyed the Russian Empire one hundred years ago (resulting in tens of millions of dead, including over 1.5 million Armenians). They are the same ones that later destroyed the Soviet Union (because Stalin had transformed their Liberal Marxism into Nationalist Marxism). They are the same ones that brought a corrupt criminal mastermind like Levon Petrosyan into power into Armenia to lay the foundations of a failed state and the same ones that recently brought Levon's acolyte, the mentally disturbed street scoundrel known as Nikol to continue Armenia's spiritual destruction and cultural decay. The Trotskyite/Neo-Bolshevik pandemic has infected much of the world in recent decades. Armenian society, both in and out of the homeland, has not been immune to say the least. Armenia fell victim to this global pandemic in 2018. Armenia today has anti-nationalist activists in power, activist who have made a living by serving Anglo-American-Jewish interests. Consequently, Armenia risks sinking deeper-and-deeper into third world poverty, multicultural toxicity and moral ambiguity. Similar to how White Americans are so dumbed-down that most do not see the destruction of their nation and their culture taking place right in front of their eyes, Armenians are also incapable of seeing the destruction of their nation and culture happening today. My attitude towards Armenians however is much harsher because we Armenians as a people are supposed to be much smarter than this. We have been through a lot during the past century, we therefore should know better. But, we don't, and that is why we continue suffering. They meticulously worked on White America for many decades to corrupt it from within and make it self-destructive. We Armenians on the other hand seem to have always had that self-destructive gene in us, which is why our history reads like a tragic novel. But, we must not despair as not everything happening in the world today is bad. There is still some hope in this world, and that hope is found in Mother Russia.

The world's first military cathedral opened near Moscow recently. Behold its magnificence, admire its beauty -
Строительство Главного храма ВС РФ завершено:
A powerful message has sent out to the world by the Kremlin. It's significance cannot be overstated. It's more than just a cathedral, it's a monument, a museum and a shrine extolling the greatness of the Russian nation and highlighting its immense sacrifices for the benefit of all mankind. With this magnificent edifice, the Russian nation as a whole has effectively become the embodiment of a Warrior Saint. The Russian people now have the blessed burden to live-up to their calling as great warriors and purveyors of classical European culture and Apostolic Christianity. In closing, I would like to apologize for the lengthy prelude to Zoravar's military analysis. I was initially going to dedicate an entire blog commentary to the recent race riots in the United States, but when I was informed of Zoravar's long overdue work I could not pass up the opportunity. After all, Russia's star continues to rise. After all, the 75 anniversary of the Soviet Union's victory over Nazi Germany was just celebrated. After all, Russians just recently voted to change the nation's constitution that was adopted during the chaotic 1990s. Zoravar's timely work is therefore coming on the heels of some very historic and unprecedented and interrelated world events. Now, without any further ado I present to you Zoravar's latest military analysis.

Summer, 2020

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The New Global Military Balance, the Syrian Miracle and the Shifting Sands of Libya

“You did not listen to us then, NOW YOU WILL”. These words were the highlight of the very ceremonious State of the Nation speech delivered by the President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin (VVP) on the 1st of March 2018. Right after mentioning those words, he went on and revealed a number of top secret and until that moment highly classified superior technology weapon systems that would comprehensively alter the prevailing Military Balance and have lasting geostrategic and geopolitical implications for the foreseeable future. That speech marked an important date in modern history: it is officially (or unofficially) the day when the military balance shifted. I will describe some of these weapons a little bit later in this article. Please allow me to first elaborate a bit more on the geopolitical and historical aspects.

Vladimir V. Putin delivers annual address to Federal Assembly:

Here is the “Real Deal”: Basically, VVP “Read the Riot Act” to the Western Leaders and informed not only them, but every nation, every ruler and every citizen on Earth that the Russian Federation has now the most powerful military arsenal on this planet in both conventional and nuclear arenas. In a subtle manner, he implied that the era when the mighty Soviet Union had disintegrated and its armed forces all but collapsed was over because Russia was resurrected, risen and ready to defend its interests anywhere in the world. That the times when the US and its allies had a free hand and could attack, destroy or subdue Russia’s friend, client or allied countries (such as Serbia, Iraq and Libya) without fearing a Russian military involvement, intervention or retaliation has expired.

Let me place everything in a historical perspective: When the Soviet Union ceased to exist in 1991 and disintegrated into 15 different countries, the Russian Federation lost much of the economy, population and military power that the former entity possessed. During those tumultuous and chaotic times, how could its remnant armed forces confront the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) armies that were bombing Serbia to its knees when they themselves were having a hard time subduing an internal rebellion in Chechnya?

As the saying goes “Might is Right”, the West took full advantage of its superiority in conventional warfare capabilities: NATO expended eastwards by incorporating all the former Warsaw Pact countries and reached Russia’s borders. Some former ex-Soviet Republics (Latvia, Estonia and Lithuania) were added as well. Yugoslavia was first carved into pieces and then bombed (Serbia) for trying to defend its own best interests. Iraq was destroyed for being too powerful and for not playing by the West’s rules. Even nations like Libya and Syria that tried their best to stay out of trouble in the new World Order were devastated: the former was bombed to the stone age, while the later received gangs of Western supported, financed, armed and trained terrorist groups tasked to ravage, rape, pillage and destroy it.

Furthermore, the US and allies spared no effort to take other ex-Soviet states (such as Ukraine) out of Russia’s orbit and concurrently surround Russia with US bases (Afghanistan and other places) in order to exert more and more military, financial and economic pressure to suffocate it… with the eventual aim of creating enough dissent and rebellion to make the huge country collapse and break down into smaller pieces that could be easily controlled and the natural resources and populations exploited.

The whole plan was crystal clear 20 years ago. It was for his incapacity to properly address this bleak situation that Boris Yeltsin, the former President of the Russian Federation, resigned (or was made to resign) at the end of the last century and was replaced by Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin who was tasked with the frighteningly impossible mission of reversing the situation…and the rest is history.

Fast forward to the 1st of March 2018 and VVP’s address to the nation: An immediate consequence of that famous speech was the change in style of the Kremlin’s Foreign Policy. Sergei Lavrov, the long standing and highly respected Foreign Minister had to take a break in his diplomatic career. Make no mistake, he still keeps his job, but as from the above date, he has less tasks in his portfolio and his schedule includes less overseas travel. All foreign countries and rulers who have issues with Moscow will now have to talk to the other Sergei… Namely, the Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu.

As expected, the Western Main Stream Media (MSM) never accepted the reality of the new military balance and performed its usual spin around it, but the writing was on the wall: the era of Western military hegemony was over. During his 2 decades reign in power, Putin has Made Russia Great Again. The Federation was from now on speaking in the only language that the White House and the Pentagon would understand. No wonder why Donald Trump seems to highly respects VVP…

How did that happen? How could the Russians leapfrog the West and achieve not only parity, but overall superiority in both Strategic (nuclear) and Tactical (conventional) arsenals?

The answer is to be found in universities and on factory floors.

Countries are not forged, shaped and built in Stock Markets but rather in Universities and Colleges. And no, not by having students majoring in Sociology, Psychology, Political Sciences or Gender Studies, but in more important subjects such as Nuclear Physics, Quantum Mechanics, Nanotechnology, Thermodynamics, Robotics, Aerodynamics, Hydrodynamics, Fiber Optics, Chemical Engineering, Metallurgy etc. Countries are not forged, shaped and built by having young people tending to retail customers in shopping malls or by flipping hamburgers at McDonalds, but rather in having the youngsters learn advanced skills in colleges, scientific schools or other post school institutions that teach advanced welding techniques, electronics, mechanics etc. Compare the education system in the USA where most high school students will have a hard time finding sizeable countries on the map with that in Russia where students consistently win awards in international championships in Mathematics, Sciences etc.

Today Russia is the world’s leading nation in Nuclear Science and Nuclear Power. (The last nuclear power plant in the USA was built 30 years ago). Russia is the leader in Space technology (up to very recently, US Astronauts used the Russian SOYUZ spacecraft to go to space). I can keep on going with more examples, a full article will be needed to describe the advances of Russian technology ranging from cutting edge aerodynamics to designing and building monster icebreakers. No, I am not pretending to be the expert who should be writing such an article, but I am known to be this blog’s resident “connoisseur” of military stuff, so I will provide the readers with one key area in weapons know-how where Russia puts everybody else to shame: that is in Rocket Technology.

Already highly sophisticated, Russian Rocket Propulsion science has advanced so much over the last couple of decades that they are now way ahead of everybody else in terms of not years but decades. Couple this with their lead in heat resistant metallurgy and you have a recipe where the Federation’s missiles and rockets vastly outperform all earthly competitors in speed, range and every other parameter. No wonder that the USA is up to this date still purchasing “Made in Russia” Soyuz RD-180 rocket engines to power their ATLAS-V space vehicles.

Time to illustrate the above superiority with specific examples. One of the new weapon systems revealed by V.V. Putin during his famous 1st of March 2018 speech is the land-based SARMAT Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) that has such a long range that it does not need to fly over the Arctic to hit its intended targets on the mainland USA, instead it can take a longer southerly route and go over the Antarctic, thus avoiding all the US Anti-Ballistic Missile systems (ABM) that are exclusively based in the North.

A completely different approach to beat America’s ABM systems is used by a Hypersonic Glider called the AVANGARD. It is a Hypersonic reentry vehicle that flies at over 20 times the speed of sound (Mach 20). Furthermore, AVANGARD is maneuverable, it changes course multiple times in flight and makes the task of all existing and foreseeable ABM systems impossible.

Speaking of Hypersonic missiles, VVP Revealed the world’s first Hypersonic missile that entered service (to qualify as “hypersonic” an object must travel at a speed greater than a nominal Mach 6). The KINZHAL is carried by the MIG-31 fighter, it is launched at 20 km altitude and flies up to 2000 kms at a speed 8 times the speed of sound. It can be armed with either a nuclear or conventional warhead and its intended targets can be naval (aircraft carriers for example) or land based (Airfields, Command Centers, Ammunition Depots etc.). Because of its speed, KINZHAL can’t be stopped by any Western anti-air system.
MiG-31 Fighter with KINZHAL Hypersonic Missile

The AVANGARD and KINZHAL hypersonics are already in service and deployed. They are soon to be followed by the Mach 8 speed ZIRCON which is a ship or submarine based Anti-Ship Missile (ASM) with a 1000 km range, the 3000 km GZUR that will be launched by the Tu-22 Backfire bomber and a smaller missile of unknown name that will be the main offensive weapon of the Sukhoi Su-57 stealth fighter. There is also a plethora of other hypersonic missile programs that are in the design stage.

The USA/NATO/West does not have any hypersonic missiles in service currently and is not expected to have anything ready for many years to come. They can certainly deliver a conventional strike on Russia (a nuclear one is unthinkable because that will be the end of this planet) with their own cruise missiles and aviation, however all of their assets are subsonic or at best supersonic and are more suited to beat smaller nation’s armies into submission. Taking on the Russian Federation is a completely different ball game. The Federation’s Aerospace Forces - Vosdooshny Kosmichesky Sil (VKS) - are designed, equipped and tasked to minimize and mitigate such a strike by shooting down the attackers. Indeed, the superior Russian Rocket Technology is not limited to strike weapons, it also encompasses defensive weapons such as Surface to Air Missiles (SAM). The up to 400 km range S-400 Air Defense System is currently the main SAM of the VKS and is superior to any other competitor’s system.

A couple of formidable medium range systems have recently joined the ranks as well: The wheeled S-350 VITYAZ (120 km range) and the tracked BUK-M3 (70 km range) systems. Within a couple of years, we will see the 600 km range S-500 and the even bigger and longer ranged system called NUDOL. These are specifically designed to shoot down all existing and upcoming Ballistic and Hypersonic missiles. Even the short range PANTSIR system is benefiting from the aforementioned advances in rocket technology. As currently displayed in the 75th anniversary of Victory military parade, the modernized PANTSIR-SM model features an improved missile that has double the engagement range (40 km) of its predecessor… amazing for a missile that weighs just 76 kilograms. By the way, a few of the older PANTSIR systems originally sold to the U.A.E. government have made their way to Libya and, without having a proper Air Defense Radar network, have managed to shot down dozens of Turkish Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV) while suffering minimal losses.

The heart of an airplane are its engines. Only 4 countries on this planet have truly high-tech aircraft engine technology: USA, UK, France and Russia. China and a few others countries that make aircraft engines don’t qualify as they are at least a generation behind. The Soviet-made engines of yesterday rivaled their Western competitors in power, but lacked in fuel economy and in longevity. The technology gap that existed in the past has now been bridged by the Russians. The current Sukhoi-30, 34, 35 and 57 jet fighters have better range and endurance compared to their American or European rivals. As for strategic bombers, the Federation has restarted production of a brand new and improved version of the supersonic Tupolev Tu-160M which is the fastest strategic bomber (Mach 2 speed) on the planet. Furthermore, construction of the prototype of their next generation stealth intercontinental bomber code-named PAK-DA (again designed by the Tupolev design bureau) has begun, it should perform its first flight during 2021 or 2022– years before the US can put their prospective B-21 equivalent in the air.

The process of modernizing the Federation’s ground forces continues. Kalashnikov’s new AK-12 model is now being distributed to units. Airborne troops are completely being re-equipped with the BMD-4 model airdroppable troop transporter while the armored divisions are gearing up to soon receive the latest ARMATA tanks, KURGANETS and BOOMERANG armored vehicles. The first batch of KOALITSYA self-propelled artillery systems have recently been delivered.

Enough said, so much has been done and is still being done to upgrade the Kremlin’s armed forces. In the meanwhile, and despite their gargantuan annual military budgets, major Western/NATO countries did and are still doing relatively little. On more than one occasion, US President Donald Trump accused his predecessor Barak Obama for the decline in the US Armed Forces. I believe he is partially right. Obama certainly neglected the military and did very little in re-equipping and modernizing the various branches of the Pentagon, but he was not the one who started the decline. Too busy fighting insurgencies in Afghanistan and Iraq during George W. Bush’s presidency, the bulk of the acquisition budgets were utilized to purchase weapons to fight insurgents such as Mine Resistant Vehicles (MRAP) and UAVs that are fine for that type of warfare, but of little use against a superpower like Russia. I addition, the fact that the US annual military budget of over $700 billion is being spent in an unwise, corrupt and inefficient manner is public knowledge: examples of uber-expensive weapon systems that come with myriads of problems and show all kinds of deficiencies (such as the F-35 fighter, the Zumwalt Destroyer, the Littoral Fighting Ship and the Ford aircraft carrier) abound.

In the meanwhile, Russia’s budget which is a fraction of the above amount is being used more cleverly. Furthermore, the Russian Defense Ministry has enough reserves that can be utilized in an emergency such as the recent CORONAVIRUS pandemic. In a mere few weeks, the Defense Ministry built 16 permanent (not temporary) and fully equipped (with MRI, CT scan, etc.) hospitals in 16 different cities across the country to accommodate any surge in COVID-19 patients.

Видеохроника строительства военного госпиталя в Нижнем Новгороде:
The bottom line is: In case of a hypothetical shootout between Russia and the West, it will be the “paper tiger” armies of the later that will succumb to a saturation attack of wave after wave of devastating Hypersonic missile strikes.

Now, the icing on the cake is this: the above scenario is not only applicable to wars at Russia’s borders, but anywhere in Europe and/or Asia as the Kremlin’s arm is now longer and can accept challenges and defend its interest in further away lands. The successful Russian intervention campaign in Syria is the best case in mind. No country on this planet shall dare to attack the seemingly vulnerable Russian base in Hmeimim. In case they do, the retaliation will be disproportional. Make no mistake, there was a clear and definite Pentagon plan to send US troops to Venezuela to force a regime change in that country. They just did not dare execute it. By the way, the 2 large landing/helicopter carrier ships that are soon to be started in a Crimean shipyard are purposed for exactly this type of long range operations in distant waters/lands.

Let’s bring in China to the Global military balance equation: Despite its polished exterior appearance, China is relatively weak militarily. Not because it doesn't have enough nuclear weapons—as this problem could be addressed promptly – but because of the huge technological, cultural and organizational issues of her conventional capabilities which are nowhere near that of the United States or Russia. China may be an industrial giant, but it still is a midget in technology and innovation. China continues to struggle in aviation, submarine, space and other key technological and operational concepts. There are reasons to believe that most of these technological gaps will never be closed. Furthermore, China has no real operational experience.

I reiterate, it is the West in general and the United States in particular who today lost a conventional arms race. They now find themselves a generation behind Russia in technologies that are fundamental in Military Affairs. It is preposterous to even contemplate the fate of US (NATO) forces in Europe or in the Middle -East, let alone in the immediate geographic vicinity of Russia, in case some "exceptional idiots" in the US decide to commit a suicide and attack Russia. NATO forces and their decision centers will be dramatically degraded and ultimately defeated without the use by Russia of any nuclear weapons. As a clarification, let me mention that since World War II, it is the conventional arsenals that are the Kingmakers, not the nuclear ones because:

1. Nuclear weapons are not for fighting wars. They are primarily deterrents to avoid a war.

2. Nuclear weapons are last resort weapons and by all metrics are weapons of the conventionally weaker side.

So, it should be absolutely no surprise to the reader as to why President Donald Trump promises to exit the 1996 Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT) that prohibits all testing of nuclear weapons. He is known to be bombastic about his “economic achievements”, ability to sanction or place tariffs on anyone and talk about a “super-duper” missile that he is going to build. But he very well knows and understands the fact that the USA is no longer the “Top Dog” when it comes to brute force. He feels the need to exit all the existing treaties like the Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces (INF), Open Skies treaty and now the CTBT. Abandoning these treaties is merely another manifestation of Trump Admin's unique style, designed to cover up for the fact of a loss of the conventional arms race.

For the Kremlin, the style of any US president is irrelevant. Today, in the age of hypersonic missiles, combat networks, advanced electronic measures, instant propagation of tactical, operational and strategic information, and instant decision-making, we are looking at a warfare of unprecedented precision. Today, VVP’s team knows that they have the upper hand, that no sane commander-in-chief will mess with the Russian Forces in Syria or try to forcefully take Ukraine (or others) into NATO or bomb one of the Bear’s friends. So, resumption of nuclear testing by the USA can only create a sense of amusement in the Kremlin where the leadership knows that their own nuclear and, especially, conventional war-making potential keeps the US from unleashing conflicts all over the globe. That is the “Real Deal”.

Allow me to squeeze in a few words about economic sanctions and oil price wars. Throughout history, Russia in its different iterations (the Tsarist Russian Empire, the Soviet Union and the Russian Federation) has always been under some sort of official (or unofficial) and declared (or undeclared) sanctions even when East-West relations were at their best. The recent string of sanctions that started in 2014 with the Ukraine conflict do hurt the Bear in the short term, but end up being beneficial at the end. Russia has no lack of resources, land, know-how, technology and motivated people. Thanks to these sanctions and with their successful import-substitution programs they are now locally producing things that they never made before. The best example is in agriculture where Russia switched from being a net food importer to a net food exporter in a matter of a just a few years.

By already taking the necessary steps in advance, all possible future Western sanctions will also become inconsequential, including “nuclear” ones such as kicking Russia out of the SWIFT international money transfer system or attacks on Russia’s sovereign debt.

As for the recent oil price war, it certainly was not Russia who initiated it. I also doubt that it was a unilateral Saudi move because the rulers of that Kingdom won’t dare do any such thing without their US patron, protector and survival guarantor’s consent, approval, blessing and guidance. Yet, as it has always called or checked every bluff in the last decade, Moscow called this one too and ended up the winner: after hitting rock bottom, oil prices have now stabilized around US$ 40 per barrel. This price is exactly the price at which the Federation’s annual budget is calculated at. There will be no deficit in the Russian government’s budget this year if the price remains at that level throughout the year. Whenever the price of the benchmark Ural oil goes above US$ 42 per barrel, every cent of the additional income goes to a reserve fund which is meant for any possible future “rainy days”. On the other hand, the Saudi budget needs oil to be at US$ 80 in order to balance itself. Currently, the Kingdom’s coffers are being depleted in terms of billions every month. At this rate, they will go bankrupt in a few short years. As for the US shale oil industry, the current level of pricing is simply disastrous and will lead to the closure of many wells. What a humiliating defeat.

I have a hard time grasping the sheer nuttiness of the “exceptional idiots” who come up with such pathetic, primitive and predictable moves to hurt Russia when every and each one of them is long anticipated, expected and already countered by the Bear. Not a single US Congressman or Congresswomen seems to be able to understand the fact that Russia as a country, nation, population, race, ethnicity and culture is nowadays in its ultimate national survival mode just like during the years of the Great Patriotic War. Definitely not a good time to mess with the Russians. History lessons anyone?

Oh, how about gold? The price of an ounce of that precious metal has gone up and is currently trading at around US$ 1700. Guess who has been constantly buying and stockpiling gold since 2007? Yes, it is that brown-furred animal with long claws and sharp teeth…

Time to move to Syria and provide a detailed analysis of the reasons behind the success of the Russian military intervention in Syria’s conflict where the whole table was overturned by so few people with so little assets in such a short time.

By all metrics, the war in Syria has been a huge success for Russia: Relatively few casualties, battlefield victories and demonstration of power. There is no other way to say this: The Federation’s Armed Forces crushed the combined Islamist, Jihadi, Wahabi, Salafi and Caliphate hordes in a most convincing and decisive manner.

The 2 adjectives in the English language that can best describe the Russian intervention in Syria both begin with the letter “E”. They are: Efficient and Effective.

Efficient: because it achieved its main objectives with the minimum of assets, manpower, effort, cost and time.

Effective: because it did the job as per expectations (perhaps even better than expectations).

Just like a cliché Hollywood movie, the Federation’s military arrived at the very last moment. Confronted with a myriad of Islamo-fascist and terrorist organizations strongly supported and lavishly financed by the USA, West Europe, NATO, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and others, Bashar Al-Assad’s army and government were on their last legs and at the verge of collapse. Perhaps the Kremlin was reluctant in sending the armed forces sooner because of the costs, uncertainties and risks involved in any Middle-East armed confrontation. Or perhaps, they were taking their time to plan their move perfectly – as the saying goes: Russians don’t take a dump without a plan.

In any case, the military involvement had to be efficient by costing very little to the government’s budget so that the nation’s development is not compromised. Low cost of the mission was achieved by a number of means:

Operational costs are charged to the Defense Ministry’s annual “Training and Military Maneuvers Budget”. From the day the Bear showed up in Syria, its armed forces reduced the number of annual large-scale military exercises. This did not reduce the effectiveness of the army as the soldiers were getting “real” training in Syria instead. For example, Air Force pilots and ground crews from virtually every Russian combat squadron are being rotated in Syria. The Aerospace Forces (VKS) commander was quoted a couple of years ago saying that over 75% of the military pilots have already seen action in Syria.

Another major step in efficiency and cost reduction was achieved by concentrating most of the assets and personnel in one location – In this case at the Hmeimim airbase. This helped in simplifying logistics, communications, command and everything else from defending the base itself to cooking the meals.

To eliminate costs overruns and mission creep, it was decided to have no more than a few thousand people in Syria (from aircrew to nurses and from cooks to snipers). The fighting on the ground had to be mostly done by the Syrians themselves with the Russians providing air support, intelligence and advice.

It was also decided to provide the Syrian Army with very little in new weaponry. Instead, Russian military advisers (Khabirs) helped the Syrian Army improve their own logistics chain and more specifically their repair facilities were vast amounts of disabled, damaged, malfunctioning or dysfunctional tanks, vehicles, artillery and other assets got repaired and were sent back to the front.

Now for the “effectiveness” part: the right weapon systems with the correct tactics had to be chosen. Here are some of the “toys” that made a lot of difference on the ground.

Throughout the civil war, the Syrian air force lost a sizeable number of aircraft/pilots to the opponents’ air defense means. Granted, Syria’s fighter planes are old and are not equipped with modern threat detection and avoidance means. Nevertheless, to avoid attrition, Russian pilots are instructed not to fly below 5000 m. This relatively high altitude puts them beyond the reach of the Jihadi’s shoulder-carried anti-air missiles. But, by flying higher, the effectiveness of the aerial bombing is much reduced unless you use Precision Guided Bombs or Missiles (PGM). Unfortunately, PGMs tend to be very expensive: they were first used in Vietnam by the Americans who soon found out that it is financially unsustainable to use them in large scale over a long period of time. So, to reduce costs, the Americans developed a kit consisting of small wings and a navigation system. The kit can be mounted on any “cheap and dumb” bomb. From a high altitude, the pilot releases the modified bomb when in vicinity of the target, the bomb-mounted navigation device does the rest by making the weapon glide to the target with pinpoint accuracy.

To keep the costs of the operation in check, the Russians used PGMs only on a few occasions. The vast majority of their strikes are carried out by using the oldest bombs in their stocks. I have seen countless numbers of video clips showing the air strikes taking off from Hmeimim airbase with bombs that look like they are relics from the fifties and sixties (if not from World War II). Surprisingly, the bombs were hitting their intended targets, the missions were accomplished and the objectives were being achieved. Here is how: The Russians are using a different method to make their “old, dumb and cheap” bombs accurate. Enter the SV-24 navigation bombing device that most Russian combat aircraft are equipped with. Instead of using a special bomb mounted “kit” like the Americans, the Russians have found an even more affordable and almost as effective way to make best use of their old weapons. Rather than placing a navigation device on every bomb, they placed a specially-designed navigation part on the aircraft itself. The SV-24 gadget helps the pilot fly the intended course and it automatically releases the “dumb” bomb at the right moment. When dropped from higher altitudes, the accuracy of this method cannot exactly be described as “surgical precision” since the bomb will most likely land within a few meters of the intended target… but that does not matter because your weapon is a 250kg or 500kg bomb! The target is most certainly destroyed. Simple and effective.

So, all the magnificent KALIBR and KH-101 cruise missiles launched by warships and strategic bombers that we have seen on our TV screens in the early phases of the Russian mission were mostly a propaganda sideshow and for weapons testing purposes. The tools that really broke the back of the jihadi nutjobs were old bombs that were made in Soviet factories before most of us were even born. If that is not both “Efficient and Effective”, I don’t know what is.

OKHOTNIK Strike Drone

Targets search, identification and designation is done by Electronic Surveillance Measures (ESM), satellites and Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV). Speaking of the later, Syria is the first battleground in which the Russians have used UAVs intensively. In the old days, the Soviets were leaders in UAV technology, but with the demise of the USSR they fell behind the Americans, Israelis and even the Chinese. They are fast catching up now and the new models (ORION, OKHOTNIK, ALTIUS etc.) that are just entering service are truly world class. In Syria, the simpler ORLAN-10 and FOREPOST are the most commonly used ones. The majority of the aerial footage provided by the Russian Ministry of Defense is filmed by these vehicles. 

Since day 1, I have been following the military aspects of the war in Syria and have been through a large number of photos and video clips. From the early days of the Russian military involvement, I noticed that the Russians had brought with them one battery of MSTA-B towed artillery consisting of 6 guns. This good old 152mm gun is nothing really modern or fantastic. But photos of this battery with the small number of Russian gunners were showing up at every major battle. Earlier on, I believed it was just to lend support to the Syrian artillery units who are not known to be accurate or effective. But upon closer analysis of some drone footage, I noticed that some of the successful precision strikes delivered on rebel targets were making smaller explosions incompatible with the expected larger explosions of air dropped bombs. I concluded that they were artillery rounds delivered with ultra-high precision: One shell is fired and the target is destroyed. It can be only the KRASNAPOL
KRASNAPOL 152mm Artillery Shell

2K25 Krasnopol 152mm laser guided artillery shell against Islamic state terrorists in Syria:

Here is how it works: the UAV identifies the target and places a laser beam on it. The gun crew fires in the general direction of the target. Using the laser beam, the KRASNOPOL guides itself to the target and strikes it with surgical precision. I received confirmation later on when I started seeing actual photos of that munition being used in Syria. More recently, at least one Syrian artillery unit has been identified using the KRASNOPOL as well on the Idlib front after receiving the appropriate training from the Russians. I suspect it is this unit using this type of ammunition that delivered the very first successful strike on the Turkish Army that was being transported to the Idlib front.

During the decade old Syrian conflict, seldom did the sides use Night Vision equipment. The bulk of the fighting was almost always during the daylight hours. Night time activities were limited to sporadic and random shooting or shelling. That changed when the Russians came. Various types of night vision equipment including Light-Intensification, Infra-red and Thermal devices, ensured the destruction of the jihadi manpower, equipment and positions during the dark hours. The black sky is the domain of the Mi-28, Mi-35 and Ka-52 Night hunter helicopter gunships. They could come in close to their targets and destroy them with little risk to themselves. Similarly, Russian Spetsnaz (Special Forces) roamed the terrain in complete stealth mode and ambushed the terrorists right in their own camps.

At one point during the war, Russians gave the Syrian Army a few T-90 tanks equipped with Thermal Night Vision. A new night-time tactic that I have noticed recently involves the use of these relatively modern tanks: It consists of one such tank coming in very close to a rebel held village and harassing the defenders by lobbing high explosive shells to any location where they see movement on their Thermal Vision screen. By receiving such a pounding from an invisible enemy, the powerless defenders are either destroyed or morally beaten. The village is now ripe for the attack that will come at dawn.

Needless to say, a key reason behind the success of the Federation army’s success was the ample use of its elaborate means of Electronic Warfare. I have already mentioned about Electronic Surveillance which is a very complex and not well published form of warfare. To make it easy for the reader to understand, I will simplify things by saying that Rebel communications are listened to, anything that sounds like a commander or leader is sorted out and destined for a strike. Communication are jammed, false messages are relayed and so on. This type of warfare is just as destructive as aerial bombing and contributes to the demoralization of the enemy and the collapse of entire fronts.

Suffice to say that Russia has very modern and capable EW equipment both on the ground in Hmeimim and in the air (Tu-214R, A-50 and Il-20 airplanes) as well as sea based (spy ships in the Mediterranean). When Turkey upped the ante during the latest battles in Idlib and sent its armed UAVs to inflict as much damage to the Syrian Army, the Russians just switched on a few gadgets (I am being simplistic here) and the Turkish UAVs could no longer operate properly. Some “lost control” and fell from the sky, others were shot down and the rest flew back to base. Turkey’s President Erdogan saw what happened and had to travel to Moscow to accept the humiliating defeat.

Tupolev Tu-214R Electronic Warfare Plane

There is one dirty secret that the Russians possess and have used in Syria; it is a Private Military Company (PMC) called WAGNER. This Paramilitary Group is very similar to the American ACADEMI (previously called BLACKWATER). As the name implies, it is a private company providing armed combat or security services for financial gain and its well-paid combatants don’t receive medals, pensions or any benefits. They work on contract basis and do the dirty job for the Ministry with absolute deniability. In case one of these “unlawful” warriors is taken prisoner, there is no country or Defense Ministry to look after his well-being or release. WAGNER is very much active in Syria and its members are often seen mixed with Syrian Army troops. Despite official denials (as expected), Russia is increasingly using this paramilitary group; they have certainly seen action in the Donbass conflict and their presence is now confirmed in Libya as well.

As of today, the last bastion (Idlib province) of the Islamist rebels is half liberated by the Syrian Arab Army. The Damascus- Aleppo M5 highway has been reopened and efforts are being made to do the same to the Latakia-Aleppo portion of the M4 highway as well. Despite all the Turkish assistance and direct military support, the remaining unliberated part of the Idlib province is now tactically defeated as well because the rebels are no longer a match to the Syrian Arab Army. The Turks simply don’t have Russia’s immense abilities. One of the reasons why the remaining part of the Idlib province is not yet cleansed is because VVP does not want to have Erdogan humiliated badly with a military defeat and a complete failure of his “Otomanist” Syrian agenda. Having said that, Moscow’s long-term objective remains the same: All of Syria will be liberated “sooner or later” and by “hook or by crook”. Military preparations are on the way. I invite you to watch this clip from Anna News about the kind of trainings that the Syrians are taking – in purely Russian-style.
[Сирия] "Тигры" вышли на учения:
Erdogan’s main focus has now shifted to Libya where thousands of his Syrian jihadis have now moved there to fight on behalf of Turkey. Ankara has also committed a significant number of military advisers as well as a whole fleet of strike UAVs. The Turkish Navy is also at Libya’s shores to provide support to the Tripoli based GNA government. This UN recognized GNA government is a “Muslim Brotherhood” entity supported by both Turkey and Qatar. On the opposing side, you have the Benghazi based Libyan National Army (LNA) led by Field Marshal Haftar and supported by the anti-Muslim Brotherhood Islamic countries of Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates as well as some European Union countries (mainly France, Greece and Cyprus). The prize of the Libyan conflict is “control of that North African country’s oil and gas reserves”. The LNA was doing very well until recently and was at the verge of capturing Tripoli, but heavy Turkish involvement enabled the GNA to stop the LNA’s advance and recapture some of their lost ground.

Libya is very much a tribal country where alliances shift quickly and betrayals are common. This makes it difficult to predict the outcome of the ongoing civil war. With the shift in the Global Military Balance that I discussed earlier, the emboldened and increasingly assertive Kremlin is naturally looking for its best interest in this conflict. It can certainly send a military contingent there and end the civil war in its favor in a couple of days. However, Russian does not have as much stake in that country as the other above-mentioned countries. While maintaining diplomatic contact with both LNA and GNA as well as all the other directly or indirectly involved countries, Moscow is currently limiting itself to supplying weapons to the LNA via Egypt (Saudi Arabia and the UAE are paying the bills) and providing the services of the WAGNER paramilitary group. The chess-masters of the Russian foreign Ministry are placing themselves in advantageous positions by betting on all the “horses” and looking forward to rip as much benefit from the conflict regardless of the outcome:
- In case peace is established in Libya, Moscow will be well placed to be an important arms supplier to that country as well as sign a number of fossil fuel exploration deals.
- In case the war continues in Libya, Moscow would love to see Turkey, Saudi Arabia, France and others wear themselves out while it keeps good relations with all parties and makes money by selling arms.
Back to Global Military matters. I cannot write an article about military power without saying that yes, advanced technology and superior weaponry are important to win wars, yet throughout human history, there are numerous instances when the qualitatively and/or quantitatively disadvantaged side came up on top. We have a good example right in front of our own eyes these days in Yemen where tribal groups of mostly illiterate and malnourished people armed with not much more than a Kalashnikov rifle are holding their ground and even winning against a coalition that includes Saudi Arabia. As we all know, the oil-rich Saudi Kingdom is one of world’s leading military spenders, yet with all their fancy toys, they are being humiliated by a bunch of Yemenis who look like cavemen from the stone ages.

Weapons are just tools; it is the men who win battles. The soldiers and officers who are more motivated and are better prepared psychologically and spiritually will have a stronger desire in victory, will endure better the harshness of the battlefield and will have less fear of death. Nothing provides more motivation than beliefs, principles, values and respect of one’s roots and traditions. Soldiers need a moral and spiritual compass: that is where Religion and Church come into play. And what a fantastic job the Russians are doing there; both the Defense Ministry and The Russian Pravoslavny (Orthodox) Church. I will refrain from discussing this subject any further, the reader will understand me better by watching the following short video clip about the Cathedral of Christ’s Resurrection: The new Military Cathedral of Russia that was recently opened and consecrated this year near Moscow. A real masterpiece.
Main Cathedral of the Russian Armed forces

Строительство Главного храма ВС РФ завершено:

We Armenians can draw parallels when contemplating our own military history. During the epic battles of Avarayr, Sartarabad and Artsakh, what was going on in our warrior’s minds and spirits? Do we understand why our Kantsasar church in Artsakh is known as a military church?

Which brings me to the subject of the Russian military contingent in the Republic of Armenia. Namely, the 102th Military Base garrisoned in Gyumri and the 3624th Air Base in Erebuni which hosts a squadron of MiG-29 jet fighters, Mi-24 gunships and Mi-8 transport helicopters. It is no secret that the main purpose of this contingent has always been and still is to act as a deterrent against any Turkish plans to attack Armenia proper. By defending the Western borders of Armenia, it also allows the Armenian Army to concentrate its forces on the Nagorno-Karabagh front against any Azeri adventure against the Republic of Artsakh.

Now, with the Russians firmly established on the Syrian coast at Hmeimim airbase and Tartous port - and with plans of opening up a second airbase in Eastern Syria – the Russian bases in Armenia gain a pivotal importance in a presumed Kremlin plan to surround Turkey with bases in the form of an eastbound arc stretching from Crimea to the Eastern Mediterranean aimed at containing Turkey militarily while making it more and more energy-dependent on Russian by opening up the Turkish Stream undersea gas pipeline and contracting the construction of the first nuclear power plant in that country. Amazingly, they are even making Ankara more dependent on Russian weapons by selling them export versions of the S-400 missiles for example. In the meanwhile, Russia-Turkey trade volume is growing to all-time highs and the Turkish tour operators and resorts are increasingly needing Russians to come there to tan their backs on Antalya’s beaches.

Externally, Russian people may look a lot like white Europeans and Americans, but because they also have partly Asian origins, they are better in long-term thinking, planning and playing chess. For many years now, the Kremlin has been exploiting Erdogan’s “Ottoman”, Islamic and nationalist aspirations in order to pull Turkey away from the Western orbit by constantly driving wedges deeper between them.

After deteriorating Erdogan’s relations with the Western countries, making him increasingly more dependent on Russia and after beating him in Syria, the Kremlin has left one door open to him: the door to Libya. Let him exercise his Ottoman expansionist fantasies there and plan on making Turkey more energy self sufficient by placing a foothold on Libyan oil. Let him butt heads with other nations that ae not so friendly with the Bear… After all, the best war is the war between your enemies.

A few words on the situations in Iraq and Afghanistan: Those two nations still remain under US occupation and have lost their sovereignty. But the American boots are on increasingly unstable sands. Sectarian, religious and tribal divides in those countries are fare worse than it may appear on our daily doses of MSM news. The increasing impoverishment of the local populations which is currently being accentuated by the worsening global economy (partly due to COVID-19) will result in desperate masses of armed people taking to the streets and shooting at whoever and whatever. US forces will certainly come under direct fire or at least be caught in crossfires. Donald Trump is very much aware of this and faces the dilemma of pulling his troops out or not. Positioning and preparing itself for any event, the Kremlin is playing the long game by maintaining relations with all parties, not involving itself in the myriad of issues and by letting other parties (Iran for example) fan the flames.

As for the Ukraine, I will repeat what I said many times before: Russia lost Ukraine in 1991 when the Soviet Union collapsed. The Maidan coup was another blow to the Kremlin as that country embarked on a Russophobic path. However, the Russians snatched a couple of important victories from the jaws of defeat: Crimea returned back to the Russian Motherland and Donbass gained a sort of autonomous status that will be a constant obstacle to all of the major drastic plans of the Kiev regime and its Western handlers. Let me be very clear: Russia will never allow the Ukraine to join NATO. I am certain that there will be Russian tanks in Kiev if anyone attempts to peacefully of forcefully make that country join the Western military alliance. After all, Kiev is the mother of all Russian cities and Moscow will not hesitate to use its Army if that red line is crossed. For the foreseeable future, Russia will continue to play the long game there and ensure that eventually most (if not all) of that country returns to the Russian orbit.

Being a patriotic Armenian, I can not refrain myself from talking about the current Military Balance between Armenia and Azerbaijan. The overall military superiority that we had established at the end of the war in 1994 has been eroded over the years thanks to Baku’s massive arms purchases from Russia, Ukraine, Israel, turkey etc. By the middle of the second decade of this century, the balance tilted to the Azerbaijani side with us Armenians having only the nature of the terrain to our advantage (Artsakh stands on higher ground). We won the Nagorno-Karabagh war almost 3 decades ago because the Azeris were less well prepared for the war and because our warriors enjoyed a higher degree of motivation.

After spending lavishly and some hard training, our opponent is now better armed than us, has a bigger population and larger economy. Azerbaijanis are also as motivated as us in capturing Artsakh as we are to keep it. Let me dismiss the misconception of our Armenian patriotism prevailing and winning any future war. Patriotism is not exclusive to us, Azerbaijani (and Turks) can be just as patriotic and they hate us as much as we hate them.

But the military balance remains very dynamic and things have over the last few years seen some sort of reversal: aware of the fact that Azerbaijan was slowly getting the upper hand, Moscow addressed the status by making substantial arms “sales” to Yerevan. My apologies for erroneously using the word “sales” as these transactions hardly qualify as such. They were more like “arms transfers” for almost free. The Republic of Armenia simply does not have the financial capability to pay for expensive weapons systems such as ISKANDER tactical missiles, SMERCH heavy multiple rocket launchers, KORNET anti-tank guided missiles and other goodies. Officially, they were sold to us at “domestic” prices which really means that for all intents and purposes these weapons were given to us by the Moscow as gifts. By the end of last year, the bear gave us a Christmas present in the form of 4 brand new Sukhoi Su-30SM fighter bombers that are superior to anything in the Azeri inventory as well as batteries of highly sophisticated short range TOR-M2MK air defense complexes that will close the battlefield skies to all manned and unmanned Azeri air assets.

Because Armenia now enjoys air superiority, the Azeris are now intensively negotiating with Moscow the purchase of some new jet fighters. Russia rejected earlier requests to supply Azerbaijan with ISKANDER missiles but has accepted to sell some jet fighters. The Azeris are looking into 3 models: the Su-30SM, the Su-35S and the MiG-35. The Su-30SM is identical to our recent acquisition and seems to be the least likely candidate. The smaller and least powerful MiG-35 is the most likely one because it happens to be very compatible with their current MiG-29 on which they are based. The Su-35 is the most formidable of the 3 but comes at a high price tag. Considering the relatively low current oil prices (the main driver of the Azerbaijani economy), it remains to be seen what our opponents end up with. The Russian Federation does not give them the same “domestic” pricing privilege they extend to Armenia; Baku will have to pay the full international price and the Bear will laugh all the way to the Bank.

God forbid, if full scale war breaks out today in Artsakh, and given the current military balance with a slight on-paper military superiority to the Azeri side countered by a positional advantage from ours, I predict there will be massive bloodshed from both sides with little or no gain to either party.

It was the unpopular government of Serzh Sarkisyan who could not maintain the advantageous military balance that we enjoyed during the previous administrations. The current Nikol Pachinyan regime whose popularity is in freefall seems to have other priorities than preserving Armenian sovereignty over Artsakh. Still, I am confident we will not lose an armed conflict unless treachery, backstabbing and behind stage deals occur and the fortress collapses from within as it has so often happened in our proud but sad history.

