Keep Armenia isolated, George Friedman - November, 2010

Arye Gut, an Israeli-Jewish "expert in international law" thinks that the only way Baku can solve its Armenian problem is to wage war against it (see corresponding article below). Not surprisingly, George Friedman, the Jewish founder of a well known American think tank is also reported to have recently claimed that the only way the Armenian-Turkish dialogue would be successful is - if only Russian troops could leave Armenia!

It was also reported that Friedman suggested to Ankara that it should stop putting pressure on Armenia over Nagorno Karabakh and instead work on convincing Yerevan to rid itself of its Russian military presence. In other words, according to this Turkophile, Armenia needs to be made to deal with Turkey alone - without Moscow looking over Yerevan's shoulder or watching its back.

The Anglo-American-Zionist political order's historic wet dream has been to weaken, contain and/or isolate Russia. They want to continue their age-long agenda of pushing Russians out of the strategic Caucasus. Having found common ground with regional Turks, Azeris and Georgians, the above mentioned global order has been seeking to physically, politically and economically isolate Armenia; a geostrategic agenda they have been actively pursuing for the past twenty years, during which time they have been hoping for the capitulation of Yerevan.

Therefore, although George Friedman's intentions, ideas and/or suggestions here are very alarming, they are nothing new for those of us who understand the mindsets of these vile people. I have been warning Armenians about these types of serious geopolitical matters for many years now. I have been warning Armenians about the Anglo-American-Zionist political order's global intentions. I have been warning Armenians about the serious dangers associated with driving Russians out of the Caucasus in general and out of Armenia in particular.  

Turks, Jews and Westerners alike (including some of our nation's self-destructive peasantry) have been trying very hard to break Armenia away from Russia's orbit. How wonderful it would have been for these vermin if only Armenia was made to pull out from under Russia's protective umbrella and find itself fully at their mercy.

Too bad for them, despite their best efforts, despite the best efforts of our nation's self-destructive peasantry, the exact opposite has in fact occurred. Not only does Yerevan enjoy growing relations with Moscow today, Armenia's military alliance with the Russian Federation has more-or-less become institutionalized. In other words, no amount of bribe money or blackmail could now be used against Armenian officials by those seeking to lure Yerevan way from Moscow.

As the Christian Orthodox nation of Serbia (Europe's last pro-Russian bastion) was mercilessly bombed into submission (under the viciously false pretext that Serbia was committing ethnic cleansing against Albanians); as Kosovo was brutally torn away from Serbia by a conglomeration of Western (as well as Zionist and Turkish) powers and handed over to Islamic criminals with reported ties to Al Qaeda, ten years ago Serbia's sad plight plainly revealed to us all the true nature and character of the political West. The illegal occupation of northern Cyprus by Turkey revealed to the world community the true face of the political West over thirty-five years ago. The near invasion of Armenia by Turkish forces in the early 1990s (which was thwarted only as a result of Russian intervention) was proof that in certain power centers in the Western world - Armenia remains an insignificant and thus a disposable nation.

Nevertheless, taking into consideration his ethnicity, George Friedman's Turkophilic, anti-Armenian and Russophobic sentiments are natural and quite self-explanatory. By telling Turks to forget about Nagorno Karabakh for now and just concentrate on getting rid of Russian forces from Armenia, he is essentially telling Turks - first get Russians out of Armenia then you can have your way with Armenia and Nagorno Karabakh. Friedman's reported comments do not require further elaboration on my part for they are self-evident. 

However, I will say this: Turkey, with its huge population and economy as well as its powerful NATO and Israeli armed military, is fully capable of swallowing Armenia whole - in a heartbeat. They don't even have to fire a single shot in anger. In a relatively short period of time, Ankara could once again turn Armenia into its eastern most province - simply by its powerful economy. As I have been saying for a long time now, the fundamental reason why Ankara is trying very hard not to open its border crossing with Armenia - is their instinctual fear of the Russian Bear's growing presence in Armenia and in the Caucasus. Having acquired Armenia's most important national assets, thus securing Armenia's long-term allegiance, Moscow now feels confident enough to allow Yerevan to play ball in the region.  

Moscow is seeking to drive an "Armenian wedge" between Ankara, NATO and Baku. As a result of its growing political stature in the region, Armenia has become the regional platform Moscow is using to project its power into Turkey and beyond.

