Had Armenians been politically sophisticated or mature, they would have temporarily shelved their "Western Armenia" urges and began thinking about extending Armenia's borders towards Russia via Azerbaijan or towards the Black Sea via Georgia. Despite our best efforts to revitalize the ailing economy of our republic, as long as Armenia remains a small and landlocked nation in a geopolitical neighborhood like the Caucasus, it will continue to remain economically depressed and politically isolated. Armenia simply needs to break out of its present borders if it is to become a prosperous and powerful nation. Sentiments do not guide my political thoughts or inclinations, nor do ethics for that matter. I am speaking in real political and economic terms. In the big picture, having a common border with Russia or a direct access to the Black Sea is not only more economically and geopolitically favorable to Armenia than extending into Turkey's most impoverished eastern regions - but it is also more attainable/doable.
Too many Armenians live for today. We Armenians need to be a bit more politically mature and farsighted. Armenians today need to treat Armenia as they would a delicate seed full of potential. This seed first needs to be carefully sown and then it needs to be given a lot nurturing and time in order for it to grow and blossom. Nonetheless, Armenia, as it currently exists, is going no where ultimately because the seed is not yet on fertile ground. Even with the best of domestic circumstances, even if our despised oligarchs turn into lovable angels overnight, Armenia will continue to remain poor and embattled simply due to its geographic positioning and its less-than friendly neighbors. In many respects, the key to our national success in the Caucasus is found in the offices of the Kremlin. Instead of the constant complaints and fear mongering over Russia's growing influence in the Caucasus, Armenians would do well to embark on a pan-national/collective effort, similar to what Jews do in the West, to promote Armenia's national interests within the halls of the Kremlin. After all, is the sharp/cunning Armenian mind only reserved to be used against other Armenians?
The bottom line for Armenia is this: the only way we will be able to bring prosperity to Armenia is by bringing peace and stability to the Caucasus region. The only way we can bring peace and stability to the region is by having Moscow win the "great game" in the Caucasus. So, let us all pray for Pax Russica and let us all look forward to that glorious day when Armenia will share borders with Russia.
With Russian-Armenian partnership being so close, Russia should deploy a second, military base in Armenia, with assault military equipment and relevant purposes, Semyen Bagdasarov, a member of the Committee on International Affairs, RF State Duma, stated during the Armenian-Russian Relations spacebridge. According to him, one Russian defensive military base in Armenia is incapable to meet the two nations’ real needs. A second base would be a deterrent factor for both Turkey and the U.S. “An explosive situation was developing round Nagorno-Karabakh before the protocol on longer-term Russian military presence in Armenia was signed – Azerbaijan was enhancing its military potential for the purpose of using its for resuming hostilities in Nagorno-Karabakh,” the Russian parliamentarian said. He welcomes the fact that Armenia is the only post-Soviet state with only Russian military presence in its territory.
Russia attaches high importance to the South Caucasus, as it borders on the North Caucasus. “Armenia is a most important regional country for Russia at least due to the fact that NATO is opening a liaison office in Georgia, and NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen arrived in Tbilisi on this occasion,” Bagdasarov said. Russia is an imperial state which must restore its global role, he said.
He believes Russia is not actually interested in Armenian-Turkish rapprochement. “It is a good thing that Armenian-Turkish protocols failed – they run counter to the interests of both Armenia and Russia,” the Russian parliamentarian said. Turkey has a great influence on two of the South Caucasus states – Georgia and Azerbaijan. Had Ankara established relations with Yerevan it would extend its influence over Armenia as well. “In this case, Turkey would force Russia out of Armenia and, therefore, of the entire South Caucasus. So it is great the Armenian-Turkish protocols failed,” Bagdasarov said.
Armenia and Russia should create a new bilateral bloc, as an alternative to existing international organizations with two member states, Grigoriy Trofimchuk, Vice President of Strategic Development Modeling Center, said during Armenian-Russian Relations spacebridge. He considers that Russia and Armenia should jointly develop a single security strategy in the South Caucasus for other countries to adhere to it. “Armenia, except for Belarus, is the only country that remained loyal to Russia during post-Soviet period,” he added. Speaking of Russian base in Armenia, the expert noted that its presence is important for the regional states, including Georgia and Azerbaijan. It is unclear who will seize the region unless there is Russia’s presence, he noted. According to him, Turkey is also interested in Russia’s presence in the region. “Without Russia, the Black Sea would have turned into the American Sea long ago”, Trofimchuk stated.