Moscow does not want another full-scale war in the Caucasus, it will do its best to deter any Azeri aggression. However, Moscow is unhappy with the current no-peace and no-war status quo. It wants some sort of permanent settlement and resolution of the Armenian-Azeri conflict with the placement of Russian troops as peacekeepers on an agreed border. I am not going to dwell further into the political aspects of such a settlement and leave it to the owner of this Blog who can better elaborate on that. Suffice to say that the leadership of the Republic of Armenia should be able to keep Artsakh Armenian by understanding very well the Bear’s best interests in the Caucasus and making sure that ours and theirs remain compatible at all times. It is not difficult to achieve that objective as there is a major facilitating factor: Russia will never trust or befriend Turkey (and by association Azerbaijan). Over the last couple of centuries, the Bear has fought (and won) a dozen major wars against the Wolf. It is just impossible to have them as friends since they have entirely conflicting interests: They both want to control the Caucasus.

To conclude this article, allow me to emphasize this: Despite being stacked against all odds and facing immense obstacles and powerful opponents, the Russian Federation made it to the top both technologically and spiritually. Us mortals are now facing the dawn of a new world order, a changing world where the cards have been redistributed and the rules have been changed. Indeed, the world is changing, not as much by COVID-19 or by some local riots, but by the shift in the global military balance. Think carefully if you are planning long term (investing, choosing a country to live in, your future, your children’s future, etc.). A powerful and developed Russian Federation that is wealthy, powerful, politically stable, independent, sovereign, financially unassailable, technologically advanced, industrially self-sufficient, militarily unconquerable and - most importantly - spiritually rich, is an undeniable example to all nations on Earth on how to take control of their own affairs without bending to the corrupt bankster cartels and their minions who are mere wannabe masters of the universe.


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Shoigu: the main advantage of the latest Russian systems is unattainable efficiency

All the promising weapons systems that the Supreme Commander spoke about a year ago in his Address to the Federal Assembly today already exist in hardware, and some are in operation, said Army Minister Sergei Shoigu, Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation. "All this is an absolute reality. The most important advantage of the latest Russian systems is unattainable efficiency. At the same time, colleagues abroad realize that our developments are hundreds of times cheaper than any systems deployed against us. And not only the US missile defense system," said the Secretary of Defense RF. He noted that today the preparation of the infrastructure of the missile connection in the Orenburg region for the deployment of the first regiment with the Avangard complex is in full swing. “In December of this year, the regiment will take up combat duty,” S. Shoigu said. He also announced the successful completion of offshore testing of the Poseidon unmanned underwater vehicle. "The personnel of the Poseidon carrier submarine has been trained," said the Minister of Defense. “MiG-31 crews equipped with dagger hypersonic missiles have already completed more than 380 air patrol flights over the Black and Caspian Seas,” S. Shoigu said. He noted that the testing of the Sarmat missile complex went to the next stage. The planned rearmament of strategic nuclear forces and general forces continues. "The main goal of this work is to guarantee the military security of our country without increasing current budget expenditures or pulling into an arms race," the minister emphasized.

The first modernized "Borey" handed over to the military

On Thursday, May 28, “Knyaz Vladimir”, the first strategic nuclear missile submarine of the modernized project 955A (code Borey-A), was transferred to the Russian Navy. According to the press service of the United Shipbuilding Corporation, a corresponding acceptance act was signed at Sevmash. The acceptance certificate was signed after the successful completion of all stages of nuclear submarine testing and confirms the readiness of "Prince Vladimir" for commissioning, the USC press service added.

“The construction of the Prince Vladimir nuclear submarine is proof that we continue to develop the best shipbuilding traditions, the foundation of which is brilliant work and the high responsibility of scientists, designers and shipbuilders. This ship is a new word in the line of strategic missile carriers. “Prince Vladimir ”has more advanced characteristics. Ahead is the ceremony of raising the St. Andrew’s flag, "said Mikhail Budnichenko.

Earlier it was reported that the official ceremony of introducing the nuclear-powered ship into the Navy is expected in mid-June. Underwater Strategic Missile Carrier ""laid at the Sevmash in 2012. He became the fourth nuclear submarine in a series of eight Boreys and the first representative of the improved Borey-A project 955A. Initially, the transfer of the submarine to the fleet was planned for 2017, but it was launched only in November 2017. In the spring of 2018, it became known that the transfer of the nuclear submarines to the fleet was postponed to 2019, but the tests of the nuclear submarine continued in 2020. At present, four more nuclear submarines of project 955A are at different stages of construction: “Knyaz Oleg”, "Generalissimus Suvorov", "Emperor Alexander III" and "Knyaz Pozharsky". Each submarine of this type is armed with 16 Bulava solid-fuel intercontinental ballistic missiles.

Russia’s state arms seller to offer hypersonic weapon tracking radar to foreign customers

While developing the radar’s export version, attention was paid to the growing significance of air defense weapons in ensuring the security of states, the company said.

Russia’s state arms seller Rosoboronexport (part of the state hi-tech corporation Rostec) has started promoting on international arms markets the 59N6-TE mobile radar capable of detecting hypersonic targets, the company’s press office reported on Thursday. "Today Rosoboronexport is bringing to the market the latest radar station capable of effectively detecting a wide range of advanced and future air objects, including hypersonic targets," the company’s press office quoted Rosoboronexport CEO Alexander Mikheyev as saying. "While developing the export version of the radar, the growing role of air defense systems for the provision of security of states was taken into account, as well as the needs of foreign customers in the expansion of the reconnaissance capabilities of their air defense units," he said.

Rosoboronexport expects high demand for the new station in the countries of the Asia-Pacific region, the Middle East and North Africa. The 59N6-TE mobile three-dimensional station is an exclusively Russian-made product, which implies present-day Russian hardware components with digital processing and signal generation. It is fully solid-state and has high potential together with enhanced jamming resistance, according to the data posted on the company’s website. "The 59N6-TE is a radar of medium and high altitude, having a decimeter wavelength range. Apart from hypersonic targets, it also effectively detects aerodynamic and ballistic objects," the statement says.

The 59N6-TE radar provides for the measurement of the range, azimuth and altitude of aerial targets. It is capable of detecting objects flying at a speed of up to 8 000 km/h at a range of up to 450 kilometers and at an altitude of up to 200 kilometers. After detection, it exchanges radar information with C4I systems. It operates in conditions of jamming and carries out direction finding of active noise jammers, Rosoboronexport said. "In a real time mode, it can simultaneously track no less than 1 000 objects and recognize 8 classes of targets, which includes selection of anti-radar missiles and warning its own combat crew of the danger of elimination, inter alia, by high precision munitions and homing missiles. The 59N6-TE radar also includes equipment for the recognition of detected aerial targets in international radar recognition systems Mk-XA and ATC RBS," the company said.

Russian troops receive 1st batch of latest Koalitsiya-SV artillery systems

Koalitsiya-SV artillery system Valery Sharifulin/TASS

The weapon's firepower outstrips that of other artillery systems, according to the producer

The first batch of the latest Koalitsiya-SV artillery systems has arrived for the Russian troops, the press office of the state hi-tech corporation Rostec told TASS on Friday. "This is the first delivery of the Koalitsiya-SV multiservice artillery system to the troops. Its firepower is based on the 152mm gun with a rate of fire of over 10 rounds per minute, which is higher than the speed of fire of other artillery systems," Rostec said.

Russia begins construction of the first PAK DA strategic bomber - sources

The final assembly of the entire machine should be complete in 2021

Russia has commenced construction of its first strategic stealth bomber within the Perspective Aviation Complex for Long-Range Aviation (PAK DA) program, also known as "Product 80" and "Courier", a source in the military-industrial complex told TASS. "The production of airframe elements will be handled by one of the United Aircraft Corporation (UAC)’s plants; development of working design documentation is complete, material shipping has commenced," the source said. Another source told TASS that construction of the plane’s cockpit is already underway. "The final assembly of the entire machine should be complete in 2021," he noted. The Tupolev Design Bureau’s press service refrained from commenting on construction of the first PAK DA. In December 2019, Deputy Minister of Defense Alexey Krivoruchko told the Krasnaya Zvezda newspaper that the draft project of the plane had been approved and that the Tupolev Design Bureau began development of the working design documentation, began creation of parts and elements of the test PAK DA units. In February 2020, Krivoruchko announced that the first engine for the plane will begin stand trials this year.

The new plane

It is known that the PAK DA is designed using the flying wing scheme. The machine will feature technologies and materials that reduce its radar visibility (stealth technology). The plane will be subsonic, and will be able to carry current and future cruise missiles, precision bombs and hypersonic weapons, it will be provided with the newest communications and jamming equipment.

Russian scientists have created the most heat-resistant material in the world

The most heat-resistant material in the world was created by Russian specialists from the Center for Structural Ceramic Nanomaterials NITU MISiS. Theoretically, the melting point of the new compound is 4,200º C. Scientists have not been able to measure the exact value at the moment, since simulating such thermal loads in the laboratory is extremely difficult. The substance proposed by the researchers, hafnium carbonitride (Hf-CN), was obtained by self-propagating high-temperature synthesis and is a hafnium-carbon-nitrogen binder. In addition to incredible thermal stability, the material has high hardness (21.3 GPa), thermal conductivity and oxidation resistance. It is worth noting that the discovery of Russian specialists, first of all, is of great importance for the aerospace industry. For example, in the future, hafnium carbonitride could be used in the manufacture of head fairings, parts of aircraft engines and other elements. All this would allow to increase the life of domestic aircraft, and most importantly, to make them even more reliable. In addition, new material could also contribute to the military industry. In particular, it could be used to create hypersonic missiles, which, moving in dense layers of the atmosphere, are subjected to the highest thermal effects.

Coming to a Country Near You: A Russian Nuclear Power Plant

A Russian state company is financing and building reactors across the world, reaping for Moscow both profits and geopolitical influence.

Rising from the former potato and wheat fields of a collective farm, huge towers of concrete beckon to one of Europe’s poorest countries with the promise of cheap, plentiful supplies of electricity for generations to come. But the location of Belarus’s first nuclear power plant — an area of pristine farmland just 40 miles from the capital of neighboring Lithuania — points to calculations that go beyond just kilowatts. The plant was built by Rosatom, a state-owned Russian nuclear conglomerate, and financed with a $10 billion credit line from Moscow. Belarus soldiers at a new military base nearby have been trained in St. Petersburg by Russia’s National Guard, a security force set up by the Kremlin in 2016.

The facility’s two reactors, set to go into operation soon, will produce far more electricity than Belarus can consume and lie far away from industrial areas eager for cheap power on the other side of the country. Lithuania, seen as a promising potential market when planning for the plant began more than a decade ago, is now so horrified by the prospect of Russian-controlled nuclear fission on its doorstep that it has outlawed the purchase of any electricity the plant produces and started holding nuclear accident exercises.

For all the problems and protests, however, the Astravets plant is in many ways a model of success in what, under President Vladimir V. Putin, has become an aggressive push into foreign markets by Russia’s sprawling nuclear industry. Rosatom has secured more than 30 reactor supply deals. Last year, the company claimed it had international projects worth $202.4 billion in its portfolio. Russia’s success — it has sold more nuclear technology abroad since Mr. Putin came to power in 1999 than the United States, France, China, South Korea and Japan combined, according to a recent study — is in part commercial, generating lucrative contracts in Europe, Asia and even Africa to sustain Rosatom’s more than 250,000 engineers, researchers, salespeople and other employees.

But it has also given Moscow a powerful geopolitical tool, locking clients like Belarus, but also members of the European Union like Hungary, into long-term dependency on Rosatom, and therefore the Russian state. That strategy seems particularly evident with plants like the one here in Belarus. Rosatom, formed in 2007 from the remnants of the Soviet-era Ministry of Atomic Energy, has now joined Gazprom, Russia’s state-controlled natural gas behemoth, and Rosneft, a state-owned petroleum giant, in the vanguard of a drive by Mr. Putin to develop “national champions” that serve as both profit-driven businesses and instruments of Russian power.

“The nuclear plant is an example of Russia’s desire to keep states along its borders in its orbit at all cost,” Linas Linkevicius, Lithuania’s foreign minister, said, referring to the Astravets facility. “It helps them preserve more influence.”

With other kinds of electricity plants, the contractor builds the structure and leaves its operation to the owner. But with nuclear plants, the owner, usually a foreign government, remains dependent on the contractor for 50 years or more for fuel, know-how and eventually decommissioning.

“It means a strategic partnership with another country for a long, long time,” said Mark Hibbs, a Berlin-based expert on the nuclear energy industry. This, he added, will leave Belarus “connected at the hip with Russia for decades.”

The two countries are already extremely close, bound by history, the Russian language and the shared legacy of the Soviet Union. But Belarus’s authoritarian leader, Aleksandr G. Lukashenko, who has long played Russia off against the West to maintain his country’s independence, now faces growing pressure from Moscow not just to align with Russia but to join it in a merged “union state.”

Rosatom insists its deals are strictly business and Mr. Putin, in public statements, has eschewed any open mixing of nuclear commerce and politics. When Ukraine, once a major Rosatom client, overthrew its pro-Kremlin president in 2014, Mr. Putin told officials that Russia “needs to cooperate with all our traditional partners” no matter what their politics. But, he added, this must “of course ensure our own interests.”

A big part of Rosatom’s success in winning so many contracts comes from the provision of credits to finance the plants. Ted Jones, director for national security and international programs at the Nuclear Energy Institute in Washington, a trade association, complained that state support, particularly in financing, has given Rosatom a huge advantage over rivals like Westinghouse, the largest American nuclear contractor.

“They are driven by different interests. Westinghouse is a business. Rosatom is a designated strategic exporter,” he said, “They are notching up big strategic wins each time they get a deal.”

Unlike Western companies in the nuclear business, which must abide by rules set by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development that limit the role of state financial support and impose other constraints, Rosatom, a recipient of lavish support from the Russian government and treasury, has a free hand to pursue its own business. Over the past decade, Russia has opened credit lines of more than $60 billion to six countries for nuclear power plants. Westinghouse lost out on a contract to build a new reactor in Hungary when Russia offered the Hungarian prime minister, Viktor Orban, a loan of $11 billion. Rosatom’s deal for the Paks II nuclear plant in Hungary helped cement close ties between Mr. Putin and Mr. Orban, who has frequently broken with fellow European leaders to side with the Kremlin on issues like Ukraine and the shortcomings of liberal democracy.

Rosatom, having shaken off its reputation as a swamp of corruption and escaped from the dark cloud left by the 1986 Chernobyl disaster, is now a front-runner for a revived nuclear power project in Bulgaria, another member of the European Union. It won a $30 billion contract for four reactors in Egypt, a longtime U.S. ally, and another big nuclear plant deal in Turkey, a NATO member whose president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, has worked increasingly closely with Mr. Putin, despite their being sharply at odds over Syria. It has had some setbacks. In February, Bolivia’s caretaker government suspended the construction of a Rosatom nuclear research center, saying the project had not received all the required regulatory approvals. The center was part of a $350 million deal with Rosatom approved in 2016 by the former president, Evo Morales, an ally of Russia; the new government has scrapped dozens of his initiatives since taking office in November.

The new plant in Belarus has always involved more than just straightforward economic calculations for both Moscow and Minsk, the Belarusian capital. Officials in Minsk promote Astravets as the best way to break the country’s reliance on Russian gas. “We had no other path,” said Lilya V. Dulinets, deputy head of the Belarusian nuclear energy department. “We were thinking about our energy security, which is what economic security, and hence the state’s independence, is based upon.”

Sergei Chaly, a Belarusian economist, questioned this. The Rosatom plant, he said, will only substitute a dependence on Russian nuclear fuel for a dependence on Russian gas, which is currently used to generate 95 percent of the country’s electricity. It will also produce far more energy than Belarus needs, he added. To make use of the surplus, Belarus will become one of the few countries with a state program to drastically increase the use of electricity. Soviet-era water heating plants across the country that were using gas will be converted to electric power. The plant is also nudging Belarus into closer military cooperation with Russia, which has supplied Tor antiaircraft missiles to help protect the facility from attack and helped train Belarus military personnel serving at a new army base set up near Astravets to defend the plant.

Russia’s success in winning contracts at a time when many of its competitors are struggling to stay in the nuclear business has stirred fears in the West that the global market is turning into a duopoly controlled by Russia and China, where the state has also provided financial and other support to boost foreign sales. “The concern is that by 2030 or 2040 all the new business will be operated by Russia and China because they will be offering financing terms that nobody else can,” Mr. Hibbs said. Safety concerns, heightened by the 2011 disaster in Fukushima, Japan, have hit the whole industry hard, particularly in the West, where antinuclear groups are vocal and influential. But even Belarus, a tightly controlled authoritarian state, has struggled to curb public fears: Almost a quarter of its territory was contaminated by radioactive cesium released by the Chernobyl reactor.

The US military "gets its ass handed to it" in World War 3 simulation – researchers

Military wargames carried out by RAND Corporation show that the US’ advantage is slipping. In a simulated ‘World War 3’ scenario, the world’s greatest military power loses decisively to Russia and China. RAND’s wargames pit the United States – depicted in blue on maps – against an imaginary aggressor, this time Russia and China. In these simulated scenarios, taking place in either the Baltic region or Taiwan, things don’t go well for the United States. Of course, the US is not fighting on its own turf here. Neither do the RAND team explain exactly how America ended up fighting a hypothetical war thousands of miles from home. But defense money is defense money, and the researchers were keen to paint an apocalyptic picture, no doubt timed to coincide with the 2020 military budget, released on Monday.

“We lose a lot of people. We lose a lot of equipment. We usually fail to achieve our objective of preventing aggression by the adversary,” RAND analyst David Ochmanek told a security conference on Thursday. “In our games, when we fight Russia and China, blue gets its ass handed to it.”

The US military easily dispatched anything that Iraqi regular forces could throw at it in the 1990s, and again in 2003. Likewise, US forces enjoyed conventional superiority over Taliban forces in Afghanistan. War with Russia and China would see that advantage crumble, however, the RAND study warned. Land, sea, air, space, and cyberspace would all be up for contention in such a conflict. The technological advances. The US’ Air Force and Navy could fall victim to hypersonic missiles, like the ‘Avangard’ hypersonic glider tested by Russia in December. Retired US General Howard ‘Dallas’ Thompson warned at the time that current US defenses are “simply incapable” of countering the hypersonic missile, which flies at over 20 times the speed of sound. Lightning-fast strikes on runways and airbases could ground the US’ new F-35 Joint Strike Fighter. While the F-35 is unmatched in the skies, pinpoint missile strikes could stop it leaving the tarmac in the first place.

“In every case I know of, the F-35 rules the sky when it’s in the sky,” Robert Work, a former deputy secretary of defense, told the panel on Thursday. “But it gets killed on the ground in large numbers.”

Just under 100,000 US troops are stationed in Europe. These forces, too, are vulnerable to missiles, airstrikes and drone attacks. Compounding the threat from the skies is the threat of Chinese cyberwarfare. If American communications satellites and wireless networks were to be taken out, “the brain and the nervous system that connects all of these pieces is suppressed, if not shattered,” Ochmanek said. “On our side, whenever we have an exercise, when the red force really destroys our command and control, we stop the exercise and say, ‘Let’s restart.’”

As for a solution, the researchers at RAND call for, predictably, spending hikes. “$24 billion a year for the next five years would be a good expenditure,” Work suggested. President Trump announced a whopping $750 billion military budget on Monday, and such doom-and-gloom predictions always precede the yearly announcement. Last week, General Curtis Scaparotti – the US’ top general in Europe – talked up the perceived threat from Russia to demand more troops, jets, missiles, and ships to bolster the US presence in Europe. Even at last year's $716 billion, The United States’ military budget is already double that of China and Russia combined.

Russia Is Quickly Becoming the Most Dominant Force in Energy

Moscow’s oil pricing dispute with the Government of Saudi Arabia, a domestic U.S. oil boom, and a fall in global oil demand since the COVID19 outbreak have damaged Russia’s oil industry. But its influence over the global oil market seems only set to increase, just one of the resource sectors Russia is seeking to dominate in the 21st Century.

Oil: As the worldwide response to the pandemic was heating up in early March 2020, Saudi Arabia and Russia, the world’s two leading oil exporters, launched a pricing war for their oil on international markets. The Kremlin had ignored Saudi demands to OPEC members and other oil-producing/exporting states to cut production to stabilize prices, causing Saudi Arabia to increase its production and send prices lower.

Because Saudi Arabia can produce and export oil for a much lower price than Russia, analysts were left pondering the wisdom behind Russia’s brinksmanship. The Kremlin most likely sought to undermine the U.S. oil industry, which despite surging in recent years, still requires even higher prices to break even. Suffering temporarily at the hands of the Saudis may now allow Russia to steadily recapture international market share.

The complete collapse of oil prices amid the dispute and COVID19 outbreak forced OPEC, Russia, the U.S., and other oil powers to hash out a deal in April 2020 to save the industry itself. But the Kremlin may have the most to gain. Though second in oil exports, third in production and refining, and eighth in reserves, Russia enjoys several advantages over other oil powers; advantages which have established it as the most dominant force in the industry.

Saudi Arabia, for example, is the largest oil exporter, second-largest producer, and has the second-largest reserves. However, it is only ranked eighth in refining, meaning its exports are largely unfinished products that must be refined elsewhere before they can be used. But more importantly, Saudi Arabia cannot viably defend its infrastructure, made evident in May 2019 when Iran attacked Saudi oil facilities using drones and missiles. The incident temporarily halved Saudi production, casting doubt on Saudi Arabia’s ability to safeguard its facilities and the transportation routes to foreign markets.

Amid increasing Iranian aggression and U.S. disengagement from the region, Saudi Arabia’s longterm oil export capabilities are under threat. Without the guarantee of a steady stream of oil, buyers will naturally look to other suppliers, and Saudi Arabia’s influence over the international oil market risks dwindling significantly. As one of the world’s foremost military powers, Russia can not only defend its networks but attack those of others; such as in the 2008 Georgia War where its aircraft damaged Georgian oil pipelines. Furthermore, Russia’s enormous size grants it proximity to the most profitable European and Asian markets, simplifying logistics and reducing the need to transport shipments through hostile territory.

While the U.S. is both the top oil producer and oil refiner, helped largely by its shale oil boom, it has just recently become a net oil exporter; but only barely. It consumes the second-most oil after the People’s Republic of China (PRC), and despite the US’ growing energy independence, it cannot sway prices and international supply the same way as larger exporters. Furthermore, it too is far away from the most profitable markets in Europe and Asia.

The Kremlin’s added advantage over Washington is the direct coordination of its political and commercial goals with the state-run oil company, Rosneft. Other Russian oil companies are largely in lockstep with Russian Government policy. U.S. companies are directed by profit margins instead of geopolitical outreach, and often require human rights agreements before deals are inked.

Led by Rosneft, Russia’s oil companies have become a global alternative to the traditional power of the U.S./Western oil companies. They have significantly increased their control over Venezuela’s oil industry, for example, after almost 20 years of increasingly tense relations between Venezuela and the U.S./West. With the world’s largest oil reserves, Venezuela’s political leadership has been strengthened by Moscow’s assistance during its current ongoing crisis, which could eventually reverse its oil fortunes in the future.

The other pillars of the international oil industry face their own setbacks. Military weaknesses, fractured leaderships, undeveloped industries, and economic sanctions are some of the problems that hinder OPEC states. Furthermore, without Saudi Arabia’s ability to periodically flood markets, the organization is largely toothless. The PRC is the second-largest oil refiner and fifth-largest producer, but it still imports far more than it can produce domestically. Its major focus is importing enough for domestic use, yet it is unable to protect the global sea lanes that ensure its supply. In part due to this concern, Russia has become the second-largest supplier of oil to the PRC after Saudi Arabia.

Finally, in Canada, there is a lack of political and public will for new pipelines which could increase its capabilities and customer base. Its major buyer, the U.S., has become vastly more self-sufficient in oil, while new pipeline networks into the U.S. have been blocked by U.S. officials on environmental concerns, casting further uncertainty onto Canada’s oil industry.

Natural Gas: Russia’s ability to defend its infrastructure and strong placement in all sectors of the oil industry guarantee it major influence in the future. But oil is not the only resource that Russia seeks to dominate this century. Since the 1970s, technological advancements have made natural gas cheaper to extract, while environmental concerns have made it an increasingly popular substitute for carbon-heavy oil, particularly in Europe.

Russia has an even more commanding position in the international natural gas market. It is first in natural gas reserves and exports, and second in production. Its only real rival is the U.S., which, as with oil, has only recently become a net exporter. Gazprom, Russia’s largest company, has led the Kremlin’s attempts to gain commercial and political benefits from its gas industry. For example, since the early 1990s, the Kremlin has repeatedly cut off gas to Ukraine to draw concessions from its leadership (and to ensure payment of overdue bills). Though Ukraine has since weaned itself off Russian gas, much of Russia’s gas still passes through Ukraine on its way to Europe. Ukraine’s economy remains partially reliant on the transit fees which the gas flow generates, meaning it is still very much hostage to Russian supply cuts.

The European Union (EU) has often been forced to mediate Russian-Ukrainian gas disputes. Yet since the 2014 Ukraine crisis and in the face of opposition from Eastern European countries, Western European countries have continued to pursue several Russian natural gas pipelines, such as the Turkstream and the Nordstream pipelines. These networks will only increase Russia’s ability to punish Ukraine and Eastern European countries in future years, without jeopardizing its sales to Western Europe. This has not gone unnoticed in Washington. US presidents George W. Bush, Barack Obama, and Donald Trump have criticized the Nordstream pipeline network in particular. Nonetheless, Germany and other Western EU states have continued to increase their gas imports from Russia, significantly undermining the united economic front projected by Western politicians since the Ukraine crisis in 2014.

The Kremlin has prioritized defending its access to the European market from other gas powers. Qatar and Iran are desperate to make use of their large reserves, yet any Europe-bound pipeline would require passage through Syria. In 2018, Syrian Pres. Bashar al-Assad signed an agreement giving Russia sole rights to gas and oil production in Syria, allowing the Kremlin to keep competition to a minimum. The PRC’s current use of natural gas is low, covering less than 10 percent of its energy needs But the enormous scale of its energy consumption has still made it the largest natural gas importer. With growing energy needs and an eye on CO2 emissions, the PRC’s appetite for natural gas would, under normal conditions, be likely to increase, assuming the PRC economy retains its viability.

On top of Russia’s existing gas pipelines to the PRC, liquefied natural gas (LNG) is now making it possible for the PRC to receive Russian LNG at its ports. The PRC was, in early June 2020, expected to soon overtake Japan as the largest LNG importer, and the USPRC trade war may prevent U.S. gas suppliers from capitalizing on a major market, leaving Russia with the lion’s share. As LNG helps propel natural gas to a truly global commodity, Russia is already beating the U.S. at this pricing war in Europe, and future gas developments in Russia’s Arctic are promising for its LNG prospects around the world.

Nuclear Power: Russia’s influence is not limited to natural resources. Led by state firm Rosatom, Russia has also seized the initiative following disruptions to the global nuclear industry. After the Fukushima incident in 2011, Japan and Germany, both major nuclear energy powers, began shutting down much of their nuclear facilities. Others, like France, South Korea, and the U.S., have also had faltering industries in recent years.

After the Chernobyl disaster and collapse of the USSR, Russia’s nuclear industry began to pick up again in the late 1990s and has made steady progress in the years since. Though fourth in nuclear power production, Russia is again in a commanding position. Rosatom and its subsidiaries have integrated operations — a huge input in fuel cycle, reactor sales, and reactor maintenance — and have worked to increase their control over uranium deposits from Kazakhstan to the U.S.

Russia appears to be banking on exporting its reactor technology for the future. It has a dozen more orders for nuclear power reactors than its only competitor, the PRC, which it is already working with Rosatom, anyway. Across Europe and Asia, deals for Russian reactors are being implemented or explored. Completing current reactor deals with EU members Hungary and Finland, with their vigorous safety standards, will help Rosatom demonstrate it is ready for more contracts around the world.
But it is in Africa that Russia sees an opportunity. Nuclear power has been viewed as the answer to the continent’s projected growth in population and energy demand, and Russia is hoping to monopolize the continent’s nuclear industry before it potentially takes off.

In late 2019, Rosatom’s floating nuclear power plant, the Akademik Lomonosov Kuznets, began delivering power to Russia’s Chukotka region in Siberia. Capable of powering a city of 100,000 people, it is the only transportable nuclear power plant in the world. Rosatom’s intention to build seven of them, along with Russia’s nuclear-powered icebreakers, will help the Kremlin bring power to its energy-deficient Arctic. If it does so successfully, Rosatom may be able to revolutionize (and monopolize) transportable nuclear power.

Other: Russia maintains moderate influence in coal, iron, and steel markets. But even in renewable energy, Russia may play a powerful future role in hydropower. It is already the fifth-largest producer of hydropower in the world, and if it can exploit its extensive river networks, Russia could increase its potential even further.

Russia’s renewable energy industry is undeveloped apart from hydropower yet has potential elsewhere. The country’s vast size means it has access to plenty of resources, and while solar power is limited, geothermal and wind energy could be exploited with proper funding. Russia meanwhile has several tidal power stations, and the proposed Penzhin Tidal Power Plant indicates the Kremlin sees potential in this area as well.

Weaknesses and Future: Russia’s resource power is not without its weaknesses. Oil and gas revenue accounts for a majority of government revenue, making Russia vulnerable to drops in demand and prices. And, as many countries (including its important European markets) attempt to reduce their emissions, alternatives to oil and natural gas will increasingly be sought. At the same time, nuclear and hydropower are far from sure bets for the future of global energy use.

Nonetheless, military strength, state-run companies, impressive reserves, production and export capabilities, and proximity to major markets have given Russia an edge in 21st Century resource markets. While this may help fill the Kremlin’s coffers, its true goal is binding countries to current and future Russian resource flows and controlling global supplies. With few major rivals in multiple markets, this process is already well underway.

Tupolev Flies Modernized ‘Blackjack’

Russia’s United Aircraft Corporation (UAC) has issued a statement about the maiden flight of what it calls “the first experimental example of a deeply modernized Tu-160M created on the platform of the in-service Tu-160” strategic bomber (NATO codename “Blackjack”). The flight occurred on February 2 from the airport of the Kazan Aviation Plant named after Gorbunov (local acronym KAZ, formerly Kazan Aviation Industrial Organization or KAPO) and lasted for 34 minutes. KAZ is a part of Tupolev, itself a UAC member. Headed by Anri Naskidyants, the crew from Tupolev’s flight test-base in Zhukovsky reported that the aircraft attained a maximum altitude of 1,500 meters (4,920 feet) and behaved well.

“During this flight, the crew performed all necessary checks to do with the renovated systems and equipment that had been installed as part of the deep modernization effort. According to crew reports, the flight was uneventful, all systems and onboard equipment functioned normally,” read the UAC statement. It went on to say that the bomber has received a number of new systems, including flight controls and navigation equipment, communications and electronic countermeasure systems, and radar, which have resulted in a significant increase in its combat efficiency.

The two low-resolution images available on the corporate website depict an aircraft on takeoff and landing whose airframe is mostly painted with green-yellow primer while having a number of white parts likely taken from unserviceable Tu-160s. However, neither the statement nor the pictures, provide sufficient information to tell whether the aircraft comes with a rebuilt or newly-manufactured airframe.

Secrecy shrouds the ongoing large-scale Tu-160 modernization and production restoration effort, which began in 2015, when defense minister Sergei Shoigu instructed UAC to resume the type’s manufacturing, while promising an order for 50 new aircraft, sometimes referred to as the Tu-160M2. Later, President Putin mentioned an already-placed contract for 10 bombers for delivery in 2021-2026 with more to come. Two years ago he visited the plant in Kazan to witness the maiden flight of the aircraft 8-04 “Piotr Deinekin,” which was an example of the “Tu-160M1+” subtype, which was accepted by the Russian Air and Space Force (local acronym VKS) in December 2018. It became the 17th Tu-160 in the VKS inventory and seventh Tu-160M with extended functionality and weapons arsenal.

The maiden flight of the Tu-160 prototype occurred in December 1981. At a gross weight of 275 tonnes (606,260 pounds), the type still represents the world’s largest-ever combat jet. Four 25-tonne-thrust NK-32 afterburner-equipped turbofans can accelerate it to Mach 2.0 and give a range of over 12,000 km (6,500 nm), extendable through aerial refueling. The type remained in production in Kazan until the mid-1990s. Using pre-manufactured parts, the plant completed the aircraft named “Alexander Molodchiy” in 2000 and “Vitaly Kopylov” in 2008. At that time, then-UAC president Alexei Fedorov claimed: “From now on, KAPO will perform only repair and modernization on Tu-160s and Tu-22M3s built earlier.” At that point, Tu-160 production stood at 36 units, of which a number had been lost in crashes, cannibalized for parts, or cut up under disarmament treaties with the U.S.

In times of rising geopolitical tensions, the remaining Tu-160s have been involved in the air campaign against the Islamic State, firing Raduga Kh-555 and Kh-101 long-range cruise missiles at targets in Syria, and they are back in the forefront of the Russia-U.S. confrontation. On January 31, NORAD “positively identified two Tu-160 'Blackjack' Russian bombers entering the Canadian Air Defense Identification Zone” as they flew from a base in Russia across the Arctic Ocean on a combat training mission that lasted for 16 hours. In reply to this, NORAD Commander General O’Shaughnessy commented on Twitter, “Our adversaries continue to flex their long-range weapons systems and engage in increasingly aggressive efforts, to include the approaches to the United States and Canada.”

Russia's new stealthy 'Hunter' drone just took flight for the first time with the country's most advanced fighter

Russia's new heavy combat drone has flown for the first time alongside the country's most advanced fighter jet, giving the fighter a new edge in battle, the Russian defense ministry announced Friday. "The Okhotnik unmanned aerial vehicle has performed its first joint flight with a fifth-generation Su-57 plane," the ministry said in a statement, according to Russia's state-run TASS news agency. The two Russian aircraft flew together "to broaden the fighter's radar coverage and to provide target acquisition for employing air-launched weapons," the ministry added.

Первый совместный полет БЛА «Охотник» и истребителя Су-57:

Photos of the Okhotnik first surfaced online in January, but it wasn't until June that the unmanned aircraft was formally unveiled. This summer, the heavy attack drone completed its maiden flight, during which it flew circles over an airfield for 20 minutes. The flight involving both the Okhotnik drone and the Su-57 fighter appears to confirm what some have suspected for months — that the stealthy flying-wing drone was designed to fight alongside and provide critical battespace information to Russia's new fifth-generation fighters. In January, shortly after photos of the Okhtonik appeared online, photos of an Su-57 with an interesting new paint job appeared. The redesign featured silhouettes of a Su-57 and a flying-wing aircraft that looked a lot like the Okhotnik.

Russia’s Rosatom and Zvezda Shipyard Sign Contract for World’s Largest Nuclear Icebreake

The Leader-class nuclear icebreaker is designed to ensure year-round navigation on the eastern parts of the Northern Sea Route by 2027. Questions remain about the project’s ambitious timeline as Russia’s nuclear icebreaker program has faced ongoing delays and technical issues in recent years. Russia pushes ahead with plans to ensure year-round navigation along the Northern Sea Route. The Leader-class icebreaker, also referred to as LK-120Ya, will be twice as powerful as the country’s current nuclear icebreakers. The vessel will use two RITM-400 type nuclear reactors to power four propellers with 30 MW capacity each. With a total displacement of 69,700 tons it will also be more than twice as heavy as Russia’s newest and currently largest icebreaker, Arktika.

The vessel is designed to break channels as wide as possible through the sea ice for oil and gas tankers to follow in its wake. To this end the Leader-class is nearly 48 meters wide, 13 meters more than current icebreakers. With massive amounts of power and its large weight the vessel will be able to break through up to four meters of ice, compared to 2.3 meters for the current Arktika-class. “The commissioning of this atomic icebreaker will enable Rosatomflot to ensure safe and regular operations in the eastern region of the Arctic, provide year-round navigation in the waters of the Northern Sea Route, and open up new opportunities for commercial high-latitude routes,” says Rosatomflot’s general director Mustafa Kashka. According to the contract signed between Rosatomflot and the Zvezda shipyard, the vessel is planned to be commissioned in 2027, with two additional icebreakers of the type to follow by 2033.

An ambitious timeline

This timeline may end up being too ambitious in light of the fact that the Arktika-class, of which Russia is currently building five vessels, has faced several delays and technical challenges. Construction on the class’ lead vessel Arktika began back in 2013 and the vessel has yet to be placed into service. Originally Arktika was supposed to be delivered by December 2017 but due to problems with domestically-sourced components of the steam turbines the vessel was delayed nearly two years. After the ship began sea trials earlier this year it was revealed that one of its propulsion motors suffered irreparable damage during a short circuit requiring a complicated and lengthy replacement of the motor next year. The repair involves cutting through the hull of the ship to remove and replace the 300 tons unit.

While the ship could operate with reduced engine power until a repair can be done in 2021 experts now recommend that the vessel not leave the Baltic Sea as it will have to return to the Baltic shipyard at St. Petersburg next summer. The Leader-class will be constructed by the Zvezda shipyard in Far East Russia near Vladivostok. The shipyard has seen recent expansion but has until now been unsuccessful in securing contracts for nuclear icebreakers. The contracts for all five Arktika-class icebreakers went to the Baltic shipyard. Zvezda also aims to build ice-capable LNG carriers for Novatek, but recently lost a bid to Samsung Heavy Industry of South Korea. Construction of the world-largest nuclear icebreaker undoubtedly represents the most complex vessel built by the shipyard.

The concept for a massive 120MW nuclear icebreaker escorting ships through the thick ice of the East Siberian Sea during the heart of winter goes back as far as the early 1990s. The idea and the need for larger icebreakers gained traction over the past decade as companies such as Novatek and Rosneft began exploiting natural resources in the region and transporting them along the NSR. Currently, the companies’ ice-hardened oil and gas carriers can routinely travel to Asia only during Summer and Fall. During winter the ice still proves too challenging. The Leader-class’ ability to break up to 2.5 meters thick ice continuously at 10 knots, a capability the current fleet of icebreakers lack, will be key to ensuring reliable and speedy escorts for commercial vessels during winter.

The Leader-class will be able to make a channel for vessels with a freight capacity of up to 200,000 tons. Except during the depth of winter, the route will take no more than eight days. The three Leader-class vessels are estimated to cost 120bn rubles or $1.6bn. In comparison the United States Coast Guard is hoping to commission three much-smaller conventional icebreakers at an estimated cost of $2.1bn.

Contract signed for Another 76 Front-Line Bombers Sukhoi Su-34

According to the newspaper “Izvestia”, in the material “Sukhoi” by Anton Lavrov and Roman Kretsul, the Ministry of Defense will purchase an improved version of the Su-34, the Russian Ministry of Defense agreed on the details of the contract for a new batch of the latest Su-34 bombers. It is expected that by 2027 at least 76 vehicles will enter the troops. Under the new contract, the Su-34 will be built in an improved version: with modern weapons and a whole range of reconnaissance systems on board. Experts believe that such aircraft will seriously strengthen the combat capabilities of the Russian Aerospace Forces.

Deferred contract

Details of the contract for a new large batch of Su-34s have already been agreed, sources in the Ministry of Defense and the military-industrial complex told Izvestia. Although the document itself has not yet been signed, defense industry enterprises have begun to order components for its execution. According to the procurement statements (a copy is at the disposal of Izvestia), 76 modernized bombers will be built. Every year until 2027 it is planned to produce from 8 to 14 aircraft. The first nodes for their assembly should go to the plant in the second half of this year.

The first contract for the supply of these universal machines was concluded in 2008. Then the Ministry of Defense agreed on the acquisition of 32 bombers. A larger agreement was signed in 2012: according to this document, the military department received another 92 aircraft. All Su-34s under the new contract will be modernized as part of the Sych development program. As previously reported by Izvestia, the modernization includes updating the avionics, installing high-precision weapons and a set of several suspended reconnaissance containers. The advanced version is previously designated as Su-34M or Su-34 HBO. In December last year, UAC Director General Yuri Slyusar said that the machine will double the combat capability of the currently available base modification.

Due to the long cycle of aircraft creation, from the purchase of components to the delivery of a finished combat vehicle to the customer, the Ministry of Defense allowed Sukhoi to begin preparations for their serial production before the official signing of the state contract. To equip the updated bomber, as part of the Sych development work, three replaceable hanging containers with reconnaissance equipment are being developed. They significantly exceed the capabilities of embedded equipment and should give the aircraft a qualitatively new ability to detect targets. A variant of the container with the designation UKR-RT is intended for electronic reconnaissance, UKR-OE for optoelectronic, and UKR-RL for radar. They all use a single data bus to interact with the aircraft.

Suspended equipment will give the Su-34 the ability to detect the work of radars and radio stations over hundreds of kilometers, as well as determine their coordinates. With the UKR-RL container, the bomber will be able to “see” at any time of the day, even through dense clouds. The Su-34 is replacing the Su-24 bomber, which could not fight fighters, said the former commander of the 4th Army Air Force and Air Defense Hero of Russia Valery Gorbenko.

“This is a new generation aircraft that can carry out both fighter and bombing tasks,” an expert told Izvestia. - In Soviet times, we had fighter-bomber aircraft, but in the 1990s it was destroyed. Su-34 with a new avionics, sighting and navigation system closes the niche of medium-sized bombers. Larger than the Su-34, machines already belong to strategic aviation. The plane showed itself perfectly in Syria, it can work at the forefront, has a good range and is capable of refueling in the air. Very promising technique. It is great that two more powerful shock regiments will be put into service.

bomber The Su-34 bomber is designed to deliver guided and unguided weapons to enemy land and sea targets. But its fighter past allows the aircraft to conduct air combat as well. On the Sukhoi, when used in Syria, in some cases they hung not only short-range air-to-air missiles, but also long-range R-27s capable of shooting down enemy aircraft at a distance of 60 km. Maybe he can carry the Mosquito supersonic anti-ship ammunition. To break through air defense systems, the bomber is equipped with the powerful Khibiny airborne electronic warfare system. With his help, he is able to neutralize enemy radars and cover not only himself, but also other planes flying nearby. In 2008–2020, the Ministry of Defense expanded its arsenal with more than 120 serial Su-34s. After the execution of the new contract, the number of cars will approach 200.