Nevertheless, I guess it will require the daylight bombing of Yerevan by the Israel air force to make our hopelessly naive and gullible people realize that when it comes down to serious political matters, Israel/Jews will continue remaining one of Armenia's main opponents. Despite their overt hostility to everything and anything Armenian, we still have our peasantry hopeful that organized Jewry will begin viewing Armenians favorably now as a result of their recent problems with Turks.

Wake up Armenians! Turks and Jews are made of the same mold. 

What Turkey is in Asia Minor, Israel is in the Levant. It is an undisputed fact that during the First World War, western Jewry, in tandem with Turkish-Jews in the Ottoman Empire, were deeply involved in the encouragement and the organization of the brutal genocide we Armenians suffered. It was the Jewish led/inspired Bolshevik monster that rained unprecedented death and destruction upon all the Christian populations of the former Russian Empire and mutilated portions of Armenia that had managed to survive the genocide. Jews today continue being the number one obstacle standing in the way of international recognition of our genocide. The only place on earth where Armenian church property is in constant danger of confiscation and Armenian clergy are regularly spat upon and physically abused is in the Zionist state of Israel. Israel uses Turkish air space to train its air force. Israeli and Turkish arms industries are intimately interconnected. Israel continues arming, supporting and even encouraging Azerbaijan against Armenia. Turkey satisfies Israel's crucial potable water needs. Israeli-Turkish bilateral trade is immense. Israel continues to receive a majority of its oil and gas shipments via Turkey. And Istanbul continues to be one of the most favorite vacation destinations for Jewry worldwide.

Although there have been some lingering problems between Tel Aviv and Ankara as of late, for the foreseeable future, the two genocidal states of Israel and Turkey will continue needing each other. As a matter of fact, Jews need Turkey much more than Turks need Israel. Despite Turkey's growing Islamization and despite the covert support Israel has been providing Iraqi Kurds recently, representatives of organized Jewry and the Zionist state will continue pandering to Turkey for many years to come. Armenians will one day (perhaps when it's too damn late) realize that hatred of Armenians by traditional Judaism is historical (stretching back to biblical times) and it supersedes their internal/brotherly problems with Turks.

Finally, and thank God, the two news articles appearing at the very bottom of this page is good evidence that Armenia's survival instincts are still functioning quite well. Despite the fact that policymakers in the West had given "Armenia-friendly" France the task of luring Armenia away from Russia's orbit around the time when the Soviet Union was collapsing (similar to how Azerbaijan was entrusted to Britain and Georgia was entrusted to Germany), despite the fact that the anti-Russian propaganda of the Anglo-American-Zionist global order permeates the Armenian world today, a vast majority of Armenians in Armenia and Nagorno Karabakh (the Armenian diaspora is another story) remain uninfected by the globalist virus. 

According to a recent survey taken in Armenia and Nagorno Karabakh, overwhelming majority of Armenians there look very favorably towards Russia.

Surprisingly and more importantly, according to the same survey, even the younger generation in Armenia and Nagorno Karabakh views Russia very positively. As a matter of fact, although the younger generation in Armenia overwhelmingly prefers an alliance with the Russian Federation - they also prefer European/western cultural values. In other words: close to Russia without abandoning the western world. Armenians are proving that Russia and western values are not mutually exclusive. Yes, in my opinion we can attain both - we must strive to obtain both. I'm glad to say that what's being expressed by young Armenians is a clear sign of political maturity and sophistication. Interestingly, the survey also suggested that an astounding 78% of Armenians in Nagorno Karabakh are of the mindset that Russia supports them in their struggle against Azerbaijan.

Anyway, I have said this a million times already and I will say it another million times until every single Armenian understands it - No Russia in the Caucasus means no Armenia in the Caucasus.



Keep Armenia isolated, George Friedman

Sabah newspaper reports that general director and founder of STRATFOR George Friedman has come to a conclusion that the normalization of the Armenian-Turkish rapprochement can be effective only in case Russian troops are withdrawn from Armenia, otherwise this process will be of no importance. “Turkey should speak to Armenia not of Nagorno Karabakh. It should discuss reducing Russia’s role in this country. The presence of Russian troops in Armenia does not meet Turkey’s interests. In such conditions, the opening of borders with Armenia is of no use for Turkey, on the contrary, it may spoil its relations with Azerbaijan. So keep Armenia isolated in this case”, Friedman said. Meanwhile, Friedman compared the current power of Turkey with the US power in 1930-1940’s. “Turkey has strength but no structures, which could direct this strength. This is what Turkey should ponder over”, he said.


George Friedman: “Russian presence in Armenia is bad for Turkey”

The head of the analytic center STRATFOR George Friedman met with the representatives of the Turkish media. Among other issues the analytic also spoke about Armenian-Turkish relations. Friedman underlined Russian presence in Armenia isn’t good for Turkey and added: “Not Nagorno Karabakh issue but the reduction of the Russian presence in Armenia should be the main theme of the negotiations with Yerevan. Presence of Russian soldiers on your border isn’t well for you. Caucasus must become a buffer region against Russia.” Speaking about the opening of Armenian-Turkish border Friedman announced only Armenian side would gain something from it. “Turkey won’t gain anything from the opening of the borders. Only Yerevan will make profits of it. It isn’t logical to offend Azerbaijan for Armenia. Let Armenia stay isolted,” said the head of the STRATFOR.

War only way of resolving Nagorno-Karabakh conflict

Azerbaijan’s defense expenditures are evidence of fading hopes for a peaceful settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, Arye Gut, an Israeli expert in international law, told No breakthrough in the Nagorno-Karabakh peace process should be expected at the OSCE Summit in Astana. “I can hardly believe that the sides will be able to finally agree on the fundamental settlement principles that would underlie a peace agreement,” he said. Referring to Azeri political analysts and military experts, Gut concludes that diplomatic means of resolving the conflicts have been exhausted. The fact that Azeri diplomats participate in the negotiation process is evidence of the last glimmers of hope. On the other hand, Azerbaijan’s spending billions of U.S. dollars on defense rather than on social programs is evidence of fading hopes. So Armenians should remember that Azerbaijanis never waste money, Gut said. Official Yerevan is satisfied with the status quo, which has been maintained for 18 years. However, this is not a case with Azerbaijan. According to the expert, war is the only way of resolving the problem. History proves that territories captured in war have never been returned after peace talks, Gut said.


Stratfor: Buffer zone against Russia should be created in Caucasus

Head of STRATFOR think tank George Friedman said that a buffer zone against Russia should be created in Caucasus. According to him, the opening of the Armenian-Turkish border will be advantageous for Yerevan. “It is illogic for Turkey to spoil its relations with neighboring Azerbaijan due to Armenia. Let Armenia remain in isolation,” he said. Sabah Turkish paper quoted Friedman as saying that the basic topic of Turkey’s negotiations with Armenia should be reduction of Russia’s military presence in Armenia, but not the Karabakh conflict.


Related news:

War in Karabakh inevitable, Russian expert says

There has been a much higher probability of war in Nagorno-Karabakh lately, Alexander Skakov, Work Group Coordinator, Caucasus and Central Asia. RF Institute of Oriental Studies, told Evidence thereof is a number of factors, including Azerbaijan’s incessant militant rhetoric and rapidly increasing military budget. “If Baku were sure hostilities would succeed, they would have unleashed war,” the expert said. He pointed out that Baku is rather afraid of third forces’ interference in the conflict. “If Azerbaijan were sure no one – including Russia and even Armenia - would interfere in the conflict, they would attack,” Skakov said. Since Armenia has not so far recognized Nagorno-Karabakh, Armenia’s interference in an Azerbaijani-Nagorno-Karabakh conflict will be viewed as aggression against Azerbaijan in the context of international legal norms.

Recognition of Nagorno-Karabakh by Armenia would be a kind of guarantee in case of hostilities by Azerbaijan, the expert said. As to whether such a step by Armenia would mean thwarting the peace process within the OSCE Minsk Group, Skakov said: “It would certainly be a blow. But what would be the target? The simulated talks – and no other definition for that. On the other hand, if Armenia recognizes independent Nagorno-Karabakh, it will have the right to ‘defend it’,” the expert said. However, no one will allow hostilities to last for more than ten days. During this period Azerbaijan will at best be able to establish control over some front positions.

As regards RF President Dmitry Medvedev’s statement that the sides might reach an agreement before the OSCE Summit in Astana on Dec. 2, the expert said that two things are likely meant: a “road map” and signing of a one more framework advisory agreement. A “road map” is unrealistic. As regards an agreement, let one more agreement be signed. “The sides’ positions are so different that no real progress should be expected,” the Russian expert said. According to the expert, the following should be taken into account: “There will be war sooner or later, the status quo will be upset and all the sides, including Azerbaijan, will suffer.”