Russia Sends More Advanced Spy Planes to Syria

Russia Sends More Advanced Spy Planes to Syria

One of the most advanced Russian spy planes has arrived in the coastal province of Lattakia, the Fars news agency reported on Friday, citing military sources. As reported, the Russian Tupolev Tu-214R has arrived to the Hmeimim airbase outside the Syrian coastal city of Jableh in Southern Lattakia. Most likely, the aircraft will track terrorist movements around the country.

“The aircraft is known to carry sensor packages to perform ELINT (Electronic Intelligence) and SIGINT (Signal Intelligence) missions: the antennae of the Tu-214R can intercept the signals emitted by the enemy systems (radars, aircraft, radios, combat vehicles, mobile phones etc) so as it can build the EOB (Electronic Order of Battle) of the enemy forces: where the enemy forces are operating, what kind of equipment they are using and, by eavesdropping into their radio/phone communications, what they are doing and what will be their next move.”

Last week, the spokesman for the Russian President, Dmitry Peskhov, announced that sending more soldiers to Syria remains in place. “When the decision was made to cut the number of personnel of our aviation contingent in Syria, you remember the statement of both the Russian president and the military, who said that the temporary infrastructure in Syria remained and therefore the contingent could be increased very quickly, if necessary. This will be done in accordance with the relevant tasks,” Peskhov said. According to Dmitry Peskhov, “such prospects increasing Russian personnel in Syria were declared by the president rather long ago.”

Some parts of the Russian armed forces were drawn down in Syria in mid-March. At the same time, Russia left a sizable part of its air contingent in the country which helped the Syrian Army to liberate Palmyra, captured by ISIL, two weeks after the withdrawal. At the time, the President of the Russian Federation, Vladimir Putin, made it clear that the right to re-deploy the Russian forces in Syria if necessary will be saved for Moscow. Russia initially started to take part in the country’s conflict on the side of the Syrian government in last September, helping the government forces to advance on several fronts for the first time in months. Recently, Russia has received a US proposal for closer military cooperation and intelligence sharing on Syria. However, top US military officials said that any cooperation between the US and Russia in Syria would not be based on trust.

Russia’s international reserves up despite crisis

The Bank of Russia’s spending on the coronavirus crisis has been fairly moderate so far. Moscow even increased its money cushion in the first five months of 2020 thanks to the revaluation of gold, which totals 22% of Russia’s reserves. Russia managed to increase its hard currency reserves by $3,8bn between January 1 and May 31, says bneIntelliNews adding that the current slowdown is the country’s cheapest crisis ever. Last year, the Central Bank managed to increase its reserves by more than $90,2bn continuing to accumulate extra cash in 2020, although at a lot slower pace. So far, the regulator has spent less than $7bn from its collective reserves on dealing with the aftermath of this year’s economic shocks.

By comparison, Russia spent $90bn of $454bn in 2014 to deal with the global oil price shock, which halved both the value of the ruble and oil prices. In the first nine months following the 2008 global financial crisis, the country spent $212,8bn of its $596-bn reserves to support the ruble and bolster the economy. As for 1998, when Russia’s financial sector entirely went into meltdown, Moscow had a mere $8bn in hard currency reserves in the aftermath.

This time, the Central Bank’s mere $7-bn spending has been more than offset by the appreciation of gold the regulator holds as part of its cash reserves. As of March 2020, Russia accumulated 2,299 tonnes of the yellow metal valued at $127,6bn at the beginning of June, which is $17bn more than at the start of the year. The Central Bank has been actively buying gold since 2007 to replace its dollar-denominated assets. Monetary gold currently accounts for 22% of Russia’s total reserves. The Central Bank has been actively buying gold since 2007 to replace its dollar-denominated assets.

Moreover, an observed recovery of oil prices means that Russia can probably go back to accumulating reserve cash by more traditional means. Crude prices have recovered remarkably fast after the latest OPEC+ deal was agreed in April, reaching the Kremlin’s ‘comfort zone’ level of above $40 per barrel. At $42 per barrel, Russia will start accumulating money in the National Wealth Fund under the so-called budget rule. The fund itself is supposed to cover any budget deficit during a crisis, and the country’s Ministry of Finance is going to tap it to cover an anticipated deficit of 3 trillion rubles this year.

The crisis is still going to be painful for the national economy. According to Russia’s Federal State Statistics Service, basic sectors were down by 10% year on year in April, while consumer-oriented sectors decreased by a third or more. It is expected that Moscow will run 0,5% of GDP deficit instead of a 2% surplus this year. The Kremlin’s national action plan for economic growth recovery envisages some $72,8bn of the spending, or 7,8% of GDP. However, part of this money will be redirected from the National Priority Projects, which are already included in the current budget.


Russia will be able to counter hypersonic weapons once other states develop them, Putin pledges

Moscow knows other nations are hastily designing their own hypersonic weapons – but by the time they are acquired, the Russian military will have learned how to shield the country from them, President Vladimir Putin has said. The likes of the US and China have their own projects to build missiles capable of travelling several times faster than the speed of sound. Putin believes the world’s leading defense powers will eventually succeed in developing the ultra-fast weaponry. However, the President explained to Russia-1 TV, on Sunday, that Russia won’t be caught off-guard once that happens. At present, the country seems to be leading the field in this area.

"I think that we can pleasantly surprise our partners with the fact that when they get these weapons, we will have the means of combating them, with a high degree of probability," Putin forecast.

The US president just recently teased a new “super-duper” missile, which he claimed could travel 17 times faster than the speed of sound. Russia appears to be the first nation in the world to have deployed a similar-class weapon – the Avangard glide vehicle – into service. Other munitions, like the Kinzhal (dagger) cruise missile and the Zircon anti-ship missile, are undergoing trials or said to be in the works now. Apart from offensive weaponry, Russia has recently rolled out a radar station – which happens to be the latest addition to the Protivnik (adversary) family – designed to track over a thousand fast-moving targets, including those that are hypersonic.

Putin has stated before that the US is playing catch-up with Russia for the first time in history. He believes that obtaining hypersonic weapons was crucial to maintaining overall parity with the US, which has repeatedly tried to tilt the strategic balance in its favor. For example, building ballistic missile shields not only on American soil, but also overseas, most notably in Eastern Europe and the Asia-Pacific region. However, most of these facilities are effectively obsolete now given hypersonic systems can easily pierce any existing defenses, President Putin said in March, adding, “it is essential not only for us, but also for global security."

Putin: Russia is now fully self-sufficient in basic food products

The president mentioned the grain harvest in Russia, which for six consecutive years exceeds 100 million tons

President Vladimir Putin stated that Russia is now fully self-sufficient in basic food products. "Russia is fully self-sufficient in basic foodstuffs, it is consistently venturing into global markets, and is one of the leading exporters in a number of positions," the head of state said at a meeting on the situation in agriculture and the food industry. "In recent years, the Russian agricultural and industrial sector has gained high, outstripping pace and is strengthening its position as a modern, high-tech industry with good potential for quality growth," the president said. As an example, he mentioned the grain harvest in Russia, which for six consecutive years exceeds 100 million tons.

"This year we also have good harvest prospects," Putin said. He thanked the workers of domestic agriculture and agricultural enterprises for hard work, for results that are meaningful for the whole country.

"Today, when the Russian and world economies are having a hard time, it’s important to maintain the achieved dynamics in the agro-industrial complex, the confidence of our farmers in stable work and the stability of the industry’s cooperative ties. We need to secure our own, domestic market and evaluate and use the opportunities that are opening up for our companies, in particular for export," the head of state said. He referred to the opinion of experts who believe that agriculture and the food industry were less affected by the limitations of the coronavirus epidemic than other sectors of the economy, although there are still risks of plunging incomes and higher production costs.

"Now that the spring field work is in full swing, it is all the more important to support Russian farmers, labor teams, ensure the consistency of activities of farms and enterprises so that they have resources for the purchase of fuel and fertilizers as well as for the purchase and processing of raw materials. And of course, one should pay attention to the wages of employees," Putin said. He stressed that "it concerns not only large enterprises and agricultural holdings, but, above all, small enterprises and farms."

The U.S. shale-oil industry may collapse

The U.S. shale-oil industry may collapse due to the sharp fall in oil prices because of the coronavirus pandemic, a new influential report predicts. The demand for and price of oil tumbled due to the economic slowdown and have since begun to recover, but Australian think tank the Institute for Economics and Peace warns that a low price will affect political regimes in the Middle East, especially in Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Iran. IEP’s annual Global Peace Index, published Wednesday, analyzes tension around the world and compiles an index of the most peaceful countries. It suggests the effects of the pandemic may “result in the collapse of the shale-oil industry in the U.S., unless oil prices return to their prior levels.”

While the price of oil CL.1, 2.03% has begun to recover from its nadir — having crashed into negative territory in April — analysts at Goldman Sachs warned in a Tuesday note that the rise in the oil price has been overdone and forecast a drop in Brent crude prices BRNQ20, 1.72% to $35 a barrel, from around $43 a barrel, within weeks. Shale oil is produced through fracking, the controversial process of pumping high-pressure water and sand underground to fracture rock and release valuable new energy reserves known as shale. Among the biggest producers of shale oil are Exxon Mobil XOM, 0.36%, Chevron CVX, 0.29% and EOG Resources EOG, 0.88%.

The IEP report says that the combined weakness in commercial, travel and industrial activity led to a plunge in oil prices in global markets. “These markets were already affected by an oversupply, emanating from Russia and Saudi Arabia who could not agree on production curbs,” it says. But, on a positive note, it goes on to rank the countries most likely to stage a swift economic recovery in the wake of the pandemic, using four indicators. China, Indonesia, Russia, Mexico and Australia all emerge as best placed to facilitate a recovery because they have low unemployment rates, low dependence on international trade, low tax revenue relative to gross domestic product, and low central government debt as a proportion of GDP.

IEP founder Steve Killelea said: “COVID-19 is negatively impacting peace across the world, with nations expected to become increasingly polarized in their ability to maintain peace and security. This reflects the virus’s potential to undo years of socioeconomic development, exacerbate humanitarian crises, and aggravate and encourage unrest and conflict.”

He identified a predictable list of sectors hurt by the lockdown, which includes aviation, hospitality, tourism, retail and finance. Health care, telecom and food production are best placed. One upside is that drug trafficking and other types of crime have seen a likely temporary reduction as a result of social isolation around the world. However, reports of domestic violence, suicide and mental illness increased. Iceland remains the most peaceful country in the world, a position it has held since 2008. It is joined at the top of the index by New Zealand, Austria, Portugal and Denmark. Afghanistan remains the least peaceful country, a position it has held for two years, followed by Syria, Iraq and South Sudan.

“The fundamental tensions of the past decade around conflict, environmental pressures and socioeconomic strife remain,” Killelea said. “It’s likely that the economic impact of COVID-19 will magnify these tensions by increasing unemployment, widening inequality and worsening labor conditions — creating alienation from the political system and increasing civil unrest. We therefore find ourselves at a critical juncture.”

It's Russia’s cheapest crisis ever and the CBR is still accumulating cash

It's Russia’s cheapest crisis ever and the country is still accumulating cash, despite the coronacrisis

Despite an oil price shock, a two-month lockdown of the entire Russian economy, a 20% devaluation of the ruble and an economic bailout package that is worth 10% of GDP, Russia managed to increase its hard currency reserves by $3.8bn between January 1 and May 31. So far, the coronavirus (COVID-19) is proving to be the cheapest crisis Russia has ever experienced and despite the huge economic shock the economy has received, Russia Inc. is already back in profit. The Central Bank of Russia (CBR) has managed to accumulate more than $90.2bn in reserves over the last year, according to the latest data from the Ministry of Finance, and continued to stash extra cash away even in the midst of the current crisis, albeit at a lot slower pace.

So far the CBR has spent a total of just under $7bn from its collective reserves to deal with the aftermath of the various shocks that have hit economy, but that has more than been offset by the appreciation of the two thousand tons of gold the central bank holds as part of its cash reserves. That is an enormous change from previous crises. Russia spent $212.8bn of its $596bn of total reserves to prop up the ruble and bolster the economy in the first nine months following the 2008 global financial meltdown, which is said to be less painful than the current coronacrisis.

Likewise, Russia spent $90bn of its $454bn of reserves in 2014 to cushion the blow during the last oil price shock, when both the value of the ruble and the price of oil halved in just a matter of months. And neither of these two crises come anywhere close to the crises of 1991, when the Soviet Union collapsed, and 1998, when Russia’s financial sector entirely went into meltdown. The end of communism effective bankrupted the country completely and in the aftermath of 1998 Russia had a mere $8bn in hard currency reserves, much of which was stolen in the form of bailouts for the leading oligarch-owned banks, who promptly whisked the money away into offshore havens.  With a price tag of a mere $7bn, so far this coronacrisis has cost the CBR lunch money and won’t make any noticeable dent in its cash mountain at all.

Golden lining

A large part of the increase in the value of Russia reserves is due to a revaluation of gold, as the CBR has accumulated 2,299 tonnes of the yellow metal as of March this year, which the CBR has valued at $127.6bn as of the start of June, or $17bn more than at the start of this year. The CBR has been actively buying gold since 2007 (and in parallel selling down its dollar-denominated assets like US federal T-bills) as it tries to unhook itself from dependence on the dollar. Today monetary gold accounts for 22% of Russia’s total reserves of $566.1bn as of June 1, up from $554.4 as of January 1 this year. Gold prices always do well in a crisis, which is part of the reason the CBR has bought so much, but since oil prices bounced back in the last week, Russia could go back to accumulating reserve cash by more traditional means. Oil prices are up since the OPEC+ production cut deal, which will reduce output of oil by 9.7mn bpd, that Russia signed off on April 13, which was then extended last weekend to the end of July.

Rising oil prices put Russia Inc. back in profit

Oil prices have recovered remarkably fast after the OPEC+ deal was agreed, breaking above $40 to the barrel again, back into the Kremlin’s “comfort zone,” according to the Finance Ministry. Russia Inc. is back in profit with $40 oil, which is the price a barrel needs to cost for the budget to break even. In addition, at $42 per barrel Russia will start accumulating money in its reserve fund, the National Welfare Fund (NWF), as under the so-called budget rule, any oil tax revenues earned from oil prices over $42.4 have to siphoned off into the NWF. The NWF is there to cover any budget deficit in a crisis and the Finance Ministry was intending to tap the fund, which held RUB12 trillion ($174bn) as of the start of March, to cover an anticipated deficit of RUB3 trillion this year. The reserves fell to RUB9 trillion in May after the Ministry of Finance used part of the funds to buy a stake in Sberbank, the biggest bank in Russia, from the CBR – a backdoor route to give the CBR a war chest of cash it could use to defend the ruble if needed – but still leaving at least three years worth of cash in the fund to cover a budget deficit.

Still a crisis price to pay

That is not to say this crisis is not going to be painful, and the government is going to have to spend heavily to get Russia Inc. back to work. Rosstat reported this week that the basic sectors – a good proxy for GDP – were down by 10% year on year in April and that the consumer orientated sectors are all down by at least a third or more. Last week Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin unveiled the latest version of the National Plan for Economic Recovery (NPER) that calls for some RUB5 trillion ($72.8bn) of spending, or 7.8% of GDP. However, much of this money is simply funds that were already committed under the current budget to pay for the 12 national projects and which are now going to be re-tasked to stimulate the economy or support the social sector. Bottom line is, the 2% of GDP budget surplus will disappear and the government will run a 0.5% of GDP deficit, plus the Ministry of Finance intends to borrow an extra RUB2 trillion ($29bn) from the domestic bond market on top of the RUB2 trillion already pencilled into the current budget, to help pay for the NPER. Again, that means the reserves will remain a last line of defence and if Russia Inc. continues its rebound there is a good chance that the Kremlin will end this year with even more cash in reserve than it has now.

Russian rebound under way, safe haven for investors

As reported by bne IntelliNews, the economic rebound in Russia is already visible after the ruble has clawed back much of the ground it lost in the last two months against the dollar. At the same time, if there is a deficit this year the ministry also now has the option of financing it by issuing Russian Ministry of Finance ruble-denominated OFZ treasury bills, which are increasingly seen as a safe haven by international investors thanks to Russia’s rock solid finances. Indeed, over a third of the foreign investors in the OFZ are from the US, where the bonds have proved to be a popular investment with institutional investors such as insurance companies and pension funds. As a sign of how popular these bonds are, the yields on the OFZ have dropped 300 basis points in just four months to 5.4% as of the start of June after briefly spiking to 8.4% in March. A third of the outstanding OFZs are currently owned by foreign investors.

Doom and gloom overdone

In previous crises there has always been an army of doomsayers predicting Russia will run out of money, but not only have they been proved wrong, the opposite has always happened. In 2014 Russia did spend down its then Reserve Fund completely, but the NWF, which was originally intended to cover future pension payments, was simply re-tasked as a general economic support fund to replace the Reserve Fund. Given the RUB12 trillion in the NWF at the start of April, Finance Minister Anton Siluanov said there was enough in the state’s coffers to cover the budget for ten years, even if oil prices remained as low as $25 per barrel. However, within a few weeks as the scale of the coronacrisis became more apparent, Siluanov walked those statements back and said the fund would cover some three years of deficits, without the need to cut budget spending or raise taxes. Now that oil prices are back in the Kremlin’s comfort zone it could well be that the Ministry of Finance doesn't need to tap the fund at all.

Thanks to Sanctions, Russia Is Cushioned From Virus’s Economic Shocks

Red Square in Moscow on Thursday. After Russia was hit with sanctions, the government and companies adapted to isolation and were virtually forced to prepare for economic shocks like the one hammering the global economy.

Years of economic isolation and bulging financial reserves have positioned the country to ride out the coronavirus panic and bounce right back

Six years ago, the United States and the European Union slammed the door on Western bank loans for Russian companies, starving the country’s oil and banking industries of financing. The harsh measure, and others that followed, were intended to punish Russia for military interventions in Ukraine and Syria and for meddling in the 2016 American election to help Donald J. Trump. Paradoxically, however, those sanctions and the policies Russia enacted in response prepared the Kremlin for what came this month: a universal dislocation of the global economy from the coronavirus pandemic and an oil price war that led to a collapse in oil prices and the revenues that Russia relies upon to support social spending.

Far from being a basket case, Russia enters the crisis with bulging financial reserves, its big companies nearly free of debt and all but self-sufficient in agriculture. After Russia was hit with the sanctions, President Vladimir V. Putin’s government and companies adapted to isolation and were virtually forced to prepare for economic shocks like the one hammering the global economy today. “Russia will be a bit better off than other countries because of its experience, because of sanctions and because of reserves,” said Vladimir V. Tikhomirov, chief economist for BCS Global Markets, referring to the roughly $600 billion in gold and hard currency reserves the country has amassed. To be sure, Russia has taken a hard hit from the collapse of oil prices, with the national currency, the ruble, losing about 20 percent of its value in recent weeks. Oil and natural gas account for about 60 percent of Russia’s exports.

It is still too early to predict how outbreaks of the virus will spread and how various governments will respond. Given the state of Russia’s ramshackle and underfunded health care system, the coronavirus outbreak could be catastrophic. With the state’s tight grip on the news media, many Russians suspect that the Kremlin could be hiding the scale of the problem or the extent of preparedness, hampering an effective response. Still, some countries, Russia among them, seem better positioned than others. For Russia, that is linked to the Western sanctions. Take, for example, a 2014 sanction limiting loans from Western financial institutions to a maximum of three months. Russian companies responded by paying down their debt so that total government and corporate foreign debt in Russia fell to $455 billion at the start of this year from $713 billion in 2014. By contrast, Western companies have taken advantage of low interest rates to run up trillions of dollars in debt in the past decade.

“Russia over the past six years has been living with a hostile foreign environment because of sanctions,” said Mr. Tikhomirov. When the virus threat passes, he said, “it’s possible things will come back to life faster in Russia than in other countries because there won’t be the negative drag of debt.”

The Russian government on Thursday published its plan to contain the virus and maintain economic activity. It said that all pneumonia patients would now be tested and that the country was making 100,000 test kits a day. The plan revised rules for paid sick leave so that companies must pay an advance when an employee goes on leave. It will dip into the National Welfare Fund, the main sovereign wealth fund, to pay bonuses to medical workers. Russia has 55,000 hospital beds available to treat coronavirus patients and 40,000 ventilators, which are critical in treating the sickest patients, the statement said. By Friday, Russia had reported 199 cases of Covid-19, the disease caused by the virus. For now, Russia is relying on quarantines of individuals and contact tracking without major lockdowns. But measures to halt the virus’s spread will most likely bring Russia’s economy to a halt, as they have elsewhere, as companies send employees home. At that point, Russia’s treasure chest of hard currency will be of little help.

The reserves will come into play during a recovery, though, as Russia will not be competing for financing from capital markets to stimulate the economy. For years, economists criticized Russian economic policy as overly conservative, emphasizing saving over spending. It seemed to reflect a deep-seated Russian belief: No matter how bad things are today, they can always get worse. Now, that policy looks justified, particularly in view of the country’s reliance on natural resource extraction for most of its hard currency earnings. “Russia is more ready than ever before in its history,” said Vladimir Osakovsky, the chief Russia economist at the Bank of America, referring to the economic fallout from the virus’s spread.

Russia built those reserves throughout the sanctions period by writing into its budget an artificially low estimate for the global price of oil. All tax on profits above that level went into the national piggy bank. The policy starved the economy of investment — the gross domestic product grew at 1.3 percent last year — but put Russia in a solid position entering the coronavirus crisis. Russia’s agricultural sector is also benefiting from changes introduced after sanctions on food imports. Before European agricultural products fell victim to the sanctions war, for example, Koza Nostra, a small company making gourmet cheese, was a barely viable family enterprise. But after sanctions cut off French cheese imports, the company doubled and then tripled its output in ensuing years. “It was the right approach,” the general director, Aleksandr Asatryan, said of the Kremlin’s move to prop up Russian agriculture in response to sanctions, useful today as insulation against trade disruptions.

Since 2014, the share of imported food on the Russian market has fallen to about 10 percent today from about 25 percent. Russia is self-sufficient for most staples other than fresh fruits and vegetables. More than guaranteeing nutrition, the shift allows the government to reserve its hard currency for a recovery rather than expend it propping up the ruble to keep imported food affordable. “Even in a bad scenario, Russia can survive this shock better than many other economies,” said Sofya Donets, an economist at Renaissance, a Moscow investment bank, who returned to work last week after a mandatory quarantine.

Russia in the Year of Corona. What to Expect of the Economy

In a global comparison, Russia’s corona epidemic response has been very strong. The best and most foolproof indicator is the fatality rate. Russia has experienced the lowest Covid-19 mortality among all countries in the Northern Hemisphere, significantly lower than nearly all Western countries. Presently the fatality rate in Russia is 10 per 1 million, compared to 684 in Belgium, 544 (Spain),  483 (UK), 481 (Italy), 386 (France), 274 (Sweden) and 211 (USA).

Russia’s initial decisive response helped reduce the spread. The Russian healthcare system proved superior to most other countries in terms of adequate facilities, medical devices and protective gear. Russia increased capacity nationwide by refurbishing existing hospitals and constructing 17 new ones in record time (4-6 weeks). The country also ramped up domestic production of medical necessities, including personal protective equipment. By May, Russia’s production capacity was enough to cover 100% of domestic needs. At the time of this writing, Russia has not yet exhausted its hospital capacity (even at the virus’ epicenter in Moscow). Another commendable facet of its response has been the rapid roll out of testing. In absolute numbers, Russia (4.5 million tests) is second only to the US. In per capita terms, Russia has conducted one-third more tests than the United States and is now on par with Germany.

Most countries have almost exclusively tested only severely ill people who have been admitted to hospital. Russia, on the other hand, is currently the global leader in contact tracing. As a result, many outwardly healthy people have been tested. Two weeks ago, the Russian epidemiology authority reported that 60% of all those who tested positive in Moscow were asymptomatic. Later it was  reported that 95% of all those who tested positive were either asymptomatic or  only with mild symptoms, similar to  a common cold. Lately, there have not been any new reports on the proportion of severely ill vs. those showing mild symptoms among people tested.. The author assumes this is due  to  the government’s efforts to motivate  people to follow  the stay-home orders strictly during the last ten days of the lockdown, coinciding with the traditional Russian May Day and Victory Day holidays. Due to the  extraordinary warm and sunny weather, the government faces an increasing challenge to keep people at home. However, today the Swedish government reported that a staggering 98.5% of all infected people in their country were asymptomatic or mild. Presumably, this would also apply to Russia.

Preliminary, the government has promised to start gradually loosen the lockdown restrictions starting from May 12. Most seem to think it is about time. The comparison of Russia’s infection with the global count would just not seem to motivate that Russia keeps the restrictions in full force anymore.

Russia’s economy proves strong in a global comparison

With the corona crisis taking its toll around the world, Russia’s economy looks relatively  strong in a global comparison. This should not come as a surprise to anybody who has been following our Awara reports  on the Russian and global economies. In a seminal report with the ominous title With Global Recession Looming, Russia Looks Strong — which garnered across various platforms over a quarter of a million readers last August – we at Awara predicted the global crisis. Everything pointed to it even before corona.  The meltdown we are seeing in some of the Western countries is entirely due to the dreadful  shape of those economies, which has been becoming increasingly evident. Only massive amounts of QE cash injections and central bank bond purchasing at zero or negative rates kept the economies superficially afloat. In this report, we also pointed out all the relative strengths the Russian economy possessed and which would help to mitigate the effects of the global crisis on the Russian economy.

To quote our earlier seminal report:

“The debt saturation point has been reached, therefore this time it will be different, the central bankers have lost their magic wand and won’t be able to renew the debt binge and extend it with one more decade. Instead, there will be a day of reckoning. Governments and corporations will have to put their act together and let the market weed out the failed entities. Those who cannot carry the debt, will have to shed it. There will be bloodbath with defaults, bankruptcies and massive unemployment. – Perhaps a revolution here and there. – There will be no choice, deleveraging must happen. Now, whether this system will come crashing down or just slowly die as it trundles downhill will not matter all that much. It will eventually die either way. Most people would prefer the slow motion option, but only with the crash would a cure come. Whatever, it has become increasingly difficult to stave off the crash and this time around, the financial markets would take the real economy down with them big time.”

We also reported about Russia’s advantage:

“The question then is, who would be left standing? Naturally, those who are less leveraged. Now, scroll back to have a new look at the above charts on government and household debt. Find the position of Russia there? That’s right. Russia is the country with – by far – the least debt, both public and private. Having after 2014 following sanctions been cut off from the Western debt orgy, even Russian corporations are shielded against a possible Western debt apocalypse. Let’s look at Russia’s present financial health report.”

Subsequent events have proven that Awara was absolutely correct in everything referenced in that report about Russia’s extraordinary financial and economic We recommend all who have a stake or who want to explore the opportunities on the Russian market, to go through the solid set of arguments in this Awara report. We then followed up on that August report with a brief in January called As Global Growth Stalls, The Russian Economy is Gathering Momentum. That was just after corona had become a global scare. In this report, we acknowledged the possibility that the corona crisis could wreak havoc in the global economy. But allowing for this scenario, we stressed that Russia would anyway fare substantially better than most of the world, and in particular, better than most Western countries on average. All the points made in the January economic brief still remain valid for a better understanding of today’s situation.

Skyrocketing debt, but not in Russia

Russia’s strengths are many. The extraordinary low level of government (national) debt forms the rock solid fundament of the country’s economic edifice. By the end of 2019, Russia’s national debt-to-GDP was 12.9%. This is a fraction of the debt levels of the old developed countries of the West. In the US, the national debt was way above 100% by 2019, when state and municipal debt is added to the official figures. (That in accordance with the global standards, which the US has not been following). With the already announced corona bailouts and stimulus, with the shortfall of tax revenue and additional debt and a lower GDP as the base, the US debt level will shoot above  the 130% level. Hereby, Russia, is expected to add 3% to its national debt. All major Western countries have at least 3 times as much debt as Russia and many – for example, Italy, France, Spain – are in a similar debt crisis as the US. It is expected that most, if not all countries  will  follow the US lead with skyrocketing borrowings. These different debt trajectories will only increase Russia’s comparative advantages. Being in this favorable situation, Russia has ample room to dip into a budget deficit, especially after two years of solid surpluses. Presently it is expected that Russia could manage the crisis with a mere 3.5% budget deficit in 2020. That’s a level, which has been the norm  in the West even during the “good years.” Following the enormous economic crisis in the US, experts are predicting a record $3.8 trillion budget deficit, a staggering 18.7% of GDP. Most European countries might not go as high as the US in jacking up the deficits, though  an average of at least 10% is to be expected.

GDP decline – far too early for definite predictions, but Russia relatively better off

We think it is far too early to make any predictions on countries’ actual GDP 2020. There are too many unknown factors. What is the level of permanent destruction and bankruptcies caused by the corona responses across the globe? (Quite a lot). Will the corona unemployment turn structural and long-term? (We think, to a big degree, yes). What has been the real level of destruction of disposable income and asset values, eroding of savings? (Huge). How long will restrictive measures stay in force? (At least leisure and travel, especially international will mostly remain shut until end of year). Will international trade and investments rebound? (Not, just by waving the magic wand of calling off the corona measures). Will beggar-thy-neighbor currency and trade wars raise their heads? (Yes). Will the US go out with full-blown trade war and sanctions on? (Looks so).

It is impossible to estimate the long-term economic effect of all these questions on the global economy and any given country in particular. Therefore, we think it is best to refrain from giving numeric predictions. We are however on much firmer  ground to assess how countries will do relatively to each other. For this purpose, we may look at the GDP forecast given by the rating agency Fitch. Fitch predicts (April) that Russia would incur a 3.3% GDP cut, this while their predictions are much worse for Western countries, Fitch expecting eurozone GDP to decline by 7%, US GDP by 5.6%, and UK GDP by 6.3% in 2020. We would in fact expect a bigger GDP decline for those countries and perhaps for Russia as well, though with a major advantage for Russia.

When estimating the Russian GDP decline, one has to bear in mind that the fossil fuel sector makes up a much smaller portion of the GDP than commonly believed. According to the latest figures from the World Bank, we estimate it as forming 9% of the economic output. Furthermore, GDP growth is calculated based on production volumes rather than prices, and the former is  not expected to significantly decline. We estimate that Brent oil would cost $35 per barrel by the end of this year.

No galloping inflation this time. Rate cuts expected

Not only the Russian government is financially solid, but also corporations and households. Household debt in Russia is also the lowest among major countries. At the same time, Russians have – proportionally – much more savings than for example Americans. Furthermore, there is no reason to expect Russian unemployment to rise beyond 9%. We estimate that most probably it will not exceed  7% by year-end. Meanwhile, unemployment already has shot up to 20% in the US. Russia also has in store for the hard times the possibility to slash interest rates, hardly an option for Western countries who already are at zero or negative rates. Already in April, the Russian central bank  cut the key rate by 0.5% to 5.5%. As inflation has not picked up, we see room for further rate cuts down to 4% within the next half year.

In all the financial crises Russia has experienced since 1990, the big problem was always the galloping inflation. This time however, inflation didn’t budge beyond a small initial shock. The difference is the incredible story of Russia’s solid finances and the amazing success of its important substitution policies. Import substitution is what Russians call the efforts to bring in manufacturing and food production onshore. This process was intensified after the West imposed sanctions on Russia in the wake of the Ukrainian crisis. As a result, Russia now is virtually self-sufficient in food and even exporting a surplus. Russia has also come close to self-sufficiency in medicine. Overall, Russia has by far the absolutely smallest share of imports relative to the total economy among all major countries. So far, critics of Russia have focused on the relatively smaller level of export of manufactured goods, while they failed to realize the importance of the vastly more significant domestic autarky.

This success of domestic production is what put an end to Russia’s vicious inflation cycle. Earlier, when Russia was dependent on foreign imports and energy exports, the ruble plummeted and prices shot up during a crisis. This is not the case anymore.

Oil price won’t break the bear’s back

This time even the sharp plunge in oil prices did not break Russia’s back. There have even been speculations that Russia has not been trying especially hard to prevent the rumored tripartite oil price war between itself, Saudi Arabia and the United States. The influential oil and energy news source reported in March that Russia could well cope – thanks to its built up reserves and financial solidity – with oil prices as low as $25 per barrel up to 10 years from point of view of keeping the countries budget afloat and foreign reserves intact. Meanwhile experts deemed that the Saudis would barely last for 2 years. Anton Siluanov, the minister of finance, estimated in late April that the money in the sovereign wealth fund will suffice to see the country through to 2024 according to the present situation assessment. The balance should be 7 trillion rubles ($90 bn) at the end of the year. The minister expects that the total cost of the corona response would be only 6.5% of GDP. (We assume, this means over next two years). The main source of funding the crisis response would consist of borrowings.

No blanket bailouts and money printing

Although business associations and the financial press have been criticizing the government for insufficient support in response to the crisis, we think it is good that the government has been cautious in this regard. The European governments have announced massive packages; the ECB has opened up an unlimited tab for bond purchases; the US government is doling out trillions; and the Fed was at $6 trillion bailouts and QE last time we checked. Russia on the contrary has not announced any blanket bailouts or QE monetary easing and bond purchases. All that big business has received so far is a paltry $10 million in tax deferments. The government is readying a program for them. Anything paid out however, in form of loans or other financing, will be considered case-by-case. Most importantly, the government has announced that only companies that refrain from mass lay-offs  will be eligible.

So far, there has been more direct support for SMEs, most importantly with a 50% reduction in employer’s social contribution. Direct support has also gone to front-line sufferers of the corona restrictions, enterprises in non-food retail, restaurants, bars, leisure, sports etc. In general, the relief provided to those is rather inadequate and unfortunately many of those companies are expected to go bankrupt. The support to households has been twofold. Most importantly, employers have been forced to bear the cost of  the stay-home regime, as the government mandated that they have to pay full salaries during this period. Dismissals, furloughing and reduction of pay was outlawed, although there are reports that many have proceeded to do so anyway. However, all such actions can be contested in court.

Russia relies on market mechanisms

Russia mainly and correctly relies on market forces to take it out of the crisis. This is only possible because Russia still being  one of the few countries in the world that still runs a market economy. Russia of all countries in the world is in the unique position to conduct a classical countercyclical fiscal and monetary policy on all fronts. (It’s classical according to theory, but as far as we know, first time ever applied in practice). It means dipping into a budget deficit in hard times after having secured surpluses when the going was good. It means using reserves from the sovereign wealth fund, to fund public works. It also means slashing the interest rates, when it is needed to ease monetary conditions and stimulate the economy.

Russia now the world’s fifth largest economy ahead of Germany

With corona dominating the news, the business media entirely  missed the latest IMF GDP figures for 2019, made official on April 22. The PPP conversion now showed that Russia had passed Germany as the world’s fifth largest economy. The other stunning fact was that the Chinese economy is now one-third bigger than the US. Note also, once the UK will be deducted from the EU totals, India alone will be very close to overtake the EU in economic size. We stress that the PPP conversion is the only sensible way to measure the relative size of countries’ economies. The PPP measures the real output of goods and services, whereas the nominal GDP only measures how expensive one country is relative to another. We have explained the difference between PPP and nominal GDP in this article. If anybody still wants to take comfort in the nominal figures in an attempt to cling on to a lost world, then by all means do carry on, who are we to stop you?

Russia is the 5th economy in the World

Most importantly, these figures show a trend, which cannot be denied. Note, these are not adjusted for debt levels. If we would do that – reduce the artificial GDP portion achieved through wasteful (non-productive) debt – then Russia would come out even far better. Actually, we have earlier done such an exercise on reducing debt from countries’ GDP and the results were shocking. You can access that report here. At the end, we are sure that due to the corona crisis Russia, China and India will extend their relative GDP leads. Therefore, our advice: Go East, corporations, young and old.

Armenian Military to Get More Russian Warplanes

Armenia’s Air Force will receive more Sukhoi Su-30SM fighter jets from Russia soon, Defense Minister Davit Tonoyan said on Tuesday. Four such multirole jets were delivered to an airbase in Gyumri late last month less than a year after the signing of a relevant Russian-Armenian contract. Financial and other terms of the deal are still not known. Tonoyan said in February that Yerevan plans to buy eight more Su-30SMs in the coming years. The minister was asked on Tuesday by reporters when the next batch of the advanced warplanes will be delivered to Armenia. “Soon,” he replied. He did not elaborate.

The Armenian Air Force had no fighter jets until this year. It largely consisted of 15 or so low-flying Su-25 aircraft designed for air-to-ground missions. Su-30SM can perform a much broader range of military tasks with more long-range and precision-guided weapons. It is a modernized version of a heavy fighter jet developed by the Sukhoi company in the late 1980s. The Russian military first commissioned such jets in 2012. Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian described their acquisition as a “turning point for the security of Armenia” when he spoke at the Gyumri airbase on December 27. He also noted that the Armenian military has received the “first batch” of Su-30SMs.

According to Tonoyan and Pashinian, Armenia also acquired large quantities of other Russian-made weapons in the course of 2019. Those include sophisticated Tor-M2MK air-defense systems. The Defense Ministry in Yerevan has said that they will “considerably” strengthen Armenia’s air defenses. Russia has always been the principal source of military hardware supplied to the Armenian army. Membership in Russian-led Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) allows Armenia to acquire Russian weapons at knockdown prices and even for free.

Russian Top Gun 'headbutts' B-52 Over Black Sea: Russian Forces Ram American Armoured Vehicle in Syria
  • Two Russian Su-27 fighter jets intercepted B-52 bomber over Black Sea on Friday
  • US Air Force accused Russian pilots of coming within 100ft of B-52 bomber
  • Pentagon released video showing one Su-27 flying directly in front of the B-52 
  • Russia said it sent warplanes because B-52 was 'headed for Russian border'
  • On Friday, US flew six B-52 bombers over all 30 members of the NATO alliance
  • Military tensions appear to be ratcheting up between two Cold War-era foes 
  • Four US troops were hurt when Russian vehicle sideswiped them in Syria
  • Russia on Friday confirmed that it was holding major war games near Alaska
  • Fishermen in Bering Sea reported being alarmed by presence of Russian assets
  • Russian nuclear submarine Omsk surfaced in international water near Alaska 
  • They are the largest drills Russia has held in the area since Soviet times
The Pentagon has released new video of a Russian Su-27 fighter jet veering directly into the path of an American B-52 bomber in what US officials decried as an 'unsafe and unprofessional' intercept. The B-52 was conducting 'routine operations' over the Black Sea on Friday morning when two Russian Su-27s crossed within 100ft of its nose multiple times in international airspace, the Air Force said in a statement Saturday. In one particularly alarming clip, one of Su-27s is seen pulling up next to the B-52's left wing before swerving directly in front of its nose. The Russian pilots conducted the dangerous maneuver - which is often referred to as 'thumping' or a 'head-butt' and can be extremely dangerous - by shifting into afterburner mode. In modern aviation, when pilots activate afterburners, it injects fuel directly into the exhaust stream of a turbine engine, increasing the thrust so that the aircraft can accelerate. The Pentagon said the repeated maneuvers caused turbulence for the B-52, making it difficult for the pilot to maintain control of the aircraft.
Video captured the moment a Russian Su-27 fighter jet veered directly into the path of an American B-52 bomber over the Black

'Actions like these increase the potential for midair collisions, are unnecessary, and inconsistent with good airmanship and international flight rules,' said General Jeff Harrigian of US Air Forces in Europe-Air Forces Africa commander. 'While the Russian aircraft were operating in international airspace, they jeopardized the safety of flight of the aircraft involved. 'We expect them to operate within international standards set to ensure safety and prevent accidents.' The Russian government did not share the American assessment of the incident. The Defense Ministry in Moscow said in a statement that the American B-52 was 'approaching the state border of the Russian Federation.' 'To identify the air target and prevent violation of the state border of Russia, two Su-27 fighters were raised into the air,' according to the Russian Defense Ministry. 'After the foreign military plane turned away from the state border, the Russian fighter safely returned to the home airfield.

'The entire flight of Russian Su-27 fighters took place strictly in accordance with international rules for the use of airspace. 'The American aircraft was not allowed to violate the state border of the Russian Federation.' Russian and American planes frequently intercept each other over in international airspace that borders sensitive areas with geopolitical significance. The incident is the latest indicator of increased military tensions between the two Cold War-era foes. The Russian military on Thursday blamed US troops for a collision of Russian and US military vehicles in Syria's northeast. US officials said Wednesday that a Russian vehicle sideswiped a light-armored US military vehicle, injuring four Americans, while two Russian helicopters flew overhead, one as close as 70 feet from the US vehicle. On Friday, the US military flew B-52 bombers over all 30 NATO member countries in what is perceived by observers as a show of force meant to dispel doubts about Washington's commitment to the alliance.
This is the moment before the Russian vehicle from which the video footage came hits the US armored vehicle as the two patrols move fast across a field in the east of Syria with a Russian military helicopter flying low overhead

'Six US Air Force B-52 Stratofortress strategic bombers will fly over all 30 NATO nations in Europe and North America on August 28,' US European Command said in a statement Friday. Meanwhile, the Russian navy conducted major war games near Alaska involving dozens of ships and aircraft, the military said on Friday, the biggest such drills in the area since Soviet times. Russia's navy chief, Adm. Nikolai Yevmenov, said that more than 50 warships and about 40 aircraft were taking part in the exercise in the Bering Sea, which involved multiple practice missile launches. 'We are holding such massive drills there for the first time ever,' Yevmenov said in a statement released by the Russian Defense Ministry. As part of the exercises, the Russian nuclear submarine Omsk surfaced near Alaska on Thursday, U.S. military officials said.

The North American Aerospace Defense Command and U.S. Northern Command are closely monitoring the submarine, Northern Command spokesman Bill Lewis said. 'We have not received any requests for assistance from the Russian Navy or other mariners in the area,' Lewis said from Peterson Air Force Base in Colorado. 'We always stand ready to assist those in distress.' Lewis declined to provide further details about the submarine, including its proximity to Alaska. He only said it was operating in international waters near Alaska. 'We closely track vessels of interest, including foreign military naval vessels, in our area of responsibility,' Lewis said. The Russian military exercise is taking place in international waters, well outside the US territorial sea, he said. The presence of Russian military assets in the war games caused a stir for U.S. commercial fishing vessels in the Bering Sea on Wednesday, the U.S. Coast Guard said. 'We were notified by multiple fishing vessels that were operating out the Bering Sea that they had come across these vessels and were concerned. So they contacted us,' Coast Guard spokesman Kip Wadlow said earlier Thursday.