Turkey Seeks Separation Between Russia, Armenia

The removal of Armenia from the list of Turkey’s enemies in Turkey’s national security strategy, with Russia remaining on this list, appears to be Turkey’s attempt to “separate strategic partners, consolidate its own positions in the South Caucasus to ‘feel at home’ there,” Colonel-General Leonid Ivashov, President of the Academy of Geopolitical Problems, said in an interview with Nezavisimaya Gazeta. “Unfortunately, Russia’s indecisive policy at its southern borders gives rise to such developments. In turn, seeing Russia’s indecision, its allies lose confidence,” he said. Russia’s remaining on Ankara’s “red list” is evidence that Russian diplomats have failed to work enough at the “Turkish line.” “We should also remember Turkey is a NATO member.

The U.S. must have strongly pressed Turkey into making this decision on Russia. I think it was a swap: Ankara was allowed to list Israel among its enemies – the Turkish society actually considers Israel an enemy – and demanded that Russia remain on this list. It was kind of bargain,” General Ivashov said. He pointed out the fact that Russia and Turkey are acting as rivals both in the South Caucasus and in the “entire region.” The reason for the decision may also have been the fact that Russia and Israel signed a military cooperation agreement on September 6. “‘It is not an alliance yet, but were already are cooperating against someone.’ It is clear that Russia agreed to get obtain information and supply something to Israel to the detriment of the Islamic world. The response was what we are having now,” General Ivashov said.

He does not rule out a somewhat different approach when Turkey revises its national security strategy in five years. Russia is likely to be removed from the “red list.” Turkey is in transition now. It has not yet been “expelled” from the European community: it remains a NATO member, without being allowed to join the EU. “Turkey made a turn toward the Islamic world without, however, being its ally. It needs partners,” Ivashov said. The National Security Council of Turkey recently amended Turkey’s national security strategy. The new strategy will be in effect for the following five years. Armenia and Georgia have been removed from the list of states posing a threat to Turkey. On the other hand, Iran Syria, Bulgarian and Israel were listed among such states. Despite expectations, Russia remains on the list of Turkey’s potential enemies.


Russia Stabbed Turkey in the Back

Russia is Turkey’s main economic and cultural partner, Turkish politician, Istanbul university professor Behlul Ozkan told a press conference in Yerevan. He also noted that the number of mixed marriages reaches 400,000. However, the Turkish politician stressed that Russia stabbed Turkey in the back. “If Turkey knew that Russia would act this way in the Armenian-Turkish process, it would not participate in it at all,” he added. According to him, initially Turkey expected Russia’s support in normalization of its relations with Armenia, but Moscow has not recently shown initiative in this direction, Ozkan stated. “First Russia was interested in normalization of the Armenian-Turkish relations, but as soon as Ankara conditioned the process by liberation of Armenian-controlled territories, Moscow lost interest, as does not want to see the Armenian-Azerbaijani relations settled. In case the Armenian-Azerbaijani relations are normalized, Russia’s role in the South Caucasus will be minimized,” the expert stressed. He also emphasized that Russia is interested in deterioration of the Azerbaijani-Turkish relations, as Ankara will replace Moscow in Azerbaijan.


Russia Seeks to Separate Turkey From West Through Armenia-Turkey Rapprochement

Former national security advisor to the first President of Armenia, Ashot Manucharyan, doesn’t believe that Russian President’s visit to Turkey will trigger significant changes in South Caucasus region. As he told a news conference in Yerevan, Russia struggles to increase its influence in Caucasus, seeking to separate Turkey from the West through Armenia-Turkey reconciliation. “However, this can’t be viewed as a positive development, considering tragic consequences Armenia faced 100 years ago because of Russian-Turkish approximation,” Manucharyan emphasized. “The only difference in current Russian policy is the country’s geopolitical interests and unwillingness to yield its positions to Turkey,” he concluded.


Russia widely viewed as extremely important for Armenia

Perceptions of Russia among Armenians are exceptionally positive, according to the internationally conducted “Comparative Opinion Polls in Armenia and Nagorno Karabakh on Socio-Political Issues and Foreign Relations” published by the European Friends of Armenia (EuFoA). Russia is widely viewed as extremely important, and valued, by Armenians, though we must assume that the very favourable views towards Russia found in the poll are to some extent boosted by the recent high-profile visit to Armenia of President Medvedev. Russia is by a wide margin the outside actor most trusted in Armenia: 80% of Armenians trust Russia, nearly twice the next-highest figure (42% trusting France). Russia is also viewed as the most supportive of Armenia, 71% of Armenians believing this, compared with 43% regarding France as supportive. Positive views of Russia extend to its values, with almost half of Armenians saying that they would most prefer Armenia’s value system to be like Russia’s. Older people are especially likely to say they would prefer Russia’s value system while younger people would much prefer a European set of values.Young people are still by far the most positive towards Russia of all countries and organisations even though they prefer European values. 85% of Armenians view Russia as having a key role as a mediator in the Nagorno Karabakh conflict settlement process, far more than for any other country or international organisation – and Russia is also regarded as the most interested in achieving a settlement to the conflict.