The Coast Guard contacted the Alaskan Command at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson, which confirmed the ships were there as part of a pre-planned Russian military exercise that was known to some U.S. military officials, Wadlow said. Wadlow did not have information about the scope of the exercise or how many Russian vessels were involved, referring those questions to the Alaskan Command. Officials at the Anchorage base referred questions to Air Force officials at the U.S. Northern Command. It wasn't immediately clear when the exercises began or if they had finished. Yevmenov emphasized that the war games are part of Russia´s efforts to boost its presence in the Arctic region and protect its resources. 'We are building up our forces to ensure the economic development of the region,' he said. 'We are getting used to the Arctic spaces.' The Russian military has rebuilt and expanded numerous facilities across the polar region in recent years, revamping runways and deploying additional air defense assets.

Russia has prioritized boosting its military presence in the Arctic region, which is believed to hold up to one-quarter of the Earth´s undiscovered oil and gas. Russian President Vladimir Putin has cited estimates that put the value of Arctic mineral riches at $30 trillion. Russia's Pacific Fleet, whose assets were taking part in the maneuvers, said the Omsk nuclear submarine and the Varyag missile cruiser launched cruise missiles at a practice target in the Bering Sea as part of the exercise. The maneuvers also saw Onyx cruise missiles being fired at a practice target in the Gulf of Anadyr from the coast of the Chukchi Peninsula, it added. Russian state RIA Novosti news agency quoted Russia's Pacific Fleet sources as saying that the surfacing of the Omsk nuclear submarine was routine. Also late Thursday, NORAD sent F-22 fighter jets to intercept three groups of two Tu-142 Russian maritime patrol aircraft that came close to Alaska. The Russian aircraft remained in the area for about five hours and came within 50 nautical miles of Alaska. Officials said the Russian jets remained in international air space, and at no time entered United States or Canadian sovereign air space. 'Our northern approaches have had an increase in foreign military activity as our competitors continue to expand their military presence and probe our defenses,' Gen. Glen D. VanHerck, commander of NORAD, said in a statement. '

This year, we´ve conducted more than a dozen intercepts, the most in recent years. The importance of our continued efforts to project air defense operations in and through the north has never been more apparent.' It cited former Russian navy's chief of staff, retired Adm. Viktor Kravchenko, as saying that by having the submarine surface in the area the navy may have wanted to send a deliberate signal. 'It's a signal that we aren't asleep and we are wherever we want,' RIA Novosti quoted Kravchenko as saying. The presence of Russian military assets in the area caused a stir for U.S. commercial fishing vessels in the Bering Sea on Wednesday. 'We were notified by multiple fishing vessels that were operating out the Bering Sea that they had come across these vessels and were concerned,' U.S. Coast Guard spokesman Kip Wadlow said Thursday. The Coast Guard contacted the Alaskan Command at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson, which confirmed the ships were there as part of a pre-planned Russian military exercise that was known to some U.S. military officials, he said. The Russian military has expanded the number and the scope of its war games in recent years as Russia-West relations have sunk to their lowest level since the Cold War after Russia's 2014 annexation of Ukraine's Crimean Peninsula, and other crises.

Putin mocks U.S. embassy for flying rainbow flag

FILE PHOTO: A rainbow flag flies in support of the LGBT community at the British Embassy in Moscow

President Vladimir Putin on Friday mocked the U.S. embassy in Moscow for flying a rainbow flag to celebrate LGBT rights, suggesting it reflected the sexual orientation of its staff. His comments followed a nationwide vote on constitutional reforms that included an amendment enshrining the definition of marriage specifically as a union between a man and a woman. Putin said the U.S. embassy's move to raise the LGBT pride flag "revealed something about the people that work there".

"It's no big deal though. We have spoken about this many times, and our position is clear," said Putin, who has sought to distance Russia from liberal Western values and aligned himself with the Russian Orthodox Church. "Yes, we passed a law banning the propaganda of homosexuality among minors. So what? Let people grow up, become adults and then decide their own destinies."

The legislation has been used to stop gay pride marches and detain gay rights activists. Putin said during the campaign to change the constitution that he would not let the traditional notion of a mother and father be subverted by what he called "parent number 1" and "parent number 2".

On Friday, the head of the Women's Union of Russia, Ekaterina Lakhova, told Putin that she feared an ice cream with the brand name 'Rainbow', as well as other multi-coloured advertising, could constitute propaganda for non-traditional values and have a harmful effect on children, the RIA news agency reported.

"Even indirectly, such things make our children accustomed to that ... flag, the one that was hung up by the embassy," Lakhova was cited as saying. "It would be very good to have a commission to make sure that those values that we enshrined in our constitution are upheld," she said. Other countries have also flown rainbow flags outside their embassies in Moscow, including Britain.

Ռուսաստանն ատոմային հրետանի է տեղակայել Ադրբեջանից 180 կմ հեռավորության վրա

ՌԴ նախագահ Վլադիմիր Պուտինի հայտարարված զորքերի մարտունակության անակնկալ ստուգման շրջանակներում Ինգուշեթիայում մեծ հզորության հրետանային ստորաբազանումներ են գործարկվել, հաղորդում է «Российская газета»-ն: Ինչպես հաղորդում է Հարավային ռազմական օկրուգի մամուլի ծառայությունը, գործողության համաձայն «Смерч» և «Ураган» համազարկային կրակի ռեակտիվ համակարգերի միաժամանակյա հարվածին կաջակցեն «Малка» ինքնագնաց հրետանային կայանքի և «Тюльпан» 240 միլիմետրանոց ինքնագնաց ականանետի: Նշվում է, որ «Тюльпан»-ը համարվում է ռուսական բանակի ամենամեծ տրամաչափ ունեցող ականանետը: Այն ունակ է խոցել թշնամու լավ ամրացված պաշտպանական կառույցները: «Тюльпан»-ի կրակային հեռավորությունը հասնում է 20 կիլոմետրի: Այդ ականանետի առանձնահատկություններից է կիրառվող ռազմամթերքի արսենալը: «Тюльпан»-ը ունակ է ականակոծել երկու կիլոտոննա հզորությամբ ջերմամիջուկային ականներից: Հիշեցնենք՝ ՆԱՏՕ-ի խոսնակ Օանա Լունգեսկուն դատապարտել է Ռուսաստանի զորքերի մարտունակության անակնկալ ստուգումը: Նշենք, որ ՆԱՏՕ անդամ երկրներից են նաև ԱՄՆ-ն և Թուրքիան:


Россия перебросила в Армения свои средства ПВО, РЭБ и артиллерию - этого хватает чтобы разбить армию и Азербайджана, и Турции

Россия перебросила в Армению вооружения, позволяющее разбить армию Турции и Азербайджана вместе взятые.

Согласно имеющимся в распоряжении ресурса данным, начиная с середины июля российские военные самолёты совершили огромное количество загадочных рейсов в Армению, перебросив сюда, как сообщается, порядка 400 тонн военных грузов. Согласно данным, речь идёт о современнейшем вооружении, включая средства противовоздушной обороны, РЛС малой, средней и большой дальности, комплексы радиоэлектронного подавления, средства артиллерии и пр. По некоторым, не имеющим пока никакого подтверждения данным, в Армению могли быть переброшены дополнительные ПВО малой и большой дальности, включая ЗРК С-300.

«Президент Азербайджана Ильхам Алиев в ходе телефонного разговора с российским лидером Владимиром Путиным накануне, 12 августа, поднял вопрос о поставках в Армению начиная с 17 июля свыше 400 тонн военных грузов. Об этом говорится в опубликованном сегодня сообщении пресс-службы президента Азербайджана. «После столкновений на армяно-азербайджанской границе, из России через воздушное пространство Казахстана, Туркменистана и Ирана в Армению было доставлено свыше 400 тонн военных грузов и основной целью его телефонного звонка является прояснить этот вопрос», — указывается в релизе. В частности, Алиев заявил, что, начиная с 17 июля, имеют место интенсивные грузовые поставки военного назначения из РФ в Армению, и этот вопрос вызывает серьезное беспокойство в Азербайджане», - об этом сообщает «EA Daily».

Специалисты в свою очередь обращают внимание на тот факт, что Армения, в отличие от Азербайджана, является страной членом ОДКБ, и в условиях конфликта, Россия, а, равно и другие члены ОДКБ, вполне могут оказывать Еревану всю необходимую помощь, в том числе и военную, в связи с чем, претензии со стороны Баку являются совершенно неоправданными, особенно на фоне продолжающихся атак против Армении.

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  1. As the empire's star is fading, Russia's star continues to rise. Russia's star continues to rise after the genocidal Bolshevik revolution, after the genocidal Nazi invasion, after the genocidal aftermath of the Soviet Union's collapse. Russia's rise as a global power is as important to Armenians as it is to Russians. Glory to Mother Russia. I want to personally thank comrade Zoravar for this long overdue and brilliant as always military analysis. I always feel like a child in a candy store when reading his work. Thank you again, Zoravar. Please feel free to make any amendments/changes to the report. Please also feel free to comment on the military parade that took place last week.

  2. Thank you Arevordi.

    Some fresh news from Armenia where production of Kalashnikov Assault rifles has started.
    Note: These are real and certified rifles under full Russian licence, not cheap and illegal copies. The licensed production agreement was signed in August 2018.


  3. When the US embassy raised the LGBT flag on its building:

    Putin's response was: "Who works in this building?". "Let them celebrate. They've shown a certain something about the people who work there," he added with a smile.

    The response of Moscow residents was a projection on the embassy building. The English translation of the writing on the projection is: "1993--it was yours (constitution), 2020--it is now our (constitution)"

    But the best response is the behavior of the young male and female cadets that were taking a break between military parade rehearsals. Watch them behave naturally as real boys and girls should (from 3:16 in the video):

  4. I'm not sure if Zoravar had taken into account the first red flags that the US military raised when they ran a simulation back in 2002 in what became known as the Millennium Challenge 2002 that resulted in General Van Riper leading a fictional version of the Iranian military winning against the US forces. If a fictional military enemy can win against the might of the US military, what more could they do against an actual, powerful enemy like Russia and China?

    Regarding MuricaMaidan (or the Maidan in America), we've seen a couple of incidents that can easily go out of control. The picture of a bunch of armed black people looks intimidating. I honestly though I would have made a meme of it under the caption "African-American Volunteers Heading off to Donbass". Make no mistake about this: the US will have its own Donbass, and the Democrat-held areas will become the new Donetsk and Luhansk People's Republics. We're seeing an American Novorossiya at this point, and the reactionaries might as well form their own Azov Battalions. Speaking of which:

    14 Powerful Words: Despites Arrests and Repression, Nationalism Rising All Across the White World

    AS you can see, several individuals in the US had already come to Ukraine to get military training from the Azov Battalion and had already made connections with Right Sector. There is no doubt that the Second American Civil War would be far bloodier than that of Ukraine's own conflict.

  5. Wonderful surprise, welcome back Zoaravar! I really enjoy reading your analysis. Believe me I get more from your analysis than from main stream experts. Style of your writing is very analytical and easy to understand and Arevordi can get very poetic and philosophical sometimes. You two make a great team. Keep up the good work comrade. Now I have a question. Do you have any information on the big explosion in northern Russia last year? I know its top secret but was wondering if you came across any gossip or leaks. Thank you in advance.

    1. Thank you Arto1.

      As for last year's incident. I believe you are referring to the "Burevestnik" missile incident. You can find some vague details in the link below including a video. Burevestnik is a secret weapon program: it is a cruise missile that uses a miniaturized nuclear power plant for propulsion, hence it has unlimited range. It is still in testing and not in service yet.

      Evidence Grows That Russia's Nuclear-Powered Doomsday Missile Was What Blew Up Last Week (Updated)

    2. Thank you Zoravar, So very little is still known about this accident or the weapon. Mini nuclear powerplant in a cruise missile with unlimited range sounds amazing. If you don't mind one more question about what's going on in Syria. Your report did not say anything about Israeli air strikes in Syria. Whats the background story to those, why cant they still stop it from happening?

    3. Arto1,

      The raging Syria civil war depleted Syrian Arab Army including its never so stellar air defense capabilities, thus enabling the Israeli Air Force to have a free hand and fly all over Syria (including over Bashar Al-Assad's palace) and strike anywhere at will.
      Later on, the Russians reorganized the Syrian Air Defense system and re-trained the personnel. As of today, the Syrians can defend themselves using short range (20 km) PANTSIR and medium range (40 km) BUK-M2 anti-aircraft missile complexes. For the last couple of years, the Israeli pilots are staying away from the engagement envelops of these 2 modern weapons. Virtually all their strikes consist of long range air to ground missiles launched from the skies over the Mediterranean, Lebanon or Israel itself. They are avoiding Syrian airspace.
      The PANTSIRs and BUKs are managing to shoot down some of these missiles, but most are getting through. What the Syrians lack is a good modern long range system to engage the Israeli airplanes over Lebanon for example. Symbolically they received a battery of S-300 missile system, however it remains under Russian control and is not being used to defend against these attacks.
      Currently, the only long range Surface to Air missile in the Syrian arsenal is the antiquated S-200. Despite its obsolescence, an S-200 missile shot down an Israeli F-16 over Israeli territory in 2018 and there are reports that it also damaged a stealthy F-35 over Lebanon in 2019 (the Israeli claim it was a bird strike). But it also downed (by mistake) a Russian Il-20 spy plane.
      To defend themselves better, the Syrians need a few batteries of S-300 (or S-400) systems, good modern radar coverage and well trained professionals. Otherwise, I expect the Israelis to keep on launching these attacks. Note that Uncle Sam is paying for the expensive missiles that the Israeli Air Force is using.
      The strikes themselves are mostly targeting Iranian and Hezbollah targets assets on Syrian territory. So, the Russians are not getting involved in this matter. In my opinion, Russia and Iran may have some common interest and objectives in Syria, but these 2 countries are not allies (they have never been allies throughout history). Let the Iranians defend themselves. Actually, I think the Kremlin would enjoy watching Iran and Israel engaging each other in a war of attrition.

    4. I knew this question would come up. One more time: Russia is not in Syria to fight Israel, USA or Turkey. Russia is in Syria to make sure Islamic radicals get defeated, the Alawite government and the Bashar regime maintains power, and Moscow preserves its military presence on the eastern Mediterranean. Period. So far, it has done a magnificent job in that regard. S-300 missiles are in Syria NOT to shoot down the dozens of bombs and/or air-to-ground missiles that the IAF fires/drops every time it wants to hit some site in Syria, but to protect the government and highly sensitive/important military sites. You don't use a highly sophisticated/expensive missile to shoot down a small missile or bomb, especially when they are NOT threatening the government or the military. At some point, Syrians and Iranians need to get their act together and oppose/resist Israel more effectively. Fighting Israel or even Turkey is NOT what Russia is in Syria for...

    5. Anonymous BostonianJuly 10, 2020 at 10:25 PM

      Thank you for your service Zoravar.

      I always read this blog and your work with great interest.
      Is the Kinzhal the only hypersonic missile in active duty operation today and do you know if it has been tested in Syria?
      I understand what you and Arevordi are saying about Syria and Iran and Israel. Still it is very frustrating to watch yahudis strike at will. Some news reports also say they are operating in skies over eastern Syria so that means deep inside Syria. How are they getting there through Jordan and Iraq? They are also hitting sites inside Iran with cyber warfare.
      I understand why Russia wants to avoid a confrontation with a major power like Israel but what are Syrians and and Iranians doing to stop this? Southfront had these two article about this issue

      Iran To Help Syria With Air Defense To Repel US, Israeli Attacks

      Wave Of Explosions And Fires At Critical Infrastructure Objects Hits Iran. Sabotage Or Accidents?

    6. Anonymous Bostonian,
      I am glad you enjoyed my article.

      This is what we know:
      - KINZHAL is the first hypersonic missile in service. In fact, it was already in operational service when Putin revealed this top secret weapon during his March 2018 State of the Nation speech. There is no information on it being used in Syria.
      - The AVANGARD hypersonic glider has also entered service in 2019. It is of strategic importance as it has intercontinental range.
      - The antiship ZIRCON has been test-fired by the Gorshkov frigate. Next it will be fired from a submarine and then mass produced into service. Most new Russian Navy ships and submarines are designed to carry it. Some older vessels are being renovated to do so as well. Here is a fresh video released today of an older destroyer (the Marshal Shaposhnikov) that has just finished such a modernization and has gone on sea trials:
      - No nation other than Russia has currently hypersonic missiles in service. It is expected the other nations such as the USA, Japan and China who are hard at work in developing them will be able to field working models in no less than 10 years.

      This is what we don't know:
      - Do Russians have other models of hypersonic missiles in service? Do they have other secret weapons that they are not revealing?

  6. Romanian AnonymusJuly 9, 2020 at 8:04 AM

    @the bloody collapse of the French Empire and the Russian Empire two-hundred years and one-hundred years ago respectively

    When I came to this line, the 'chicken come home to roost' line sprung in my mind. I was gloating: what comment I would make! But reading further I found out that you took the shine off me! You said it.
    So, I would just add a bit of Romanian wisdom: "cine seamănă vînt culege furtună/whoever sows the wind reaps the storm". And it looks like a category 5 storm.

    1. Greetings Romanian,

      What's going on the United States is not a category 5 storm. Not yet. The empire still has a lot of life left in it. The country is not in a free fall. What's happening instead is a steady downward decline. We will however one day see a final category 5 storm and that will collapse the current system. I believe this will happen during the lifetime of those alive today. At the end of the day, what's important for me is Russia. A healthy and powerful Russia - and one run by ethnic Russian Christians - is not only important for Russians but also for a multitude of nations around the world. As you can see with Zoravar's military analysis, the country's star continues to rise. Their embattled economy however is still, relatively speaking, weak. The Kremlin needs to continue working on total self-reliance. They also need to finally cut their umbilical cords with Western financial institutions. Total independence from Western banking institutions and products (where the real power of the Western world lies) is the only way to become truly independent. Nevertheless, we recently saw the birth of the New America. New America is still an infant. It will however eventually grow up and overpower the old system. Nothing will be the same going forward, not for Americans, not for the global population...

    2. the "old system" is the globalist system in place before all this. that is what they are trying to preserve with this situation in the world today. what comes after is a more state-focused, regional-focused system. More nationalist, less globalist system. For the us, that would mean less of a role in the world. this is where the new world is headed, according to some. That is what trump represents. If trump looses, that means the "old system" prevails and stays in tact. Ur take on it?

    3. I don't think I fully understood what you are asking or trying to convey. The "old system" or "Old America" I am referring to in the commentary is the US system of government founded in the early 19th century. The Anglo-American-Jewish paradigm and/or Globalism is a different topic. Despite significant changes in US society/culture during the past 50 somewhat years, the governing system and the dominant White culture is still intact to a great degree - especially from the perspective of the growing numbers of non-Whites in the country...

    4. Sorry, i'll try to be more clear. I'm not talking about what's happening in the us on a domestic/internal scale. In fact, I think it's beyond stupid. at least the us owns up to its past and its wrongs, unlike turkey, for instance. the us is very strict in application of the law when it comes to any matter regarding race. you can't keep this country together otherwise. That is why,for instance, hampig sassounian is still locked up (it was deemed a racial hate crime). also interesting to note despite all going on, the "us policy on the matter of (of the AG) remains unchanged," after trumps spokesman's slip of the mount.

      I'm talking about what's taking place on a much wider scale, of which the us is the main battlefront. the "ashxara-karq". whatever the opposite of globalism is, that's where the new ashxara-karq is headed. and what's going on in the world today is an attempt by the globalist ashxara-karq to preserve itself. its in essence a hybrid war. the us is the main battlefront in this struggle. for that reason, the outcome is November is going to determine the ashxara-karq that will come to be. that is also why trump and putin appear to collaborating to defeat globalism, not necessarily that they're allies, but collaborating against a common threat. anyhow, that's what i'm hearing and find it intriguing, and would love your thoughts about that.

      (also, there's new information come to light regarding Floyd that's being censored).

    5. There are some unprecedented aspects/elements with what's going on in the US but in the big picture what's happening in the country today is not new. The US has been an active battlefront for Globalist interests since the late 1950s, early 1960s (e.g. civil rights movements; school integration; anti-war movements; the sexual revolution; growing numbers of regulatory agencies; promotion of abortions, liberalism, feminism and homosexuality; increased amounts of immigration from third world countries; etc...). The "racial sensitivity" credit you are giving the US political system (e.g. "the US owes up to its past") is in fact a direct consequence of the Globalist/Neo-Marxist agenda (social engineering) in American society. In other words, it's been imposed on the system. The racial sensitivity shown by the US government (which is now gradually turning into reverse racism against Whites) is ultimately a by-product of Washington DC's defeat at the hands of the Globalists.

      In my opinion, the fight is reaching a climax today not because Globalists are fighting for their lives as you suggest (which implies they are weak) but because their agenda is succeeding to a great degree around the world, and some people are therefore waking up. We are seeing a struggle today because segments within the populations of embattled nations are finally waking up to the dangers of Globalism/Neo-Marxism. In my opinion, it's too little, too late - particularly for western/northern Europe and north America. Western/northern Europe and Northern America have been turned into a cesspool of atheism, moral ambiguity, materialism, sexual degeneracy and multiculturalism. In another generation or two western/northern Europe and north America will be unlivable for normal people. Despite what Trump will try to do to preserve the old system, the American empire will continue dying and a New America will continue being forming. No one will be able to stop this metamorphosis of the country. The new generation in the US (those born after 1990) is for the most part militantly multicultural and liberal, and hopelessly perverted and dumbed-down. In less than a generation (in about 20 years or so) the US will also have a non-White majority. And that will be the country's official death certificate, or death knell.

      So, in my humble opinion, the US, as we knew it, is all but dead. It's not coming back despite anything Trump is able to do. The genie is out of the bottle, so to speak. S, plan on retiring in Mexico if Armenia is not your thing. Nevertheless, this November's presidential election will truly be historic, and perhaps the single most important election since the founding of the United States.

      PS: What new information about Floyd's death are you talking about?

    6. Essentially, he was unruly, he was resisting, and he was uncontrollable. the officers followed protocol, and applied a technique they were trained in, deemed appropriate given the circumstances, against man much bigger than him. It would have played out the same way regardless if the guy were black, brown, purple or yellow. if behaved appropriately, it would not have transpired as it did.

      George Floyd’s harrowing final moments revealed in new transcripts as rookie cop asks court to dismiss manslaughter case

      ‘Tainting’ public opinion? Minneapolis court issues GAG ORDER in George Floyd trial after lawyer tells cop’s side of story

  7. To those who constantly voice their concern and frustration about the Israeli Air Force still delivering a weekly dose of strikes on Syria. I suggest to everybody to look at things in a different manner:

    Ask yourselves the following: Did those Israeli attacks prevent Bashar's government to re-establish control over most of Syria by recapturing Aleppo, Palmyra, Deir-El-Zor, Northern Hama, Jobar, Saraqib, Maarat-el-Numa, Daraya, Duma and many many other places from ISIS and other Jihadi groups? The answer is: NO.
    So, why bother too much about those inconsequential Israeli strikes?

    Is there any real benefit in "raising the ante" and confronting the Israelis with more and more Iranian arms and specialists arriving to Syria to "teach a lesson" to those "Yahoodis"? The answer is : I don't think so.

    Just like Hezbollah in Lebanon, the Syrian Army possesses Iranian rockets that have sufficient range to deliver retaliatory strikes on military installations in Israel. Should Bashar order his troops to do so? The answer is : I don't think so.

    War is war, it has no place for emotions. One should carefully choose the battles that are worth fighting. Escalating the limited skirmishes with Israel will in no way help the main objective of liberating the entire Syrian territories from foreign supported Jihadi madness. Just the contrary, confronting Israel will mean that the Syrian Army will have to divert its limited resources towards that country and forget about the main objectives.

    Bashar Al-Assad and the Iranians seem to understand this very well. They are tolerating the pain inflicted by the Israeli and are not falling into the trap by reacting too much to the "Yahoodi" provocations.

    1. Zoravar,

      There will always be a huge segment of people who will just not get it no matter what you say or do. Understanding politics and war is not for the sheeple but the sheeple make the most noise over it and they get exploited by our enemies because of that. I think you and Arevordi have a better grip over this kind of topics than most professionals I see today. Do not stop writing these reports I really enjoy them. Molodec Tovarish!

      Please make some additional comments on the SU30s our air force got lately. What's your take on their performance capabilities from an Armenian scenario.

    2. I am glad we have your full attention, Zoravar.

      My turn to ask you a question: Do you happen to have any information about the training Armenian pilots and ground crews received for the SU-30 SMs that are now in operation in Armenia? I know it's a very long, costly and difficult process to prepare good fighter pilots and maintenance crews, especially for advanced aircraft such as the SU-30 series. I therefore suspect that some of the aircraft actually came with Russian pilots and specialists/mechanics. Why would the pilots in this video have their sun visors down?

      Հաղթանակած հին և նոր սերունդները միասին են. հուզիչ տեսանյութ` նվիրված Հաղթանակի 75–ամյակին

      Also, I don't recall if I have asked you this before or not. The first link below is a standard cluster munition seen used in Syria. But what is the weapon recorded in the second link? It does not look like a conventional cluster bomb, or is the video doctored? -

      Russian jet drops cluster bombs on Aleppo, Syria

      Activists Allege Russian Cluster Bombing in Syria

    3. Karmir Yablochka and Arevordi,

      Here is what I can say about our Su-30 fighters:
      - The Su-30 is a large formidable multi-purpose fighter. At a full load take-off weight it weighs around 30 Tons (about the same weight as a 100 passenger airliner). No other country in the region has anything of the same class. It strengths are its super-maneuverability (thanks to superb aerodynamics, canard wings and thrust vectoring), long range (3000 km), advanced electronics (requires 2 pilots to handle the job) and advanced weaponry (total of up to 8000 kg can be carried). I don't know what weaponry we received from Russia at this early stage.
      - Further deliveries of this magnificent planes are expected in the future.
      - They had their first live firing exercise against ground targets last week.
      - I don't know if some Russian pilots/specialists/mechanics came with the planes, but I can almost certainly say that if the pilots are Armenian, than they must have spent some time training in Russia. The Su-30 is a complicated and sophisticated airplane. I just don't see our pilots simply jumping from the L-39 trainer or Su-25 attack planes straight into a Su-30 without some elaborate training including time on simulators. Armenia does not have this kind of facilities.
      - For security reasons, keeping sun visors down is nowadays common practice among Russian pilots when being video-taped or interviewed. They don't want to be identified because Jihadi nutcases can locate their homes/families in Russia and target them. Perhaps our pilots (if they are indeed ours) have similar concerns, or they are just following Russian practice or it is just to look "cool" in the video clip.
      - The last video link: It is not an air dropped cluster bomb, but it is definitely cluster ammunition. Most liked a barrage of Multiple Rocket Launchers with each rocket delivering its own sub-munitions.

    4. That video recording of cluster munitions explosions somewhere in Syria is just amazing. Never seen anything like that before. It looks apocalyptic. And, yes, you are right. It certainly looks like a barrage delivered from a MLRS.

      As much as I love the SU-30 as an aircraft I though its acquisition was a bit too much (overkill) for Armenia's needs. The SU-30 SM is more appropriate for larger, wealthier, more advanced nations. For Armenia's needs, upgraded Mig-29s and SU-27s or even the Yak-130 would have been more than enough. In any case, I am nevertheless very proud of the fact that we now have the SU-30 in our inventory. That said, do you know anything about the protection (e.g. electronic countermeasures) these warplanes have against Baku's air defenses? Also, it would be nice to know what is their air-to-air strike capability (type of missiles, range, homing guidance method, etc).

      Lastly, I still strongly suspect that some of our SU-30 SM are piloted by ethnic Russians. All the video recordings relating to Armenia's SU-30 that I have seen thus far shows the face of one Armenian pilot (the chubby guy with thinning hair), never the others. There has been talk that the Kremlin is planning to replace their squadron of Mig-29s stationed in Erebuni similarly with SU-30 SMs. In all probability, the Russian Mig-29 pilots stationed in Armenia are practicing on the SU-30 Armenia just received.

      «Այս ձեռքբերումը շրջադարձային նշանակություն ունի մեր անվտանգության ապահովման գործում». վարչապետ

      Հայ օդաչուների թռիչքները ՍՈՒ 30 կործանիչներով

      Տարվա մեր գլխավոր ձեռքբերումը. Փաշինյանը լայվով ցույց է տալիս «ՍՈւ 30 ՍՄ» ինքնաթիռները

      Հայաստանը Ռուսաստանից գնել է ՍՈւ-30ՍՄ կործանիչներ

      Why Russia Replace MiG-29 with Su-30SM in Armenia ?

    5. Thank you comrade Zoravar. In theory what kind of stand off weapon can our SU30s use to shoot down Azerbaijani Migs and what protection do ours have against their Migs?

    6. The weapons load available to this Sukhoi is impressive and, apart from various types of air-air missiles, includes a plethora of stand-off air -ground missiles including for example the KH-31P designed to home-in and destroy the opponents radars. But, at he moment, we simply don't know what kind of armament and equipment came with the delivery of our Su-30SM jet fighters.

      Arevordi, I agree that the Su-30SM may be disproportional to the needs and financial capabilities of our defense ministry. These planes are a bit too excessive for usage on the Artsakh battlefront. They are perhaps intended to be used in long range raids against targets deep inside Azeri territory perhaps by using Georgian or Iranian airspace...
      On the other hand, the Su-30SM acquisition (as well as ISKANDERs) becomes more logical and understandable if we think beyond the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict and focus on the Kremlin's Geo-strategy and Geo-politics in the entire Caucasus region and more specifically aimed at Turkey.

    7. Great job zoravar thats actually a great point the SU-30s are as a deterrent to turks more than azeris. I want to say I was very impressed with how fast russia built field hospitals during the pandemic. I love that new armed forces church. Great job!

  8. Armen Grigoryan aka California AnonymousJuly 12, 2020 at 12:50 AM

    Wonderful job to both of you Arevordi and Zoravar! This is what Armenians need to understand: Russians are our natural friends even if we have some problems with them, westerners are our natural enemies even if we have some good dealings with them. Arevordi I forgot all about your autumn 2017 commentary on Trump and America. I looked at it again it's prophetic, especially your expose of US Jews is execellent. But please be careful I would hate to see this blog to be shutdown because of stuff like this.

    1. Thank you, Armen. I am pretty sure I am in somebody's radar sights somewhere. I do at times get worried due to the truthful (and therefore controversial) content of this blog. But, the truth must be told. Virtually everything we see, hear and read today is controlled by one special interest or another. There are only a handful of truly independent voices in the vastness of cyberia daring to speak the truth. If I was to be censored for any reason I would stop doing what I do. What would be the point of this blog, and my existence, if I can't reveal the truth or speak my mind?

  9. We got one of their generals LOL!

    "Armenia and Azerbaijan forces fought Tuesday with heavy artillery and drones, leaving at least 16 people killed on both sides, including an Azerbaijani general, in the worst outbreak of hostilities in years."

    1. At Least 4 Azerbaijani Soldiers Killed In Resumed Border Clashes With Armenian Forces (Video)

      MAJOR: Open Conflict Erupts between Azerbaijan and Armenia – mediators push for calm

  10. The following is a not so veiled warning (and some political advice) to Armenia from a Russian source. Read the text or watch the video carefully. I have discussed this matter in this blog on many occasions in recent years. After more than 30 years of Westernization, "Complimentary Politics", CIA and George Soros funded color revolutions, and the resulting thorough dumbing-down of Armenian society in general, I wonder how many Armenians today are actually capable of fully understanding the existential nature of the dangers facing Armenia. The most recent clash between Armenian and Azerbaijani forces need to be looked at and assessed from within the context of the following message/warning from our partners in Russia. Additional note: One must be an utter fool to boast about Azeri losses. These limited scale cross-border skirmishes are meant to test Armenian defenses and send political messages. When the green light is given and Baku launches a major, multi-pronged attack, we will no doubt suffer serious losses in men, military hardware and land... After which Russians will simply step in and sweep up the mess on both sides, but by that time we will have lost a lot. Let's not forget that Armenia already has a serious depopulation problem, a tiny military, a near-dead economy, a George Soros run country and therefore an unstable political landscape -

    Crisis in Armenia and Balance of Power in South Caucasus

    Armenian-Azerbaijani Clashes Risk To Escalate Into Regional Conflict. At Least One General Already Killed (Videos)

    1. Do you think the time for that war has come (as predicted 2 years ago) or is there still a chance to salvage the situation by having Nikol ousted from power in the near future?

    2. I don't think it's that simple. Events seem to be following a clearly defined script. As I have been saying from day one, the psychopath was put into power for this very purpose; as well as a number of others things (e.g. ruining Armenia's ties with Russia, exploiting Armenia's gold, propagating homosexuality, opening Armenia's borders to third world immigration, etc) but primarily to settle the Artsakh conflict in accordance to the wishes of the "international community". In other words, we were given the rope (Nikol/Levon) to hang ourselves with, and we enthusiastically (i.e. duxov) took it. I talk about this in my two blog commentaries about Nikol. In a nutshell: Because Azerbaijani society and government are for the most part stable and agenda driven (in other words, they are immune to "democracy" and Westernization, and they don't have a western diaspora that has been pumping poisons into the country for decades) we Armenians were the - weak link - in the eyes of the international community, including Russia. So, the international conspiracy is on Yerevan, not Baku. Simply put: Anglo-American-Jewish powers and their Turkish allies in Ankara want to give one of their favorite gas stations (Baku) the upper hand in the conflict. At the same time, because Armenians have gone out of their way to prove to the Kremlin that Armenians cannot be trusted, Russia seeks to exploit the conflict between Yerevan and Baku to deploy troops in Artsakh. Moscow wants to finally close the open wound, which may in-turn lead to bringing Georgia back to Mother Russia as well. Therefore, Serj Sargsyan had to remove himself from the political scene in order to allow a pliable fool and a psychopath like Nikol to come in to finish the job laid out for him. And the "Armenian Street" loved it!!! In the big picture, we Armenians deserve the final defeat that is inevitably coming. For the two thousandth time in two thousand years we as a people are proving to be failures in politics and nation-building. This is why I say let Ivan and Natasha come in and takeover the show. We as a people seem to excel only when living within or under a larger power...

    3. I can understand why you're saying when you say let Ivan and Natasha come in and takeover, but I think from a purely modern-political point of view the game has changed. The trend is gone more towards dividing/partitioning countries rather than letting a country or two to unite, or one get absorbed into another one. If Ivan and Natasha were to come in and takeover, so be it, but realistically I don't see it happening, not because I want or don't want it to happen, but because we're not 1820 or 1920 when open imperial rule was the name of the game.

      But if you mean let Ivan and Natasha come in the sense that let Armenia get rid of its complimentary politics crap and westernization, that I get it.

      Truth of the matter is, we are living a lie. We think we're something that we're not. We're mentally screwed up. On one hand we suffer from victim mentality and inferiority complex when it comes to Turkey/the Genocide, on the other we suffer from superiority complex when it comes to Azerbaijan. We love to talk about our "glorious" past, but we never talk about what to do to fix the future. And we're stuck in this cycle which we should finally come out of.

      Even if we lose territory and have Russia come it and settle the score on both sides, we will still not our lesson.

      Are we doomed or what?

      I know I sound more subjective than usual, but it's because the culmination of all these events from 2008 (two thousand eight) to now has been getting to me more and more. The more I know, the more it hurts...

    4. Armenians are better fighters but we cant sustain a major war for a long period time. Our economy and population is too small and we have Moscow also upset with us now. Our enemies know we are getting weaker with each passing day, only a matter of time before we have a big war on our hands. Nikol Pashinyan and his Soros activists are the last people in the world we need in power right now.


    5. Ռազմիկ Արտաշես, don't get too hung up on my "Ivan and Natasha". My comments about the two mythical Russian saviors of Armenia are more for shock effect. I use it to push the point across that we Armenians despite our best efforts are simply incapable of nation-building in a complicated and dangerous place like the south Caucasus without direct, hands-on Russian involvement. I agree with you that the last thing Russia needs right now (and for the foreseeable future) is to incorporate a remote, poor, needy and problematic nation like Armenia into its national infrastructure. You are right, that kind of political culture no longer exists. What Moscow wants instead is a "dependent" Armenia, a dependent Azerbaijan, a dependent Georgia, etc. And what I wanted was an Armenia that was fully (not one foot in and one foot out) in the Russian orbit; an Armenia that concentrated its all assets and cleverly used it to lobby Armenian causes inside the most secretive chambers of the Kremlin; an Armenia that had enough backbone and spiritual depth to resist Westernization and Globalism. What I got instead was 30-plus years of Westernization, complimentary politics, political instability, economic decay, cultural decline, collaborations with Anglo-Americans-Jews, anti-Russian protests, color revolutions, CIA and Georgie Soros funded government officials, Cuban transvestites, Indian migrant workers, etc. This is why I say we desperately need "Ivan and Natasha"...

      Regarding Armenians: Maybe it's because of our old genetic heritage but we Armenians are truly a weird bunch of people. We are a people of extremes. We have no middle-ground in anything. We also exhibit duality in our collective character. We want law and order but we don't want to follow laws and regulations. We claim not to like bribery or cronyism but we are the first ones to offer bribes and exploit our connections. We think we are European but we act Central Asian or Middle Eastern. We want Russia to be our friends but we want to befriend Russia's enemies. On one hand we act very boastful and brave, on the other hand we act meek and cowardly. On one hand we can be very giving, nice and honest, on the other hand we can be nasty, backstabbing and gluttonous. On one hand we think very highly about ourselves, on the other hand we hate ourselves to the point of abandoning or changing our identity. We are overly proud, but we are not at all nationalistic. We are great talkers, but we simply are not doers. We love money and living the good life, but we hate to work. We think we are better than Russians (because Migoyan and Baghramyan were Armenian!!!), but we want Russians to fight our wars, build our country and feed our children. We look down on Natasha for being sexually promiscuous, while thousands of Armenian girls/women prostitute themselves in Turkey. And after all we have been through and after all we have seen, a significant number of Armenians still think Armenia's future lies with the West. Armenians are like troubled children; innocent and likeable but very unruly, unstable and problematic at the same time. We are just a weird bunch of people, and that is why we have the history that we have...

    6. Greetings, it has been sometime since I last posted. Good to see that the discussion has remained active here. Some points I wanted to make in regards to the recent escalation along the border between Armenia and azerbaijan.

      First, southfront is not a reliable analytical website. I do not put much stock in their articles. The first link is an article from 2 years ago, and many of the claims made did not come to pass. The 2nd article is moronic to say the least. Just read the last paragraph. It is clear that the author is unaware that Armenia and Russia have a bilateral security agreement that predates and compliments the CSTO agreement. Moreover, the Russians may have good economic ties with turkey but they have not forgotten all the anti Russia games erdogan has played in the last 10 years. Russia, unlike many states in the west, does not put its national interests below economic and financial considerations.

      Per azerbaijan, sure their military has upgraded quite a bit and in some respects has overtaken our own. But just as saudi arabia has a lot of advanced weaponry yet still can not defeat the Houthis in Yemen, the azerbaijanis can have all the toys they want but if they are manned by dimwits or people who do not have their backs against the wall like we do the result will not be favorable for baku.

      Moreover, we know that Russia delivers weapons to Armenia often in secret and only within a few years do we find out about it. I have heard rumors that S-400s have been transferred to Armenia. Perhaps later this year or next we will hear from government officials confirming it. My point is that Armenia has a record of consistently under-reporting its military arsenal, whereas the enemy boasts everytime it installs a new turkish toilet on some remote base.

      Yes, Armenia has many issues still but so does azerbaijan. Their population is shrinking, it is not anywhere near the 10-11 million that they claim. At least 1 million within their borders are not ethnic azerbaijani; that is a potential fifth column we can and must exploit. They hit peak oil in 2012, and their natural gas reserves are miniscule when compared with the reserves of their neighbors: Iran, Russia, Turkmenistan. Their financial system has been wobbly since 2015 as well. The country is run by an unpopular dictator, who has much to lose if the war he unleashes doesn't go exactly the way his planners tell him, an outright victory for baku. As soon as the fighting erupts the best laid plans are altered in unforeseen ways. Baby aliyev would lose not only his power but maybe even his head should the Armenians win once again. And you saw the protests in baku last night, he has conditioned his sheep to believe in the might of their army, what happens now? Is he to keep feeding the jingoism of the street and commit to a war or does he try to calm passions? 20 years of anti-Armenian rhetoric has left the sheep thinking they can just walk to the border with Armenia/Artsakh and 'retake their lands.'

      I also look at the recent clashes in the light of possible attempts by the political west to create another headache for Russia to respond to. We should see this in light of western attempts to lure Moscow to commit to wars near and far, thinks Central Asia, Syria, turkey, Ukraine, Libya, and now the South Caucasus.

      Another danger is the fake vindication that the rabidly pro west elements within and without Armenia will spread as a result of Russia not condemning the border incident more forcefully and with a bias toward Armenia, since we are their official ally. We can already read and hear some of these western supporters and agents claim that Russia has left Armenia high and dry. Nothing can be further from the truth of course. It is a really simply equation; no Armenia in Caucasus = no Russia in the region either. And I mean the entire Caucasus not just the South of the region.

      Any who, some things to consider. I trust most of the above is not new to the well informed readers of this blog.

    7. Regarding the recent skirmish, i will point out an observation of mine. We remember when the turks shot down a russian fighter jet, a few days later, there were multiple bombings of police stations within Turkey and weird incidents within their military baracks. I even remember an "uzbekistani" mobster executing someone with Turkey.

      What i want to draw here is, Russia seems to respond in an asymmetrical manner. My hunch here is, as Russia sees itself as the heir to Byzantium, claiming Hagia Sophia as a mosque, is not even a matter of religion and no longer a matter of "my dick is much bigger than yours" but it is outright undermining to Russia.

      What i think has occurred (i could be wrong), much like how there was gross negligence and losses on the Armenian side in 2016--we are seeing a parallel event occur in Azerbaijan. We know the death toll in Azerbaijan is likely close to around or above 50 (if not a lot more). On our side, I think 4 or maybe slightly more is a good estimation. I personally believe, Russia has sent an indirect message to both Turks and Azeris via Armenia--the issue with Hagia Sophia will not be taken lightly and that, with tensions flaring in libya between Egypt and Turkey, we will also hurt you where it hurts you most, and that is:

      1. in your pockets (Turkeys only clean/legal gas supply via Azerbaijan)
      2. in your image (Turkeys only pedigree dog, Azerbaijan)
      3. Your ethnicity (Turkeys only ethnic relative in the region)

      I think Armenians were given the greenlight, and perhaps even the coordinates and location of high ranking officials. It must be a terrifying message to the leaders in Azerbaijan, despite being close to the front, that we know exactly where and when your leaders are and we can take them out.

      If you see, our FM today openly defended CSTO on Aljazeera, despite some frustrations that were voiced within Armenian community. There are probably under-the table assurances, and our FM was instructed to defend the CSTO and state "we can handle the conflict and it has not escalated to a point where we need to involve the CSTO" seems like a stamped approved statement if you ask me.

      Without Artsakh in control of Armenians, Armenians will inherently turn anti-russian--Russia is likely aware of this. Whether Russia is holding Azerbaijan back or holding Armenia back we will never know. What we can say is this:

      Houthis are man handling an army 100x more budget capacity and man-power
      Hezbollah man-handles an army 100x more budget capacity

      All in all, Armenia being completely mountainous with entrenched fortifications. If a full fledged attack is committed against Armenia, i still have my non-bias confidence that Armenia will crush swarms of offenses like hitting ants with a basketball. There are only so many drones you can deploy, at some point, you will have to comit to the conflict conventionally.

      As David Tonoyan said word for word to public not so long ago, very non-chalantly "the issue of Artsakh has already been resolved" and i assure you he was not referring to the prior conflict, but under the table agreements.

    8. A war, a skirmish, an escalation, whether pashinian is in government or not is a matter of conjecture. War came to the border in the days of serge and what happened ? we lost some territory ? Who knows. A defeat is unthinkable and too ghastly to contemplate. This conflict will only be resolved with the defeat of one of the warring sides,otherwise they will beat the record in the longevity of fruitless,endlessly inane, vacuous talks to solve the unresolved. If war comes about, it will be a litmus test of Russian/Armeno alliance and how well it functions in a critical situation of warfare, e.g effectively arresting the relentless threat and attacks from the Azerbaijani Turks. Russia's ledge in the Caucasus is armenia, not georgia, nor azervaijan. This is the factual reality of the moment. If the dice is rolled against Armenia, Russia can kiss goodbye to its tenure and position in the area. Azerbaijan is a turkish satelite, and it is ensnared in the USA/Israeli mesh. Defeat for Azerbaijan is a greater boon for Russia and a weakening of the USA /Israely sway over that country and consequently in the region, whereas defeat for Armenia can very well herald the end of Armenia as a nation. Armenia will be reduced to the level of a county, an ethnic theme park--like the Molokans, an ethnic enclave in the region at the mercy of the caprices and whims of its more powerful neighbors. The Southern caucasus can never revert to the former USSR configuration. That is now past history. The future needs to be constructed. If war does come now Both Armenia and Azerbaijan will reap the harvest of the last 20 years work. Pashinian inherited Serge's year's work in running the country. He is doing worse than his predecessor.The capabilities, girth and preparedness of the military are a separate case. So let's hope and pray that our armed forces,in case of a war breaking out --with the backing of Russia--,are capable to shift a gear and successfully face the forthcoming crucible. Bulukian

    9. Welcome back, LG.

      You have not posted in a while perhaps because you are a Nikolite. Did not expect something like that from you but any who...

      I agree with a lot of what you wrote. Yes, Southfront is being overly dramatic. But, the drama is for a purpose: to send a message of displeasure about Armenia's current government. No need to put their rhetoric under any microscope as one would with official statements coming out of the Kremlin. No one said Southfront is an authority on anything or voices Kremlin policy. I simply called them a "Russian source". At the same time, we also know that Kremlin officials sometimes use unofficial sources such as Southfront to send messages that are more blunt. This may or many not be the case here. Nevertheless, I agree with the overall message the article conveys. Moreover, the article being a year old does not mean much as Nikol's government was the same shit back then as it is now. Also, some things not coming to pass does not mean much either because the show is not over yet as there are some more acts to be seen.

      I would not have posted this warning/advice to Armenians had Southfront been the ONLY Russian source that was not happy with official Yerevan and was therefore warning Armenians. From top government officials to low level political analysts, Russia's displeasure with the current Armenian government has been well documented during the past 2 years. Don't translate the Kremlin's decision not to stop the "Armenian Street's" self-destructive stupidity in 2018 as approval of chatlax Nikol. Russians source have been persistent in their complaints about Nikol and company from day one. This is a more recent one from a Russian source -

      Soros Foundation in Armenia – Independent Study of the Country’s System of External Governance

      In any case, I also agree with you that not being happy with the Armenian government does NOT mean Russia is getting ready to abandon Armenia. As Sergey Markedonov states in the following article, relations between Russia and Armenia are deep and strategic, they therefore go past individual officials (his comments were a not so veiled disapproval of Nikol's government) -

      Russian analyst: Pandemic wasn't only reason why Armenia PM didn't attend parade in Moscow

      Not abandoning Armenia however does not mean not abandoning various Armenian regional interests, like Artsakh. In the big picture, Artsakh is the main vulnerable party here, and it's Artsakh that stands to lose the most as a result of Nikol's/Levon's criminality and our people's utter stupidity.

      Allow me to also add this: Moscow can completely lose Armenia and STILL manage to hold on to the entire south Caucasus. One must be VERY naive or stupid to believe otherwise. Also realize that losing Armenia in such a context would essentially be the total and complete destruction of Armenia. Said otherwise, for Moscow, losing Armenia would indeed create serious geopolitical problems in the south Caucasus. Moscow can however surmount such problems one way or another like it did in Chechnya, Georgia, Ukraine, Syria, etc. So, please stop regurgitating anti-Russian talking point put out by Anglo-American-Jewish-Turkish assets operating inside Armenian community. Instead wrap your mind around this: For Yerevan, losing Russia would means the end of Armenia. If you don't understand this then I don't have much else to say to you. If you can picture an Armenia completely outside of the Russian orbit then you have serious issues with perception and reality... likewise if you really think Moscow is happy with chatlax Nikol's CIA and Soros funded government.

    10. By-far the best thing to come out of Nikol's degenerate government is David Tonoyan, the defense minister. His performance from day one has been stellar.

      Yes, we are in a sense better fighters than Azeris (who by the way are genetically very close to us) because we are defending our native homeland, we control the heights and we are given by Moscow whatever weapons system that we need to defeat Baku's modernized military (e.g. the air defense system Armenia used to shoot down Azerbaijan's Israeli made surveillance drone in the most recent clash was obviously Russian). However, as Arto said earlier, we Armenians CANNOT sustain a major war past a few weeks, and Azeris can. They have the military hardware, the population and the money to sustain a war past our capabilities. The best scenario for us would have been to keep the conflict "frozen", even at the cost of a few dead soldiers periodically. Now, I am afraid that a major war is being pushed upon us (and perhaps upon Aliyev as well). A major war is something we as a people/nation cannot afford. That is my concern.

      And my other main concern is the health of Russian-Armenian relations. We as a people ruined our opportunity to become influential player in the Kremlin. We are today just another troubled nation that is more concerned with flirting with Western toxins than securing the future of the country.

      The worst thing an Armenian patriot can do at times like this is to be boastful and arrogant. We are not better soldiers. They are not better soldiers. Man-to-man Armenian and Azeri forces are pretty much on the same level. They have the numbers and the money, we have the heights and an organic reason to fight. It's that simple. Reading yours and others comments about the Azeri military worry me because they remind me of how little the general public understands about warfare and its repercussions.

      If Baku was given the full green light by the international community and if Aliyev finally felt like its time to gamble, Azeri forces would be able to make significant land gains against us in a relatively short period of time, especially in the Aghdam and Fizuli areas. Yes, any degree of military success will come at a very high price for Baku, but we also stand to lose a lot. Such losses will hurt us more than their losses will hurt them. The main thing to consider here is that they can sustain losses for an extended period of time, we can't. What's more, other than making sure Turks don't violate Armenia's western borders, Moscow would not be obligated to intervene in the early stages of the fight. It will most likely however jump into the mess when it feels like its time to deploy its peacekeeping forces, something they have been talking about for many years. Right now the cards seem to be stacked against us. With the way things are going in the Armenian world, we are heading towards a defeat...

    11. Gel Again,

      Arevordi--i do understand what you are trying to do here. And perhaps i should not state the obvious, but i will unfortunately have to disagree openly with you for the simple reason of truth.

      While Azerbaijan does have the numerical depth, technological and hardware--this would only guarantee their success if it greatly (i mean greatly) exceeded our capablities which it does not.

      You have recently seen home-made UAV's with guided radar missile systems being made by our guys. Something the Azeris do not have the intellect to develop organically. We have struck at their sites perfectly with this.

      The ratio is honestly in our side for favorability. likely 3:1. I know you will not like me stating this, but it is the obvious. Drones are not the guarantee of a conflict. soldiers can remain entrenched in bunkers (95% of the time completely safe fro drones) and wait out the barrage. At the same time we have successfully shot down high profile drones. Our MoD reports a total of 10.

      At some point, the Azeris will have to commit troops and tanks to our mountains and trenches. In 2016, when we were completely caught by suprise and a total amassed force of 20k troops from their end. All they could take was a strategic height iN THE BUFFER ZONE.

      They lost minimum 1000 troops during the onslaught. We lost 100. Basic mathematics, the ratio is 1:10... let that conflict go on for a few weeks the way it did, it is they that will be pushed back.

      I know you wont like what i am saying, I know you are going to respond and say "you have no knowledge of how things work", because i understand your underlying goal here. Fear, so we Armenians are fearful. What you dont understand is, we dont need fear to be friends with Russians. We need grass-roots movements initiated by Russia mostly (and by us) to garner brotherly-love, simply put.

      A lot of Armenians feel that way already toward Russians; and some in recent years not. If you know anything about the Armenian character, you know that you are not going to convince them with fear or threats, but with a sweet tongue and gestures you will.

      What you are doing here i get, but the strategy is not correct.

      And yes, David Tonoyan is literally an enigma we Armenians receive every now and then and i sense it in the guy. Apparently Azeri sources are reporting that Pashinyan is displeased with Tonoyan for being hardline on the front. And if you recall a few weeks ago, a report was released where Pashinyan supposedly wanted to replace Tonoyan.

      Neither the Azeris and likely Pashinyan want Tonoyan. What do Azeri reports show us, Armenians show great restraint, we can in fact hurt them severely (as they can hurt us too), but we show restraint. Probably because we are instructed to or not. I have no doubt in my mind this was a preemptive attack from our end (orders from Russia), we have likely had many opportunities to shut them up and have not.

      Remember, it was Tonoyan that attended the victory day parades in Russia--strange for our general to join and not our president due to "covid". Perhaps Tonoyan received the nod in Russia in a secure environment.

    12. Gel, I actually agree with a lot of what you are saying... except the stupid part about me fearmongering. But maybe you are right. If telling you not to play with fire is fearmongering on my part then you are right, I am fearmongering. If telling you than we have more to lose in a major war than Azerbaijan is fearmongering, then so be it. If telling you that Armenia would be wiped-off the map within a week or two if Russia abandoned Armenia is fearmongering, then I am guilty as charged. You'll come to your senses one day...

    13. I am an Armenian patriot, the leadership comes and goes; some are worse than others. Not getting apoplectic regarding Pashinyan hardly means one is a supporter of his. When he does something good in my eyes I can praise him, when he does something bad I can criticize him. Seems like a rational approach.
      As you mention and a few other analysts, Armeno-Russo ties are institutional and beyond personalities. Similar to what is taking place between Belarus and Russia, and Kazakhstan and Russia. Both have problems in their current ties with Russia. You can read a bit more about it on the Saker’s newest entry.
      In the case of Belarus it too has recently flirted with the west, it just signed an oil shipment agreement with an American firm. And this from a clown who has led his state since 1994.
      Armenians can not fully be in Russia what jews are in the USA because Russia isn’t run by whores who sell our their country. The US is and has been for decades now, with each passing year getting worse. Lobbying in the USA is a legal thing, not so much in Russia, and again it doesn’t jive with their national character or state structure. I and others have pointed this out to you before.
      Artsakh is Armenia’s responsibility, something that has been stated by officials in Yerevan and Moscow for over 15 years. Nothing new there. Russia has had a more or less ambivalent attitude towards Artsakh since the early 1990s.
      In theory Russia can lose Armenia and not lose the rest of the Caucasus, in practice I think not. The Caucasus remains a drain on the Russian budget. It is poor, underdeveloped, filled with hostile ideology, and clans loyal to personalities and the mighty ruble so to speak. That is the Northern Caucasus. The South is made up of an EU/US lackey, an offshoot of turkey, and the only ally of Russia in the region. Armenia is the hammer that keeps the turks and the rest in check. Can Russia do the same from its own borders, sure it can. But why fight them inside their territory when it can fight the enemy further away? Strategic depth, it is a concern for Moscow not just in the western part of their large state but in other parts too, including the South Caucasus. This is all moot thought because Armenia is NOT leaving the Russian orbit. Even if it wanted to there are no takers at the moment.
      You over-estimate the enemy. They do not have the money, those days are over and have been for 3-4 years now. Do they still have more than us, yes. But as you well know they pay full price. We pay little to nothing. Hence more bang for your buck is achieved by Armenia. I do not think victory, if we can use this term, will be easy for either party. But you make it seem like a foregone conclusion. Pessimism can lead to despair, which is the only unforgivable sin. Don’t give in!


    14. Gel again
      right now Sputnik has reported that a Turkish reconnaissance plane has crashed in Van. with 7-10 personnel dead. You think this is a coincidence? Nope.

      Fly your drones near Armenian border and your F16, your planes will begin to mysteriously drop.

      Arevordi, regarding your comment below. You i think are from America. I have lived in europe many years of my life and raised there. Many turks there, they are definitely cowards. In packs and groups is their strength, they are genuinely a coward people. You have not lived around or close to them i believe i have.

      Do not be fooled by their opportunistic and sadistic history and equate that to might. Armenians definetely are braver, and thats actually why we have lost so much.

      There is a medieval chronicle from Van. Where Armenians were at war against Turkic raiders, the Armenians of Van refused to use bow and arrow as the chroncle stated, the Armenians deemed that a dishonorable way to fight. THe chronicle goes on to say, the Armenians literally stood in the field expecting hand to hand combat, with maces, clubs, swords and spears whilst they were getting picked off by Turkish arrows.

      Blame Armenian stubbornness, lack of sneakiness in strategy, dis-unity for our woes, but one thing Armenians are not, is cowards--trust me on that. Even chechens and other caucasus peoples truthfully understand we are fighters at heart.

      We lack strategy, and are stupidly stubborn. i sense we have changed in todays age. Do not look at the Azeris with the fever of war asking to go to the war, they are the most brainwashed people on earth, second to only north korea.

      i have not seen bravery and balls as i have seen on Armenians hands down. We are stupid, yes--tactless, yes, cowards, definitely now. just as our medieval chronicle stated, we literally refused to use bow and arrows because our soldiers deemed it a cowardly way to fight. its actually one of the main reasons why Turks were able to settle in Anatolia as well as the fractions between all factions internally and externally.

    15. Gel,

      This is again descending into a silly conversation. Let me just say that I know Turkish and Armenian societies very well. Let me also say that there is big difference between Turks and Azeris. Azeris are culturally more Iranic than Turkic. Genetically, Azeris are actually closer to us Armenians than to Turks. Azeris are Tatars as much as Hungarians are Huns. With Russian support we can successfully resist Azeris. Turks are altogether another story. I don't know what kind of Turks you met in Europe, nor do I care. What I am telling you is that when it comes to fighting and nation-building we are no way near their category. Let me reveal to you that personal strength and bravery (which many Armenians have in abundance) play a secondary role in warfare. What is more important for a nation in a war is a robust economy, military self-sufficiency, discipline, organization, ideology, national unity, diplomatic acumen and martial culture in society... none of which modern Armenians have. Turkish society is much more cohesive and Turks are much more ideologically driven, patriotic and warlike than Armenians today. I am not even talking about their numerical superiority.

      As Americans say, the proof is in the pudding. Take a look at Turkish history going back one thousand years and then take a look at Armenian history in the same period. Do you see any differences? Let me guess, you will make a million-and-one excuses as to why we have been failures and why they have been successful. So, if you want to play make believe to make yourself feel better, go right ahead. But just realize that in doing so you are disassociating yourself from reality. It always amazes me just how disconnected from reality Armenians can get. It's really fascinating.

      I can't even begin to tell you how many times chobans have tried to convince me that Armenian men are better and stronger than their Russian and Turkish counterparts. I am constantly told that one Armo can take on ten Ruskies and Turks. Listening to such delirious people talk one would think Armenia is or will very soon be a superpower. I tell the morons to put all their preconceived notions aside for a moment and take another look at Russia and Turkey, and then take another look at Armenia before they open their mouth. I tell you it's deeply embarrassing. What these boastful/arrogant chobans are confusing warfare and nation-building with is "street culture". Yes, when it comes to "street culture" Armenian men do seem to excel in it.

      Anyway, all this goes back to cognitive dissonance Armenians suffer from. This is how I explain it: Our massive egos, coupled with our lack of self-esteem and insecurities make us want to believe we are much better than our neighbors. Perhaps it's a survival mechanism within us. Whatever the case may be, some Armenians seem to willfully live in fantasy land because our reality is harsh and the truth hurts. So, having one foot in fantasy land does seem to help us overcome our failures and flaws. So, yes, I say we Armenians are the world's top predator. And we have a tiny, impoverish and endangered nation only because we are very humble and we don't want to show-off our might...

      Time to move on from this topic.

    16. No we are not genetically similar. I follow genetics very closely. Azeris do not even cluster anywhere near to us.

      Armenians are literally walking dinasours, if you look at eurogene data averages--Armenians cluster perfectly with Chalcolithic (Copper Age) samples found all across the Southern Caucasus. We also cluster almost perfectly with Neolithic samples found in eastern "turkey". I do not know your level of knowledge when it comes to genetics, but you have no idea how much of a big deal this is. There is no one in the Cauacasus and Anatolia, where their modern population is as ancient due to genetic continuity. Georgians come second place, but they have some asiatic and steppe ancestry which we Armenians have extremely little of.

      Azeris are a whole different story. You can find reports where they are exclusively caucasian (due to Talysh, Udin, Lezgin) samples presented as "Azeri" but for the most part they are vastly middle eastern, asiatic and iranian. Armenians have very little of those aforementioned admixtures.

      You are probably wondering why I am taking the time to explain this to you, because it Azeris and Armenians are vastly different. When Armenians say they will do something they will do it. Turks are not the same way, they have actually developed an identity especially in Iran of being very untrustworthy and tiresome hagglers.

      We must be honest when we look at national characters, each culture has its own aura. And many people can manipulate cultures due to this. No, Armenians are not brave and strong only on the street, Armenians as i said are in fact too brave. Armenians are a paradox, we are both a merchant like group and both a fighter like group. Unseen anywhere else. Thats why you can find an Armenian philanthropist Like kirk Kerkorian become a successful boxer... the list can go on.

      Nonetheless, the Armenian fault, is a tactless nature, dis-unity, treachery to one another, jealousy and sometimes nonsensical bravado.

      I have lived amongst Turks in europe and i do not care if you dont care, I know them through and through, they are genuinely nothing special, they are house cats. What Turks are, are an obedient group to authority, a group that has respect for their elders, a group that is sadistically opportunistic as a group collectively. And that is really the formula.

      It is likely cognitive dissonance on your part, no one is saying Armenians are militarily more successful to Russians or Turks--what i am saying there is a reason why a people with genetic continuity since the neolithic period still exist in todays world. There is actually no one, i repeat no one in the world with this trait.

      Anyhow, yes lets move on.

    17. LG,

      I disagree with your comments about lobbying in Russia. Anyone that knows anything about the Kremlin and its culture knows that when it comes to Russian national interests high ranking Russian officials can be very rigid, very calculating, very ruthless and very difficult to work with, and that money plays little if any role in their decision making.

      Russian-Armenian relations is actually a good example of this. Armenia is in fact financial burden on Russia, but Armenia's strategic values for the Kremlin obviously trumps financial factors. Similarly, although Moscow's bilateral annual trade with Ankara is worth around 100 million dollars, Moscow continues to officially recognize the Armenian genocide. Moreover, Turks and Azeris pour millions of dollars annually on lobbying efforts in Moscow with no discernible success against Armenia due to, again, Armenia's strategic value to the Kremlin. Unlike in the West where anything and everything is up for sale, selling political policy (especially foreign policy) to the highest bidder is not part of Russian mentality. Thank God for that.

      That said, allow me to also say that you and "others" seem to have a very limited/shallow understanding of what lobbying is. In my opinion, this is because you look at the concept of lobbying mainly through an American/Western prism.

      Lobbying is not only about special interest groups going door-to-door in a nation's capitol to promote their causes with suitcases of cash. Lobbying is also not only about campaign donations to various politicians or political parties with expectations of political favors. Lobbying is mainly about establishing personal, working relationships with high ranking or strategically placed government officials and policymakers. Lobbying can often be done in private, around a dinner table with lots of good food, Armenian brandy and, why not, Armenian prostitutes. This was done in the 1990s very successfully. It's documented.

      Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin can actually be another example of lobbying. The man is part Armenian, part Russian-Jewish, and he has close business partners in Armenia as well as financial interests. You would be a fool if you think today's Russian Prime Minister is not a fertile ground to sow the seeds of our national causes. The same can be said about Karen Karapetyan. The same can be said about Samvel Karapetyan. The same can be said about Margarita Simonyan and her husband Tigran Kosayan. I don't care what you think of him but the same can also be said about Ara Abrahamyan. All these men and woman, and there are many more like them, have personal relationships with Russia's leaders, including President Putin. They can potentially be game changers, especially since Russia's and Armenia's core national interests compliment each other for the most part. This is the kind of lobbying I am talking about.

      Personal relationships work better than American style lobbying, especially in a country like Russia. We have large numbers of very wealthy, very influential, very well connected Armenians in Russia, but we are doing virtually nothing in trying to organize them and use them for a strategic purpose. There is no vision, no wisdom and no foresight in Armenian society today. Because of our people's self-destructive traits and Western fetish our collective attention is instead placed on Washington and Brussels, where we are totally outclassed by Jews and Turks.

      Think out of the "American box" you and others have put yourselves into. Your comment about lobbying efforts in Russia being fruitless proves to me that political agility and vision is an alien concept for even the intelligent Armenian mind. Other comments made by you and others here also prove to me that Armenians excel in making excuses for their failures and finding others to blame for all their defeats...

    18. @Arevordi:

      You clearly need to re-read what I wrote. The point I was making is that Russia does not put its national interests below financial considerations. Its national interests come first. Meaning it will not bend the knee just because not doing so will result in taking a hit to their economy. In the US, and many Western European states, they will bend over for money almost every single time.
      Ara Abrahamyan has done a terrible job in cultivating a young corps of patriotic Armenians. He acts as a gatekeeper and has prevented a number of initiatives from coming to fruition.
      Margarita Simonyan has a role to play. But are you aware that she and her husband got this shitty movie made?

      Spot on regarding the genetics. It is an interesting field of study for sure.

    19. LG,

      I understood what you wrote the first time around. Perhaps you need to reread my comments. I agreed with your claim about Russian officials... but went on to tell you where you are wrong in my opinion about lobbying. Regarding Ara Abrahamyan: Again, you are putting the carriage ahead of the horse. I said lobbying, embracing, collaborating, meeting with such men through an organized national effort... not sitting back and allowing such men to do their own thing and then complain about it like Arabs/Kurds. The movie you mentioned is totally irrelevant to this conversation. On a personal level I always disliked Tigran Keosayan's work. However, I try to not lower political and/or ideological matters to a personal level... like most Armenians love to do. All kinds of trash is being produced by all kinds of people in the world today because of the Westernization that ALL nations suffer from in varying degrees. What we need to do instead is to find the potential in people such as Keosayan and work with them for our benefit. This conversation goes to prove that there is a very severe lack of vision, wisdom and foresight in Armenian society.

      Margarita Simonyan must heard your words about her having a role to play. See the article below in Armenian about her. Truly impressive role she is playing by calling out our CIA and Soros funded trash in power today.

      PS: Being "genetic dinosaurs" is something to be proud about? What good is that in real political terms? Besides, I have news for you and Gel: Genetic studies can be manipulated, twisted and misinterpreted to fit anyone's agenda. This is in fact how Anglo-American-Jews have convinced much of the world that humanity originated in Africa. So, I suggest you put aside unreliable genetic studies and instead open your eyes when you look at other people. There is not much difference between us and our neighbors. From my personal experience I am always amazed at how similar we are in looks and demeanor to the Lebanese, Kurds, Turks, Azeris and Central Asian Jews.

  11. Here is a military question for Arevordi and Zoravar,

    What could have our defense ministry done better to ensure that we'd guaranteee the upper hand versus what we have now? Or was the solution to enhance the economy/demographics of the country in order to in its turn contribute to the better development of the military?

    1. Foremost, because Russia secures Armenia's border with Turkey, our armed forces has the benefit/advantage of concentrating all its efforts on Armenia's border with Azerbaijan.

      On a tactical level, we need better reconnaissance, surveillance and early warning systems on the line of contact. We also need more disciplined and better trained soldiers. Despite our military fantasies, the average Armenian soldier today lacks discipline and proper combat training. Most of the soldiers killed by Azeri snipers on the line of contact are killed because of carelessness, alcohol and/or cigarettes. We are lucky in that the other side is not much better in this regard. As I keep pointing out, we have the heights and the genuine reason to fight. That is our main tactical advantage...

      On a strategic level, it's rather simple: We need the Russian Bear to stand on our side. As I have always said, while Armenia's armed forces may be our tactical advantage on the battlefield, our alliance with Russia should be made our strategic advantage on the world stage. When Azeris are made to think that any attack on Armenian territory would be seen as an attack on Russia itself, they will stop. Until then, they will continue their war of attrition against us. In the big picture, the Russian factor in Armenia is the number one reason why we have an Armenia in the first place. Consider this: Turkey has violated the territorial integrity of all nations they have political problems with (e.g. Greece, Cyprus, Iraq, Syria and Libya), oddly enough EXCEPT Armenia. Why do you think that is? Are Turks afraid of our might military or our invincible diaspora? The answer obviously is Russia's rather small yet very symbolic military presence in Armenia.

      Now, imagine if Russia had a larger military presence in Armenia. Could that work in our favor? Of course it would.

      By allowing the Kremlin to increase its military footprint in Armenia, by ending the "complimentary politics" bullshit, by concentrating all our efforts on establishing more efficient/effective ties with the Kremlin, we could potentially get more out of our already good allied relations with Russia. Imagine if we had the political agility/wisdom to entice/lure the Kremlin into extending its protection guarantee over Artsakh as well. We may have been able to do this if our officials and activists were a constant presence in the halls of the Kremlin, and if we took the initiative and invited Russians to station troops on Artsakh's border with Azerbaijan.

      We have the tools and assets on the ground in Moscow to be in Russia similar to what Jews are in the US. Sadly, we may have the tools but we don't have the ethnic cohesion, the political vision or the mindset/culture to get such a thing done. We always compare ourselves to Jews, but when the time comes to act accordingly we act instead like Arabs and Kurds. Turks and Azeris, those we consider stupid barbarians, have had the political foresight and agility to lobby Russian officials on a consistent and persistent basis for many years. We have been too distracted by the dazzling lights of the Western world. The backward choban, the petty merchant and the traveling gypsy is alive and well in us.

      I reiterate: We are NOT adequately exploiting our relationship with Russia to guarantee Armenia's and Artsakh's long-term security. We could be getting much more from our strategic ties with the Kremlin had our collective attention not be so distracted by our toxic desire to live like westerners.

  12. While Azeris are rioting in demand of a genocidal invasion of Armenia, our First Yenta is making a mockery of the sacrifices Armenian soldiers and their families made to protect Armenia:

    This nappy-headed whore deserves to swing from a rope next to her fellowe tribeswoman Mrs. Ter-Petrosyan and their traitor husbands.

    1. Turks taking to the streets to demand war... while we Armenians take to the streets to demand "democracy" is in a nutshell why Asia Minor USED to belong to Armenians and Greeks...

      Pro-war Azerbaijani protesters break into parliament

    2. Well said. Greeks also take to the streets and get violent for Block Cocks Matter, for their imaginary trademark on the name Macedonia, and occasionally their faggoty religious "men" start fights with Armenians in the Old City of Jerusalem - then the Greeks do nothing as the EU forces austerity and mass African/Islamic migration on them and the Turks declare the Hagia Sophia a mosque. As you've said, Greeks somehow manage to make Armenians look good.

      Regarding the Hagia Sophia: It was barely a year and a half ago that the Satanic puppet in Istanbul backstabbed the Russian Orthodox Church and attempted to create a so-called "autocephalous Orthodox Church of Ukraine" tasked with the sole purpose of dividing the Orthodox world and advancing the interests of Zionists, Catholics, Protestants, and Islamic extremists. As I've posted several times before: "you get what you fucking deserve."

      Related: I had not linked the Turkish move on the Hagia Sophia with the Tavush skirmishes except on a very nebulous sense, but maybe Gel has a point and it maybe factored into Armenia being given the green light to go on the offensive.

      I do not give Pashinyan any credit at all, but the Armenian state exists separate from Pashinyan and I am glad Armenia somewhat made up for the unimpressive performance of 2016. I know most Armenians tend to take their pride to an unhealthy and counterproductive extreme, but I want the people's faith in the military to be high. Pride and respect for your national institution is necessary to counter the neo-Trotskyism being pushed by the west and its agents in Yerevan... But even more important is that in all countries the military tends to be a bastion of patriotism and men with good values, which may come in to play when it is time to oust Pashinyan.

      Regarding the Russophobes: no matter what happens they will complain Russia/CSTO did nothing. There is no point getting upset or going out of your way to argue with these fucking retards, just point out that without Russian pressure the Turks would have invaded Armenia like they did Cyprus, Syria, Iraq, and Libya. I casually browsed the gayer Armo forums and it was armchair idiots and/or paid shills spouting nonsense about "Russia retreated from Libya and therefore Armenia is screwed." Apart from facebook I don't think these forums get any traffic at all.

      Regarding Southfront: LG is correct, southfront is like Dugin or the Islamophile Saker asshole in that it maybe occasionally broaches some ideas being considered by some Kremlin insiders, but it is not worth taking seriously. I watched the two-year old article's video, and turned it off in disgust when it made the ridiculous claim Kim Kardashian becoming a part of the inner circle in the American elite was a reason Pashinyan took over in Armenia.

      Regarding Azeri "stability:" Aliyev promised way more than he can deliver, his economy is in the toilet, there are factions vying for power in Baku once again, and his regime has amped up his population to a dangerously high level, I believe Baku is a powder keg rather than a bastion of stability. It's the age of the Internet, Aliyev cannot fake a glorious victory and claim "the Gaydar Aliyev Memorial Battalion killed a 100+ Ermeni scum today."

      Final Note: Glory to the ARF. Death to the filthy anti-Armenian foreign scum:

      Բողոքի ակցիա՝ Երևանում Ուկրաինայի դեսպանության մոտ. ՏԵՍԱՆՅՈՒԹ

  13. I hope Zoravar is still around because I have a important question. How did our troops bring down the sophisticated Israeli drone Hermes? I through it was stealth. This is the video if it helps

    1. To my knowledge, that Hermes was brought down by a 9K33 OSA surface-to-air missile system using the "Optical" tracking mode (can be seen in the first few seconds of the video). Note that (apart from 6 missiles) the OSA vehicle has a Search Radar, a Tracking/Engagement Radar as well as an Electro-Optical tracking/engagement device.
      There no such thing as absolute stealth, just "low observable" making it harder to detect. But anything can be detected by well trained operators using the right equipment in the correct manner.

      This is the most likely scenario in that shoot down:
      1- The Hermes was detected by the OSA's own search radar, or more likely by one of the more powerful search radars of the Armenian "Air Defense System" who informed the OSA's commander about the target and its coordinates.
      2- The commander had 2 choices to track and engage the assigned target: by the OSA's tracking radar or by the Electro-Optical method. Since a drone is a relatively slow and easy target and to avoid warning the target by sending radar waves towards it, he chose the second method.
      3- The operator turned the Electo-Optical apparatus towards the given coordinates, located the Hermes and locked on it.
      4- Upon the "fire" command, a missile was launched and guided all the way to the target by optical means (just like a guided Anti-tank missile) and the target was destroyed.
      5- The Azeri operator of the Hermes who never suspected that the drone was being engaged suddenly saw his screen turn black and uttered a few words in Turkish that I will not mention here.

    2. Zoravar, thank you so much! I had no idea these SAMs could be guided optically. That's amazing. This reminds me how important our ties with the BEAR is. What fighting chance would we have in a place like Kavkaz against Azerbaijan's modernized military without Russian support? Who else is there to provide poor Armenia with modern weapons and TRAINING which is just as important? This is why I just can't understand growing anti-Russian feelings in Armenian society. Okay there are many Armenian agents working for the West and Turks that's really normal for any country. What I don't understand is how regular Armenians on the street are incapable of appreciating Russia's value for Armenia. I agree with Arevordi when he says strategically Russia is more important to Armenia than the diaspora. Concentrating on the diaspora is a false hope and a doorway for bad influences. I admit this as a diasporan. I always tell my friends in Armenia never take your eyes off Russia. Armenians do need tough love. I have great respect for you Arevordi and you Zoravar. There is no one like you two on social media. What you do is very important so keep up the good work and continue the fight.

  14. Գուգ Գելենց 15 07 2020թ

    Ռուսաստանը ակնարկել է, որ կհարվածի Թուրքիային, եթե վերջինս ագրեսիա իրականացնի Հայաստանի նկատմամբ

    Russia's Putin orders snap military drills by the Black and Caspian Seas

    Armenia MOD ex-spokesperson: Large forces of Armenian army to be engaged in Russia's military exercises

    Armenia to commence large-scale strategic military exercises

    Pashinyan says 3rd party is interested in Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict in a meeting with Mishustin

    Azerbaijan-Armenia Clashes Highlight Turkey-Russia Rift

    Thousands take to Baku streets, storm parliament to demand ‘mobilization’ against Armenia

    В России началась внезапная проверка войск Южного и Западного округов

    Ադրբեջանցիները գրոհել են Մեծ Բրիտանիայում ՀՀ դեսպանատան վրա․ հայ համայնքը դիմակայում է

    Բողոքի ակցիա Լեհաստանում Ադրբեջանի դեսպանատան մոտ

    1. "The drills will involve nearly 150,000 troops, 27,000 military vehicles, 414 jets and 106 ships." That's actually pretty incredible. There is no subtlety here, this can only be interpreted as a direct warning to turkey to keep its nose out of the Caucasus. Russians don't need exercises of that scale to send a message to Azerbaijan, or to Georgia, or to Armenia, or to all three combined to be honest.

      Geopolitics and the shortsightedness and emotional nature of Armenia's enemies has kind of played into Armenia's hands in this situation. Azerbaijan is the main aggressor here, evidenced by the fact that the attacks were in Armenia's Tavush region over a hundred miles away from the Line of Contact around Artsakh. I think we can pretty much be certain that not a single voice in the Kremlin would approve of Azerbaijan launching relatively large attacks against Armenia proper. Turkey jumped in, started flying aircraft close to the Armenia-Turkey border not too far from the Russian military bases in Gyumri and Erebuni Airport, which required the Armenian Su-30 and Russian military helicopters (and possibly MiG-29, reports unclear) to respond in kind. Azerbaijan also decided to bring in advanced israeli drones into CIS territory. According to reports, a Turkish A-400 military cargo airplane landed in Baku and unloaded supplies, possibly drones and/or artillery, which Aliyev will no doubt be eager to use.

      Everyone understands that Russia has to balance relations with Azerbaijan, everyone understands that Russia is not interested in "wiping Azeris off the map," but at the same time Russia is already engaged in very serious and dangerous standoff situations in Syria and to a lesser degree in Libya. As the commentary above stated, Moscow may give Ankara some room to maneuver in Libya, less room in northwestern Syria, but the South Caucasus is a red line and Turkish influence there must be limited significantly.

      Luckily, Russia's main enemies Ukraine and Georgia joined Turkey in declaring unconditional support for Azerbaijan. Even Armenians were forced to finally take a stand and protest in front of the Ukie embassy. So the exercises make sense, as it sends a message to the Turkish scum, Georgian scum, and Ukrainian scum right on their own borders at the same time. Conveniently Armenia reaps a lot of benefit from this.

      Also, let me state that Russia may be masterful and patient at diplomacy and playing the long game, but really its post-Soviet identity is based on the Third Rome and neo-Byzantium ideology. It has no other choice. Muslim-lovers like Dugin and "the Saker" can go fuck themselves, not a single major Muslim voice raised protest when Erdogan declared the Hagia Sophia a mosque. There is no need for Russia to antagonize friendly Islamic peoples, but Turkey is a hostile and hyperaggressive threat that occasionally needs to be rebutted with force.

      ps now might be a good time to retake Lalatepe and tell the Azeris to shove their 2016 commemorative memorabilia up their mother's whore asses.

    2. Well said, Sarkis. The announced military drills by Russia is unusually large. It's definitely a message. I didn't like "Saker" from day one. Something about him rubs off the wrong way. Regarding Alexander Dugin, however, please don't start sounding like one of our typical chobans. By all accounts, as well as my observation, Dugin is very religious, very conservative, very patriotic and very intelligent. But, the man also has a very important strategic task to perform. Dugin is tasked with bringing Turkic peoples into the Russian orbit. Whether or not this agenda can succeed is altogether another topic of discussion.

      Nevertheless, the endeavor in question is strategically smart for a nation like Russia, and it is something that is in our benefit as well. Remember that Russia (and Armenia) is more-or-less surrounded by well over one hundred million people who identify themselves as Turks/Turkic. As you already know, tens-of-millions of Russian citizens have Turkic ancestry as well. Most of Russia's Turkic peoples, however, are thoroughly Russified. Turning these people against Russia is not smart. Russians and Armenians do not need Russia's Tatars "rediscovering" their Turkish ancestry. So, the Kremlin has to play a very nuanced and delicate game when it comes to Turks. And Dugin is part of that game. It should also be said that Dugin's existence also keeps us Armenians in check as he is constantly warning us about our Western fetish.

      Anyway, there is no need to unnecessarily attack Dugin. Instead, what we need to be doing is trying to engage men like Dugin. Here is where "lobbying" comes into play. Have we ever invited him to Armenia? Have we taken him to Khorvirab and Etchmiadzin? Hve we taken him to Tsitsernakabert? Have our officials held secret meetings with him? Has he been given the opportunity to see firsthand Armenia's and Artsakh's predicament? It's easy to insult and attack someone. What we need to do instead is to start thinking like Jews. Think of how to embrace someone like Dugin and help him see things our way despite the fact that he has a different task to perform. The following article in a nutshell is what Dugin is all about -

      Dugin: “Our goal is the liberation of Turkey from American influence; Armenia is our greatest ally” | Fort Russ

      Dugin’s Guideline – Russian-Armenian summit

    3. Guys, Dugin is not that important, even less than in 2014 when he was mentioned often in the Western media and in foreign policy journals. Dugin did a good job self-promoting and making it seem as if he had the ear of the Kremlin. He didn't then and he does not now.
      That being said, none of what Arevordi outlined is incorrect. Russia does have to keep in mind its domestic turkic population, and its Turkic neighbors in Central Asia.
      Dugin would benefit from a guided trip to Armenia. I am told he has an interest in IE studies, what better place than Armenia to show him the most likely IE homeland/urheimat.

    4. Torino AnonymousJuly 19, 2020 at 5:02 AM

      Defense minister Tonoyan delivered a speech with an ominous warning.
      "The war, if started, will end in the enemy's territory". It is a indirect innuendo that war will mean additional land. It is unfathomable that some Russian had not scripted the statement for Tonoyan, or that Tonoyan's words must have been vetted by those in power prior to the DFM delivery. The russians will have no option but to support Armenia to the hilt in these skirmish ,which could spin out of control and lead to a wider confrontation.One does not have the internationalist/global parties standing by to bestow favors and flowers, but rather pour oil in troubled waters. Turkey has,as expected, already played her cards. Erdogan says that Turkey's entire arsenal is at Azeri disposition. Again nothing is surprising here, Turkey/Azerbaijan are two parts of a single turkic nation. Armenia is the pebble in their shoe.It will not be in either Russia's geopolitical immediate and long term interest to see the barrier Armenia constitutes to weaken in any considerable degree before the onslaught and expansionist pan turkism. Iran has seemingly remained supinely silent in this ensuing fray. It will be interesting to see what stance the Iranians adopt. Iran and turkey have been at loggerheads in the best of times. If anything to the contrary , Russia and Iran must covertly support Armenia to expand and gain territory at the expense of her enemies. A strong Armenia is in the interest of these two regional powers. An Armenian buffer nation blocking these two turkic entities. They can not contemplate, one would reason,a third intruder entering the area and rising as a powerful competitor to their vital interests.Turkey is a western cog in the USA/jewish wheel. At the turn of the XIX century Turkey was referred as " the sick man of Europe". The CICS is becoming a conundrum for Armenia. The borders of a CICS member nation are under attack by outside forces, and there has not been a whimper of condemnation from the other members against the aggression.

    5. LG,

      Please stop this "Dugin is a nobody" bullshit just because the man says somethings that hurt your ego and/or your patriotism. No one is saying Dugin represents Russian state policy, but you would be a fool if you think he does not have Kremlin connections on some level. Think of him as Russia's George Friedman (Stratfor). Does Friedman represent US state policy? No. Does he have connections inside the government apparatus in the US? Yes. Should we therefore listen to what Friedman has to say on various topics? Yes, we should. Similarly should we listen to what Dugin has to say on topics of interest? Yes, we should. Moreover, Dugin has a significant following in Russia as well as Turkic/Muslim societies in the region. In any case, I find myself agreeing with Dugin on many levels. So, if Armenians had any balls and the brains to go along with the balls, there would have been a serious effort to engage Russians like Dugin. What do we do instead? We beat our chests like jungle monkeys and bad mouth individuals like him like a bunch of self-destructive idiots. Similar to what organized Jewry does with people of interest, Dugin should definitely be invited to Armenia. He would definitely benefit from a "fact finding" trip to Armenia. And on that note, here is a proposition for you: If you manage to get through to him and convince him to pay a visit to Armenia, I will personally finance the entire trip. The only thing is, I would not want him to have any contacts with today's CIA and Soros installed government. You can email me if are interested...