Survey: Artsakh people trusts Russia

The European Friends of Armenia organization today publicized results of the survey conducted among Artsakh population lately. The survey addressed social and political issues, foreign affairs. According to the survey, Artsakh people is more informed about OSCE Minsk Group than Armenian population, Andrew Cooper, Executive Director of the Populus public opinion center, told reporters. 51 percent Artsakh population are informed about aims and activities of OSCE Minsk Group. 43 percent believe MG plays a role in the resolution of the Nagorno Karabakh conflict. Meanwhile, 85 percent Artsakh residents trust Russia, 78 percent think Russia supports Artsakh and Armenia, 87 percent suppose Russia plays a major role in the conflict settlement.


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Dear reader,

Arevordi will be taking a sabbatical to tend to personal matters. New blog commentaries will henceforth be posted on an irregular basis. Please note that the comments board however will continue to be moderated on a regular basis.

The last 20 years has helped me see the Russian nation as the last front on earth against the scourges of Westernization, Americanization, Globalism, Zionism, Islamic extremism and pan-Turkism. I have also come to see Russia as the last hope humanity has for the preservation of classical western/European civilization, Apostolic Christianity and the traditional nation-state. These sobering realizations compelled me to create this blog in 2010. Immediately, this blog became one of the very few voices in the vastness of Cyberia that dared to preach about the dangers of Globalism and the Anglo-American-Jewish alliance, and perhaps the only voice preaching about the strategic importance of Armenia's close ties to the Russian nation. From about 2010 to 2015, I did monthly, at times weekly, commentaries about Russian-Armenian relations and Eurasian geopolitics in general. It was very difficult for me as I had no assistance in this endeavor. The time I put into this blog therefore came at the expense of work and family. But a powerful feeling, dare I say voice, inside me urged me to keep going; and I did.

When Armenia finally joined the EEU and fully integrated its armed forces into Russia's military structures a couple of years ago, I finally felt a deep sense of satisfaction and relief, as if a very heavy burden was lifted off my shoulders. I finally felt that my personal mission was accomplished. I therefore felt I could take a step back, as I really needed the rest. Simply put: I have lived to see the institutionalization of Russian-Armenian alliance. Also, I feel more confident now that generally speaking Armenians are collectively recognizing the vital/strategic importance of Armenia's ties with the Russian nation. Today, no man, no political party is capable of driving a wedge between Armenia and Russia. That danger has passed. Anglo-American-Jewish agenda in Armenia failed. As a result, I feel a strong sense of mission accomplished. I feel satisfied knowing that, at least on a subatomic level, I had a hand in the outcome. I therefore no longer have the urge to continue as in the past. In other words, the motivational force that had propelled me in previous years has been gradually dissipating because I feel that this blog has lived to see the realization of its stated goal.

Going forward, I do not want to write merely for the sake of writing. Also, I do not want to say anything if I have nothing important to say. I feel like I have said everything I needed to say. Henceforth, I will post seasonal commentaries about topics I find important.

To limit clutter in the comments section, I kindly ask all participants of this blog to please keep comments coherent and strictly relevant to the featured topic of discussion. Moreover, please realize that when there are several "anonymous" visitors posting comments simultaneously, it becomes very confusing (not to mention extremely annoying) trying to figure out who is who and who said what. Therefore, if you are here to engage in conversation, make an observation, express an idea or simply insult/attack me, I ask you to at least use a moniker to identify yourself. Moreover, please appreciate the fact that I have put an enormous amount of information into this blog. In my opinion, most of my blog commentaries and articles, some going back ten-plus years, are in varying degrees relevant to this day and will remain so for a long time to come. Articles in this blog can therefore be revisited by longtime readers and new comers alike. I therefore ask the reader to treat this blog as a historical record and a depository of important information relating to Eurasian geopolitics, Russian-Armenian relations and humanity's historic fight against the evils of Globalism and Westernization.

Thank you as always for reading.