      Torino Anonymous,

      You are day dreaming my friend. In order to help Armenia expand and become powerful, Moscow has to be 1000% convinced of Armenia's faithfulness to the Russian world, that will more or less happen when Armenia becomes part of Russia itself. In other words, there is no trust in politics. Besides, we have done everything in our power during the past 30 years to show Russians that we have alternative options (i.e. West). This is the basis of our "complimentary politics" bullshit. Our "brilliant" policymakers explain this away by saying - if Russians are made to think we have options they will treat us better. Another idiotic statement I hear from the mouths of Armenian officials is - Russians only understand the language of strength. Just imagine, there are Armenians that actually think we need to act tough with the Bear, the country that provides us with the energy we desperately need, the weapons we desperately need, the military training we desperately need, the investments we desperately need, the trade we desperately need, the tourism we desperately need, the employment opportunities we desperately need, the protection against Turkey we desperately need, etc. Just think of that. It's clearly cognitive dissonance and a twisted sense of reality, and you see this throughout Armenian society from top to bottom. So, you still think Ivan is going to go out of his way to help us expand Armenia's borders, especially after what he has been seeing take place in Armenian politics during the past 10 years? Like I said, you are day dreaming my friend...

      PS: If I am not mistaken, the comment by Tonoyan you referred to was made many months ago while he was in the United States. I would not read too much into it. It was basically muscle-flexing and some feel-good rhetoric in the diaspora. Besides, you don't know if his words were vetted by anyone, let alone Russians. That said, I am a fan of Tonoyan. He is the only person in the regime today I have any respect for.

    6. Another article mentioning Dugin by Pepe Escobar:

  15. Some more behind the scenes trouble that's brewing, conveniently done while the attention was on the recent border skirmishes.

    First, a 29 year old imbecile with no real experience in anything was made head of the NSS. Then the imbecile appoints the best man from his wedding, another imbecile with no credentials, to a senior post in the NSS. Im not joking, that's exactly what he did. And now the prime mimister fires the deputy director of the NSS, a man who's a career officer in the NSS with actual experience. I wonder if this is Richard Giragossian's way of "modernizing" the NSS.

    I'm sorry folks, but I see the national security services as just as important to the nation as the army, if not more important. The fact that the soros team has had it's eyes on the NSS and its archives for a long time and are now taking active steps in that direction deeply troubles me.

    1. I'm in full agreement with you, Arto. Security starts at home. The cultural degradation and political instability we see in Armenia today is part of the plan/agenda. The so-called "Armenian Street" is made up of a bunch of hungry, selfish, narrow-minded, shortsighted and self-destructive morons. Our enemies know this well. They in fact know our flaws better than us Armenians. And this is why Serj Sargsyan willingly moved aside to allow a Western funded street scoundrel and smut-peddler like Nikol to lead Armenia's and Artsakh's decline. In the big picture, this topic is essentially why I am glad there are big, bad and nasty Russians, like Alexander Dugin, around today to publicly warn our backward chobans, petty merchants and traveling gypsies about their self-destructive behavior. As a collective bunch we Armenians are out of touch with reality and painfully self-aggrandizing. In real world terms, Armenia and Armenians are a speck on the map, both literally and figuratively. The only two powers on earth that take us seriously (and that only because of the strategic location of Armenia) are Russians and Iranians. Armenia in fact lives ONLY because of the Russian (and to a much lesser extent Iranian) factor in the south Caucasus. And our money starved, shortsighted, self-destructive and out of touch imbeciles reciprocate by treating Anglo-American-Jews seriously. There is an international conspiracy against Armenia essentially because during the last 30 years by pursuing personal wealth at the nation's cost and by playing both sides of the political spectrum, Armenians proved to deserve it. In the big picture, when the shit hits the fan, I am glad Russians are interested in only making us return the 5 regions and not the 7...

      Here, in a nutshell, this is what Armenia has been all about during the past 30 years and this is why Armenia is going downhill very fast -

      5 ways USAID helps Armenia to develop

    2. I agree Arevordi we are self destructive and short sighted for sure. I remember when Baku told Russians to shut down their large radar station in Azerbaijan a few years ago, did we jump on the opportunity to ask Russians to put one in Armenia or Nagorno Karabakh? Imagine how much more important we would be for Moscow if we also hosted their strategic radar station in Armenia. From what I see other than trying to play between two superpowers which is not working for us we are not taking steps with Russians to increase the strategic value of Armenia and Artsak in their eyes. We will always get the short end of the stick because we are materialistic narrow minded and have our eyes on the West.

    3. Apparently RT's Simonyan agree with the prevailing sentiments of this blog

      "Ռուսաստանը լիարժեք բարոյական իրավունք ունի թքելու ձեզ վրա. Մարգարիտա Սիմոնյանը՝ ՀՀ իշխանություններին"

    4. Բռավո Մարգարիտա...

      Իմ երկու տարվա խոսքերն է կրկնում:

      Ավելի քան երկու հարյուր տարի Հայաստանը ապրել է Ռուսաստանի և Սովետական Միության շնորհիվ: Ով որ այսքանը չի պատկերացնում կամ ապուշ է կամ էլ բարզապես Արևմտյան վարձկան: Ավելի քան երեսուն տարի մեր հայ-վանները ամեն ինչ փորցում են անեն որ Արջը վերջապես մեր դեմը դարձնեն - հանուն Դոլարի, հանունով Մերսեդեսի, հանում Մարլբորոի: Հետեւյալ տեսանյութը 2016-ից է, բայց պտգամը դեռ ուժի մեջ է: Երեսուն տարի շարունակ Ռուսների մեջքին խփելուց հետո բախդավոր կլինենք եթե խոսքը մնա միայն հինգ տարածքների մասին: Դուգինի պտգամը ուշադիր լսեք որովհետև նա, մեծ պատկերում, դառը ճշմարտություն է խոսում, ու նրա խոսքերը մեծ նշանակությու ունի մեր տարածաշրջանի համար -

      Русско-Армянский саммит [Директива Дугина]

      Dugin’s Guideline – Russian-Armenian summit

    5. For those who don't understand Armenian, the following is the English translation of Margarita Simonyan's scathing comments about Armenia's current CIA and Soros funded government. Just skip the anti-Russian nonsense put out by "JAM news". I fully endorse EVERY SINGLE WORD this great woman uttered. The only thing I'm unhappy about? She was not blunt/harsh enough in her rhetoric -

      Russia Today, Sputnik head accuses Armenian gov’t of being anti-Russian

    6. Regarding Simonyan's comments. Is she aware that Kocharyan, whom she called a friend, the one who came out with the complimentary foreign policy? Along with Vardan Oskanyan. How familiar is she with internal developments of Armenia and her history? Also, instead of providing her 'insights' she should probably think about the direction RT is going in. There is a reason why that channel peaked.

    7. Yes, of course, discredit the messenger to discredit the message. I am VERY happy she provided her insights, and she did so because trashy Armenians, like Nikolites, have been attacking her via social media for many years. RT's viewership perhaps peaked because it has already saturated the field, and has perhaps gained it's optimal viewership? Qocharyan took power in 1998. He therefore had no choice but to continue with what was started with Nikol's mentor, Levon. Yes, purely out of political considerations Qocharyan flirted with Western powers through a half-open window, as he allowed the Kremlin to essentially take control over Armenia's dilapidated yet strategic national infrastructure. He also began the very important process of integrating Armenia's military with that of the Russian Federation's. And he also put down the initial Color Revolution attempt by Levon and Nikol in 2008. Under Qocharyan's rule, Armenia came out of the 1990s grave that was dug by Nikol's mentor, Levon. Of all the presidents Armenia has had, Qocharyan has been by-far the most successful. Have some respect.

    8. Those of you falling for this Kocharyan, Simonyan, Pashinyan Great Drama show. Are very very gullible and foolish. Simonyan does not make such profound statements without stamped approval. As i stated above, there were multiple sanctions against Russias north stream and turkish-serbia pipelines at the beginning of this year. Look here three days ago Germany rejects nord stream 2 sanctions:

      OHHHHH, i wonder why? maybe because their only clean gas and energy route is literally dependent in a sensitive area near Karabakh Bizmidir. This was putin pressure 101. Simonyans statement is Putin psy-op 101, make everyone believe Armenia is "truly" run by western treacherous backstabbers, while actions say otherwise... lip service is not action. Simonyan was harsh in her psy-op propaganda, and very foolish of her to go that far, her point could have come across in a different manner, but i guess Russia really want people to believe Armenia and Russia are estranged and that Pashinyan is western puppet. Do not fall for this kocharyan, gago, serj, nikol great drama show.. this is for the sheeple, and the dumb short sighted wankers like the saker to "read the situation" and seethe. As for saker, guy is definitely a loser and an incel.

    9. And here is Margarita Simonyan's husband's response to Armo-trash that call themselves "Nikolakans" -

      Tigran Keosayan: Pashinyan incapable of leading constructive dialogue with Russia

  16. I hate to say that nowadays I can see with my own eyes vast regions of the USA (Portland, NYC, Seattle, Oregon etc.) qualify as failed cities and states because they now can be occupied by any combination of zombified, insane and agenda-driven lunatics who elect their own kind in a farce called "free elections". Add the Main Stream Media which is primarily staffed with hatred driven human compost, and you have a recipe for disaster. All levels of government are displaying a complete lack of proper leadership, absolute impotence in governing and complete insanity in foreign policy. What a mess...

    On another note and perhaps as early as tomorrow, I may have some very significant military related piece of news from Russia that I expect will be largely ignored by the MSM. I will certainly provide the necessary analysis and explanations here. Stay tuned...

  17. As expected, the bit of news that I promised yesterday did happen today.
    Today the Russian Navy laid down and started construction of 6 new warships that totally reflect the new Global Military Balance:

    - Two Gorshkov class frigates and two Yasen class nuclear submarines to be armed with the ZIRCON anti-ship hypersonic missiles with a speed of 9 times the speed of sound and a range in excess of 1000 km. These classes of warships that have been in serial construction for a while now and are designed to sweep the seas and oceans from any opponents with their unstoppable missiles.

    - Two Universal Landing Ships of a new class. Putin himself attended the laying down ceremony of these large ships in a shipyard in Crimea. This is an absolutely new category of ships that neither the Russian Federation nor the Soviet Union ever had. Each of these ships can carry and support over 1000 marines together with their armored vehicles and equipment as well as 20 helicopters to any place on the planet. These ships are more like the very large amphibious vessels of the US Navy (one of which accidentally burned recently in San Diego). Make no mistake, these ships are not made to defend Motherland Russia from any aggression, they are purely intended for long-range overseas interventions in far-away oceans. The Kremlin's first attempt to acquire such vessels with the French "MISTRAL" deal was torpedoed by the West with the Crimea-related sanctions. Now the Russians are building them themselves in no other place than Crimea itself. These ships truly symbolize the shift in the Global Military Balance that I discussed in my above article.

    Video of the laying down ceremony:

    Путин участвует в закладке боевых кораблей для ВМФ в Керчи — трансляция

    1. This is indeed a significant development. As you pointed out, these are not defensive weapons. The landing ships are naturally intended for 'power projection' beyond Russia's borders. The Kremlin does seem to be preparing for an elevated geopolitical role in the world... as USS Bonhomme Richard burns in San Diego. There is some symbolism there as well. On a related note, has the Kremlin given up on the idea of aircraft carriers? Aircraft carriers are the single most expensive and complicated weapons platform to develop, procure, operate and deploy. However, I am not sure how well they would fare in a war in the 21st century. That said, Admiral Kuznetsov's deployment to Syria was very disappointing...

    2. In the age of space-based detection and long range anti-ship missiles (including hypersonic ones), aircraft carriers will have a short lifetime in a confrontation between superpowers. In addition, and as you mentioned they are very complex and colossally expensive to acquire/operate, they also happen to be very manpower intensive. Having said that, they remain ideal platforms to intimidate, subjugate and exploit the resources of smaller nations that happen to be in geographically distant locations. Over the last several decades, the US Navy successfully used its aircraft carriers in exactly that role.

      The Russians certainly have plans to build a few such ships in the future, they have even demonstrated some scale models. Also, they recently completed construction of the new ZVEZDA shipyard in the Far-East that can handle such giants (currently that shipyard is making huge oil tankers and just laid down the first "Leader" class gigantic Nuclear Icebreaker). Note that in the past, all Soviet aircraft carriers were built in a Ukrainian shipyard. But, first things first, these Universal Landing Ships that were laid down yesterday in the Crimean shipyard must be built.

      As for the Kuznetsov's not so stellar Syria deployment: Because of the huge publicity associated with that operation, people had bloated expectations from it. Honestly, what can a few MiGs and Sukhois operating from that carrier can do that the Hmeimim based planes can not? Unfortunately, after a few launches, the airplane landing mechanism of the ship broke down and further missions were cancelled. Disappointing? sure, but not a major setback. Reality is that the Kuznetsov expedition was a major training exercise for the Navy that focused on long range deployment of capital ships and getting as much experience as possible from this sort of missions (with the future in mind). The actual airstrikes on targets in Syria were just a part of the whole training. In addition, the operation had its propaganda and "show of power" objectives.

    3. I thought the Kremlin may have had seconds thoughts about building modern aircraft carriers after Admiral Kuznetsov's poor showing in Syria. Although, as you said, aircraft carriers are mainly for bullying smaller, weaker nations, I'm nevertheless glad they are pushing forward with the plans. Should you have any additional information on the aircraft carriers they are planning to build please share them with us.

      On a somewhat related matter: I have not been closely following military related news for a long time now. So, I caught the following news article by accident today. To my shock, I am learning that the US Marine Corps is significantly downsizing -

      Marine Corps Begins Shutdown of All Tank Battalions

      Why the US Marine Corps plans big downsizing, including some F-35s, MV-22s and all tanks

      I never thought I would live to see this day. The US Marine Corps was the most combat ready, most spirited and the most self-sufficient (had its own infantry, air force and tank force) branch of the armed forces. And they were better trained than their US Army counterparts. Now, the US Marine Corps is reducing the number of combat aircraft it deploys, it's reducing its manpower and it's altogether disbanding its tank force, as well as certain other weapons platforms. According to news reports, the legendary military branch is reverting back to its initial calling, "protecting ships"? This makes no sense to me. Anybody that knows anything about the US knows that it can't be an issue related to funding/money issue. I also don't buy the notion that it has to do with preparing the Marines for a future combat role against China. Wouldn't you want all your military assets in place if you are to go to war with a giant like China?

      Zoravar, if you have been following this development and have any thoughts on this matter please share them. Perhaps I am missing something or reading too much into it.

      In my opinion, this may be somehow related to the downsizing of the American empire. There may be a direct correlation between news developments such as this in the US and the exact opposite we see taking place in Russia. It has to be by design in my opinion. Trump may indeed be America's Gorbachev. Times are changing faster than I could ever imagine. From its diminishing overseas military presence to increasing unrest in its major cities, American empire is declining on all fronts -

      Confusion writ large: US troop withdrawal from Afghanistan

      Russians squeeze U.S. troops in Syria amid uproar over Trump’s dealings with Moscow

      The Implications of Withdrawing American Troops from Germany

      Trump threatens to deploy federal agents to Chicago and other U.S. cities led by Democrats

    4. Arevordi,

      During the first 2 decades of this new millennium, the "Exceptional America" already lost 2 major races with humiliating scores:

      1- The economic race against China
      2-The arms race against Russia

      The 20th Century may well have been the time when the whole world witnessed America's rise. The 21st Century is shaping up to be the time when we will all see its decline. I believe it is time for everybody to fully embrace the notion that America is in (not so slow) decline. It may end up with the downsizing of the American Empire as you mentioned, maybe in its collapse/disintegration (like the Soviet Union) or perhaps its isolation/self-entrenchment into a Fortress America protected by 2 oceans... The future will tell (and I believe most of us will be still alive to see it), but the writing is on the wall: America will not be the same, the process has already started and all the articles that you posted in your above post are just evidence of it.

    5. North America as a continent will never be the same after the US undergoes any kind of collapse, though the fallout will affect its neighbors Canada and Mexico. Mexico on the other hand, if they played their cards correctly, could even snag some territories that they lost to the US in the Mexican-American War of 1845, though it would have been the border regions where Mexicans comprise of the majority of the population there.

      This video might also give some insight as to how the US itself might become a second South Africa, given the current race issues that is facing the nation right now:

      Communist Revolution USA - South Africa 2.0 | By Vigilante Intelligence

  18. Armenian Nuclear Power Plant Able to Withstand Attack, Russian Security Expert Claims

    Zatulin: In case of aggression against Armenia, Moscow will fulfill its obligations as CSTO member state

    Caucasus fighting pits Russia against Turkey, straining shaky alliance

    Армянскую АЭС защищает совместная с Россией система ПРО и ПВО — экс-министр

    Защита сильнее нападения: может ли Азербайджан уничтожить Армянскую АЭС

    Константин Затулин: Россия защитит армян в случае войны, но не будет бросаться на каждый финский нож с криком «За Родину!»

    1. Zoravar comment please!

      Ռուսաստանն ատոմային հրետանի է տեղակայել Ադրբեջանից 180 կմ հեռավորության վրա (լուսանկարներ)․

    2. A pretty accurate Turkish perspective on Russian-Armenian relations -

      Why Russia supports Armenia against Azerbaijan in the Caucasus conflict

    3. Longtime Reader,

      - Don't look too much into the news about the Russians deploying nuclear-capable artillery near Azerbaijan - Russia has a million ways of nuking Azerbaijan if it wants to (I don't think it plans to do so).
      - Do look very much into the news that Russia decided to launch snap drills when the flare-up happened on the Armenia-Azerbaijan border.

    4. @Arevordi

      The above article complements the one you posted. Again this is written by an azerbaijani, and of course the jamestown foundation still receives some money from the azerbaijani government. The author unintentionally compliments DM Tonoyan.


      Have you heard any rumors regarding S-400s in Armenia?

    5. Zoravar,

      In my opinion both are significant. If this report is accurate and "atomic artillery" was indeed deployed 180 kilometers (112 miles) from Azerbaijan during the announced military drills, it makes the said military drills much, much more significant. Russian political experts, including the man we love to hate, Alexander Dugin, have been announcing for years that Armenia is under Russia's nuclear umbrella. Again, if this news is accurate, it's a major message not to Baku but to Ankara. So, as our military was kicking ass, the Bear was watching our back...

    6. "Considering his profile, Tonoyan may, thus, be regarded as a potential replacement for Pashinyan in Moscow’s eyes."

      From this Azeri's mouth to God's ears!

      At this point, Armenia is existing not only separate from the NED/Soros led faggots in power today as Sarkis said, but also in-spite of them. Gel may also be correct in his suspicion. This latest fight between Armenia and Azerbaijan is increasingly looking as if it may have been initiated by the Armenia side (i.e. Armenia's military apparatus, not the faggots). This may explain why Azeri's seem to have gotten caught off guard, and even lost a general and a very expensive Israeli toy in the process. And if that is the case it's really hard to believe that the Armenian side would do anything like this without consulting Moscow first. This latest round of fighting may have even been ordered by Moscow. It may be related to pipeline politics. In any case, Chatlax Nikol, similar to his mentor Levon 25 years prior, looked actually clueless about what was going on border during the fighting. Our psychologically disturbed "leader" of Armenia even asked Defense Minister Tonoyan if he was sure that the Azeri jeep that ended up on Armenia's border at the beginning of the hostilities was not "lost". What a fucking moron -

      Ադրբեջանը մինչև հիմա պարբերաբար հրետակոծությունը վերսկսում է. Դավիթ Տոնոյան

    7. Another opinion piece about Armenia from the folks at Southfront. These guys really dislike Nikol... or maybe it's just psy-ops -

      Anti-Armenian Foreign Policy Of Armenian Nationalists

    8. There was some excitement in Moscow during the last two nights. Something like this has never happened before -

      Armenians and Azerbaijanis clash in Moscow

      Moscow police count number of participants of Armenian-Azerbaijani brawl

      Armenian-Azeri Brawl Erupts in Moscow Amid Border Clashes

      More than 50 Azerbaijanis were arrested in Moscow last night

      25 Arrested After Armenian-Azeri Violence In Moscow

      Ara Abrahamyan calls for harsh reaction to attacks on and discrimination against Armenians in Moscow

  19. I was just reminded of this December, 2019 commentary by Tucker Carlson. It's a pretty good synopsis of what has gone wrong in the US and why the country is in a steep and irreversible decline. Although Tucker Carlson will never be able to utter the word "Jew" in any of his television programs, the country's Jewish establishment (the all-powerful elite that actually runs the political show on the Left and on the Right in Washington DC) is exactly what he is talking about. Thomas Jefferson, Napoleon Bonaparte and many other historic figures like them warned against allowing bankers and money men any control over government. But, as the American saying goes - money talks. The United States and much of the world today is in the hands of money men (i.e. the Jewish elite with their instinctual hatred of all non-Jews, especially Whites and Christians). This, in a nutshell, is why we are seeing the collapse of civilizations around the world, including in Armenia. One can therefore draw a lot of parallels with the toxicity inflicting the US with what has been going on in many parts of the world in recent times -

    Tucker Investigates: What is destroying rural America?

    1. Vaccine for believers / Pentagon Top Secrets.

    2. Thank you for this, Sarkis.

      If this is real, and it does look authentic, this is both fascinating and very troubling at the same time. This is the kind of stuff that goes on behind closed doors. Once in a while we get a little glimpse of what they are doing when this kind of information is leaked. Nevertheless, just imagine the kind of stuff that remains hidden from the public's view. Imagine what they are studying, researching and developing at secretive bio-labs around the world, Armenia included of course -

      The Pentagon Bio-weapons

      Ինչո՞ւ են Հայաստանին անհրաժեշտ ԱՄՆ-ի մանրեաբանական լաբորատորիաներ

      Зачем американцам биолаборатории в Центральной Азии и на Кавказе Читать далее

      And a mandatory "cure for racism" may be just around the corner. The writing is on the wall -

      The Science of Your Racist Brain

      Researchers Try to Cure Racism

      Understanding the Racist Brain

      One can draw some discomforting conclusions from all this:

      1) Human behavior (and by extension a nation's traits) is indeed genetic
      2) Government and private research institutions have gotten very advanced in understanding human behavior on a molecular level
      3) Bio-engineering is being manipulated and used against targeted peoples and nations around the world
      4) Viruses and vaccinations have now been harnessed and weaponized and are being used to change the behavior of peoples
      5) They are clearly attempting to remake human society in their image
      6) This is most probably what American bio-labs in places like Armenia are involved in
      7) They want to take God, family and country out of the individual, and turn man into docile animal only concerned about eating, fucking and of course shopping

      Back in 2005 their target was "religious fundamentalists" in the Middle East and Afghanistan. I don't know if it ever got out of the research phase but they were actually engineering viruses and vaccines to "eliminate the behavior" (i.e. religious fundamentalism). Today, they may be engineering a virus or a vaccine that turns republicans into democrats or racists into interracialists. Tomorrow, they may create a virus or a vaccine that would turn heterosexuals into homosexuals, meat eaters into vegans, or cat lovers into dog lovers. Kidding aside, this, at its core, is satanic. As I have been saying for all these years, Western powers are a threat to all of humanity. This is one of the reasons why the Anglo-American-Jewish world order should die a miserable death, and do so sooner than later...

  20. Excellent speaker and excellent explanations. Who is Menua Haroutyunyan? We need more young people like him.

    Հայ-ռուսական հարաբերությունների դեմ պայքարում են թուրքերը

    1. I was actually looking forward to watching this. I regularly refer to Menua Hartunyan's comments in this blog as well as in my emails. He is the owner of Slaq news agency. He is also connected to Robert Qocharyan. He is one of the few voices of reason and sanity in Nikol's Sorostan.

      I want to add here that the Turkish agenda to ruin Russian-Armenian relations is very advanced. Turkish intelligence has a large number of agents embedded deep within our society. I discussed this troubling matter in my previous two blog commentaries about Nikol's "new Armenia". Turks, along with their Azeri cousins, also have a large army of internet warriors spewing anti-Russian comments under Armenian aliases. Turks in particular are very active in Armenia society. They, along with Anglo-American-Jews, fund a lot of our activists. The aforementioned also have connections with the AGBU, the Hovnanian family, the Eastern Diocese, the Hovannesian family and Armenian Assembly of America.

      There are Armenians like our beloved "Soviet Dissident" Paruyr Hayrikyan (now a CIA pension receiver) that envisions an Armenian-Turkish-Georgian front against Russian imperialism and aggression. And Paruyr is not alone. Similar sentiments can be heard from disgusting vermin like Nikol Pashinyan, Levon Petrosyan, Ara Papyan, Levon Barseghyan, Tigran Khzmalyan, Lraglir's Hakob Badalyan, Varuzhan Avetisyan, Garegin Chugaszyan, Jirayr Sefilyan, Igor Muradyan, Alek Yenigomshyan, Stepan Girgoryan, Levon Shirinyan, Azat Arshakyan, Arthur Sakunts, Arkadi Vardanyan, Davit Sanasaryan, Zaruhi Postanjyan, Ruben Hakhverdyan and many, many others.

      So many mercenaries in a small, poor and remote nation is a game changer.

      Thanks to Armenian shortsightedness and political illiteracy, these mercenaries are now in power in Armenia. They therefore get a lot of airtime to poison the minds of not the older and instinctually pro-Russian generation but more specifically the westernized and therefore vulnerable "independence generation". Consequently, Armenia today is rife with anti-Russian activists, essentially because of the stupidity known as "complimentary politics". The Armenian diaspora in the Western world is also guilty. The North American diaspora in particular has been a conduit (or rather a pack animal) for various Western and Turkish agendas inside Armenia. Under the cover of "balanced relationships", "Western investments" and "diasporan support", Anglo-American-Judaeo-Turkish interests have set very deep roots throughout Armenian society.

      So, think of it: A country that is desperately dependent on Russia for survival is also a country where anti-Russian interests have great influence. It's a formula or disaster. And it's being encouraged by Western and Turkish interests. This already bad situation is progressively getting worst with each passing year and we only have ourselves to blame. This is Armenian politics for you. This, in a nutshell, is also why Armenians on their own have been utter failures in nation-building for over two thousand years. What also worries me now is how excited and overly confident our peasantry is getting over these small cross-border skirmishes. God forbid a major war. We are going to pay a very heavy price for all this shortsightedness and self-destructive behavior one day. It's a good thing the Kremlin has Armenia by the balls and by the throat. Armenia itself will therefore remain on the world map, but we are going to suffer a lot of setbacks, militarily, economically and culturally.

      In a nutshell: Any Armenian that even remotely suggests to close or "reevaluate" Russian military bases in Armenia is either an agent working for Anglo-American-Judaeo-Turkish interests or is simply a moron. Sadly, the two things post-Soviet Armenia has a great surplus of is Western mercenaries and idiots...

    2. Our anti-Russian activists, who of course almost always portray themselves as Armenian nationalists, are in reality anti-Armenian activists. Whether they realize it or not, what they are doing is treasonous and suicidal. Whether they realize it or not, our professional Russophobes are actually advancing a very old Turkish agenda vis-à-vis Armenia. The following is the Anglo-American-Judaeo-Turkish agenda:

      George Friedman: “Russian presence in Armenia is bad for Turkey”: http://theriseofrussia. israeli-jewish-expert-in.html

      Turkish Advice: Armenian diaspora, focus on Russia rather than Turkey! http://www.hurriyetdailynews. com/armenian-diaspora-focus- on-russia-rather-than-turkey

      Stratfor: buffer zone against Russia should be created in Caucasus:

      Time for change in Turkish-Armenian relations:

      US Ads: Growing alliance between Russia, Armenia troubling:

      Paul Goble: ‘Russia has De Facto Occupied Armenia,’ Yerevan Expert Says:

      Richard Giragosian: My work with the Turkish government is in support of normalizing relations:

      Kenneth Yalowitz: Expanding NATO-Armenia cooperation to boost Armenia's security:’s-security---kenneth-yalowitz.html

      Leaked memo reveals Turkish military operation plan against Armenia:

    3. Arevordi, Menua sounds exactly like you. This was a very good appearance by him. Our situation is really bad beneath the surface. To come to our senses maybe Hayastan needs to feel the Turkish yataghan.

    4. Regarding Menua, I would frame it differently. There can only be one universal truth, in anything. Menua and I profess the truth, we therefore sound alike. So, the credit goes to the universal truth. Some of us are merely able to perceive it despite the darkness of this world. Regarding the yataghan analogy: You are unfortunately correct. Armenians wake up only when, as the Armenian saying goes, the knife reaches the bone. That is, in the big picture, why we have survived hundreds of years but we have been not been successful in nation-building...

  21. Op-ed: what really happened in the July fighting between Armenia and Azerbaijan, what are the results?

    Key quotes:

    -The main result of the July battles, it seems to me, is the loss of the psychological advantage that Azerbaijan possessed after the April ‘Four-Day War’ of 2016.

    -I even expect a possible refusal from the mediation of the OSCE Minsk Group (how much mediation is possible?) And the start of direct negotiations with the Republic of Armenia and representatives of the unrecognized Nagorno-Karabakh Republic. Perhaps under the umbrella of mediation of Russia – how could we possibly do without it…

  22. Gel here..

    What has been occurring in Moscow, is special service sponsored attacks sanctioned by Aliyev and Erdogan themselves against Armenians. One the shun turks who organized these attacks actually admitted that Azeris will return as heroes to Azerbaijan if they cut the head off Armenians.

    Now, i will address a few things here, but i will address the petty point first. Azeris have literally fucked up big time. This is completely undermining to Russia. And the special service goons that were sent to Moscow were sent the very same day erDOGan conducted an islamic prayer in Hagia Sophia for the first time since the Ottoman Empire. Do you think this is all a coincidence? no.

    Second petty point i must address.. Azeris have literally messed with the wrong Armenian diaspora. I cannot disclose much, but Armenians have a firm grip in the underworld in Russia, and in the intellectual world in Russia. We have many unique types of Armenians, Abkhazian Armenians... who a few are high ranking vor v zakones. There are already videos surfacing of Armenians decimating Azeri special forces even in the streets of Moscow. This is why i say Arevordi.. Armenians are sometimes too brave and too calm in times of upheaval.

    Now to address the most important point, what Aliyev has done is essentially sign his death warrant. You will see an ousting of Aliyev very soon, or we are going to see a huge regional war very soon. I am now convinced more than ever, we are all heading to world war 3, or even the biblical Armagedon.. i hope us Armenians during this period will be full throttle ARA GANDON mode, and snatch some more historical territories.

    Arevordi... if there ever was a time, more than ever that proved we are playing a very dynamic chess and that we as a country are in fact brotherly with Russians, does it not show now?

    Armenian MOD just released an image of Russian and Armenian air defence leadership discussing the recent provision of Bayraktar drones to Azerbaijan.

    Remember, when you asked many times, we do not know the purpose of Nikol and why the Russians allowed him to take power in Armenia... does it not show? do you not read this? must this be spelled out.

    I may be exposing strategies simply asking these questions, but i ask you to put your thinking hat on and read through the lines.

    Pashinyan is not what he seems on the surface... the political theater in Armenia is not what it seems on the surface.. Margarita's statement is not what it seems on the surface.

    Key points:

    1. Greeks burning turkish flags all across Greece
    2. erDOGan calling to prayer in Hagia Sophia; simultaneously Azeri special service goons attacking Armenians in Putin's capital and disrespecting Putin
    3. Serbia providing arms to Armenia. Vucic the leader of Serbia is a vile globalist, but the military is aligned with Russia. in Serbia there will likely be a military coup de ta soon.
    4. Greek ships scrambling Turkish ships
    5. Egypt and Turkish stand-off in libya
    6. Assads revenge and counter-attack

    Need more be said? The Byzantine arch is being created in front of our very own eyes. And there is going to be a big event very soon. Covid is a smoke screen to likely train people to deal with this big event. In times of great wars, which the new generation we are in has no sense how to deal with, needs to be pre-conditioned to obey and be orderly and be content with staying in doors. That is the purpose of Covid.

  23. In my opinion, there is a chance that Aliyev can be ousted from power. One of the (many) factors that led to the total collapse of the HHK and subsequent takeover of Armenia by Pashinyan was that in 2016 the HHK demonstrated catastrophic failure on the military and national security fronts, which was really their main/only selling point. The poor performance in the April 2016 skirmishes (apparently being taken by surprise, significant areas of Artsakh initially overrun before being recovered, frontline soldiers without proper supplies, high loss of life and equipment due to bad logistics, vulnerability to Azeri drones, and the first notable shift in the line of contact since the 1994 ceasefire...) Also in 2016 the Sasna Tsrer terrorists killed three and injured 26 police officers and then took a number of hostages at a police station in a standoff which lasted two weeks. Whatever Sargsyan's reasoning was for the decisions he made as leader, in hindsight the writing was on the wall for the HHK. The numerous anti-Russian actions of Sargsyan in Europe, the trashiness of Sargsyan's family specially his drug kingpin nephew, and the overall shittiness of everyone associated with the HHK not named Karen Karapetyan all foreshadowed an inevitable uprising.

    Point here being that Aliyev's position is at least as precarious as that of the HHK in Armenia. Aliyev made grandiose promises to occupy "İrəvan, Göyçə Göl, Zangezur, and of course Dağlıq Qarabağ" and beyond with his military which had a bigger annual budget than Armenia's entire state budget for a decade and a half. He bragged about buying Mikoyans (ironic) from Ukraine, South African MRAPs, Israeli drones and missiles and radar and rifles, the latest Russian tanks and helicopters, Turkish products, and so on. And his crappy military has really nothing to show for it, average Azeris are not that much better off than Armenians, and its no secret that Aliyev's family stashed tons of cash in abroad.

    While it may be true that anti-Artsakh sentiment exists among some of Yerevan's disgusting pro-LTP faggots, there is no shortage of non-Artsakh Armenians volunteering on the line of contact. Faced with a realistic threat of a potential military disaster will delegitimize any government. Combine that with years of declining oil production, lower energy prices, crappy, and social and economic hardships caused by the global corona hysteria, and all of a sudden Aliyev is boxed in.

    While I don't particularly care for Pashinyan, I am glad he is pointing out that the attacks on Armenians in Moscow is an attempt to destabilize Russia by third parties (Turkey) and their agents in the Caucasus and within Russia itself. Of course Pashinyan's regime is full of rabid Russia haters, so it rings a bit hollow. But generally Armenia needs to emphasize that as long as a large and powerful Turkish state exists, they will desecrate Orthodox Churches like the Hagia Sophia and they will pose a threat to Russia's position in the South Caucasus, North Caucasus, Central Asia, and even it's non-Slavic eastern regions. The only long term solution is to carve Turkey up (like a Christmas turkey) and annex its territory to Russia's allies such as Armenia.

  24. Yesterday, Russia celebrated Navy Day. Naval parades were held in all Russian bases (including Tartus in Syria). The main event was held in St. Petersburg and was presided by Putin himself. One of the commanders of the parading ships (the Corvette Stoiky, Hull number 545) was Captain Arthur GHARIBYAN whom you can see at 57:56 watching through his binoculars in this video:

    Separately, the parade in Vladivostok was presided by the commander of the Pacific Fleet Admiral Sergey AVAKYANTS. Yes, he is Armenian (born in Yerevan). Meet him in this video:

    1. Russian military parades - be it on land, air or sea - are always magnificent and something to behold. Saint Petersburg is one of the most gorgeous cities on earth. And I decided to add Admiral Sergei Avakyants to my blog's Russian-Armenian pantheon...

  25. President Kocharyan's interview:

    1. "Ռուսական բազան ՀՀ-ից հանելու մասին խոսողները պետք է զգաստանան. Ռոբերտ Քոչարյան"

    2. Another brilliant appearance by Kocharyan. He has an exceptionally good understanding/grasp of political matters, including the dangers of Globalism. Although it is not saying much, he is by-far the best leader Armenia has yet had. However, with regards to Western/Globalist interests operating inside Armenia, a lot of the mess we have in the country today had their roots/genesis during Kocharyan's rule. Granted, he was flirting with Western powers at a time when Russia was relatively still weak and Western agents and their NGOs were not yet very active inside the country. Nevertheless, he still needs to take some blame for the mess the country is in today...

  26. any truth to the recent rumor that Pashinyan is now removing teaching Christianity as part of Armenian history? (This would pretty much wipe out our entire history... a nation without history is no nation)

    1. Look at the following links in Armenian. It's not only Christianity. Nationalism is also being erased from Armenian history books. It's all being done to basically appease the godfather of the current regime in Yerevan, George Soros. The enemy on the inside is far more dangerous that the enemy on the outside. And what makes this internal enemy particularly more dangerous is that it has the "people's" support. Armenians are a self-destructive bunch. We had more nationalism in government during the Soviet period. Think long and hard about that -


      Նոր սկանդալ. Մովսես Խորենացի, Եղիշե, Մեսրոպ Մաշտոց, Գրիգոր Նարեկացի. Հայ հեղինակներ, որոնք հեռացվելու են 7-12 դասարաններում «Գրականություն» առարկայի ուսուցման դպրոցական ծրագրից

  27. Apparently there have protests going on in Belarus since May. Does anyone have any information out there? There isn't a lot of media coverage.

    1. There is coverage but it's not front page. I don't know enough about the political landscape inside Belarus to make any insightful comments. What I know is that Lukashenko is a funny guy; very similar to our morons in Yerevan. Every time the Kremlin puts pressure on him, he runs to the West. Every time the West puts pressure on him, he runs to the Kremlin. That's why Belarus is going nowhere, just like Armenia. Minsk's own "complimentary politics" has also allowed Western interests some footing inside Belarus, although no way near as what we see in Armenia. This is ultimately why we are seeing protests in the country. That said, there also seems to be a significant amount of genuine/grassroots displeasure over Lukashenko's 3 decades long rule. In any case, just like Ukraine, Belarus is a fake country. Belarus and Ukraine are both part of the greater Russian nation, similar to how Artsakh is part of Armenia. 20th century politics was not kind to Russia, nor to Armenia. Sooner or later, one way or another, Belarus will be going back home to Mother Russia. The same with Artsakh...


      The latest twist was the arrest of 30 odd 'mercenaries' by the Belarusian KGB. The claim is that these men were in the country to help foment anti-government actions. Yesterday the Belarusian FM sent the names of the men to the Ukrainian FM, because allegedly some of the men had fought in Donbas against the Ukrainian regular army. The men claim they were spending time outside of Minsk before their flight to istanbul and then on to Libya. They are likely part of the Wagner Group.
      While Lukashenko is less corrupt than Yanukovich, he is apparently making the same mistakes as the latter. We all know how that worked out. If I recall correctly, even at the height of tensions between Yanukovich and the Kremlin he never arrested Russians and paraded them on tv as saboteurs.

  28. Off topic, but the following is pertinent information to help one better understanding the kind of people who run the world today and the kind of people who are behind much of the evil and decadence we see in the United States today.

    I was watching Tucker Carlson tonight. Well known Jewish-American criminal defense lawyer Allen Dershowitz was on his show to defend himself against accusations that he had sex with minors at Jefferey Epstein's estate. In the conversation, Dershowitz casually said: "I was introduced to Jeffrey Epstein by Lady Rothschild", in an apparent reference to Lynn Forester de Rothschild.

    Just think about this for a moment. Let it sink in. Again: Jefferey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell, two Mossad connected pedophiles and smutpeddlers who helped many in Anglo-American high society soil themselves (and of course kept a record of it for blackmailing purposes) were also being helped along by none other than the infamous "Rothschilds". So, yes, the Rothschilds are still around and they are still engaged in dirty business.

    But this begs the question: How could this Jefferey Epstein, a simple math teacher from Coney Island, manage to establish ties with perhaps the richest (and therefore most influential) dynasty on earth? The short answer is: A sick Jew with connections, most likely Mossad connections via Ghislaine Maxwell.

    As we all now know, Epstein had a special sexual taste. He was therefore groomed to penetrate high society in the Western world, which is also known for its decadence. In other words, he was a sick pervert who would be used to lure and soil influential people and therefore establish levers over them. In other words: He was a very useful Jew. But when the said operation fell apart he was simply suicided into silence. In any case, this was the first time I was hearing about this connection between Epstein and the Rothschilds. According to a quick google search I did, I found out that Allen Dershowitz had briefly mentioned this at least once before on Laura Ingraham's show -

    Alan Dershowitz on Jeffrey Epstein: "I was introduced to him by the lady Rothschild"

    Why hasn't anybody been making any noise about this? Dershowitz's claim seemed to blow right over Tucker's head. The same with Laura. Then again, maybe not. Tucker Carlson and Laura Ingraham know well that despite their "outspoken" television persona they nevertheless have clearly defined borders/limits they know they cannot cross. So, they kept quiet as expected, and nobody else picked on it either, as expected. In any case, just imagine what the news media in the US would have done if Allen Dershowitz had said he was introduced to Jeffery Epstein by some Russian or Chinese oligarch...

    I also found the following two articles -

    Lynn de Rothschild – one of the closest people to Epstein, Maxwell and Prince Andrew who knew them for decades but her connections are rarely mentioned in the mainstream media.

    The woman behind the curtain: WikiLeaks show Lynn Forester de Rothschild helped groom Killary for Presidency

    1. Good catch.
      Epstein got his money from the other mossad benefactor, Les Wexner - the billionaire clothing retailer. Allegedly the two were briefly lovers as well. So not only was Epstein a pederast but he was a fag as well.
      The rothschild's are the third rail of the third rail. If you want to maintain your career and be 'respected' by the high society types you just don't mention them. A few black rappers have mentioned the rothschild family but always as part of the Illuminati bs that people on the internet like to discuss without having any understanding of the occult or gnostic history in general.

      Here are three very recent videos that I think you and many others here would like.

    2. Gel here...

      The Jesuits are never mentioned are they... only the typical group of individuals. Rothschilds, Epstein's, Weinstein's and co., whilst they do wield a lot of power, are sheep dogs for the Jesuits. Jesuits control the western world as we know it. Look deeper into this and come to your own conclusions.

      Walter Veith talks about this with perfect explanations. Please follow-him. Ask yourself this, if Rothschilds and co, were truly in power as we are led to believe, why are they so popular now? Every Tom, Dick and Harry is aware of the Rothschilds... but no one speaks of the Vatican aka Jesuit families who are even more powerful and are at the top of the pecking order.

      Thesis, Anti-Thesis to bring about Synthesis. The Sheep dogs are being sacrificed to the wolves so we do not catch on to who is truly in power, which are the satanic Jesuit/Vatican order.

    3. Watch the Tuckman interview with Dershowitz in the video below starting at the 7:28 mark while you can, it will (probably) be taken down soon:

      Watch it twice just to pay attention to Tucker's facial expressions. How must it feel to be forced to watch these parasites rape and destroy the empire your ancestors worked to build, and be forced to pretend you don't notice the pattern? It would be something to see Tucker lay off of the Chinese and focus on the rootless parasite within.

      ps Dershowitz casually drops "'lady' Rothschild" and "Israeli Mossad" unprompted during the interview. Can it be that the mere act of being questioned by the White Christian conservative Tucker just causes so much fear and panic in the Jew Dershowitz that he stumbles over himself? Or is it just senility kicking in, which is not good for them because the millennial foreskin-choppers are nowhere near as stealthy or competent as their parents and grandparents. Maybe the credentials, the media hype, the impressive-sounding legal terminology may dazzle the goyim, but to me this interview was a poor showing. His non sequitur responses and outrageous claims of ignorance of Epstein's criminal activities seem very, very transparent to me. Any halfway competent attorney would be able to rip Dershowitz a new asshole if he were ever tried for his role in the Epstein conspiracy.

    4. Yes, Jesuits are usually left out of the discussion. I am not convinced that they are at the top of the hierarchy but perhaps I should read more about them. Have you read The Keys of This Blood by Malachi Martin, or The Jesuits by the same author?

    5. LG,

      I have read two of Malachi Martin's books: The Jesuits and Hostage to the Devil. I was an avid follower of his interviews and writings in 1990s. Martin is a very-very interesting character. He was also known to have had a CIA handler. Martin died under strange circumstances -

      Catholic priest who inspired The Exorcist died from a fall after a ‘possessed’ child spoke to him and he was ‘pushed over by an invisible force’, CIA agent claims

      So, take this into consideration as well. What can logically be deduced from Martin's work is that the CIA was interested in weakening the Vatican's power.

      In my opinion, Jesuits are old story. The same can be said about the Mormons. If you asked people in the 1950s and 1960s who controlled the USA from behind-the-scenes, many would say Mormons. No doubt the Jesuits and Mormons yield some power today but, overall, they are yesterday's elite. When we are talking about the Jesuits let's also remember that we are essentially talking about the Vatican. Yes, the Vatican is still, relatively speaking, very powerful and they also have "secret societies" so to speak. But let's also remember that Vatican money in post-Second World War period is in Jewish hands. As the saying goes, money talks. The Vatican's power and influence plummeted after the Second Vatican Counsel known as Vatican II. Organized Jewry was behind the Vatican's downward transformation. Jesuits also seemed to be involved. In any case, the Jesuits WERE powerful. Just like the Mormons in the United States WERE powerful. As noted above, Jesuits were on the lips of very "Tom, Dick and Harry" in previous decades. That is no lo longer the case today because Catholicism and the Vatican's power in the Western world in general has largely fallen victim to Globalists, organized Jewry and a number of other secret societies and cults.

      Also consider this: There are people tasked with deflecting attention from one group onto to a rival group. So, there will be people working for one group who try to point fingers at another group to distract and vice-versa.

      Regarding the links you posted: I had not seen the first two, I had seen parts of the third. I made time to watch all of it. A lot of the content is factual in my opinion, but some of the claims can have alternative explanations and should therefore be considered questionable or subjective. Nevertheless, these videos are good to establish a firm foundation of healthy skepticism and independent thought in a person. However, I suspect that some of these types of videos are somehow part of the overall psy-ops agenda we are subjected to. As noted above, some of these productions could merely be a case of one special interest group (from among the global elite) deflecting attention and placing blame on a competing or rival special interest.

      In all likeliness, there is not one but a number of powerful elite groups/societies vying for power and control. Rothschilds are no doubt on the top tier. Moreover, Kabbalism or Kabbalistic cults are very widespread and culturally very corrosive but they do not get much attention because the sheeple's attention is always drawn towards Freemasonry and the Illuminati. This again goes back to how information that is put out is meant to deflect attention from one group to another. I am willing to bet that adherents of Kabbalah among the Anglo-American-Jewish world's high society is behind much of the social engineering and psy-ops we see around the world today.

      Nevertheless, as I said, there seems to be a number of powerful interests and and sometimes these cooperate and collaborate - and sometimes these compete. Think of them as a global network of a few but very powerful mafia organizations involved in sociopolitical and socioeconomic agendas...

    6. This is Malachi Martin's interview from 1979 about the "Mission of the Pope" -

      This is the trailer to the documentary on Malachi Martin's death, as told by his CIA friend -

      And this is a synopsis of his famous book "Hostage to the Devil". Incidentally, there is an Armenian character in the book, and, yes, he is possessed -

    7. Arevordi:

      I got around to watching the links you shared. Good stuff, thanks for sharing. Yes, Martin most probably had links to the CIA. The agency decided in the 50s to infiltrate the Vatican, and they used American catholics to do it. Along with some well placed Italian nationals. Here is a link to a great book that goes into detail regarding this agenda.
      Martin had a falling out with his handlers and with elements within the Catholic church. I do recommended reading his book, Keys of this Blood. It is now dated somewhat but still an interesting attempt at geopolitical analysis by a former Jesuit who had a different take than most of the other authors trying their hand at a similar task. Anyway, the nexus of intel agencies, secret societies, organized crime, religious institutions, and high ranking political figures is fascinating. An under-reported topic for sure.

  29. Wanted to add this to the list of disasters this new government has caused, and its only a small portion of the total. Thank you Nikol for your NED and soros funded velvet revolutuon. And thank you to the armenian street. They don't deserve a nation.


    1. Armenia is clearly lacking in Nairi Hunanyans.

    2. I wholeheartedly agree with Arto and Sarkis. We desperately need a Nairi Hunanyan and we as a people are NOT worthy of and we DON"T deserve independence. The sooner the "Armenian Street" (a disorderly gaggle of backward chobans, petty merchants and traveling gypsies) comes to this realization the better will it be for Armenia. But, I have no hope that the "Armenian Street" will be coming to its senses any time soon. What the Street cares about the most is revenge, getting back at the "Karabakh Clan" for crimes both real and perceived. Nothing else matters for them. As long as Serjik and Robik are given a hard time, the army can fall part, the church can fall apart, national culture can fall part, etc. Armenians would rather live like sewer rats, as long as those they are envious of and hate are persecuted. In a sense, Armenians don't want to live better nor do they really give a shit about their statehood, they simply want those they are envious of and hate to suffer. That's it. This ultimately is why in the past 2500 years we Armenians were truly independent for '35' years. This ultimately is why Mkhitar Sparapet was murdered by Armenians. Armenians are a special kind of animal within God's diverse kingdom. Study Armenian history and you will learn that Armenians ONLY excel when they are living under a compatible, greater power. In the ancient world that compatible, greater power was Persia. Today, it's Russia. The following is related to Armenia's civilizational decline -


      Դեմ եմ այլասեմանը

    3. Sharmazanov: Armenian Highlands are renamed "Eastern Anatolia" in new history textbooks of Armenia

      Pashinyan, his officials, and his family deserve to hang.

    4. It's quite ironic that a person who speaks of a "need for a Nairi Hunanyan" also brings up Mkhitar Sparapet. It's ironic, because you posses the same mindset of the same "backward chobans, petty merchants and traveling gypsies" that presented Mkhitar's head to the Ottoman Pasha in Tabriz, without any regard for this man's wartime victorious leadership and preservation of Zangezur, in the same way you have no regard for Vazgen's wartime victorious leadership and liberation of Artsakh, and leadership in founding and organizing the victorious Armenian army. Its ironic you don't see yourself as among those gypsies, because your essence is indistinguishable. But you left out the most important moral of that story... what those gypsies get in return for presenting the head of Mkitar to the Pasha in Tabriz? that's right, he was disgusted at their betrayal, and cut off their heads! soo... there's likely some wisdom in there for you. "More Nairi's" is exactly what they would like to see as well, in Ankara and Baku. That's amazing you can't conceive something so simple.

      Secondly, as far as an ability to sustain " a long term war" Armenia can't and Azerbaijan can... i'll refer you to the first war so you can do some research there.

      and your suggestion that Armenia initiated the latest skirmishes, is just laughable. although you initially tried to downplay the successful Armenian response.

      There is something wrong deep in that brain of yours that obscurs your world-view, and it is a projection of deeply ingrained, personal psychological matters. There's no other explanation for your constant self-hatred, yet inability to distance yourself from idiots, chobans, backward gypsies who don't deserve any statehood. Only someone with serious issues would feel this way towards something, yet keep coming back to that source. There's something wrong with you, and that's not meant as an insult. There is such a thing as constructive criticism, and you are not that... far from it! all the time you put in here, you're better off spending with a psychiatrist, and that's not meant as an insult but out of concern.

    5. My comments are "ironic" only for the irrational whose brain can't even process simple information. With you I feel like there is no sense in talking sense to the senseless. You obviously have an unhealthy/twisted fetish with me. So, please do yourself a favor and go see a therapist. If fact, you can't start helping yourself today simply by not coming here anymore.

  30. If necessary, Russia will save Armenia with a nuclear strike (auto-translated)

    Original in Russian:

    While our Soros faggot Pashinyan and his demonic cabinet are working to destroy Armenia internally, the country that always gets accused of wanting "Armenia, but without the Armenians, bro" is once again the singular factor preventing the enraged Turks to our west from steamrolling over our comparatively tiny and hapless statelet.


    Hi, what do you think about this vis a vis between Margarita and Nikol?

    Very interesting

    I just read it with the google translator but it was very accurate


    1. Thank you for this find, Boch@.

      This is a hard hitting, straight forward article and it's coming from a major Russian online news agency. Margarita Simonyan's comments about our NED/Soros led regime in Yerevan was already discussed here a few days ago. Simply put: I agree with EVERYTHING she said. The only problem I have with her is that she was not harsh enough in her criticism. In any case, Armenians are not yet fully registering the political meaning of all this. I don't know how many ways the Kremlin is going to signal its displeasure with the current regime in Yerevan before something goes terribly wrong. Relations between the Kremlin and Nikol's NED/Soros led government is NOT good to say the least. None of you should be fooled into thinking otherwise just because Moscow continues to safeguard Armenia's existence. For the Kremlin, Armenia exists separately from any of Armenia's ruling regimes. Besides, let's remember that Russia controls all of Armenia's vital lifelines. Despite who is in power in Yerevan, Armenia cannot live without Russia. The only thing a West-leaning government in Yerevan will therefore do is merely force the Kremlin to keep Armenia on a tighter leash. That is not something the tiny, remote, impoverished, blockaded and embattled nation needs. Translation: Armenia will continue stagnating. This all can also one day have very bad repercussions for Artsakh...

    2. I hear you brother but you said before that nikol can also be a russian agent

    3. I suspected a possible Nikol-Russia connection from early on. I just can't delve too deep into it simply because it is just speculation.

      Despite Nikol's well known anti-Russian rhetoric before coming to power, he has stayed very close to the Kremlin after coming to power. You may recall that not only did the Kremlin not do anything to stop Nikol from coming to power two years ago, it actually helped him come to power by reportedly asking Serj Sargsyan to step down. Did the Kremlin do this to simply prevent potential bloodshed in Armenia, a county that is looked upon by Russians as their strategic foothold in the south Caucasus? Perhaps. Or, did the Kremlin do so because they actually wanted to see Nikol in power? Perhaps.

      It can be argued that Nikol has been as obedient to the Kremlin as his predecessor Serj Sargsyan was, if not more. This has two explanations: 1) Nikol has no choice but to give in to the Kremlin's wishes because not doing so will hurt Armenia. 2) Nikol is a Kremlin agent. While I lean towards the former, I still cannot outright rule out the latter. I still think it's a possibility that Nikol is at least indirectly serving some of the Kremlin's core interests in Armenia. Those core interests, in my opinion, is settling the Artsakh dispute by having Armenia return at least 5 of the 7 regions and by placing Russians troops in Artsakh.

      Let's take into consideration that Russia's special services are among the world's most powerful and most sophisticated. Russians also excel in playing the long game. For the Kremlin, politics is literally a masterclass game of chess. It's a result of hundreds of years of experience. That is essentially how they have kept a nation that large and that powerful for hundreds of years and despite numerous catastrophes.

      So, with this in mind, it would not be a far stretch of the imagination to think that Nikol may be one of Kremlin's agents in Yerevan. Being an agent does not necessarily mean Nikol works directly for the Kremlin. Often times "agents" do not even know they are serving the interests of some foreign power.

      Watching Nikol feels as if Russian intelligence allowed a buffoon to come to power in order for the Kremlin to say at some point in the future - don't blame us for losing your "territories". The Kremlin may be exploiting Nikol and his team of Western-financed Russophobes. Russian officials know that despite the current regime's Western bent Armenia is going no where. Nikol's NED/Soros led government therefore becomes a convenient excuse for the Kremlin to work against Armenian interests (with regards to Artsakh) without looking like they are backstabbing their Armenian allies. In other words, it may be Russian psy-ops (maintaining pro-Russian sentiments in the country) while deflection blame from themselves when Yerevan is forced to concede lands. This is why I sometimes say, Russians may be giving us the rope (Nikol's government) to hang us with (force Armenia to agree to land concessions). Simonyan's letter may be connected to this.

      This is not some wild conspiracy theory. This kind of stuff happens all around the world. Russians are masters of it. My speculation is that because Azeri society is better controlled by Baku and Azeris generally speaking do not have a Western fetish, the Armenian side proved most susceptible for manipulation. The focus of the manipulation may have therefore been us.

      Anyway, this is ALL speculation. What we know for SURE is that the NED and Open Society helped Nikol and company come to power in the country two years go. What we also know for sure that the Armenian Church and Armenia's national culture is currently under attack by Nikol's pro-Globalist government. What we also know for sure is that all kinds of homosexuals and anti-Russian activists are now running amok in Armenia. What we also know for sure that Armen Sargsyan, the president, has a stake in the Anglo-American gold exploitation at Amulsar...

  32. Does anyone know about the war games currently happening with turkey and Azerbaijan in Nakhichevan?

    Azerbaijani-Turkish Joint Large-Scale Exercises are being held in Nakhchivan

    1. I am aware, I have been monitoring the military exercises. They are beginning to release more video recordings of them. These drills in Nakhijevan are unprecedented in their scale. So, it's very symbolic. Russian and Armenian troops also performed similar types of exercises soon after the border clashes in Tavush. I suspect that the clash in Tavush which saw Armenians shoot down a sophisticated Israeli drone, kill an Azeri general and liberate a strategic mountain top overlooking the Azeri town of Ganja (where most Baku's oil/gas pipelines to Georgia and Turkey pass) was masterminded by the Kremlin. The reason may have been related to energy politics. Baku's and Ankara's immediate angry and aggressive response may have been related to this. Recall that Moscow even showcased some of its tactical nuclear arsenal during the military drills that took place soon after the Tavush clash. It was as if Moscow was telling Baku and Ankara to take a step back after the successful Armenian assault. Whatever the case may be, it's basically Russian and Armenian forces against Turkish and Azeri forces, and both are posturing. The following is some perspective from the enemy -

      Armenia-Azerbaijan clashes put a squeeze on ‘Ganja Gap’

      Turkey may be indirect target of Azeri-Armenian clashes

      Why did Armenia attack Azerbaijan?

      What is behind Armenia's military provocation on Azerbaijan's border?

      Azerbaijan, Turkey Team Up For Large-Scale Military Drills

      Azerbaijan-Armenia Clashes Highlight Turkey-Russia Rift

      Caucasus fighting pits Russia against Turkey, straining shaky alliance

      Caucasus: Armenia’s ‘New war for new territories’

      Moscow Has Compelling New Reasons for Neutrality in Armenian-Azerbaijani Conflict

      Turkish military expected Russian support for Armenia against Azerbaijan in the event of a conventional war

    2. I hope you are still around, Zoravar. There was a major incident in Beirut, Lebanon today. Please watch these video recordings. The explosion is unusually massive. It actually looks like a tactical nuclear bomb exploding. Can an ammunition depot explosion cause something like this? The smoke cloud is orange/red. What could that be? Also, is the background noise that of airplanes?

      Потужний вибух прогримів у Бейруті, столиці Лівану / НАШ 04.08

      В столице Ливана прогремел мощный взрыв - Россия 24

      Beirut explosion: footage shows massive blast shaking Lebanon's capital

      Massive explosion in Beirut | DW News

      Strong explosion rocks Beirut | AFP

      BREAKING: Huge explosion rocks Beirut

    3. The recent military exercises in the Caucasus and Trans-Caucasus regions are certainly very symbolic and should be understood as "DECLARATIONS OF INTENT". Right after the recent clashes on the Armenia-Azerbaijan border and the aggressive Turkish rhetoric, the Russians started large scale exercises close to the Azeri border: this demonstration of force is like stating that the Federations Armed Forces are committed, ready and willing to interfere if Armenia is threatened by anyone. By launching joint maneuvers with the Azeris in Nakhichevan, the Turks are showing their own aggressive intentions if any conflict escalates. All Armenians (nation, government and population) should take the above very very seriously.

      As for today's Beirut explosion, its hugeness makes the official narrative of a fireworks depot/ship exploding a bit unconvincing. It sounds like a massive ammunition storage going up. If so, who was getting supplied through the port of Beirut? Was it an accident or on purpose? Let's wait till more information transpires. The damage to the city seems to be colossal.

    4. Zoravar, about the Beirut port explosion: There were multiple reports about low flying warplanes over the city at the time of the explosion. Would you happen to know any additional information on this? Also, do you know what kind of an explosion can cause an orange/red smoke cloud? By the way, it is being reported that the Secretary-General of Lebanon's well-known Kataeb political party died today as a result of the port explosion. I had no idea he was Armenian -

      Kataeb Party Leader Reportedly Killed in Beirut Explosion

    5. Arevordi,

      To give you an update on Beirut, unfortunately there were casualties amongst Armenians (few dead, mostly wounded) because the explosion was very close to Bourj Hammoud and other Armenian-populated areas. Even the Antelias church, as well as Armenian schools and clubs, suffered damages.

      For the ten millionth time: Armenians of the Middle East, pack up your bags and leave to Armenia!! Many of them have already been doing that since 3 years ago... now more than ever. Armenians are becoming "էշ-նահատակ"s in these Middle Eastern conflicts. For one, they're not taking part in it, for two, even if they are, they are not good at it, and for three, it's better to transfer all that wealth/resources to Armenia... Again, many are slowly waking up, but only when "the knife reaches the bone," as usual.

      Lebanon is already one troubled nation, a failed state. They can't even agree on their identity. All those proud "Lebanese"-Armenians should stop calling Lebanon their home. Yes, we get it, you may have had good memories there, the weather is nice, the women are hot, but in the end it's not your country, and it's doomed to fail...

    6. Regardless of whether it was an Israeli strike that caused this or not, what is unbelievable here is the criminal negligence - or should I rather say raw stupidity - on part of the Lebanese. Who the fuck stores hundreds or thousands of tons of explosives within the parameters of a densely populated city? Typical Middle Eastern style city planning I guess. While the Lebanese are genetically close to us Armenians, at the end of the day, they are culturally Arabs nonetheless. Arabs, regardless of color or smell, will never amount to anything. This, in the big picture, is why Jews have their way with them all the time...

      Don't hold your breath about Lebanese-Armenians. For every one that goes to Armenia ten go to France, Canada, Australia or the United States. To be fair, that can be explained and excused because Armenia has not been doing well economically, to say the least. What can't be explained or excused in my opinion is this: While Lebanese and Syrian Armenians do their best in their adopted countries to blend in with the natives (i.e. French, American, Canadian, Australian, etc), as soon as they set foot in Armenia they suddenly remember preserving their "Western Armenian" culture, and they of course begin looking down at the "Russified" natives of the country. I know you know what I am talking about...

    7. Israeli air force planes were over Beirut at the time of the explosion. Lebanese government is saying 2750 tons of ammonium nitrate was stored in the port facility. Maybe Israel striked the site knowing what was stored there. Ammonium nitrate is a powerful explosive. Read at what happened in Texas in 1947, very similar to what we saw in Beirut today.

      Texas City disaster

    8. Well, that explains the size of the explosion as well as the color of the smoke cloud. I knew about the Texas explosion but I had totally forgotten that it was also related to ammonium nitrate. The Oklahoma City bombing was also done by ammonium nitrate. The chemical is a well known high explosive. And that is why I can't believe it was stored in such large quantities right in the city. Now, the only question is: Was the cache of chemicals deliberately targeted? There were warplanes (presumably Israeli, as Tel Aviv has all but privatized Lebanon's airspace) over the city at the time of the explosion. The distinct sound of jet propelled aircraft can be heard in the background in some of the videos of the explosion. There have been a number of eyewitnesses reporting low flying aircraft over Beirut at the time of the explosion. Here is one such account from France 24. Listen from the 30 second mark -

      France 24: Huge explosion rocks Lebanese capital Beirut

      Now, the country, already in the middle of an economic and political crisis, has been plunged into serious despair. Now, there will most inevitably be serious infighting between all of the country's factions: Christian, Hezbollah, Sunni, Syrian, etc. This serves Israeli interests. Right now Lebanon is on its knees. The seaport controlled most of Lebanon's trade with the outside world, and the large concrete structure adjacent to the explosion's epicenter was the country's largest granary. It's now totally destroyed, along with its contents. More information is coming out about the ammonium nitrate storage at the Beirut seaport. The chemical's origin is apparently Russian. This story basically highlight Lebanese incompetence and corruption -

      Beirut Ignored Public Warning There Was a Russian ‘Bomb’ at the Port

      ‘National Disaster Akin to Hiroshima Bombing': Apocalyptic Aftermath of Explosion in Beirut

      Aftermath of Explosion in Beirut

  33. Is reconciliation between Armenia and Azerbaijan possible or is another war looming?

    "When it comes to potential allies that Armenia and Azerbaijan could reach out to in case of an actual armed confrontation, many experts cite Russia and Turkey. However, both Moscow and Ankara would find it very difficult to formulate a military-political rationale for participating in such a conflict – let alone to convince the majority of their people at home. In that respect, both countries are similarly constrained."

    What is this even supposed to mean? Turkey has absolutely no issues regarding the need to "formulate a military-political rationale for participating in such a conflict – let alone to convince the majority of their people at home." These people are proud of their genocidal forefathers. This is outright fake news if we are being honest, something I'd expect to find in a pseduo-respectable western birdcage liner like the Washington Post or the Economist. I am glad the author is a FORMER "officer at the main operational directorate of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces." I understand any asshole can publish an op-ed piece, but as I have noted in the past RT has turned its homepage into a trashy collection of nonsensical op-eds and clickbait articles with RANDOM ALL-CAPS BUZZORDS in the headlines written by disgruntled, aging western leftists. It is essentially unreadable in the era of Covid. And the comments section is its own unique type of disaster, populated by people who respond to every development with "fuck America."

    1. Sarkis, everybody here knows that I'm unabashedly a Russophile. Being Russophile however does not mean I suddenly lose my objectivity or clear vision when it comes to political matters pertaining to Russia. In other words, I call things as they are - be it American, be it Armenian, be it Russian, etc.

      Read my response above to Longtime reader. While the article you posted is not an official Russian statement coming out of the Kremlin, it is nevertheless a Russian opinion and it is appearing in one of the most popular online news agencies in the world. So, it has some weight. Semantics of the author's wording aside, it is no secret that Moscow wants to settle the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan in a way that would be beneficial for Moscow and somewhat acceptable for both Armenians and Azeris. The Kremlin's ultimate desire is to incorporate Armenia and Azerbaijan fully into the Russian orbit. If or when that happens, Georgia will by default enter into the Russian orbit as well. I believe the Kremlin is increasingly seeing Artsakh as a key to its triumphant return into the south Caucasus. It is therefore expecting concessions from both Yerevan and Baku.

      It is very plausible that Nikol's ascension to the Armenian throne was allowed by Kremlin officials with this in mind. Anyone that knows anything about Nikol (like his mentor Levon) knows that he can be enticed to work along these lines and the Armenian sheeplry for the most part will follow him; whereas Serj and Robert will not agree to work along these lines because they are Artsakh nationalists - or, they are simply not able to because they have very little if any legitimacy in the eyes of Armenian society.

      In any case, a settlement that will be beneficial for Russia and acceptable for Armenia and Azerbaijan is what official Moscow ultimately wants. Whether or not something like this will work is altogether another story. So, with that in mind, understand that politically connected Russians (like the author of the article) and official Moscow will never tow the Armenian nationalist line when it comes to Artsakh. Yes, Moscow will militarily protect Armenia from all regional predators, but it will at the same time also push forward it's vision, it's long-term plan for the region (i.e. Pax Russica).

      In a nutshell: Since we failed to become a political factor in Moscow, essentially because our collective attention is always on the Western world, we are now at the mercy of senior policymakers in Moscow. They are currently devising ways to bring Armenians and Azeris to the negotiating table. If a table settlement is not possible, there will inevitably be a war (a limited and a contained war to settle the matter for one and for all). If however the Kremlin is unable to reach its ultimate goal in the south Caucasus via negotiations and/or a war, it will continue maintaining the status quo (i.e. frozen conflict sstatus). So, there are variables. Our actions as a nation will impact the overall direction or the final outcome.

      Note: The main issue here is not the officially recognized territory of Artsakh. Russians for the most part accept Artsakh as Armenian. The main issue rather is the territories outside of the officially recognized borders of Artsakh. If you listen closely to Russian statements you will see them suggesting that at the very least Armenia should pull back from the 2 eastern regions, and agree to allow Russian peacekeepers to be stationed in the territory.

      It should also be mentioned that Anglo-American-Jews and Turks also want to settle the Artsakh dispute, of course under their terms. For the aforementioned, Baku plays a very strategic role because of the energy Azerbaijan transfers to Georgia, Turkey, Israel and Europe. The Artsakh dispute is constantly threatening this flow of non-Russian controlled energy route. So, what we currently have is Russians, Americans, Europeans, Israelis and Turks trying to influence Yerevan. Iran is also involved. The Artsakh dispute is actually a pretty complex geopolitical chess game.

    2. Regarding RT: It has changed quite a bit from what it used to be. I first noticed its transformation from a serious news agency into an increasingly anti-American bullhorn soon after the 2014 color revolution in Kiev. Perhaps it was a appropriate/natural evolution for RT, considering the very toxic climate that Anglo-American-Jews have created. And, yes, RT does at times tow a Liberal/Leftist line, especially when it comes to US related matters. While Moscow espouses conservatism/traditionalism for the Russian world (Russia and much of the former Soviet territory), it does the opposite when it come to American and European issues. There is sound political reasoning behind this. Simply put: The American empire and Western Europe are gradually being destroyed via Liberalism/Leftism. So, from a Russian perspective, why not help? That said, I actually see RT playing both sides of the field. For example: At times I see them posting pro-BLM rhetoric, at times I see them posting pro-White American rhetoric. At times they post information that casts doubt on the official narrative about Covid-19, at times they post information that supports the official narrative. Et cetera. In my opinion, they do a pretty good job of covering all sides of a given issue. In any case, I still monitor RT regularly and I think it is still one of the best news agency out there, especially for Eurasian news. I also regularly monitor Sputnik. I find it a bit more serious than RT.

  34. Հայաստանը պետք է հայրենիք դարձնենք նաև քրիստոնյա արաբների ու ասորիների համար. Սինանյան

    Our Soros assholes are at it again. One of Armenia's few advantages is that it is like 97% Armenian, and actually this is a huge advantage. These faggots are obsessed with bringing in weird third-worlders, first it was Indians, now "Christian Middle Easterners." Spare me the sob stories and claims of brotherhood, Armenia is for Armenians. Even western Armenians have some difficulty adjusting to life in eastern Armenia, yet these globalist fucks are looking to bring in totally foreign outsiders to an already struggling country.

    The comments under the video are awesome though:

    "ay gaaandonnnn hayastan@ menak hayerina bozi txa ari glendale lavt qunem turq bozi txa"

    " hayeri.masin.mtatsir. i.vijaki.ches.? siktirt..kashi.heratsir !"

    "Sutov sorosi bozi txerqin ktaxenq esel anzamb qezem taxelu"

    "Ara bozi txa kllirs kngat beran qez im zerov satkcnelu tunt qunem"

    Maybe one of these Internet tough guys will self-radicalize or whatever, and Armenia will get a Nairi Hunanyan sooner rather than later.

    ps the faggot in question is a Los Angeles Armo serving in Pashinyan's regime with a hard-on for Bernie Sanders. This is the piece of shit Pashinyan assigned to replace the former Diaspora Ministry. Armenia is going to hell in a handbasket:

    1. The comments I am seeing are encouraging, I just hope it isn't "too little, too late." The public's response to the corona lockdowns has been really pathetic, I was hoping to see people telling the police and Pashinyan's regime to fuck off, instead I we just got a few clips of women getting arrested. The response to the tranny agenda in parliament, the satanist education minister, the anti-history agenda in Armenia's new education curriculum, and the push to bring in more sand people has been a little more encouraging. The fact that the faggot Pashinyan has refused to walk back on any of these topics is also good, it is a well deserved slap in the face to the people who were worshiping the ground he walked on in 2018 and adds fuel to growing public discontent. I guess the only hope is that Pashinyan's regime keeps pushing through unpopular policies, and somehow credible nationalistic opposition forms inside Armenia to challenge Pashinyan -people will not accept old HHK figures- and it happens quickly enough to minimize the damage these Soros cunts can inflict.

      I refuse to visit hyeclub, reddit is just as disgusting a website and even there the idea of flooding Armenia with sand people is unpopular. I assume it is the same across the board:

      Please note that most of the people who think that "Armenia is one of the most monoethnic countries and that needs to change" all appear to be diasporan niggers (and actually also of partial or even full Jewish decent) raised in western shitholes. Honestly at this point I'd say that the Armenian nation would be better off if the majority of the LA Armos were deathmarched into the Mojave Desert, these people like a dangerous virus.

    2. Remember that Nikol is the chosen one. He was chosen by the noxious "Armenian Street". According to this gaggle of backward chobans, petty merchants and traveling gypsies, Nikol freed the "people" from bondage by the "Karabakh Clan". Therefore, Nikol can now literally shit on the head of Mother Armenia, as he has been doing for the past 2 years none-stop, and he will hailed as a magnificent hero, as he has been for the past 2 years none-stop. Don't fool yourselves by watching/reading/listening to lofty, patriotic rhetoric of the minuscule opposition. A significant portion of Armenian society don't care about the country or its future. Roughly half of Armenians would leave the country today if they had the opportunity. And a vast majority of Armenia's electorate remain staunchly pro-Nikol. This is our reality today, learn to deal with it instead of making-up fairytales to feel good about ourselves.

      The modern Armenian is short-sighted, self-engrossed and self-destructive. Armenian history going back one thousand-plus years is a testimony to this. All of you reading this will come to this sobering conclusion one day, that is if you really are intelligent and are willing to be honest with yourselves. An example of Armenian self-destructive traits: A well connected choban I know in Yerevan recently told me - "don't believe anything that is being told about Nikol because they are all lies paid for by Robik and Serjik". When I pressed him on the dangerous policies really coming out of Nikol's government, the choban added - "even if all the bad things about Nikol was real Armenia today is still better off without the "Karabakh Clan". I told him - you guys have finally earned your third world status, congratulation. His answer to that comment of mine was really something to behold. He said - "just wait and see, Nikol will turn Armenia into a Dubai". There are countless other strange encounters like this.

      Regarding turning Armenia into the homeland of Arabs and Hindus: Well, it's nothing new. I suggest we discard silly genetic studies (most of which is subjective bullshit anyway) and open our eyes and realize that we have already assimilated a lot of regional (Leventine) Arabs, Assyrians, Gypsies and others into our national body over the centuries. This is part of the reason why (the other being breeding) we Armenians today are NOT the same as we were one thousand or two thousand years ago. The evolutionary process is continuing, this time however under Soros management via of course chatlax Nikol's government. As Armenians leave the country in droves, others from the south and east are being encouraged to come in and fill the void.

      PS: I was once ridiculed because I suggested that we should invite several thousand of South Africa's persecuted Boers into Armenia. Boers are White, they are Christians and make great farmers and great soldiers, and their women are pretty. I guess the modern Armenian taste is more inline with Hindus and Arabs than anything else. Maybe they'll next think of importing Ethiopians into Armenia. Hey, why not? Their church and their alphabet is similar to ours, so why not make Armenia into their homeland as well...

    3. Armenians abroad should repatriate an mass. No aliens ( particularly swarthy coal faced chandalas from the Indian subcontinent) should be permitted to immigrate, to settle, and invade the sacred homeland. We are already constrained by territorial space. We can not tolerate the pollution of the gene pool. Hayastan is for hayer. Why is Russia allowing this ? It is soul crushing and spiritually devastating to read the comments on the current political/social/ economical conditions in the motherland. Is there any hope of coming out of the black hole the asinine government, headed by the treacherous bastard Pahsynian, is sinking the nation?


    4. Why is "Russia" allowing this? Do you see anything wrong or stupid with your question? Why are ARMENIANS allowing this? Where is the outrage and the protests? Where is the "Armenian Street"? Why aren't "Armenian nationalists" doing anything about this? Don't mean to make you more hopeless than you already are, but don't expect to see any of this. As long as the "Armenian Street" is made to believe that the "Karabakh Clan" is being persecuted, Nikol can fill Armenia with Congolese tribesmen and the "Armenian Street" won't care; trust me on this. Open your eyes, our gene pool is already polluted. Go to any Armenian gathering and you will find a number of Armenians that look exactly like Indians, non-Levantine Arabs and North Africans. What we need to worry about instead is not polluting our gene pool any more than it is today. But, again, I don't want to make you any more hopless than you are, most Armenians today could care less about Armenian genes, Armenian culture or even Armenian statehood. Finally, short of a miracle, on par with when pigs fly, there will not be any an-masse repatriation of Armenians to Armenia. Right now, as I write this, roughly half of Armenians in Armenia are dreaming of leaving Armenia. This is our reality. By the way, have you repatriated... or is it do as I say not as I do?


      Seriously? What the fuck is this shit. Polls regularly show Armenians are worried more about jobs/money than even the quasi-active war that is going on all along the eastern border with the genocidal Asiatic Islamic barbarians next door, and our retards are looking to import "professionals" from the Middle East to Armenia!?!? Did Armenia enact some sort of H1-B1 visa nonsense? Did Armenia achieve full employment in the past two years?

      And yes, before anyone has a chance to comment, it is (sadly) correct and the vast majority of Armenia's petty niggers are more interested in making sure the previous regime is punished than taking action against, or even giving a shit about, actual threats like mass third world immigration with incompatible foreign peoples. If Pashinyan is ever worried about losing popularity he can post a few pictures on facebook of some random HHK assholes in a Mercedes, the average Armo's uncontrollable spiteful and jealous nature will take over and Pashinyan will be safe for another few years.

    6. Arevordi, to answer your question, I have repatriated, and also got my "citizenship", long before before my "repatriation" took place. However, family reasons-in present time- keep me abroad for +- 4-6 months of the year.

  35. China and Russia ditch dollar in move toward 'financial alliance'

    Arevordi and others have been discussing this for years. It's good to be ahead of the curve. Of course I don't think any of us imagined that globalists within the United States establishment (mainly Democrats, but notably facing practically no opposition from Republicans) would play the lead role in destroying the US economy by forcibly shutting everything down over a flu hoax. Strange Times.

  36. Zoravar,

    The following article about S-70 Okhotnik came out today. I know you mention it in your article. Both this article as well as the one supporting your report suggests that this combat drone will operate "alongside" Russia's manned aircraft. The word "alongside" is what I am having trouble with. Can you elaborate on the drone's mission? What is the thinking behind it? How are they looking to deploy it in combat situations alongside manned aircraft?

    Russia's 'Hunter' Is Unlike Anything in America's Arsenal

    1. Arevordi,

      Welcome to the uncharted territory of manned/unmmaned "alongside" operations. Whole new tactics and Modus Operandi (Modes of operation) of tandem manned and unmanned craft, drone or robot in sea, air and land environments are being devised and tried by major powers. It is easy to visualize simpler types of tandem air operations involving a stealthy Sukhoi Su-57 fighter and a low-observable Sukhoi S-70 drone in which the later performs the more dangerous ground attack mission while enjoying the former's protection against enemy jet fighters or other air defense means. But the real "gravy" is in the more advanced tactics. I will illustrate with an example:

      - In air combat one would like to know the enemy's position without revealing its own. The problem is that the moment you switch on your radar, you are advertising your own location to everybody. So fighter pilots switch on their radar only at the last moment or when absolutely necessary; they prefer to rely on ground based radar or AWACS planes to inform them about the enemy's coordinates. Now imagine the following tactic: our Su-57 is flying into hostile territory with its radar on. The enemy's stealth fighters who now know our planes whereabouts keep their radars off (in order not to reveal themselves too soon) and proceed to intercept the Su-57. Unknown to them is our S-70 drone who is flying 100 km ahead of the Su-57. As soon as our undetected drone drops its bombs on target, both itself and the S-57 turn back and head back to base: mission accomplished without losses.

      - Let's make the above scenario even more fun: radar performance degrades with range, the radar wave has to travel all the way to the target's location and return to source after loosing a lot of its strength on the way. So, let's assume that our Su-57's radar can detect that particular type of enemy fighter at a maximum of 150 km. Now think of having radar signal sensors on the drone itself: so, the radar signal emitted by the Su-57 radar "hits" the enemy plane and comes back towards our fighter. This return signal is also received by our drones sensors who can relay it back to the Su-57. And because the drone is flying 100 km ahead of the Su-57, the radar wave has traveled less and is more powerful. So, our Su-57 who could detect targets up to 150 km away, now can see the same target up to 250 km. Furthermore, imagine our drone being armed with air to air missiles that can be remotely fired by the Su-57's pilot towards that radar return signal...

    2. So the drone more-or-less acts like an enhancement and extension of a combat pilot's defense, observation and strike ability. Amazing. I am way behind the curve on this subject. I didn't realize just how advanced and sophisticated aerial warfare has become in recent years. My mindset is still in the 1980s. This is a whole new world in warfare. This will require not only cutting-edge technology but also immense funds, intense training and nothing less than brilliant pilots and ground specialists. Amazing...

  37. Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu today visited the new submarine base under construction in Kamchatka. In the video below he is seen with the commander of the Pacific Fleet Admiral AVAKYANTS.

    This new base is designed to accommodate the most modern nuclear powered Borei class strategic submarines armed with the Bulava intercontinental missile as well as the nuclear powered Yasen class attack submarines armed with the Zircon hypersonic anti-ship missile.
    Note that Russia's Pacific fleet is the second largest fleet (the Northern Fleet is the largest) but over the last decade it received few new warships because the Black Sea, Baltic and Caspian fleets were being prioritized thanks to the tensions in Ukraine and Syria. Now that the Pacific Fleet is being massively replenished again with the latest ships and submarines, Admiral AVAKYANTS will have his hands full. I must remind everyone that Russians are long term planners. The fact that they are rebuilding their infrastructure and stepping up their rearmament in the Far-East/Pacific zone means that they are contemplating possible heightening of tensions or even conflicts in that region.

    1. Regarding the Pacific zone: Signs from the past few years are pointing towards an eventual conflagration between the United States and China - either a direct clash between the two economic giants or a clash through proxies. If such a thing happens, I expect it to stay (or rather I pray that it stays) on the conventional plain and not turn nuclear. A new world order will inevitably be formed in the aftermath of such a clash; it happens after every major war. While the 2 world wars in the 20th century propelled Washington to the top of the world, this time around I believe Uncle Sam has a lot to lose. In other words, when you are on the top the only direction left for you to go is down. The American empire can potentially suffer serious strategic setbacks in such a war; the dethronement of the US dollar may be one of them; pulling US troops from South Korea may be another; China annexing Taiwan may be yet another. Russia for its part can be one of the beneficiaries of such a clash between Washington and Beijing on a number of levels if it plays smart. In any case, I pray for peace but my gut feeling (as well as political observations going back over 10 years) suggests we are heading towards a very difficult time period in history...

    2. Arevordi..this is gel.

      Russia is controlled opp. One day you will realize we are in a fallen world, and literally live in a beast system. There is literally no glimmering hope, other than what scripture told us in revelations when Jesus returns as a warrior and fights the demons of the earth.

      Russia is controlled opp, China is controlled opp, Iran--the lot of them.

      Putin is a high ranking Mason, he is not this saviour you have made him out to be. What does this mean? nothing. Armenia still has to dance with all the devils of the world unfortunately, some more than others--in particular Russia. What you see occurring with in the Great Drama show of the world is all being orchestrated to implement the new world order and beast system further.

      I find it very childish and extremely short sighted that you constantly focus on jews as if they are to blame. You will realize if you read scripture we were warned of such behaviour. The jews themselves have been coerced by Bnai Brith and Lubavitcher ruling class.

      The true power is in the vatican and always has been. Rome never died, it lived on in a more asymmetrical and dynamic way. Russia is not the saviour, China is not the saviour, USA is not the saviour, Iran is not the saviour. in order for Armenians to survive as we have survived under great odds, is to put our faith in ourselves and scripture and dance with the devils that be for the time being until Yeshua returns.

      You can say what you want, and go on your typical sortie of insults, "chobans" "gypsy" bla bla bla bla.. you are convincing no one with this. believe me. You will soon find out the hard way what Russia is. Putins lip service to the orthodox church (which is demonic) is all for show. All for people attracted to glowing lights to be amazed.

      Monophysitism is correct. And i am so glad our GYPSIES, OUR CHOBANS OUR LOSERS rejected diophysitism. Jesus has ONE NATURE, NOT TWO. He is not a Schizophrenic to be both man and a god.. this is heretical. All major churches, Greek rite, Protestants and Catholics all believe in the retarded 2 nature of Christ. I am so glad in Chalcedon we rejected this and fought against the Sassanids bravely. You have a lot of learning to do. You have a very basic way of reading situations.

      All nations are going to suffer, not just USA, this is not the downfall of the west, but of humanity everywhere. WW3 is being moved to the conventional overt conflict right before our very eyes. Everyone will lose.

    3. From Azeri source:

      During the recent clashes on the Armenia-Azerbaijan border, 7 Russian Il-76 cargo planes delivered 280 tons of sophisticated equipment including "Krasuha"and Avtobaza" electronic warfare systems as well as "Nebo-M" radars. Georgia refused the use of its airspace for the transfer. The planes had to use the longer route over Kazakhstan and Iran.

    4. Shoigu is still in the Far East on a shopping spree. He is visiting the main defense enterprises in the region is placing fresh orders for military hardware: Su-57, Su-35, Su-30SM2 and Yak-130 aircraft as well as 6 warships.

      2nd serially produced Su-57.

    5. Gel, you post the most asinine nonsense imaginable. It is a total waste of time arguing which of the myriad of special interest groups, multinational organizations, secret societies, governments, etc are at the very top of the system. What matters is understanding that we live in a world where these groups have near total power and they are actively pursuing an agenda to destroy all that we value as a civilization (summarized by "family, country, God") and that they use various modern tools and ideologies (homosexuality, open borders, anti-natalism, atheism, etc. etc. etc...) to push their agenda through.

      It doesn't matter if its the vatican, the zionists, the rothschilds, the masons, the illuminati... This is just a rabbit hole designed to waste everyone's time. We don't have access to the minute details of the inner workings of all of these people, we can't ever know exactly what is going on. What we do know is that the agenda is clear, the direction that they are pushing the world into is clear, and the people responsible for all of this are here.

      As for Russia and President Putin, he has done God's work in leading Russia from one of its darkest periods in modern history -when it was actually past the brink of collapse- and he restored it to a sovereign nation pursuing its interests at a time when the western globalist alliance had nearly total control over the globe. Russian national interests just happen to include revitalizing Orthodox Christianity, nationalism, and pride in the mostly European/Byzantine foundations of their civilization. Same with China, they are pushing their national-racial interests at the expense of the globalists and imperialists. Your attempts at a smug, big-brained "it's all a fucking conspiracy, bro, they are all elites and in it together, bro" is actually about the same level of stupidity and uselessness you'd hear from a Portland rioter explaining his agenda. The end result for anyone following your line of thinking is nihilism, withdrawal, and ultimately self-destruction.

      You sound a bit like Bedros Hajian. In any case, I never trust anyone who starts bringing their religious fanaticism (be it some offshoot of Christianity, neopagan faggotry, atheism, or whatever else) into politics. These types ALWAYS end up with a messianic complex. Religion exists to enable national unity and order based around a common organization, because without your own national religion your people will just adopt a foreign religion to worship (eg westerners worship ideology now that Christianity has been destroyed there.) Any difference between Greek style and Armenian style religious doctrines is just a result of political disputes that occurred 1500 years ago between Greeks and Armenians. Only the stupidest fucking idiots get hung up over x-physitism; arguing endlessly over minor legalistic differences in doctrine is one habit we really should leave to the Semites.

    6. gel again.

      Sarkis and Arevordi-

      Let me play devils advocate... was Putin a devout Orthodox Christian when he was a KGB officer in East Berlin?

      Did Putin care for Christian Orthodox ideals, when he is literally seen belittled by Bush at his ranch wearing Chinese attire in a masonic ritual?

      Anyhow, the point being, i too was a Putin fanboy--i thought he was our saviour and was going to do all the right things. I do not disagree that Russia is the lesser of all evils and is the devil we should unfortunately chose to dance with, but does that change my mind that the whole global political arena is one theatrical place where leadership of countries work toward to implement new world order? no.

      its easy to deal with a threat like Putin, so ask yourself why he hasn't been dealt with. Similar ways the kennedys were taken out. I am not saying Russian intelligence is not capable of preventing such things, but its very easy. Point being, Putin fits a purpose, a role, that the powers in ROme in particular want. A powerful nemesis:

      Thesis (west)
      Anti-Thesis(Russia, China, Iran)

      to bring about Synthesis (New World Order)

      Now the reason why, i bring up theology, is because Arevordi himself has continuously bashed us for maintaining miaphysite position. If he didn't think it wasnt important he wouldnt make it important, but he does. Regardless, the nature of Christ is important, why you ask? Because the demonic catholic church believes the same thing as the demonic Greek-Rite Church (Russia, Greece etc), and Demonic protestant Churches.

      Armenian church is no angel, but i have spoken to Greek Orthodox priests themselves, Romanian Orthodox priests in real life face to face, who confessed to me, they agree with the one nature of Christ, and even admitted to me it was right.

      You have to see the war is not between Russia and the West, China and the West. But the Fallen angels (elites, medici, Aldobrandini, Orsini) and the rest of the world.

      As scripture attests, the anti-christ will do everything to appear as christ, do everything pure and good--but with an ulterior motif that will be revealed.

      If you really think the Rothschilds are the top of the food chain and someone on the top of the food chain would allow themselves to be so widely spread known and infamous then you are wrongly mistaken.

      You will see in the coming years, that Putin and Russia are pawns; you will see in the coming years, that Trump and USA are pawns (obvious to most); you will see most countries are pawns.

    7. Sarkis,

      I was not going to reply to Gel because I don't even know where to begin addressing his rant. His main purpose here is to get into a pissing contest with me. He desperately wants to prove me wrong. He is not being sincere, he is simply trying to "outdo" me so to speak. So, he'll try or say anything, regardless of how irrational it may be. In any case, not only does his grasp/understanding of politics seem limited and superficial, he just proved that his take on theology is even worst. Let me say a few words about this subject matter for you or others who may be reading this.

      Christ's nature has been debated by thousands of biblical scholars for thousands of years, still with no definitive or decisive conclusion. At a fundamental level the debate is ridiculous; it's basically word mincing and nit-picking. It's purely power politics. It is also ironically anti-Christian, not to mention tragic because the discussion about Christ's nature essentially drove a wedge between the Armenian world and the Greek world resulting in the Turkification and Islamisation of Asia Minor.

      In a nutshell, this is what the debate is all about:

      The Greek Orthodox Church claims that Christ has two 'separate' natures, divine and human, dwelling in one person. In other words, Christ was both perfect Man and perfect God. This is the Dyophysite doctrine. In my opinion, this doctrine which gained popularity in the Greek speaking world was the result of ancient Greek pagan theosophy where gods were also humans and sons of gods were abundant on earth.

      Oriental Orthodox Churches (Armenians, Egyptian, Ethiopian, etc) claim Christ had one nature - both Man and God united in one person, not separate. In other words, Christ's human nature did not exist separately from his divine nature. This is the Miaphysite doctrine. In my opinion, this goes back to pagan theosophy of the Near-East where more emphasis was placed on the divine and less on the human. Think of it also as a mindset resulting from the more authoritarian cultures of the Near-East.

      In any case, as you can see, it's all about mincing words and nit picking by a bunch of painfully stubborn and arrogant Armenians and Greeks. In other words, medieval politics. The difference between the two formulations/doctrines is so insignificant that it's merely word play... yet Greeks and Armenians literally ruined each-other over the matter. The debate over Christ's nature, as trivial as it may look in 2020, was ultimately the reason why Armenians and Greeks lost Asia Minor to Turks.

      Our friend Gel claims that the Oriental Churches are correct in their belief that Christ was God without a separate human nature. He asks, was Christ a "schizophrenic" for being Man and also God?

      Well, on the eve of Christ's crucifixion Christ went to the garden of Gethsemane where he asked God if he could be spared from the fate. Afterwards, Christ accepted his fate, saying: not as I will but as you will. Here is the passage -

      "He took Peter and the two sons of Zebedee along with him, and he began to be sorrowful and troubled. Then he said to them, My soul is overwhelmed with sorrow to the point of death. Stay here and keep watch with me. Going a little farther he fell with his face to the ground and prayed, My Father, if it is possible, may this cup be taken from me. Yet not as I will, but as you will.”

      So, wasn't Christ acting schizophrenic here by praying to himself?

      Anyway, I am not making a judgement one way or another. This is a two thousand year old theological debate. I accept my Church's teachings as an Armenian. I was born into the Church and I will not attempt to remake it. However, on a deeper spiritual level, I think the established Churches (including ours) were setup to control the peasantry. The real truth about God, the spirit world, the devil, the Universe, etc. is for the most part being hidden from us mortals...

    8. On a political and civilizational/cultural level, I think we Armenians should have swallowed our mountain pride and entered into a theological/doctrinal union with the Greek Orthodox world. It would have made lives on both sides of the debate much-much better, and Turks and other Islamic tribes would have had a much-much harder time penetrating into Asia Minor. As to the question of cultural autonomy and/or national identity: If the Bulgarian, Serbian, Romanian, Georgian and Russian Churches can be in communion with the Greek Church and still maintain their national autonomy and identity so could we Armenians. We instead chose communion with Middle Easterners and Africans. Anyway, what was done, was done. We can't change history but I sure would love for us to learn from it once...

      PS: I have heard a lot of things said about Putin, but him being a Freemason was a first. It's amazing how some minds work or rather dysfunction. I am first and foremost a great fan of the Russian nation. Russia plays a uniquely positive role on earth, especially now that the West is in decline. That said, at the end of the day, Putin is a mere mortal. He has made mistakes, he will continue making mistakes. He was nevertheless the point-man in the colossal effort to resurrect the Bear in the 1990s, and he continues to masterfully navigate the devil's world in order to ensure a prominent role/place for Mother Russia on earth...

    9. I agree, Gel, is all over the place. Is there an (open) conspiracy? Yes. Are many well known and high ranking members of society a part of it? Yes. Is all for naught and lost then? NO! God will help us do all sorts of things but we need to make the first move. Regarding the Christology debate, the following book was helpful for me. I did not finish it cover to cover but did read a few chapters and skimmed through the rest.

      I think theologically the position advocated by our Church and formulated by Saint Cyril of Alexandria is the correct one. "One Nature united out of two." Geopolitically speaking, knowing what we now know, it would have been ideal for there to have been an agreement between the Greek led Christians and the Armenian Christians, and a coming to terms. If that meant the Greek version then so be it.

      You did not know Putin was a Freemason? Of course he is, and he is a jew..... :)

    10. Unger Arevordi,

      I thoroughly enjoyed reading yours and zoravars essays. You guys are spot on with so many things. I used to be weary of Russians but Russia continues to impress. What amazes me is now much military bang they get for the buck they spend. Their military budget is tiny compared to ours in America but they seem to more efficient and way ahead in some areas. Times are changing indeed. Last few months were enough to convince me that America is going hell in a hand basket. In my lifetime I bore witness to the transformation from a great nation to a failed nation. Hopefully l won't be around when the empire falls because it will be ugly. As you know I'm an old timer from San Fransisco area. Frisco used to be one of the nicest cities in the country, alas it's an open air toilet today. The situation here and elsewhere is getting worst with each passing year.

      I'm a fan of this blog because conversations that take place here is among the most intelligent I see anywhere. This does not mean I agree with everything you guys say or the way you say it but you guys are really well informed and politically aware. So kudos to everyone. Anyway my unger Arevordi reading your comment about Putin do I sense a new rift between you and him?

    11. Thanks for the summary Arevordi. I had a basic, rudimentary understanding of the dispute between the Dyophysite and Miaphysite (and also the "monophysite" doctrine that lackeys from the Greek side accuse us of) prior to reading your comment, I now feel I have a slighter better grasp of the issue. And just as I had concluded years ago, it appears to be nothing more than a useless and counter-productive argument, and actually rooted more in political and cultural disputes than on any genuine interest in Christ. Maybe I feel this way because personally I'm not interested in the fine points of Christianity, I care about politics so to me everything seems like politics being carried out by different means . . . On that note, what I am about to say is highly speculative but I would argue that even if Armenians had subordinated themselves to the Greeks, there is a possibility that it would not have resulted in a different historical outcome. The Greek objective was total political domination, if religious disagreements were resolving they would moved on to some other pretext. Like Iranians, Greeks considered the Armenian Highlands and its inhabitants an extension of their domain and ultimately wanted to dismantle the quarrelsome state that existed there.

      Arevordi: This is a two thousand year old theological debate. I accept my Church's teachings as an Armenian. I was born into the Church and I will not attempt to remake it. However, on a deeper spiritual level, I think the established Churches (including ours) were setup to control the peasantry. The real truth about God, the spirit world, the devil, the Universe, etc. is for the most part being hidden from us mortals...

      We are in 100% total agreement here. Whatever our personal feelings may be, the religious question was settled for us by our ancestors 1,500+ years ago and it would be destructive for us to attempt to remake our national Church. Any attempts at major doctrinal reforms risks (guarantees) creating splinter sects, weakens our national unity, and puts our flock/sheep at risk for being picked off by various predatory foreign cults. The Paulicians and Tondrakians 1,000 years ago prove this to be the case. No attempts at "reconciliation" with Rome or with Greece has produced any benefit for Armenia, the only outcome has been yet another road to assimilation for large numbers of our people such as Catholic Armenians in central and eastern Europe, or Greek Orthodox Armenians in Asia Minor. This is also the reason why I attack neo-pagans, apart from the fact that I consider neo-pagans to be LARPing, I just do not see any purpose in "deconstructing" the national unity we have with the Armenian Apostolic Church, which in any case has incorporated many of the most powerful, social cohesion generating aspects from our pagan era such as Vardavar, Trndez, the Navasardian games, etc. ps. Pretending to be a neo-pagan is totally different than taking a genuine anthropological, Armenological interest in the various belief systems and the cultural evolution that the Armenian nation has produced, I totally support research into Armenian history, and it saddens me that in the process of Christianization so much ancient knowledge/beliefs were not preserved for future study.

    12. Not being schooled about Miaphysitism, Monophysitism and Duophysitism is one of the saddest moments for me though, but seeing as how those doctrines define most of the Oriental and Greek Eastern Orthodox Churches, I am at a loss as to how I can understand them better. Those subjects would be best left to theological scholars to debate. That being said, the whole neopagan thing was in response to the decline of Western Christianity in Europe and to a lesser extent, the Anglophone countries. These neopagans would say Christianity is a foreign religion as much as Islam and Judaism, and that merely going back to their roots would make their own civilizations great again, but to no avail.

  38. Armenian graves desecrated amid climate of hostility towards minority groups in Turkey

    Meanwhile, some whore who spent a few years spreading her legs in Turkey is now tasked with writing history book for Pashinyan's Satanist-led education ministry, featuring revisionist terms like "eastern Anatolia . . ." As much as I hate the Turks, this is just what Turks do; the LTP-Pashinyan scum from within Armenia who are always servicing Turks and serving Turkish interests, however, deserve to be tried for treason and receive a traitor's execution.


    Zoravar posted a related story yesterday. Now we get the next chapter. Do the @ssholes in baku need to be reminded that Armenia and Russia are in an official alliance? Both a bilateral one and via the CSTO
    Do they think making a big fuss about it will cause the Kremlin to change its policy for good and to cut all security/military ties with Armenia? Or is this just more posturing for domestic consumption to show their sheep that they are standing up for their national interests even if it means calling out the greatest power - by a long-shot - in the region? I would say the latter.

    1. I'd phrase it a little different. Assholes in Baku need to understand that regardless of who is Armenia's prime minister and/or president, Russia and Armenia are united on a geostrategic level. Moscow will therefore continue ensuring Armenia's existence in the strategic south Caucasus. That said, Baku's complaints are mainly for their domestic audience. It's their way of explaining to their sheeple that the reason why their highly modernized military is incapable of defeating Armenians is not because Azeris are incompetent but because of Russia. In other words, Aliyev is buying time for himself...

    2. Russia transferred air defense, electronic warfare weapons to Armenia: media

  40. Belarus Solidarity Protest in Armenia

    When you empower filthy whores and vegan looking beta males, this is the nonsense you end up with. I would fully expect these skanks and faggots to start some "refugees welcome" and "tranny story time hour" bullshit in Armenia. Just throw these animals over the border into Azeri territory and let them be mercy killed, Armenia will be better off for it.

    But honestly I do not feel too bad for Lukashenko, maybe he should have come up with a better plan than opening his country up to western intelligence and globalists in a pathetic attempt to play games against Moscow. It is so, so satisfying to see the fat disgusting wop Mike Pompeo talk about bringing freedom and democracy to Belarus after Lukashenko decided to meet with him and agreed to establish a US embassy in Minsk. As the saying goes: play stupid games, win stupid prices. Here is the queer sounding ambassador-in-waiting (via The Saker blog):

    CDA Jeffrey Giauque welcoming video

    While I dislike the Saker his article on Belarus had some interesting points. Ignore the "PUTIN NEEDS TO START ACTING!!!!!1!1!11" alarmism, focus on the events he describes taking place in recent weeks leading up to the fiasco in Minsk.

    Putin and Russia Are Facing a Very Serious Crisis in Belarus

    1. Lukashenko is a very good pal of Alyev, and has good diplomatic/commercial relations with Azerbaijan. To put it succinctly this Lukashenko harbors ill sentiments for Armenia. Lukhashenko has always sided with Muslim Azerbaijan in the current conflict.

    2. While I'm not thrilled that our CSTO partner Belarus is so willing to kiss Azeri ass for some petro-shekels, it is kind of understandable. Belarus is a mid-tier state, its main agenda beyond its borders is to do whatever is the quickest, easiest way to make a profit. I don't think Lukashenko gives a shit about Azerbaijan beyond money, they are too remote from each other. Belarus does not have terrible relations with Armenia either, there is cooperation there despite the amount of Azeri semen Lukashenko has chugged . . . Also there is a hilarious, unsubstantiated rumor that Lukashenko porked Aliyev's wife.

      And if I'm not mistaken, Lukashenko is supposed to have very good personal relations with our friend Gagik Tsarukyan.

      The reason I am criticizing Lukashenko is that he is trying to play his own version of complimentary politics. He is voluntarily opening his country to its western enemies. After observing the last two decades of color revolutions in nations targeted by the west around the globe, and the push for an extreme Trotskyist policy in both the foreign and domestic policies of the west.

    3. I have earlier told you how Pashinyan is part of an assymetrical strategy by Russia to snare the west; however with Belarus. My reading is, conflicted, at one point i want to say a similar statement but with one fundamental difference. Belarussians are slavs, slavs that are less linked to their neighbours in ukraine. Therefore, Russia may have mis-read the situation in Belarus and put too much faith in old dictators.

      It is no mistake Russia prefers "despots" strong men as friends, as it eliminates power structure within a shadow government which could be less controlled and less clearly identified and more concealed. Hence why, Russia prefers big names, super stars, like Putins, like lukashenkos, like Sarkisyans, like Kocharyans.

      now my question here is, how is Russia so short sighted in this regard. If indeed Belarus is a truly western funded up rising, which i am full heartedly confident in Armenia it occurred with Russia's blessing and guidance, in Belarus the situation seems more serious. It may even lead to a ukraine like civil war. If no war, then understand this is new age russian style scorched earth policy.

      Perhaps Russia is priming the west for a "shiny" award in Belarus, but with some type of a startegy that could be vastly detrimental. In any case, this does not reflect well on Putin, it will only be a matter of time until people in Russia also feel the same way toward Putin.

      Once more, perhaps this is new age Russian scorched earth policy, "Putin and co" "retreating" to bring about a more "western friendly" "western funded" government. In any case, there is a third plausibility. As mentioned, the jesuits and vatican control all sides of the field, and this is once more their doing to cause discord and chaos to once again bring about biblical prophecy.

    4. @Gel
      You can read this piece by the Saker. I think he is correct on most fronts, however, he does not mention the distinct possibility that Russia did have a high expectation of protests in Belarus after the presidential elections. And the Kremlin correctly calculated that Luka would survive it but much weaker than before. Therefore more likely to implement the agreements on rejoining Russia.

  41. This was a while ago, but it also highlights one of the major economic projects Armenia has with China:

    Is Armenia Playing a Dangerous Game with China?

    Though I don't know if Pashinyan has actually approached the Chinese with a desire to borrow money from them, the Armenian government should be careful not to get themselves caught in the classic Chinese debt trap. That alone would be just as bad as one of their asinine migrant importations that I've read in this comment section lately.

    1. That article was literally written by a western spy who spends all of his time pushing an anti-Russian, anti-Chinese, anti-Iranian agenda among the US Armenian diaspora. The author is not even an Armenian, he is the product of some Canadian asshole fucking some diasporan Armenian whore - he has as much claim to Armenia as Kim Kardashian does. Not long back the son of a bitch wrote a ridiculous article suggesting that Armenians should engage in mass weeping and gnashing of teeth at the "plight" of the oh-so-innocent Turanist, Islamic Uighur Turk assholes that the Chinese are heroically dealing with. Literally the same Uighyrs that you occasionally find volunteering in various Turkic-Islamic militias in Armenia's neighborhood carrying out all sorts of terrorism.

      Should Armenians care about the plight of the Uyghurs?

      The truth is that China is one of Armenia's best international partners. They sell Armenia advanced artillery systems, they are an ally of Iran, and they absolutely have an interest in propping up Armenia and Iran as regional bulwarks against the Turanic-Islamic agenda which stretches from the Balkans to western China. They are also a huge economic player with plenty of investments and technology to offer Armenia.

      The only "people" who push Sinophobia among Armenians are dipshit monkey sellouts from the Armenian diaspora who, knowingly or not, are pushing the western agenda in Armenia. Arevordi brilliantly labeled them "pack animals for the CIA." There is a 100% overlap between Armenian sinophobes and the Armenian traitors we discuss on this blog. A good chunk of these people are not even Armenian, lots of them are half or even full Jews.

      Regarding the "debt trap," Armenia's economic and geopolitical situation is such that it cannot afford any major infrastructure projects or other investments. The country will remain a charity case until the regional geopolitical configuration changes. All major international players know this, and they all invest in Armenia with the aim of gaining control, rather than getting their investment+interest back . . . It is not optimal, but it is also inconsequential for the average citizen. It is important that Armenia take every opportunity possible to develop itself as much as possible during this rare period of relative stability. Every example of Chinese assistance to Armenia that the author lists benefits Armenia.

      And western agents are in no position to lecture anyone on "strings attached." Somehow I doubt China is interested in promoting feminism, homosexuality, separating the Armenian Church from the Armenian state, third world immigration, rap music and ghetto culture, and "reconciliation" (aka subjugation) to Turks and Azeris.

    2. Jerriko, I don't know much about the history or the politics of south-east Asia or the western Pacific region... but in the south Caucasus China's presence is most welcome. The south Caucasus is primarily a Russian sphere of influence. Without Russia the south Caucasus would be an Iranian and Turkish zone of influence. Therefore, China's presence in the region can ONLY be economic in nature and nothing else. We certainly welcome news such as this -

      China to Finance Construction of Smart City in Armenia

  42. Al masdar is a good news resource in general.

    First scenes from confrontation between Syrian Army and US military

    1. Another Russian general died in Syria

      Russian Major-General Died, Two Servicemen Injured In Roadside Blast In Syria

  43. Sweden is a disgusting joke country full of faggots and sluts who are in competition to outwhore themselves to foreign men. Carl Bindt is the kind of disgusting faggot that makes you think "maybe its good these Nordic scum will be exterminated and replaced with admittedly less destructive sub-Saharan Africans." Yet here we are, Armenians have made Armenia into such a joke that the Swedes are holding us up as an example for other countries.

    The Armenian model for Belarus

    In all honesty, this is one of the few times where I have read something that has made me feel shame about being Armenian. Pashinyan mania, the Ter-Petrosyan regime, the absolutely failed political and diplomatic leadership of the first Armenian Republic in 1918, and generally laying down and letting the Turks genocide us with almost no resistance in 1915 (and 1909 and 1894-1896) are the lowest points in recent Armenian History

  44. A Russian general dies in Syria. Is Russia soft pedaling in Syria ? What is going on ? First, they take out Soleimani; then the Beirut blast, severing the jugular of Lebanon, the port. Hezbollah gets checked. Idlib appears to be in suspense, stalemate. A stalemate which irrevocably favors the islam-muslim turks terrorists.A maidan type revolt is brewing in Lukashenko's backyard. In the land of smiles, Siam or Tahiland, disturbances are generated and aimed at the traditional Monarchy.In the eastern mediterranean the Turks are riding rough shod wherever they step in. The Turks will tear to shreds the Greek's EEZ. The Greeks are making deals with the Israelis regarding the area of gas and oil in the Eastern mediterranean. Little do the modern Greeks know that any deals with the chosenites means they'll come second best. Partnering with Israelis/or jews means the chosenites win, and the partner loses disastrously. But again we have the Mitsotakis clan running the political circus in Greece. The Mitsotakis are clan of an admixture of levantines, turks and jews. Nothing Greek about them. Anonymous

  45. I have not been paying close attention to Belarus but what is happening today was inevitable. For the past three decades Lukashenko's Minsk was playing the Belarusian version of Yerevan's "complimentary politics", similarly to no avail. When Lukashenko felt pressure from Moscow, he would run to the West. When he felt pressure from the West, he would run to Moscow. Back and forth, back and forth for the past 25-plus years. Naturally, Moscow does not trust Minsk, nor does the West -

    Embattled Lukashenko Loses Friends in East and West

    How Belarus Maneuvers between Russia and the West

    But both, Moscow and the West, want to control Minsk. Both therefore have set deep roots in the country, and it's beginning to show. However, what many are not properly taking into account is that Alexander Lukashenko's main political opponent was Viktor Babaryko. Echoing Armenia's Karen Karapetyan, Babaryko was the head of a Gazprom affiliated bank in Belarus. He is known to be pro-Russian. Lukashenko had the man was arrested basically to stop him (a pro-Western female politician was also arrested) from running against him -

    Belarus refuses to register jailed Lukashenko's rival as presidential candidate

    After Arresting Presidential Challenger, Belarus's Lukashenka Says 'Revolution' Thwarted

    Political Grip Shaky, Belarus Leader Blames Longtime Ally: Russia

    About a month after Babaryko's arrest, a number of allegedly Russian mercenaries were arrested by Lukashenko's security forces. Lukashenko publicly accused Moscow of meddling -

    Belarus says Russian mercenaries arrested ahead of presidential election

    So, Russia seems quite active on the ground in Belarus. Needless to say, so is the West. Therefore, the situation in Belarus has the potential to go international, similar to what happened in Ukraine. That said, Moscow will under NO circumstances accept the loss of Minsk to the West. Regardless of history and politics and whatever else, the territory of Belarus acts like a sharp dagger pointing at the heart of Russia, Moscow. Moscow is NOT going to risk losing the country to the West. Putin will have very serious trouble at home if Belarus somehow slips from the Bear's grip. The good news is that the Belarusian street is pro-Russian. Culturally, Belorussians are essentially provincial Russians. In fact, Putin is more popular in Belarus than Lukashenko. Moreover, hundreds of thousands of Belorussians have close family connections in Russia. Also, Russia is by far Belarus' largest economic partner. The Belorussian military is also closely linked to Russia. I just don't see how the country will move to the West. Aside from the ethnic component, there are a lot of similarities between Belarus and Armenia.

    If Nikol's Soros and NED funded regime was not able to break Yerevan's ties to Moscow, no one in Belarus will be able to break Minsk's ties to Moscow.

    In any case, at the end of the day, Belarus is a pseudo-country. Similar to Ukraine, the country is actually a Russian province and the population is part of the ethnic Russian fabric. All the territorial divisions and land disputes we see in former Soviet territory are all a consequence of the Bolshevik revolution. At the end of the day, all this can also be part of an elaborate game/plan to gradually bring Belarus back under Mother Russia.

    1. Authored by an Armenian, the first article appearing below is a pretty level-headed take on the political crisis in Belarus. The rest of the articles are provided for context -

      Will Russia Intervene Militarily in Belarus?

      Will Belarus Become the Next Banderastan?

      Margarita Simonyan calls for Russian military intervention into Belarus

      Warning: Russia May Send "Little Green Men" To Belarus

      Lukashenko Hints at Russian Military Support

      Hybrid Intervention: Russia sent unmarked military columns to Belarus

      Warning: Russian Hybrid Intervention into Belarus is Likely Imminent

      How the West should respond to Belarus

      Alarm bells in Ukraine as Lukashenka calls on Putin to rescue his crumbling regime

      Why Belarus Is Russia’s Jugular Vein

      Putin and Russia Are Facing a Very Serious Crisis in Belarus

      Putin prepares for a controlled succession in Belarus

      Should the West be Wary of an Imminent ‘Union’ of Russia and Belarus?

      The Armenian model for Belarus

    2. While I would be more than happy if Navalny's poisoning was carried-out by Russia's special services, it can also easily be a simple case of his handlers trying to hurt him (i.e. turn him into a martyr or a hero) in order to stir trouble inside Russia at a time when neighboring Belarus is steeped in political unrest. Some may recall that a similar thing happened to our CIA-backed political opposition figure Paruyr Hayrikyan some years ago. Just prior to Armenia's presidential elections in 2012 there was an attempt on Hayrikyan's life. The CIA-backed former Soviet dissident survived. The shooting was obviously carried-out to cause trouble in Armenia ahead of its presidential elections. The operation in Armenia did not work back then, it won't work in Russia now. Both men, Navalny and Hayrikyan are political midgets in their respective countries. They have a tiny, cult-like following. They are actually seen as foreign agents by the populations of both nations. While Hayrikyan has some political weight (due to his largely symbolic role in toppling Soviet control in Armenia) it would be a stretch to even call Navalny a "political opposition". The Western-backed activist who pushes anti-Russian agendas, not to mention who is also an Armenophobe, is nothing but a little pimple on President Putin's butt.

      In any case, in the eyes of their Western handlers, these kinds of political mercenaries/prostitutes are more useful dead than alive. Therefore, the Navalny pimple got popped. It does not matter who did it. Russia will survive. I don't know if Navalny will. Some may recall that our Soros and NED backed regime in Yerevan gave Navalny a public platform in Armenia recently -

      German NGO sends in ambulance plane to pick up 'poisoned' Kremlin critic Navalny at Pussy Riot co-founder's request

      Once Again, Uproar About Armenia-Russia Relations

    3. Lukashenko makes dramatic landing at Minsk residence carrying ASSAULT RIFLE & in tactical gear, as protesters line streets

      Say what you will about him, but Lukashenko has been a good leader for his nation. I always liked him as a ruler, although I disliked his complementary politics. That said, despite his East/West political games, on a personal level, he clearly has an aversion towards Western civilization, and feels a natural/instinctual affinity towards Mother Russia. If push comes to shove Lukashenko will immediately embrace the Russian Bear; there is no doubt about that. In any case, I like his style. He comes across as a benevolent strongman/dictator. He may also be last of Europe's "old school" style leaders. That alone should qualify him to stay in power for a bit longer, that is until Belarus rejoins Mother Russia. And speaking of style: Who can forget this Lukashenko classic -

      'Better to be a dictator than be gay,' declares Belarus leader

  46. The much anticipated Plandemic 2 documentary just came out. I watched the whole thing, twice. It's very well made and very well researched. Below is its link on Bitchute, so it should be safe for now. The second link is to Armen Ayvazyan's latest commentary in Armenian about the same topic -


    Օգոստոս 2020 «Կեղծաճարակ» օպերացիայի վերջի սկիզբը (19.08.2020)

    1. I have not watched either plandemic documentary. But I did hear mostly good things.

      Another documentary somewhat related was recently released, Shadowgate.

      Have you seen this yet?

    2. Thanks for the link. I have not seen it. Make sure to watch Plandemic 2. I like how it addresses the corporate/government controlled news media's labeling of things that do not fit the official narrative as "fake", and how search engines like Google decides what information the public can easily access and what it can't. I like how it blames both USA and China for the Coronavirus pandemic. I also liked how the documentary focuses on Bill Gates, and reveals how financially lucrative (despite its dangers to the public) vaccinations and drugs in general are for big corporations. I am glad the documentary does not devolve into claiming that the Coronavirus does not exist, or that is is the handiwork of shape-shifting lizard people, Illuminatis or even Jesuits...

    3. Just finished watching Plandemic 2. It blew the original out of the water. It is truly amazing how demonic these freaks are. Some major points covered:

      -Conservative HERO Reagan once again delivers, granting immunity to the pharma assholes for the damage their experimental injections cause to innocent people. 9/11 expanded the liability for pharma companies.

      -Gates funding a plan to spray calcium carbonate and other chemicals into the atmosphere in order to block out sun rays to "fight climate change." The establishment and their sheep called chemtrails a conspiracy theory.

      -GMO mosquitoes to act as "flying syringes" to deliver injections without consent or control.

      -Satellites to monitor every square inch of the Earth.

      -Implanted chips required to participate in society.

      One thing I will say is that I don't give a shit about depopulating the third world, particularly Africa and India. Abortion is absolutely wrong for genetically valuable people, however (at least in the US) only undesirable garbage people get abortions so it is a huge net benefit; only retarded evangelical cuckolds protest Planned Parenthood in black neighborhoods while droning on endlessly about "racist eugenicist" Margaret Sanger.

  47. Old America (i.e. White, Christian, conservative, pro-life, pro-Second Amendment, etc) is at war with New America (i.e. racially mixed, liberal, pro-abortion, pro-gun control, Black, Hispanic, Jewish, immigrant, atheist, etc), and the battle tactics employed are beginning to look eerily like classical phalanxes, with the accompaniment of war drums nonetheless. The following link is to a street brawl that took place in Portland recently between the "Proud Boys" (Old America) and "Antifa" (New America). It's interesting that this was an event that was deemed unworthy of a police presence. The U.S. is slowly turning into a third world country in front of our eyes. I knew this day would come, but I didn't think it would come this fast. The coming presidential elections in November will be in my opinion the most important in the nation's history -

    As Old America slept (essentially because of "sex, drugs and rock&roll", as they say) the country was hijacked by Neo-Marxists. Old America now finds itself fighting for survival. Although I have an affinity towards Old America I am not however shedding any tears for it. After over a hundred years of causing similar and often much-much worst unrest in countries around the world (often hand-in-hand with Globalist interests) the U.S. has now fallen victim to Globalists. This is a classic case of Karma. Chickens are now coming home to roost, as they say. And one of those chickens is George Soros. The Neo-Marxist billionaire in question has been spending hundreds of millions of dollars annually to essentially erase borders, mix races, encourage abortions, promote homosexuality, blur the lines between the genders, destroy the traditional family structure and kill religions (in particular Christianity). The U.S. is now one of the main epicenters of this global Marxist agenda.

    The good news however is that Old America is still fighting the likes of George Soros (I think it's too little and too late, but they are fighting nonetheless). The bad news is, our Armenia fell victim to the same Neo-Marxists some two years ago (although their existence in our country will prove short-lived). In any case, watch the following OAN news reports about George Soros operations in the U.S. and remember that he is the godfather of the regime in Armenia today -

    George Soros buying district attorneys across America

    Soros backed org. ‘Minnesota Freedom Fund’ releasing murderers, rapists from jail

    Supreme Court hands defeat to George Soros and his overseas groups

    1. There is so much to discuss that it is overwhelming. Videos from Portland, Seattle, NYC, Chicago, and other American cities are like something out of a dystopian movie. Andy Ngo and the rest of these journalists are actually risking their physical safety every night.

      The buying of district attorneys is ridiculous. America is cartoonishly corrupt. If the D.A. selectively refuses to press charges, then there is no law and order. There is no point a having a criminal justice system other than to harass dissidents. There is really no point to police work if the municipal, county, or state government enacts a blanket "catch and release" policy on violent criminals. This type of insidious nonsense could only happen in a free market democracy, the Russians, Chinese, or even the deposed HHK regime in Armenia would never have allowed this lunacy. And for the record, Bill Barr and the Justice Department have basically done nothing, and even if Orange Man declared martial law I doubt the FBI or military would take orders from him. America is in serious, serious trouble.

      Regarding the Sorosian drive to destroy religion, it is interesting to see the globalists moving on to wreck Islamic society. Islam works by suppressing the base, degenerate aspets of the brown people which embrace it - I do not like Islam but admittedly it has provided some order for primitive, violent, low IQ societies. Over the past two years or so Saudi leader Mohamed bin-Salman has moved to ease Saudi Arabia into a western style party society with drugs, shitty music, and whorishness. It is quite a transformation for what was once a strictly Wahabi society. Similarly, Netflix in recent days has come under extreme flak for promoting a basically pedophilic movie about a prepubescent Muslim girl in western Europe rebelling against her people's traditions by twerking like a drugged out whore with her multiracial clique of fellow whores. The trailer, with a 35:1 dislike to like ratio, is linked below. Apologies for posting this filth:

      Cuties | Official Trailer | Netflix

      Lastly, I want to note that even though Orange Man has done a good job keeping America out of any serious military engagement throughout his first term -after more than forty continuous years of one unnecessary foreign war to another- almost no one of note on the right is making that into a campaign issue. This speaks volumes about the low quality of the bulk of the American conservatives, whose much-touted "principles" boil down to 1) free trade at the expense of domestic manufacturing, 2) open borders based on the need for cheap labor (instead of open borders based on humanitarian grounds as the democrats push,) 3) endless wars for Israel and the war profiteering multinational business conglomerates, and 4) small government except quadrillions for Israel and corporate welfare.

    2. Good articles regarding the current American political scene:

      “Anonymous” Account with Six Million Followers Endorses CIA War in Syria

      The Biden-Harris Ticket is Fully Jewed-Up

      Basically anyone who at this point follows these NGOs and activist groups like Anonymous is a complete tool. And Jews maintain near full spectrum dominance at the highest levels of American society.

    3. "Anonymous" stank like a Globalist operation from day one. Same applies to people like Julian Assange, although I am very grateful for what he started 10 years ago. Nevertheless, being anti American empire does not mean it is any less dangerous for us. Again, we are watching an ugly divorce taking place between American empire (Old America) types and Globalist types (New America)... the two erstwhile lovers that worked hand-in-hand in destroying nations around the world for many decades. So, let them destroy each other now. I also want to add here that the Trump ticket is also "fully Jewed-up". How much more "fully Jewed-up" can you get than embracing characters like Kushner, Adelson and Netanyahu? Reread my 2017 commentary titled "United States is entering a period of uncertainty and instability". Regardless of what political side you may think you are on in the US, you are still on the Jewish side. Politics in the US today is basically a showcase featuring an ideological fight between Left-wing Jews and Right-wing Jews... and it's the White/Christian Goy in the middle getting screwed the most. Again, no tears from me. The White/Christian Goyim, those who are being driven to extinction today by organized Jewry, are the most ardent supporters of Jews and Israel. With all that said, yes, Trump is by far the lesser evil in the US today...

    4. Apologies, I've been having trouble posting comments and I somehow ended up posting an unpolished draft of this comment:

      While we are posting videos documenting the collapse of the west, here is a prime example from our half-Armo friend Roosh (who still somehow has not been banned from Twitter yet) highlighting a significant reason for the collapse we are living through.

      The song in question is the infamous WAP by Cardi B that you may have seen Tucker Carlson bring up. The parents apparently think it is cute that their daughter behaves like a stripper whore. This is standard across significant parts of the US.

      We are literally inundated by videos documenting the collapse of western society, there is just too much to post. The west is hopeless and appears to be going through a total systems collapse comparable to the Bronze Age collapse. Let's at least hope we can limit these disgusting anti-civilizational influences as much as possible in Armenia.

    5. I found out today that the mayor of Kenosha, WI is of Armenian descent.

      You all have seen the footage of Kenosha from the past 2 nights, it looks like an Iraqi warzone from 15 years ago.

    6. Not nearly as spectacular as the riots taking place in Portland but this incident in Wisconsin is equally symbolic of the downward spiral of law and order in the US today. Armed protesters surrounding police vehicles? You see stuff like this only in South America and Africa -

      Armed Rioters Surround Police Vehicle in Wisconsin

      A part of me wants to believe that the Trump administration is allowing this kind of unrest to to take place in order to ensure President Trump's reelection. A part of me also wants to believe that the "Deep State" is also trying to ensure a Trump victory. Of all people, why did the DNC promote a 70-something, borderline senile candidate with an utterly failed track record? Why do Democrat Party members continue encouraging these destructive riots? Why do Democrat Party members continue pushing ultra-liberal and borderline Socialist/Marxist agendas? The US is still majority White and Christian, and rural America still has a powerful voice in politics. What the Democrat Party has been engaged in does not make any political sense from a Democrat's perspective.

      I don't know about polls (nor do I trust polls) but I don't see how President Trump can lose this election, especially after the recent collapse of law and order in many American cities.

      Unless the Democrat Party has been afflicted with a severe case of collective hysteria, I think the Democrat Party is intentionally throwing this election. It's a possibility in the world of politics and the Deep State. Similarly, the Republican Party intentionally sabotaged the 2012 presidential elections with Mit Romney. Mit Romney did not want to run for office but was made to. And when he did run, he did so half-assed. In my opinion, we are seeing the same with Joe Biden today. Joe Biden's heart/mind is clearly not into it. After this son died from brain cancer back in 2015 he took a big step back from politics. Some may recall, Joe Biden even refused to be part of the 2016 presidential race. I think he was pushed/forced to run this time around. I think it's being done to ensure a Trump victory.

      Why? As I keep saying, I think because Trump is the American empire's Gorbachev. He needs more time to downside the empire and radicalize the Left. Trump is also someone that people either passionately love or passionately hate. He is by nature a divisive personality. Another 4 years of a Trump administration will deepen the country's political and cultural rifts and further radicalize the Left. That in my opinion could be the Deep State's end game.

      In any case, one thing that I feared and continue fearing the most about a Trump administration is a war with Iran. Thus far, President Trump has avoided such a war although he had couple of good opportunities to start one. I don't think the danger has yet passed. But, thus far, President Trump has been able to resist being drawn into a new war. Yes, he continues to pander to organized Jewry, in particular right-wing Jews. I mean crap like this -

      Trump says U.S. needs ‘more Jews that love Israel’

      Pompeo: It’s ‘Possible’ Trump Was Sent by God to Save the Jewish People From Iran

      Yes, he also continues to give organized Jewry some concessions (Jerusalem, Golan Heights, Soleimani assassination, etc), but he also seems to be doing his best not to start a war for Zionist interests. Not only has President Trump not started any new wars during his time in office, he has even scaled-back US military involvements in Syria, Iraq and Afghanistan. This again goes against Zionist interests.

      Thus far, President Trump is the first president since President Carter that has not started a war during his time in power. Let's hope the man wins and continues to keep a clean record...

  48. I love this blog. Thank you Zoravar and Arevordi. Don't believe American lies Russia may not be perfect but its the best friend Armenians have. Don't worry about Pashinyan Armenia will survive. We been around thousands of years we will be around much longer. Russia plus Armenia = freedom :)

    In case you guys did not know Andy Surabian is Donald Trump Jr's spokesman. He used to work for Steve Bannon. Isn't it strange he gets no mention in any Armenian circles.

    Andy Surabian

  49. WHO Chief Warns Of “Vaccine Nationalism” As 172 Countries Sign Onto Coronavirus Vaccine Distribution Scheme

    This is not going to end well. Funny the globalist UN using "nationalism" as a derogatory term. I'm not holding my breathe, but at some point the tree of liberty will need to be refreshed.

    Meanwhile in France:

    Riot police storm Paris bar during Champions League final over lack of social distancing | Covid-19

    France: Grocery Store Worker Violentl